science for change agents

SCIENCE FOR CHANGE AGENTS

KAOS PILOTS FEB 2013

NICK JANKEL, WECREATE

@NICKWECREATE

DAY 1THE USE AND MISUSE OF SCIENCE

A FAST FORWARD THROUGH HISTORY, PARADIGMS AND COMPETING SCHOOLS OF SCIENCE, STARTING OUT WITH ”NATURAL SCIENCE”, PROVABILITY/REPEATABILITY, MOVING THROUGH VARIOUS SCHOOLS/PHILOSOPHIES LIKE POSITIVISM, BEHAVIOURISM, ENDING UP WITH QUANTUM PHYSICS AND CHAOS-THEORY. MOVING THROUGH SOCIAL SCIENCE, PSYCHOLOGY, ETC.

A CHOICE OF LENSES AND METHODS

TODAY

WHY SCIENCE?WHAT SCIENCE?WHO SCIENCE?

5

“Problems cannot be solved by the same level of consciousness that created them.”

ALBERT EINSTEIN

UNKNOWNSCIENTIFIC RESEARCH INTO CAUSESCOMPLEX / ADAPTIVE SYSTEMSAR / AL / AISCENARIO PLANNINGETHNOGRAPHY

“If we knew what we were doing, it wouldn’t be called ‘research’.”

ALBERT EINSTEIN

A BRIEFHISTORY OF SCIENCE

“The hunt for the origins of modern science has long been a favourite occupation of historians. They differ widely about the key moment which saw science’s birth, tracing it to the philosophers of Classical Greece, or celebrating the canonical achievements of 17th-century heroes such as Galileo, Bacon, Descartes, Boyle and Newton, or insisting with great plausibility that until at least the early 19th century, the typical institutions and techniques of the natural sciences simply didn’t exist. These different stories depend on widely divergent versions of what distinguishes the scientific enterprise, whether method, personnel, hardware or expertise.”

SIMON SCHAFFER

XMAS, 1758(53 YEARS LATER)

“This year the world is witnessing the most satisfying phenomenon that astronomy has ever provided, an event unique to this day, changing our doubts into certainties, and our hypotheses into demonstrations.”

THE ACADEMY OF SCIENCES

“Science originated from the fusion of two old traditions, the tradition of philosophical thinking that began in ancient Greece and the tradition of skilled crafts that began even earlier and flourished in medieval Europe. Philosophy supplied the concepts for science, and skilled crafts provided the tools.”

FREEMAN DYSON

ARISTOTLE

SCHOLASTICS

TELESCOPEGALILEO

MICROSCOPEHOOK, LEEUWENHOEK

MACHINESPENDULUMS, CALCULUS ETC.

“The wonder is, not that the field of stars is so vast, but that man has measured it.”

ANATOLE FRANCE

COPERNICUS

GIORDANO BRUNO

GALILEO

EMPIRICALOBSERVATION

“Truth is sought for its own sake. And those who are engaged upon the quest for anything for its own sake are not interested in other things. Finding the truth is difficult, and the road to it is rough.”

IBN AL-HAYTHAM

INDUCTIONFRANCIS BACON

“There are and can be only two ways of searching into and discovering truth. The one flies from the senses and particulars to the most general axioms, and from these principles, the truth of which it takes for settled and immoveable, proceeds to judgment and to the discovery of middle axioms. And this way is now in fashion. The other derives axioms from the senses and particulars, rising by a gradual and unbroken ascent, so that it arrives at the most general axioms last of all. This is the true way, but as yet untried.”FRANCIS BACON

DESCARTESRATIONALISM / DEDUCTION

CERTITUDEAVOID BIASES OF MIND & SENSES

“Nature and Nature's laws lay hid in the night: 

God said, Let Newton be! and all was light.”

ALEXANDER POPE

CLOCKWORKUNIVERSE

“We may regard the present state of the universe as the effect of its past and the cause of its future. An intellect which at any given moment knew all of the forces that animate nature and the mutual positions of the beings that compose it, if this intellect were vast enough to submit the data to analysis, could condense into a single formula the movement of the greatest bodies of the universe and that of the lightest atom; for such an intellect nothing could be uncertain and the future just like the past would be present before its eyes.”

