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Page 1: Appendix 7-1 – Air Quality - Test Valley

Wheelabrator Harewood Waste-to-Energy Facility

Prepared for: WTI/EfW Holdings Ltd. AECOM

Appendix 7-1 – Air Quality

Page 2: Appendix 7-1 – Air Quality - Test Valley

Wheelabrator Harewood Waste-to-Energy Facility

Prepared for: WTI/EfW Holdings Ltd.

AECOM 1-1

Appendix 7-1: Air Quality

Wheelabrator Harewood Waste-to-Energy (WtE) Facility Preliminary Environmental Information Report (PEIR) WTI/EfW Holdings Ltd.

October 2019

Page 3: Appendix 7-1 – Air Quality - Test Valley

Wheelabrator Harewood Waste-to-Energy Facility

Prepared for: WTI/EfW Holdings Ltd.

AECOM 1-2

Table of Contents

1. Introduction .............................................................................................. 4

Overview ................................................................................................................................................. 4

2. Scope ...................................................................................................... 4

3. Assessment Criteria ................................................................................ 7

Environmental Standards ........................................................................................................................ 7

4. Methodology .......................................................................................... 10

Overview ............................................................................................................................................... 10

Construction Phase – Construction Dust Assessment ......................................................................... 10

Assessment of Demolition and Construction Dust ................................................................................ 14

Modelling of Combustion Emissions from the WtE Stack ..................................................................... 17

Modelled Domain – Discrete Receptors ............................................................................................... 21

Modelling of Emissions from Road Traffic ............................................................................................. 28

5. Baseline Air Quality ............................................................................... 32

Overview ............................................................................................................................................... 32

Local Authority Ambient Monitoring Data .............................................................................................. 32

Summary of Background Air Quality ..................................................................................................... 35

Predicted Baseline Pollutant Concentrations of NO2, PM10 and PM2.5 at Discrete Receptors

Close to Roads ...................................................................................................................................... 37

Dispersion Modelling Results ................................................................................................................ 37

Modelling Results for NO2 ..................................................................................................................... 39

Modelling Results: Plume Visibility........................................................................................................ 56

6. Assessment of Limitations and Assumptions ........................................ 56

7. Conclusions ........................................................................................... 57

References ...................................................................................................... 58

Figures

Figure 4-1: Wind roses for Middle Wallop Airbase, 2014 to 2018 ......................................................... 25 Figure 4-2: Proposed Development Building Layout Modelled by ADMS ............................................ 27 Figure 5-1: Predicted Process Contribution to Annual Mean Ground Level Pollutant Concentrations at

Stack Release Heights between 50 m and 120m ................................................................................. 38

Tables

Table 3-1: Environmental Standards for Air (for the Protection of Human Health) ................................. 7 Table 3-2: Critical Level (CLe) Environmental Assessment Levels for Air (for the Protection of

Designated Habitat Sites) ....................................................................................................................... 9 Table 4-1: Example definition of magnitude of demolition and construction activities .......................... 11 Table 4-2: Receptor sensitivity to demolition and construction dust effects ......................................... 11 Table 4-3: Sensitivity of the area to dust soiling effects on people and property .................................. 12 Table 4-4: Sensitivity of the area to human health impacts .................................................................. 12 Table 4-5: Sensitivity of the area to ecological impacts ........................................................................ 13 Table 4-6: Classification of risk of unmitigated impacts ........................................................................ 13 Table 4-7: Identification of receptors for construction dust assessment ............................................... 14 Table 4-8: Area sensitivity for receptors of construction dust ................................................................ 16 Table 4-9: Risk of impacts from unmitigated activities .......................................................................... 16 Table 4-10: General ADMS 5 Model Conditions ................................................................................... 17

Page 4: Appendix 7-1 – Air Quality - Test Valley

Wheelabrator Harewood Waste-to-Energy Facility

Prepared for: WTI/EfW Holdings Ltd.

AECOM 1-3

Table 4-11: Physical Properties, WtE Facility Stack .............................................................................. 18 Table 4-12: Air Emission Limit Values (ELVs) as Specified in the Industrial Emission Directive (IED,

2010/75/EU) and the BAT-AEELS......................................................................................................... 19 Table 7-4-13: Pollutant Emission Rates, WtE Process Stack (per stack) ............................................. 20 Table 4-14: Modelled Domain, Selected Discrete Human Receptor Locations .................................... 21 Table 4-15: Modelled Domain – Ecological Receptor Locations, Critical Levels and Baseline

Concentrations ...................................................................................................................................... 23 Table 7-4-16: Modelled Domain, Receptor Grid.................................................................................... 24 Table 4-17: Buildings incorporated into the modelling assessment ...................................................... 26 Table 4-18: Conversion Factors – Calculation of Nutrient Nitrogen Deposition .................................... 28 Table 4-19: Conversion Factors – Calculation of Acid Deposition ........................................................ 28 Table 4-20: General ADMS Roads Model Conditions ........................................................................... 29 Table 5-1: Summary of Monitored Annual Mean Concentrations of NO2 within Test Valley Borough

Council .................................................................................................................................................. 33 Table 5-2: Defra Background Concentrations ....................................................................................... 33 Table 5-3: Summary of Project Specific NO2 Diffusion Tube Monitoring in 2019 ................................. 34 Table 5-4: Project Specific SO2 and NH3 Diffusion Tube Monitoring .................................................... 34 Table 5-5: Background Concentrations Selected for use in the Assessment ...................................... 36 Table 5-6: Maximum Modelled Impact on Ground Level Concentrations, 1 g/s Emission Rate ........... 38 Table 5-7: Predicted Change in Annual Mean NO2 Concentrations at Discrete Receptors (µg/m3) due

to Emissions from the WtE and operational road traffic emissions, with Comparison against

Environmental Standard Criteria ........................................................................................................... 40 Table 5-8: Predicted Change in Annual Mean PM10 Concentrations at Discrete Receptors (µg/m3) due

to Emissions from the WtE and road traffic emissions, with Comparison against Environmental

Standard ................................................................................................................................................ 42 Table 5-9: Predicted Change in Annual Mean PM2.5 Concentrations at Discrete Receptors (µg/m3) due

to Emissions from the WtE and road traffic emissions, with Comparison against Environmental

Standard ................................................................................................................................................ 42 Table 5-10: 70m Stack, Maximum WtE Process Contribution and Predicted Environmental

Concentration, all Modelled Pollutants, for the Worst Case Meteorological Data Year ........................ 43 Table 5-11: 100m Stack, Predicted Process Contribution and Predicted Environmental Concentration,

for Cr (VI) and B[a]P, for the Worst Case Meteorological Data Year, using measured Emissions Data

from a comparable facility ..................................................................................................................... 45 Table 5-12: 70m Stack, Maximum WtE Process Contribution and Predicted Environmental

Concentration, all Modelled Pollutants, for the Worst Case Meteorological Data Year with Emissions at

Half Hour IED Emission Limits .............................................................................................................. 46 Table 5-13: Dispersion Modelling Results for Ecological Receptors using APIS background

concentrations - NOX ............................................................................................................................. 48 Table 5-14: Dispersion Modelling Results for Ecological Receptors – SO2 .......................................... 49 Table 5-15: Dispersion Modelling Results for Ecological Receptors – NH3 .......................................... 50 Table 5-16: Dispersion Modelling Results for Ecological Receptors – HF ............................................ 51 Table 5-17: Dispersion Modelling Results for Ecological Receptors – Nutrient Nitrogen Deposition

(kg/ha/yr) ............................................................................................................................................... 52 Table 5-18: Dispersion Modelling Results for Ecological Receptors – Total Acid Deposition N + S

(keq/ha/yr) ............................................................................................................................................. 53 Table 5-19: Impact on Ecological Receptors – Summary ..................................................................... 55

Page 5: Appendix 7-1 – Air Quality - Test Valley

Wheelabrator Harewood Waste-to-Energy Facility

Prepared for: WTI/EfW Holdings Ltd.

AECOM 4

1. Introduction

Overview This report provides a technical appendix to Chapter 7: Air Quality of the Preliminary

Environmental Information Report (PEIR).

AECOM has been instructed by WTI EfW holdings Ltd to assess the likely significant effects on

air quality as a result of Harewood Waste-to-Energy Facility (hereafter referred to as the

‘Proposed Development’). For more details about the Proposed Development, refer to Chapter

4: The Proposed Development of this PEIR.

Emissions to air from the facility have the potential to adversely affect human health and

sensitive ecosystems. This report identifies and proposes measures to address the potential

impacts and effects of the Proposed Development on air quality during enabling works,

construction, and commissioning, operation, and decommissioning. Emissions associated with

combustion plant have the potential to affect human health and sensitive ecosystems and

construction could give rise to potential localised air quality effects from traffic and dust

generation if not appropriately managed.

The magnitude of air quality impacts at sensitive human receptors has been quantified for

pollutants emitted from the main stacks of the facility. The impact of emissions on sensitive

ecological receptors will be considered in the context of relevant critical loads or critical levels

for designated nature sites.

In addition to the topics listed above, the dispersion modelling exercise will provide inputs to the

Human Health Risk Assessment (HHRA) that quantifies the potential long-term impacts of

emissions from the operation of the process on human health. The HHRA does not form part of

this PEIR but will be prepared and submitted as part of the Environmental Statement along with

the Development Consent Order application.

The assessment has considered emissions from the proposed facility during normal operational

conditions. Non routine emissions, such as those which may occur during the commissioning

process or other short-term events typically only occur on an infrequent basis, are detected by

the process control system and rectified within a short time period and are tightly regulated by

the Environment Agency. For this reason, no detailed consideration of impacts associated with

non-routine or emergency events will be included within this assessment.

2. Scope

Combustion Plant Emissions

The assessment has considered the impact of process emissions on local air quality, under

normal operating conditions, from the main stack serving the combustion process. The

assessment considers impacts in the year in which the Proposed Development is due to

commence operation, 2025.

The dispersion of emissions has been predicted using the latest version of the dispersion

model ADMS (currently version 5.2). The results are presented in both tabular format and as

contours of predicted ground level process contributions overlaid on mapping of the

surrounding area.

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Wheelabrator Harewood Waste-to-Energy Facility

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AECOM 5

Emissions to air from Energy from Waste facilities are currently governed by Directive

2010/75/EU and the Industrial Emissions Directive (IED), which was transposed into UK law in

February 2013 (The Environmental Permitting (England and Wales) (Amendment) Regulations

2013). This Directive amends, consolidates and replaces seven Directives on pollution from

industrial installations, including those relating to Integrated Pollution Prevention and Control

(0) and the Waste Incineration Directive (WID).

The IED contains measures relating to the control of emissions, including emissions to air, for

example by specifying minimum standards for gas temperature and the residence time of

combustion gases within the combustion chamber. The Directive sets limits on emissions of a

wide range of air pollutants and requires operators to monitor and report emissions to air as

well as to other environmental media. The emissions limits to air for waste treatment facilities

set out within the IED have been carried over from the Waste Incineration Directive.

The Proposed Development would be regulated under the IED and in accordance with the

waste incineration Best Available Technique Reference document (BRef). The current BRef is

under review, and the final draft of the updated waste incineration BRef was published in

December 2018. The BAT conclusions within the draft BRef are only draft at this stage; it is

however envisaged that these conclusions will largely apply in the final version of the adopted

BRef. At this point, the recommendations of the BRef will become enforceable through

Environmental Permits and the Environment Agency would set specific limits on the

Environmental Permit based on the BAT-associated emission levels (BAT-AELs).

The design of the flue gas treatment system needs to be fully compliant with current legislation,

meeting the requirements of BAT as well as the Environment Agency guidance on risk

assessment for environmental permits and the IED. In accordance with Article 15, paragraph 2,

of the IED, the emission limits that the plant will be designed to meet are based on BAT. BAT-

AELs are included in the BAT Reference document on Waste Incineration currently under

review and these have been applied in the air impact assessment accordingly.

The pollutants that are considered within this assessment from the main stack are:

• Oxides of nitrogen (NOx), as nitrogen dioxide (NO2);

• Particulate matter (as PM10 and PM2.5 size fractions);

• Carbon monoxide (CO);

• Sulphur dioxide (SO2);

• Hydrogen chloride (HCl);

• Hydrogen fluoride (HF);

• Twelve metals (cadmium (Cd), thallium (Tl), mercury (Hg), antimony (Sb), arsenic (As),

lead (Pb), chromium (Cr), cobalt (Co), copper (Cu), manganese (Mn), nickel (Ni) and

vanadium (V));

• Polycyclic Aromatic Hydrocarbons (PAH), as benzo[a]pyrene.

• Polychlorinated dibenzo-para-dioxins and polychlorinated dibenzo furans and dioxin-like

Polychlorinated Biphenyls (referred to as dioxins, furans and dioxin-like PCBs); and

• Volatile organic compounds (VOCs), as benzene.

Emissions of ammonia (NH3) from the facility are included in the assessment, due to potential

effects on sensitive ecosystems, directly through increased atmospheric concentrations, and

indirectly as a component of acid and nutrient nitrogen deposition.

A comparison has been made between predicted model output concentrations, and short-term

and long-term Environmental Standards (Env Std), set out within Environmental Agency

Environmental Permit Guidance.

The assessment also will include a consideration of visible plume generation.

Page 7: Appendix 7-1 – Air Quality - Test Valley

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AECOM 6

Cumulative Impacts

Cumulative impacts from existing sources of pollution in the area are accounted for in the

adoption of site-specific background pollutant concentrations from archive sources and a

programme of project-specific baseline air quality monitoring in close proximity to the facility

site. It is recognised, however, that there is a potential impact on local air quality from emission

sources which were not present at the time of the survey.

The full list of cumulative schemes considered with the PEIR are set out in Chapter 2:

Assessment Methodology and Significance Criteria. Out of these schemes, there are two that

are within the study area of the Proposed Development: Rebuilding of Existing Overhead Line

within River Test Site of Special Scientific Interest (SSSI) (17/00632/OELN) and SiBOR Ltd

change of use from warehousing to Energy Recovery Centre (16/0058/CMAN). The scheme to

rebuild the overhead line has not been included as there are no emissions from the

development. The scheme for SiBOR Ltd is for the installation of a 10 MW biomass facility in a

warehouse development in Andover approximately 7 km to the north west from the Proposed

Development. The scheme was approved by Hampshire County Council in June 2016, and a

review of the air quality assessment that was undertaken indicates that potential impacts would

be limited to the area around the industrial estate the scheme was to be located in. At the time

of writing, a review of aerial photography of the site and news articles the development was

never built and the site sold to another party. This scheme has not been included within the

assessment of cumulative impacts, as the scale of the scheme is unlikely to lead to cumulative

impacts with the Proposed Development, and the scheme is considered unlikely to be built.

