think like it's 2014
Post on 04-Nov-2014
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Think like it’s 2014.
Paul BarterVP, Research@barterpaul
Jeff DeChambeauSenior Analyst
@jeffdechambeau
Presents
1996.
In 1996…
Paul Barter Jeff DeChambeau
Meanwhile…
Speed: 1.3-1.7 TFLOPS (!!!)Price: $55,000,000Size: 0.8 tennis courtsName: ASCI RED
10 years later...
A new supercomputer appears…
* Possible scale
*
Speed: 1.8 TFLOPSPrice: $499Size: 0.00045 tennis courtsName: ?
Some context
ASCI RED PS3
PaulCompleted Kellogg-Schulich MBAAdjunct Professor, Schulich MBAVP Strategy T4G LimitedConsultant with New Paradigm
JeffAt the University of Western OntarioStudying Physics & PhilosophyIntern at New Paradigm
Meanwhile…
8 years later…
(…today!)
Paul and Jeff at a glance
Kellogg-Schulich MBA B.A. Philosophy
Strategy
Game of Thrones
HTML/CSS/JQuery
TechnologyGE
Engineering
Raptors
Schulich MBA prof
Baby Boomer Gen Y
Raised on Star Trek
Grew up online
Venture investor
Elon MuskDesigner-entrepreneur
Storytelling
Guest lecturerT4G Limited
MS Excel
T4G in 30 seconds
We design, develop, and implement
technology solutions that help our
customers run their businesses better.
AnalyticsDigital
MarketingManaged Services
OmnichannelCustom
Development
T4G Research
But wait, what about this?
ASCI RED 1996 PS3 2006
Or this?
Your phone in 2016?ASCI RED 1996 PS3 2006
We need some context.
What about back in the day?
Exponential Change
All of History: The Graph
What of it?
+
The human brain plus exponential change equals disruption.
=
We all have mental models
Change impacts them.
Beware of dusty ideas.
There are many more possible combinations
Which means much more change
Our brains have never dealt with such incredibly fast change before
This causes facts to expire
Leading to misinformed decisions
You need to keep your thinking up to date
Looking forward. Our goals today:
Show you five big trends, how they’re changing the world,
and what to do about it.
Today’s agendaTrend Impact
1 Exponential change Expiring facts
2 The 2nd internet revolution Responsive design*
3 The internet of things Big data
4 Managing the transition Privacy, security, and trust
5 The decline of interruption From STEM to STEAM
The 2nd
internet revolution
The second internet revolution
Paul born Jeff born
General purpose Technology
But first:
The next fortune.
What’s a general purpose technology?
How should we respond?
“Responsive Design” Today
Only responds to one context: the screen
But what about other contexts?
And these?
Heart rate
Activity Level
Calories burned
Sleep
GPS
History
Demo-graphics
Motion
MotionEmotions
Heart rate
What type of user experience could
you design?
You must provide compelling reasons to
customers to get them to share their data.
Internet of
things
Heart rate
Activity Level
Calories burnedSleep
Just the past couple weeks…
Healthcare
Consumer data
Industrial internet
Large, complex systems
What about all those data?
BIG DATA
“More photos are taken every two minutes than in
all of the 19th century.”
3. Unstructured
2. Semi-structured
1. Structured
Structured
Semi-structured
Unstructured
Bringing it all together.
Managing the transition
All of History: The Graph
Traditional IT
New Tech Titans
Moving quicker
Economies of scale
More open
And everything is interconnected
Security Privacy Manageability
IT’s role hasn’t changed
Privacy, Security, and Trust
You’re being trusted with their data.
Take this responsibility seriously.
Lost data leads to lost advantage
Data breaches erode trust
The NSA is listening
The decline of interruption
The shape of a container determines what you can put inside it.
Jonathan Blow
The shift from STEM to STEAM
STEMScience, Technology,
Engineering, Math
STEAMSame + Arts
14,118,595 views
Example
How they do it
Summary:Do stuff worth talking about.
Advice:Go back to first principles.
Think like it’s 2014.
Our goals today…
Show you five big trends, how they’re changing the world,
and what to do about it.
Influential books
If you buy the arguments, here’s how to keep up to date
with T4G Research.
t4g.com
Paul.Barter@T4G.com Jeff.DeChambeau@T4G.com
Or send us a note:
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