PIERRE SIMON LA PLACE

ENLIGHTENMENTVOLTAIRE, JEAN-JAQUES ROUSSEAU, LOCKE, HUME ETC

AUTHORITYSCIENCE & REASONVS.TRADITION & RELIGION

REASONBECOMES MORE AND MORE LIKE MECHANISTIC MATERIALISM

19TH CSCIENCE GETS PROFESSIONAL

CHEMICALDEMISE OF PHLOGISTON THEORYACCURATE MEASUREMENT

PERIODIC TABLEMENDELEEV

ELECTROMAGNETISM

FARADAY & MAXWELL

EVOLUTIONDARWIN VS. PALEY

EVOLUTIONDARWIN VS. PALEY

FINCHESGRADUAL CHANGE (NO LEAPS)

SOCIALDARWINISM

“In the long history of humankind (and animal kind, too) those who learned to collaborate and improvise most effectively have prevailed.”

CHARLES DARWIN

GERM THEORYPASTEUR, KOCH

“[I]t seems probable that most of the grand underlying principles have now been firmly established and that further advances are to be sought chiefly in the rigorous application of these principles to all the phenomena which come under our notice…. An eminent physicist has remarked that the future truths of physical science are to be looked for in the sixth place of decimals.”

ALBERT MICHELSON, 1894

20TH CSCIENCE GETS SPOOKY/ED

RELATIVITYEINSTEIN

CHEMIST’S WAR

QUANTUMTHEORY

ENTANGLEMENT147 MILES

UNCERTAINTYLOCATION OR MOMENTUM BUT NOT BOTH

INCOMPLETENESSCONSISTENT OR COMPLETE BUT NOT BOTH

BIOLOGIST’SEUGENICS: NAZI ‘SCIENCE’

LYSENKOISMSOVIET ‘SCIENCE’

“He is responsible for the shameful backwardness of Soviet biology and of genetics in particular, for the dissemination of pseudo-scientific views, for adventurism, for the degradation of learning, and for the defamation, firing, arrest, even death, of many genuine scientists”ANDREI SAKHAROV

HOLOCAUSTINDUSTRIAL SCALE RATIONALISM

“Evil is the product of the ability of humans to make abstract that which is concrete.”

JEAN-PAUL SARTRE

PHYSICIST’SWAR

HIROSHIMAMANHATTAN PROJECT

ARMYINJECTING DISEASE IN 1950

COMPLEXINDUSTRIAL-MILITARY

WWWSOCIAL MEDIA, SOCIAL REVOLUTIONS...

WHAT IS SCIENCE?

BODYOF KNOWLEDGE

METHODACQUIRING KNOWLEDGE

“Science is the systematic, rational acquisition of new knowledge.”

HAAPARANTA & NIINILUOTO

“[I]f you are going to teach people to make observations, you should show that something wonderful can come from them.”

RICHARD FEYNMAN

PROCESSFIND CURIOUS PHENOMENA / QUESTIONS

PROCESSFIND CURIOUS PHENOMENA / QUESTIONSOBSERVE A LOTMAKE UP A THEORYDESIGN EXPERIMENT TO TEST THEORYANALYSETELL EVERYONE ABOUT ITREPEAT (BY OTHERS)

“Science is an inherent contradiction — systematic wonder — applied to the natural world. In its mundane form, the methodical instinct prevails and the result, an orderly procession of papers, advances the perimeter of knowledge, step by laborious step… Who knows how many scientific revolutions have been missed because their potential inaugurators disregarded the whimsical, the incidental, the inconvenient inside the laboratory?”

THE GENERAL THEORY OF LOVE

“Science is not formal logic - it needs the free play of the mind in as great a degree as any other creative art. It is true that this is a gift which can hardly be taught, but its growth can be encouraged in those who already possess it.”

MAX BORN

MYTHOSLOGOS

“The most beautiful experience we can have is the mysterious - the fundamental emotion which stands at the cradle of true art and true science.

