russia bus market
Post on 07-Nov-2014
48 Views
Preview:
DESCRIPTION
TRANSCRIPT
Barykovsky lane 4, building 2, office 201
Moscow, 119034
Phone number: +7 495 988 96 06
e-mail: info@indexbox.ru www.indexbox.ru
Demo-Version
Russia: Bus Market
Analysis and Forecast to 2017
March 2013
Marketing Research
Page 2 from 37 IndexBox Marketing © 2012 www.indexbox.ru
Market Research Russia: Bus Market. March 2013 (Demo-version)
Brief Overview
The report on the Russian bus market contains:
Analysis and forecast of market dynamics;
Structure of consumption by region;
Analysis of domestic production, market shares of the main market players;
Analysis of exports and imports;
Analysis of factors, influencing the development of the market;
Assessment and forecast of market development;
Financial and economic profiles of the leading companies in the industry.
Methodology:
Expert interviews with top managers of the largest players on the market;
Analysis of information, received from the main market participants;
An analysis of statistical information:
o Federal Service of State Statistics (Rosstat);
o The Federal Customs Service (FTS);
o The Ministry of Economic Development;
o The Federal Tax Service;
o Industry associations.
The report will allow you to:
1. Identify key indicators of the market, build your own business forecasts, based on
market data;
2. Evaluate the growth potential and threats in the market.
Key figures presented in the report on the Russian bus market:
Volumes of production, exports and imports;
Indicators of market development;
Consumption indicators.
The report contains 227 pages, 92 tables, and 108 figures.
The report contains the consensus market forecast based on the average value of the
forecasts of market participants. As market experts are considered: manufacturers,
importers, wholesale distributors, high-volume consumers, professional associations and
unions, and trade publications. The experts, participating in the survey, are provided with
special conditions on the purchase of the reports.
Page 3 from 37 IndexBox Marketing © 2012 www.indexbox.ru
Market Research Russia: Bus Market. March 2013 (Demo-version)
Why People Choose Us
• We have been professionals in marketing research for over 9 years, and have
completed over 1000 industry studies which are updated on a regular basis.
• We collect data via expert interviews with market participants. Industry experts
verify all secondary information used in the report.
• We have an extensive database of economic information in almost every sector of
the economy. Cross-analysis of related industries enables our clients to get a
complete picture of the market of interest.
• Our own research methodology guarantees the consistently high quality of our work.
• We offer unique and individualized customer service:
o Personal account on the website with a personal manager;
o Monitoring of the status of your order online;
o Pre-sale specialist advice and answers to post-purchase questions.
• We offer special conditions for the actualization of our research reports. If interested,
find out about these conditions from our specialists now!
Page 4 from 37 IndexBox Marketing © 2012 www.indexbox.ru
Market Research Russia: Bus Market. March 2013 (Demo-version)
Research Design
The purpose of the study is to analyze the state of the Russian bus market and build a
forecast of the industry in the medium term.
Geography of the research: Russia
Methodology
1. Analysis of secondary market data:
Secondary data refers to data from the Internet (industry portals, competitors’ sites,
shopping sites, articles and reviews, reference materials), specialized publications, state and
private media companies, marketing agencies, commercial databases, “IndexBox
Marketing” own research.
2. Analysis of Materials from Market Participants (price lists, brochures, etc.):
Data collection from market participants is needed to analyze the specifics of the market
and the parties involved in it, their pricing and assortment policy. Data on market
participants is gathered during the analysis of secondary information, and also by sending
requests for price lists and other presentation materials.
3. Expert Interviews with Market Participants
The analysis of secondary information is completed by expert interviews with
representatives of market participant companies – manufacturers and trading companies.
Our approach to the estimation
The consensus market forecast is the average value of the forecasts of market participants
(experts).
Experts
As market experts are considered: manufacturers, importers, wholesale distributors, high-
volume consumers, professional associations and unions, and trade publications. Expert
opinions are collected during telephone interviews conducted by IndexBox on a regular
basis (the standard is every six months, but can be more often, based on a special request
or under conditions of high volatility in the market). IndexBox has created an extensive
database of experts within key industries. The experts, participating in the survey, are
provided with special conditions on the purchase of the reports.
Page 5 from 37 IndexBox Marketing © 2012 www.indexbox.ru
Market Research Russia: Bus Market. March 2013 (Demo-version)
Accuracy of forecasts
The accuracy of forecasts is verified by experts in the given industry, based on the historical
period (3 years). In accordance with this accuracy, each expert weighs out the forecasts to
create the overall average forecast
Indicators
1. Consumption: Consumption is the main index estimated by our experts and features
the dynamics of consumption in real terms in the short to medium term. Experts give
an estimate of the potential volume of consumption in accordance with their
expectations and production plans (for manufacturers).
2. Internal production: It is based on the projected volume of consumption and production
capacity in any given industry, assessing, of course, and factoring in the dynamics of
domestic production.
3. Imports and Exports: Takes into account the retrospective dynamics of export-import
operations, strengths and weaknesses of the domestic production, changes in
legislation, the macroeconomic situation in the countries of the supplier (beneficiary) of
a product, an assessment of the dynamics of imports and exports.
