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Day 4 - L4 Atmospheric modelling1 Hennie Kelder 1

DRAGON ADVANCED TRAINING COURSE IN ATMOSPHERE REMOTE SENSING

• Modelling the atmosphere

• Basics of the atmosphere• Atmospheric dynamics

Day 4 - L4 Atmospheric modelling1 Hennie Kelder 2

DRAGON ADVANCED TRAINING COURSE IN ATMOSPHERE REMOTE SENSING

Temperature

Troposphere T decreases with z, stratosphere T increases with z due to ozone; stratosphere very stable; stratum= ‘layer’

Day 4 - L4 Atmospheric modelling1 Hennie Kelder 3

DRAGON ADVANCED TRAINING COURSE IN ATMOSPHERE REMOTE SENSING

80km

60

40

20

90S EQ 90N 90S EQ 90N

Temperature (K) in stratosphere in January:a) radiative equilibrium; b) observed.

a) b)

170 210

160 250

140220

220 220

270 280

220 200

Day 4 - L4 Atmospheric modelling1 Hennie Kelder 4

DRAGON ADVANCED TRAINING COURSE IN ATMOSPHERE REMOTE SENSING

Lowermost stratosphere (‘middle world’):isentropes connected with troposphere

tropopause

Day 4 - L4 Atmospheric modelling1 Hennie Kelder 5

DRAGON ADVANCED TRAINING COURSE IN ATMOSPHERE REMOTE SENSING

Tropopause height(pressure) : geographical distribution instantaneouspicture

Potential Vorticity, PV:

PV = (ξθ +f)∂θ/∂p

PV: small in troposphere,large in stratosphere;

Day 4 - L4 Atmospheric modelling1 Hennie Kelder 6

DRAGON ADVANCED TRAINING COURSE IN ATMOSPHERE REMOTE SENSING

Tropopause pressure versus ozone column

Day 4 - L4 Atmospheric modelling1 Hennie Kelder 7

DRAGON ADVANCED TRAINING COURSE IN ATMOSPHERE REMOTE SENSING

Atmospheric dynamics

Large scale circulation

Planetary waves

Brewer-Dobson circulation

Day 4 - L4 Atmospheric modelling1 Hennie Kelder 8

DRAGON ADVANCED TRAINING COURSE IN ATMOSPHERE REMOTE SENSING

Equations

Coordinate system on earth surface

f = 2Ω sinϕ0 , Coriolis forces

Large scale horizontal circulation

∂u/∂t - fv + 1/ρ∂p/∂x = F(x)

∂v/∂t + fu + 1/ρ∂p/∂y = F(y)

Day 4 - L4 Atmospheric modelling1 Hennie Kelder 9

DRAGON ADVANCED TRAINING COURSE IN ATMOSPHERE REMOTE SENSING

Thermal windGeostrophic approximation fv = RT/p ∂p/∂x = RT∂lnp/∂xHydrostatic approximation - g/RT = ∂lnp/∂z∂T/∂z << ∂T/∂x, ∂T/∂y

f∂v/∂z ~ g/T ∂T/∂xf∂u/∂z ~ -g/T ∂T/∂yCoupling between temperature distributionand windstrength and wind direction

T(y), dT/Dy < 0, wind in x-direction∂v/∂z= 0, v1=v2,U2>U1

Day 4 - L4 Atmospheric modelling1 Hennie Kelder 10

DRAGON ADVANCED TRAINING COURSE IN ATMOSPHERE REMOTE SENSING

Coupling between temperature and wind

Zonal wind uf∂u/∂z ~ - g/T∂T/∂yTemperature

Zonal wind

Day 4 - L4 Atmospheric modelling1 Hennie Kelder 11

DRAGON ADVANCED TRAINING COURSE IN ATMOSPHERE REMOTE SENSING

Zonal wind in stratosphere

Day 4 - L4 Atmospheric modelling1 Hennie Kelder 12

DRAGON ADVANCED TRAINING COURSE IN ATMOSPHERE REMOTE SENSING

Day 4 - L4 Atmospheric modelling1 Hennie Kelder 13

DRAGON ADVANCED TRAINING COURSE IN ATMOSPHERE REMOTE SENSING

2002, Splitting up of the Ozone hole

Day 4 - L4 Atmospheric modelling1 Hennie Kelder 14

DRAGON ADVANCED TRAINING COURSE IN ATMOSPHERE REMOTE SENSING

Planetary waves

ECMWF

Z500 5 okt 2004 (ECMWF)

Day 4 - L4 Atmospheric modelling1 Hennie Kelder 15

DRAGON ADVANCED TRAINING COURSE IN ATMOSPHERE REMOTE SENSING

Planetary waves:

- generation in troposphere (orography, convective systems)

- propagating , also in the stratosphere

- propagation only possible if…..