EINSTEIN

“Science is the most exquisite tool that we’ve developed for measuring that hard, physical, material world. Then there is the world of ideas which is inside our head. I would say that both of these worlds are equally real – they’re just real in different ways.”

ALAN MOORE

Mystery kidney disease in Central America

WHAT MIGHT YOU WANT TO OBSERVE?WHAT DATA MIGHT YOU WANT?

OBSERVEINDUCE A THEORYDEDUCE A PREDICTION

THEORYTHEORY NEEDS TO CREATE HYPOTHESES TO TEST / VERIFY

FALSIFICATIONSCIENCE NEEDS TESTABLE PREDICTIONS

DEDUCTFROM GENERAL TO SPECIFIC

INDUCTFROM SPECIFIC TO GENERAL

WHAT PREDICTIONS MIGHT YOUR THEORY HOLD TRUE?WHAT EXPERIMENTS COULD YOU RUN?

AVOIDSUBJECT BIASEXPERIMENTER BIASSELECTION BIAS

RCT

IN DEVPT

WHAT RCTS COULD YOU RUN?

CRITERIATESTABLEREPEATABLEOBSERVABLEPREDICTABLE

CRITERIAOBJECTIVITYPUBLICITYCRITICAL THINKINGSELF-CORRECTIVENESSAUTONOMYPROGRESSIVENESS

VALUE-FREE?AGENDA-LESS?

“Science can (potentially at least) explain everything because its ways of trying to understand the universe by asking questions of it should not leave any areas off-limits. The methods of openness, inquiry, curiosity, theory building, hypothesis testing and so on can be adapted and developed to explore and try to explain anything.”

SUE BLACKMORE

GRANDNARRATIVE

PROGRESS!

TELEOLOYGEIST

CONTROL!PLANETPEOPLE

DEFINE!IQBMIHAPPINESSGDP

EXPLOIT!VALUEENERGY

KNOWLEDGEPOWER

“And God said: Let man have dominion of the fish of the sea, and over the fowl of the air. and over the cattle, and over all the earth, and over every creeping thing that creepeth over the earth.”

GENESIS 1, 26

ESSENTIALTRUTH / IDENTITY

FOUCAULTGENEALOGYDISCONTINUITY

FOUCAULTINDUSTRIAL-MILITARY

“A new mode of obtaining power of mind over mind, in a quantity hitherto without example.”

JEREMY BENTHAM

GAZECONSTRUCTS KNOWER AND KNOWN

“Which speaking, discoursing subjects – which subjects of experience and knowledge – do you want to ‘diminish’ when you say: ‘I who conduct this discourse am conducting a scientific discourse, and I am a scientist’?”

FOUCAULT

SURVEILLANCE

SOUSVEILLANCE

HISTORICALVS ESSENTIAL

DARWINIMPERIALISM & DOMINATION OF NATURE

BIOLOGYNOW IN CONTEXT OF CO-OPERATION & COLLABORATION

EVOLUTIONREVISITED WITHIN COMPLEXITY

GENENOT ISOLATED

25,000HOW DO WE GET SO COMPLEX?

EPIGENETICSDNA METHYLATION

CONSTRUCTEDSOCIALLY

SCIENCE

SSKEDINBURGH / BATH

TACITAGREEMENTSKNOWLEDGE

PARADIGMKUHNFOUCAULT EPISTEME

KUHN...PRE-PARADIGM PARADIGM (NORMAL SCIENCE) ANOMALY CRISIS RESPONSE & EMERGENCE OF NEW PARADIGM

“A new scientific truth does not triumph by convincing its opponents and making them see the light, but rather because its opponents eventually die, and a new generation grows up that is familiar with it.”