Page 6 from 37 IndexBox Marketing © 2012 www.indexbox.ru
Market Research Russia: Bus Market. March 2013 (Demo-version)
Table of Contents 1. Executive summary
2. Research design
3. Classification of buses
4. Structure of the bus park
4.1. Volume and dynamics of the bus park
4.2. Structure of the bus park by brands
4.3. Structure of the bus park by age
5. Characteristics of the Russian buses market in 2005 - 2011. Forecast for 2012 -
2017
5.1. Volume and dynamics of the Russian buses market in 2005 - 2011. Forecast for
2012 - 2017
5.2. Structure of the Russian buses market: production, exports, imports,
consumption, structure by classes
6. Characteristics of the domestic production of buses in 2005 - 2011. Forecast for
2012 - 2017
6.1. Volume and dynamics of the production of buses in 2005 - March 2012
6.1.1. Volume and dynamics of the production of extra small class buses in 2005 -
2011
6.1.2. Volume and dynamics of the production of small class buses in 2005 - 2011
6.1.3. Volume and dynamics of the production of average class buses in 2005 -
2011
6.1.4. Volume and dynamics of the production of large class buses in 2005 - 2011
6.1.5. Volume and dynamics of the production of extra large class buses in 2005 -
2011
6.1.6. Volume and dynamics of the production of shift buses in 2005 - 2011
6.2. Structure of the production of buses by Federal Districts of the Russian Federation
6.3. Manufacturing capacities and their level of loading
6.4. Main manufacturers of buses and their corresponding market shares
6.5. Characteristics of the manufacturers of buses
6.5.1. LLC “Automotive Factory “GAZ” (“Gorkovskiy Automotive Factory”) (Nizhniy
Novgorod)
6.5.2. LLC “Pavlovskiy Bus Factory” (Pavlovo, Nizhegorod Region)
6.5.3. LLC “Likinskiy Bus Factory” (Likino-Dulevo, Moscow Region)
6.5.4. LLC “Kurganskiy Bus Factory” (Kurgan)
6.5.5. OJSC “Automotive Factory Ural” (Miass)
6.5.6. OJSC “Golitsynskiy Bus Factory” (Golytsino, Odintsovskiy District, Moscow
Region)
6.5.7. OJSC “Ulyanovskiy Automotive Factory” (Ulyanovsk)
6.5.8. OJSC “Neftekhamskiy Automotive Factory” (Neftekhamsk, Republic of
Bashkortostan)
6.5.9. LLC PFK “Luidor” (Nizhniy Novgorod)
Page 7 from 37 IndexBox Marketing © 2012 www.indexbox.ru
Market Research Russia: Bus Market. March 2013 (Demo-version)
6.5.10. Group of companies “Irito” (Moscow Region)
6.5.11. LLC VAP “Volzhanin”
6.5.12. Other manufacturers
6.6. Investment projects in the industry
7. Characteristics of the prices of buses
7.1. Dynamics of the manufacturers’ prices of buses
8. Characteristics of the imports of buses to the Russian market
8.1. Volume and dynamics of the imports of buses in 2005 - 2011
8.2. Characteristics of the imports of new buses
8.2.1. Volume and dynamics of the imports of new buses
8.2.2. Manufacturing countries, importing new buses to the territory of the
Russian Federation
8.2.3. Foreign companies, manufacturers of the new buses, imported to the
Russian Federation
8.2.4. Russian companies, recipients of the imports of new buses
8.2.5. Structure of the imports of new buses by regions of the Russian Federation
8.3. Characteristics of the imports of used buses
8.3.1. Volume and dynamics of the imports of used buses
8.3.2. Manufacturing countries, importing used buses to the territory of the
Russian Federation
8.3.3. Foreign companies, manufacturers of the imported used buses, imported to
the Russian Federation
8.3.4. Russian companies, recipients of the imports of used buses
8.3.5. Structure of the imports of used buses by regions of the Russian Federation
9. Characteristics of the Russian exports of buses
9.1. Volume and dynamics of the Russian exports of buses in 2005 - 2010
9.2. Characteristics of the Russian exports of new buses
9.2.1. Volume and dynamics of the Russian exports of new buses
9.2.2. Recipient countries of the Russian exports of new buses
9.2.3. Manufacturing companies, supplying new buses for exports
9.2.4. Sending regions of the Russian exports of new buses
9.3. Characteristics of the Russian exports of used buses
9.3.1. Volume and dynamics of the Russian exports of used buses
9.3.2. Recipient countries of the Russian exports of used buses
9.3.3. Manufacturing companies, supplying used buses for exports
10. Characteristics of the sales channels
11. Factors, influencing the development of the buses market
11.1. General condition of the industrial production
11.2. State of the passenger automible transportation
11.3. State of the auto leasing market
11.4. State of the auto crediting market
12. Characteristics of the consumption of buses
12.1. Volume and dynamics of the consumption of buses in 2005 - 2011. Forecast for
2012 - 2017
Page 8 from 37 IndexBox Marketing © 2012 www.indexbox.ru
Market Research Russia: Bus Market. March 2013 (Demo-version)
12.2. Volume and structure of the consumption of buses by Federal Districts of the
Russian Federation in 2005 - 2011. Forecast for 2012 - 2017
12.3. Structure of the consumption of buses by classes in 2008 - 2011. Forecast for
2012 - 2017
12.4. Balance between production and consumption of buses in 2008 - 2011 Forecast
until 2017
13. Forecast for the development of the buses market in 2012 - 2017
13.1. Evaluation of the development of the buses market after Russia’s accession to
the WTO
Appendix 1. Profiles of the leading manufacturers
LLC “GAZ”
LLC “LIAZ”
LLC “KAVZ”
LLC “PAZ”
Page 9 from 37 IndexBox Marketing © 2012 www.indexbox.ru
Market Research Russia: Bus Market. March 2013 (Demo-version)
List of Tables
Table 1. Volume and dynamics of production, imports, exports, and consumption of buses in
2005 - 2017F
Table 2. Production of buses in January - March 2010, 2011 and 2012, in units
Table 3. Production of buses by classes in 2005 - 2011, in units
Table 4. Structure of the production of buses by classes in 2005 - 2011, in %
Table 5. Structure of the production of buses by Federal Districts of the Russian Federation
in 2008 - 2011
Table 6. Usage of the annual average capacities for the production of buses in 2005 - 2009
by regions of the Russian Federation, in %
Table 7. Commissioning of manufacturing capacities for the production of buses in the
Russian Federation in 2002 - 2009, in thousands of units
Table 8. Volume of production of buses by Russian manufacturers in 2008 - 2011, in units
Table 9. Characteristics of investment projects
Table 10. Average manufacturers’ prices of buses in the Russian Federation in January 2008
- May 2011
Table 11. Imports of buses in 2005 - 2011
Table 12. Volume and dynamics of the imports of new buses in 2010, in units
Table 13. Volume and dynamics of the imports of new buses in 2010, in thousands of USD.