The traffic data to be used in this assessment will include predicted traffic growth on modelled

roads between the current baseline and the future year baselines. The methodology to

determine the growth in traffic on the local road network is described in Chapter 6: Traffic and

Transport of this PEIR. The predicted growth included in the traffic data ensures that the air

quality assessment of road traffic emissions is inherently cumulative.

There is therefore no assessment of cumulative impacts as part of this PEIR.

Sources of Information

The information that has been used within this assessment includes:

• data on emissions to atmosphere from the process, taken from IED limits, BAT-AEL values

and data provided by WTI;

• details on the site layout provided by WTI;

• Ordnance Survey mapping;

• Ordnance Survey terrain data;

• baseline air quality data from project specific monitoring, published sources and Local

Authorities; and

• meteorological data supplied by ADM Ltd

Assessment Structure

The remainder of this report is set out as follows:

• Section 3: Assessment Criteria.

• Section 4: Methodology.

• Section 0:

Page 8: Appendix 7-1 – Air Quality - Test Valley

Wheelabrator Harewood Waste-to-Energy Facility

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AECOM 7

• Baseline Air Quality.

• Section 0: Dispersion Modelling Results.

• Section 6: Assessment of Limitations and Assumptions

• Section 7: Conclusions

3. Assessment Criteria

Environmental Standards

Environmental Standards for the Protection of Human Health

The Environmental Standards criteria for the protection of human health, against which impacts

from the proposed facility and road traffic are evaluated, are set out within Table 3-1. The

criteria are taken from the Environmental Benchmarks contained within Environment Agency’s

air emissions risk assessment guidance.

The Clean Air for Europe (CAFE) programme revisited the management of Air Quality within the

EU and replaced the EU Framework Directive 96/62/EC, its associated Daughter Directives

1999/30/EC, 2000/69/EC, 2002/3/EC, and the Council Decision 97/101/EC with a single legal

act, the Ambient Air Quality and Cleaner Air for Europe Directive 2008/50/EC (0).

The Air Quality Directive is currently transcribed into UK legislation by the Air Quality Standards

Regulations 2010 SI No. 1001, which came into force on 11 June 2010. Subsequent

amendments include the Air Quality Standards (Amendment) Regulations 2016. The Limit

Values are binding on the UK and have been set with the aim of avoiding, preventing or

reducing harmful effects on human health and on the environment as a whole. The Directive

also lists a number of Target Values.

For substances not specified in the regulations, Environmental Standards (Env Std) criteria are

taken from Environment Agency’s air emissions risk assessment guidance.

Table 3-1: Environmental Standards for Air (for the Protection of Human Health)

Pollutant Source Concentration (µg/m3) Measured as

NO2 EU Air Quality Limit Values

40 Annual Mean

200 1-hour mean, not to be exceeded more than 18 times per year

PM10 EU Air Quality Limit Values

40 Annual Mean

50 24-hour mean, not to be exceeded more than 35 times a year

PM2.5 EU Air Quality Limit Values

25 Annual Mean

SO2

WHO Guideline 50 Annual Mean

UK Air Quality Strategy Objective

266 15-min mean, not be exceeded more than 35 times a year

EU Air Quality Limit Values

350 1-hour mean, not to be exceeded more than 24-times a year

Page 9: Appendix 7-1 – Air Quality - Test Valley

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AECOM 8

Pollutant Source Concentration (µg/m3) Measured as

EU Air Quality Limit Values

125 24-hour mean, not to be exceeded more than 3 times a year

Benzene

UK Air Quality Strategy Objectives

16.25 Running annual mean

EU Air Quality Limit Values

5 Annual Mean

CO

EU Air Quality Limit Values

10,000 Maximum daily running 8-hour mean

Environment Agency Environmental Standards

30,000 1-hour maximum

HCl Environment Agency Environmental Standards

750 1-hour maximum

HF Environment Agency Environmental Standards

16 Monthly mean

160 1-hour maximum

PAH, as BaP

EU Air Quality Target Value

0.001 Annual mean

UK Air Quality Strategy Objectives

0.00025 Annual mean

Pb

EU Air Quality Limit Values

0.5 Annual mean

UK Air Quality Strategy Objectives

0.25 Annual mean

Hg Environment Agency Environmental Standards

0.25 Annual mean

7.5 1-hour maximum

Sb Environment Agency Environmental Standards

5 Annual mean

150 1-hour maximum

As

EU Air Quality Target Values

0.006 Annual mean

Environment Agency Environmental Standards

0.003 Annual mean

Cd EU Air Quality Limit Values

0.005 Annual mean

Cr, as Cr (II) compounds and Cr (III) compounds

Environment Agency Environmental Standards

5 Annual mean

150 1-hour maximum

Cr (VI), oxidation state in PM10 fraction

Environment Agency Environmental Standards

0.0002 Annual mean

Mn Environment Agency Environmental Standards

0.15 Annual mean

1,500 1-hour maximum

Ni Environment Agency Environmental Standards

0.02 Annual mean

V Environment Agency Environmental Standards

5 Annual mean

1 1-hour maximum

NH3 Environment Agency Environmental Standards

180 Annual mean

2,500 1-hour maximum

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AECOM 9

Pollutant Source Concentration (µg/m3) Measured as

PCBs Environment Agency Environmental Standards

0.2 Annual mean

6 1-hour maximum

Assessment Criteria for Sensitive Ecological Receptors

The UK is bound by the terms of the European Birds and Habitats Directives and the Ramsar

Convention. The Conservation of Habitats and Species Regulations 2010 provides for the

protection of European sites created under these polices, i.e. Special Areas of Conservation

(SACs) designated pursuant to the Habitats Directive, Special Protection Areas (SPAs)

classified under the Birds Directive, and Ramsar Sites designated as wetlands of international

importance. The 2010 Regulations apply specific provisions of the European Directives to

SACs, SPAs, candidate SACs (cSACs) and proposed SPAs (pSPAs), which require them to be

given special consideration and further assessment by any development which is likely to lead

to a significant effect upon them.

The legislation concerning the protection and management of designated sites and protected

species within England is set out within the provisions of the 2010 Regulations, the Wildlife and

Countryside Act 1981 (as amended) and the Countryside and Rights of Way Act 2000 (as

amended).

The impact of emissions from the facility on sensitive ecological receptors has been quantified

within this assessment in two ways:

• as direct impacts arising due to increases in atmospheric pollutant concentrations; and

• indirect impacts arising through deposition of acids and nutrient nitrogen to the ground

surface.

The critical levels for the protection of vegetation and ecosystems are set out in Table 3-2 and

apply regardless of habitat type. In the case of NH3 and SO2, the greater sensitivity of lichens

and bryophytes to these pollutants is reflected in the application of stricter Environmental

Standards at locations where such species are present. These values will be adopted as the

assessment criteria for the impact of the process on designated nature sites.

Table 3-2: Critical Level (CLe) Environmental Assessment Levels for Air (for the Protection of

Designated Habitat Sites)

Pollutant Source Concentration (µg/m3)

Measured as Notes

NH3

Environmental Agency Environmental Permit Guidance

1 Annual mean

For sensitive lichen communities & bryophytes and ecosystems where lichens and bryophytes are an important part of the ecosystem’s integrity

3 Annual mean For all higher plants (all other ecosystems)

SO2

Environmental Agency Environmental Permit Guidance

10 Annual mean

For sensitive lichen communities & bryophytes and ecosystems where lichens and bryophytes are an important part of the ecosystem’s integrity

20 Annual mean For all higher plants (all other ecosystems)

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AECOM 10

Pollutant Source Concentration (µg/m3)

Measured as Notes

NOx (as NO2)

Environmental Agency Environmental Permit Guidance

30 Annual mean -

75 Daily mean -

HF

Environmental Agency Environmental Permit Guidance

<5 Daily mean -

<0.5 Weekly mean -

Critical load criteria for the deposition of acids and nutrient nitrogen are dependent on the

habitat type and species present and are specific to the sensitive receptors considered within

the assessment. The critical loads are set out on the Air Pollution Information System website

(Centre for Ecology and Hydrology (CEH), 2018).

The critical load criteria adopted for the sensitive ecological receptors considered by the

assessment are presented in Table 7-17.

4. Methodology

Overview This section describes the approach that has been taken to the assessment of emissions

associated with the operation of the facility. This is broken down into the following sub-sections.

• Qualitative assessment of construction dust;

• Modelling of construction phase road traffic emissions on local roads;

• Modelling of combustion emissions from the proposed stacks; and

• Modelling of operational phase road traffic emissions on local roads.

The outputs from the modelling of combustion emissions from the proposed stacks and road

traffic will be used to determine the combined change in concentrations of NO2, PM10 and PM2.5

at a number of receptors located in close proximity to local roads. The approach taken to the

prediction of impacts has been determined later within this Appendix.

Construction Phase – Construction Dust Assessment

The following four potential activities has been screened as potentially significant, based on the

nature of construction activities proposed:

• Enabling demolition works;

• Earthworks (soil stripping, spoil movement and stockpiling;

• Construction (including on-site concrete batching); and

• Trackout (HGV movements on unpaved roads and offsite mud on the highway).

Magnitude Definitions

The potential magnitude of dust emissions is categorised as detailed in Table 4-1 below.

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Table 4-1: Example definition of magnitude of demolition and construction activities

Magnitude Demolition Earthworks Construction Trackout

Large

Total building volume

>50,000m3, potentially dust

construction material (e.g.

concrete), on-site crushing

and screening, demolition

activities >20m above

ground level

Site area >1ha

potentially dusty soil

type (e.g. clay). >10

heavy earth moving

vehicles at once,

bunds >8m high, total

material moved

>100,000 tonnes

Total building

volume >100,000

m3, on-site

concrete

batching,

sandblasting

>50 HDV (>3.5 tonne)

peak outward

movements per day,

potentially dusty

surface material (e.g.

high clay content),

unpaved road length

>100m

Medium

Total building volume 20,000

– 50,000 m3, potentially

dusty construction material,

demolition activities 10 to 20

metres above ground level

Site area 0.25 – 1 ha,

moderately dusty soil

type (e.g. silt), 5 – 10

heavy earth moving

vehicles at once,

bunds 4-8 metres

high, total material

moved 20,000 –

100,000 tonnes

Total building

volume 25,000 –

100,000m3,

potentially dusty

materials e.g.

concrete, on-site

concrete batching

10 – 50 HDV (>3.5

tonne) peak outward

movements per day,

moderately dusty

surface material (e.g.

high clay content),

unpaved road length 50

– 100 metres

Small

Total building volume

<20,000m3, construction

material with low potential

for dust release (e.g. metal

cladding or timber),

demolition activities <10

metres above ground level,

demolition during wetter

months

Site area <0.25 ha,

large grain soil type

(e.g. sand), <5 heavy

earth moving

vehicles at once,

bunds <4 metre high,

total material moved

<20,000 tonnes

Total building

volume

<25,000m3, low

dust potential

construction

materials .e.g.

metal/timber

<10 HDV (>3.5 tonnes)

peak outward

movements per day,

surface material low

dust potential, unpaved

road length <50 metres

Receptor Sensitivity Definitions

The assessment of construction dust has been made with respect to the receptor and area

sensitivity definitions as outlined in Table 4-2 to Table 4-5 below. Sensitivity definitions have

been made with reference to the IAQM guidance; receptors beyond 100 m are defined as low

sensitivity; ecological receptors (including statutory designations, and non-statutory ecological

receptors of location importance such as county wildlife sites, national and local nature

reserves) have been included as there are a number of ecological sites within this 500 m

screening distance.

Table 4-2: Receptor sensitivity to demolition and construction dust effects

Potential dust effect Human perception of dust soiling effects

Pm10 health effects Ecological effects

High sensitivity Enjoy a high level of

amenity; appearance/

aesthetics/ value of

property would be

diminished by soiling;

receptor expected to be

present continuously/

Public present for 8 hours

per day or more, e.g.

residential, schools, car

homes

Locations with an

international or national

designation and the

designated features

may be affected by dust

soiling.

Moderate sensitivity Enjoy a reasonable level of

amenity; appearance/

aesthetics/ value of

property could be

diminished by soiling;

Only workforce present

(no residential or high

sensitivity receptors) 8-

hours per day or more

Locations where there is

a particularly important

plant species, where

dust sensitivity is

uncertain or unknown or

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Potential dust effect Human perception of dust soiling effects

Pm10 health effects Ecological effects

receptor not expected to be

present continuously/

locations with a national

designation where the

features may be

affected by dust

deposition

Low sensitivity Enjoyment of amenity not

reasonably expected;

appearance/ aesthetics/

value of property not

diminished by soiling;

receptors are transient /

present for limited period of

time; e.g. playing fields,

farmland, footpaths, short

term car parks*

Transient human

exposure, e.g. footpaths,

playing fields, parks

Locations with a local

designation which may

be affected by dust

deposition.

Distance measured from source to receptor in bands of less than 20 m, less than 50 m, less

than 100 m and less than 350 m for earthworks and construction. For trackout the receptor

distance measured from receptor to trackout route (up to 50 m) and up to 500 m from the site

exit. These distances bands have been applied in Table 4-3 and Table 4-4. For sensitivity of an

area ecological impacts the distance bands are for less than 20 m and less than 50 m.

Table 4-3: Sensitivity of the area to dust soiling effects on people and property

Receptor sensitivity Number of receptors

Distance from the source (m)

<20 <50 <100 <350

High

>100 High High Medium Low

10-100 High Medium Low Low

1-10 Medium Low Low Low

Moderate >1 Medium Low Low Low

Low >1 Low Low Low Low

Table 4-4: Sensitivity of the area to human health impacts

Receptor sensitivity

Number of receptors

Distance from the source (m)

<20 <50 <100 <350

High (annual

mean PM10

concentration

<24µg/m3

>100 Medium Low Low Low

10-100 Low Low Low Low

1-10 Low Low Low Low

Medium (annual

mean PM10

concentration

(<24µg/m3)

>10 Low Low Low Low

1-10 Low Low Low Low

Low ≥1 Low Low Low Low

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Table 4-5: Sensitivity of the area to ecological impacts

Receptor sensitivity

Distance from source (metres)

<20 <50

High High Medium

Medium Medium Low

Low Low Low

Risk Definitions

The potential risks from emissions from unmitigated demolition and construction activities have

been defined with reference to the magnitude of the potential emission and the sensitivity of the

highest receptor(s) within the effect area, as summarised in Table 4-6 below.

