tom peters’ seminar2002 we are in a brawl with no rules! gsk/04.02.2002

Tom Peters’ Seminar2002

We Are In A Brawl With No

Rules!gsk/04.02.2002

All Slides Available at …

tompeters.comNote: Lavender text in this file is a link.

CONTEXT

Confusion Reigns.

“There will be more

confusion in the business world in the next decade than in any decade in history. And the current pace of

change will only accelerate.”Steve Case

<1000A.D.: paradigm shift: 1000s of years1000: 100 years for paradigm shift

1800s: > prior 900 years1900s: 1st 20 years > 1800s

2000: 10 years for paradigm shift

21st century: 1000X tech

change than 20th century (“the ‘Singularity,’ a merger between humans and computers that is so rapid and profound it

represents a rupture in the fabric of human history”)

Ray Kurzweil

The Destruction Imperative.

Forbes100 from 1917 to 1987: 39 members of the Class of ’17 were alive

in ’87; 18 in ’87 F100; 18 F100 “survivors” underperformed the market

by 20%; just 2 (2%), GE & Kodak, outperformed the market 1917 to 1987.

S&P 500 from 1957 to 1997: 74 members of the Class of ’57 were

alive in ’97; 12 (2.4%) of 500 outperformed the market from 1957 to 1997.

Source: Dick Foster & Sarah Kaplan, Creative Destruction: Why Companies That Are Built to Last Underperform the Market

“Good management was the most powerful reason [leading firms] failed to stay atop their industries. Precisely because these firms

listened to their customers, invested aggressively in technologies that would provide their customers more

and better products of the sort they wanted, and because they carefully studied market trends and

systematically allocated investment capital to innovations that promised the best returns, they lost

their positions of leadership.”

Clayton Christensen, The Innovator’s Dilemma

Axiom (Hypothesis): We have been screwed by Benchmarking … Best Practice … C.I./Kaizen.

Axiom (Hypothesis): We need Masters of Discontinuity/

Masters of Ambiguity … in discontinuous/ambiguous

times.

20 of 267 of top 10*

*P&G: Declining domestic sales in 20 of 26 categories; 7 of top 10 categories:

The “billion-dollar problem.”

Source: Advertising Age 01.21.2002/BofA Securities

A White Collar Revolution.

108 X 5vs.

8 X 1= 540 vs. 8 (-98.5%)

IBM’s Project

eLiza!** “Self-bootstrapping”/ “Artilects”

E.g.: Jeff Immelt: 75% of “admin, back

room, finance” “digitalized” in

3years.

Source: BW (01.28.02)

“Unless mankind redesigns itself by changing our DNA through altering our genetic

makeup, computer-generated robots will take

over the world.” – Stephen

Hawking, in the German magazine Focus

IS/IT/Web … “On the Bus” or “Off the Bus.”

100 square feet

Read It Closely: “We don’t sell

insurance anymore. We sell speed.”

Peter Lewis, Progressive

RESPONSE

The “PSF Solution”:

The Professional Service Firm Model.

Answer: PSF![Professional Service Firm]

Department Head

to …

Managing Partner, HR [IS, etc.] Inc.

TP to NAPM: You are the …

Rock Stars of the

B2B Age!

The Heart of the Value

Added Revolution: PSFs Unbound/ The “Solutions

Imperative.”

Getting Beyond Lip Service!

“No longer are we only an insurance provider. Today, we also offer our customers the products and services that help them achieve their dreams, whether it’s financial

security, buying a car, paying for home repairs, or even taking a dream

vacation.”—Martin Feinstein, CEO, Farmers Group

2002: Same-Same-Same …

Farmers = GE = Oracle = MCAA = Omnicom = gsk

(???)

The Big Day!

09.11.2000: HP bids

$18,000,000,000for

PricewaterhouseCoopersconsulting business!

“These days, building the best server isn’t enough. That’s the

price of entry.”Ann Livermore, Hewlett-Packard

HP … Sun … GE … IBM … UPS … UTC …

General Mills … Springs … Anheuser-Busch …

Carpet One … Delphi … Etc. … Etc.

“We want to be the air traffic

controllers of electrons.”