Table 14. Volume and dynamics of the imports of new buses in the Russian Federation in
2011, in units
Table 15. Volume and dynamics of the imports of new buses in 2011, in thousands of USD.
Table 16. Volume of the imports of new buses by manufacturing countries in 2010, in units
Table 17. Volume of the imports of new buses by manufacturing countries in 2010, in
thousands of USD.
Table 18. Volume of the imports of new buses by manufacturing countries in 2011, in units
Table 19. Volume of the imports of new buses by manufacturing countries in 2011, in
thousands of USD.
Table 20. Volume of the imports of new buses by manufacturing companies in 2010, in units
Table 21. Volume of the imports of new buses by manufacturing companies in 2010, in
thousands of USD
Table 22. Volume of the imports of new buses by manufacturing companies in 2011, in units
Table 23. Volume of the imports of new buses by manufacturing companies in 2010, in
thousands of USD
Table 24. Volume of the imports of new buses in the Russian Federation by importing
companies in 2010, in units
Table 25. Volume of the imports of new buses in the Russian Federation by importing
companies in 2011, in units
Table 26. Volume of the imports of new buses in the Russian Federation by importing
companies in 2011, in thousands of USD
Table 27. Volume of the imports of new buses by recipient regions of the Russian Federation
in 2010, in units
Table 28. Volume of the imports of new buses by recipient regions of the Russian Federation
Page 10 from 37 IndexBox Marketing © 2012 www.indexbox.ru
Market Research Russia: Bus Market. March 2013 (Demo-version)
in 2010, in thousands of USD
Table 29. Volume of the imports of new buses by recipient regions of the Russian Federation
in 2010, in units
Table 30. Volume of the imports of new buses by recipient regions of the Russian Federation
in 2010, in thousands of USD
Table 31. Volume and dynamics of the imports of used buses in 2010, in units
Table 32. Volume and dynamics of the imports of used buses in 2010, in thousands of USD
Table 33. Volume and dynamics of the imports of used buses in 2011, in units
Table 34. Volume and dynamics of the imports of used buses in 2011, in thousands of USD
Table 35. Volume of the imports of used buses by manufacturing countries in 2010, in units
Table 36. Volume of the imports of used buses by manufacturing countries in 2010, in
thousands of USD
Table 37. Volume of the imports of used buses by manufacturing countries in 2011, in units
Table 38. Volume of the imports of used buses by manufacturing countries in 2011, in
thousands of USD
Table 39. Volume of the imports of used buses by manufacturing companies in 2010, in
units
Table 40. Volume of the imports of used buses by manufacturing companies in 2010, in
thousands of USD
Table 41. Volume of the imports of used buses by manufacturing companies in 2011, in
units
Table 42. Volume of the imports of used buses by manufacturing companies in 2011, in
thousands of USD
Table 43. Volume of the imports of used buses in the Russian Federation by importing
companies in 2010, in units
Table 44. Volume of the imports of used buses in the Russian Federation by importing
companies in 2011, in units
Table 45. Volume of the imports of used buses in the Russian Federation by importing
companies in 2011, in thousands of USD
Table 46. Volume of the imports of used buses by recipient regions of the Russian
Federation in 2010, in units
Table 48. Volume of the imports of used buses by recipient regions of the Russian
Federation in 2011, in units
Table 50. Volume and dynamics of the exports of new buses in 2010, in units and in %
Table 51. Volume and dynamics of the exports of new buses in 2010, in thousands of USD
Table 52. Volume and dynamics of the exports of new buses in 20111, in units
Table 53. Volume and dynamics of the exports of new buses in 2011, in thousands of USD
Table 54. Volume of the Russian exports of new buses by recipient countries in 2010, in
units
Table 55. Volume of the Russian exports of new buses by recipient countries in 2010, in
thousands of USD
Table 56. Volume of the Russian exports of new buses by recipient countries in 2011, in
units
Table 57. Volume of the Russian exports of new buses by recipient countries in 2011, in
Page 11 from 37 IndexBox Marketing © 2012 www.indexbox.ru
Market Research Russia: Bus Market. March 2013 (Demo-version)
thousands of USD
Table 58. Volume of the Russian exports of new buses by manufacturing companies in
2010, in units
Table 59. Volume of the Russian exports of new buses by manufacturing companies in
2010, in thousands of USD
Table 60. Volume of the Russian exports of new buses by manufacturing companies in
2011, in units
Table 61. Volume of the Russian exports of new buses by manufacturing companies in
2011, in thousands of USD
Table 62. Volume of the Russian exports of new buses by sending regions in 2010, in units
Table 63. Volume of the Russian exports of new buses by sending regions in 2010, in
thousands of USD
Table 64. Volume of the Russian exports of new buses by sending regions in 2011, in units
and in %
Table 65. Volume of the Russian exports of new buses by sending regions in 2011, in
thousands of USD
Table 66. Volume and dynamics of the Russian exports of used buses in 2010, in units
Table 67. Volume and dynamics of the Russian exports of used buses in 2010, in thousands
of USD
Table 68. Volume and dynamics of the Russian exports of used buses in 2011, in units
Table 69. Volume and dynamics of the Russian exports of used buses in 2011, in thousands
of USD
Table 70. Volume of the Russian exports of used buses by recipient countries in 2010, in
units
Table 71. Volume of the Russian exports of used buses by recipient countries in 2010, in
thousands of USD
Table 72. Volume of the Russian exports of used buses by recipient countries in 2011, in
units
Table 73. Volume of the Russian exports of used buses by recipient countries in 2011, in
thousands of USD
Table 74. Volume of the Russian exports of used buses by manufacturing companies in
2010, in units
Table 75. Volume of the Russian exports of used buses by manufacturing companies in
