throwing away the napkin: how to project plan while keeping up with the demand

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Presentation Here1:15 pm

Throwing Away

The Napkin:

How to plan while keeping up with the

demand

www.ThePersimmonGroup.com

“Any observed statistical regularity will tend to collapse

once pressure is placed on it for control purposes.”

– Prof Charles Goodhart, LSE

www.ThePersimmonGroup.com

Pros

• “Cowboy”• Individual and tribal• Experience-based• Trust-driven• Rapid planning/startup• Agile• Control with the PM

Cons

• Not scalable• Heavy assumption-

based• High cost and time

overruns• Lacks visibility• Unaccountable

“The Napkin”

Bus theory? What if the napkin gets wet?

www.ThePersimmonGroup.com

Throwing Away the Napkin

• Ease in a methodology

• Focus on Key Performance Indicators

• Find “helper” techniques to overcome scale issues

• Enforcement from the top

www.ThePersimmonGroup.com

THANK YOU!

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