a.p. møller - mærsk...the a.p. moller - maersk group is represented in 130 countries, employing...
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A.P. Møller - MærskDDF: Virksomhedsdagen, June 2013
Forward-lookingStatementsThis presentation containsforward-looking statements. Suchstatements are subject to risks anduncertainties as various factors,many of which are beyond A.P.Møller - Mærsk A/S’ control, maycause actual development andresults to differ materially from theexpectations contained in thepresentation.
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Executive summeryAgenda
1. Setting the stage
2. Strategy and ambitions Maersk Line Maersk Oil APM Terminals Maersk Drilling
3. Portfolio Management
4. Financing
5. Q&A
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Company profileThe A.P. Moller - Maersk Group is represented in 130 countries, employing around 121,000 people and isheadquartered in Copenhagen, Denmark. Our market cap is USD 32bn and the Group reported USD 4bnnet profit in 2012.
Facilitating global containerized tradeMaersk Line carries around 14% of all seaborne containers and, together with APM Terminals andDamco, provides infrastructure for global trade
Supporting the global demand for energyThe Group is involved with production of oil and gas and other oil related activities including drilling,offshore services, towage and transportation of crude oil and products
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Strategy and ambitions
Group strategic focus
Invest in profitable growth with the objective to at
least meet the Group’s historical ROIC at 10%
over the cycle;
USD > 1bn profit contribution from each of thefour core growth units;
Continue historical trend of increasing dividends
per share supported by underlying earnings
growth;
Secure liquidity buffer and maintain a
conservative capital structure;
Comply with the financial ratios required of a
strong investment grade rated company – over
the cycle
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Damco | Svitzer | Maersk Tankers | Maersk Supply Service
Dansk Supermarked | Danske Bank
DFDS | Höegh Autoliners | Others
Building four world class businesses
Maersk Line Maersk Oil APM Terminals Maersk Drilling
Opportunistic core
Strategic investments
Assets managed for value
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Executing on Groupstrategy Q1 2013
Profit was USD 790m and ROIC was 8.0%
Maersk Line reduced unit costs mainly throughvessel network efficiencies and increased ratesenabled through active capacity adjustments
Maersk Oil executed on;
Two field development plans approved(Balloch, UK and Tyra SE, DK)
The El Merk field in Algeria went onstream
Entitlement production declined, whileproduction stabilised when adjusted forthe reduced share of DUC
2P reserves increased 4% in 2012
APM Terminals and Maersk Drilling are ontrack
Balance sheet prepared for future investmentsas net interest-bearing debt declined by USD1.1bn during Q1
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The group is in a good position to capitalize on growth in emergingcountries - more than half of our profit comes from here ...
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... which also entails risks.
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Maersk Line
Strategic focus
Top quartile performer
EBIT margin 5% above peers
Growing with market and funded by itsown cash flow
Delivering stable returns above cost ofcapital
Getting value premium from customers
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Maersk Line EBIT margin gap to peers