Day 4 - L4 Atmospheric modelling1 Hennie Kelder 16

DRAGON ADVANCED TRAINING COURSE IN ATMOSPHERE REMOTE SENSING

Planetary waves, Equations, energy and momentum conservation(∂/∂t + u0∂/∂x)(∇2 ψ + f0

2/gB∂2ψ/∂z2) + β∂ψ/∂x = 0, ψ = stream function

Plane wave solutionψ = Re⎨ψ0expi(ωt + kx + ly + mz)⎬m2 = gB/ f0

2⎨β/(u0 –c ) - ( k2 + l2 )⎬

Vertical wave propagation if m2 > 0u0 – c = β/( k2 + l2 + m2f0

2/gB) < Uc= β/( k2 + l2)c = 0, orographic generated wavem2 = gB/ f0

2⎨β/u0 - ( k2 + l2 )⎬

Day 4 - L4 Atmospheric modelling1 Hennie Kelder 17

DRAGON ADVANCED TRAINING COURSE IN ATMOSPHERE REMOTE SENSING

Charney-Drazin criterium

Jule Charney, 1917-1981

Vertical propagation of waves only if

0 < [u] < Uc= β/( k2 + l2)

with Uc ~ (wave length)**2

([u] = zonal mean zonal wind)

Only large waves (k=1,2) reach stratosphereIn summer [u]<0 → no waves in stratosphere

‘atmospheric refractive index’

Day 4 - L4 Atmospheric modelling1 Hennie Kelder 18

DRAGON ADVANCED TRAINING COURSE IN ATMOSPHERE REMOTE SENSING

Zonal wind, 10 hPa1 january 2002, waves 1 july 2002, no waves

Waves in stratosphere:Summer versus winter

U > 0 U < 0

Day 4 - L4 Atmospheric modelling1 Hennie Kelder 19

DRAGON ADVANCED TRAINING COURSE IN ATMOSPHERE REMOTE SENSING

Winter (1 january 2002), (U > 0), different altitudes waves

Φ(500 hPa), troposphere Φ(10 hPa), stratosphere

Day 4 - L4 Atmospheric modelling1 Hennie Kelder 20

DRAGON ADVANCED TRAINING COURSE IN ATMOSPHERE REMOTE SENSING

Summer (1 july 2002) (U < 0) , waves in the troposphere only

Φ(500 hPa), troposphere Φ(10 hPa), stratosphere

Day 4 - L4 Atmospheric modelling1 Hennie Kelder 21

DRAGON ADVANCED TRAINING COURSE IN ATMOSPHERE REMOTE SENSING

The stratospheric meridional circulation

Day 4 - L4 Atmospheric modelling1 Hennie Kelder 22

DRAGON ADVANCED TRAINING COURSE IN ATMOSPHERE REMOTE SENSING

Zonal momentum equation (neglecting friction):

Du/Dt –fv + ∂Φ/∂x =0

Φ = geopotential = gz

D/Dt = ∂/∂t + u∂/∂x + v∂/∂y + w∂/∂z

Thermodynamic energy equation:

dT/dt + (κT/H)w = Q

STEP 1: conservation of momentum and energy

Details: e.g., Holton (1992)

Day 4 - L4 Atmospheric modelling1 Hennie Kelder 23

DRAGON ADVANCED TRAINING COURSE IN ATMOSPHERE REMOTE SENSING

x=[x] + x’

Zonal momentum equation

∂[u]/∂t –fv = - ∂[u’v’]/∂y

Energy equation:

∂[T]/∂t+ N2HR-1w= -∂[v’T’]/∂y + [Q]

STEP 2: zonal mean

Day 4 - L4 Atmospheric modelling1 Hennie Kelder 24

DRAGON ADVANCED TRAINING COURSE IN ATMOSPHERE REMOTE SENSING

w*≡[w]+RH-1∂([v’T’]/N2)/∂y, that is

∂[T]/∂t+ N2HR-1w*= [Q]

Define v* z.d.d. ∂v*/∂y+∂w*/∂z=0 (continuity equation.)

