key themes of the seminar 1. foresight’s role in supporting democracy targeted impacts empowering...

Australian Centre for Innovation & International Competitiveness

Professor Ron JohnstonAustralian Centre for Innovation

University of Sydneywww.aciic.org.au

International Foresight AcademyAcademic Seminar

16-19 September 2013ZHAW, Winterthur, Switzerland

Participatory Foresight for Smarter Futures –from Design to Impact

Key Themes of the Seminar

1. Foresight’s Role in Supporting Democracy Targeted Impacts

Empowering citizens to engage in decision making processes

Shape participatory governance systems

2. Foresight and Stakeholder Engagement in Addressing Grand Challenges

Designing and implementing sustainable solutions to major challenges

Scenario Axes of the Seminar

Grand Challenges Addressed

Grand Challenges Not Addressed

Participative Governance

Non-Participative Governance

Scenarios of Possible Futures

Grand Challenges Addressed

Grand Challenges Not Addressed

Participative Governance

Non-Participative Governance

Paternalism

Breakdown

Utopia

Disillusion

Utopia

High levels of social innovation

Transformed Society

Harmony

Foresight – flourishing and widespread

Paternalism

Bureaucratic/technocratic

Expert-based

Authoritarian

Community resistance

Foresight – embedded and instrumental

Disillusion

Communitarian but ineffective

Frustration, conflict

Nostalgia

Competition for resources

Foresight – discredited as ineffective

Breakdown

Crisis

Poverty

Civil unrest

Democratic governments rejected – new barons (Mad Max)

Foresight - irrelevant