MAX PLANCK

SHIFTSPTOLEMAIC COSMOLOGY - COPERNICANARISTOTELIAN PHYSICS - NEWTONIAN PHYSICSNEWTONIAN PHYSICS - EINSTEIN’S RELATIVITY CLASSICAL MECHANICS - QUANTUM MECHANICS LAMARCK - DARWIN’S THEORY STATIC BRAIN - NEUROPLASTICITY

REVOLUTIONINCOMENSURABILITY

INVISIBLETEXT BOOKS SHOW LINEARITYCUMULATIVE KNOWLDEGE

DECLINEEFFECT

RELATIVISMAAARGH

MATERIALISMSTOPS BEFORE BIG BANG AS NO OBJECT / MATERIAL

CRITIQUESCIENTISM

OBSERVESOMETHING

SUBJECT /OBJECT

VARIABLESPLITS UNITY OF EXPERIENCE

“For is it not possible that science will create a monster? Is it not possible that an objective approach that frowns upon personal connections between the entities examined will harm people, turn them into miserable, unfriendly, self-righteous mechanisms without charm or humour? "Is it not possible," asks Kierkegaard, "that my activity as an objective [or critico-rational] observer of nature will weaken my strength as a human being?" I suspect the answer to many of these questions is affirmative and I believe that a reform of the sciences that makes them more anarchic and more subjective is urgently needed.”

PAUL FEYERABEND

GOETHEDELICATE, EMPATHIC EMPIRICISM

300 YEARS BEFORE COPENHAGEN INTERPRETATION

“It is a calamity that the use of experiment has severed nature from man, so that he is content to understand nature merely through what artificial instruments reveal and by so doing even restricts her achievements...Microscopes and telescopes, in actual fact, confuse man's innate clarity of mind.”

GOETHE

TAWHIDISLAMIC SCIENCE

DISENCHANTMENTOF WORLD

“The fate of our times is characterized by rationalization and intellectualization and, above all, by the 'disenchantment of the world.' Precisely the ultimate and most sublime values have retreated from public life either into the transcendental realm of mystic life or into the brotherliness of direct and personal human relations.”

MAX WEBER, 1918

SCIENCEVS PSEUDOSCIENCE

CARGOCULT

WHAT IS SOCIALSCIENCE?

156

POSITIVISMDESCRIBECONTROLPREDICT

COMTEPOST-REVOLUTION

“From science comes prediction; from prediction comes action.”

COMMTE

CHANGE!DISSATISFACTION WITH WHAT IS

ANTIPOSITIVISMMAX WEBER

“[Sociology is ] ... the science whose object is to interpret the meaning of social action and thereby give a causal explanation of the way in which the action proceeds and the effects which it produces. [Never] is the 'meaning' thought of as somehow objectively 'correct' or 'true' by some metaphysical criterion. This is the difference between the empirical sciences of action, such as sociology and history, and any kind of a priori discipline, such as jurisprudence, logic, ethics, or aesthetics whose aim is to extract from their subject-matter 'correct' or 'valid' meaning.”

MAX WEBER 1922

HERMENEUTICSTURN

GEISTESWISSENSCHAFTEN

NATURWISSENSCHAFTEN

VERSTEHENVS. ERKLÄREN

“Until we invent time-travel and really get a handle on the multiverse, science tells us little about history, for example. Science may be able to tell us why we like music, why certain types of sound appeal more than others, but not why Bach is the best.”

A REALIST PHILOSOPHY OF SOCIAL SCIENCE: EXPLANATION AND UNDERSTANDING

LITERARYTURN

AUTHOR IS DEAD

TRUTHS(S)RELATIVISMPOST MODERNISM (IRONY)

TRUTHWHO OWNS IT?(AND WHAT DO THEY GET FROM IT?)

FRANKFURTSCHOOL

CRITICALTHINKING

“The emancipation of human beings from the circumstances that enslave them.”

HORKHEIMER

“The means of communication, the irresistible output of the entertainment and information industry carry with them prescribed attitudes and habits, certain intellectual and emotional reactions which bind the consumers to the producers and, through the latter to the whole social system. The products indoctrinate and manipulate; they promote a false consciousness which is immune against its falsehood...Thus emerges a pattern of one-dimensional thought and behavior.”

HERBERT MARCUSE

1-DMAN

MARXISTTHEORY

“Philosophers have only interpreted the world in various ways; the point is to change it.”