Bob Nardelli, GE Power Systems

HP … Sun … GE … IBM … UPS … UTC …

General Mills … Springs … Anheuser-Busch …

Carpet One … Delphi … Etc. … Etc.

Gerstner’s IBM: Systems Integrator of choice.

Global Services: $35B, 40% of profit. Pledge/’99:

Business Partner Charter. 72 strategic partners, aim for 200. Drop many in-

house programs/products.

Source: BW (12.01)

It all adds up to …

THE BRAND.

“Most companies tend to equate branding with the company’s marketing. Design a new marketing

campaign and, voilà, you’re on course. They are wrong. The task is much bigger. It is about fulfilling our potential … not about a new logo, no matter how

clever. WHAT IS MY MISSION IN LIFE? WHAT DO I WANT TO CONVEY TO PEOPLE? HOW DO

I MAKE SURE THAT WHAT I HAVE TO OFFER THE WORLD IS ACTUALLY UNIQUE? The brand has to give of itself, the company has to give of itself, the management has to give of itself. To

put it bluntly, it is a matter of whether – or not – you want to be … UNIQUE … NOW.”

Jesper Kunde, A Unique Moment

1st Law Mktg Physics: OVERT BENEFIT (Focus: 1 or 2 > 3 or 4/“One Great Thing.” Source #1: Personal Passion)

2ND Law: REAL REASON TO BELIEVE (Stand & Deliver!)

3RD Law: DRAMATIC DIFFERENCE (Execs Don’t Get It:

See the next slide.)

Source: Jump Start Your Business Brain, Doug Hall

2 Questions:

“How likely are you to purchase this new product or service?” (95% to 100% weighting by execs)

“How unique is this new product or service?” (0% to 5%*)

*No exceptions in 20 years – Doug Hall, Jump Start Your Business Brain

The Heart of Branding …

“WHO ARE WE?”

“EXACTLY HOW ARE WE

DRAMATICALLY DIFFERENT?”

THE INDIVIDUAL

Re-inventing the Individual: BRAND

YOU. (Or Else.)

“If there is nothing very special about

your work, no matter how hard you apply yourself, you won’t get noticed, and that

increasingly means you won’t get paid much either.”

Michael Goldhaber, Wired

“Knowledge becomes obsolete incredibly fast. The

continuing professional education of adults is the

No. 1 industry in the next 30 years … mostly on line.”

Peter Drucker,Business 2.0 (22August2000)

26.3

3 Weeks in May

“Training” & Prep: 187“Work”: 41

(“Other”: 17)

1% vs.

367%

Divas do it. Violinists do it. Sprinters do it. Golfers do it.

Pilots do it. Soldiers do it. Surgeons do it. Cops do it.

Astronauts do it. Why don’t businesspeople do it?

Invent. Reinvent. Repeat.

Source: HP banner ad

THE WORK

Redefining the Work Itself I:

The WOW Project.

“Reward excellent failures. Punish

mediocre successes.”

Phil Daniels, Sydney exec

The greatest dangerfor most of us

is not that our aim istoo high

and we miss it,but that it is

too lowand we reach it.

Michelangelo

The

Sales25.

The Sales25: Great Salespeople …

1. Know the product. (Find cool mentors, and use them.)

2. Know the company.3. Know the customer. (Including the customer’s consultants.) (And especially the “corporate culture.”)4. Love internal politics at home and abroad.5. Religiously respect competitors. (No badmouthing, no matter how provoked.)6. Wire the customer’s org. (Relationships at all levels & functions.)7. Wire the home team’s org. and vendors’ orgs. (INVEST Big Time time in relationships at all levels & functions.) (Take junior people in all functions to client meetings.)

Great Salespeople …

8. Never overpromise. (Even if it costs you your job.) 9. Sell only by solving problems-creating profitable opportunities. (“Our product solves these problems, creates these unimagined INCREDIBLE opportunities, and will make you a ton of money—here’s exactly how.”) (IS THIS A “PRODUCT SALE” OR A WOW-ORIGINAL SOLUTION YOU’LL BE DINING OFF 5 YEARS FROM NOW? THAT WILL BE WRITTEN UP IN THE TRADE PRESS?)10. Will involve anybody—including mortal enemies—if it enhances the scope of the problem we can solve and increases the scope of the opportunity we can encompass.11. Know the Brand Story cold; live the Brand Story. (If not, leave.)

