COUNTY & ZIP CODE CALCULATIONS (SHIFT-SHARE ANALYSIS)Comparing Manhattan Retail & CB3 Retail Counties 2002

Retail Accommodations & FoodTotal 1-4' Total 1-4'

Bronx 3,369 2,411 1,165 742Kings 7,768 5,536 2,532 1,548New York 11,795 7,218 7,636 2,913Queens 6,536 4,573 3,154 1,976Richmond 1,249 743 583 318

30,717 20,481 15,070 7497

TOTAL RETAIL INDUSTRIES CALCULATIONS

MANHATTAN CB32002 2007 2002 2007

Total Industries 103,698 104,063 8,968 9,744

Retail Industries 11,795 11,657 1333 1390

Borough Effect

Change in Total Industries in Manhattan 0.35198%Expected Change in CB3 Retail Industries 4.691942

Borough Effect 4.691942

Industrial Mix Effect Note: TIM = Total Industries in Manhattan Change in Retail Industries in Manhattan -1.1700%Difference [Change RIM - Change TIM] -0.015220

Absolute Value 0.015220Direction of Change RIM -1Calculation Figure -0.01522

Expected Change in CB3 Retail Industries -20.28787Industrial Mix Effect -20.28787

Competitive EffectChange in Retail Industries in CB3 4.27607%Difference [Change RIM - Change RICB3] -0.054461

Absolute Value 0.0544606Direction of Change RICB3 1

Calculation Figure 0.0544606How much better or worse were RICB3 72.59593

Competitive Effect 72.59593

Check Borough Effect 4.691942Industrial Mix Effect -20.28787Competitive Effect 72.59593

SUM 57

CB3 Retail Year 2007 1390Year 2002 1333

Difference 57

Counties 2007Total Industries Retail Total 1-4' Total 1-4'

15,061 9,881 3,460 2,40840,302 27,339 8,358 5,925

103,698 60,494 11,657 6,94538,612 25,775 6,715 4,691

7,677 4,855 1,254 713205,350 128,344 31,444 20,682

CB3 Zip Code 2002Accommodations & Food Total Industries RetailTotal 1-4' Total 1-4' Total

1,354 873 15,616 10,128 10002 4583,227 1,974 44,253 30,173 10003 4908,497 3,122 104,063 60,199 10009 1423,597 2,275 41,740 28,450 10038 243

652 337 8,398 5,310 133317,327 8581 214,070 134,260

Accommodations & Food Total Industries1-4' Total 1-4' Total 1-4'

325 312 203 2,269 1,633247 456 174 3,616 2,132

91 186 103 921 644152 205 90 2,162 1,182815 1159 570 8,968 5,591

CB3 Zip Code 2007Retail Accommodations & FoodTotal 1-4' Total 1-4'

10002 514 370 476 30310003 482 236 539 18810009 162 113 213 11710038 232 141 215 119

1390 860 1443 727

Total IndustriesTotal 1-4'

2,685 1,9094,049 2,4151,027 7251,983 1,1199,744 6,168

COUNTY & ZIP CODE CALCULATIONS (SHIFT-SHARE ANALYSIS)Comparing NYC Retail & CB3 RetailCounties 2002

Retail Accommodations & FoodTotal 1-4' Total 1-4'

Bronx 3,369 2,411 1,165 742Kings 7,768 5,536 2,532 1,548New York 11,795 7,218 7,636 2,913Queens 6,536 4,573 3,154 1,976Richmond 1,249 743 583 318

30,717 20,481 15,070 7497

TOTAL RETAIL INDUSTRIES CALCULATIONS

NYC CB32002 2007 2002 2007

Total Industries 205,350 214,070 8,968 9,744

Retail Industries 30,717 31,444 1333 1390

City Effect

Change in Total Industries in NYC 4.24641%Expected Change in CB3 Retail Industries 56.6046262

City Effect 56.6046262

Note: TINYC = Total Industries in New York CityChange in Retail Industries in NYC 2.36677%Difference [Change RINYC - Change TINYC] -0.018796