Table 4-6: Classification of risk of unmitigated impacts

Area of sensitivity to activity

Magnitude

Large Medium Small

Demolition

High High risk Medium risk Medium risk

Medium High risk Medium risk Low risk

Low Medium risk Low risk Negligible

Earthworks

High High risk Medium risk Low risk

Medium Medium risk Medium risk Low risk

Low Low risk Low risk Negligible

Construction

High High risk Medium risk Low risk

Medium Medium risk Medium risk Low risk

Low Low risk Low risk Negligible

Trackout

High High risk Medium risk Low risk

Medium Medium risk Low risk Negligible

Low Low risk Low risk Negligible

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Assessment of Demolition and Construction Dust

Magnitude Assessment

For the purpose of this assessment, the Proposed Development site is considered to be a large

emissions source for fugitive dust emissions from construction related activities.

Receptor Identification

Human health and ecological receptors have been identified within the study area and are

shown in Table 4-7.

Table 4-7: Identification of receptors for construction dust assessment

Id Receptor name

Receptor type

Approx. Distance (m) from site boundary or exit

Approx. Distance to construction route (m)

Within screening distance?

Receptor sensitivity to dust and particulate matter

R1 Drayton Park Residential 280 65 Yes High

R2 Difford Lodge Residential 720 325 No High

R3 Dever House Residential 765 460 No High

R4 Roverts Road Residential 1,005 560 No High

R5

Wheat

Cottage,

Barton Stacey

Residential 1,425 1,030 No High

R6 Stable Cottage Residential 1,790 1,500 No High

R7 Tidbury

Cottages Residential 1,745 1,540 No High

R8 Little Bullington Residential 1,630 1,450 No High

R9 Firgo Farm Residential 2,395 2,780 No High

R10 River Barn,

The Street Residential 615 1,110 No High

R11 Vale Farm Residential 1,160 1,570 No High

R12 Owls Lodge Residential 605 1,090 No High

R13 District Villas Residential 1,575 1,965 No High

R14 Mill House,

East Aston Residential 1,580 2,020 No High

R15 Tudor Cottage,

Longparish Residential 1,275 1,765 No High

R16 B3048,

Middleton Residential 1,215 1,675 No High

R17 Buckclose

House, Forton Residential 1,495 1,830 No High

R18 Forton House Residential 1,820 2,135 No High

R19 Carpenter's

Cottage Residential 1,915 2,090 No High

R20 The Cottage

Cottage Residential 1,335 1,335 No High

R21 Bransbury Mill Residential 1,540 1,395 No High

Raymond

Brown Waste

Services

Commercial 0 250 Yes Moderate

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Id Receptor name

Receptor type

Approx. Distance (m) from site boundary or exit

Approx. Distance to construction route (m)

Within screening distance?

Receptor sensitivity to dust and particulate matter

Solar Farm Commercial 0 240 Yes High

E1 River Test

SSSI Ecological 800 380 No High

E2 River Test

SSSI Ecological 1165 710 No High

E3 Bransbury

Common SSSI Ecological 1750 1250 No High

E4 River Test

SSSI Ecological 1640 1245 No High

E5 River Test

SSSI Ecological 755 890 No High

E6 River Test

SSSI Ecological 1160 1250 No High

E7 East Aston

Common SSSI Ecological 1395 1830 No High

E8 Drayton Down

SINC Ecological 190 200 No Low

E9 Tidbury Ring

Wood SINC Ecological 1955 1885 No Low

E10 Longparish

Meadow SINC Ecological 690 1190 No Low

E11 Lower Mills

Meadow SINC Ecological 820 1320 No Low

E12 Lower Farm

Meadow SINC Ecological 1230 1700 No Low

E13 Test Way SINC Ecological 1435 1900 No Low

E14 Middleton

Wood Ecological 1535 1940 No Low

Area Sensitivity Assessment

The receptor sensitivity to the effects of dust soiling and PM10 (human health) impacts has been

determined for all activities, based on the closest distance from the identified receptors to those

activities, as summarised in Table 4-8 below. The overall area sensitivity to dust soiling and

PM10 (human health) is considered to be ‘low’, whilst the area sensitivity to ecological dust

impacts is considered to be ‘medium’.

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Table 4-8: Area sensitivity for receptors of construction dust

Activity Potential impact Receptor sensitivity and distance to activity

Area sensitivity

Demolition

Dust soiling High sensitivity (<10 receptor) <20m Medium

Health PM10 Medium Sensitivity (<10 receptors)

<20m Low

Ecology No sensitive receptors within 50m -

Earthworks

Dust soiling High sensitivity (<10 receptor) <20m Medium

Health PM10 Medium Sensitivity (<10 receptors)

<20m Low

Ecology No sensitive receptors within 50m -

Construction

Dust soiling High sensitivity (<10 receptor) <20m Medium

Health PM10 Medium Sensitivity (<10 receptors)

<20m Low

Ecology No sensitive receptors within 50m -

Trackout

Dust soiling High sensitivity (<10 receptor) <350m Low

Health PM10 Medium Sensitivity (<10 receptors)

<350m Low

Ecology No sensitive receptors within 50m -

The risk of impacts from unmitigated activities has been determined through combination of the

potential dust emission magnitude and the sensitivity of the area, for each activity to determine

the level of mitigation that should be applied. The risk of impacts from unmitigated activities are

summarised in Table 4-9 below.

Table 4-9: Risk of impacts from unmitigated activities

Activity Demolition Earthworks Construction Trackout

Dust Emission

Magnitude Small Large Large Medium

Risk of impacts from unmitigated activities

Dust soiling

(medium

sensitivity)

Low Risk Medium Risk Medium Risk Low Risk

Health PM10 (low

sensitivity) Negligible Risk Low Risk Low Risk Low Risk

Ecology Not Applicable Not Applicable Not Applicable Not Applicable

The risk assessment for construction dust indicates that there would be a low risk of dust

impacts on human health (PM10) and a medium risk of dust impacts on dust soiling from

unmitigated earthworks, construction and track out activities. These risk classifications are

solely used to select the appropriate schedule of mitigation measures from IAQM guidance. For

all but the smallest of sites the use of the high-risk schedule of measures represents good

working practice.

Mitigation measures to be embedded within the scheme will therefore be defined according to

the highest risk category for these activities, as listed in the ‘medium risk’ schedule of measures

listed in section 8.2 of the IAQM guidance. On consideration of the likely effectiveness of these

measures, additional site-specific measures will be identified in CEMP if required.

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Modelling of Combustion Emissions from the WtE Stack

Dispersion Model Selection

The assessment of emissions from the Proposed Development has been undertaken using

version of ADMS (V5.2.2), supplied by Cambridge Environmental Research Consultants

Limited (CERC). ADMS is a modern dispersion model that has an extensive published

validation history for use in the UK. This model has been extensively used throughout the UK to

demonstrate regulatory compliance.

The assessment of emissions from road traffic associated with the proposed development will

use the latest version of ADMS-Roads (V4.1.1) to quantify pollution levels at selected

receptors. ADMS-Roads is a modern dispersion model that has a published track record of use

in the UK for the assessment of local air quality impacts, including model validation and

verification studies.

Modelled Scenarios

The dispersion modelling has been undertaken in the assessment of emissions from the main

stack are:

• modelling of maximum ground-level impacts at a range of release heights, between 50

m and 120 m, in order to evaluate the effect of increasing effective release height on

dispersion;

• modelling of impacts on a variable resolution receptor grid and at discrete sensitive

human receptors for all pollutants, at a release height of 70 m; and

• modelling of impacts at selected sensitive ecological receptors, at a release height of

70 m.

Model Inputs

The general model conditions will be used in the assessment are summarised in Table 4-10.

Other more detailed data used to model the dispersion of emissions will be considered below.

Table 4-10: General ADMS 5 Model Conditions

Variable Input

Surface roughness at source 0.5

Surface roughness at meteorological site 0.2

Receptors Selected discrete receptors

Nested receptor grid, variable spacing

Receptor location

X,Y co-ordinates determined by GIS,

z = 1.5 m for residential receptors

z = 0 m for ecological receptors

Source location X,Y co-ordinates determined by GIS

Emissions IED emission limits, BAT-AEL values and data provided by

WTI

Sources 2 x WtE Stacks

Meteorological data 5 years of meteorological data, Middle Wallop Meteorological

Station (2014 - 2018)

Terrain data 120m resolution grid

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Variable Input

Buildings that may cause building downwash

effects

Main Building, Tipping Hall, Transformer/Electric Room,

Turbine Hall, Air Cooled Condensers, Administration block,

Water Tank A & B

Emissions Data

The facility stacks would be the primary source of combustion emissions from the WtE process.

There would be two stacks, one for each combustion line, which have been modelled at a

height of 70 m above finished ground level, with an internal diameter of 2.3 m.

The physical properties of the combustion emission sources, as represented within the model,

is presented in Table 4-11.

The position of the WtE stacks within the site plan are illustrated in Figure 4-2.

Table 4-11: Physical Properties, WtE Facility Stack

Parameter Unit WtE stack 1 WtE stack 2

Stack position (NGR) m 443885, 142814 443889, 142804

Stack release height m 70 70

Effective internal stack

diameter m 2.3 2.3

Flue temperature °C 140 140

Flue H2O mass ratio kg/kg 0.196 0.196

Flue O2 content (dry) % 8.1 8.1

Stack gas exit velocity m/s 17.3 17.3

Stack flow (actual) Am3/s 72 72

Stack flow at reference

conditions (STP, dry) Nm3/s 50.5 50.5

The modelled pollutant emission rates (in g/s) have been determined by the daily average BAT-

AEL values set out within the draft BRef or Emission Limit Values (ELVs) set out within the IED.

The emissions limits assumed to apply to the facility are shown in Table 4-12.

Pollutant mass emission rates from the waste combustion process (in g/s) have been

calculated by multiplying the daily average and half hour average ELVs by the volumetric flow

rate at reference conditions. The pollutant mass emission rates from the main stack, as used

within the dispersion modelling assessment, are presented in Table 7-15.

Emissions of Polyaromatic Hydrocarbons (PAHs, as benzo[a]pyrene), ammonia and

Polychlorinated Biphenyls (PCBs) from the WtF stacks are not included in the IED.

Conservative emission rates for these pollutants have been assumed for this assessment,

derived from the current and draft BRef documents. Total emissions of all PCB congeners and

PAHs are included within the current version of the BRef but have not been included in the final

draft of the updated BRef. Within the Risk Assessment for Air Emissions, the Environment

Agency have included an Environmental Assessment Level for PCBs and B[a]P that should be

achieved. The BAT-AELs for PCBs and B[a]P set out in the current BRef have therefore been

used in this assessment.

In order to achieve the BAT-AEL for oxides of nitrogen included in the final draft BRef, it is likely

that an abatement system such as Selective Non-catalytic Reduction (SNCR) or Selective

Catalytic Reduction (SCR) will be required. These systems reduce NOx concentrations by

spraying carefully controlled amounts of urea (or other forms of ammonia) into the flue gas.

These systems require carefully controlled dosing, as excess urea can lead to an increase in

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ammonia within the flue gas (called ammonia slip). For this reason, the final draft BRef has

included a BAT-AEL for ammonia. It is likely that some form of SNCR/SCR will be required

within the plant, and emissions of ammonia have been included within this assessment.

This assessment has assumed that the WtE process would operate at continuous design load

(8,760 hours per year). No time-based variation in WtE emissions have therefore been

accounted for within the model. For the assessment of short-term impacts, emissions have

been modelled at the maximum emission rate, reflecting the assumption that it is not possible

to predict when the operational hours may be.

For the purposes of the assessment of emission of particulate matter (as PM10) and fine

particulate matter (PM2.5), the total particulate emissions have been assumed to be present in

both the PM10 and PM2.5 size fractions. This approach will result in the over-estimation of

impacts on local PM10 and PM2.5 concentrations.

Emissions of Group 1 metals (Cd and Tl) from the WtE process will individually be taken to be

emitted at the Environmental Standard for the whole group.

The BAT-associated energy efficiency levels (BAT-AELs) included in the current drafting of

waste incineration BREF are included in Table 4-12.

Table 4-12: Air Emission Limit Values (ELVs) as Specified in the Industrial Emission Directive

(IED, 2010/75/EU) and the BAT-AEELS

Pollutant

Emission limit (mg/m3)

Half-hour average (based on IED)

Daily average (based on BAT-AEL)

NOX (as NO2) 400 120

Total dust (assumed as PM10) 30 5

SO2 200 30

TOC 20 10

CO 100 50

HCl 60 6

HF 4 1

NH3 10

Group 1 metals (Cd + Tl, total) 0.02

Group 2 metals (Hg)1 0.02

Group 3 metals (Sb + As + Pb +

Cr + Co + Cu + Mn + Ni + V,

total)

0.3

Dioxins, furans and dioxin-like

PCBs2 0.00000006

PAHs (as Benzo [a] pyrene) 0.01

PCBs 0.005

1 Sample averaging times for metals are 30 minutes to 8 hours 2 Sample averaging times for dioxins are 6 hours to 8 hours, total concentrations of dioxins and furnace calculated as a toxic equivalent

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Table 4-13: Pollutant Emission Rates, WtE Process Stack (per stack)

Pollutant Daily average emission rate (g/s)

Half hour average emission rate (g/s)

NOX (as NO2) 6.053 26.616

Total dust (assumed to be PM10

and PM2.5) 0.252 1.996

SO2 1.513 13.308

TOC 0.504 1.331

CO 2.522 6.654

HCl 0.303 3.992

HF 0.05 0.266

NH33 0.504 -

Group 1 metals4 (Cd, Tl) 0.001 -

Group 2 metals (Hg) 0.001 -

Group 3 metals4 (Sb, As, Pb, Cr

(total), Co, Cu, Mn, Ni, Pb, V) 0.015 -

Dioxins, furans and dioxin-like

PCBs 3.03 x 10-09 -

PAH, as benzo[a]pyrene 0.000504 -

PCBs 0.000252 -

Additional Consideration of Group 3 Metal Emissions

In April 2010 the Environment Agency published revised Environmental Standards for arsenic,

nickel and chromium (VI) in its Environment Agency Permit Guidance (see Table 3-1). The new

guidelines are lower than earlier Environmental Standards. In particular, the use of conservative

assumptions for the assessment of Group 3 metal emissions make it possible that the

assessment would identify a theoretical risk that the Environmental Standard value could be

exceeded in the case of arsenic, nickel and chromium (VI). The Environment Agency has

therefore provided guidance on the assessment of Group 3 metal releases from waste

combustion processes.

In the first instance, a worst-case screening step has been carried out, whereby each

substance was modelled as being emitted at the ELV for all nine Group 3 metals, 0.3 mg/m3.

Actual emission rates at comparable facilities are normally well below the BAT-AEL, and as

such the worst-case screening step is very conservative. Where the initial appraisal results in a

modelled result where the Process Contribution (PC) exceeds 1% of the long-term

Environmental Standard or 10% of the short-term Environmental Standard for that substance,

then the Predicted Environmental Concentration (PEC), which includes the background

concentration, is compared with the Environmental Standard. Where the PEC is greater than

100% of the Environmental Standard, then emissions of those substances have been

considered further in accordance with the second step of the guidance.