2010, in thousands of USD
Table 76. Volume of the Russian exports of used buses by manufacturing companies in
2011, in units
Table 77. Volume of the Russian exports of used buses by manufacturing companies in
2011, in thousands of USD
Table 78. Volume of the sales of new imported buses in 2010 and 2011
Table 79. Index of industrial manufacturing in 2000 - 2010, in %, to the previous year
Table 80. Number of public usage buses in 2005 - 2008, in units
Table 81. Supply of public usage buses to the population per 100 000 people, in units
Table 82. Passenger traffic in public buses in 2005 - 2008, in millions of passenger-
kilometers
Page 12 from 37 IndexBox Marketing © 2012 www.indexbox.ru
Market Research Russia: Bus Market. March 2013 (Demo-version)
Table 83. Results of the program Minregion in 2009 - 2010
Table 84. Value of the new signed contracts for buses leasing in 2005 - 2010, in millions of
RUR
Table 85. Imports and exports of new buses by Federal Districts of the Russian Federation
in 2009 , in units
Table 86. Supply of buses in 2010 - 2011
Table 87. Consumption of buses in Russia by Federal Districts of the Russian Federation in
2008 - 2017F, in units
Table 88. Structure of the consumption of buses by classes in 2008 - 2017F, in %
Table 89. Structure of the consumption of buses by classes in 2008 - 2017F, in units
Table 90. Balance between production and consumption of buses in 2008 - 2017F, in units
Table 91. Forecast for the development of the buses market in 2010 - 2017F, in units
Table 92. Size of the import custom duties on buses on 1 January 2012 and forecast for its
change after Russia’s accession to the WTO
Page 13 from 37 IndexBox Marketing © 2012 www.indexbox.ru
Market Research Russia: Bus Market. March 2013 (Demo-version)
List of Figures
Fig. 1. Structure of the bus park by classes in 2011, in %
Fig. 2. Structure of the bus park by brands in 2011, in %
Fig. 3. Structure of the bus park by age in 2011, in %
Fig. 4. Volume and dynamics of the Russian buses market in 2005 - 2017F, in units and in
%
Fig. 5. Structure of the Russian buses market (production, exports, imports, consumption)
in 2008-2017F, in units
Fig. 6. Structure of the buses market by classes in 2008 - 2011, in %
Fig. 7. Structure of the buses market by age in 2000 - 2011, in %
Fig. 8. Structure of the buses market by price segment in 2000 - 2011, in %
Fig. 9. Structure of the buses market by origin in 2008 - 2011, in %
Fig. 10. Production of buses in 2005 - 2011, forecast until 2017, in units and in %
Fig. 11. Structure of the production of buses in 2005 - 2011 by classes, in %
Fig. 12. Volume and dynamics of production of extra small class buses in 2005 - 2011, in
units and in %
Fig. 13. Shares of the manufacturers in the extra small class in 2011, in %
Fig. 14. Volume and dynamics of production of small class buses in 2005 - 2011, in units
and in %
Fig. 15. Shares of the manufacturers in the small class buses in 2011, in %
Fig. 16. Volume and dynamics of production of average class buses in 2005 - 2011, in units
and in %
Fig. 17. Shares of the manufacturers in the average class buses in 2010, in %
Fig. 18. Volume and dynamics of production of large class buses in 2005 - 2011, in units
and in %
Fig. 19. Volume and dynamics of production of extra large class buses in 2005 - 2011, in
units and in %
Fig. 20. Shares of the manufacturers in the large and extra large class buses in 2011, in %
Fig. 21. Volume and dynamics of production of shift buses in 2005 - 2010, in units and in %
Fig. 22. Shares of the manufacturers in the shift class buses in 2011, in %
Fig. 23. Structure of the production of buses by Federal Districts of the Russian Federation
in 2011, in %
Fig. 24. Structure of the production of buses by Federal Districts of the Russian Federation
in 2008 - 2011
Fig. 25. Annual average capacity of the manufacturing companies for the production of
buses in 2005 -2009, in units and in %
Fig. 26. Level of usage of the annual average manufacturing capacities for the production of
buses in 2005 - 2009, in %
Fig. 27. Shares of the Russian manufacturers in the volume of production of buses in 2009 -
2010, in %
Fig. 28. Structure of the production of buses in 2011, in %
Fig. 29. Indexes of the average manufacturers’ prices of buses in the Russian Federation in
January - December 2010
Page 14 from 37 IndexBox Marketing © 2012 www.indexbox.ru
Market Research Russia: Bus Market. March 2013 (Demo-version)
Fig. 30. Indexes of the average manufacturers’ prices of buses in the Russian Federation in
January-May 2011
Fig. 31. Dynamics of the average manufacturers’ prices of buses in the Russian Federation
in January 2010 - May 2011, deviation in %, to the analogical period of the previous year
Fig. 32. Comparison of the average manufacturers’ prices of buses by Federal Districts of
the Russian Federation, в May 2011
Fig. 33. Volume and dynamics of the imports of buses in 2005 - 2011, in units and in %
Fig. 34. Structure of the imports of buses in 2005 - 2011, in units
Fig. 35. Structure of the imports of buses in 2005 - 2011, in %
Fig. 36. Volume and dynamics of the imports of new buses in 2010, in units and in %
Fig. 37. Volume and dynamics of the imports of new buses in 2010, in thousands of USD
Fig. 38. Volume and dynamics of the imports of new buses in 2011, in units and in %
Fig. 39. Volume and dynamics of the imports of new buses in 2011, in thousands of USD
Fig. 40. Structure of the imports of new buses in the Russian Federation by manufacturing
countries in 2010, in units
Fig. 41. Structure of the imports of new buses in the Russian Federation by manufacturing
countries in 2010, in thousands of USD
Fig. 42. Structure of the imports of new buses in the Russian Federation by manufacturing
countries in 2011, in units
Fig. 43. Structure of the imports of new buses in the Russian Federation by manufacturing
countries in 2011, in thousands of USD.
Fig. 44. Structure of the imports of new buses in the Russian Federation by manufacturing
companies in 2010, in units
Fig. 45. Structure of the imports of new buses in the Russian Federation by manufacturing
companies in 2010, in thousands of USD.