MARX

DECONSTRUCTIONDERRIDA ETC.

“The positivist thesis of unified science, which assimilates all the sciences to a natural-scientific model, fails because of the intimate relationship between the social sciences and history, and the fact that they are based on a situation-specific understanding of meaning that can be explicated only hermeneutically ... access to a symbolically prestructured reality cannot be gained by observation alone.”

JURGEN HABERMAS

“No pedagogy which is truly liberating can remain distant from the oppressed by treating them as unfortunates and by presenting for their emulation models from among the oppressors. The oppressed must be their own example in the struggle for their redemption.”

PAULO FREIRE 1970

IS vs OUGHT

SOCIAL SCIENCETRUE? VALUE-FREE?

“'It is imperative that we give up the idea of ultimate sources of knowledge, and admit that all knowledge is human; that it is mixed with our errors, our prejudices, our dreams, and our hopes; that all we can do is to grope for truth even though it is beyond our reach. There is no authority beyond the reach of criticism.”

KARL POPPER

DIALOGICTRUTH

BAKHTIN

“What man needs is not just the persistent posing of ultimate questions, but the sense of what is feasible, what is possible, what is correct, here and now. The philosopher, of all people, must, I think, be aware of the tension between what he claims to achieve and the reality in which he finds himself.” 

HANS-GEORG GADAMER

PRAGMATISMBETWEEN IDEALISM & EMPIRICISM

“In Aristotle’s words phronesis is a ‘true state, reasoned, and capable of action with regard to things that are good or bad for man.’ Phronesis goes beyond both analytical, scientific knowledge (episteme) and technical knowledge or know-how (techne) and involves judgments and decisions made in the manner of a virtuoso social and political actor.”

BENT FLYVBJERG

PHRONESISWHERE ARE WE GOING?IS THIS DESIRABLE?WHO GAINS AND WHO LOSES, AND BY WHICH MECHANISMS OF POWER?WHAT, IF ANYTHING, SHOULD WE DO ABOUT IT?

MAPNOT NECESSARILY THE TERRITORY BUT IT CAN HELP GUIDE US PRACTICALLY

PRACTICALPHILOSOPHY

INTENTION KNOWLEDGE TERMS LENSES

KNOW ‘TRUTH’ EXPLANATION OF WHAT IS

NATURALISM / REALISMPROOF

REDUCTIONISMEMPIRICAL ANALYSIS

INDUCTION / DEDUCTION

PREDICT / CONTROL NATURE

CORROBORATION OF WHAT WORKS INSTRUMENTALISM EVIDENCE BASE

RCTS

APPRECIATE / EMPATHISE

UNDERSTANDING OF HOW THINGS ARE HERMENEUTICS

SEMIOTICSCONTEXT

QUAL / QUANTPO

DISCOURSE ANALYSIS

DISEMPOWER CRITICISM OF WHY THINGS ARE

STRUCTURALISMPOST MODERNISM

DECONSTRUCTION‘ARCHEOLOGY’

CRITICAL THEORY

IMPROVE INSIGHT INTO HOW TO CHANGE THINGS EMANCIPATION

SYSTEMS / CYNEFINACTION RESEARCH

CRITICAL CONSCIOUSNESS

DAY 2SYSTEMS THINKING & COMPLEXITY

13 vs 333

HOW DO YOU SOLVE MY BACK ACHE?

“We still have not seen much movement on... the deep systemic issues that cause the current cluster of crisis symptoms to be reproduced time and again. I believe that the most important root issue of the current crisis is our thinking: how we collectively think.”

C OTTO SCHARMER

HOW WE THINKLINEAR, REDUCTIONIST, MECHANISTICSEPARATE FROM NATURE / EACH OTHERNATURE / PEOPLE THERE TO BE USEDEXIST TO COMPETE, CONSUME, PRODUCE

LINEARITYCAUSE / EFFECTBLAME AGENTS / INTENTIONSREALISM / SCIENTISM

“Reality is made up of circles, but we see straight lines. Herein lies the beginnings of our limitation as systems thinkers.”