The second step requires the predictions to be revised with reference to a range of measured

values recorded from testing on 18 operational municipal waste incinerators and waste wood

incinerators between 2007 and 2015. As in the first step, where the Process Contribution (PC)

exceeds 1% of the long-term Environmental Standard or 10% of the short-term Environmental

Standard for that substance, then the Predicted Environmental Concentration (PEC) is

compared with the Environmental Standard. This can be screened out where the PEC is less

than 100% of the Environmental Standard. Further justification will be required to be made to

3 To include for ammonia slip the value of 10 mg/Nm3 was used, based on the emissions levels associated with the use of SNCR and/or SCR. 4 Emissions of the listed group 1 and 3 metals are taken as 100% the respective limit value for each metal group

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the Environment Agency if data lower than the listed maximum emission concentrations will be

used in the assessment.

Modelled Domain – Discrete Receptors

Sensitive Human Receptors

Ground-level concentrations of the modelled pollutants relevant to human health will be

predicted at discrete air quality sensitive receptors, as listed in Table 4-14. The locations of

these receptors are also shown in Figure 7A.1 of Annex A to this report. The receptors are

selected to be representative of residential dwellings in the area around the proposed facility.

A number of receptors are also in close proximity to traffic routes which would experience

changes to vehicle flows during the operation of the proposed facility. The receptors which are

located in close proximity to traffic routes have the prefix of R before the receptor number. At

these locations, an assessment will be made of the combined effect of emissions from traffic

and the EfW facility stacks on local concentrations of NO2, PM10 and PM2.5. These receptors are

also listed in Table 4-14.

The flagpole height of the all receptors listed in Table 4-14 will be set within the model at 1.5 m.

Table 4-14: Modelled Domain, Selected Discrete Human Receptor Locations

Receptor reference

Receptor description

Grid reference

X Y

R1 Drayton Park 443598 142561

R2 Difford Lodge 443737 142011

R3 Dever House 443465 142050

R4 Roverts Road 444199 141756

R5 Wheat Cottage, Barton

Stacey

443567 141324

R6 Stable Cottage 445388 141476

R7 Tidbury Cottages 445761 142116

R8 Little Bullington 445696 142273

R9 Firgo Farm 446017 144471

R10 River Barn, The Street 443381 143775

R11 Vale Farm 444180 144291

R12 Owls Lodge 443739 143843

R13 District Villas 444418 144636

R14 Mill House, East Aston 444095 144766

R15 Tudor Cottage, Longparish 443186 144412

R16 B3048, Middleton 442828 144110

R17 Buckclose House, Forton 442237 143664

R18 Forton House 441897 143658

R19 Carpenter's Cottage 441758 143113

R20 The Cottage Cottage 442537 142393

R21 Bransbury Mill 442382 142202

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Sensitive Ecological Receptors

In accordance with the Environmental Agency’s air emissions risk assessment guidance, the

impacts associated with emissions from the combustion process on statutory sensitive

ecological sites will be quantified. The assessment will consider SSSIs within 2 km and

European designated sites within 10 km of the proposed facility, as recommended by the risk

assessment guidance. The most notable of these locations are the River Test SSSI, Bransbury

Common SSSI and East Aston Common SSSI. The Environment Agency, Hampshire County

Council, TVBC or Longparish Parish Council did not identify any sites in the Scoping Opinion to

be included within this assessment. Eight Sites Important for Nature Conservation (SINCs)

were identified with 2km of the Proposed Development from the Hampshire Biodiversity

Information Centre: Middleton Wood, Test Way, Lower Farm Meadow, Longparish Meadow,

Lower Mills Meadow, Field Margin, Drayton Down and Tidbury Ring Wood. These were

included within the assessment, with the exception of Field Margin as there is no appropriate

critical load for this habitat type.

In addition to the ecological sites listed above, there are a number of Priority Habitats that

surround the Proposed Development. Many of these areas fall within other designated sites

(SSSIs and SINCs), however there are a number of these areas that do not fall within these

sites. Where an area of Priority Habitat is within another designation included as a receptor

within this assessment, that receptor location is considered to represent the area of Priority

Habitat. For the areas of Priority Habitat outside of any designated site, the point of the receptor

grid with the highest impact within an area of Priority Habitat is taken to represent all Priority

Habitats within 2 km of the Proposed Development.

Ground-level concentrations of the modelled pollutants relevant to sensitive ecological

receptors will be predicted at locations listed in Table 4-15. The locations of these receptors are

also shown in Figure A7.2 of Annex A to this report.

For sensitive ecological receptors, the flagpole height will be set within the model at 0 m.

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Table 4-15: Modelled Domain – Ecological Receptor Locations, Critical Levels and Baseline Concentrations

Receptor identification

Ecology site

Grid reference Nox

(µg/m3)

So2

(µg/m3)

Ammonia

(µg/m3)

Hf

(µg/m3)

X Y CLE5 Baseline CLE5 Baseline CLE5 Baseline CLE5 Baseline

E1 River Test SSSI 444325 141979

306

757

18.39 10 0.75 1 1.6

0.5

0.006

E2 River Test SSSI 442758 142266 18.39 10 0.75 1 1.6 0.006

E3 Bransbury Common

SSSI

442130 142301 18.39 20 0.75 3 1.6 0.006

E4 River Test SSSI 442069 142867 18.39 10 0.75 1 1.6 0.006

E5 River Test SSSI 442972 143527 15.1 10 0.77 1 1.6 0.006

E6 River Test SSSI 442639 143761 15.1 10 0.77 1 1.6 0.006

E7 East Aston Common

SSSI

444136 144562 13.96 20 0.69 3 1.6 0.006

E8 Drayton Down SINC 444310 142681 18.67 20 0.75 3 1.6 0.006

E9 Tidbury Ring Wood

SINC

446084 142963 21.56 20 0.7 3 1.82 0.006

E10 Longparish Meadow

SINC

443337 143834 14.69 20 0.75 3 1.6 0.006

E11 Lower Mills Meadow

SINC

443652 144060 14.09 20 0.75 3 1.6 0.006

E12 Lower Farm

Meadow SINC

442819 144118 14.36 20 0.75 3 1.6 0.006

E13 Test Way SINC 442655 144250 14.36 20 0.75 3 1.6 0.006

E14 Middleton Wood

SINC

442383 144066 14.36 20 0.75 3 1.6 0.006

5 Critical Level 6 Annual mean 7 Daily mean: Baseline daily mean concentration is calculated by multiplying the annual mean by 2 to derive the short term mean

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Modelled Domain – Receptor Grid

Emissions from the stacks will also be modelled on a receptor grid of variable spacing, in order to

determine:

• the location and magnitude of maximum ground level impacts; and

• to enable the generation of pollutant isopleth plots.

The dispersion model output will be reported at specific receptors and as a nested grid of values.

The inner grid extends 300 m at a resolution of 20 m x 20 m. The middle grid extends from 300 m

to 1,000 m at a resolution of 50 m x 50 m. The outer grid extends from 1,000 m to 3,000 m at a

resolution of 100 m x 100 m. Details of the receptor grid are summarised in Table 4-16. All gridded

model outputs are reported at a height above ground level of 1.5 m.

Table 4-16: Modelled Domain, Receptor Grid

Grid spacing (m) Dimensions (km) Number of nodes in each direction

National grid reference of south west corner

25 2 x 2 81 442887, 141809

100 10 x 10 101 438887, 137809

200 20 x 20 101 433887, 132809

Meteorological Data

Actual measured hourly-sequential meteorological data is available for input into dispersion

models, and it is important to select data as representative as possible for the site that will be

modelled. This is usually achieved by selecting a meteorological station as close to the site as

possible, although other stations may be used if the local terrain and conditions vary considerably,

or if the station does not provide sufficient data.

The meteorological site that was selected for the assessment is Middle Wallop Airbase, located

approximately 13 km south west of the Proposed Development Site, at a flat airfield in a principally

agricultural area, and therefore a surface roughness of 0.2 m (representative of an agricultural

area) has been selected for the meteorological site.

The modelling for this assessment has utilised 5 years of meteorological data for the period 2014 –

2018. Wind roses for each of the years within this period are shown in Figure 4-1.

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Figure 4-1: Wind roses for Middle Wallop Airbase, 2014 to 2018

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

Middle Wallop 2014

0

0

3

1.5

6

3.1

10

5.1

16

8.2

(knots)

(m/s)

Wind speed

0° 10°20°

30°

40°

50°

60°

70°

80°

90°

100°

110°

120°

130°

140°

150°

160°170°180°190°

200°

210°

220°

230°

240°

250°

260°

270°

280°

290°

300°

310°

320°

330°

340°350°

200

400

600

800

Middle Wallop 2015

0

0

3

1.5

6

3.1

10

5.1

16

8.2

(knots)

(m/s)

Wind speed

0° 10°20°

30°

40°

50°

60°

70°

80°

90°

100°

110°

120°

130°

140°

150°

160°170°180°190°

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240°

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340°350°

200

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800

Middle Wallop 2016

0

0

3

1.5

6

3.1

10

5.1

16

8.2

(knots)

(m/s)

Wind speed

0° 10°20°

30°

40°

50°

60°

70°

80°

90°

100°

110°

120°

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160°170°180°190°

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340°350°

200

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800

Middle Wallop 2017

0

0

3

1.5

6

3.1

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Building Downwash Effects

The buildings that make up the facility have the potential to affect the dispersion of emissions

from the main stacks. The ADMS buildings effect module therefore will be used to incorporate

building downwash effects as part of the modelling procedure. Buildings greater than one third

of the range of stack heights modelled have been included within the modelling assessment.

Buildings associated with the Proposed Development that have been considered to be of

sufficient height and volume to potentially impact on the dispersion of emissions from the facility

stacks include the main building, tipping hall, control room/Administration block, turbine hall,

Transformer/Electrical Room, Water Tanks A and B and the air cooled condenser. The heights

for these buildings have been calculated from cross sections and a 3-D model produced by

WTI.

From a review of aerial photography from Google images, there were no buildings within 5

times the preferred stack height that are included within the dispersion modelling.

Parameters representing the buildings included in the model are shown in Table 4-17 and a

plan showing the buildings layout used in the ADMS simulation is illustrated in Figure 4-2

below. The dimensions of the buildings have been rounded to the nearest whole number in

Table 4-17. The main building is the highest part of the main structure, and has been modelled

at a height of 4 6m.

Table 4-17: Buildings incorporated into the modelling assessment

Building

Building centre grid reference (x,y)

Height (m) Length (m) Width (m) Angle (o)

Proposed Development Buildings

Main Building 443940,

142832 46 163 69 67

Tipping Hall 444018,

142864 42 41 55 67

Control

Room/Administration

443998,

142798 24 15 52 67

Turbine Hall 443918,

142876 30 40 25 247

Air Cooled

Condenser

443964,

142895 35 60 30 67

Transformer/Electrical

Room

443875,

142858 10 54 29 67

Water Tank A 444043,

142822 15 16 -a -a

Water Tank B 444058,

142832 15 16 -a -a

a – Modelled as a circular structure

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Figure 4-2: Proposed Development Building Layout Modelled by ADMS

The local area upwind and downwind of the Proposed Development Site is hilly, predominantly

rural with a combination of open fields and woodland surrounding the Site. The Site is within the

River Test Valley. A surface roughness of 0.5 m, corresponding to the minimum value

associated with the terrain type, has therefore been selected to represent the local terrain.

Site-specific terrain data has been used in the model, as there are potentially significant

changes in gradient within the study area.

NOX to NO2 Conversion

Emissions of nitrogen oxides from industrial point sources are typically dominated by nitric

oxide (NO), with emissions from combustion sources typically in the ratio of nitric oxide to

nitrogen dioxide of 9:1. However, it is nitrogen dioxide that has specified environmental

standards due to its potential impact on human health. In the ambient air, nitric oxide is oxidised

to nitrogen dioxide by the ozone present, and the rate of oxidation is dependent on the relative

concentrations of nitric oxide and ozone in the ambient air.

For the purposes of detailed modelling, and in accordance with Environment Agency technical

guidance it is assumed that 70% of nitric oxide emitted from the facility stack is oxidised to

nitrogen dioxide in the long term and 35% of the emitted nitric oxide is oxidised to nitrogen

dioxide in the local vicinity of the site in the short-term.

Calculation of Deposition at Sensitive Ecological Receptors

The deposition of nutrient nitrogen and acid at sensitive ecological receptors will be calculated,

using the modelled process contribution predicted at the receptor points. The deposition rates

will be determined using conversion rates and factors contained within Environment Agency

guidance, which account for variations deposition mechanisms in different types of habitat.

The conversion rates and factors used in the assessment are detailed in Table 4-18 and Table

4-19.

!(

!(

Main BuildingWaterTankB

TippingHall

TransformerElectricR

Turbine

ACC

WaterTankA

Admin

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Table 4-18: Conversion Factors – Calculation of Nutrient Nitrogen Deposition

Pollutant Deposition velocity

grasslands (m/s) Deposition velocity

forests (m/s)

Conversion factor

(µg/m3/s to kg/ha/yr)

NOX as NO2 0.0015 0.003 96

NH3 0.02 0.03 259.7

Table 4-19: Conversion Factors – Calculation of Acid Deposition

Pollutant Deposition velocity grasslands (m/s)

Deposition velocity forests (m/s)

Conversion factor

(µg/m3/s to kg/ha/yr)

Conversion factor (kg/ha/yr to keq/ha/yr)

SO2 0.012 0.024 157.7 0.0625

NO2 0.0015 0.003 96 0.0714

NH3 0.02 0.03 259.7 0.0714

HCl 0.025 0.06 306.7 0.0282

HF 0.025 0.06 306.7 0.0282

As HCl is readily soluble in water, wet deposition processes can also significantly contribute to

total acid deposition. The conservative assumption has therefore been made in this

assessment that the wet deposition will be equal to dry deposition, in effect doubling the

predicted process contribution from HCl at the sensitive receptor.

Specialised Model Treatments

Emissions will be modelled such that they are not subject to dry and wet deposition or depleted

through chemical reactions. The assumption of continuity of mass is likely to result in an over-

estimation of impacts at receptors.

Modelling of Emissions from Road Traffic

Modelled Scenarios

A quantitative assessment of the impact of exhaust emissions from additional road traffic will be

undertaken, in order to assess the change in air quality statistics at sensitive receptors in close

proximity to the designated access routes to the proposed facility. The latest version of ‘ADMS-

Roads’ (V4.1.1) will be used to model the dispersion of road traffic emissions, allowing the

quantification of pollution levels at selected receptors.

