why tsa for egypt? - world tourism...

Tourism Satellite Accounts: The Case of Egypt

UNWTO Committee on Statistics and TSA

Twelfth MeetingUNWTO Headquarters, Madrid, Spain27-28 January 2011

Tourism is among the leading sectors in the Egyptian economy:

Chief contributor to GDP growth.

Major job provider.

Principal generator of foreign exchange earnings and public revenues.

Main achiever of balanced spatial development.

WHY TSA FOR EGYPT?

The current national tourism statistical system does not reflect the real significance of tourism

to the Egyptian economy.

HOWEVER

Incomplete Fragmented Inconsistent

H&R only Hotel Residents Inbound Tourism Licensed Establishments Full-time Workforce Hotel & Tourist Villages Investments

TOURISM DATA LIMITATIONS

Incomplete Fragmented Inconsistent

Local Administration Private Associations Official Bodies

(MOT, CBE, CAPMAS, GAFI, MOED, etc…)

TOURISM DATA LIMITATIONS

Incomplete Fragmented Inconsistent

Differences in:

CoverageMethodology

TOURISM DATA LIMITATIONS

Launching the TSA Project

Conclusion of Protocol of cooperation (MOT & MOED) – Feb. 2008 Issuance of MOT Ministerial Decree Creation of MOT specialized unit for TSA project

Establishing the Policy Working Group (PWG) “Steering Committee”

Forming the Technical Working Group (TWG)

THE INSTITUTIONAL PLATFORM

KEY PLAYERS

Data Producers

Quality Assurance

BodiesData Users

Ministry of Tourism Ministry of Econ. Development CAPMAS* IDSC** Central Bank of Egypt Passport & Immigration

Authority of the Ministry of Interior (MOI).

Ministries: Civil Aviation, Transport, Culture, Environment Manpower & Immigration, Finance and the Supreme Council of Antiquities.

Tourism affiliated bodies and federations.

Universities and research institutions.

Investors in the Tourism Business.

Governmental bodies.

Centre for Survey and Statistical Applications (CSSA), Faculty of Economics and Political Science, Cairo University

(*) Central Agency for Public Mobilization and Statistics.(**) Cabinet’s Information and Decision Support Center.

Organizational Structure of the TSA ProjectMinistry of Tourism

Steering Committee

General Coordinator

Technical Working Groups

Legislative & IT Secretariat

Administrative & Technical Secretariat

Project ExpertsExpatriate & National Consultants Project Manager

MOT

IDSC

CAPMAS

ETF*

MOT

MOI

MOED

CBE

MOT

FEPS

MOT

MOED

(*) Egyptian Tourism Federation.

DATA SOURCES (I)

IDSC

DATA SOURCES (II)

FEPS

Basic Principles:Product classification in accordance with CPC, Version 2

Expenditure estimates at purchaser’s price

Distinction between accommodation services and other services provided by the same entity

Flexibility in identification of country specific tourism characteristic products

THE DEMAND SIDE

Floating Hotels Sleeping Wagons (trains)

Health/Medical Centers

Others

Hotels & TV

Furnished Flats

T. Specific Goods T. Specific Services

Papyrus, bazar items, leather and textile,

etc…Safari Trips

Health & Medical Services for non-

residing foreignersDiving

TABLE (1)INBOUND TOURISM EXPENDITURE

TABLE (1)INBOUND TOURISM EXPENDITURE

Universe: 12.5 Million 622,336 936,905

Sample Size: 120,770 3,775 11,952

INBOUND TOURISM EXPENDITUREBY TYPE OF VISITOR

Source: Inbound Tourism Surveys, 2009.

AVERAGE EXPENDITURE OF VISITORS(PER NIGHT)

Including International Transport

(only national carriers)

Excluding International Transport

1. Foreign Visitors

118.9101.3A. Individuals

8681.8B. Package Tours

97.287.9Average (1A and 1B)

98.489.22. Average expenditure (including same day visitors)

29.926.83. Non-residing Egyptians (individuals)

(US$/Night)

INBOUND TOURISM EXPENDITUREBY PRODUCT GROUP

Source: Inbound Tourism Surveys,2009.