PETER SENGE

SYSTEMINDIVIDUAL PARTSPARTS AFFECT EACH OTHERWHOLE MORE THAN SUMPERSIST IN DIFFERENT SETTING

“There can be no scientific study of society, either in its conditions or its movements, if it is separated into portions, and its divisions are studied apart.”

AUGUSTE COMTE

SYSTEMSHAVE IDENTITIES WHICH RESIST CHANGERESPOND TO INTERVENTIONSATTEMPT TO SHAPE PEOPLE / PLACESCOMPLEX BEHAVIOURLEARNSYMBOLIC EXCHANGES

SYSTEMICCOMPLEMENTARY INTERACTIONSTRIGGERS, DRIVERS, RESPONSESPATTERNS EMERGE OVER TIMESYSTEMS CAUSE BEHAVIOUR (VICE VERSA)MUTUAL RESPONSIBILITYINTENTIONS ARE NOT ALWAYS CLEAR

DIALOGICCONSTRUCTED & REALTANGIBLE & CONCEPTUALCREATE & CREATED

TAUGHT TO ANALYSE, MECHANISELINEAR MODE OF THINKING (LANGUAGE)BIASES & ASSUMPTIONSSYSTEMS MASQUERADE AS EVENTS

HARD!

systems images

CHALLENGINGTAUGHT TO ANALYSELINEAR MODE (LANGUAGE)BIASES & ASSUMPTIONSMASQUERADE AS EVENTS

“Unlike curiosity or empiricism, holism takes a while to acquire and appreciate.”

NICHOLAS CHRISTAKIS

WHOLENESSBIOLOGY: VON BERTANALFY

CONSTELLATIONSFAMILY DYNAMICSMUTUAL OWNERSHIP EMPATHIC DISCOVERY

“Can we talk about the wholeness of life? Can one be aware of that wholeness if the mind is fragmented? You can't be aware of the whole if you are only looking through a small hole.”

J KRISHNAMURTI

MULTIVERSEMANY STAKEHOLDERS / PERSPECTIVEMULTIPLE INTENTIONSMANY FRAMES / INTERPRETATIONS

INTERVENTIONSHIGHLY CHARGEDMANY SCOPING CHALLENGES

MAPPINGSYSTEMS

SYMPTOMSVS. ROOT ‘CAUSES’

WEBOF CAUSATION

DEPENDENT ORIGINATION

“No effect arises without cause, yet no effect is predetermined, for its causes are multiple and mutually affecting. Hence there can be novelty as well as order.”

JOANNA MACY

FEEDBACKOSCILLATIONS BETWEEN POSITIVE & NEGATIVE LOOPS (& INTENTIONS)THE PAST FEEDS INTO THE FUTURE

BOUNDARIESWHERE?

“A system is anything we happen to draw a boundary around. ”

RICHARD VERYARD

LAWUNINTENDED CONSEQUENCESSURPRISES!

STATEPREFERRED OR NOT

NOT NORMATIVE ‘RIGHT’ OR ‘WRONG’

“Something hit me very hard once, thinking about what one little man could do. Think of the Queen Mary - the whole ship goes by and then comes the rudder. And there's a tiny thing at the edge of the rudder called a trim tab.”

BUCKMINSTER FULLER

SWEETSPOTS

STATUS QUOMAINTAINED BY OUTDATED ASSUMPTIONS

PLATOCONVENIENT LIES

DEFENDEDBY THE GROUP THINK OF THOSE IN POWER

© Wecreate 2012

BREAKTHROUGH

SWITCHED ON LEADERSHIPBREAKTHROUGH INNOVATION

THE EXTENT OF THE BREAKTHROUGH

DEPENDS ON HOW DEEP WE ARE WILLING TO GO INTO WHAT IS

POSSIBLE

BREAKTHROUGH

© Wecreate 2012

BREAKTHROUGH

SWITCHED ON LEADERSHIPBREAKTHROUGH INNOVATION

BREAKTHROUGH

“Jump to an answer - you might as well jump to the river.”

RUSSIAN PROVERB

238

Breakthrough Opportunity

© wecreate 2012

Breakthrough Proposition

Problem

What is the problem, in human terms?