The approach taken to the assessment of road traffic emissions is outlined further within the

remainder of this section.

Model Inputs

The general model conditions will be used in the assessment of road traffic emissions are

summarised in Table 4-20. Other more detailed data used to model the dispersion of emissions

is considered below.

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Table 4-20: General ADMS Roads Model Conditions

Variable Input

Surface Roughness at source 0.2m

Receptors Selected discrete receptors

Receptor location X,Y co-ordinates determined by GIS. The height of residential

receptors will be set at 1.5 metres

Emissions NOX, PM10 and PM2.5

Emission Factors Emission Factor Toolkit version 9.0.1 for 2018 for all scenarios

(0)

Meteorological Data 1 year of hourly sequential data, Middle Wallop (2018)

Emission Profiles None used

Terrain Types Flat terrain

Model Output

Long-term annual mean NOX concentration (µg/m3)

Long-term annual mean PM10 concentration (µg/m3)

Long-term annual mean PM2.5 concentration (µg/m3)

Traffic Data

The traffic data used in this assessment is being prepared by AECOM, and will include the

following scenarios:

• 2018 Baseline Scenario (for model verification process);

• Future Construction Year Base + Committed Development Scenario;

• Future Construction Year Base + Committed + Peak Construction Scenario;

• 2025 Opening Year Base + Committed Development Scenario; and

• 2025 Opening Year Base + Committed + Operation Scenario

The future construction base year will be confirmed once detailed construction phasing has

been agreed/developed. The construction base year is the period where the number of

construction vehicles accessing the Site will peak, and is assumed to be a worst-case to

assess potential effects due to construction traffic.

Emissions Data

The magnitude of road traffic emissions for the baseline and with development scenarios will be

calculated from traffic flow data using the Defra’s current emission factor database tool EFT 9.0

(0). The assessment considers the operational phase impact of road traffic emissions at

receptors adjacent to roads in the vicinity of the proposed development.

Modelled Domain – Discrete Receptors

The receptors for which the impact of road traffic emissions will be predicted are listed in Table

4-14. At these locations, an assessment will also be made of the combined effect of emissions

from the facility stacks.

Meteorological Data

As for the model runs carried out for the proposed facility, hourly sequential data from Middle

Wallop has been used for 2018, consistent with the year chosen to verify the performance of

the model against measured nitrogen dioxide concentrations.

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Consideration of Terrain

Emissions from road traffic make the greatest contribution to pollutant concentrations at

sensitive receptors adjacent to the source (i.e. at the roadside). For this reason, there is not

normally a large variation in height between the emission source and residential properties next

to the roads included in the model. Therefore, terrain will not be included in the road traffic

modelling assessment.

NOX to NO2 Conversion

To accompany the publication of the guidance document LAQM.TG(16), a NOX to NO2

converter was made available as a tool to calculate the road NO2 contribution from modelled

road NOX contributions. The tool comes in the form of an MS Excel spreadsheet and uses

borough specific data to calculate annual mean concentrations of NO2 from dispersion model

output values of annual mean concentrations of NOX. Version 7.1 (April 2019) of this tool will be

used to calculate the total NO2 concentrations at receptors from the modelled road NOX

contribution and associated background concentration. Due to the location of the proposed

development, Test Valley Borough Council has been specified as the local authority and the ‘All

other non-urban UK traffic’ mix selected.

Bias Adjustment of Road Contribution NOX, PM10 and PM2.5

The modelled road NOX contributions from the ADMS-Roads model will be adjusted for bias

following the method described in LAQM.TG(16).

There is insufficient roadside measurement data for the primary pollutants PM10 or PM2.5 within

the study area. The same bias adjustment factor derived for the modelled contributions of the

primary pollutant NOX will be applied to the modelled road PM10 and PM2.5 contributions, as

recommended in LAQM.TG(16).

Calculation of Combined Impacts on Annual Mean NO2, PM10 and PM2.5 Concentrations (EfW Facility and Road Traffic Emissions)

The combined impact of EfW emissions and road traffic emissions will be determined for a

selection of sensitive receptors in close proximity to local roads affected by the development.

These receptors are listed in Table 4-14.

In the case of NO2, the conversion of NOX to NO2 will be calculated separately for each

emission source, using the methods set out above. The combined change in annual mean NO2

concentrations will be calculated by adding together the respective changes predicted from the

two assessments.

The combined change in annual mean PM10 and PM2.5 concentrations will be calculated by

adding together the changes predicted in the respective process emission and road traffic

emission assessments.

Predicting the Number of Days in which the Particulate Matter 24-hour Mean Objective is Exceeded

The guidance document LAQM.TG(03) sets out the method by which the number of days in

which the particulate matter 24hr objective is exceeded can be obtained based on a

relationship with the predicted particulate matter annual mean concentration. The most recent

guidance LAQM.TG(16) suggests no change to this method. As such, the formula used within

this assessment is:

𝑁𝑜. 𝑜𝑓 𝐸𝑥𝑐𝑒𝑒𝑑𝑎𝑛𝑐𝑒𝑠 = 0.0014 ∗ 𝐶3 +206

𝐶− 18.5

Where C is the annual mean concentration of PM10.

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Predicting the Number of Days in which the Nitrogen Dioxide Hourly Mean Objective is Exceeded

Research projects completed on behalf of Defra and the Devolved Administrations, have

concluded that the hourly mean nitrogen dioxide objective is unlikely to be exceeded if annual

mean concentrations are predicted to be less the 60 µg/m3.

In 2003, Laxen and Marner concluded:

“…local authorities could reliably base decisions on likely exceedances of the 1-hour

objective for nitrogen dioxide alongside busy streets using an annual mean of 60

µg/m3 and above.”

The findings presented by Laxen and Marner (2003) are further supported by AEAT (2008) who

revisited the investigation to complete an updated analysis including new monitoring results

and additional monitoring sites. The recommendations of this report are:

“Local authorities should continue to use the threshold of 60 µg/m3 NO2 as the trigger

for considering a likely exceedance of the hourly mean nitrogen dioxide objective.”

Therefore, this assessment will evaluate the likelihood of exceeding the hourly mean nitrogen

dioxide objective by comparing predicted annual mean nitrogen dioxide concentrations at all

receptors to an annual mean equivalent threshold of 60 µg/m3 nitrogen dioxide. Where

predicted concentrations are below this value, it can be concluded that the hourly mean

nitrogen dioxide objective (200 µg/m3 NO2 not to be exceeded more than 18 times per year) will

be achieved.

Specialized Model Treatments

No specialized model treatments will be used in the assessment of road traffic emissions.

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5. Baseline Air Quality

Overview This section presents the information will be used to evaluate the background and baseline

ambient air quality in the area surrounding the proposed facility. The following steps will be

taken in the determination of background values. Where appropriate, the study focuses on data

gathered in the vicinity of the site:

• Identification of Air Quality Management Areas;

• Review of Test Valley Borough Council ambient monitoring data;

• Review of data from data from Defra’s Automatic Urban and Rural Network (AURN);

• Review of other monitoring undertaken in the area around the application site; and

• Review of background data and site relevant critical loads from the APIS website.

Air Quality Management Areas

Test Valley Borough Council (TVBC) have not declared any AQMAs within their administrative

area, and there are no AQMAs declared by other Local Authorities within the study area.

Local Authority Ambient Monitoring Data

Test Valley Borough Council

TVBC currently undertake monitoring within Andover, Romsey and Chilworth. TVBC report 17

locations for NO2 diffusion tube monitoring. The nearest NO2 diffusion tubes are located in

Andover, approximately 7.3 km to the west of the site.

All monitoring locations within the study area are below the annual mean nitrogen dioxide

objective of 40µg/m3 in 2017.

A summary of the pollutant concentrations obtained from diffusion tube sites near to the Facility

operated by TVBC are presented in Table 5-1.

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Table 5-1: Summary of Monitored Annual Mean Concentrations of NO2 within Test Valley

Borough Council

Defra Background Data

Defra’s 2017-based background maps are available at a 1x1 km resolution for the UK for the

years 2017– 2030. These projections of pollution concentrations across England are available

for NO2, NOX, PM10 and PM2.5.

Background concentrations from the Defra 2017-based background maps are presented for the

year 2017 in Table 5-2 taken for the grid square in which the proposed facility is located for

NOX, NO2, PM10 and PM2.5. Background concentrations for SO2, CO and benzene are not

available for the most recent Defra maps. Therefore 2001-based background concentration for

CO and SO2, 2010-based background concentration for Benzene are presented in Table 5-2.

The NH3 background concentration is from the APIS website, concentrations of which are

presented in Table 4-15.

Table 5-2: Defra Background Concentrations

Pollutant Background concentration (µg/m3)

NOX 18.0

NO2 13.0

PM10 14.1

PM2.5 9.1

SO2 2.21

Benzene 0.138

CO 217

Project Specific Monitoring

Table 5-3 summarises the diffusion tube monitoring carried out near to the site from the 30th

May 2019 to 27th November 2019. At the time of writing, three months of survey data is

available, and is summarised in below. The nitrogen dioxide diffusion tubes have been adjusted

for seasonal bias using Chilbolton Observatory, Southampton Centre, Swindon Walcot and

Charlton Mackrell AURN sites, and the Gradko bias adjustment factor for 20% TEA in water of

0.93 has been applied.

Site name

Site location National grid

reference

Annual mean concentration (µg/m3)

2015 2016 2017

And15 Weyhill Road 435923, 145408 17.0 17.2 16.0

And19 Alexandra Road 435848, 145599 12.8 14.0 12.9

And20 Humberstone Road

(East) 436499, 144935 17.7 18.8 15.7

And22 Humberstone Road

(West) 436362, 144854 12.3 13.4 11.8

And23 Barlows Lane

(North) 435865, 144430 13.4 14.5 12.2

And25 Barlows Lane

(South) 435741, 144232 16.1 14.9 14.0

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Table 5-3: Summary of Project Specific NO2 Diffusion Tube Monitoring in 2019

Site ID Location Site Type Grid Reference Survey Period Mean Concentration (µg/m3)

2018 Annualised Mean Concentration (µg/m3)

X Y

DT1 A303 Slip road Roadside 444230 142417 17.5 30.3

DT2 Forton Junction on to A303 Roadside 441583 143266 19.3 33.5

DT3 Sugar Lane Roadside 442816 144115 6.9 11.9

DT4 Mill Lane Junction Roadside 443170 144415 7.6 13.2

DT5 Junction of Bullington Lane, and The Street, Barton Stacey

Roadside 443522 141143 8.2 14.3

DT6 Roberts Road Background 444292 141646 6.7 12.3

DT7 The Street, south of Barton Stacey

Roadside 443536 140522 6.6 11.6

E2 River Test SSSI Ecological Background

442703 142197 -a -

E3 Bransbury Common SSSI Ecological Background

442083 142275 -b -

E4 River Test SSSI Ecological Background

442975 143521 6.5 13.0

E5 River Test SSSI Ecological Background

442481 143789 5.0 10.0

a – Monitoring at E2 was deployed on the 28th August 2019, and no results were received by the time of writing

b – No result available

All of the diffusion tubes located in the study area have annualised nitrogen dioxide

concentrations below the Environmental Standard of 40µg/m3.

A diffusion tube survey for SO2 and NH3 was also carried out at several ecological receptors

and roadside locations to provide additional data on concentrations of these pollutants across

the study area. At the time of writing, a single three-week period of monitoring data is available,

and the data is reported in Table 5-4.

Table 5-4: Project Specific SO2 and NH3 Diffusion Tube Monitoring

Site ID Location Site Type

Grid Reference SO2 Concentration (µg/m3)

NH3 Concentration (µg/m3)

X Y

DT2 Forton Junction on to A303

Roadside 441583 143266 <1.12a 5.2

DT6 Roberts Road Background 444292 141646 <1.12a 4.8

E2 River Test SSSI Ecological Background

442703 142197 <1.12a

E3 Bransbury Common SSSI

Ecological Background

442083 142275 <1.12a 3.8

E4 River Test SSSI Ecological Background

442975 143521 <1.12a 4.2

E5 River Test SSSI Ecological Background

442481 143789 <1.11a 3.4

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Background NOX concentrations at the ecology receptors will be reviewed based on NO2

monitoring data from the survey once it is complete. Background NOx and NO2 concentrations

from the Defra background maps will be compared to produce a ratio of NOx to NO2 in grid

squares near to the ecology sites. This ratio will be applied to measured NO2 concentrations to

derive a background NOx value. This value will be compared to the concentrations published

by APIS.

Summary of Background Air Quality The selected background concentrations for each of the pollutants considered within the

assessment are listed in Table 4-15. The background annual mean concentration values for

NO2, PM10 and PM2.5 presented in Table 4-15 do not account for the variation of existing

concentrations made by road traffic across the modelled domain. Baseline concentrations

(background plus road traffic) of these pollutants will be considered further in Chapter 7: Air

Quality in the Environmental Statement once traffic data is available.

In order to represent a conservative approach, it has been assumed that background

concentrations will not decrease in future years. Therefore, the current background

concentrations have been assumed to apply to the projected opening year of 2025.

The background NOX concentrations for ecological receptors were sourced from APIS using the

location specific tool for the relevant ecological receptor.

For human health receptors, the background concentration for nitrogen dioxide, PM10, PM2.5,

SO2, benzene, HCl, PAH (including benzo[a]pyrene), Pb, Cd, As, Cr, Cu, Mn, Ni, V, NH3, PCBs

and Dioxins and Furans has been taken from Chilbolton Observatory monitoring data for 2018

and CO has been taken from Defra’s 2001-based 1x1 km projected background maps.

The background concentration of Hg has been sourced from Runcorn Weston Point for 2018,

and Sb has been sourced from Yarner Wood for 2013, as the last full year of monitoring

For ecology receptors, the background concentration used for NOx, SO2 and NH3 at the River

Test SSSI (E1, E2 and E4 to E6), Bransbury Common SSSI (E3) and East Aston Common

SSSI(E7) has been obtained from the APIS website as the maximum value on those features.

For other ecological receptors, the background concentrations has been determined based on

the location from the APIS website.

Background concentrations of HF have been taken from the EPAQS report on Halogens and

Hydrogen Halides in Ambient Air, which includes a consideration of background concentrations

of these pollutants in the UK.

The ratio of total Cr to Cr(VI) in ambient air varies, depending on local emission sources. A

review of information by the UK’s Expert Panel on Air Quality Standards (EPAQS) indicates that

Cr(VI) constitutes between 3% and 33% of airborne Chromium , while the US Department of

Health suggests the ratio is between 10% and 20%. For this assessment, it is considered that a

20% Cr (VI) to total Cr ratio is a conservative assumption, given the lack of known local sources

of this substance.