Absolute Value 0.018796Change RINYC < Change TINYC, so Multiply by -1

Calculation Figure -0.0187964Expected Change in CB3 Retail Industries -25.055614

Industrial Mix Effect -25.055614

Competitive EffectChange in Retail Industries in CB3 4.27607%Difference [Change RINYC - Change RICB3] -0.019093

Absolute Value 0.01909301Direction of Change RICB3 1Calculation Figure 0.01909301

How much better or worse were RICB3 25.4509881Competitive Effect 25.4509881

Industrial Mix Effect

Check City Effect 56.6046262Industrial Mix Effect -25.055614Competitive Effect 25.4509881

SUM 57

CB3 Retail Year 2007 1390Year 2002 1333

Difference 57

Counties 2007Total Industries Retail Total 1-4' Total 1-4'

15,061 9,881 3,460 2,40840,302 27,339 8,358 5,925

103,698 60,494 11,657 6,94538,612 25,775 6,715 4,691

7,677 4,855 1,254 713205,350 128,344 31,444 20,682

Note: TINYC = Total Industries in New York City

CB3 Zip Codes 2002Accommodations & Food Total IndustriesTotal 1-4' Total 1-4'

1,354 873 15,616 10,128 100023,227 1,974 44,253 30,173 100038,497 3,122 104,063 60,199 100093,597 2,275 41,740 28,450 10038

652 337 8,398 5,31017,327 8581 214,070 134,260

CB3 Zip Codes 2002Retail Accommodations & FoodTotal 1-4' Total 1-4'

458 325 312 203490 247 456 174142 91 186 103243 152 205 90

1333 815 1159 570

CB3 Zip Codes 2007Total Industries RetailTotal 1-4' Total 1-4'

2,269 1,633 10002 514 3703,616 2,132 10003 482 236

921 644 10009 162 1132,162 1,182 10038 232 1418,968 5,591 1390 860

Accommodations & Food Total IndustriesTotal 1-4' Total 1-4'

476 303 2,685 1,909539 188 4,049 2,415213 117 1,027 725215 119 1,983 1,119

1443 727 9,744 6,168

COUNTY & ZIP CODE CALCULATIONS (SHIFT-SHARE ANALYSIS)Comparing Retail and Accommodations & Food Services between Manhattan and CB3Counties 2002

Retail Accommodations & FoodTotal 1-4' Total 1-4'

Bronx 3,369 2,411 1,165 742Kings 7,768 5,536 2,532 1,548New York 11,795 7,218 7,636 2,913Queens 6,536 4,573 3,154 1,976Richmond 1,249 743 583 318

30,717 20,481 15,070 7497

TOTAL RETAIL INDUSTRIES CALCULATIONS

MANHATTAN CB32002 2007 2002 2007

Total Industries 103,698 104,063 8,968 9,744

Retail Industries 11,795 11,657 1333 1390

Borough Effect

Change in Total Industries in Manhattan 0.3520%Expected Change in CB3 Retail Industries 4.691942

Borough Effect 4.691942

Industry Mix Effect Note: TIM = Total Industries in ManhattanChange in Retail Industries in Manhattan -1.1700%Difference [Change RIM - Change TIM] -0.015220[Ch Borough Retail - Ch T Borough Industry][Ch Large Area Retail - Ch T Large Area Industry]

Expected Change in CB3 Retail Industries -20.28787Industry Mix Effect -20.28787

Competitive EffectChange in Retail Industries in CB3 4.27607%Difference [Change RICB3 - Change RIM] 0.054461[Ch Local Retail - Ch Borough Retail][Ch Small Area Retail - Ch Large Area Retail]

How much better or worse were RICB3 72.59593Competitive Effect 72.59593

Check %Borough Effect 4.691942 8.231%Industry Mix Effect -20.28787 -35.593%Competitive Effect 72.59593 127.361%

SUM 57

CB3 Retail Year 2007 1390Year 2002 1333

Difference 57

Counties 2007Total Industries Retail Accommodations & FoodTotal 1-4' Total 1-4' Total

