api new hampshire poll

8/3/2019 API New Hampshire Poll

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Key findings from a statewide survey of 500 likely voters

with an oversample of 518 likely GOP primary voters

in New Hampshire conducted October 29-31, 2011.

FREDERICKpolls

Project #11565


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Public Opinion Strategies and F rederick Polls arepleased to present the key findings of a statewidetelephonesurvey conducted in New Hampshire. The

survey wascompleted October 29-31,

2011 among 500likely voters with a margin of er ror of +4.38% and anoversample of 518 li kely G OP pr imary voters with amargin of er ror of +4.30% .

G len Bolger and K eith F reder ick were the principalresearchers on this project. Jim Hobart was the project

support.


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4NEW HAMPSHIRE STATEWIDE ~ OCTOBER 29-31, 2011

RightDirection

16%

WrongTr ack77%

No Opinion5%

Refused2%*

A strong major ity of voters think thecountry is on the wrong track .G OP primary voters areespecially pessimistic.

General Electorate GOP Primary Electorate

National Mood

*DenotesRounding

RightDirection

5%

WrongTr ack92%

No Opinion2%

Refused1%


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StronglyApprove

18%

SomewhatApprove

24%

SomewhatDisapprove

12%

StronglyDisapprove

42%

Don't Know2%

Refused2%

-down overall.


Obama Approval

StronglyApprove

3% SomewhatApprove

8%

SomewhatDisapprove

13%

StronglyDisapprove

73%

Don't Know

2%

Refused1%

Total App rove: 42%Total D isapprove: 54%



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Approval of the president follows par ty lines, withIndependentsslightly more disapproving than approving.

Obama Approval by Party(General Electorate)

8%

40%

80%

90%

54%

15%

G OP(30%)

Ind/Lean(38%)

Dem(29%)

Total App rove Total D isapprove

+65%-14%-82%


7/327NEW HAMPSHIRE STATEWIDE ~ OCTOBER 29-31, 2011

StronglyApprove

1% SomewhatApprove

13%

SomewhatDisapprove

25%

StronglyDisapprove

55%

Don't Know

5%

Refused1%

A strong majority of voters disapprove of Congress.


Congressional Approval

*DenotesRounding

StronglyApprove

1% SomewhatApprove

14%

SomewhatDisapprove

32%

StronglyDisapprove

46%

Don't Know4%

Refused3%*


Total Approve: 16%*Total Disapprove: 79%*



StronglyApprove

22%

SomewhatApprove

28%

SomewhatDisapprove

14%

StronglyDisapprove

22%

Don't Know

13%

Refused1%

Senators Shaheen and Ayotte havesolid approval ratings.

JeanneShaheen Approval Kelly Ayotte Approval

General Electorate

*DenotesRounding

StronglyApprove

21%

SomewhatApprove

30%

SomewhatDisapprove

13%

StronglyDisapprove

17%

Don't Know18%

Refused1%


Total Approve: 50%*Total Disapprove: 30%



Approval of thesenators follows par ty lines. Ayottehas good ratings with Independent voters.

By Party (General Electorate)

30%

44%

80%

61%

37%

7%

G OP(30%)

Ind/Lean(38%)

Dem(29%)

Total App rove Total Disapprove

+73%+7%-31%

73%

49%

29%

13%

28%

49%

G OP(30%)

Ind/Lean(38%)

Dem(29%)

Total App rove Total D isapprove

JeanneShaheen Approval Kelly Ayotte Approval

-20%+21%+60%


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35%

47%

35%

51%

51%

52%

63%

67%

75%

73%

General Electorate G OP Primary Electorate

Improving education.

Having America become moreenergy independent byproducing more of theenergy we use here at home.

Making health care more affordable.

C reating jobs.

9.4

9.5

9.1

9.1

8.6

8.7

8.3

7.

5

Mean:Issue Importance Ranked by % 10s

Voters are most concerned about getting theeconomy moving againand creating jobs. Producing more U .S.energy is also important.