Where no short-term concentrations are available, short-term background concentrations have

been calculated by multiplying the selected annual mean background concentration by a factor

of two LAQM TG(16). For the short-term background concentrations of NO2, NOx, PM10, SO2

and HCl, these have been calculated from the published data from Chilbolton Observatory. For

data obtained from Defra background maps, the values for the grid square in which the stack

lies are presented in Table 5-5, although concentrations applied to receptors in the assessment

vary according to which 1x1 km grid square they lie in.

Background concentrations will be updated as monitoring data is received. Background

concentrations of NO2, NH3 and SO2 will be reviewed and updated once the monitoring surveys

are complete or sufficient data is available.

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Table 5-5: Background Concentrations Selected for use in the Assessment

Pollutant

Background concentration (µg/m3)

Source

Long-term Short-term

NO2 9.5 44.1 Chilbolton Observatory – to be updated with

project specific data once available

NOx

18.39 36.78 E1, E2, E3,E4 from APIS

15.1 30.2 E5,E6 from APIS

13.96 27.92 E7 from APIS

18.67 37.34 E8 from APIS

21.56 43.12 E9 from APIS

14.69 29.38 E10 from APIS

14.09 28.18 E11 from APIS

14.36 28.72 E12, E13, E14 from APIS

PM10 12.3 22.4 Chilbolton Observatory – 2018 monitoring data

PM2.5 8.6 - Chilbolton Observatory – 2018 monitoring data

SO2 0.7

2.1 Chilbolton Observatory – 2018 monitoring data.

99.73th Percentile 1 hour Mean

3.5 99.9th Percentile 15 minute mean

1.4 99.18th Percentile 24 hour mean

Benzene 0.5 - Chilbolton Observatory – 2018 monitoring data

HCl 0.074 1.683 Chilbolton Observatory – 2018 monitoring data

HF 0.003 0.006

Long-term background concentrations from

EPAQS. Short-term concentration is double

long-term concentration.

CO 227 454

Defra background value for 2001. Short-term

concentration is double long-term concentration.

Maximum concentration at all receptor locations

Total PAH 8.32x 10-4 - Measured concentration from Chilbolton

Observatory for 2018

B[a]P 6.1 x 10-5 - Measured concentration from Chilbolton

Observatory for 2018

Pb 3.5 x 10-3 - Measured concentration from Chilbolton

Observatory for 2013

Cd 9.0 x 10-5 - Measured concentration from Chilbolton

Observatory for 2018

Hg 1.5 x 10-2 3.0 x 10-2 Measured concentration from Runcorn Weston

Point for 2018

Sb 3.9 x 10-4 7.8 x 10-4 Measured concentration from Yarner Wood for

2013

As 6.3 x 10-4 - Measured concentration from Chilbolton

Observatory for 2018

Cr, as Cr (II)

compounds and

Cr (III)

compounds

1.1 x 10-3 2.2 x 10-3 Measured concentration from Chilbolton

Observatory for 2018

Cu 2.7 x 10-3 5.4 x 10-3 Measured concentration from Chilbolton

Observatory for 2018

Mn 2.6 x 10-3 5.2 x10-3 Measured concentration from Chilbolton

Observatory for 2018

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Pollutant

Background concentration (µg/m3)

Source

Long-term Short-term

Ni 4.9 x 10-4 - Measured concentration from Chilbolton

Observatory for 2018

V 7.2 x 10-4 1.44 x 10-3 Measured concentration from Chilbolton

Observatory for 2018

NH3

3.1 6.2

Measured concentration from Chilbolton

Observatory for 2018 for human health

receptors. Short-term concentration is double

long-term concentration

1.6 E1, E2, E3, E4, E5, E6, E7, E8, E10, E11, E12.

E13, E14 from APIS

1.82 E9 from APIS

PCBs 3.78 x 10-8 7.56x 10-8 Measured concentration from Chilbolton

Observatory for 2016.

Dioxins and

furans 1.78 x 10-8 -

Measured concentration from Chilbolton

Observatory for 2016.

Predicted Baseline Pollutant Concentrations of NO2, PM10 and PM2.5 at Discrete Receptors Close to Roads

The direct contribution of baseline road traffic emissions to annual mean background

concentrations of NO2, PM10 and PM2.5 will be calculated using the ADMS-Roads model, in

order to account for the contribution of traffic emissions to the concentration of these pollutants

at receptors near to the access route to the proposed WtE. The predicted baseline (background

plus road traffic) pollutant concentrations for the scenarios outlined in paragraph 4.59 will be

reported in Chapter 7: Air Quality of the Environmental Statement.

Dispersion Modelling Results

Evaluation of Stack Height

This section reports the results of an evaluation of the release height for the stack serving the

WtE combustion process, using the ADMS 5 dispersion model. The selection of an appropriate

stack release height requires a number of factors to be taken into account, the most important

of which is the need to balance a release height sufficient to achieve adequate dispersion of

pollutants against other constraints such as visual impact.

Emissions from the main stack will be modelled at heights between 50 m and 120 m, at 10 m

increments. Additional heights have been included at 75 m, 85 m and 105 m. A graph, showing

the PC to annual mean and maximum 1-hour pollutant concentrations for a modelled unit

emission rate is presented in Figure 5-1. The purpose of the graph is to evaluate the optimum

release height in terms of the dispersion of pollutants which would occur, against the visual

constraints of further increases in release height.

Analysis of the annual mean curve shows that the benefit of incremental increases in release

height up to 80 m is relatively pronounced. At heights above 85 m, the air quality benefit of

increasing release height further is reduced.

The relative benefit of increasing the release height on maximum 1-hour concentrations follows

a similar pattern to the annual mean curve. A flattening of the curve is seen at heights of greater

than 85 m, above which a reduced improvement in ground level concentrations is predicted

with increasing release height.

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The design release height of the main stack is 70 m above ground level. The graph illustrates

that the use of a stack releasing emissions at 70 m above ground level or greater would be

capable of mitigating both the short-term and long-term impacts of the modelled emissions of

all pollutants, such that no significant adverse effects would occur at any receptor. The

incremental benefit of further increases in the release height become less effective in reducing

the PC to annual mean ground-level concentrations. It is therefore considered that 70 m

represents a height at which the visual impacts of further increases in stack release height

begin to outweigh the benefits to air quality, in terms of human health.

Figure 5-1: Predicted Process Contribution to Annual Mean Ground Level Pollutant

Concentrations at Stack Release Heights between 50 m and 120m

Sensitivity of Results to Meteorological Data

The dispersion modelling assessment will be undertaken using meteorological data from Middle

Wallop, for the years 2014 to 2018. Table 5-6, below, presents the maximum predicted ground-

level impact, for a number of the averaging periods evaluated throughout the assessment, for

each year of meteorological data within the dataset. The comparison will be based on a unit

emission rate from the main WtE stacks at a release height of 70 m, and the figure highlighted

in bold is the highest value obtained from the five years of meteorological data modelled.

Table 5-6: Maximum Modelled Impact on Ground Level Concentrations, 1 g/s Emission Rate

Met year

Averaging period and statistic

Annual average

1 hr max 1 hr 99.79th %ile

1 hr 99.73rd %ile

24 hr 99.18th %ile

24 hr 90.41st %ile

15 min 99.9th %ile

Max 8 hr running mean

2014 0.44 16.3 8.5 8.2 4.6 1.5 9.2 8.2

2015 0.62 18.8 8.2 8.1 4.8 2.0 9.1 8.1

2016 0.38 20.3 8.5 8.3 4.2 1.5 9.4 8.6

2017 0.42 18.1 8.3 8.2 4.8 1.6 9.1 8.8

2018 0.34 20.3 8.6 8.5 5.6 1.4 9.5 8.4

0

5

10

15

20

25

0

0.5

1

1.5

2

2.5

50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 100 105 110 115 120

99.7

9th

%ile

1-h

our

Mean P

C (

µg/m

3)

Annual M

ean P

C (

µg/m

3)

Axis Title

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The results presented in Table 4-18 demonstrate that there is a variation in the meteorological

dataset for which the maximum modelled impact is reported for each averaging period. For this

reason, the values reported in the table are the maximum value obtained from modelling each

of the five years meteorological data within the assessment. The reported values can therefore

be considered to represent a worst-case assessment of impacts that would be experienced

during typical meteorological conditions.

Modelling Results for NO2

Emissions from the EfW Stacks

Oxides of nitrogen are emitted in the largest quantity (in terms of mass) from the WtE stacks. In

view of existing baseline pollutant concentrations and the proximity of major traffic routes near

to the site (the main source of NO2 in urban areas), emissions of this pollutant would also

potentially have the greatest impact on local air quality. This section focuses on the change in

local annual mean NOX and NO2 concentrations that would occur as a result of the operation of

the WtE stack and associated road traffic.

A contour plot, showing the modelled PC to annual mean NO2 concentrations due to emissions

from the WtE process stack, is presented in Figure 7A-3 of Annex A to this report for the 2015

meteorological year (maximum modelled concentrations). An isopleth plot (sometimes referred

to as a ‘contour’ plot) showing the PC to 99.79th percentile of 1-hr NO2 concentrations is

presented in Figure 7A-4 of Annex A to this report for the 2014 meteorological year (maximum

modelled concentrations).

The significance of the predicted change in annual mean NO2, PM10 and PM2.5 concentrations

in planning terms is discussed in Chapter 7: Air Quality of the PEIR.

Change in Annual Mean NO2 Concentrations at Discrete Receptors during Operational Phase

The predicted change in annual mean NO2 concentrations, that would occur during the

operation of the WtE, at the selected sensitive receptors, is presented in Table 7-29. Any errors

in the addition of PC to the baseline concentrations are due to rounding only.

The maximum predicted annual mean NO2 concentrations at selected receptors is 10.83 µg/m3,

and this would occur in the vicinity of receptors near to Drayton Park. The annual mean NO2

PEC at all receptors would remain below the annual mean NO2 environmental standard,

therefore the NO2 concentrations is not predicted to lead to a risk of the annual mean air quality

standard being exceeded.

Therefore, with the EfW in operation, annual mean concentrations would remain below the

annual mean environmental standard for NO2, and any measured exceedance at this location

would not be directly caused by the operation of the proposed facility.

The discrete receptor most affected by emissions from the EfW stack is receptor R1 located on

Drayton Park, with a PC to annual mean NO2 concentrations of 1.33µg/m3 Based on the results

of the modelling, it is predicted that the operation of the proposed facility would not directly

increase the risk of an exceedance of the annual mean environmental standard for NO2. At

receptors exposed to annual mean concentrations of NO2 of 40 µg/m3 or less, it is also highly

unlikely that the hourly mean limit value would be exceeded at receptors located near to

affected traffic routes.

The significance of the predicted change in annual mean NO2, PM10 and PM2.5 concentrations

in planning terms is discussed in Chapter 7: Air Quality of the PEIR.

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Table 5-7: Predicted Change in Annual Mean NO2 Concentrations at Discrete Receptors

(µg/m3) due to Emissions from the WtE and operational road traffic emissions, with

Comparison against Environmental Standard Criteria

Receptor PC

(µg/m3)

PC % Env STD

(µg/m3) PEC PEC % Env STD

R1 1.3 3.3 10.8 27.1

R2 0.6 1.5 10.1 25.3

R3 0.8 1.9 10.3 25.6

R4 0.2 0.6 9.7 24.4

R5 0.3 0.8 9.8 24.5

R6 0.2 0.4 9.7 24.2

R7 0.3 0.8 9.8 24.6

R8 0.4 1.0 9.9 24.8

R9 0.4 0.9 9.9 24.7

R10 0.4 1.0 9.9 24.7

R11 0.4 1.1 9.9 24.8

R12 0.5 1.2 10.0 24.9

R13 0.4 0.9 9.9 24.6

R14 0.3 0.7 9.8 24.5

R15 0.2 0.6 9.7 24.3

R16 0.2 0.5 9.7 24.2

R17 0.1 0.3 9.6 24.1

R18 0.1 0.2 9.6 24.0

R19 0.1 0.3 9.6 24.0

R20 0.3 0.7 9.8 24.5

R21 0.3 0.7 9.8 24.4

Modelling Results for PM10 and PM2.5 for operational phase

The annual mean PM10 and PM2.5 concentrations at discrete receptors from the operation of the facility, at the selected sensitive receptors, is presented in Table 5-8

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Table 5-8 and Table 5-9.

The maximum predicted annual mean PM10 and PM2.5 concentrations at the selected receptors

is 12.38 µg/m3 and 8.68 µg/m3 at R1. This annual mean PM10 and PM2.5 concentrations would

not be a perceptible at air quality sensitive receptors, nor would it result in additional days on

which the PM10 24-hour objective is exceeded.

The modelling results show that predicted annual mean concentrations are well below the

respective Environmental Standards for PM10 and PM2.5.

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Table 5-8: Predicted Change in Annual Mean PM10 Concentrations at Discrete Receptors

(µg/m3) due to Emissions from the WtE and road traffic emissions, with Comparison against

Environmental Standard

Receptor PC

(µg/m3)

PC % Env STD

(µg/m3) PEC PEC % Env STD

R1 0.08 0.2 12.4 30.9

R2 0.04 0.1 12.3 30.8

R3 0.04 0.1 12.3 30.9

R4 0.01 0.0 12.3 30.8

R5 0.02 0.0 12.3 30.8

R6 0.01 0.0 12.3 30.8

R7 0.02 0.1 12.3 30.8

R8 0.02 0.1 12.3 30.8

R9 0.02 0.1 12.3 30.8

R10 0.02 0.1 12.3 30.8

R11 0.03 0.1 12.3 30.8

R12 0.03 0.1 12.3 30.8

R13 0.02 0.1 12.3 30.8

R14 0.02 0.0 12.3 30.8

R15 0.01 0.0 12.3 30.8

R16 0.01 0.0 12.3 30.8

R17 0.01 0.0 12.3 30.8

R18 0.01 0.0 12.3 30.8

R19 0.01 0.0 12.3 30.8

R20 0.02 0.0 12.3 30.8

R21 0.02 0.0 12.3 30.8

Table 5-9: Predicted Change in Annual Mean PM2.5 Concentrations at Discrete Receptors

(µg/m3) due to Emissions from the WtE and road traffic emissions, with Comparison against

Environmental Standard

Receptor PC

(µg/m3)

PC % Env STD

(µg/m3) PEC PEC % Env STD

R1 0.08 0.4 8.7 43.4

R2 0.04 0.2 8.6 43.2

R3 0.04 0.2 8.6 43.2

R4 0.01 0.1 8.6 43.1

R5 0.02 0.1 8.6 43.1

R6 0.01 0.0 8.6 43.0

R7 0.02 0.1 8.6 43.1

R8 0.02 0.1 8.6 43.1

R9 0.02 0.1 8.6 43.1

R10 0.02 0.1 8.6 43.1

R11 0.03 0.1 8.6 43.1

R12 0.03 0.1 8.6 43.1

R13 0.02 0.1 8.6 43.1

R14 0.02 0.1 8.6 43.1

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Receptor PC

(µg/m3)

PC % Env STD

(µg/m3) PEC PEC % Env STD

R15 0.01 0.1 8.6 43.1

R16 0.01 0.1 8.6 43.1

R17 0.01 0.0 8.6 43.0

R18 0.01 0.0 8.6 43.0

R19 0.01 0.0 8.6 43.0

R20 0.02 0.1 8.6 43.1

R21 0.02 0.1 8.6 43.1

Modelling Results for All Pollutants from the WtE Facility Stacks (for the Protection of Human Health)

The maximum Process Contribution (PC) and Predicted Environmental Concentration (PEC)

within the modelled domain, for each pollutant and averaging period, are summarised in Table

5-10. The results are based on emissions from the proposed facility as presented in Table 7-15

with 70 m stacks. Predicted concentrations at discrete receptors, not incorporating contributions

from road traffic sources, are detailed in Table 7-29 to Table 5-9, above. In Table 5-10, it is

assumed that Group 3 metals are emitted at the levels published in the Environment agency’s

guidance which is considered to be a realistic scenario.