15,061 9,881 3,460 2,408 1,35440,302 27,339 8,358 5,925 3,227

103,698 60,494 11,657 6,945 8,49738,612 25,775 6,715 4,691 3,597

7,677 4,855 1,254 713 652205,350 128,344 31,444 20,682 17,327

TOTAL ACCOMMODATIONS & FOOD INDUSTRIES CALCULATIONS

MANHATTAN CB32002 2007 2002 2007

Total Industries 103,698 104,063 8,968 9,744

Acc & Food Industries 7,636 8,497 1159 1443

Borough Effect

Change in Total Industries in Manhattan 0.35198%Expected Change in CB3 A&F Industries 4.07949

Borough Effect 4.07949

Industry Mix Effect Note: TIM = Total Industries in ManhattanChange in A&F Industries in Manhattan 11.2755%Difference [Change A&FIM - Change TIM] 0.109236[Ch City A&F - Ch T Borough Industry][Ch Large Area A&F - Ch T Large Area Industry]

Expected Change in CB3 A&F Industries 126.604Industry Mix Effect 126.604

Competitive EffectChange in A&F Industries in CB3 24.5039%Difference [Change A&FICB3 - Change A&FIM 0.132283[Ch Local A&F - Ch Borough A&F][Ch Small Area A&F - Ch Large Area A&F]

How much better or worse were A&FICB3 153.3165Competitive Effect 153.3165

Check %Borough Effect 4.07949 1%Industry Mix Effect 126.604 45%Competitive Effect 153.3165 54%

SUM 284

CB3 A&FYear 2007 1443Year 2002 1159

Difference 284

CB3 Zip Code 2002Accommodations & Food Total Industries Retail

1-4' Total 1-4' Total 1-4'873 15,616 10,128 10002 458 325

1,974 44,253 30,173 10003 490 2473,122 104,063 60,199 10009 142 912,275 41,740 28,450 10038 243 152

337 8,398 5,310 1333 8158581 214,070 134,260

CB3 Zip Code 2007Accommodations & Food Total IndustriesTotal 1-4' Total 1-4'

312 203 2,269 1,633 10002456 174 3,616 2,132 10003186 103 921 644 10009205 90 2,162 1,182 10038

1159 570 8,968 5,591

CB3 Zip Code 2007Retail Accommodations & Food Total IndustriesTotal 1-4' Total 1-4' Total

514 370 476 303 2,685482 236 539 188 4,049162 113 213 117 1,027232 141 215 119 1,983

1390 860 1443 727 9,744

Total Industries1-4'

1,9092,415

7251,1196,168

COUNTY & ZIP CODE CALCULATIONS (SHIFT-SHARE ANALYSIS)Comparing Retail and Accommodations & Food Services between NYC and CB3Counties 2002

Retail Accommodations & FoodTotal 1-4' Total 1-4'

Bronx 3,369 2,411 1,165 742Kings 7,768 5,536 2,532 1,548New York 11,795 7,218 7,636 2,913Queens 6,536 4,573 3,154 1,976Richmond 1,249 743 583 318

30,717 20,481 15,070 7497

TOTAL RETAIL INDUSTRIES CALCULATIONS

NYC CB32002 2007 2002 2007

Total Industries 205,350 214,070 8,968 9,744

Retail Industries 30,717 31,444 1333 1390

City Effect

Change in Total Industries in NYC 4.24641%Expected Change in CB3 Retail Industries 56.60463

City Effect 56.60463

Industrial Mix Effect Note: TINYC = Total Industries in New York City Change in Retail Industries in NYC 2.36677%Difference [Change RINYC - Change TINYC] -0.018796[Ch City Retail - Ch T City Industry][Ch Large Area Retail - Ch T Large Area Industry]

Expected Change in CB3 Retail Industries -25.05561Industrial Mix Effect -25.05561

Competitive EffectChange in Retail Industries in CB3 4.27607%Difference [Change RICB3 - Change RINYC ] 0.019093[Ch Local Retail - Ch City Retail][Ch Small Area Retail - Ch Large Area Retail]