Fig. 46. Structure of the imports of new buses in the Russian Federation by manufacturing
companies in 2011, in units
Fig. 47. Structure of the imports of new buses in the Russian Federation by manufacturing
companies in 2011, in thousands of USD.
Fig. 48. Structure of the imports of new buses in the Russian Federation by importing
companies in 2010, in units and in %
Fig. 49. Structure of the imports of new buses in the Russian Federation by importing
companies in 2010, in thousands of USD
Fig. 50. Structure of the imports of new buses by regions of the Russian Federation in 2010,
in %
Fig. 51. Structure of the imports of new buses by regions of the Russian Federation in 2010,
in %
Fig. 52. Structure of the imports of new buses by regions of the Russian Federation in 2011,
in %
Fig. 53. Structure of the imports of new buses by regions of the Russian Federation in 2011,
in thousands of USD and in %
Fig. 54. Volume and dynamics of the imports of used buses in 2010, in units and in %
Fig. 55. Volume and dynamics of the imports of used buses in 2010, in thousands of USD
Fig. 56. Volume and dynamics of the imports of used buses in 2010, in units and in %
Page 15 from 37 IndexBox Marketing © 2012 www.indexbox.ru
Market Research Russia: Bus Market. March 2013 (Demo-version)
Fig. 57. Volume and dynamics of the imports of used buses in 2010, in thousands of USD
Fig. 58. Structure of the imports of used buses in the Russian Federation by manufacturing
countries in 2010, in units and in %
Fig. 59. Structure of the imports of used buses in the Russian Federation by manufacturing
countries in 2010, in thousands of USD
Fig. 60. Structure of the imports of used buses in the Russian Federation by manufacturing
countries in 2011, in units and in %
Fig. 61. Structure of the imports of used buses in the Russian Federation by manufacturing
countries in 2010, in thousands of USD
Fig. 62. Structure of the imports of used buses in the Russian Federation by manufacturing
companies in 2010, in units and in %
Fig. 63. Structure of the imports of used buses in the Russian Federation by manufacturing
companies in 2010, in thousands of USD
Fig. 64. Structure of the imports of used buses in the Russian Federation by manufacturing
companies in 2011, in units and in %
Fig. 65. Structure of the imports of used buses in the Russian Federation by manufacturing
companies in 2010, in thousands of USD
Fig. 66. Structure of the imports of new buses in the Russian Federation by importing
companies in 2010, in units and in %
Fig. 67. Structure of the imports of new buses in the Russian Federation by importing
companies in 2011, in units and in %
Fig. 68. Structure of the imports of new buses in the Russian Federation by importing
companies in 2011, in thousands of USD
Fig. 69. Structure of the imports of used buses by recipient regions of the Russian
Federation in 2010, in units and in %
Fig. 70. Structure of the imports of used buses by recipient regions of the Russian
Federation in 2011, in thousands of USD
Fig. 71. Structure of the imports of used buses by recipient regions of the Russian
Federation in 2011, in units and in %
Fig. 72. Structure of the imports of used buses by recipient regions of the Russian
Federation in 2011, in thousands of USD
Fig. 73. Volume and dynamics of the exports of buses in 2005 - 2011, in units and in %
Fig. 74. Dynamics of the Russian exports of new buses in 2010, in units and in %
Fig. 75. Dynamics of the Russian exports of new buses in 2010, in thousands of USD and in
%
Fig. 76. Dynamics of the Russian exports of new buses in 2011, in units and in %
Fig. 77. Dynamics of the Russian exports of new buses in 2011, in thousands of USD and in
%
Fig. 78. Structure of the Russian exports of new buses by recipient countries in 2010, in
units and in %
Fig. 79. Structure of the Russian exports of new buses by recipient countries in 2010, in
thousands of USD
Fig. 80. Structure of the Russian exports of new buses by recipient countries in 2011, in
units and in %
Page 16 from 37 IndexBox Marketing © 2012 www.indexbox.ru
Market Research Russia: Bus Market. March 2013 (Demo-version)
Fig. 81. Structure of the Russian exports of new buses by recipient countries in 2011, in
thousands of USD
Fig. 82. Structure of the Russian exports of new buses by manufacturing companies in
2010, in units and in %
Fig. 83. Structure of the Russian exports of new buses by manufacturing companies in
2010, in thousands of USD
Fig. 84. Structure of the Russian exports of new buses by manufacturing companies in
2011, in units and in %
Fig. 85. Structure of the Russian exports of new buses by manufacturing companies in
2011, in thousands of USD
Fig. 86. Structure of the Russian exports of new buses by sending regions in 2010, in units
and in %
Fig. 87. Structure of the Russian exports of new buses by sending regions in 2010, in
thousands of USD
Fig. 88. Structure of the Russian exports of new buses by sending regions in 2011, in units
and in %
Fig. 89. Structure of the Russian exports of new buses by sending regions in 2011, in
thousands of USD
Fig. 90. Dynamics of the Russian exports of used buses in 2010, in units and in %
Fig. 91. Dynamics of the Russian exports of used buses in 2010, in thousands of USD
Fig. 92. Dynamics of the Russian exports of used buses in 2011, in units and in %
Fig. 93. Dynamics of the Russian exports of used buses in 2010, in thousands of USD
Fig. 94. Structure of the Russian exports of used buses by recipient countries in 2010, in
units and in %
Fig. 95. Structure of the Russian exports of used buses by recipient countries in 2010, in
thousands of USD
Fig. 96. Structure of the Russian exports of used buses by recipient countries in 2011, in
units and in %
Fig. 97. Structure of the Russian exports of used buses by recipient countries in 2011, in
thousands of USD
Fig. 98. Structure of the Russian exports of used buses by manufacturing companies in
2010, in units and in %
Fig. 99. Structure of the Russian exports of used buses by manufacturing companies in
2010, in thousands of USD
Fig. 100. Structure of the Russian exports of used buses by manufacturing companies in
2011, in units and in %
Fig. 101. Structure of the Russian exports of used buses by manufacturing companies in
2011, in thousands of USD
Fig. 102. Revenues from passenger transportation by automobile transport, in billions of
RUR
Fig. 103. Value of new signed contracts for leasing automobiles in 2003 - 2010, in billions of
RUR
Fig. 104. Value of the new signed contracts for leasing buses in 2005 - 2010, in millions of
RUR
Page 17 from 37 IndexBox Marketing © 2012 www.indexbox.ru
Market Research Russia: Bus Market. March 2013 (Demo-version)
Fig. 105. Volume and dynamics of the consumption of buses in 2005-2017F, in units and in
%
Fig. 106. Consumption of buses by Federal Districts of the Russian Federation in 2008 -
2017F, in %
Fig. 107. Structure of the consumption of buses by classes in 2008 - 2017F, in %
Fig. 108. Balance between production and consumption of buses in 2008 - 2017F, in units
Page 18 from 37 IndexBox Marketing © 2012 www.indexbox.ru
Market Research Russia: Bus Market. March 2013 (Demo-version)
Executive Summary*
…
The volume of supply on the Russian bus market in 2012 was almost … tons, which is …%
higher than the the same figure for 2011. It should be noted that the volume of imported
products on the bus market was …%.
