reference intervals for new methods dr graham jones department of chemical pathology st vincent’s...

Reference Intervals for New Methods

Dr Graham Jones

Department of Chemical Pathology

St Vincent’s Hospital, Sydneywww.sydpath.stvincents.com.au

Reference Intervals for new Methods

Subtitle: “Reference Intervals”

Contents

• Introduction to reference intervals

• Reference intervals for the new method

– Derive de-novo

– Transfer from old method– Literature– Other Laboratories

• Conclusions

Defining Reference Intervals

• Central 95% of results from a reference population– IFCC/NCCLS definition

• Excludes 2.5% above and below interval• For healthy population are “Health-associated

Reference intervals”• Can be any population, but must be defined

– eg, pregnant, premature, hospitalised, treated.

Other forms:

• Other statistical cuttoffs– Troponin: 99th centile of healthy population– Apo (a): 80th centile of total population

• Recommended interval (decision point)– Impaired fasting glucose (6.1 - 6.9 mmol/L)– Target LDL concentration (<2.0 mmol/L)

• Therapeutic Interval– Drugs, INR, APTT, TSH

Current Paradigm

• Based on recommendations from the NCCLS and the IFCC

• Repeated in Product Information from most reagent suppliers

• Encoded in the NATA summary of ISO/IEC guide 17025.– laboratories may perform their own detailed reference

interval studies

or

– may validate reference intervals published elsewhere for their own methods and populations

Generating a new reference interval

• Define and select reference population*

• Define collection conditions and numbers

• Collect samples

• Analyse samples

• Perform statistical evaluation*

• Put into practice

• Tietz Textbook covers standard approach very well (HE Solberg)

Define Reference Population

• Source – eg blood bank, lab volunteers, students

• Numbers• Exclusions• Likely Partitioning

– Age– Sex– Other

• Difficult to get extremes of age and high numbers

Study Imprecision

• Estimates of reference limits has limitations

• Expressed as the confidence interval of the Reference Limits, eg 90% CI of the upper and lower reference limits

• Confidence intervals decrease as the number of people in the study increases.

Large n

Small n

Non-parametric statistics

• Lowest number where error envelope can be calculated is 120

• For n=120– 2.5th centile is 4th lowest result– 90% confidence limit for LRL is lowest sample

and 7th lowest sample• These values often very scattered giving wide

intervals

1 2 Percent: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 0 +--+--+--+--+--+--+--+--+--+--+--+--+--+--+--+--+--+--+--+--+ 1 | . . . .� 2 | . � � � � � � � � � . . . 3 | . .� � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � 4 | >� � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � 5 | >� � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � 6 | .� � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � 7 | . . .� � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � 8 | . . . .� � � � � � � � � � � � � � 9 | . . . .� � � � � � � � 10 | . . . .� � � 11 | . . . .� � � 12 | . . � � . . 13 | . . . .� 14 | . . . .� 15 | . . . .� 16 | � . . . . 17 | . . . . 18 | . . . . 19 | . . . . +--+--+--+--+--+--+--+--+--+--+--+--+--+--+--+--+--+--+--+--+

11

19

27

33

41

49

57

NORIP STUDYFemale ALT (n=1220)

Female Upper Reference Limit: 45.6 (90% CI 42.5 – 49.3, n=1220)Male Upper Reference Limit: 68 (90% CI 63.4 – 73.6, n=1080)

ALT

(U

/L)

Generating Intervals

• Is hard to do well

• Requires time and effort and money

• But any local data may be very useful for validation of other intervals

“Impossible” Intervals

• Some reference intervals are essentially impossible to produce from local studies:– Paediatric intervals– Stages of pregnancy (eg hCG in 5th week)– Stages of menstrual cycle– Nutritional parameters

• Reflects local diet• May normalise deficiency state

Transfer Intervals from previous method

• Implies previous intervals are good– Check source and validity

• Transfer requires good correlation

• Advantage is clinical acceptance

– Note: much the following data related to introduction of a Bayer Centaur for Vitamin B12.

Transferring Intervals

Wide range of results, assayed over several days, excellent correlationAnd linearity. Transfer with no problem

Total Protein

y = 1.0007x - 0.5037

R2 = 0.9957

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140

Modular <P>

AU

2700

Vitamin B12 y = 0.82x + 38

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

0 100 200 300 400 500

Access

Ce

nta

ur

BECKMAN107 (bottom of

normal)

133 (top of deficient)

BAYER181 (top of deficient)

156 (bottom of normal)

126SydPath

95% Confidence LimitsSlope: 0.78 – 0.86Intercept: 28 - 48

Transferring Intervals – more difficult

Correlation Data

• Patient samples

• Focus on results near limits

• Beware effect of extreme values on statistics– Passing and Bablock preferred to linear

regression

• Use correlation data from several days and calibrations

• Review source of previous Intervals

Validation of reference intervals

• NCCLS protocol

• Measure 20 samples appropriate for reference interval on new method

• Exclude outliers

• If 2 or fewer are outside proposed inetrvals– Accept intervals

• If >2 are outside proposed intervals– Measure another 20– If 2 or fewer are outside – accept intervals

• Cannot detect overly wide intervals

Review Previous Method

• Previous method may have significant amounts of data (information)

• For many assays many of the results will be on “normal” patients

• For all assays will allow assessment of previous reference intervals

• Methods:– Inspection– Frequency histograms (all data, some data)– Formal methods (Bhattacharya)

Access126 pmol/L5.8% rate of “low” results

Centaur - predicted180 pmol/L cuttoff16% positive rate

0

100

200

300

400

500

60 120

180

240

300

360

420

480

540

600

660

720

780

840

900

960

1020

Centaur B12 (predicted)

050

100150200250300350

6 66 126

186

246

306

366

426

486

546

606

666

726

786

846

906

966

1026

1086

1146

1206

Access B12 (actual)

Assess effect of possibleAssay change

Data Mining old results

• Bhattacharya, LG. Journal of the Biometric Society. 1967;23:115-135.