Note1: The peer group includes CMA CGM, Hapag-Lloyd, APL, Hanjin, Hyundai MM, Zim, NYK, MOL, CSCL, COSCO and OOCL. Averages are TEU-weightedNote2: CSCL, COSCO and OOCL only provide interim financials, hence their Q1/Q2 EBIT margin is based on their H1 gap and Q3/Q4 EBIT-margin is based on their H2 gap to ML.13Q1 Chinese carriers’ EBIT margin has been proxied using the average of 08H1 to 12H2 gap to MLBNote3: EBIT margins are adjusted for gains/losses on sale of assets, restructuring charges, income/loss from associates. In addition ML‟s EBIT margin is also adjusted for depreciationsto match with industry standards.Source: Internal reports, competitor financial reports
-02%
01%
05% 05%
10%
13%
05% 06%05%
07%
01%
00%
05%
03%04%
01% 01%
03%04%
07%
05%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
08Q1 08Q3 09Q1 09Q3 10Q1 10Q3 11Q1 11Q3 12Q1 12Q3 13Q1
Gap to peersEBIT-margin, pp
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Strategic focus
Producing >400,000 boepd
Double digit returns
Building reserves towards 10 years
production
Strong transparent organisation
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Maersk Oil
Project Maturation ProcessExploration ProductionReservesResources
>100 mmboe 50-100 mmboe <50 mmboe
Bubble size indicates estimate of net resources:
Primarily oil Primarily gas Discoveries and prospects(Size of bubbles do not reflect volumes)
Colour indicates resource type:
Maersk Oil’s portfolio
Initiate &Discoveries Assess Select Define Execute Assets
Total no. of projectsper phase
110
Prospects inthe pipeline
11 40 22 13 12
Diamante
Mangesh
Mjosa
Rothesay
Bo
Xana
Blackjack
Oceanographer
Gara
Torvastad
Griffon
Mulavi
SwaraTika East
Kopervik
Rascasso Algeria
Denmark
Kazakhstan
Brazil
Qatar
Total of 110 explorationprospects and leads inthe exploration pipeline
GoldenEagle
Chissonga
Johan Sverdrup
Buckskin
Swara Tika
Courageous
Flyndre &Cawdor
Quad 9gas blow-down
Culzean
Jackdaw
AddaTyraL Cret
Wahoo
ItaipuTyra LE
Farsund
Tyra SE
Jack I
UK
Dunga III
ZidaneOckley
Valdemar WI
Jack II
FDP 2012
Uncertainty
Azul-Celeste-Turquesa
Caporolo
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APM Terminals
Strategic focus
Best port operator in the world
Strong brand; at least 50% revenue
from third party customers
More attractive terminals in growth
markets
USD >1bn annual profit (NOPAT) in
2016
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APM Terminals: Projects under implementation
Monrovia
Projects underimplementation
SCCT Ph 2
MV2
Aqaba Ph 2
Santos
Vado
CTW
Callao
Moin
Poti
Pipavav
Apapa Ph2
Initiation phase
Planning phase
Execution phase
Completed
Gothenburg
Lazaro Cardenas
Izmir
PTPOnne
Ningbo
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Maersk Drilling
Strategic focus
Top quartile performer
Up to 30 high-end rigs mainly for
harsh environment and deep water
USD >1bn profit annual (NOPAT) in
2018
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Maersk Drilling: Fleet expansion with goodcontract coverage
98%
79%
51%
41%
0%10%
20%30%
40%50%
60%70%
80%90%
100%
2013 RoY 2014 2015 2016
Contract backlog
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0
5
10
15
20
25
30
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013E 2014E 2015E
# unitsMaersk Drilling fleet
Standard jack-ups High-end jack-ups Ultra harsh jack-ups
Midwater floaters Ultra deepwater floaters
10 108
11
15 16 16 16 17
22 23
Capital is focused on our core growth business
37%
14%9%7%
33%
Maersk Line Maersk Oil APM TerminalsMaersk Drilling Other
Invested capital Our portfolio strategy towards 2017
At least 75% of the invested capital iswithin the four core growth businesses
Maersk Line’s share of the Group’s investedcapital is likely to be reduced towards a25–30% range
Maersk Oil, APM Terminals and Maersk Drilling’scombined share of the invested capital will increasetowards a 45–50% range
Growing the business by 30–40%
Maersk growth strategy continues with invested capitalgrowing 1.6% compared to Q1 2012
Portfolio optimization with the four core growthbusinesses’ share of the Group’s invested capital growingto 71% from 67% a year ago
Reduction in Maersk Tankers’s fleet, the divestment ofMaersk LNG and the sale of FPSOs mainly explain thelower invested capital in the other business operations