How much better or worse were RICB3 25.45099Competitive Effect 25.45099

Check %City Effect 56.60463 99%Industry Mix Effect -25.05561 -44%Competitive Effect 25.45099 45%

SUM 57 100%

CB3 Retail Year 2007 1390Year 2002 1333

Difference 57

Counties 2007Total Industries Retail Total 1-4' Total 1-4'

15,061 9,881 3,460 2,40840,302 27,339 8,358 5,925

103,698 60,494 11,657 6,94538,612 25,775 6,715 4,691

7,677 4,855 1,254 713205,350 128,344 31,444 20,682

TOTAL ACCOMMODATIONS & FOOD INDUSTRIES CALCULATIONS

NYC CB32002 2007 2002 2007

Total Industries 205,350 214,070 8,968 9,744

Acc & Food Industries 15,070 17,327 1159 1443

City Effect

Change in Total Industries in NYC 4.24641%Expected Change in CB3 A&F Industries 49.21588

City Effect 49.21588

Note: TINYC = Total Industries in New York City Industrial Mix Effect Note: TINYC = Total Industries in New York CityChange in A&F Industries in NYC 14.9768%Difference [Change A&FINYC - Change TINYC] 0.107304[Ch City A&F - Ch T City Industry][Ch Large Area A&F - Ch T Large Area Industry]

Expected Change in CB3 A&F Industries 124.3649Industrial Mix Effect 124.3649

Competitive EffectChange in A&F Industries in CB3 24.5039%Difference [Change A&FICB3 - Change A&FIN 0.095271[Ch Local A&F - Ch City A&F][Ch Small Area A&F - Ch Large Area A&F]

How much better or worse were A&FICB3 110.4192Competitive Effect 110.4192

Check %City Effect 49.21588 17%Industry Mix Effect 124.3649 44%Competitive Effect 110.4192 39%

SUM 284 100%

CB3 A&FYear 2007 1443Year 2002 1159

Difference 284

CB3 Zip Code 2002Accommodations & Food Total IndustriesTotal 1-4' Total 1-4'

1,354 873 15,616 10,128 100023,227 1,974 44,253 30,173 100038,497 3,122 104,063 60,199 100093,597 2,275 41,740 28,450 10038

652 337 8,398 5,31017,327 8581 214,070 134,260

Note: TINYC = Total Industries in New York City

CB3 Zip Code 2002Retail Accommodations & FoodTotal 1-4' Total 1-4'

458 325 312 203490 247 456 174142 91 186 103243 152 205 90

1333 815 1159 570

CB3 Zip Code 2007Total Industries RetailTotal 1-4' Total 1-4'

2,269 1,633 10002 514 3703,616 2,132 10003 482 236

921 644 10009 162 1132,162 1,182 10038 232 1418,968 5,591 1390 860

Accommodations & Food Total IndustriesTotal 1-4' Total

476 303 2,685 1,909539 188 4,049 2,415213 117 1,027 725215 119 1,983 1,119

1443 727 9,744 6,168

COUNTY & ZIP CODE CALCULATIONS (SHIFT-SHARE ANALYSIS)Comparing Retail and Accommodations & Food Services between NYC and CB3 for industries with 1-4 employess Counties 2002

Retail Accommodations & FoodTotal 1-4' Total 1-4'

Bronx 3,369 2,411 1,165 742Kings 7,768 5,536 2,532 1,548New York 11,795 7,218 7,636 2,913Queens 6,536 4,573 3,154 1,976Richmond 1,249 743 583 318

30,717 20,481 15,070 7497

1-4' RETAIL INDUSTRIES CALCULATIONS

NYC CB32002 2007 2002 2007

Total Industries 128,344 134,260 5,591 6,168

Retail Industries 20,481 20,682 815 860

City Effect

Change in Total Industries in NYC 4.60949%Expected Change in CB3 Retail Industries 37.56732

City Effect 37.56732

Industry Mix Effect Note TINYC = Total Industries in New York CityChange in Retail Industries in NYC 0.98140%Difference [Change RINYC - Change TINYC] -0.036281[Ch City Retail - Ch T City Industry][Ch Large Area Retail - Ch T Large Area Industry]