Zonal momentum equation:

∂[u]/∂t –fv* = ρ-1 div(Eliassen-Palm (EP) flux)

(v*,w*): Lagrangian (diabatic) circulation

STEP 3: TEM (Transformed Eulerian Mean) :

Day 4 - L4 Atmospheric modelling1 Hennie Kelder 25

DRAGON ADVANCED TRAINING COURSE IN ATMOSPHERE REMOTE SENSING

∂[u]/∂t –fv* = ~div(EP-flux) ~ -∂[u’v’]/∂y-∂[v’T’]/∂z

By wave breaking and dissipation (especially ∂[v’T’]/∂z) ameridional circulation (v*,w*) is generated, also calledBrewer-Dobson circulation

Brewer Dobson

Day 4 - L4 Atmospheric modelling1 Hennie Kelder 26

DRAGON ADVANCED TRAINING COURSE IN ATMOSPHERE REMOTE SENSING

Day 4 - L4 Atmospheric modelling1 Hennie Kelder 27

DRAGON ADVANCED TRAINING COURSE IN ATMOSPHERE REMOTE SENSING

∂[u]/∂t –fv* = div(EP-flux) = -∂ [u’v’]/∂y-∂[v’T’]/∂z

1. Begin : ∂[u]/∂t = 0, v = 0, geostrophic equilibrium

2. Suppose div(EP-flux) < 0, hence ∂[u]/∂t<0;

3. fu decreases , ∂p/∂y “dominates” fu, air moves northwards(= larger y) v* > 0 and (continuity) downwards w* > 0

Planetary waves induce Brewer-Dobson circulation

y∂p/∂yN

fuu

y

Day 4 - L4 Atmospheric modelling1 Hennie Kelder 28

DRAGON ADVANCED TRAINING COURSE IN ATMOSPHERE REMOTE SENSING

BD-circulation strongest in NH winter

w* ≈ 0.16 mm/s (JJA) up to 0.3 mm/s (DJF), 1 km in three months

→ 6 % atmospheric mass/year,

Consequences of BD

-life time of CFC’s-ozone distribution-stratospheric water distribution

Day 4 - L4 Atmospheric modelling1 Hennie Kelder 29

DRAGON ADVANCED TRAINING COURSE IN ATMOSPHERE REMOTE SENSING

Ozone production highest in the tropics

Ozone column largest outside the tropics, where lower ozone production takes place;Causes: BD-circulation and tropopause height

Ozone transport throughBrewer-Dobson circulation

Day 4 - L4 Atmospheric modelling1 Hennie Kelder 30

DRAGON ADVANCED TRAINING COURSE IN ATMOSPHERE REMOTE SENSING

Monthly mean ozone column distribution, 2002

jan mar

may jul

sept nov

Day 4 - L4 Atmospheric modelling1 Hennie Kelder 31

DRAGON ADVANCED TRAINING COURSE IN ATMOSPHERE REMOTE SENSING

Water in the stratosphereannual cycle in strength of BD circulation→ idem in T (tropical tropopause)→ idem in specific humidity tropical tropopause

‘tape recorder’

Day 4 - L4 Atmospheric modelling1 Hennie Kelder 32

DRAGON ADVANCED TRAINING COURSE IN ATMOSPHERE REMOTE SENSING

[v’T’] 100 hPa:large influence on ozone transport during winter

Warm NH winters

Cold NH winters

2002 Antarctic stratospheric warming

Day 4 - L4 Atmospheric modelling1 Hennie Kelder 33

DRAGON ADVANCED TRAINING COURSE IN ATMOSPHERE REMOTE SENSING

TRANSIENT

1960 1980 2000 2020 2040 2060 2080Year

2030

40

50

60

7080

ma

ss f

lux (

10

8 K

g s

−1)

GISS GISSchem

MRIUM49L(a) UM49L(b)

UM64LUM64Lchem

WACCM

Is the BD-circulation increasing ?

Climate model results

Day 4 - L4 Atmospheric modelling1 Hennie Kelder 34

DRAGON ADVANCED TRAINING COURSE IN ATMOSPHERE REMOTE SENSING

Global mean temperature in de stratosphere,1960-2000

Changes in stratosphereDecrease in temperature

Day 4 - L4 Atmospheric modelling1 Hennie Kelder 35

DRAGON ADVANCED TRAINING COURSE IN ATMOSPHERE REMOTE SENSING

Decrease in temperature profile of stratosphere

1974-1994

Day 4 - L4 Atmospheric modelling1 Hennie Kelder 36

DRAGON ADVANCED TRAINING COURSE IN ATMOSPHERE REMOTE SENSING

Decrease in temperature stratosphere 50 – 100 hPa

Day 4 - L4 Atmospheric modelling1 Hennie Kelder 37

DRAGON ADVANCED TRAINING COURSE IN ATMOSPHERE REMOTE SENSING

Decrease in ozone

Day 4 - L4 Atmospheric modelling1 Hennie Kelder 38

DRAGON ADVANCED TRAINING COURSE IN ATMOSPHERE REMOTE SENSING

Increase in water vapour

Day 4 - L4 Atmospheric modelling1 Hennie Kelder 39

DRAGON ADVANCED TRAINING COURSE IN ATMOSPHERE REMOTE SENSING

Summary

Overview of the basics of the atmosphereSome aspects of atmospheric dynamicsTemperature and ozone distributionStratospheric characteristics

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