USD 52,243m
39%
12%11%
9%
29%
USD 53,086m
Q1 2012
Q1 2013Recent portfolio development – Q1 2013
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Cash flow from divestments ofUSD 10.4bn since 2007 with apre-tax gain of USD 4.4bn since2007
The Group made grossinvestments of USD 9.7bn in long-term growth in 2012, whereof 90%were focused on the four coregrowth businesses
Divestments of assets andactivities for USD 3.4bn in 2012,with Maersk LNG and FPSOMaersk Peregrino as the largesttransactions
Cash flow from divestments Divestment gains (pre-tax)
Active portfolio management
Cash flow and gains from divestments
,0
500,0
1000,0
1500,0
2000,0
2500,0
3000,0
3500,0
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
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Track record for growth – the cash flow usedfor capital expenditure has been USD 39bnaccumulated for the past five years as of endof 2012
The Group has capital commitments of USD13.6bn per 31 March 2013
Capital commitments for growth
Majority of the total capital commitments ofUSD 13.6bn is heading for the four core growthbusinesses
Our growth ambitions will result in significantinvestments
Newbuilding programme 2013 2014 2015 2016> Total
(Number)
Maersk Line 5 8 7 20
Maersk Drilling 1 5 1 7
Anchor handling vessels, tugboats and standby vessels, etc 5 8 13
Total 11 21 8 40
Capital commitments 2013 2014 2015 2016> Total
USD billion
Maersk Line 1.0 1.2 0.8 3.0
Maersk Oil 3.6
APM Terminals 3.1
Maersk Drilling 1.0 1.5 0.3 2.7Anchor handling vessels, tugboats and standby vessels, etc 0.1 0.1 0.2
Other 1.0Total 2.1 2.7 1.1 13.6
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Major Capex Commitments
Maersk Drilling currently hasseven rigs under construction.The orderbook includes threeultra harsh jack-up rigs and fourultra deepwater drillships. Thenew building programmerepresenting an investment ofUSD 4.5bn
Twenty Triple E vessels to bedelivered between 2013 and2015. No new orders have beenplaced after the Triple E
Maersk DrillingMaersk Line
Recently entered into anagreement to create andoperate Aegean GatewayTerminal (AGT) in Turkey. Theinitial investment for the terminalis approximately USD 400m.APM Terminals has total capitalcommitments of USD 3.1bn
APM Terminals Maersk Oil
Five major projects areapproved by the authorities andexecution is progressingtowards first production.Exploration expenses areexpected to be above USD1.0bn in 2013
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11
13
16
16
37
7
12
14
269
31
8
Export Credit Agencies
Shipfinancing institutions
Bank Financing
Bonds
Committed undrawn facilities
Project Financing
2011 – 2012Percentage
1. Optimising Debt portfolio
Raised more than USD 5bn in new financing
USD 1.9bn from the NOK, EUR and SEK bond markets
Issued Group’s first SEK 2,500m (~USD 380m) 5-year bondOctober 2012
2. Increasing financial flexibility
Continued focus on diversifying funding sources
Liquidity buffer of USD 13.6bn end 2012 up from USD 11.3bn
Average debt maturity about five years
No immediate refinancing needs
3. Strong execution on planned divestments
Continued divestment of non core businesses (USD 3.4bn)
Inner cycle 2011 debt portfolio compositionTotal commitment 2012 USD 30bn
Debt and funding
1.4
1.20.3 0.1
0.4
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
LNG FPSO – MaerskPeregrino
Maersk EquipmentServices (Chassis)
Xiamen China (from50% to 25%ownership)
Other
USD bn
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Cash flow and debt The Group reduced its net interest-bearing debt by
USD 1.1bn in Q1 2013 to USD 13.4bn compared toend-2012
The Group’s FY12 net interest-bearing debt has beenrestated from USD 15.7bn to USD 14.5bn as a result ofnew IFRS consolidation of Joint Venture rules
USD bn
* Other includes change in debt held for sale, currency adjustments, etc.
