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AP Biology Discussion Thursday 3/19/2015

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Question of the day 3/19 What is the probability of getting “tails” when you flip a two-sided fair coin?

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Page 1: AP Biology Discussion Thursday 3/19/2015. Goals for the day Be able to predict patterns of inheritance and interpret pedigrees. Be able to use probabilities

AP Biology Discussion

Thursday 3/19/2015

Page 2: AP Biology Discussion Thursday 3/19/2015. Goals for the day Be able to predict patterns of inheritance and interpret pedigrees. Be able to use probabilities

Goals for the day

• Be able to predict patterns of inheritance and interpret pedigrees.

• Be able to use probabilities to predict the likelihood of different outcomes

• Be able to work with Sex-linked traits in genetics problems & pedigrees

Page 3: AP Biology Discussion Thursday 3/19/2015. Goals for the day Be able to predict patterns of inheritance and interpret pedigrees. Be able to use probabilities

Question of the day 3/19What is the probability of getting “tails” when you flip a two-sided fair coin?

Page 4: AP Biology Discussion Thursday 3/19/2015. Goals for the day Be able to predict patterns of inheritance and interpret pedigrees. Be able to use probabilities

Probability• Probability is the likeliness that an event will

occur.

• When talk about a probability we might think of it as a percentage or fraction.

• Let’s think about it as a fraction first:

The number of possible outcomes

The number of outcomes you want12

Page 5: AP Biology Discussion Thursday 3/19/2015. Goals for the day Be able to predict patterns of inheritance and interpret pedigrees. Be able to use probabilities

Probability Practice

• If I have 2 fair coins, what are the chances of getting heads on both coins when thrown simultaneously?

Page 6: AP Biology Discussion Thursday 3/19/2015. Goals for the day Be able to predict patterns of inheritance and interpret pedigrees. Be able to use probabilities

Probability

• If you say “AND” – multiply

• If you say “OR” - add

Page 7: AP Biology Discussion Thursday 3/19/2015. Goals for the day Be able to predict patterns of inheritance and interpret pedigrees. Be able to use probabilities

Probability Practice

• If I have 2 fair coins, what are the chances of getting heads on both coins when thrown simultaneously?

Page 8: AP Biology Discussion Thursday 3/19/2015. Goals for the day Be able to predict patterns of inheritance and interpret pedigrees. Be able to use probabilities

Probability Practice

• If I have 2 fair coins, what are the chances of getting one head and one tails?

Page 9: AP Biology Discussion Thursday 3/19/2015. Goals for the day Be able to predict patterns of inheritance and interpret pedigrees. Be able to use probabilities

Probability Practice• Let’s think genotypes & gametes now…• What is the probability of a heterozygote

parent giving their offspring a recessive allele?

Page 10: AP Biology Discussion Thursday 3/19/2015. Goals for the day Be able to predict patterns of inheritance and interpret pedigrees. Be able to use probabilities

Probability Practice• Let’s think genotypes & gametes now…• What is the probability that parents who were

both heterozygous ( )for a trait would have a homozygous dominant ( )offspring?

Page 11: AP Biology Discussion Thursday 3/19/2015. Goals for the day Be able to predict patterns of inheritance and interpret pedigrees. Be able to use probabilities

It will get harder…• What is the probability of a parent who has

the genotype: AaBBCcDdEeff will produce a gamete that has aBcdef?

• Just remember you can break the question into pieces! Make it managable!