Great Salespeople …

12. Think “Turnkey.” (It’s always your problem!)

13. Act as “orchestra conductor”: You are responsible for making the whole-damn-network respond. (PERIOD.)

14. Help the customer get to know the vendor’s organization & build up their Rolodex.15. Walk away from bad business. (Even if it gets you fired.)

16. Understand the idea of a “good loss.” (A bold effort that’s sometimes better than a lousy win.)17. Think those who regularly say “It’s all a price issue” suffer from rampant immaturity & shrunken imagination.18. Will not give away the store to get a foot in the door. 19. Are wary & respectful of upstarts—the real enemy.20. Seek several “cool customers”—who’ll drag you into Tomorrowland.

Great Salespeople …

21. Use the word “partnership” obsessively, even though it is way overused. (“Partnership” includes folks at all levels throughout the supply chain.)22. Send thank you notes by the truckload. (NOT E-NOTES.) (Most are for “little things.”) (50% of those notes are sent to those in our company!) Remember birthdays. Use the word “we.” 23. When you look across the table at the customer, think religiously to yourself: “HOW CAN I MAKE THIS DUDE RICH & FAMOUS & GET HIM-HER PROMOTED?” 24. Great salespeople can affirmatively respond to the query in an HP banner ad: HAVE YOU CHANGED CIVILIZATION TODAY?25. Keep your bloody PowerPoint slides simple!

THE TALENT

Brand = Talent.*

*Duh.

Model 25/8/53

Sports Franchise GM

From “1, 2 or you’re out” [JW] to …

“Best Talent in each industry segment to build

best proprietary intangibles” [EM]

Source: Ed Michaels, War for Talent

Message: Some people are better than other

people. Some people are a helluva lot better than other

people.

“AS LEADERS, WOMEN RULE: New Studies find that female managers

outshine their male counterparts in almost

every measure”Title, Special Report, Business Week, 11.20.00

Women’s Strengths Match New Economy Imperatives: Link [rather than rank] workers;

favor interactive-collaborative leadership style [empowerment beats top-down decision making]; sustain fruitful collaborations; comfortable with sharing information; see redistribution of power

as victory, not surrender; favor multi-dimensional feedback; value technical & interpersonal skills, individual & group contributions equally; readily accept ambiguity; honor intuition as well as pure

“rationality”; inherently flexible; appreciate cultural diversity.

Source: Judy B. Rosener, America’s Competitive Secret

The Cracked Ones Let in the Light

“Our business needs a massive transfusion of talent, and talent, I believe, is most likely to be found

among non-conformists, dissenters and rebels.”

David Ogilvy

“Are there enough weird people in

the lab these days?”V. Chmn., pharmaceutical house, to a lab director (06.01)

TRENDS WORTH

TRILLIONS

Trends I:

Women Roar.*

*Duh II.

?????????

Home Furnishings … 94%Vacations … 92% (Adventure Travel … 70%/ $55B

travel equipment)

Houses … 91%Consumer Electronics … 51%

Cars … 60% (90%)All consumer purchases … 83%

Bank Account … 89%Health Care … 80%

2/3rds working women/50+% working wives > 50%

80% checks61% bills

53% stock (mutual fund boom)

43% > $500K95% financial decisions/

29% single handed

$4.8T > Japan

9M/27.5M/$3.6T > Germany

Not!“Year of the

Woman”

Enterprise Reinvention!

RecruitingHiring/Rewarding/Promoting

Structure Processes

MeasurementStrategyCulture Vision

Leadership

THE BRAND ITSELF!

“Women don’t buy

brands. They join them.”

EVEolution

Psssst! Wanna see my “porn” collection?

Trends II: Boomer Bonanza/Godzill

a Geezer.**Duh III.