Proposition

What is the current proposition that results inthis probelm?

Assumptions

What do we have to believe to generateand validate this proposition?

Breakthrough Insight

What kind of headline ideas couldseize this opportunity?

What proposition emerges from thisinsight?

What is a more insightful, future-positivebelief?

BREAKTHROUGH

239THE BREAKTHROUGH SWITCH

What is the current proposition that results in this problem?

240

A BILLION PEOPLE DO NOT HAVE CLEAN WATER -

CHOLERA EPIDEMICS KILL HUNDREDS OF THOUSANDS

Breakthrough Opportunity

© wecreate 2012

Breakthrough Proposition

Problem

What is the problem, in human terms?

Proposition

What is the current proposition [product offer, business model, org process] that leads to this problem?

Assumptions

What do we have to believe to generate and validate this proposition?

Breakthrough Insight

What kind of headline ideas could seize this opportunity?

What proposition maximises accessibility, usability and enjoyability?

What is a more powerful, liberating and abundant view ofhuman nature /life?

BREAKTHROUGH

CHOLERA

Raise money to buy and deliver equipment (drill boreholes, pumps, lifestraws) to provide water. More

investment needed to maintain technology.

A billion people do not have clean water - cholera epidemics kill

hundreds of thousands.

New things / technology is the best way to solve problems.

Money solves problems.The people need help.

.

Focus investment on empowering and enabling people (with media tools, comms etc)

to use it in new ways to increase health - virally.

The Folded Sari

Existing equipment - the sari - can be re-purposed to solve problems.

The people welcome empowerment.

242

99% OF MICROBES FILTERED50% REDUCTION IN CHOLERA

70% STILL FILTERING 5 YEARS LATER + VIRAL

SPREAD

REAMP.ORG

PM

ANTSNEITHER INDIVIDUAL NOR GROUP BEHAVIOURSIGNALINGADAPTATION TO WEATHER / ATTACKHOW THROUGH EVOLUTION?

COMPLEX / ADAPTIVEBRAINSHEART MUSCLEIMMUNE SYSTEMINSECT COLONIESGLOBAL ECONOMY

“You have to be a certain kind of complex system to adapt, and you have to be a certain kind of complex system to coevolve with other complex systems. We have to understand what it means for complex systems to come to know one another — in the sense that when complex systems coevolve, each sets the conditions of success for the others. I suspect that there are emergent laws about how such complex systems work, so that, in a global, Gaia- like way, complex coevolving systems mutually get themselves to the edge of chaos, where they're poised in a balanced state. It's a very pretty idea. It may be right, too.”

STUART KAUFMANN

COMPLEXNON-LINEAR COLLECTIVE BEHAVIOURFEEDBACK, SIGNALING & INFO PROCESSINGADAPTATION VIA LEARNING OR EVOLUTIONHAVE A HISTORYNESTED HIERARCHIESSELF-ORGANISED EMERGENCE

WEBOF CAUSATION

ROBUSTNESS, FLEXIBILITY, SPONTANEOUS INNOVATION.

SEMI-AUTONOMOUS FUNCTIONING NEEDING MINIMAL

SUPERVISION

SELF-ORGANISATION

CONTROLNATURAL RESPONSE TO FIX COMPLEX PROBLEMS

BUT LOSE RESILIENCE & CREATIVE OF SYSTEM (AND FAILS)

“If biologists have ignored self-organization, it is not because self-ordering is not pervasive and profound. It is because we biologists have yet to understand how to think about systems governed simultaneously by two sources of order, Yet who seeing the snowflake, who seeing simple lipid molecules cast adrift in water forming themselves into cell-like hollow lipid vesicles, who seeing the potential for the crystallization of life in swarms of reacting molecules, who seeing the stunning order for free in networks linking tens upon tens of thousands of variables, can fail to entertain a central thought: if ever we are to attain a final theory in biology, we will surely, surely have to understand the commingling of self-organization and selection. We will have to see that we are the natural expressions of a deeper order. Ultimately, we will discover in our creation myth that we are expected after all.”