The volume of production of bus in 2012 was … tons, which is …% higher than the volume
of production in 2011.
The largest share (…%) of all bus manufactured in the Russian Federation in 2012 belongs
to the … Federal District.
In 2012, the import volume of bus in Russia amounted to … tons in physical terms and to …
thousand USD in value terms.
In 2012, the volume of the Russian exports of bus was … tons, which was equal to …
thousand USD in value terms.
…
*The information provided from this point on in this demo version is for illustrative purposes
only, so that you can get a general overview of how our reports look like. If you need more
information, you can contact us at: info@indexbox.ru.
Key figures and
conclusions
about the market
Page 19 from 37 IndexBox Marketing © 2012 www.indexbox.ru
Market Research Russia: Bus Market. March 2013 (Demo-version)
6. Characteristics of the Russian bus
market
...
6.1. Volume and dynamics of the Russian bus market in 2007
- 2012. Forecast for 2012 – 2017
The volume of supply on the Russian bus market in 2012 was almost … tons, which is …%
higher than the the same figure for 2011. It should be noted that the volume of imported
products on the bus market was …% of the total market.
Source: Data (“Rosstat”, “FTS”), Analysis (“IndexBox”)
Fig. 1. Volume of supply on the bus market in 2008 - 2012 and forecast for
2013 -2017, in thousands of tons (base scenario)
Page 20 from 37 IndexBox Marketing © 2012 www.indexbox.ru
Market Research Russia: Bus Market. March 2013 (Demo-version)
6.2. Structure of the bus market in Russia: production, exports,
imports, consumption
The volume of imports of bus in 2012 was about … tons, which was …% of the total market
volume. A more detailed analysis of the imports and exports is presented below.
Table 6. Volume and dynamics of the bus market in 2008 - 2012 and forecast
until 2017, in thousands of tons
2009 2010 2011F 2012 2013F 2014F 2015F 2016F 2017F
Volume of
production In units
… … … … … … … … …
In %, to the
previous year
…% …% …% …% …% …% …% …%
Volume of exports
In units … … … … … … … … …
In %, to the
previous
year
…% …% …% …% …% …% …% …%
Volume of imports
In units … … … … … … … … …
In %, to
the previous
year
…% …% …% …% …% …% …% …%
Volume of total supply
In units … … … … … … … … …
In %, to
the previous
year
…% …% …% …% …% …% …% …%
Source: Data (“Rosstat”, “FTS”, Expert opinion), Analysis (“IndexBox”)
Page 21 from 37 IndexBox Marketing © 2012 www.indexbox.ru
Market Research Russia: Bus Market. March 2013 (Demo-version)
Source: Data (“Rosstat”, “FTS”, Expert opinion), Analysis (“IndexBox”)
Fig. 6. Volume and dynamics of the bus market in 2008 - 2012 and forecast
until 2017, in thousands of tons
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 2015F 2016F 2017F
Production Consumption
Exports Imports
Page 22 from 37 IndexBox Marketing © 2012 www.indexbox.ru
Market Research Russia: Bus Market. March 2013 (Demo-version)
7. Characteristics of the domestic
production of bus in Russia in 2007 -
2012
…
7.1 Volume and dynamics of bus production in 2007 - 2012
In 2011, the volume of production was higher than for the analogical period of the previous
year.
Source: Data (“Rosstat”), Analysis (“IndexBox”)
Fig. 8 Bus production in 2007 - 2011, in thousands of tons
Characteristics of domestic production
- Volume and dynamics by type of
product
- Production capacities
- Structure of production
- Main producers and their market shares
Page 23 from 37 IndexBox Marketing © 2012 www.indexbox.ru
Market Research Russia: Bus Market. March 2013 (Demo-version)
Source: Data (“Rosstat”), Analysis (“IndexBox”)
Fig. 9 Bus production in 2011 - 2012, in thousands of tons and in %, to the
previous year
Page 24 from 37 IndexBox Marketing © 2012 www.indexbox.ru
Market Research Russia: Bus Market. March 2013 (Demo-version)
7.6 The main manufacturers of bus and their corresponding
market shares
The main manufacturers of bus in Russia in 2011 were Company A, Company B, and
Company C. They produced …, …, and … tons, respectively. They were followed by Company
D (… tons, equal to …% of the total production) and Company E (… tons - …%).