Getting theeconomy moving again.

8.3

7.7



Voters across par ty lines rank America becoming moreenergy independent as a very important issue.

Issue Rating by Party (General Electorate)

81% 76% 78%

53%49%

56%

G OP(30%)

Ind/Lean(38%)

Dem(29%)

8-10 10



A G reatDeal

27%

A FairAmount

49%

Only aLittle20%

Not at A ll4%

A significant major ity of voters are worriedabout the affordability of energy.


Total G reat Deal/Fair Amount: 76%Total A Little/Not At All: 24%

Total Great Deal/Fair Amount: 77%Total A Little/Not At All: 23%

A G reat

De

al30%

A FairAmount

47%

Only aLittle19%

Not at A ll4%



More ThanToday67%

Less ThanToday28%

Don't Know5%

The vast major ity of voters think Amer ica will needmore oil and natural gas in the future than today.


*DenotesRounding

More ThanToday78%

Less Than

Today19%

Don't Know3%*



Voters across all age groups think America will needmore oil and natural gas in the future.

By Age (General Electorate)

62%65%

63% 66%

76%

37%

29%33%

27%

18%

18-34(12%)

35-44(26%)

45-54(19%)

55-64(23%)

65+(19%)

More Than Today Less Than Today

+58%+36%+25% +30% +39%



G OP pr imary voters regardless of ideology believe that wewill need more oil and natural gas resources in the future.

By Ideology (G OP Primary E lectorate)

81% 79%

73%

14%17%

24%

Very Conservative(31%)

Somewhat Conservative(33%)

Moderate/L iberal(34%)


+49%+62%+67%


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StronglyFavor44%

SomewhatFavor29%

SomewhatOppose

11%

Strongly

Oppose8%

Don't Know

7%

Refused1%*

A substantial majority of voters favor increasedaccess to domestic oil resources.


*DenotesRounding

StronglyFavor67%

SomewhatFavor22%

SomewhatOppose

3%

StronglyOppose

4%

Don't Know

4%

Total Favor : 74%*Total Oppose: 19%

Total Favor : 88%*Total Oppose: 7%


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Majorities in all par ties are in favor of increasedaccess to domestic oil and natural gas resources.


86%76%

57%

9% 15%

35%

G OP(30%)

Ind/Lean(38%)

Dem(29%)

Total Favor Total Oppose

+22%+61%+77%


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North (14%)

Central (28%)

South (58%)

GeneralElection

Primary

Favor: 66% 81%Oppose: 22% 10%

GeneralE lec tion

Primary

Favor: 78% 92%Oppose: 16% 5%

GeneralE lec tion

Primary

Favor: 76% 91%Oppose: 19% 6%

Increased access to domestic oil/gasresources is favored throughout thestate.

By Region


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G OP pr imary voters across the ideological spectrum arestrongly in favor of increased access to domestic resources.

By Ideology (G OP Primary E lectorate)

90%92%

84%

7% 5%10%

Very Conservative(31%)

Somewhat Conservative(33%)

Moderate/L iberal(34%)


+74%+87%+83%


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55%

6%

52%

11%

45%

11%

45%

15%

29%

9%

85%

12%*

79%*

19%*

76%

20%

66%

29%

67%

20%

Strongly Agree Total Agree Strongly Disagree Total Disagree

Messages about job creation, increased securityand reduced costs resonate with voters.

Increased access to oil and natu ral gas resources here in North Americawould lead to more American jobs.

Expanding access to domestic oil and natural gas resources will help increase

reduce thecost to consumers for itemssuch as gasoline, diesel fuel,home heating oil and natura l gas.

Some in Washington are delaying the development of domestic oil and naturalgas reservesevery chance they get. These delays may mean an even tighter

supply of oil in the future, potentially hurting theeconomy and leadingto higher energy costs for consumers.