COMPARISON BETWEEN TSA & BOP TRAVEL ITEM

BOP Travel ItemTSARevenues

10.811.02International Visitors

--1.0International Transport Earnings (national carriers)

--1.2Non-residing Egyptian’s Expenditure

Average daily visitor expenditure ($) TSA= 89.2BOP Travel Item = 85.0

(US$ Billion) Total BOP Travel Item = 10.8

Total TSA Tourism Revenues = 13.4

Difference = 2.6

Average Expenditure

Difference = 0.4

National Carriers (transport) = 1.0

Non-residing Egyptian

Expenditure = 1.2

(US$ Billion)

TABLE (2)DOMESTIC TOURISM EXPENDITURE

TABLE (2)DOMESTIC TOURISM

RELATIVE DISTRIBUTION OF DOMESTIC TOURISM EXPENDITURE

DOMESTIC TOURISM EXPENDITURE BY PRODUCT GROUPS

TABLE (3)OUTBOUND TOURISM EXPENDITURE

TABLE (3)

Total Outbound Tourism Expenditure

US$ 2.6 Billion

OtherUmrahPilgrimage

US$ 1.2 Billion

9.5 % 46.8 % 43.7%

Source: Outbound Tourism Surveys, 2009.

TABLE (4)INTERNAL TOURISM CONSUMPTION

TABLE (4)THE DEMAND STRUCTURE

* Excluding Outbound Visitor Expenditure (during trips).

Table 2

Domestic Tourism Expenditure

EGP 16.9 Billion

= US$ 3.02 Billion

+

OTHER COMPONENTS OF TOURISM CONSUMPTION

Sources: National Accounts Estimates, Survey on Timeshare units, Survey on Ministries and Syndicates, Ministry of Education and National Council of Youth Data.

1 2 3 4

-

=Aggregate Total = EGP 12.5 Billion

= US$ 2.2 Billion

INTERNAL TOURISM CONSUMPTION BY TYPE

TABLE (5)PRODUCTION ACCOUNTS

OF TOURISM AND OTHER INDUSTRIES

TABLE (5)PRODUCTION ACCOUNTS OF TOURISM

& OTHER INDUSTRIES

Source: National Accounts Data.

Output of Domestic Producers

Other IndustriesTourism Characteristic Industries

Products/Services

35.1035.1Accommodation

38.8038.8Food and Beverage

61.6061.6Transportation

6.006.0Travel Agency & other Reservation Services

20.4020.4Cultural , Sport, and Recreational

5.305.3Country Specific Tourism Characteristic Products

1537.61503.334.3Other Products/Services

1704.81503.3201.5Total Output

632.4559.373.1Total Intermediate Consumption

1072.4= US$ 191.5 Billion

944= US$ 168.6 Billion

128.4= US$ 22.9 BillionTotal Gross Value Added

(EGP Billion)

GROSS VALUE ADDED BREAKDOWN IN THE TOURISM INDUSTRY

TABLE (6)TOTAL DOMESTIC SUPPLY

& INTERNAL TOURISM CONSUMPTIONBY PRODUCTS (AT PURCHASERS’ PRICES)

TABLE (6)DOMESTIC SUPPLY & INTERNAL TOURISM CONSUMPTION AT

PURCHASERS PRICES*

*Purchasers Prices include values at basic prices plus net taxes on products and trade margins.Source: National Accounts Data and Tourism Surveys.

(EGP Billion)

Tourism Product Ratio (%)

Internal Tourism Consumption

Domestic SupplyProducts/Services

76.128.036.8Accommodation

42.116.739.7Food and Beverages

30.421.470.3Transportation

90.25.56.1Travel Agency and Other Reservation Services

56.211.821.0Cultural, Sport, and Recreational

97.37.27.4Country Specific Tourism Characteristic Products

0.713.61874.0Other Products/Services

5.1104.2

= US$ 18.6 Billion2055.3

= US$ 367 BillionTotal Output

Source: National Accounts Data and Tourism Surveys.

TABLE (6)DERIVATION OF TOURISM INDUSTRY RATIOS, 2009

(EGP Billion)

Output of Domestic Producers (at basic prices)

Other Industries

TOURISM INDUSTRIES

Products TotalCountry Specific Tourism

Characteristic Industries

Cultural, Sport &

recreational Industry

Travel Agencies

TransportFood & Beverages

Accommodation

35.1035.11.90.100.1032.9Accommodation

38.8038.82.40.400.125.610.3F&B

61.6061.60.20.6059.701.2Transport

6.006.0006000Travel Agencies

20.4020.4020.00000.4CSRS

5.305.35.300000CSTCP

1537.61503.334.31.600.131.600.9Other Products

1704.81503.3201.511.521.16.191.525.645.8Total Output (at basic prices)

112.210.5101.711.111.85.527.810.734.8Tourism Share (in value)

6.60.750.596.255.990.130.442.076.1Tourism Ratio (%)

Source: TSA-Table 6 Results.

