managing risk of nuclear knowledge loss

MANAGING RISK OF NUCLEAR KNOWLEDGE LOSSMANAGING RISK OF NUCLEAR KNOWLEDGE LOSS

L. PIRONKOV

TRAINING CENTER, KOZLODUY NPP

L. PIRONKOV

TRAINING CENTER, KOZLODUY NPP

2008 – година на върхови постижения за АЕЦ Козлодуй

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да CONTENT

1. IAEA COORDINATED RESEARCH PROJECT

2. NATIONAL RESEARCH PROJECT

• THE SCOPE AND SPECIFIC RESEARCH OBJECTIVES

• PERFORMED ACTIVITIES AND RESULTS ACHIEVED – YEAR 2008

3. IAEA NATIONAL TECHNICAL CO-OPERATION PROJECT

• MAIN OBJECTIVES AND PLANNED ACTIVITIES

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да IAEA COORDINATED RESEARCH PROJECT

MAIN OBJECTIVETO SUPPORT THE PRESERVATION OF NUCLEAR

KNOWLEDGE IN MEMBER STATES

NATIONAL PROJECTSBULGARIA, CANADA, EU, GERMANY, JORDAN,

PHILIPPINES, PAKISTAN, ROMANIA, RUSSIA

TITLECOMPARATIVE ANALYSIS OF METHODS AND TOOLS

FOR NUCLEAR KNOWLEDGE PRESERVATION

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да NATIONAL RESEARCH PROJECT

TITLE • ANALYSIS OF METHODS AND TOOLS FOR NUCLEAR KNOWLEDGE PRESERVATION IN BULGARIA

PARTICIPANTS •TECHNICAL UNIVERSITY OF SOFIA, COLLEGE OF ENERGY AND ELECTRONICS, KOZLODUY NPP

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OVERALL OBJECTI

SPECIFIC OBJECTIVES

MAIN TASKS

RESULTS ACHIEVE

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THE SCOPE AND OVERALL

OBJECTIVES

• TO DETERMINE THE SCALE OF THE KNOWLEDGE

MANAGEMENT SYSTEM AT KOZLODUY NUCLEAR

POWER PLANT (KNPP)

• TO EVALUATE THE FEASIBILITY OF

IMPLEMENTATION OF QUANTITIVE RISK ANALYSIS

OF NUCLEAR KNOWLEDGE LOSS

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SPECIFIC RESEARCH OBJECTIVES

– PERFORMING A FORMAL RISK ANALYSIS OF

POTENTIAL KNOWLEDGE LOSS FOR SAFETY

CRITICAL POSITIONS/INDIVIDUALS

– PERFORMING A KNOWLEDGE ACQUISITION STUDY,

BASED UPON RISK ANALYSIS OF KNOWLEDGE

LOSS AND APPLYING THE CONCEPT MAP

APPROACH

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1. IDENTIFICATION OF KEY PLANT POSITIONS

2. IDENTIFICATION OF CRITICAL INDIVIDUALS3. KNOWLEDGE MAPPING4. USE OF CAPTURED INFORMATIONMAIN TASKS

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TOTAL RISK FACTOR

PERSONAL

POSITION

ATTRITION

PLANNED DATEPREDICTIVE DATEEDUCATION

EXPERIENCE

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ATTRITION THREAT RISK FACTOR

PLANNED ATTRITION (RETIREMENT, LIMITED TENURE, ETC.) PLANNED FACTOR

PREDICTIVE FACTOR

WEIGHT RATE

CRITERIA

10 - 9 0 0.4 Planned attrition date within current calendar year, take account of personal specifics

8 – 7 0 0.4 Planned attrition date within next calendar year, take account of personal specifics

6 – 5 0 0.4 Planned attrition date within third calendar year, take account of personal specifics

4 – 3 0 0.4 Planned attrition date within forth calendar year, take account of personal specifics

2 - 1 0 0.4 Planned attrition date within (or later than) fifth calendar year, take account of personal specifics

