directorate general for energy and transport advanced fossil fuel boiler technologies for reaching...
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Directorate General for Energy and TransportDirectorate General for Energy and Transport
Advanced fossil fuel boiler Advanced fossil fuel boiler technologies for reaching the goals of technologies for reaching the goals of
the Kyoto protocolthe Kyoto protocolOPET-Seminar Celje, 20-21 May 2004 OPET-Seminar Celje, 20-21 May 2004
Welcome address by
Thomas H A SchneiderDG Energy and Transport
European Commission – Coal & Oil Unit
Directorate General for Energy and TransportDirectorate General for Energy and Transport
Global Policy ContextClimate change
Johannesburg World Summit on Sustainable Development 2002 EU set to decrease its GHG emissions by 8% in 2008-2012
compared to 1990 under the Kyoto protocol Burden sharing agreement between Member States On track so far, but target likely to be missed in ‘business as
usual’ scenario European Climate Change Programme has identified most
promising and cheapest routes EU Greenhouse Gas Trading Directive – trading starting Jan 05 Adoption of a “linking” directive which transfers CDM and JI
credits into the EU GHG trading directive
Directorate General for Energy and TransportDirectorate General for Energy and Transport
Total equivalent CO2 concentration (all greenhouse gases) in the atmosphere as a
function of time – past data and projection according to the IPCC is92a scenario
(subject to debate in GDP projections).
0
200
400
600
800
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1800 1850 1900 1950 2000 2050 2100 2150
year
ppm(v)
Directorate General for Energy and TransportDirectorate General for Energy and Transport
Global Policy Context
Climate change - Post Kyoto More drastic reductions will be needed
max. 2°C increase, max. 450 ppm(v)50 to 60% emissions reduction by 2050 from developed economies (JI) from economies in transition (CDM)
Fossil fuel use in developing economies to be tackled
Directorate General for Energy and TransportDirectorate General for Energy and Transport
EU Compliance with Kyoto Protocol
% Shortfalls (+) or over-compliance (-) with policies currently in place
Source: European Environ-ment Agency, 2003
Directorate General for Energy and TransportDirectorate General for Energy and Transport
Industry Competitiveness
EU industry must be placed in a position to compete in a post-Kyoto scenario addressing the emissions of developing countries
Energy Policy Context
Directorate General for Energy and TransportDirectorate General for Energy and Transport
Scenarios and Projections (source : WETO)
Still 90% fossil fuels worldwide by 2030
0
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6000
9000
12000
15000
18000
1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
Mto
e
Coal, lignite Oil Natural gas
Prim. Electricity Wood and wastes
Energy Policy Context
Directorate General for Energy and TransportDirectorate General for Energy and Transport
Energy Related CO2 Emissions(WETO - EC DG RTD)
0
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7000
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1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
Mt of C
O2
European Union EU & Accession CountriesUSA BrazilIndia ChinaJapan
Directorate General for Energy and TransportDirectorate General for Energy and Transport
Security of supply risks
Containment of demand increase (“demand side management”)
Influence on supply dependence
GREEN PAPER : Strategy Issues
Directorate General for Energy and TransportDirectorate General for Energy and Transport
EU ENVIRONMENTAL TECHNOLOGY
OFFENSIVE : ETAP
Key contribution of environmental technologies to sustainable growth in Europe and world wide
Efficient conversion of fossil fuelsInternational Cooperation
Priorities : RussiaChina India
In preparation : Latin America
Directorate General for Energy and TransportDirectorate General for Energy and Transport
ETAP– Climate Change (discussion paper)
Key technologies on demand side – Households and Services Building fabric Integrated building design Controls & building energy mgt systems Heating, cooling & ventilation equipment Energy efficiency equipment – office & do- mestic equipment Lighting
Directorate General for Energy and TransportDirectorate General for Energy and Transport
Fossil and Renewable Energy Sources
CO2 C+S sometimes seen as fossil fuels back by the back-door
But projections indicate fossil fuels are here to stay and will be used, especially in economies in transition
RES need to be supported, but will not be sufficient in the short to medium term, both in developed and developing economies
RES and CO2 C+S are complementary from a timing point of view from a generation mix point of view to ease the penetration of hydrogen as a vector
Directorate General for Energy and TransportDirectorate General for Energy and Transport
UNFCCC
This is in force, whatever happens to Kyoto Protocol
“The ultimate objective of this Convention and any related legal instruments that the Conference of the Parties may adopt is to achieve, in accordance with the relevant provisions of the Convention, stabilization of greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere at a level that would prevent dangerous anthropogenic interference with the climate system. Such a level should be achieved within a time-frame sufficient to allow ecosystems to adapt naturally to climate change, to ensure that food production is not threatened and to enable economic development to proceed in a sustainable manner.”
Directorate General for Energy and TransportDirectorate General for Energy and Transport
Contact
Thomas H A SchneiderEuropean CommissionDirectorate-General for Energy & TransportCoal & Oil Unit
Rue de la Loi 200 – DM24 6/25B - 1049 - Brussels - Belgium
phone : 32-2-29-86236fax : 32-2-29-64337email : thomas.schneider@cec.eu.int
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