The PC listed, in respect of each pollutant and averaging period assessed, is the maximum

impact reported from the modelling of five years of meteorological data. The background values

used in the calculation of PEC concentrations are as described in Table 4-15.

The results show that the maximum PC and PEC values for most of the modelled pollutants are

well within their respective Environmental Standard criteria for the protection of human health.

The exceptions to this statement are:

• PAH (as B[a]P); and

• chromium (VI).

The exceedance of chromium VI is due to the background concentration. This assessment has

assumed that the background concentration for Cr(VI) is 20% of the Cr(III) background, which

is approximately 110% of the criteria for Cr(VI). Use has been made of additional information on

emissions of B[a]P from other facilities in the UK in the following sections.

Table 5-10: 70m Stack, Maximum WtE Process Contribution and Predicted Environmental

Concentration, all Modelled Pollutants, for the Worst Case Meteorological Data Year

Pollutant Averaging period Env std (µg/m3)

PC

(µg/m3)

PC % Env std

PEC

(µg/m3) PEC % Env std

NO2

Annual Mean 40 3.74 9.3 13.2 33

99.79th %ile of 1-hour

means 200 52.07 26.0 96.2 48

PM10

Annual Mean 40 0.16 0.4 12.5 31

90.41st %ile of 24-hour

means 50 0.52 1.0 22.9 46

PM2.5 Annual Mean 25 0.16 0.6 8.8 35

SO2

Annual Mean 50 0.93 1.9 1.6 3

99.9th %le of 15-min

means 266 14.40 5.4 15.8 6

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Pollutant Averaging period Env std (µg/m3)

PC

(µg/m3)

PC % Env std

PEC

(µg/m3) PEC % Env std

99.73rd %ile of 1-hour

means 350 12.83 3.7 14.9 4

99.18th %ile of 24-hour

means 125 8.40 6.7 9.8 8

VOC, as

Benzene Annual Mean 5 0.31 6.2 0.8 16

CO

Max daily 8-hr running

mean 10,000 22.21 0.2 249.2 2

Max 1-hour mean 30,000 51.27 0.2 505.3 2

HCl Max 1-hour mean 750 6.15 0.8 7.8 1.0

HF Monthly mean 16 0.14 0.9 0.1 0.9

Max 1-hour mean 160 1.03 0.6 1.0 0.6

PAH (as

BaP) Annual Mean 0.00025 0.00031 124.6 0.00037 149

Pb Annual Mean 0.25 0.00157 0.6 0.00507 2

Cd Annual Mean 0.005 0.00002 0.5 0.00011 2.3

Hg Annual Mean 0.25 0.00035 0.1 0.02 6.1

Max 1-hr mean 7.5 0.01 0.2 0.04 0.6

Sb

Annual Mean 5 0.0004 0.01 0.0007 0.01

Max 1-hr mean 150 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01

As Annual Mean 0.003 0.001 26.0 0.001 47.0

Total Cr Annual Mean 5 0.0029 0.1 0.0040 0.1

Max 1-hour mean 150 0.0943 0.1 0.0965 0.1

Cr (VI)

oxidation

state in

PM10

fraction

Annual Mean 0.0002 0.000004 2.0 0.0002 112

Cu

(dusts

and

mists)

Annual Mean 10 0.0009 0.01 0.004 0.04

Max 1-hr mean 200 0.0297 0.01 0.04 0.02

Mn Annual Mean 0.15 0.0019 1.2 0.004 3

Max 1-hr mean 1500 0.0615 0.004 0.1 0.004

Ni Annual Mean 0.02 0.0069 34.3 0.007 37

V Annual Mean 5 0.0002 0.004 0.0009 0.02

Max 1-hr mean 1 0.006 0.6 0.008 0.8

NH3 Annual Mean 180 0.31 0.2 3.4 2

Max 1-hr mean 2500 10.25 0.4 16.5 0.7

PCBs Annual Mean 0.2 1.56 x 10-4 0.08 1.56 x 10-4 0.08

Max 1-hr mean 6 5.13 x 10-3 0.09 5.13 x 10-3 0.09

Dioxins

and

Furans

Annual Mean n/a 1.87 x 10-9 - 1.97 x 10-8 -

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Additional Consideration of Benzo[a]Pyrene Emissions

The results presented in Table 5-10 showed that the initial assumption that all emissions of PAH

from the WtE are composed of benzo[a]pyrene, combined with the assumption that the

emission occurs continuously at the ELV, results in a PEC of more than the annual mean

environmental standard, when combined with the measured background concentration.

Benzo[a]pyrene emissions have been considered using an emission rate derived from

benzo[a]pyrene concentrations measured at a comparable facility operating within the UK. This

provides a more realistic basis for assessment, based on emissions from a comparable

process.

The benzo[a]pyrene emission rate used is derived from a measured concentration from the

Sheffield ERF in 2012, of 9.7 x 10-6 mg/Nm3. This gives a mass emission rate of 4.8 x 10-7 g/s

per stack. This value has been taken from a published assessment undertaken for another

proposed WtE facility by AECOM.

Using this revised emission rate for benzo[a]pyrene gives a maximum predicted PC of 0.1% of

the environmental standard. This can be screened out as insignificant.

Table 5-11: 100m Stack, Predicted Process Contribution and Predicted Environmental

Concentration, for Cr (VI) and B[a]P, for the Worst Case Meteorological Data Year, using

measured Emissions Data from a comparable facility

Pollutant Averaging period

Env std (µg/m3)

PC

(µg/m3)

PC % Env std

PEC

(µg/m3)

PEC % Env std

B[a]P Annual Mean 2.5 x 10-4 3.02 x 10-7 0.10 6.1 x10-5 24.5

Modelling Results: Short Term Emissions

The IED half hour emission rate limit values set out in Table 4-12 are short term standards

permitted over a 30 minute averaging period. Although short term fluctuations in emission rates

can occur, the daily mean emission limit still needs to be achieved so these excursions would

be required to be short-term and infrequent in nature. For this reason, the use of daily emission

rates in the dispersion modelling is considered to be a robust approach to the assessment of

the impact of WtE processes. Additionally, the short-term environmental standards for the

pollutants considered within the assessment are largely expressed as averaging periods of one

hour or more. Overall, higher emissions of less than 30 minutes duration are unlikely to have a

significant impact on short-term air quality.

On a hypothetical basis, however, if the half-hour IED limits are used to evaluate short term

impacts, then the modelling confirms that predicted concentrations would remain well within the

environmental standards with the exception of NO2. The predicted impacts on short-term

pollutant concentrations on the basis of emissions at the half-hour-limit values in Table 7-14 are

presented in Table 5-12 below.

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Table 5-12: 70m Stack, Maximum WtE Process Contribution and Predicted Environmental

Concentration, all Modelled Pollutants, for the Worst Case Meteorological Data Year with

Emissions at Half Hour IED Emission Limits

Pollutant Averaging period

Env STD (µg/m3)

PC

(µg/m3)

PC % Env STD

PEC

(µg/m3)

PEC % Env STD

NO2 99.79th %ile of

1-hour means 200 173.6 86.8 217.7 109

PM10 90.41st %ile of

24-hour means 50 3.1 6.2 25.5 51

SO2

99.9th %le of 15-

min means 266 96.0 36.1 99.5 37

99.73rd %ile of

1-hour means 350 85.5 24.4 87.6 25

99.18th %ile of

24-hour means 125 56.0 44.8 57.4 46

HCl Max 1-hour

mean 750 61.5 8.2 63.2 8

HF Max 1-hour

mean 160 4.1 2.6 4.1 3

Modelling Results: Impact on Designated Nature Sites

The results of the dispersion modelling of predicted impacts on sensitive ecological receptors

are presented in Table 5-13 to Table 7-40. The tables set out the predicted PC to atmospheric

concentrations of NOX, SO2, NH3 and HF, and also acid deposition and nutrient nitrogen

deposition.

Specific significance criteria relating to impacts on sensitive designated ecological receptors

are set out within the Environmental Agency air emissions risk assessment guidance. The

impact of stack emissions can be regarded as insignificant at sites with statutory designations

if:

• The long-term PC is less than 1% of the critical load or critical level, or if greater than 1%

then the PEC is less than 70% of the critical load or critical level.

• The short-term PC is less than 10% of the critical load or critical level.

The impact of stack emissions can be regarded as insignificant at sites of local importance if:

• The long-term PC is less than 100% of the critical load or critical level;

• The short-term PC is less than 100% of the critical load or critical level

The assessment results show that the predicted impacts are above criteria for insignificance at

most of the selected receptors. PCs of more than 1% of the long-term critical load or critical

level and 10% of a short-term critical level have been predicted to occur at the following all

modelled receptors.

At the river Test SSSI (E1), the PC to annual mean NOX is predicted to be up to 2% of the

critical level, and the PEC 63% of the critical level. As most of the reported concentration is due

to the standard APIS background value used in the calculations, further analysis will be

undertaken using background NOX concentrations from an NO2 diffusion tube located at

ecological sites in the study area during the project specific monitoring survey. This further

analysis will be presented in the appendix to Chapter 7: Air quality of the Environmental

Statement.

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At sites of local importance (SINCs), no predicted long-term PEC is above the NOx criteria. For

the short-term NOx criteria, site E8 (Drayton Down SINC) is predicted to experience a NOx

concentration of 79.8 µg/m3, 106% of the criteria.

The effect of atmospheric NOX concentrations, nitrogen deposition rates and acid deposition

rates on the modelled receptor locations will be considered in detail in the report to inform the

Habitats Regulations Assessment (HRA) within the Environmental Statement. Please refer to

the Chapter 10: Ecology for discussion about the significance of the WtE emissions on

sensitive ecological receptors.

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Table 5-13: Dispersion Modelling Results for Ecological Receptors using APIS background concentrations - NOX

Receptor ID Site name

Annual mean (µg/m3) 24 hour mean (µg/m3)

Background

(µg/m3)

Critical level (CL)

PC

(µg/m3)

PC % of CL

PEC

(µg/m3)

PEC % of CL

Background

(µg/m3)

Critical level (CL)

PC

(µg/m3)

PC % of CL

PEC

(µg/m3)

PEC % of CL

E1 River Test SSSI 18.4 30 0.5 1.5 18.9 63 36.8 75 21.9 29 58.7 78

E2 River Test SSSI 18.4 30 0.5 1.8 18.9 63 36.8 75 16.7 22 53.5 71

E3 Bransbury

Common SSSI 18.4 30 0.3 1.0 18.7 62 36.8 75 18.1 24 54.9 73

E4 River Test SSSI 18.4 30 0.4 1.2 18.8 63 36.8 75 20.8 28 57.6 77

E5 River Test SSSI 15.1 30 0.3 0.8 15.4 51 30.2 75 19.9 27 50.1 67

E6 River Test SSSI 15.1 30 0.5 1.6 15.6 52 30.2 75 22.7 30 52.9 71

E7 East Aston

Common SSSI 14.0 30 0.2 0.7 14.2 47 27.9 75 19.2 26 47.1 63

E8 Drayton Down

SINC 18.7 30 1.8 6.0 20.5 68 37.3 75 42.4 57 79.8 106

E9 Tidbury Ring

Wood SINC 21.6 30 0.6 2.1 22.2 74 43.1 75 17.7 24 60.8 81

E10 Longparish

Meadow SINC 14.7 30 0.5 1.7 15.2 51 29.4 75 22.1 29 51.5 69

E11 Lower Mills

Meadow SINC 14.1 30 0.5 1.7 14.6 49 28.2 75 24.0 32 52.2 70

E12 Lower Farm

Meadow SINC 14.4 30 0.3 0.9 14.6 49 28.7 75 25.5 34 54.3 72

E13 Test Way SINC 14.4 30 0.2 0.8 14.6 49 28.7 75 24.4 33 53.2 71

E14 Middleton Wood

SINC 14.4 30 0.2 0.7 14.6 49 28.7 75 19.4 26 48.1 64

Priority

Habitat 11.1 30 2.5 8.3 13.6 45 22.2 75 16.9 23 39.1 52

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Table 5-14: Dispersion Modelling Results for Ecological Receptors – SO2

Receptor ID Site name

Annual mean (µg/m3)

Background

(µg/m3)

Critical level

(CL) PC PC % of CL

PEC

(µg/m3)

PEC % of CL

E1 River Test SSSI 0.8 20 0.1 1.2 0.9 8.7

E2 River Test SSSI 0.8 20 0.1 1.4 0.9 8.9

E3 Bransbury Common SSSI 0.8 20 0.1 0.4 0.8 4.1

E4 River Test SSSI 0.8 20 0.1 0.9 0.8 8.4

E5 River Test SSSI 0.8 20 0.1 0.6 0.8 8.3

E6 River Test SSSI 0.8 20 0.1 1.2 0.9 8.9

E7 East Aston Common SSSI 0.7 20 0.1 0.3 0.7 3.7

E8 Drayton Down SINC 0.8 20 0.5 2.3 1.2 6.0

E9 Tidbury Ring Wood SINC 0.7 20 0.2 0.8 0.9 4.3

E10 Longparish Meadow SINC 0.8 20 0.1 0.6 0.9 4.4

E11 Lower Mills Meadow SINC 0.8 20 0.1 0.6 0.9 4.4

E12 Lower Farm Meadow SINC 0.8 20 0.1 0.3 0.8 4.1

E13 Test Way SINC 0.8 20 0.1 0.3 0.8 4.0

E14 Middleton Wood SINC 0.8 20 0.1 0.3 0.8 4.0

Priority Habitat 0.7 20 0.6 3.1 1.3 6.6

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Table 5-15: Dispersion Modelling Results for Ecological Receptors – NH3