Ranked by % Strongly Agree(General Electorate)

When the federal government expands access to domesticsources of oil andnatural gas, they increase the amount of revenue the government treasury

receives because these additional oil and natura l gassupplies generatelease payments, royalty fees and other sources of government revenue.

*DenotesRounding


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Across party lines, a strong major ity of voters believe that increaseduse of domestic oil resources will lead to more Amer ican jobs.

Increased accessto oil and natural gas resources here in North America would leadto more American jobs.


93% 86%

77%

5%12%

20%

G OP(30%)

Ind/Lean(38%)

Dem(29%)

Total Agree Total D isagree

+57%+74%+88%


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73%

3%

72%

5%

61%

4%

59%

6%

42%

4%

92%*

5%

91%

8%

86%*

11%

80%

15%

80%

10%*

Strongly Agree Total Agree Strongly Disagree Total Disagree

G OP pr imary voters respond strongly to all of these messages.

Increased access to oil and natu ral gas resources here in North Americawould lead to more American jobs.

Expanding access to domestic oil and natural gas resources will help increase

reduce thecost to consumers for itemssuch as gasoline, diesel fuel,home heating oil and natura l gas.

Some in Washington are delaying the development of domestic oil and naturalgas reservesevery chance they get. These delays may mean an even tighter

supply of oil in the future, potentially hurting theeconomy and leadingto higher energy costs for consumers.

Ranked by % Strongly Agree(GOP Primary Electorate)

When the federal government expands access to domesticsources of oil andnatural gas, they increase the amount of revenue the government treasury

receives because these additional oil and natura l gassupplies generatelease payments, royalty fees and other sources of government revenue.

*DenotesRounding


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25WASHINGTON STATEWIDE POLICY BENCHMARK ~ SEPTEMBER 27-29, 2011

T H E B O T T O M L I N E

Both general election and Republican primary election voters are concerned about

America becoming more energy independent and also about the affordability ofenergy.

Voters overwhelmingly believe that the country will need more oil and natural gas in

the future than it needs today.

Both general election and primary voters strongly support increased access to domestic

and natural gas resources. Strong majorities of Republicans, Independents, and

Democrats all agree.

New Hampshire voters strongly agree that increased access to oil and natural gas

energy security.

New Hampshire voters believe that some in Washington are delaying development of

domestic oil and natural gas, which could lead to higher energy costs. They also

believe that expanding domestic access could decrease costs to consumers.


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Tea Party pr imary voters rate Amer ica becomingmoreenergy independent highly.

Issue Rating by Tea Party (GOP Primary Electorate)

86%77%

70%

80%

66%

44%37%

49%

Strongly Favor(29%)

Somewhat Favor(27%)

Total Unfavorable(14%)

D K/No Opinion(29%)

8-10 10


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Voters of both genders believe Amer ica will need moreoil and natural gas in the future than it does today.

By Gender

66% 68%

30%26%

Men(48%)

Women(52%)


+42%+36%


+60%+58%

78% 77%

20%17%

Men(48%)

Women(52%)



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Both genders favor increased use of domestic resources.

By Gender

81%

67%

15%

23%

Men(48%)

Women(52%)


+44%+66%


+73%+88%

93%83%

5% 10%

Men(48%)

Women(52%)



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Favorability toward increased access to domestic resourcesis high among voters of all income levels.

By Income

75% 71% 74%

19% 21% 19%

Under $40K(21%)

$40-80K(29%)

$80K+(39%)


+50%+56%


+78% +82%

+55%

87%88% 91%

9% 6% 7%

Under $40K(21%)

$40-80K(29%)

$80K+(39%)


+84%


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Pr imary voters who favor the Tea Party are almost unanimousin their favorabil ity toward using domestic oil resources.

95%95%

64%

87%

3% 3%

27%

6%

Strongly Favor(29%)

Somewhat Favor(27%)

Total Unfavorable(14%)

D K/No Opinion(29%)


By Tea Party (GOP Primary Electorate)

+92% +37%+92% +81%


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api new hampshire poll

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