PREDICTIVE ATTRITION (DEPENDING ON AVERAGE TENURE OF THE POSITION) 0 9 - 8 0.4 The difference between current and average tenure within

one year, take account of personal specifics 0 7 - 6 0.4 The difference between current and average tenure within

two years, take account of personal specifics 0 5 – 4 0.4 The difference between current and average tenure within

three years, take account of personal specifics 0 3 - 2 0.4 The difference between current and average tenure within

four years, take account of personal specifics 0 1 0.4 The difference between current and average tenure within

five years, take account of personal specifics

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POSITION THREAT RISK FACTOR

COMPONENT RISK FACTOR

WEIGHT RATE

CRITERIA

8 0.5 At least 15 years total job experience, minimum 10 of them on specific position in KNPP

4 0.5 At least 7 years total job experience, 3 to 7 of them on specific position in KNPP

3 0.5 At least 5 years total job experience, 3 to 5 of them on specific position in KNPP

Job experience

2 0.5 Less than 5 years total job experience, at least 2 of them on specific position in KNPP.

2 0.5 University degree on specific engineering specialty 1 0.5 Technical university degree

Education degree

0 0.5 General technical education

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PERSONAL THREAT RISK FACTOR

RISK FACTOR

WEIGHT RATE

CRITERIA

10 – 9 0.1 Prominent expert with unique knowledge and skills related to plant safety and reliability. Commonly accepted authority. Undocumented knowledge. No ready replacements available.

8 – 7 0.1 Mission critical knowledge and skills. Possess technology and site specific knowledge. Applicable soft skills. Some documentation exists. Limited number of potential successors.

6 – 5 0.1 Important and comprehensive technology and organization knowledge and skills (including soft skills). Documentation exists. Sufficient number of on-site personnel possesses similar characteristics.

4 – 3 0.1 Systematized job position related knowledge and skills. Training programs and training courses exist. In site recruits are available.

2 - 0 0.1 Standard technical knowledge and skills. Recruits are generally available.

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The total risk factor is a sum of components enumerated by modified exponential distribution function. Such approach allows the tuning of the results depending of λ parameter value.

TOTAL RISK FACTOR

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

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SELECTION OF SPECIFIC PERSONS

QUESTIONNAIRE DEVELOPMENT

KNOWLEDGE RETENTION

CONCEPT MAPS

KNOWLEDGE MAPPING

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BASIS OF KNOWLEDGE MANAGEMENT SYSTEM

DEVELOPMENT OF KNOWLED

GE RETENTIO

N PLAN

DEVELOPMENT OR UPGRADE

OF TRAINING COURSES

USE OF CAPTURED INFORMATION

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да IAEA NATIONAL TECHNICAL CO-OPERATION PROJECT

• BUL0009 - MANAGING WORKFORCE FLOW AND RISK OF NUCLEAR KNOWLEDGE LOSS

• TO AVOID LOSS OF SPECIFIC NUCLEAR KNOWLEDGE AND

EXPERTISE ACCUMULATED AFTER YEARS

• TO FACILITATE SMOOTH REDISTRIBUTION OF NUCLEAR WORKFORCE FLOW IN SPECIFIC

COUNTRY CONDITIONS

OBJECTIVES

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да IAEA NATIONAL TECHNICAL CO-OPERATION PROJECT

EVALUATION OF INTERNATIONAL EXPERIENCE AND GOOD PRACTICES IMPROVEMENT OF THE APPLIED RISK ANALYSIS METHODOLOGY

BROAD IMPLEMENTATION OF TESTED ON PILOT STUDY CONCEPT MAP TECHNIQUE

APPROVAL OF STANDARD MODEL OF KNOWLEDGE RETENTION PLAN

PLANNED ACTIVITIES

THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION!

BULATOM CONFERENCE 200927-29 May, Riviera Complex, Varna

managing risk of nuclear knowledge loss

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