title: regional trade and rural livelihoods: implications on kenya’s food security

By Gloria Otieno

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Presentation Outline

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Kenya Context Food Security SituationPoverty in Kenya currently stands 46% Over 10 million Kenyans are facing food poverty –

(cannot meet 50% of daily food requirements).Currently 0ver 4.5 million Kenyans are in need of

food aid partly due to drought especially in the ASALs and high food prices ( 100-130% above normal) especially in

the urban areas.

output of Maize fell from a surplus of 9million bags in 2006 to a deficit of 15 million bags on 2009

Deficit therefore requires imports from the regionThursday, April 20, 2023 3

The Kenyan Context: TradeKenya ascribes to two main Regional

Trade AgreementsCOMESA – Customs Union ( 19

Countries in ESA)EAC – Customs Union – UG, TZ,

Rwanda, BurundiExports to the Region consist of

Consumer goods & Petroleum Products Main trading partner is Uganda 15.6%,

and Tanzania- 7.7% and Rwanda 3.3%).Thursday, April 20, 2023 4

Kenyan Context contd’Imports are mainly from Tanzania and Uganda

and consist of Grains – maize, beans and finger millet, as well as fruits and vegetables

Most trade is informal through porous borders and mainly carried out by small scale producers and traders in small but significant quantities.

Livelihoods in most rural areas therefore depend on agriculture, livestock production or small scale tradeImpacts on incomes and food security.

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Objectives and TORs

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Specific Objectives …1 To collect information on

and analyse1. The recent trends in

regional trade in agriculture in the EAC, and

2. Linkages btn, trade, food security and rural livelihoods in Kenya;

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Specific Objectives..(2) Determine the magnitude and

composition of formal and informal Agricultural trade and implications on food security and rural livelihoods in Kenya

1. Implications food prices2. Implications on volumes3. Implications on Rural Livelihoods

Incomes, employment and poverty categorization – pastoralists,

farmers, urban poor and ASALs

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Specific Objectives..(3) Examining policy implications1. Roles of different

actors/stakeholders2. National policies related to

agriculture, trade and food security

3. Development of a framework to leverage regional trade in agriculture to improve food security and rural livelihoods in KenyaThursday, April 20, 2023 9

Research PlanPhase I

Desk review of existing literature, secondary data on trends on trade, food security and livelihoods in Kenya

Phase IIDetermining Linkages between and Implications of

Trade, food security and rural livelihoods in KenyaPhase III -Analysis of policy implications, roles of

stakeholders and synergiesVarious Initiatives on food security/aidVarious stakeholders, institutions and key playersNational Policy framework

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Data Sources/Types..1Secondary data from Kenya National Bureau of Statistics, Ministry of Agriculture International Statistical Sources.

Primary data collection Key informant survey- stakeholders, institutions, key government agencies

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Expected Outputs1. Preliminary report based on phase I of the

research (desk review)2. Draft report based on Phase I and II after

data collection and synthesis3. Final Report to be presented at a national

consultation/stakeholder’s forum4. Policy brief based on the research findings

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