Receptor ID Site name

Annual mean (µg/m3)

Background

(µg/m3)

Critical level

(CL) PC PC % of CL

PEC

(µg/m3)

PEC % of CL

E1 River Test SSSI 1.6 3 0.04 3.9 1.6 164

E2 River Test SSSI 1.6 3 0.05 4.6 1.6 165

E3 Bransbury Common SSSI 1.6 3 0.02 0.8 1.6 54

E4 River Test SSSI 1.6 3 0.03 3.0 1.6 163

E5 River Test SSSI 1.6 3 0.02 2.1 1.6 162

E6 River Test SSSI 1.6 3 0.04 4.0 1.6 164

E7 East Aston Common SSSI 1.6 3 0.02 0.6 1.6 54

E8 Drayton Down SINC 1.6 3 0.15 5.0 1.8 58

E9 Tidbury Ring Wood SINC 1.8 3 0.05 1.8 1.9 62

E10 Longparish Meadow SINC 1.6 3 0.04 1.4 1.6 55

E11 Lower Mills Meadow SINC 1.6 3 0.04 1.4 1.6 55

E12 Lower Farm Meadow SINC 1.6 3 0.02 0.7 1.6 54

E13 Test Way SINC 1.6 3 0.02 0.6 1.6 54

E14 Middleton Wood SINC 1.6 3 0.02 0.6 1.6 54

Priority Habitat 3.1 3 0.21 6.9 3.3 110

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Table 5-16: Dispersion Modelling Results for Ecological Receptors – HF

Receptor ID

Site name

24 hour mean (µg/m3) 168 hour mean (µg/m3)

Background

(µg/m3)

Critical level

(CL)

PC PC % of

CL

PEC

(µg/m3)

PEC % of CL

Background

(µg/m3)

Critical level

(CL)

PC PC % of

CL

PEC

(µg/m3)

PEC % of CL

E1 River Test SSSI 0.006 5 0.09 2 0.09 2 0.006 0.5 0.03 6 0.04 8

E2 River Test SSSI 0.006 5 0.07 1 0.08 2 0.006 0.5 0.04 8 0.05 9

E3 Bransbury Common

SSSI 0.006 5 0.04 1 0.05 1 0.006 0.5 0.02 3 0.02 5

E4 River Test SSSI 0.006 5 0.06 1 0.07 1 0.006 0.5 0.03 6 0.04 7

E5 River Test SSSI 0.006 5 0.04 1 0.05 1 0.006 0.5 0.02 4 0.03 6

E6 River Test SSSI 0.006 5 0.04 1 0.04 1 0.006 0.5 0.02 3 0.02 5

E7 East Aston Common

SSSI 0.006 5 0.03 1 0.04 1 0.006 0.5 0.01 2 0.02 3

E8 Drayton Down SINC 0.006 5 0.17 3 0.18 4 0.006 0.5 0.08 15 0.08 17

E9 Tidbury Ring Wood

SINC 0.006 5 0.03 1 0.04 1 0.006 0.5 0.02 3 0.02 4

E10 Longparish Meadow

SINC 0.006 5 0.08 2 0.08 2 0.006 0.5 0.02 4 0.03 5

E11 Lower Mills Meadow

SINC 0.006 5 0.06 1 0.06 1 0.006 0.5 0.02 4 0.03 5

E12 Lower Farm Meadow

SINC 0.006 5 0.05 1 0.05 1 0.006 0.5 0.01 2 0.02 4

E13 Test Way SINC 0.006 5 0.04 1 0.05 1 0.006 0.5 0.01 2 0.02 3

E14 Middleton Wood SINC 0.006 5 0.03 1 0.04 1 0.006 0.5 0.02 3 0.02 4

Priority

Habitat 0.006 5 0.24 5 0.25 5 0.006 0.5 0.11 23 0.12 24

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Table 5-17: Dispersion Modelling Results for Ecological Receptors – Nutrient Nitrogen Deposition (kg/ha/yr)

Receptor ID Site name Background nitrogen

deposition (kg N/ha/yr) Critical load

PC

(µg/m3)

PC % critical load

PEC

(µg/m3)

PEC % critical load

E1 River Test SSSI 27.6 10 0.4 4 28.0 280

E2 River Test SSSI 27.6 10 0.5 5 28.1 281

E3 Bransbury Common SSSI 17.3 15 0.2 1 17.5 116

E4 River Test SSSI 27.6 10 0.3 3 27.9 279

E5 River Test SSSI 27.6 10 0.2 2 27.8 278

E6 River Test SSSI 27.6 10 0.4 4 28.0 280

E7 East Aston Common SSSI 17.2 15 0.1 1 17.3 115

E8 Drayton Down SINC 17.2 15 1.0 7 18.3 122

E9 Tidbury Ring Wood SINC 30.2 10 0.6 6 30.8 308

E10 Longparish Meadow SINC 17.2 20 0.3 1 17.5 88

E11 Lower Mills Meadow SINC 17.2 20 0.3 1 17.5 88

E12 Lower Farm Meadow SINC 17.2 20 0.2 1 17.4 87

E13 Test Way SINC 27.6 10 0.2 2 27.8 278

E14 Middleton Wood SINC 27.6 10 0.2 2 27.8 278

Priority Habitat 0.0 10 2.3 23 2.3 23

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Table 5-18: Dispersion Modelling Results for Ecological Receptors – Total Acid Deposition N + S (keq/ha/yr)

Receptor ID

Site name Acid deposition (keq/ha/yr)8 Total acid deposition (keq/ha/yr)9

Critical load10 Baseline Total Total % of Critical Load

PC PC % of Critical Load

PEC PEC% of Critical Load

E1 River Test SSSI Min CL Min N

0.142

Min CL Max N

0.58

Min CL Max S

0.295

N: 2

S: 0.3

2.3 397 0.08 14 2.38 411

E2 River Test SSSI

2.3 397 0.10 17 2.40 413

E3 Bransbury

Common SSSI

Min CL Min N

0.223

Min CL Max N

0.611

Min CL Max S

0.245

N: 1.2

S: 0.2 1.4 229 0.03 4 1.43 234

E4 River Test SSSI Min CL Min N

0.142

Min CL Max N

0.58

Min CL Max S

0.295

N: 2

S: 0.3

2.3 397 0.06 11 2.36 408

E5 River Test SSSI 2.3 397 0.04 8 2.34 404

E6 River Test SSSI 2.3 397 0.09 15 2.39 411

E7 East Aston

Common SSSI

Min CL Min N

0.223

Min CL Max N

0.713

Min CL Max S

0.49

N: 1.2

S: 0.2 1.4 196 0.02 3 1.42 199

E8 Drayton Down

SINC

No Critical

Loads set

N: 1.23

S: 0.23 1.46 30 0.17 3 1.63 34

8 Acid Deposition Critical Loads 9 Process Contribution and Process Environmental Contribution as percentages of the relevant Critical Load have been calculated using the Min CL Max N 10 Critical Load (as obtained from APIS, July 2018)

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Receptor ID

Site name Acid deposition (keq/ha/yr)8 Total acid deposition (keq/ha/yr)9

Critical load10 Baseline Total Total % of Critical Load

PC PC % of Critical Load

PEC PEC% of Critical Load

E9 Tidbury Ring

Wood SINC

N: 2.16

S: 0.27 2.43 22 0.11 1 2.54 23

E10 Longparish

Meadow SINC

N: 1.23

S: 0.23

1.46 30 0.05 1 1.51 31

E11 Lower Mills

Meadow SINC 1.46 30 0.05 1 1.51 31

E12 Lower Farm

Meadow SINC 1.46 30 0.02 1 1.48 31

E13 Test Way SINC N: 1.97

S: 0.27

2.24 20 0.04 <1 2.28 21

E14 Middleton Wood

SINC 2.24 20 0.04 <1 2.28 21

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Table 5-19: Impact on Ecological Receptors – Summary

Receptor ID Site name

Total acid deposition PC

(kg/ha/yr)

Nutrient nitrogen deposition PC

(kg/ha/yr)

NOx annual mean PC

(µg/m3)

NOx 24 hr mean PC

(µg/m3)

SO2 annual mean PC

(µg/m3)

NH3 annual mean PC

(µg/m3)

HF 24 hr mean PC

(µg/m3)

HF weekly mean PC

(µg/m3)

E1 River Test SSSI 0.08 0.4 0.5 21.9 0.1 0.04 0.09 0.03

E2 River Test SSSI 0.10 0.5 0.5 16.7 0.1 0.05 0.07 0.04

E3 Bransbury Common SSSI 0.03 0.2 0.3 18.1 0.1 0.02 0.04 0.02

E4 River Test SSSI 0.06 0.3 0.4 20 0.1 0.03 0.06 0.03

E5 River Test SSSI 0.04 0.2 0.3 19.9 0.1 0.02 0.04 0.02

E6 River Test SSSI 0.09 0.4 0.5 22.7 0.1 0.04 0.04 0.02

E7 East Aston Common

SSSI 0.02 0.1 0.2 19. 0.1 0.02 0.03 0.01

E8 Drayton Down SINC 0.17 1.0 1.8 42.4 0.5 0.15 0.17 0.08

E9 Tidbury Ring Wood SINC 0.11 0.6 0.6 17 0.2 0.05 0.03 0.02

E10 Longparish Meadow

SINC 0.05 0.3 0.5 22.1 0.1 0.04 0.08 0.02

E11 Lower Mills Meadow

SINC 0.05 0.3 0.5 24. 0.1 0.04 0.06 0.02

E12 Lower Farm Meadow

SINC 0.02 0.2 0.3 25.5 0.1 0.02 0.05 0.01

E13 Test Way SINC 0.04 0.2 0.2 24.4 0.1 0.02 0.04 0.01

E14 Middleton Wood SINC 0.04 0.2 0.2 19.4 0.1 0.02 0.03 0.02

Priority Habitat 2.3 2.5 16.9 0.6 0.21 0.24 0.11

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Modelling Results: Plume Visibility For the purposes of this assessment a stack plume is described as being ‘visible’ when condensed

water is present in the plume. This definition does not take account of whether or not the plume can

be seen. The visibility of the plume from the stacks of the proposed facility will be predicted using

ADMS 5. Although the latest version of the Environment Agency risk assessment guidance does

not include the requirement to undertake an assessment of plume visibility, an assessment will be

undertaken so that the outputs can be reported in Chapter 14: Landscape and Visual Impact

Assessment of the ES. The procedure used in this assessment is based on that outlined in the

2003 version of the H1 horizontal guidance (now superseded). The results of the plume visibility

will be presented in Chapter 7: Air Quality of the Environmental Statement.

6. Assessment of Limitations and Assumptions

This section outlines the potential limitations associated with the dispersion modelling assessment.

Where assumptions have been made, this is also detailed here.

The greatest uncertainty associated with any dispersion modelling assessment arises through the

inherent uncertainty of the dispersion modelling process itself. Despite this, the use of dispersion

modelling is a widely applied and accepted approach for the prediction of impacts from an WtE

such as this one.

In order to minimise the likelihood of under-estimating the PC to ground level concentrations from

the main stack, the following assumptions have been made within the assessment:

• the WtE process has been assumed to operate on a continuous basis i.e. for 8,760 hour per

year, although in practice the plant will require routine maintenance periods;

• the modelling predictions are based on the use of five full years of meteorological data from

Middle Wallop, for the years 2014 to 2018 inclusive. The use of five years data can be

considered to represent the majority of meteorological conditions that would be experienced

during the future operation of the facility; and

• emission concentrations for the process are calculated based on the use of IED limits, BAT-

AEL concentrations, or maximum measured emission rates at comparable facilities.

Modelling of the Proposed Development has been based on the previous Summer 19 design

iteration. The current design iteration has reduced the massing and size of the main building and

the ACC compared to the design used in this assessment. These changes do have the potential to

reduce the effect of the buildings on plume dispersion, in effect aiding dispersion, and lead to a

potential reduction in the predicted impacts reported in this assessment. Due to the relative

differences in height between the tip of the stack (the release height) and the height of the

buildings, these changes are unlikely to have a significant effect on the predicted results, and this

assessment is considered to be conservative.

The following assumptions have been made in the preparation of the assessment:

• a 70% NOx to NO2 conversion rate has been assumed in predicting the long-term PC, and

35% for the short-term PC;

• in the assessment of emissions of PM2.5, the total particulate emissions have been assumed

to be PM2.5;

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• emissions of metals have been considered separately, and have been evaluated using

guidance issued by the EA’s Air Quality Modelling and Assessment Unit. The maximum

reported measured concentrations for metals at operational facilities in the UK has been used

to calculate the emission rate for the proposed facility;

• Emissions of PAHs, modelled as benzo[a]pyrene, have been considered at emission limits

derived from measured concentrations from a comparable facility.

In particular, the use of IED emission limits for most of the pollutants in the study is likely to result in

an over-prediction of impacts from the WtE process. Emissions tests on other facilities of

comparable design within the UK have shown that actual emissions associated with this facility

actually represent only a fraction of their respective ELVs for most pollutants.

7. Conclusions This report has assessed the impact on local air quality of the operation of the proposed Harewood

Waste-to-Energy Facility. The assessment has used the dispersion models ADMS. An assessment

of the road traffic emissions will be undertaken and included within the ES.

The assessment of emissions from the main stack has focused on the impact on ground-level

concentrations of the pollutants specified in the IED. Particular attention has been given to the

impact on concentrations of NO2 and particulate matter in the vicinity of residential properties in

close proximity to the application site and near to major traffic routes.

An evaluation of release height for the main stacks has shown that a release height of 70 m or

greater is capable of mitigating the short-term and long-term impacts of emissions to an acceptable

level, with regard to existing air quality and ambient air quality standards. The design of the facility

includes stacks with a release height of 70 m above ground level.

Emissions from the main stacks would result in small increases in ground-level concentrations of

the modelled pollutants. Taking into account available information on background concentrations

within the modelled domain, predicted operational concentrations of the modelled pollutants would

be within current environmental standards for the protection of human health.

The results from modelling of emissions from the stack predicted an impact on annual mean NO2

concentrations of 0.4 µg/m3 or more is restricted to an area within a maximum distance of 2 km.

The modelling of impacts at designated ecological sites (SSSIs) has predicted that WtE emissions

would give rise to no impacts with regard to increases in atmospheric concentrations of NOX, SO2,

NH3 and HF, or through deposition of nutrient nitrogen and acid that are considered significant.

The use of emission concentrations at the BAT-AEL emission limit values is likely to have resulted

in an over-prediction of impacts from the WtE. Therefore, the reported impacts are considered to

represent a robust assessment of likely impacts at all sensitive receptor locations.

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