Expected Change in CB3 Retail Industries -29.56893Industry Mix Effect -29.56893

Competitive EffectChange in Retail Industries in CB3 5.52147%Difference [Change RICB3 - Change RINYC ] 0.045401[Ch Local Retail - Ch City Retail][Ch Small Area Retail - Ch Large Area Retail]

How much better or worse were RICB3 37.00161Competitive Effect 37.00161

Check %City Effect 37.56732 83.5%Industry Mix Effect -29.56893 -65.7%Competitive Effect 37.00161 82.2%

SUM 45 100.0%

CB3 Retail Year 2007 860Year 2002 815

Difference 45

Comparing Retail and Accommodations & Food Services between NYC and CB3 for industries with 1-4 employess Counties 2007

Total Industries Retail Accommodations & FoodTotal 1-4' Total 1-4' Total

15,061 9,881 3,460 2,408 1,35440,302 27,339 8,358 5,925 3,227

103,698 60,494 11,657 6,945 8,49738,612 25,775 6,715 4,691 3,597

7,677 4,855 1,254 713 652205,350 128,344 31,444 20,682 17,327

1-4' ACCOMMODATIONS & FOOD INDUSTRIES CALCULATIONS

NYC CB32002 2007 2002 2007

Total Industries 128,344 134,260 5,591 6,168

Acc & Food Industries 7,497 8,581 570 727

City Effect

Change in Total Industries in NYC 4.60949%Expected Change in CB3 A&F Industries 26.27408

City Effect 26.27408

Industry Mix Effect Note TINYC = Total Industries in New York CityChange in A&F Industries in NYC 14.4591%Difference [Change A&FINYC - Change TINYC] 0.098496[Ch City A&F - Ch T City Industry][Ch Large Area A&F - Ch T Large Area Industry]

Expected Change in CB3 A&F Industries 56.14289Industry Mix Effect 56.14289

Competitive EffectChange in A&F Industries in CB3 27.5439%Difference [Change A&FICB3 - Change A&FIN 0.130847[Ch Local A&F - Ch City A&F][Ch Small Area A&F - Ch Large Area A&F]

How much better or worse were A&FICB3 74.58303Competitive Effect 74.58303

Check City Effect 26.27408 16.74%Industry Mix Effect 56.14289 35.76%Competitive Effect 74.58303 47.51%

SUM 157 100.00%

CB3 A&FYear 2007 727Year 2002 570

Difference 157

CB3 Zip Code 2002Accommodations & Food Total Industries Retail

1-4' Total 1-4' Total 1-4'873 15,616 10,128 10002 458 325

1,974 44,253 30,173 10003 490 2473,122 104,063 60,199 10009 142 912,275 41,740 28,450 10038 243 152

337 8,398 5,310 1333 8158581 214,070 134,260

CB3 Zip Code 2007Accommodations & Food Total IndustriesTotal 1-4' Total 1-4'

312 203 2,269 1,633 10002456 174 3,616 2,132 10003186 103 921 644 10009205 90 2,162 1,182 10038

1159 570 8,968 5,591

CB3 Zip Code 2007Retail Accommodations & Food Total IndustriesTotal 1-4' Total 1-4' Total

514 370 476 303 2,685482 236 539 188 4,049162 113 213 117 1,027232 141 215 119 1,983

1390 860 1443 727 9,744

Total Industries

1,9092,415

7251,1196,168

COUNTY & ZIP CODE CALCULATIONS (SHIFT-SHARE ANALYSIS)Comparing Retail and Accommodations & Food Services between Manhattan and CB3 for industries with 1-4 employess Counties 2002

Retail Accommodations & FoodTotal 1-4' Total 1-4'

Bronx 3,369 2,411 1,165 742Kings 7,768 5,536 2,532 1,548New York 11,795 7,218 7,636 2,913Queens 6,536 4,573 3,154 1,976Richmond 1,249 743 583 318

