past present future disaster risk of natural hazards: key drivers of future disaster risk

Past, present and future riskof disasters:

Key drivers of future disaster risk

2016-2020 And Beyond

The Global Disaster Hotspots map for disaster mortality risk.

MARCH 15, 2015: THE SECONDWORLD CONFERENCE ON

DISASTER RISK REDUCTIONCONVENED IN SENDAI, JAPAN

WILL RE-INVIGORATE THEHISTORIC GLOBAL ENDEAVOR

STARTED IN 1990 BY THE UNITEDNATIONS

FACT:THE WORLD CONFERENCECALLED FOR RENEWED ACTION

• Each country isinvited to play amajor role in thepost-conferencecall for a “GlobalTsunami ofAction”

FACT: THE GOAL IS CLEAR ANDSTILL THE SAME:

REDUCTION OF GLOBALVULNERABILITIES AND

ACCELERATION OF DISASTER RISKREDUCTION

THROUGH IMPLEMENTATION OF“THE BEST POLICIES AND BEST

PRACTICES”

A DISASTER is still------ the set of failures that occur whenthe continuums of: 1) people, 2)community (i.e., a set of habitats,livelihoods, and social constructs),and 3) recurring events (e.g., floods,earthquakes, ...,) intersect at a point inspace and time, when and where thepeople and community are not ready.

FACT:NATURAL HAZARDS STILLCAUSE MEGA-DISASTERS

• FLOODS• SEVERE

WINDSTORMS• EARTHQUAKES• DROUGHTS• VOLCANIC

ERUPTIONS• ETC.

FACT:THE PEOPLE CONTINUUM ISGROWING WITH TIME

• 7 + BILLIONdistributedthroughout theworld; many invulnerable,high-risk com-munities

FACT:MANY COMMUNITIES ARE PARA-LYZED BY FOUR WEAKNESSES

• IGNORANCE• APATHY• DISCIPLINARY

BOUNDARIES• LACK OF CAPACITY

INTERSECTION OF THESECONTINUUMS IS INEVITABLE

MOST FUTUREINTERSECTIONS WILL CAUSE

A DISASTER, OR A MEGA-DISASTER, UNLESS - - -

DISASTER RISK REDUCTION IS THE WAY FORWARDDISASTER RISK REDUCTION IS THE WAY FORWARD

200 NATIONS AND 7+

BILLION PEOPLE

200 NATIONS AND 7+

BILLION PEOPLE

NORTHAMERICANORTH

AMERICA

CARIBBEANBASIN

CARIBBEANBASIN

SUB-SAHARAAFRICA

SUB-SAHARAAFRICA

MEDITER-RANEAN

MEDITER-RANEAN

ISLANDNATIONSISLAND

NATIONSASIAASIA

SOUTHAMERICASOUTH

AMERICA

EUROPEEUROPE

FACT: EVERY COMMUNITY CAN REDUCEVULNERABILITIES IN NEW/EXISTING - - -

• GOVERNMENTCENTERS

• DWELLINGS• SCHOOLS• HEALTH CARE

FACILITIES• BUSINESSES• INFRA-STRUCTURE• ETC

LIKE A CHAIN: A COMMUNITY HASWEAK LINKS TO STRENGTHEN

THE GOAL: ADOPTBEST POLICIES AND BEST PRACTICES

INNOVATIVE ACTIONS: CREATE, ADJUST,AND REALIGN PROGRAMS, PARTNERS ANDPEOPLE UNTIL YOU HAVE CREATED THEPARADIGM SHIFTS THAT ARE NEEDED TOMOVE AWAY FROM FAILED POLICIES ANDPRACTICES TOWARDS PROVEN DISASTERRISK REDUCTION ONES

YOURCOMMUNITY

YOURCOMMUNITYDATA BASES

AND INFORMATIONDATA BASESAND INFORMATION

HAZARDS:GROUND SHAKINGGROUND FAILURESURFACE FAULTINGTECTONIC DEFORMATIONTSUNAMI RUN UPAFTERSHOCKS

•FLOODS•SEVERE WINDSTORMS•EARTHQUAKES…ETC

A DISASTER

CAUSESFAILURES IN POLICIES

FAILURES IN PRACTICES

BEST POLICIES ANDPRACTICES

• ADOPTION•IMPLEMENTATION

DISASTER RISKREDUCTION

BEST POLICIES AND PRACTICES FORDISASTER RISK REDUCTION

Anticipatory PreparednessAdoption and Implementation of ModernEngineering Building Codes & Standards

Timely Early Warning and EvacuationTimely Emergency Response (including

Emergency Medical Services)Cost-Effective Recovery/Reconstruction

LIKE AN INFINITE SERIES: A CONTINUUMOF INNOVATION NEVER ENDS

BEST POLICIES AND BESTPRACTICES

WILL IDENTIFY/CLOSEKNOWLEDGE DIVIDES AND GAPS,

ANDIDENTIFY/FIX WEAK LINKS IN THE

PEOPLE/COMMUNITYCONTINUUMS

BEST POLICIES AND BESTPRACTICES WILL

CALL FOR STRATEGICPLANNING AND

INNOVATIVE USE OFTECHNOLOGY

BEST POLICIES AND BESTPRACTICES WILL

CALL FOR STRATEGICPLANNING AND

INNOVATIVE USE OFTECHNOLOGY