appendix a: full results table a.1: conditional logit ... · pdf file1 appendix a: full...

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Appendix A: Full results Table A.1: Conditional logit estimates, Austria EP

ALL ÖVP FPÖ BZÖ Grüne Liste HPM

Left/Right

-.36** (.03)

EU -.14** (.02)

Prospective Economic Evaluations

-.14 (.13)

-.41* (.18)

-.33 (.23)

-.23 (.15)

-.18 (.15)

Retrospective Economic Evaluations

.01 (16)

.27 (.24)

.24 (.28)

.22 (.19)

.12 (.18)

Education

.15 (.19)

-.48 (.34)

.38 (.37)

.65** (.21)

-.48 (.24)

Religion

.24** (.09)

-.19 (.14)

.1 (.18)

-.28** (.11)

-.11 (.11)

Social Class

.19 (.17)

.04 (.22)

-.18 (.30)

.04 (.20)

.06 (.18)

Stacked Obs. 3186 - 691.53 238.95

Log

Likelihood

LR χ² Notes: Table entries are conditional logit regression coefficients with standard errors in parentheses. The models include party dummies which have been suppressed in the table (these are available upon request from the authors). Party 1 (Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs -SPÖ) is the omitted reference group for individual-specific variables. * significant at p < .05, ** significant at p < .01 (two-tailed).

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Table B.1: Conditional logit estimates, Austria NP

ALL ÖVP FPÖ BZÖ Grüne Liste HPM

Left/Right

-.36** (.03)

EU -.13** (.02)


-.09 (.11)

.43** (.15)

-.39 (.24)

-.16 (.13)

-.35 (.27)


-.26 (.14)

-.33 (.21)

-.29 (.31)

-.09 (.16)

-.25 (.35)

Education

.12 (.17)

-.26 (.28)

.36 (.40)

.73** (.19)

-.29 (.51)

Religion

.32** (.08)

-.16 (.12)

.1 (.18)

-.27** (.10)

.24 (.22)

Social Class

.36* (.15)

.16 (.19)

-.13 (.30)

.15 (.18)

.07 (.34)

Stacked Obs. 3492 - 667.76 256,67

Log

Likelihood

LR χ² Notes: Table entries are conditional logit regression coefficients with standard errors in parentheses. The models include party dummies which have been suppressed in the table (these are available upon request from the authors). Party 1 (Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs -SPÖ) is the omitted reference group for individual-specific variables. * significant at p < .05, ** significant at p < .01 (two-tailed).

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Table A.2: Conditional logit estimates, Belgium Flanders EP

ALL OpenVLD SPA VB Groen N-VA Left/Right

-.24** (.03)

EU -.11** (.0.4)


.07 (.21)

.06 (.20)

-.28 (.25)

-.03 (.20)

-.16 (.22)


-.11 (.20)

-.38 (.18)

-.40* (.24)

-.37 (.20)

-.26 (.20)

Education

.9 (.52)

.61 (.47)

-.11 (.64)

.1.47** (.48)

.73 (.51)

Religion

-.54** (.16)

-.30* (.13)

-.56** (.19)

-.41** (.15)

-.32* (.15)

Social Class

-.22 (.21)

-.13 (.19)

-.37 (.23)

-.44* (.21)

-.13 (.20)

Stacked Obs. 1794 - 446.07 94.06

Log

Likelihood

LR χ² Notes: Table entries are conditional logit regression coefficients with standard errors in parentheses. The models include party dummies which have been suppressed in the table (these are available upon request from the authors). Party 1 (Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams - CD&V) is the omitted reference group for individual-specific variables. * significant at p < .05, ** significant at p < .01 (two-tailed).

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Table B.2: Conditional logit estimates, Belgium Flanders NP

ALL OpenVLD SPA VB Groen N-VA Left/Right

-.21** (.03)

EU -.11** (.0.4)


-.12 (.24)

-.05 (.20)

-.50 (.26)

-.42 (.24)

.17 (.22)


.23 (.21)

-.26 (.18)

-.31 (.26)

.12 (.23)

-.35* (.20)

Education

.96 (.56)

.77 (.46)

-.28 (.66)

.6 (.57)

.73 (.52)

Religion

-.3* (.15)

-.25 (.13)

-.67** (.23)

-.27** (.16)

-.34* (.15)

Social Class

-.19 (.22)

-.01 (.19)

-.07 (.24)

-.33 (.23)

-.37 (.20)

Stacked Obs. 1626 - 406.01 80.76

Log

Likelihood

LR χ² Notes: Table entries are conditional logit regression coefficients with standard errors in parentheses. The models include party dummies which have been suppressed in the table (these are available upon request from the authors). Party 1 (Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams - CD&V) is the omitted reference group for individual-specific variables. * significant at p < .05, ** significant at p < .01 (two-tailed).

