presented by: michael jackson chairman shaping tomorrow ... · 1 presented by: michael jackson...

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Presented by:

Michael Jackson Chairman

Shaping Tomorrow

March 2014

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Forecast

Synthesize

Filter

Scan

Evaluate

Act

Strategize

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Economy

Nutrition

Globalization

Energy Environment Security Surprises

Well-being

Networked

World

Asia

Personalization Education

Demographics

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Source: Sheila Moorcroft

Demographics Values and

lifestyles

Energy and

resources

Competitors

and new

approaches World

events

Legislation

New

technologies

Economic

trends

Key

Issues/

question(s)

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Asia – young populations

Ageing western populations

Asian populations ageing too

Talent shortages

Asia talent shift

Migration/Reverse migration

Early retirees start new ventures

Younger generations bring new ethos and expectations

7bn to 9bn people by 2050

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Individualised e-lessons • First on-line national exam in

Indonesia 2015

Augmented reality

Virtual 3D classrooms

Simulation

Gamification

Web 3.0

Learning on the move

Direct foreign language translation

Electronic education networks

Bill Gates: In Five Years The Best Education Will Come From The Web – Tech Crunch Aug 2010 “The idea of young adults having to go to universities in order to get an education is going to go away relatively soon”

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Smart cities and infrastructure

Smart homes

Smart bathrooms and kitchens

Smart clothes

Smart advertisements and vending machines

Virtual stores

Enable personalisation, real-time information for services and marketing anywhere and anytime, in-situ and remotely

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Food shortages

Double food production needed by 2050

Intelligent agriculture e.g. sensors, robots, GM crops, food skyscrapers

Mobile phone control

Water security

Water, water everywhere and not a drop to drink

Freshwater technology

Cloud seeding

Seawater agriculture

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Mobile multiplier – opening up markets, economies and jobs

Global working creates even greater diversity/opportunity

Western companies move to Asia

Asian companies invest in West

Poverty reduction - global growth and environmental threat

Resource supply a strategic issue

Supply chains leaner, greener and more complex

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Global intelligence

Big data

Cloud computing

Markets and supply chains ever more complex and vulnerable

World-sourcing of markets and teams

Crowdsourcing solutions – in government too

Open innovation

Partnerships with customers and suppliers for competitive advantage

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Precise

Panoramic

Predictive

Preventive

Patient centred

Price competitive

Point of care

Personalised

Participatory

Printed

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Traditional fuels

Rising demand (Asia)

Fracking changing the energy balance

More risky, costly oil reserves / exploration

Energy supply concentration

Climate change (CO2)

Terror threats

Wars

Renewables (Low carbon economy)

Solar ready for lift off - economic bounce, distributed power

Wind, Solar, Geothermal, Algae, Biofuels, Hydrogen, Clean coal?

Kinetic energy

Clever transport/cities

Teleconferencing

Energy storage

Carbon sequestration

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Living beyond the planet’s means (1.3 planets)

Climate change business - worth $2 trillion by 2020

Resource efficiency –strategic necessity and market opportunity

Sustainability will be central to business by 2020.

Pollution becoming a health risk, a cross border issue

Green technologies high on national agendas

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Smart everything

Robots, drones & self driving cars

Mobile payments

AR and VR

3D printing

New materials, new capabilities

Brain computer interfaces

Predictive intelligence

Pervasive sensory networks

Hyper local

Super-computing on your phone

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Cyber threats

Brain wiping

Re-programming reality

Invisibility cloaks

Early cyborgs

RFID human implantation

Power of one

New forms of warfare

Eco-terrorism

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Political • Protests and tensions

• Slower growth and debt bubbles

• New measures and models for success?

• Open government, new rules

Environment • Smart technologies enabling

sustainability

• Resource efficiency = competitive necessity

• Pollution – health and economic impacts

• Technology capabilities rising

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Health support

Bio, nano and brain science

Clean energies

Robotics

Security

Games

Education and training

Entrepreneurship

Design

Environment/sustainability

Crime

Personal exercise: think about what careers/industries will likely be lost in your lifetime and avoid them!

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Agricultural worker

Shoe maker

Appliance repairer

Block newspaper printing

Hardware manufacturing

DVD/game/video rental

Shop assistants

Typists

Money market and banking

Recordable media manufacturing

Photofinishing

Personal exercise: think about what careers/ industries will likely be lost in your lifetime and avoid them!

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Trend

assessment

Web analysis

News analysis

Blog analysis

Patent analysis

Paper analysis

Pattern

recognition

Citation analysis

Source analysis

Signal strength

Narrative analysis

Timeline analysis

Systems

analysis

Cross-impact

analysis

Stakeholder

assessments

Delphi surveys

Scenario planning

Futures wheel

Anticipatory

planning

Roadmapping

Investment

planning

Modeling

Gaming

Simulation

Instinct

and logic

Surveys

Interviews

Meetings

Brainstorming

Forums

Horizon scanning

• Insights

• Analysis

Strategic thinking

• Trends

• Analysis

Action planning

• Action plans

• Analysis

Networking

• Networks

• Analysis

• Groups

Quantitative Qualitative

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Collaboration

Emnity

Globalization Polarization Worlds

Apart

Common

ground

Tempestuous

Times

Survival of

the Fittest

Sustainable

Strategy

Source: Adapted from Accenture’s Reappraising the Future – Scenarios for 2012

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Further Information Dr. Michael Jackson, Chairman Shaping Tomorrow www.shapingtomorrow.com The Habit, Blackladies Kiddemore Green Road | Bishops Wood Staffordshire ST19 9BQ | England (H)ome: +44 (0)1902 851918 (O)ffice: +44 (0)1902 851985 (M)obile: +44 (0)7966 155912 (E)mail: mike.jackson@ShapingTomorrow.com (S)kype: shapingtomorrow (T)witter: shapingtomorrow Shaping Tomorrow www.shapingtomorrow.com

Required future skill sets