Page 12: AP Biology Discussion Thursday 3/19/2015. Goals for the day Be able to predict patterns of inheritance and interpret pedigrees. Be able to use probabilities

Sex-linked vs Autosomal

Page 13: AP Biology Discussion Thursday 3/19/2015. Goals for the day Be able to predict patterns of inheritance and interpret pedigrees. Be able to use probabilities

Karyotype #1

Page 14: AP Biology Discussion Thursday 3/19/2015. Goals for the day Be able to predict patterns of inheritance and interpret pedigrees. Be able to use probabilities

Sex-linked vs Autosomal• Trait/gene on one

of your 22 pairs of Autosomes (non-sex chromosomes)

Possible genotypes:

Page 15: AP Biology Discussion Thursday 3/19/2015. Goals for the day Be able to predict patterns of inheritance and interpret pedigrees. Be able to use probabilities

Sex-linked vs Autosomal• Trait/gene linked to

sex chromosomes (X or Y)

• X-linked trait – only found on the X chromosome

Possible genotypes:Females:

Males: (HEMIzygous

Page 16: AP Biology Discussion Thursday 3/19/2015. Goals for the day Be able to predict patterns of inheritance and interpret pedigrees. Be able to use probabilities

Sex-linked vs Autosomal

• What kind of traits have we been dealing with?

Page 17: AP Biology Discussion Thursday 3/19/2015. Goals for the day Be able to predict patterns of inheritance and interpret pedigrees. Be able to use probabilities

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Pedigrees

Page 18: AP Biology Discussion Thursday 3/19/2015. Goals for the day Be able to predict patterns of inheritance and interpret pedigrees. Be able to use probabilities

Pedigree Conventions

Page 19: AP Biology Discussion Thursday 3/19/2015. Goals for the day Be able to predict patterns of inheritance and interpret pedigrees. Be able to use probabilities

STEP 1: Find parents that match each other, but don’t match their children

• From this you will be able to determine whether a trait is dominant or recessive by answering the following questions.

Page 20: AP Biology Discussion Thursday 3/19/2015. Goals for the day Be able to predict patterns of inheritance and interpret pedigrees. Be able to use probabilities

Can affected parents have unaffected childrenYes = ___________

How probable is it? It is impossible?

Page 21: AP Biology Discussion Thursday 3/19/2015. Goals for the day Be able to predict patterns of inheritance and interpret pedigrees. Be able to use probabilities

Can affected parents have unaffected childrenYes = ___________

Page 22: AP Biology Discussion Thursday 3/19/2015. Goals for the day Be able to predict patterns of inheritance and interpret pedigrees. Be able to use probabilities

Can unaffected parents have affected children?Yes = ___________

Page 23: AP Biology Discussion Thursday 3/19/2015. Goals for the day Be able to predict patterns of inheritance and interpret pedigrees. Be able to use probabilities

Can unaffected parents have affected childrenYes = ___________

Page 24: AP Biology Discussion Thursday 3/19/2015. Goals for the day Be able to predict patterns of inheritance and interpret pedigrees. Be able to use probabilities

Sex-linked vs. Autosomal

Page 25: AP Biology Discussion Thursday 3/19/2015. Goals for the day Be able to predict patterns of inheritance and interpret pedigrees. Be able to use probabilities

STEP 2: Determine whether this trait might be Autosomal

or Sex-linked.

• If it is recessive ask yourself….

• If it is dominant ask yourself…

Page 26: AP Biology Discussion Thursday 3/19/2015. Goals for the day Be able to predict patterns of inheritance and interpret pedigrees. Be able to use probabilities

Do only Men Have it?

Yes COULD = ___________

Page 27: AP Biology Discussion Thursday 3/19/2015. Goals for the day Be able to predict patterns of inheritance and interpret pedigrees. Be able to use probabilities

If it is a recessive trait, can affected mothers have unaffected sons?

Yes = ___________

Page 28: AP Biology Discussion Thursday 3/19/2015. Goals for the day Be able to predict patterns of inheritance and interpret pedigrees. Be able to use probabilities

Do men have the trait more often than women?

Yes COULD = ___________

Page 29: AP Biology Discussion Thursday 3/19/2015. Goals for the day Be able to predict patterns of inheritance and interpret pedigrees. Be able to use probabilities

If it is dominant, are the daughters of affected dads also affected?

No = ___________

Page 30: AP Biology Discussion Thursday 3/19/2015. Goals for the day Be able to predict patterns of inheritance and interpret pedigrees. Be able to use probabilities

Pedigrees & Probabilities Practice