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Table A.3: Conditional logit estimates, Belgium Wallonia EP

ALL MR PS ECOLO Left/Right

-.28** (.05)

EU .08 (.05)


-.08 (.22)

-.006 (.23)

.001 (.22)


-.32 (.28)

.28 (.24)

.22 (.25)

Education

.08 (.56)

-.72 (.56)

.49 (.52)

Religion

-.22 (.14)

-.25 (.14)

-.38 (.14)

Social Class

.24 (.25)

.022 (.24)

.12 (.23)

Stacked Obs.

Log

Likelihood

LR χ²

860 - 254.7 50.23

Notes: Table entries are conditional logit regression coefficients with standard errors in parentheses. The models include party dummies which have been suppressed in the table (these are available upon request from the authors). Party 1 (Centre Démocrate Humaniste - CDH) is the omitted reference group for individual-specific variables. * significant at p < .05, ** significant at p < .01 (two-tailed).

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Table B.3: Conditional logit estimates, Belgium Wallonia NP

ALL MR PS ECOLO Left/Right

-.34** (.05)

EU .04 (.06)


.23 (.25)

.17 (.25)

.04 (.23)


-.53 (.33)

.32 (.26)

.04 (.27)

Education

.14 (.61)

-.49 (.62)

.65 (.55)

Religion

-.06 (.15)

-.28 (.15)

-.20 (.15)

Social Class

.31 (.28)

.20 (.27)

.30 (.25)

Stacked Obs.

Log

Likelihood

LR χ²

728 - 208.23 57.55

Notes: Table entries are conditional logit regression coefficients with standard errors in parentheses. The models include party dummies which have been suppressed in the table (these are available upon request from the authors). Party 1 (Centre Démocrate Humaniste - CDH) is the omitted reference group for individual-specific variables. * significant at p < .05, ** significant at p < .01 (two-tailed).

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Table A.4: Conditional logit estimates, Bulgaria EP

ALL NDSV DPS GERB Blue Coalition

RZS

Left/Right

-.50** (.05)

EU -.04 (.05)


.10 (.27)

.26 (.30)

.09 (.21)

-.13 (.26)

-.14 (.38)


-.68* (.31)

-.11 (.38)

-.44 (.23)

-.22 (.27)

-.25 (.39)

Education

1.39* (.52)

-.88 (.63)

.09 (.40)

1.22* (.55)

1.39 (.81)

Religion

-.83** (.27)

-.10 (.28)

.53* (.21)

.60* (.28)

.06 (.41)

Social Class

.17 (.31)

-.26 (.44)

-.001 (.26)

-.22 (.49)

.08 (.49)

Stacked Obs. 1482 - 238.46 129.27

Log

Likelihood

LR χ² Notes: Table entries are conditional logit regression coefficients with standard errors in parentheses. The models include party dummies which have been suppressed in the table (these are available upon request from the authors). Party 1 (Коалиция за България - KB) is the omitted reference group for individual-specific variables. * significant at p < .05, ** significant at p < .01 (two-tailed).

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Table B.4: Conditional logit estimates, Bulgaria NP

ALL NDSV DPS GERB Blue Coalition

RZS

Left/Right

-.51** (.04)

EU .04 (.05)


.02 (.31)

-56 (.31)

.22 (.18)

-.07 (.23)

-.24 (.41)


-.28 (.32)

-.32 (.34)

-.37* (.19)

-.28 (.25)

-1.43 (.78)

Education

.81 (.55)

-1.00 (.59)

.12 (.32)

1.39** (.47)

1.7 (.83)

Religion

.52 (.30)

.12 (.24)

-.32 (.17)

-39 (.25)

-.22 (.41)

Social Class

.34 (.33)

-.09 (.43)

.05 (.21)

.15 (.27)

-.46 (.53)

Stacked Obs. 2022 -277.31 653.01

Log

Likelihood

LR χ² Notes: Table entries are conditional logit regression coefficients with standard errors in parentheses. The models include party dummies which have been suppressed in the table (these are available upon request from the authors). Party 1 (Коалиция за България - KB) is the omitted reference group for individual-specific variables. * significant at p < .05, ** significant at p < .01 (two-tailed).

