an environmental risk assessment for carbon capture ... · why an environmental risk assessment?...

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An Environmental Risk Assessment for Carbon Capture & Storage (CCS) Aidan Whitfield 5 April 2011 File: ERA for CCS A Whitfield for 5Apr11 Potential CO 2 pipelines Poyry Energy Consulting report http://www.berr.gov.uk/files/file36782.pdf

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Page 1: An Environmental Risk Assessment for Carbon Capture ... · Why an Environmental Risk Assessment? Preparation for applications in 2014/15 Provides a systematic framework for listing

An Environmental Risk Assessment for Carbon Capture & Storage (CCS)

Aidan Whitfield5 April 2011

File: ERA for CCS A Whitfield for 5Apr11

Potential CO2 pipelines

Poyry Energy Consulting report

http://www.berr.gov.uk/files/file36782.pdf

Page 2: An Environmental Risk Assessment for Carbon Capture ... · Why an Environmental Risk Assessment? Preparation for applications in 2014/15 Provides a systematic framework for listing

Environment Agency and CCS

Main role is regulating CCS technology at power stations - issuing Environmental Permits

Permit implements Integrated Pollution Prevention & Control directive (IPPC) requirements

AND more widely:Support low-carbon technologies to reduce climate change and its consequences Support Government policy

Page 3: An Environmental Risk Assessment for Carbon Capture ... · Why an Environmental Risk Assessment? Preparation for applications in 2014/15 Provides a systematic framework for listing

Permitting existing activities

Power Stationapplication,

assessment, issue permit

EuropeIPPC BAT guidance(best available techniques)

EuropeIPPC BAT guidance(best available techniques)

New plants:Must achieve BAT

Existing plants:Upgrade to BAT if economically feasible

Page 4: An Environmental Risk Assessment for Carbon Capture ... · Why an Environmental Risk Assessment? Preparation for applications in 2014/15 Provides a systematic framework for listing

Permitting CCS (as a new activity)

Power Stationapplication,

assessment,issue permit

CCS CO2

2018-20

ANSWERWrite an Environmental Risk Assessment And - apply current standards for releases of individual substances

EuropeNo BAT guidance!(best available techniques)

EuropeNo BAT guidance!(best available techniques)

How to fill the BATGAP?How do we prepare for CCS applications?

Page 5: An Environmental Risk Assessment for Carbon Capture ... · Why an Environmental Risk Assessment? Preparation for applications in 2014/15 Provides a systematic framework for listing

Why an Environmental Risk Assessment?

Preparation for applications in 2014/15Provides a systematic framework for listing generic risks and risk management measuresProvides the evidence for a risk-based plan to regulate CCS up to 2020 - focussing our effort on the highest risksPublished on web for IChemE Hazards XXII symposium in Liverpool 12-14 April 2011

www.environment-agency.gov.uk/carboncapture

Page 6: An Environmental Risk Assessment for Carbon Capture ... · Why an Environmental Risk Assessment? Preparation for applications in 2014/15 Provides a systematic framework for listing

Why publish the ERA?

To demonstrate we are doing our jobTo inform debate on CCS among industry, NGOs, academics etcTo engage with the public - provide the media and public with balanced messages on risks and risk management measures now

because it is difficult to respond to negative messages e.g. media scare stories and protest groups

Page 7: An Environmental Risk Assessment for Carbon Capture ... · Why an Environmental Risk Assessment? Preparation for applications in 2014/15 Provides a systematic framework for listing

Onshore CO2 storage Netherlands

In the UK public awareness and concern are lowUK storage offshore – avoids NUMBY reactionBut – could be local concerns over pipelinesBut – there is significant UK opposition to coal

Page 8: An Environmental Risk Assessment for Carbon Capture ... · Why an Environmental Risk Assessment? Preparation for applications in 2014/15 Provides a systematic framework for listing

Ratcliffe-on-Soar 2009

Photograph: Tom Pilston, Guardian website

Page 9: An Environmental Risk Assessment for Carbon Capture ... · Why an Environmental Risk Assessment? Preparation for applications in 2014/15 Provides a systematic framework for listing

Kingsnorth Climate Camp 2008

Photograph: Henry Browne, Guardian website

Page 10: An Environmental Risk Assessment for Carbon Capture ... · Why an Environmental Risk Assessment? Preparation for applications in 2014/15 Provides a systematic framework for listing

ERA scope

Scope is the Environment Agency remit Environmental risks, onshore, England & Wales

Source ->pathway -> receptor model Discussed with Government, industry, trade associations and peer reviewed by CranfieldUniversity

Page 11: An Environmental Risk Assessment for Carbon Capture ... · Why an Environmental Risk Assessment? Preparation for applications in 2014/15 Provides a systematic framework for listing

