robotsexoskeletonsandrobots, exoskeletons, and smart homes pt 1.pdf · gartner hype cycle (2016)...

Management, Operations & Technology

Robots Exoskeletons andRobots, Exoskeletons, and Smart Homes

The Coming LTC Delivery Revolution

Isn’t this just i fi ti ?

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science fiction?

Isn’t this just i fi ti ?

Robots, Exoskeletons, and Smart Homes 3

science fiction?

Isn’t this just i fi ti ?

Robots, Exoskeletons, and Smart Homes 4

science fiction?

Isn’t this just i fi ti ?

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science fiction?

“B i d“But our industryis different…”

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BEFORE & AFTER

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BEFORE & AFTER

Robots, Exoskeletons, and Smart Homes 8

BEFORE & AFTER

Robots, Exoskeletons, and Smart Homes 9

BEFORE & AFTER

Robots, Exoskeletons, and Smart Homes 10

BEFORE & AFTER

Robots, Exoskeletons, and Smart Homes 11

BEFORE & AFTER

Robots, Exoskeletons, and Smart Homes 12

BEFORE & AFTER

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BEFORE & AFTER

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BEFORE & AFTERCOMING SOONCOMING SOON

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BEFORE & AFTERCOMING SOONCOMING SOON

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But We Already Have Assistive Technology!

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Nursing & home care is still the #1 most dangerous workplace for non-fatal injuries

*This is despite No Lift policies and wideand wide availability of assistive technology

The 6 most dangerous LTC maneuvers

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Gartner Hype Cycle (2015) – Ignore at your peril…

Peak of Inflated Expectations

IoT PLATFORMCONNECTED HOMES

AFFECTIVE COMPUTINGSMART ROBOTS

Plateau of Productivity

HUMAN AUGMENTATIONBRAIN-COMPUTER INTERFACE

Slope of Enlightenment

Trough of Disillusionment

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Technology Trigger

Gartner Hype Cycle (2016) – Ignore at your peril…

Peak of Inflated ExpectationsCONNECTED

HOMES

IoT PLATFORM

HOMES

AFFECTIVE COMPUTING

SMART ROBOTS

Plateau of ProductivityAFFECTIVE COMPUTING

HUMAN AUGMENTATIONBRAIN-COMPUTER INTERFACE

Slope of Enlightenment

Trough of Disillusionment

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Technology Trigger

Rise of the Care Robots

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Is this real really? Follow the money

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Is this real, really? Follow the money

Is this real really? Follow the money

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Is this real, really? Follow the money

Multi-billion investments by Goldman S hSachs, Google, and IBMIBM

$15B per year$15B per year by 2021

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Robots in LTC: “Robear”

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Human Augmentation: Exoskeletons

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Exoskeletons

Affective Computing

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Smart Homes and the I f ThiInternet of Things

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When is it going to hit the market (mass adoption)?2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026

Peak of Inflated Expectations

CONNECTEDHOMES

SMART ROBOTS

BRAIN-COMPUTER INTERFACE

IoT PLATFORM

AFFECTIVE COMPUTING

HUMAN AUGMENTATION

Plateau of Productivity

Slope of Enlightenment

Trough of Disillusionment

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Technology Trigger

So, what’s this mean for today’s policies? And tomorrow’s?

% f1. 95% of consumers who will need care have rejected LTCi for the past 25 years.

2. Consumers will be more receptive to tech-based care than human-provided care.

3. We need to broaden our thinking about how to support older adults (we’re still d i i t i li i ith ALF b fitadministering policies with no ALF benefit

from 30 years ago).4. This is coming. Either we figure out how to

work with it, or someone else in another i d t ill

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industry will.