is global warming the real deal? what do the oceans say? the future ain’t what it used to be!

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NASA Ambassadors Climate Day. Is Global Warming The Real Deal? What do the Oceans Say? The future ain’t what it used to be! Bill Patzert wpatzert@jpl.nasa.gov 14 June 2012. Aloha Earth Ambassadors! We really a ppreciate y’all!. Not so fast! This is weather, not climate!. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

TRANSCRIPT

NASA Ambassadors Climate Day

Not so fast!This is weather,

not climate!

Is it the real deal?, or Is it the musings of idiot leftist

scientists & Democrats, like me?

Is it happening now? Why? Will it change my world? When? What is the role of the oceans?

Is it the real deal?, or Is it the musings of idiot leftist

scientists & Democrats, like me?

Is it happening now? Why? Will it change my world? When? What is the role of the oceans?

ItIt’’s the Real Deal! s the Real Deal! Global Warming Global Warming

Guaranteed!Guaranteed!

ItIt’’s the Real Deal! s the Real Deal! Global Warming Global Warming

Guaranteed!Guaranteed!

Global Warming, Global Warming, itit’’s the Real s the Real

Deal!Deal!But remember,But remember,natural climatenatural climategives us a wild gives us a wild

ride! ride!

Scratch a bully, find a dummy!

Heartland billboard planned series features Charles Manson, a mass murderer; and

Fidel Castro. Other global warming alarmists who may appear include Osama bin Laden.

Global Warming 101: The greatest sources of greenhouse gases

are fossil fuels burned for power &

transportation!

Rise of C0Rise of C022

Year

EmissionsEmissions

GtC or GtC or billions billions (10(1099) of ) of

metric tons metric tons of carbonof carbon

Annual global emissions of COAnnual global emissions of CO22 (as C) rose during the 20 (as C) rose during the 20thth

century to roughly 6.5 GtC/yr from fossil fuel combustioncentury to roughly 6.5 GtC/yr from fossil fuel combustion and about 1 GtC/yr from deforestation--and are now higher and about 1 GtC/yr from deforestation--and are now higher

The level in 2005 estimated to be:• 7.9 GtC/yr from fossil fuel use• 1.5 GtC/yr from land-use change

Energy Balance Has Inertia (Global Warming Is Slow)

Energy Balance Has Inertia (Global Warming Is Slow)

Atmosphere Atmosphere

Earth Warms

BalanceRestored

ButWarmerWorld

0.012°F/yr.

Short-term (year to year)

like EL Niño/La Niña can

“temporarily trump” climate change!

Where does the heat go?

Where does the heat go?

“How inappropriate to call this planet Earth when it is quite clearly Ocean.”

– Arthur C. Clarke –

Tide Gauge Observations

Average Rate ~ 1.8 mm/year

0.8 mm/year

2.0 mm/year

3.2 mm/year

[Church and White, 2006]

~ 8 inches(20 cm)Rece

nt Sea Level R

ise =

33% Warm

ing/67% Melti

ng

Dude, what happened to the beach and park?

���

���Sea Level at San Francisco, CA

Trend ~ 12 inches/150 years

Years

Re

lati

ve

Se

a L

ev

el, m

m

Years

Malibu’s “sandbagged & seawalled” Broad Beach. The once-wide sand strip, swept away by waves

and rising seas.

Human intervention makes beach erosion worse!

Minimum Arctic Sea Ice in summer, 1979

Minimum Arctic Sea Ice in summer, 2008

Arctic Ice Shrinking and Thinning!Thickness = 3.5m (1980) > 2.0m (2010)

Gangapurna Glacier, Nepal

1957

~ 2-3m thinning/yearCourtesy Doug Burbank, UCSB

Massive retreat of high- & low-

latitude glaciers today

2002

Greenland losing Greenland losing massmass

[Wouters et al., 2008]

362 Gt = 1 mm GMSL

186 Gt/year = 0.5 mm/year sea level rise

Without A Doubt!

Students need to learn critical

thinking. Stick with the facts!

Relax … it’s only the end of the world?

Absolutely Not!

We’ll Adapt to

a

Different Earth …

Mitigation? … Cutback our

Fossil Fuel Addiction!

Green our Economy!

Sustainability! Clean Water

& Air! Healthy Kids!

READ!READ!

Hot, Flat, and Crowded: Hot, Flat, and Crowded: Why We Need a Green Revolution Why We Need a Green Revolution

-- -- and How It Can Renew Americaand How It Can Renew America

- Thomas Friedman -

READ!READ!

Hot, Flat, and Crowded: Hot, Flat, and Crowded: Why We Need a Green Revolution Why We Need a Green Revolution

-- -- and How It Can Renew Americaand How It Can Renew America

- Thomas Friedman -

“If we lose this opportunity, it’s going to be a different world

for your kids and mine.”

“If we lose this opportunity, it’s going to be a different world

for your kids and mine.”

The End?

TO BE CONTINUED!

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