ending hunger: can we achieve humanity’s elusive goal by 2050?

Ending Hunger: Can we achieve

humanity’s elusive goal by 2050?

Bram Govaerts Latin America Sustainable Intensification Strategy Leader

Centro Internacional de Mejoramiento de Maíz y Trigo (CIMMYT)

The Oxford Farming Conference

Oxford University, 6/7 January 2016

Yes, but we need more with less

More food with less

resources

More productivity and less

environmental impact

More income and

less poverty

“THE NEW CONSUMER”

MARKET

A Global Food Company A Global Food Company

Lloyds food system shock scenario

Ug99 (windborn)

FOOD SYSTEM SHOCK SCENARIO

Wheat production losses

Wheat production losses

Pakistan: 10%

India: 11%

Low Monsoon

Drought

FOOD SYSTEM SHOCK SCENARIO

Wheat production losses

Low Monsoon

Australia:

50%

Drought

Pakistan: 10%

India: 11%

FOOD SYSTEM SHOCK SCENARIO

Wheat production losses

Low Monsoon

Australia:

50%

Drought

Pakistan: 10%

India: 11%

FOOD SYSTEM SHOCK SCENARIO

USA: 7%

Flooding

Wheat production losses

Drought

Low Monsoon

Australia:

50%

Flooding

Russia: 10%

Ug99

Ukraine Turkey : 15% Kazakhstan: 15%

USA: 7%

Pakistan: 10%

India: 11%

FOOD SYSTEM SHOCK SCENARIO

Wheat production losses

Drought

Australia:

50%

Flooding

Ug99

Low Monsoon

Russia: 10%

Ukraine Turkey : 15% Kazakhstan: 15%

USA: 7%

Pakistan: 10%

India: 11% +5%

+5%

FOOD SYSTEM SHOCK SCENARIO

Price increases

x4

x5

Stock market losses

Food riots

Humanitarian crisis

Human cost

10% in EU 5% in US

Wheat

Maize

Rice

Soybean

7%

10%

11%

Global production losses

7%

Impacts

How?

By implementing a sustainable intensification strategy

Sound agronomy

and crop science Innovative

agricultural

technologies

Enabling public policies

Crop science to INCREASE

Yield potential Disease resistance

Heat and drought tolerance Nutritional value

Sound agronomy for

Efficient use of

natural resources

Soil and environmental

conservation

Sustainability

Growing

improved crops

without

agronomy is

like running a

sports car on

gravel roads

Innovative agricultural technologies

Smart Mechanization

Postharvest Solutions

Precision Agriculture ICT

There is more technology in a vending machine

than in a planter

18

How can you help?

Train

Specialize

Innovate Thank you!

Let’s make agriculture sexy