• Example data: Frequency Distribution of the forkal length of the Porgy caught by pair-trawl fishery in the East China Sea.

Bhattacharya

• Assumes Gaussian (or Log Gaussian) distributions

• Assumes a significant proportion of requests are on unaffected individuals

0500

10001500200025003000350040004500

0 0.05 0.1 0.15 0.2

patient values

Bhattacharya

Creatinine

Data Mining

• Bhattacharya ignores effects of outliers and samples not part of majority distribution.

• Reference intervals based on majority.

0500

10001500200025003000350040004500

0 0.05 0.1 0.15 0.2

patient values

Bhattacharya

Creatinine (mmol/L)

Literature

• Look for same method

• Equivalent population

• Sources– Peer-reviewed publications– Gray Literature

• Abstracts (eg AACB, AACC, ACB)

– Company literature• Product information (PI)

• Other

Literature sources

• Vital where population reference intervals may be of limited use

• Dietary factors

• Special groups– Eg paediatrics

• Numbers are prohibitive– eg 99th centile for troponins

• Following examples taken from SydPath data for creatinine (Roche) and Vitamin B12 (Centaur)

Combining data

• Local and blood bank (M 101, F 110) M: 62 – 105 umol/L F: 51 – 82 umol/L.• Literature: • South Australia (M 293, F 269) Mazzachi BC et al,

Clin Lab. 2000;46:53-55 M: 62 – 106 umol/L F: 44 – 80 umol/L• Germany (M 127; F125) Junge et al. Clin Chem

Acta. 2004;344:137-148 M: 63 – 103 umol/L F: 48 – 85 umol/L• Values rounded out as follows: M: 60 – 110 mmol/L F: 40 – 90 mmol/L

150 300 450 600 750

Vitamin B12 – ACS:180 Klee 2000 (pmol/L)

180 pmol/L

Literature Sources - distribution

Homocysteine and Methylmalonic acid relative to serum B12 (Centaur)

Homocysteine

MMA

1562 people, age >65. MMA and Homocysteine.B12 measured on Bayer CentaurBin width 50 pmol/L. Red Arrow 200 pmol/L.

- Clarke et al, Am J Clin Nutrit. 2003;77:1241-7.

Dorevich PathologySikaris et al25,201 B12 measurementsACS:180 and Bayer CentaurCentral 95% of results with Normal Hb and MCV: 178 - 741 pmol/L

Vitamin B12 v MCV

• SydPath Data (3 months, 1497 results)

• Beckman-Coulter Access

020406080

100120140160

0 500 1000 1500

Vitamin B12 (Access, pmol/L)

MC

V

126

147

441

294

VB

12, p

mol

/L

588

140 pmol/L

181 pmol/L

156 pmol/L

Product Information

Centaur Vitamin B12

• 6 studies using Centaur or ACS:180

• Product information• 3 x refereed publications• 1 x AACB abstract• 1 x local study (NZ)

• Data combined to make reference interval– Deficient <120 pmol/L– Indeterminate 120 – 180 pmol/L– Replete >180 pmol/L

Manufacturer’s Interval: well-defined population, appropriate exclusionsBut: Outliers?, bi/trimodal distribution?

Product Information…

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 26 28 30 32 34 36 38 40

# o

f R

esu

lts

Recommended Interval: 3 - 25 (2.5th to 97.5th Centile)90% CI of URL: 19 - 39

Other laboratories

• If someone has done the work, and uses the same method, review their work and apply the intervals.

• Need to verify assay bias.

• Collaborative effort between several labs with the same method may be a powerful method of setting reference intervals– Spanish Group– NORIP: http://wip.furst.no/norip/

Combining Laboratories

• 13 Spanish laboratories (all Centaurs)• 11 – 15 samples from each laboratory (tot 150 samples)• Combined data used for Reference Intervals

– Ferre-Masferrer et al. Clin Chem Lab Med 2001;39:166-169

Other Sources: accuracy base

• In order to share method-specific literature need to ensure assay accuracy.

• “Is my Bloggs method for X working the same as everyone else’s Blogg’s method?”

• QAP results– measure QAP samples– look up results for method group

• QC material target values

• Shared samples

Comparison with QAP targets

QAP Endocrine program - free T3

y = 0.9382x + 0.4922

R2 = 0.9944

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14

QAP Centaur Median

Syd

Pat

h R

esu

lts

Method-specific medians (and scatter) available on QAP website

Plea to manufacturers...

• Searching refereed literature by trade names can be difficult– ie Abbott, Elecsys, Immulite, Vitros are terms

that are not often searchable in Medline, pubmed etc

• If companies keep a resource library of information it would be very useful.

• Note “google Scholar” can be useful– http://scholar.google.com

Clinical Input

• Previous slides about Vitamin B12 are taken from a presentation to haematologists at St Vincent’s Hospital

• Actively seeking their input on decision points

• Allows inclusiveness and practical input

Putting it all together

• Different sources will give (slightly) different values.

• Judgement is required to combine data

• Other factors include:– Precision of intervals– Long term precision of assay(s)– Biological variation– Rounding for ease of memory– Partitioning

Implementing

• Recommend temporary footnote

• eg change in method and change intervals, see lab for further details

• Make further details available if needed– source document (NATA)– Handout– Website

Conclusions

• A new method is a good time to review reference intervals

• Uncritical transfer of old intervals is bad practice

• Many sources of information can be used

• Judgement is required for final decision

• Working with other labs may be of great benefit