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Table A.5: Conditional logit estimates, Cyprus EP

ALL DISY DIKO ΕDEK EK KOP Left/Right

-.41** (.028)

EU -.12** (0.4)


-.16 (.16)

-.24 (.18)

.25 (.18)

.03 (.23)

-.03 (.33)


-.42* (.18)

-.51** (.21)

-.28 (.21)

-.61* (.28)

-.45 (.39)

Education

.35** (.26)

-.008 (.28)

.39 (.30)

1.09 (.42)

.97 (.59)

Religion

.26* (.13)

.59 (.16)

.29* (.15)

.14 (.20)

.48 (.30)

Social Class

.36* (.18)

.44* (.21)

.39 (.21)

.37 (.28)

.53 (.43)

Stacked Obs. 3426 - 545.265 271.47

Log

Likelihood

LR χ² Notes: Table entries are conditional logit regression coefficients with standard errors in parentheses. The models include party dummies which have been suppressed in the table (these are available upon request from the authors). Party 1 (ΑΚΕΛ - AKEL) is the omitted reference group for individual-specific variables. * significant at p < .05, ** significant at p < .01 (two-tailed).

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Table B.5: Conditional logit estimates, Cyprus NP

ALL DISY DIKO ΕDEK EK KOP Left/Right

-.51** (.04)

EU .03* (0.5)


.02 (.31)

.56 (.31)

.22 (.18)

-.07 (.24)

-.24 (.41)


-.28** (.32)

-.32 (.34)

-.37** (.19)

-.28* (.25)

1.42 (.78)

Education

.81 (.55)

-1.01 (.59)

.12 (.32)

1.39 (.46)

1.7 (.83)

Religion

.51 (.29)

.12** (.29)

.32 (.17)

.39 (.25)

-.22 (.40)

Social Class

.34** (.32)

-.09** (.43)

.05* (.21)

.14** (.27)

-.46 (.53)

Stacked Obs. 2034 - 280.45 166.92

Log

Likelihood

LR χ² Notes: Table entries are conditional logit regression coefficients with standard errors in parentheses. The models include party dummies which have been suppressed in the table (these are available upon request from the authors). Party 1 (ΑΚΕΛ - AKEL) is the omitted reference group for individual-specific variables. * significant at p < .05, ** significant at p < .01 (two-tailed).

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Table A.6: Conditional logit estimates, Czech Republic EP

ALL KDU-CSL KSCM ODS SZ Left/Right

-.42** (.03)

EU -.05 (0.04)


-.16 (.23)

.18 (.20)

0.30 (.19)

.29 (.29)


-.02 (.24)

-.39 (.21)

-.17 (.20)

-.11 (.31)

Education

.15 (.44)

-.26 (.39)

.35 (.36

-.26 (.65)

Religion

-.66* (.13

-11 (.17)

-05 (.12)

-.24 (.25)

Social Class

-.28 (.26)

-.18 (.21)

.15 (.21)

-.43 (.35)

Stacked Obs.

Log

Likelihood

LR χ²

1750 -306.07 185.18

Notes: Table entries are conditional logit regression coefficients with standard errors in parentheses. The models include party dummies which have been suppressed in the table (these are available upon request from the authors). Party 1 (Česká Strana Sociálne Demokratická - CSSD) is the omitted reference group for individual-specific variables. * significant at p < .05, ** significant at p < .01 (two-tailed).

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Table B.6: Conditional logit estimates, Czech Republic NP

ALL KDU-CSL KSCM ODS SZ Left/Right

-.45** (.03)

EU -.09* (0.04)


-.08 (.21)

-.07 (.17)

.14 (.15)

.21 (.25)


-.02 (.21)

-.16 (.17)

-.004 (.15)

.48 (.25)

Education

.13 (.35)

-.26 (.30)

.18 (.28)

-.40 (.49)

Religion

.62** (.12)

-.05 (.14)

-.06 (.11)

-.16 (.21)

Social Class

-.02 (.22)

.003 (.17)

.22 (.16)

-.02 (.28)

Stacked Obs.