30,717 20,481 15,070 7497

1-4' RETAIL INDUSTRIES CALCULATIONS

MANHATTAN CB32002 2007 2002 2007

Total Industries 60,494 60,199 5,591 6,168

Retail Industries 7,218 6,945 815 860

Borough Effect

Change in Total Industries in Manhattan -0.4877%Expected Change in CB3 Retail Industries -3.974361

Borough Effect -3.974361

Industry Mix Effect Note: TIM = Totail Industries in ManhattanChange in Retail Industries in Manhattan -3.7822%Difference [Change RIM - Change TIM] -0.032946[Ch Borough Retail - Ch T Borough Industry][Ch Large Area Retail - Ch T Large Area Industry]

Expected Change in CB3 Retail Industries -26.85066Industry Mix Effect -26.85066

Competitive EffectChange in Retail Industries in CB3 5.52147%Difference [Change RICB3 - Change RIM] 0.093037[Ch Local Retail - Ch Borough Retail][Ch Small Area Retail - Ch Large Area Retail]

How much better or worse were RICB3 75.82502Competitive Effect 75.82502

Check Borough Effect -3.974361 -9%Industry Mix Effect -26.85066 -60%Competitive Effect 75.82502 169%

SUM 45 100%

CB3 Retail Year 2007 860Year 2002 815

Difference 45

Comparing Retail and Accommodations & Food Services between Manhattan and CB3 for industries with 1-4 employess Counties 2007

Total Industries Retail Total 1-4' Total 1-4'

15,061 9,881 3,460 2,40840,302 27,339 8,358 5,925

103,698 60,494 11,657 6,94538,612 25,775 6,715 4,691

7,677 4,855 1,254 713205,350 128,344 31,444 20,682

1-4' ACCOMMODATIONS & FOOD INDUSTRIES CALCULATIONS

MANHATTAN CB32002 2007 2002 2007

Total Industries 60,494 60,199 5,591 6,168

Acc & Food Industries 2,913 3,122 570 727

Borough Effect

Change in Total Industries in Manhattan -0.48765%Expected Change in CB3 A&F Industries -2.7796145

Borough Effect -2.7796145

Industry Mix Effect Note: TIM = Totail Industries in ManhattanChange in A&F Industries in Manhattan 7.1747%Difference [Change A&FIM - Change TIM] 0.076624[Ch Borough A&F - Ch T Borough Industry][Ch Large Area A&F - Ch T Large Area Industry]

Expected Change in CB3 A&F Industries 43.675598Industry Mix Effect 43.675598

Competitive EffectChange in A&F Industries in CB3 27.5439%Difference [Change A&FICB3 - Change A&FIM 0.203691[Ch Local A&F - Ch Borough A&F][Ch Small Area A&F - Ch Large Area A&F]

How much better or worse were A&FICB3 116.10402Competitive Effect 116.10402

Check Borough Effect -2.7796145 -2%Industry Mix Effect 43.675598 28%Competitive Effect 116.10402 74%

SUM 157 100%

CB3 A&FYear 2007 727Year 2002 570

Difference 157

CB3 Zip Code 2002Accommodations & Food Total IndustriesTotal 1-4' Total 1-4'

1,354 873 15,616 10,128 100023,227 1,974 44,253 30,173 100038,497 3,122 104,063 60,199 100093,597 2,275 41,740 28,450 10038

652 337 8,398 5,31017,327 8581 214,070 134,260

Note: TIM = Totail Industries in Manhattan

CB3 Zip Code 2002Retail Accommodations & FoodTotal 1-4' Total 1-4'

458 325 312 203490 247 456 174142 91 186 103243 152 205 90

1333 815 1159 570

CB3 Zip Code 2007Total Industries RetailTotal 1-4' Total 1-4'

2,269 1,633 10002 514 3703,616 2,132 10003 482 236

921 644 10009 162 1132,162 1,182 10038 232 1418,968 5,591 1390 860

Accommodations & Food Total IndustriesTotal 1-4' Total 1-4'

476 303 2,685 1,909539 188 4,049 2,415213 117 1,027 725215 119 1,983 1,119

1443 727 9,744 6,168