Table 16. Characteristics of the largest manufacturers of pig iron in Russia in 2010
- 2011, in thousands of tons
Manufacturer Region
Production
of bus, in
tons
Market
share
… … … …
… … … …
… … … …
… … … …
… … … …
… … … …
OTHERS … …
TOTAL … …
Source: Data (Company data), Analysis (“IndexBox”)
…
Page 25 from 37 IndexBox Marketing © 2012 www.indexbox.ru
Market Research Russia: Bus Market. March 2013 (Demo-version)
8. Characteristics of bus prices 8.1. Dynamics of manufacturers’ prices of bus
Manufacturers’ prices of bus have been fluctuating a lot in the last 5 years – from … RUR/ton in 2007, through … RUR/ton in 2009 to …
RUR/ton in December 2012. In 2012, the prices were lower in …, when they were equal to … RUR/ton. They reached their highest value
in …, when they were … RUR/ton, which was …% more, compared to the analogical period of the previous year.
Table 20. Average manufacturers’ prices1 of bus in Russia in January 2007 – November 2012
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
In RUR/ ton
In RUR/ ton
In RUR/ ton
In RUR/ ton
In RUR/ ton
In % to analogical period of the
previous year
In % to December of the previous
year
In % to the
previous
month
In RUR/ ton
In % to analogical
period of the previous
year
In % to December of the previous
year
In % to the
previous
month
January … … … … … …% …% …% … …% …% …%
February … … … … … …% …% …% … …% …% …%
March … … … … … …% …% …% … …% …% …%
April … … … … … …% …% …% … …% …% …%
May … … … … … …% …% …% … …% …% …%
June … … … … … …% …% …% … …% …% …%
July … … … … … …% …% …% … …% …% …%
August … … … … … …% …% …% … …% …% …%
September … … … … … …% …% …% … …% …% …%
October … … … … … …% …% …% … …% …% …%
November … … … … … …% …% …% … …% …% …%
December … … … … … …% …% …% … …% …% …%
Source: Data (“Rosstat”), Analysis (“IndexBox”) 1 Manufacturers’ prices – subject to registration, as a rule, are the actual prices of produced and shipped in the current month production for the domestic market (excluding value added tax, excise duty and other taxes not included in the cost).
Page 26 from 37 IndexBox Marketing © 2012 www.indexbox.ru
Market Research Russia: Bus Market. March 2013 (Demo-version)
9. Characteristics of the imports of
bus to the Russian market 9.1. Volume and dynamics of the Russian imports of bus
…
The volume of Russian imports of bus in 2011 was … tons. The largest amount of bus was
imported in …, when were imported … tons.
Table 22. Dynamics of the imports of bus in the Russian Federation in
January-December 2011, in tons
Month Quantity, in thousands of tons In %, to the previous month
January …
February … …%
March … …%
April … …%
May … …%
June … …%
July … …%
August … …%
September … …%
October … …%
November … …%
December … …%
Total …
Source: Data (“FTS”), Analysis (“IndexBox”)
Page 27 from 37 IndexBox Marketing © 2012 www.indexbox.ru
Market Research Russia: Bus Market. March 2013 (Demo-version)
Source: Data (“FTS”), Analysis (“IndexBox”)
Fig. 18. Dynamics of the imports of bus in the Russian Federation in January-
December 2011, in tons
9.2. Manufacturing countries, leading suppliers of the imported
bus on the territory of the Russian Federation
Country A was the leader in terms of imports of bus (in physical terms) in 2011, with a
share of …% of the total. The country imported … tons of bus in 2011. The second place was
taken by Country B, which in 2011 imported … tons of bus (a share of …%, respectively). In
the third place was Country C with a share of …%.
Page 28 from 37 IndexBox Marketing © 2012 www.indexbox.ru
Market Research Russia: Bus Market. March 2013 (Demo-version)
Source: Data (“FTS”), Analysis (“IndexBox”)
Fig. 20. Structure of the imports of bus in the Russian Federation by
manufacturing countries in 2011 in physical terms
Table 24. Volume of the imports of bus in the Russian Federation by
manufacturing countries in 2011, in tons
Country of origin Net weight, in tons Share, in %
Country A … …%
Country B … …%
Country C … …%
Country D … …%
Country E … …%
OTHERS … …%
TOTAL … …%
Source: Data (“FTS”), Analysis (“IndexBox”)
9.3. Foreign companies, manufacturers of the bus, imported to
the Russian Federation
Company A was the leader in terms of imports of bus (in physical terms) in 2011, with a
share of …% of the total. The company imported … tons of bus in 2011. The second place
was taken by Company B, which in 2011 imported … tons of bus (a share of …%,
respectively). In the third place was Company C with a share of …%.
25.0%
20.8%
16.7%
12.5%
8.3%
16.7%
Country A
Country B
Country C
Country D
Country E
OTHERS
Page 29 from 37 IndexBox Marketing © 2012 www.indexbox.ru
Market Research Russia: Bus Market. March 2013 (Demo-version)
Source: Data (“FTS”), Analysis (“IndexBox”)
Fig. 22. Structure of the imports of bus in the Russian Federation by
manufacturing companies in 2011 in physical terms
Table 26. Volume of the imports of bus in the Russian Federation by
manufacturing companies in 2011, in tons
Manufacturing company Net weight, in tons Share, in %
Company A … …%
Company B … …%
Company C … …%
Company D … …%
Company E … …%
OTHERS … …%
TOTAL … …%
Source: Data (“FTS”), Analysis (“IndexBox”)
25.0%
20.8%
16.7%
12.5%
8.3%
16.7%
Company A
Company B
Company C
Company D
Company E
OTHERS
Page 30 from 37 IndexBox Marketing © 2012 www.indexbox.ru
Market Research Russia: Bus Market. March 2013 (Demo-version)
10. Characteristics of the Russian
exports of bus 10.1. Volume and dynamics of the Russian exports of bus
…
The volume of Russian exports of bus in 2011 was … tons. The largest amount of bus was
exported in …, when were exported … tons.