Log

Likelihood

LR χ²

2675 - 470.10 261.95

Notes: Table entries are conditional logit regression coefficients with standard errors in parentheses. The models include party dummies which have been suppressed in the table (these are available upon request from the authors). Party 1 (Česká Strana Sociálne Demokratická - CSSD) is the omitted reference group for individual-specific variables. * significant at p < .05, ** significant at p < .01 (two-tailed).

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Table A.7: Conditional logit estimates, Denmark EP

ALL Det Radikale Venstre

De Konservative

Socialistisk Folkepartie

Dansk Folkeparti

Venstre

Left/Right

-.53** (.034)

EU -.14** (.03)


.21 (.19)

.17 (.20)

-.09 (.13)

-.15 (.17)

-.11 (.15)


-.36 (.23)

.02 (.18)

-.13 (.14)

-.27 (.17)

.11 (.15)

Education

.36 (.28)

.29 (.24)

.27 (.18)

.08 (.22)

.01 (.20)

Religion

.29* (.17)

.22 (.15)

-.01* (.12)

.09 (.15)

.31* (.13)

Social Class

.52* (.22)

.63* (.21)

.15* (.13)

-.04* (.17)

.19 (.16)

Stacked Obs. 3774 - 791.10 321.24

Log

Likelihood

LR χ² Notes: Table entries are conditional logit regression coefficients with standard errors in parentheses. The models include party dummies which have been suppressed in the table (these are available upon request from the authors). Party 1 (Socialdemokraterne – A) is the omitted reference group for individual-specific variables. * significant at p < .05, ** significant at p < .01 (two-tailed).

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Table B.7: Conditional logit estimates, Denmark NP

ALL Det Radikale Venstre

De Konservative

Socialistisk Folkepartie

Dansk Folkeparti

Venstre

Left/Right

-.59** (.03)

EU -.12** (.03)


-.33 (.21)

.09 (.19)

.16 (.13)

.27 (.17)

-.08 (.15)


-.63* (.29)

-.17 (.18)

-.07 (.12)

.22 (.17)

-.001 (.15)

Education

.74* (.34)

.21 (.23)

.19 (.16)

-.21 (.22)

-.03 (.19)

Religion

.09 (.19)

.33** (.15)

.15 (.11)

-.01 (.15)

.26** (.13)

Social Class

.81** (.25)

.80** (.20)

.27* (.12)

.06* (.16)

.40* (.15)

Stacked Obs. 4206 - 807,23 364,62

Log

Likelihood

LR χ² Notes: Table entries are conditional logit regression coefficients with standard errors in parentheses. The models include party dummies which have been suppressed in the table (these are available upon request from the authors). Party 1 (Socialdemokraterne – A) is the omitted reference group for individual-specific variables. * significant at p < .05, ** significant at p < .01 (two-tailed).

15

Table A.8: Conditional logit estimates, Estonia EP

ALL Keskerakond IRL SDE Rohelised Rahvaliit Left/Right

-.39** (.04)

EU -.17** (.05)


-.85* (.21)

-.28 (.21)

-.28 (.23)

-.50 (.37)

-.24 (.31)


-.41 (.31)

-.23 (.29)

.03 (.30)

.38 (.42)

-.07 (.48)

Education

-.92* (.41)

-.46 (.41)

.23 (.44)

-1.3 (.78)

-.89 (.65)

Religion

.2 (.19)

.05 (.19)

.07 (.21)

.32 (.46)

-.04 (.32)

Social Class

-.27 (.23)

.29 (.23)

-.20 (.26)

.11 (.45)

-.38 (.35)

Stacked Obs. 1824 -347.35 122.51

Log

Likelihood

LR χ² Notes: Table entries are conditional logit regression coefficients with standard errors in parentheses. The models include party dummies which have been suppressed in the table (these are available upon request from the authors). Party 1 (Eesti Reformierakond – Reformierakond) is the omitted reference group for individual-specific variables. * significant at p < .05, ** significant at p < .01 (two-tailed).