“ ‘Age Power’ will rule the 21st century, and we are woefully

unprepared.”Ken Dychtwald, Age Power: How the 21st

Century Will Be Ruled by the New Old

Subject: Marketers & Stupidity

“It’s 18-44, stupid!”

Subject: Marketers & Stupidity

Or is it: “18-44 is stupid,

stupid!”

2000-2010 Stats

18-44: -1%

55+: +21%(55-64: +47%)

Aging/“Elderly”

$$$$$$$$$$$$“I’m in charge!”

ALL SCREWED UP: EDUCATION & HEALTHCARE

The Education Fiasco

Ye gads: “Thomas Stanley has not only found no correlation between success in school and an

ability to accumulate wealth, he’s actually found a negative correlation. ‘It seems that school-

related evaluations are poor predictors of economic success,’ Stanley concluded. What did predict success was a willingness to take risks.

Yet the success-failure standards of most schools penalized risk takers. Most educational

systems reward those who play it safe. As a result, those who do well in school find it hard to

take risks later on.”Richard Farson & Ralph Keyes, Whoever Makes the Most Mistakes Wins

Healthcare Madness

HealthCare21

HealthCare21: 21 Ideas for Century211. Hospitals kill people. (And many of those they don’t kill, they wound.) (And they deny it.) (ERRORS RULE!) And: Hustling ambulances kill pedestrians—and don’t save patients.2. Doctors are spoiled brats—who don’t like measurements. Or any form of “interference.” Docs are also cover-up artists. The REAL Hippocratic Oath: “DON’T RAT ON A FELLOW DOC”. 3. Most prescription drugs don’t work—for a PARTICULAR patient. Current drugs = Blunderbusses.4. Think … WELLNESS. Think … PREVENTION.5. THERE IS LITTLE “SCIENCE” IN “MEDICINE.” (See state to state variations … country to country variations … the general lack of agreed upon treatments.)6. You could save thousands of lives (think Schindler)—if you just outlawed handwritten prescriptions.7. “Detailers” will disappear … when GenX docs arrive.

HealthCare21 (Cont.) 8. IS/IT in hospitals is sub-primitive (despite enormous expenditures). 9. Systemic IS/IT is worse—links between docs, insurers, providers, patients.10. ELECTRONIC MEDICAL RECORDS …TO UNIFORM STANDARDS. (NOW.) (PLEASE.) 11. THE WEB WILL LIBERATE. (Info = Power.) (BELIEVE IT.) 12. 80M BOOMERS RULE. ($$$$$. Desire for c-o-m-p-l-e-t-e CONTROL. NOW. “LEADERSHIP” OF AGING PROCESS.)13. “Drug Discovery” processes at Big Pharma are … hopelessly over-complicated. (???: Bye Bye … Big Pharma.)14. 90% of the “healthcare fix”: HARVEST THE LOW-HANGING FRUIT. “They” are … NOT … the Enemy. “I have seen the enemy … and it am me.” Damn it.

HealthCare21 (Cont.)15. The number of U.S. un-insured is the nation’s #1 disgrace. That said, insured “consumers” are spoiled brats. They/we/me act as if healthcare were a free good … and believe that an incipient hangnail calls for at least a CAT scan … or two. ANSWER: MAKE US FEEL THE PAIN.16. Genetic engineering & biotech change … EVERYTHING. (Within 15 years.)17. New Medical Devices change … EVERYTHING. (Within 15 years.)18. IS/IT changes … EVERYTHING. (Within 10 years.)19. New Docs change … EVERYTHING. (Within 10 years.)20. New Patients change … EVERYTHING. (Within 5 years.)

* *

HealthCare21 (Cont.)

21. ALL THIS = ENORMOUS OPPORTUNITY. The

Opportunity of Several Lifetimes. (For the Bold & Brave.) H’Care WILL be … TOTALLY … re-invented in the next two decades. (And, hey, it is our largest “industry.”)

BOTTOM LINE: LEADING IN

TOTALLY SCREWED- UP TIMES

BZ: “I am a … Dispenser of Enthusiasm!”

“If things seem under control, you’re just not

going fast enough.”

Mario Andretti

“Fail faster. Succeed sooner.”

David Kelley/IDEO

Thank You!