STUART KAUFFMAN

BIRDSSTAY CLOSEMATCH VELOCITYAVOID OBSTACLES

BIRDSSTAY CLOSE (COHESION)MATCH DIRECTION & VELOCITY (ALIGNMENT)AVOID COLLISION (SEPERATION)

WEATHERNON-LINEARNON-EQUILIBRIUM

BUTTERFLYEFFECT

CHAOSPOSITION, MASS, VELOCITY NOT ENOUGH TO PREDICT

HUMANSDO NOT OPERATE IN EQUILIBRIUMS EITHER

NETWORKSC. ELEGANSBRAINWEBHOLLYWOODNATIONAL GRIDMETABOLISMGENE EXPRESSION

NETWORKSSMALL WORLD

SCALE FREEHUBSHETEROGENOUS NODESSELF-SIMILARITY

1/n

RICHGET RICHER

EPIDEMIOLOGYSEXUAL HUBS IN HIV

RESILIENCEEXCEPT FOR HUBS!

FAILURECASCADING

EDGEOF CHAOS

MAXIMUM RATES OF GENERATION / EVOLUTION

EDGE OF

CHAOS

ORDER

DISORDER

© Wecreate 2012

BREAKTHROUGH

SWITCHED ON LEADERSHIPBREAKTHROUGH INNOVATION

CHAOS

BREAKTHROUGH

PREFERRED ORDERCURRENT ORDER

AGILEATTENTIONEXPERIMENTROBUSTOPEN TO MULTIPLE POSSIBILITIES

LEADERSHIP AT EDGE OF CHAOS

MAKINGCHANGE IN COMPLEX SYSTEMS

“Thinking more deeply about institutions and complexity raises major dilemmas for development interventions. On the one hand, tackling poverty, achieving social justice and protecting the environment clearly require institutional transformation. On the other, institutions cannot be effectively changed in a neatly planned, top-down manner.”

JIM WOODHILL

“Don’t disturb complicated systems that have been around for a very long time. We don’t understand their logic…  Leave it the way we found it, regardless of scientific ‘evidence’.”

N. NICHOLAS TALEB

REMEMBERDYNAMIC, RICH INTERACTIONSDIFFERENT PEOPLE, DIFFERENT LEVELSFEEDBACK LOOPSNON-LINEAR, UNPREDICTABLEEMERGENT CHARACTERISTICSSMALL CHANGES CAN HAVE LARGE IMPACTSHISTORY CAN MAKE A DIFFERENCE

HUMANITYCHANGE CAN ONLY HAPPEN WITH PEOPLE

RECEIVEDWISDOM DOESN’T ALWAYS APPLY

CYNEFINIBM ET. AL.

“Often the only way to improve a complex system is to probe its limits by forcing it to fail in various ways.”

KEVIN KELLY

Disorder

Simple

Predictable causes and effectsUse best-practice

Focus on co-ordination

ComplicatedKnown causes and effects

Use good practiceFocus on co-operation

ComplexUnderstandable root causes

Use emergent practice (harness principles)

Focus on collaboration

Chaotic

Unknowable causes / effectsUse new practice

Focus on co-creation

Sense. Analyze. Respond

Sense. Categorize. Respond

Sense. Explore. Respond

Explore. Sense. Respond

The Cynefin Model

“Part of reinventing the sacred is to heal...injuries that we hardly know we suffer. If we are members of a universe in which emergence and ceaseless creativity abound, if we take that creativity as a sense of God we can share, the resulting sense of the sacredness of all of life and the planet can help orient our lives beyond the consumerism and commodification the industrialized world now lives, heal the split between reason and faith, heal the split between science and the humanities, heal the want of spirituality, heal the wound derived from the false reductionist belief that we live in a world of fact without values, and help us jointly build a global ethic. These are what is at stake in finding a new scientific worldview that enables us to reinvent the sacred.”

STUART KAUFFMAN

CONNECTNICK@WECREATE.CC

WECREATE.CC (THIS WILL BE UP IN FEW DAYS)NICKJANKEL.COM