Table 31. Dynamics of the exports of bus in the Russian Federation in
January-December 2011, in tons
Month Quantity, in thousands of tons In %, to the previous month
January …
February … …%
March … …%
April … …%
May … …%
June … …%
July … …%
August … …%
September … …%
October … …%
November … …%
December … …%
Total …
Source: Data (“FTS”), Analysis (“IndexBox”)
Page 31 from 37 IndexBox Marketing © 2012 www.indexbox.ru
Market Research Russia: Bus Market. March 2013 (Demo-version)
Source: Data (“FTS”), Analysis (“IndexBox”)
Fig. 27. Dynamics of the exports of bus in the Russian Federation in January-
December 2011, in tons
10.2. Recipient countries of the Russian exports of bus
In 2011, the main recipient country of the Russian exports of bus was Country A. Its share
in physical terms was …%. It was then followed by Country B (…%) and Country C (…%).
To Country D and Country E were exported …% and …%, respectively. The combined share
of the other countries is …%.
Page 32 from 37 IndexBox Marketing © 2012 www.indexbox.ru
Market Research Russia: Bus Market. March 2013 (Demo-version)
Source: Data (“FTS”), Analysis (“IndexBox”)
Fig. 29. Structure of the Russian exports of bus by recipient countries in 2011 in
physical terms
Table 33. Volume of the Russian exports of bus by recipient countries in 2011, in
tons
Recipient country Net weight, in tons Share, in %
Country A … …%
Country B … …%
Country C … …%
Country D … …%
Country E … …%
OTHERS … …%
TOTAL … …%
Source: Data (“FTS”), Analysis (“IndexBox”)
…
25.0%
20.8%
16.7%
12.5%
8.3%
16.7%
Country A
Country B
Country C
Country D
Country E
OTHERS
Page 33 from 37 IndexBox Marketing © 2012 www.indexbox.ru
Market Research Russia: Bus Market. March 2013 (Demo-version)
12. Characteristics of consumption
of bus 12.1. Volume and dynamics of consumption of bus in 2008 -
2012. Forecast for 2013 - 2017
The volume of consumption of bus in 2012 was … tons, which was …% more, compared to
2011. In 2011 was noted the largest drop in the consumption of bus in recent years - a
decline of …% to … thousand tons. Another decline in recent years was observed in 2009,
when the growth rate was …%, compared to 2008. At the end of 2012, the consumption of
bus almost reached the level in 2010, but the growth is not yet possible to reach the pre-
crisis levels of 2007 - 2008.
According to forecasts, the favorable development of the consuming industries can help
consumption of bus increase in the next few years with rates of …-…% annually. Thus, by
2017, the consumption can reach … million tons. The demand for bus in the country will be
met, as before, by the Russian manufacturers, who account for over …% of the market.
Source: Data (“Rosstat”, expert opinion), Analysis (“IndexBox”)
Fig. 40. Dynamics of consumption of bus in the Russian Federation in 2008 –
2012 and forecast until 2017, in thousands of tons
Page 34 from 37 IndexBox Marketing © 2012 www.indexbox.ru
Market Research Russia: Bus Market. March 2013 (Demo-version)
12.2. Structure of consumption of bus by industries
Currently, the largest shares in the consumption of bus are taken by Industry A (…%) and
Industry B (…%). Industry C accounts for about … of the market, while Industry D
consumes about …% of the bus in Russia.
Source: Data (“Rosstat”, expert opinion), Analysis (“IndexBox”)
Fig. 42. Structure of consumption of bus by industries in 2012
35%
37%
10%
8%
10% Industry A Industry B
Industry C Industry D
Others
Page 35 from 37 IndexBox Marketing © 2012 www.indexbox.ru
Market Research Russia: Bus Market. March 2013 (Demo-version)
12.3. Balance between production and consumption of bus
In the forecasted balance between production and consumption are used estimates of the
consumption of bus and projections for increase in production.
Throughout the forecast horizon, 2013 – 2017, there is a positive balance, calculated as the
difference between production and consumption. The surplus on the market, as before, will
be exported, mainly to the countries of the Customs Union, where most purchases are in
made in Kazakhstan.
Table 1. Balance between production and consumption on the bus
market in Russia in 2008 - 2012 and forecast until 2017, in thousands of tons
Indicator 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Production … … … … … … … … … …
Consumption … … … … … … … … … …
Balance
(Production-
Consumption)
… … … … … … … … … …
Source: Analysis (“IndexBox”)
Source: Analysis (“IndexBox”)
Fig. 47. Balance between production and consumption on the bus market in
Russia in 2008 - 2012 and forecast until 2017, in thousands of tons
20082009
20102011
20122013F
2014F2015F
2016F2017F
Consumption
Production
Page 36 from 37 IndexBox Marketing © 2012 www.indexbox.ru
Market Research Russia: Bus Market. March 2013 (Demo-version)
About IndexBox "IndexBox" is a leading company in the sphere of marketing research and business
consulting. We carry out marketing research studies, prepare business plans, build business
models and consult on questions about marketing and sales.
Our clients are big Russian and foreign companies:
Marketing research
Our specialization - the study of consumer and industrial markets, segments of B2C and
B2B. Among the methods used: desk research, consumer surveys, expert surveys,
competitive analysis, sales audit, a wide range of qualitative market research products and
services. Our competitive advantage is the formation of special research techniques to the
tasks of each project. System planning and operational monitoring of the industry, created a
company that allows professionals to operate in IndexBox their work relevant and accurate
information.
Business planning
We are professionally engaged in developing business plans, feasibility studies, investment
memoranda, conduct financial analysis of enterprises and prepare analysis for transactions
M & A. Business plans developed by IndexBox, contain a complete financial model for the
further implementation of the project, all calculations are based on marketing information,
which is permanently collected and analyzed for over 7 years. Documents comply with the
standards of Russian and foreign banks, the projects have market feasibility and realistic
projections, and we provide assistance in finding an investor and financing, legal support.
Consulting
We develop strategic development for brands, products, separate business units and
industry. Generally, programs include product, pricing, marketing and communication
Page 37 from 37 IndexBox Marketing © 2012 www.indexbox.ru
Market Research Russia: Bus Market. March 2013 (Demo-version)
strategy. Projects in the field of strategic marketing are relevant to large enterprises,
financial and investment companies that are planning to expand its interests as well as
small companies that are thinking about business development.
top related