Development in Net Interest-bearing Debt
13.4
14.5 2.9
0.1 0.6
1.4 0.2 0.2
NIBD2012
EBITDA ∆ WC Paidtaxes
CAPEX Financialitems
Other* NIBD2013 Q1
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Final remarks
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We intend to grow our invested capital by 30-40%
We will increase our ROIC by portfolio optimisation andbeing disciplined on capex
We are financially prepared to fund both growth andincreased dividends
Q&A
| Side 25
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Consolidated financial information
Income statement (USD million) Q1 2013 Q1 2012 Change FY 2012
Revenue 14,047 14,327 -2.0% 59,089
EBITDA 2,890 2,467 17.2% 12,252
Depreciation, etc. 1,080 1,220 -11.5% 5,211
Gain on sale of non-current assets, etc. net 40 325 -87.7% 621
EBIT 1,941 1,646 17.9% 8,014
Profit before tax 1,690 1,493 13.2% 7,300
Profit for the period 790 1,175 -32.8% 4,038
Key figures (USD million) Q1 2013 Q1 2012 Change FY 2012
Cash Flow from operating activities 2,396 1,138 110.5% 7,506
Cash Flow used for capital expenditure -1,470 -837 75.6% -6,171
Net interest-bearing debt 13,439 14,399 -6.7% 14,489
Earnings per share (USD) 163 248 -34.3% 857
ROIC (%) 8.0 10.2 -2.2 8.9
Dividend per share (DKK) 1,200
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Return on invested capital
Breakdown of ROIC by businessGroup ROIC 2005-Q1 2013
Business InvestedcapitalUSDm
ROIC %Q1 2013
ROIC %Q1 2012
A. P. Moller –Maersk Group 53,086 8.0 10.2
Maersk Line 20,570 4.0 -12.7
Maersk Oil 6,515 20.6 76.5
APM Terminals 5,555 12.0 20.1
Maersk Drilling 4,692 13.0 13.0
Maersk SupplyService 2,164 10.1 7.8
Maersk Tankers 3,421 -1.7 -3.1
Damco 518 4.7 8.0
Svitzer 1,501 8.1 8.3
DanskSupermarkedGroup
2,824 7.5 6.9
Other 5,900 5.4 10.5
→ Ambition going forward is >10% ROIC
16%
10% 10% 10%
00%
12%
08%09%
08%
-2%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
18%
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Q12013
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The Group still expects a result for 2013 below the 2012 result (USD 4.0bn).The net result is expected to be in line with 2012 (USD 2.9bn) excludingimpairment losses, divestment gains and gain from the tax settlement inAlgeria. Cash flow used for capital expenditure is expected to be somewhathigher than the USD 6.2bn in 2012, while cash flow from operating activitiesis expected to develop in line with the result
Maersk Line still expects a result above 2012 (USD 461m) based primarilyon further unit cost reductions. Global demand for seaborne containers isexpected to increase by 2-4% in 2013, lower on the Asia–Europe trades butsupported by higher growth for imports to emerging economies
Maersk Oil still expects a result significantly below the result for 2012 (USD2.4bn), which included one-off income of USD 1.0bn from the Algerian taxdispute and divestment gains. The operational result is expected to be belowthe operational result for 2012 (USD 1.5bn) excluding the Algerian taxdispute and divestment gains. Maersk Oil expects its entitlement productionfor 2013 to be 240,000-250,000 boepd, lower in the first half than the secondhalf of 2013 at an average oil price of USD 105 per barrel. The lowerentitlement production is predominantly caused by a natural productiondecline from mature fields and reduced ownership share in Denmark,countered by start-up in El Merk and Gryphon. Exploration costs areexpected to be above USD 1.0bn
APM Terminals still expects a result above 2012 (USD 701m) and to growahead of the market supported by volumes from new terminals, whilstimproving productivity in existing facilities
Maersk Drilling still expects a result above the 2012 result (USD 347m)
The total result from all other activities is still expected to be above the2012 result excluding divestment gains and impairment losses
The outlook for 2013 is subject to considerable uncertainty, not least due todevelopments in the global economy
Sensitivities for the remainder of 2013
Outlook for 2013
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