the future and aging

glen hiemstra

“If you don’t go far enough back in memory or far enough ahead in hope, your present will be impoverished.”

Edward Lindaman

what is your image of the future?

probable?

possible?

preferred?

the future creates the present…

not a mystery

✦ older younger diverse

✦ everything becoming intelligent ✦ health innovation and longevity ✦ income gap economics, working

and saving ✦ living and moving around ✦ shaping the future

27  Florida’s  by  2025  

States  where  at  least  20%  of  The  popula:on  will  be  elderly

◆2020 Census will show that 50% of people under age 30 in U.S. are minorities

◆2060 Census will show for first time that the older population age 65 and over outnumber those 18 and under

Marc Prensky originated “digital native” term

digital natives

digital immigrants

in charge

retiring

over the next decade

people of the screen...will not accept old limitations

internet of everything In the next 20 years PC’s will be replaced by millions of tiny intelligent systems embedded in our clothes, jewelry, cars, furniture, and walls. They will recognize voice commands and carry out simple wishes. They will cost less than a penny, less than scrap paper, so companies which do not put chips [intelligence] in all their products will be at a severe disadvantage. Michio Kaku, 1998

what is internet of everything?

platform for devices to communicate with the world around them and to integrate human, natural and built worlds

From Harbor Research Infographic

when things are smart

nano | bio | info | cogno | robo | space

3D | connectivity | convergence

health innovation and longevity...

✦ access expanded

✦ enhancing brain focus and understanding ✦ diagnosis through genome ✦ rejuvenation therapy research ✦ systems pharmacology ✦ 4P disruption: personalized, predictive,

preventive, participatory

Geneticist Richard Cawthon and colleagues at the University of Utah found shorter telomeres are associated with shorter lives. Among people older than 60, those with shorter telomeres were three times more likely to die from heart disease and eight times more likely to die from infectious disease.

http://learn.genetics.utah.edu/content/chromosomes/telomeres/

https://med.stanford.edu/news/all-news/2015/01/telomere-extension-turns-back-aging-clock-in-cultured-cells.html

Now we have found a way to lengthen human telomeres by as much as 1,000 nucleotides, turning back the internal clock in these cells by the equivalent of many years of human life,” said Helen Blau, PhD, professor of microbiology and immunology at Stanford and director of the university’s Baxter Laboratory for Stem Cell Biology.

global knowledge value economy

disintermediation, dematerialization, disruption and lessons of the

“marketplace”…

$50 Billion $20 BillionUBER

dematerialized economy

income gap economics

“In only four countries surveyed—South Korea, the U.S., Germany and Britain— do more than 1/3 of the public say that the primary responsibility for the economic well-being of people aged 65 & over rests with the elderly themselves.” - Pew Research Center

aging in america

Photo  Credit:  Dreams:me

end of retirement

Measures of labor force participation rate of people aged 65 and over continue trending up and

58% who work, work full time

Primary reasons:

• Sense of value

• intellectual challenges

• economic necessity

The average balance of 401k savings for people approaching 65 is $73K median and $203K mean.

hAp://www.forbes.com/sites/edwardsiedle/2013/03/20/the-­‐greatest-­‐re:rement-­‐crisis-­‐in-­‐american-­‐history/

“Aging  is  the  adults’  version  of  the  birds  and  the  bees;  we  need  to  talk  about  it.”    -­‐Rob  Lowe  Social  Innovation  Summit  2014

senior mobility issues

Danielson Grove Kirkland WAChapin Architects

✦ housing for donut hole - middle class ✦ cluster housing

✦ dementia friendly neighborhoods ✦ training market staff ✦ infrastructure fixes ✦ neighbor to neighbor support

✦ children day-care on site ✦ attention to bullying in group housing

what is your image of the

future?

The future is not something that just happens to us

The future is something we do

www.futurist.com

glen@futurist.com

twitter.com/glenhiemstra

linkedin.com/glenhiemstra

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