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Table B.8: Conditional logit estimates, Estonia NP

ALL Keskerakond IRL SDE Rohelised Rahvaliit Left/Right

-.40** (.04)

EU -.10* (.04)


-.82* (.16)

-.28** (.16)

-.37* (.17)

-.31 (.22)

-.60* (.27)


-.32 (.23)

-.03 (.21)

-.31 (.26)

.26 (.26)

-.19 (.47)

Education

-.73* (.32)

.03 (.33)

.65 (.35)

-.21 (.44)

.19 (.60)

Religion

.26 (.15)

-.06 (.16)

-.02 (.18)

-.21 (.25)

.28 (.28)

Social Class

-.36* (.18)

-.07 (.18)

-.28 (.20)

-.03 (.25)

-.71* (.32)

Stacked Obs. 2736 -565.85 178.39

Log

Likelihood

LR χ² Notes: Table entries are conditional logit regression coefficients with standard errors in parentheses. The models include party dummies which have been suppressed in the table (these are available upon request from the authors). Party 1 (Eesti Reformierakond – Reformierakond) is the omitted reference group for individual-specific variables. * significant at p < .05, ** significant at p < .01 (two-tailed). Table A.9: Conditional logit estimates, Finland EP

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ALL KESK KOK VAS VIHR RKP KD PS

Left/Right

-.61** (.04)

EU -.20** (.04)


.02 (.17)

.08 (.17)

-.01 (.24)

-.21 (.17)

-.51 (.32)

.21 (.28)

-.31 (.2)


.27* (.22)

.15* (.23)

.53 (.30)

-.11* (.25)

.77 (.30)

.58 (.33)

-.36 (.31)

Education

.07 (.21)

.30 (.22)

.44 (.31)

.65* (.23)

.41 (.36)

-.13 (.33)

.04 (.27)

Religion

.19 (.15)

-.03 (.15)

.-06 (.21)

-.21 (.15)

-.35 (.27)

1.37* (.22)

-.17 (.19)

Social Class

.21 (.18)

.69* (.20)

-.31 (.24)

.45* (.19)

.51 (.36)

.52 (.32)

.13 (.21)

Stacked Obs. 4480 -737.58 370.70

Log

Likelihood

LR χ² Notes: Table entries are conditional logit regression coefficients with standard errors in parentheses. The models include party dummies which have been suppressed in the table (these are available upon request from the authors). Party 1 (Suomen Sosialidemokraattinen Puolue – SDP) is the omitted reference group for individual-specific variables. * significant at p < .05, ** significant at p < .01 (two-tailed).

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Table B.9: Conditional logit estimates, Finland NP

ALL KESK KOK VAS VIHR RKP KD PS Left/Right

-.59** (.03)

EU -.15** (.03)


.09 (.16)

.01 (.15)

-.14 (.20)

-.08 (.15)

.36 (.33)

.03 (.27)

-.35* (.16)


.14 (.20)

.02 (.20)

.3 (.25)

.05 (.21)

.69* (.30)

.15 (.33)

-.11 (.23)

Education

-.15 (.2)

.19 (.20)

.54* (.27)

.56** (.21)

.55 (.39)

.07 (.32)

-.11 (.24)

Religion

.35* (.14)

.12 (.15)

.21 (.18)

.02 (.15)

.31 (.26)

-1.4** (.21)

-.23 (.18)

Social Class

.31 (.17)

.8** (.18)

-.02 (.22)

.36* (.17)

.27 (.35)

.35 (.3)

.03 (.2)

Stacked Obs. 5368 - 882.22 437.61

Log

Likelihood

LR χ² Notes: Table entries are conditional logit regression coefficients with standard errors in parentheses. The models include party dummies which have been suppressed in the table (these are available upon request from the authors). Party 1 (Suomen Sosialidemokraattinen Puolue – SDP) is the omitted reference group for individual-specific variables. * significant at p < .05, ** significant at p < .01 (two-tailed).

19

Table A.10: Conditional logit estimates, France EP

ALL PS Verts Modem Left/Right

-.29** (.06)

EU .03 (.05)


.31 (.28)

.34 (.26)

.17 (.33)


.98 (.61)

.87 (.59)

.02 (.76)

Education

-.47 (.45)

-.18 (.43)

-.3 (.53)

Religion

.43 (.29)

.28 (.28)

.13 (.34)

Social Class

.25 (.29)

.30 (.28)

1.1 (.37)

Stacked Obs. 720 - 188.94 36.96

Log

Likelihood

LR χ² Notes: Table entries are conditional logit regression coefficients with standard errors in parentheses. The models include party dummies which have been suppressed in the table (these are available upon request from the authors). Party 1 (Extrême gauche, le parti d’Olivier Besancenot - NPA) is the omitted reference group for individual-specific variables. * significant at p < .05, ** significant at p < .01 (two-tailed).