ERA methodology: CO2 pipelines

Freezing (at short distance)

Asphyxiation (at longer distance)

Harm

HIGH overall

(probability is low) X(consequence is high)

Workers, public, animals and plants

Gas cloud, cold, dense drifting downhill & downwind before dispersing

Large scale release of CO2 from a pipeline

RiskReceptorPathway ->Source ->

Page 12: An Environmental Risk Assessment for Carbon Capture ... · Why an Environmental Risk Assessment? Preparation for applications in 2014/15 Provides a systematic framework for listing

ERA methodology: CO2 pipelines

• “Low” reducing to “very low” once CO2 research complete

• HSE and operator actions to protect people lead to “very low” risk to environment

• Environment Agency concern is low

• >50 years UK experience operating natural gas pipelines

• Research on CO2 properties –failure rates, release rates, dispersion etc -> new design codes

• Existing planning system will route pipelines away from people and sensitive habitats

• HSE experience regulating construction and operation

Residual RiskRisk Management

Page 13: An Environmental Risk Assessment for Carbon Capture ... · Why an Environmental Risk Assessment? Preparation for applications in 2014/15 Provides a systematic framework for listing

ERA findings on CCS

We do not need new regulatory controlsCCS technologies are not newCCS substances are not newSo….We expect all proposed CCS technologies to meet current standards for environmental protection so we will be able to issue permits

Page 14: An Environmental Risk Assessment for Carbon Capture ... · Why an Environmental Risk Assessment? Preparation for applications in 2014/15 Provides a systematic framework for listing

ERA example: Amine releases

Post-combustion capture will use amines to remove CO2 from power station flue gasAmine concentrations in releases of flue gas will be low, but potential for high annual mass releases due to large volumeAmines may react in the process or in the atmosphere to produce more toxic compounds e.g. nitrosamines

Page 15: An Environmental Risk Assessment for Carbon Capture ... · Why an Environmental Risk Assessment? Preparation for applications in 2014/15 Provides a systematic framework for listing

Amine releases risk management

Staged development reduces risks:Research £38m/year Govt. funding in universitiesPilot plants 2011-14 e.g. Aberthaw and Ferrybridgewith permit conditions for monitoring, reporting & assessment of amine releases (<10MW) Demonstration plants 2015-20 (at 300MW)Full scale CCS from 2020 (at 800MW to 2000MW)

Page 16: An Environmental Risk Assessment for Carbon Capture ... · Why an Environmental Risk Assessment? Preparation for applications in 2014/15 Provides a systematic framework for listing

ERA example: Waste amine disposal

Risks - increased amine disposalDoes the UK have sufficient disposal capacity?What is the carbon footprint of disposal?

Risk management -Environment Agency to gather data from pilot and demo plants and ensure the waste industry is alertedLife Cycle Analysis needed to establish true effects –probably use Imperial College LCA model

Page 17: An Environmental Risk Assessment for Carbon Capture ... · Why an Environmental Risk Assessment? Preparation for applications in 2014/15 Provides a systematic framework for listing

ERA example: Water Resources

Risks – increased water demand for CCSAmine scrubbing & CO2 compression require additional coolingClimate change will bring about slightly wetter winters & much drier summers in the UK?

• Decreased fresh water water supply?• Increased demand for agricultural irrigation?

Risk management – Environment Agency actionsGather data from pilot and demo plants and feed it into climate change prediction models for river flowsProvide water resources information to inform decisions on site selection and cooling options for future power stations

Page 18: An Environmental Risk Assessment for Carbon Capture ... · Why an Environmental Risk Assessment? Preparation for applications in 2014/15 Provides a systematic framework for listing

2050s change in river flows UKCIP02March (+- 5%) July (-10 to -80%)

Page 19: An Environmental Risk Assessment for Carbon Capture ... · Why an Environmental Risk Assessment? Preparation for applications in 2014/15 Provides a systematic framework for listing

2050s change in river flows UKCIP02September (-30 to -80%) November (+10% to -50%

Page 20: An Environmental Risk Assessment for Carbon Capture ... · Why an Environmental Risk Assessment? Preparation for applications in 2014/15 Provides a systematic framework for listing

Evaporative, Air or Sea Water cooling?

Page 21: An Environmental Risk Assessment for Carbon Capture ... · Why an Environmental Risk Assessment? Preparation for applications in 2014/15 Provides a systematic framework for listing

Conclusion

Is it useful to produce & publish an Environmental Risk Assessment for an emerging technology such as CCS?Useful to Environment Agency?Useful to industry, academia?Useful to media and public?

Page 22: An Environmental Risk Assessment for Carbon Capture ... · Why an Environmental Risk Assessment? Preparation for applications in 2014/15 Provides a systematic framework for listing

CCS Risk Assessment

Aidan Whitfield

[email protected]