disruptive analysis - telco-ott

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Dean Bubley's presentation at the 2011 eComm conference, on the opportunity for telcos to develop and run their own OTT-style services, beyond the confines of the own access networks

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Telecom operators: A renaissance as OTT-style players?

eComm, SF, 29th June 2011dean.bubley@disruptive-analysis.com

Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2011

Imagine if…..

June 2011

+

….. at least 3 operators were looking seriously, over the past few years

Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2011

Telcos face encroachment from all sides

June 2011

Source: STL PartnersStrategy Report “The Roadmap to new Telco 2.0 Business Models”

Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2010

Telcos’ new ecosystem: slow, hostile & brittle?

Novy 2010

Interop: federation, roaming & IPX

IMS

VoLTE RCS

APIs

OneAPI Dev Progs BONDI

Devices

Android

ODMs

WP7 &

Nokia

IOS

Apps?

Services & enablers

Cloud CDNs QoS & 2SBM

NFC & money

Data & ID

Leveraging web & smartphone scale effects

2bn users on Internet

2bn users on Internet

300m smartphone users-- 1bn+ by 2013

?Standards & interop

vs. speed & temptation of scale “off network”

<600m users

<400m users

<200m users

Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2011June 2011

Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2011

Dumb pipe, or happy piper?

June 2011

OTT, UTF….. If you can’t beat them, join them

Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2011

Didn’t all this fail already?

June 2011

Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2011

Or are we overlooking success stories?

June 2011

Roaming

Operators already endorsing own-brand OTT

Telecom Italia CTO Strategy Presentation, April 2010

Deutsche TelekomStrategy Presentation, March 2010

Orange ONLifeisbetteron.com

Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2011June 2011

Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2011

Challenges & questions

Build vs. Buy Conception & differentiation Execution Governance / org model Incentivisation / remuneration Protection from internal sabotage Metrics & valuation Neutrality hypocrisy

June 2011

Smartphones & appstores are pivotalBT BT Rogers SingTel

Telstra 3 Italy Telecom Italia Far EasToneCopyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2011June 2011

Real innovation & vision starting to emerge

Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2011June 2011

Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2011

Not just telcos playing Internet services either…

June 2011

www.disruptive-analysis.com

disruptivewireless.blogspot.com

@disruptivedean

dean.bubley@disruptive-analysis.com

+44 (0) 7941 100016

Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2011June 2011

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