20

Table B.10: Conditional logit estimates, France NP

ALL PS Verts Modem Left/Right

-.39** (.06)

EU -.01 (.05)


-.15 (.26)

.2 (.27)

.05 (.34)


.21 (.44)

.1 (.44)

.11 (.53)

Education

.4 (.4)

.53 (.41)

.32 (.50)

Religion

.24 (.29)

.2 (.29)

.44 (.31)

Social Class

-.26 (.25)

-.06 (.25)

.41 (.32)

Stacked Obs. 892 - 228.60 55.52

Log

Likelihood

LR χ² Notes: Table entries are conditional logit regression coefficients with standard errors in parentheses. The models include party dummies which have been suppressed in the table (these are available upon request from the authors). Party 1 (Extrême gauche, le parti d’Olivier Besancenot - NPA) is the omitted reference group for individual-specific variables. * significant at p < .05, ** significant at p < .01 (two-tailed).

21

Table A.11: Conditional logit estimates, Germany EP

ALL SPD B90/Die Grünen

Die Linke FDP

Left/Right

-.37** (.03)

EU -.14** (.04)


.07 (.12)

-.2 (.14)

-.52* (.2)

-.001 (.15)


.14 (.14)

-.13 (.18)

.26 (.25)

.13 (.17)

Education

-.11 (.17)

.24 (.18)

.38 (.32)

.05 (.20)

Religion

-.34** (.10)

-.23 (.12)

-.75** (.1)

-.23 (.22)

Social Class

-.32* (.16)

.19 (.22)

-.63* (.29)

.33 (.32)

Stacked Obs. 2455 - 554.7 174.92

Log

Likelihood

LR χ² Notes: Table entries are conditional logit regression coefficients with standard errors in parentheses. The models include party dummies which have been suppressed in the table (these are available upon request from the authors). Party 1 (Christlich Demokratische Union/Christlich-Soziale Union – CDU/CSU) is the omitted reference group for individual-specific variables. * significant at p < .05, ** significant at p < .01 (two-tailed).

22

Table B.11: Conditional logit estimates, Germany NP

ALL SPD B90/Die Grünen

Die Linke FDP

Left/Right

-.38** (.03)

EU -.14** (.03)


-.11 (.11)

-.18 (.13)

-.46* (.18)

-.05 (.12)


.05 (.13)

-.04 (.16)

.04 (.23)

.1 (.14)

Education

-.15 (.16)

.40* (.18)

.40 (.27)

.08 (.17)

Religion

-.29** (.09)

-.25* (.11)

-.72** (.20)

-.2* (.09)

Social Class

-.25 (.13)

.10 (.19)

-.3 (.25)

.1 (.15)

Stacked Obs. 3080 - 720.32 213.03

Log

Likelihood

LR χ² Notes: Table entries are conditional logit regression coefficients with standard errors in parentheses. The models include party dummies which have been suppressed in the table (these are available upon request from the authors). Party 1 (Christlich Demokratische Union/Christlich-Soziale Union – CDU/CSU) is the omitted reference group for individual-specific variables. * significant at p < .05, ** significant at p < .01 (two-tailed).

23

Table A.12: Conditional logit estimates, Greece EP

ALL PASOK KKE SYRIZA LA.O.S. OP Left/Right

-.43** (.03)

EU -.15** (.03)


-.47** (.14)

-.54** (.21)

-.78** (.23)

-.46** (.18)

-.35 (.20)


-.73** (.17)

.04 (.23)

-.2 (.28)

-.13 (.21)

-.69** (.26)

Education

-.6* (.23)

-.18 (.31)

.73 (.41)

-.13 (.3)

.11 (.34)

Religion

-.17 (.12)

-.33* (.16)

-.6** (.18)

-.26 (.15)

-.41* (.17)

Social Class

-.1 (.17)

-.41 (.23)

-.2 (.26)

.2 (.23)

.13 (.25)

Stacked Obs. 3090 - 538,69 768.12

Log

Likelihood

LR χ² Notes: Table entries are conditional logit regression coefficients with standard errors in parentheses. The models include party dummies which have been suppressed in the table (these are available upon request from the authors). Party 1 (New Democracy – Ν∆) is the omitted reference group for individual-specific variables. * significant at p < .05, ** significant at p < .01 (two-tailed).