(EGP Billion)

TOURISM DIRECT GROSS VALUE ADDED ANDTOURISM DIRECT GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT

367.042055.4Total Supply of Goods & Services (domestic)

53.4299.1(-) Imports of Goods & Services

9.251.41(-) Net Taxes on Products (taxes less subsidies)

304.41704.8= Total Domestic Supply of G&S (output of domestic producers)

112.9632.4(-) Intermediate Consumption

191.51072.4= Gross Value Added of the Economy

22.9128.4Gross Value Added of the Tourism Industries

12%12%GVATI (%)

17.799.3Total Tourism Output

7.542.2(-) Total Tourism Intermediate Consumption

10.257.2= Tourism Direct Gross Value Added

5.3%5.3%TDGVA (%)

0.74.0(+) Tourism Share of Net Taxes on Products

10.961.2= Tourism Direct Gross Domestic product (TDGDP)

5.4%5.4%TDGDP (%)

(US$ Billion)

MAJOR AGGREGATES

18.6104.2Internal Tourism Consumption

91.7Internal Tourism Expenditure

12.5Other Components of Tourism Consumption

22.9128.4Gross Value Added of the Tourism Industries

10.257.2Tourism Direct Gross Value Added

10.961.2Tourism Direct Gross Domestic Product

(EGP Billion)

12Tourism Industries Contribution to GDP

Tourism Direct Contribution to GDP

5.4TSA Results

3.5MOED Results (H&R only)

(%)

(US$ Billion)

TABLE (7)EMPLOYMENT IN THE TOURISM

INDUSTRY

Source: Labour Force Survey, 2009.

TABLE (7)EMPLOYMENT IN THE TOURISM INDUSTRIES

(Thousand)

(%)Number of

fulltime Equivalent

Jobs

Labour Hours

Number of Jobs by Status in Employment

TOURISM INDUSTRIESTotalSelf

EmployedEmployees

10.4156.6390,868.4143.64.0139.6Accommodation

20.2304.0758,721.6265.885.3180.5F&B

4.668.4170,716.069.2069.2Railways Passenger Transport

51.5775.31,935,180.0689.2295.2394.0Road Passenger Transport

1.827.769,102.824.90.724.2Water Passenger Transport

2.132.380,516.832.7032.7Air Passenger Transport

0.23.07,420.42.81.71.1Transport Equipment Rental

5.379.2197,750.872.56.166.4Travel Agencies & Other Reservation Services

0.710.325,656.811.32.19.2Cultural Industry

1.320.150,164.418.09.28.8Sports and recreational Industry

0.68.922,245.68.03.05.0Retail Trade of Country-Specific Tourism Characteristic Goods

1.319.247,933.618.51.217.3Country Specific Tourism Industries

100.01,504.93,756,277.21,356.5408.5948.0Total

MAIN INDICATORS OF TABLE (7)

1.4 Million Employees in the Tourism Industries

TABLE (10)NON-MONETARY INDICATORS

TABLE (10)A. NUMBER OF TRIPS & OVERNIGHTS BY FORM OF TOURISM

& CLASS OF VISITORS

Source: Tourism Surveys and MOT Data, 2009.

Outbound TourismNumber of Trips: 1.3 MillionNumber of Overnights: 22.3 Million

TABLE (10)B. INBOUND TOURISM: NUMBER OF ARRIVALS & OVERNIGHTS BY MODES

OF TRANSPORT

Source: Inbound Tourism Surveys and MOT Data, 2009.

Scheduled Flights: 59.1%Unscheduled Flights: 40.9%

TABLE (10)C. NUMBER OF ESTABLISHMENTS & CAPACITY

BY TYPES OF ACCOMMODATION

Room Capacity Utilization Rate (%)

Capacity (beds)Capacity (rooms)Number of Establishments

Accommodations

68.7%429,066214,5331458Hotels and Similar

---1,019,380Real Estate Activities

---1,012,000A. Property Real

Estate Activities (Own or Lease)

---7,380

B. Real Estate Activities on a Fee or Contract (Time Share)

Source: MOT Data and National Accounts Data, 2009.