24

Table B.12: Conditional logit estimates, Greece NP

ALL PASOK KKE SYRIZA LA.O.S. OP Left/Right

-.41** (.03)

EU -.10** (.02)


-.45** (.12)

-.49** (.17)

-.64** (.21)

-.53** (.17)

.-36 (.23)


-.75** (.15)

-.02 (.2)

-.14 (.23)

-.19 (.21)

-.74* (.31)

Education

-.39 (.21)

-.21 (.28)

.62 (.35)

-.01 (.29)

.36 (.4)

Religion

-.1 (.11)

.34* (.15)

-.33 (.17)

.05 (.15)

-.32 (.2)

Social Class

-.28 (.16)

-.43* (.19)

-.16 (.22)

-.14 (.22)

.05 (.27)

Stacked Obs. 3684 - 642.88 315.54

Log

Likelihood

LR χ² Notes: Table entries are conditional logit regression coefficients with standard errors in parentheses. The models include party dummies which have been suppressed in the table (these are available upon request from the authors). Party 1 (New Democracy – Ν∆) is the omitted reference group for individual-specific variables. * significant at p < .05, ** significant at p < .01 (two-tailed).

25

Table A.13: Conditional logit estimates, Hungary EP

ALL Jobbik MKM MDF MSZP Left/Right

-.67** (.06)

EU -.10* (.04)


-.27* (.18)

-.47 (.76)

-.13 (.30)

.11 (.29)


.29 (.32)

1.37* (.96)

-.11 (.40)

.76* (.30)

Education

.71* (.34)

2.26 (1.57)

.42 (.62)

1.2* (.56)

Religion

-.32* (.13)

-.91 (.97)

-.49 (.28)

-.43* (.22)

Social Class

-.2 (.22)

-2.24 (1.54)

.61 (.41)

-.20 (.34)

Stacked Obs.

Log

Likelihood LR χ²

1810 - 187.12 122.23

Notes: Table entries are conditional logit regression coefficients with standard errors in parentheses. The models include party dummies which have been suppressed in the table (these are available upon request from the authors). Party 1 (Fidesz- Magyar Polgári Párt - Fidesz) is the omitted reference group for individual-specific variables. * significant at p < .05, ** significant at p < .01 (two-tailed).

26

Table B.13: Conditional logit estimates, Hungary NP

ALL Jobbik MKM MDF MSZP Left/Right

-.53** (.05)

EU -.11** (.04)


-.48* (.16)

-.26 (.74)

.40 (.31)

-.44 (.23)


-.09 (.25)

.44 (.85)

-.31 (.33)

.28 (.21)

Education

.27 (.27)

2.00 (1.27)

.66 (.55)

.55 (.35)

Religion

-.19 (.11)

-.60 (.96)

.48 (.30)

-.19 (.16)

Social Class

-.02 (.18)

-1.34 (1.16)

.39 (.37)

.26 (.23)

Stacked Obs.

Log

Likelihood LR χ²

2625 - 288,80 171,69

Notes: Table entries are conditional logit regression coefficients with standard errors in parentheses. The models include party dummies which have been suppressed in the table (these are available upon request from the authors). Party 1 (Fidesz- Magyar Polgári Párt - Fidesz) is the omitted reference group for individual-specific variables. * significant at p < .05, ** significant at p < .01 (two-tailed).

27

Table A.14: Conditional logit estimates, Ireland EP

ALL FG Green LP SF Left/Right

-.18** (.03)

EU -.10** (.03)


.41* (.11)

-.21* (.23)

-.39 (.12)

-.20* (.21)


-.31* (.14)

.25 (.33)

-.20 (.16)

-.78 (.42)

Education

.08 (.16)

.74 (.41)

-.19 (.19)

-.39 (.32)

Religion

-.09 (.08)

-.34* (.17)

-.35* (.09)

-.39* (.14)

Social Class

.14 (.12)

.30 (.30)

-.07 (.15)

-.65* (.25)

Stacked Obs.

Log

Likelihood LR χ²

2570 - 590.97 132.74

Notes: Table entries are conditional logit regression coefficients with standard errors in parentheses. The models include party dummies which have been suppressed in the table (these are available upon request from the authors). Party 1 (Fianna Fail - FF) is the omitted reference group for individual-specific variables. * significant at p < .05, ** significant at p < .01 (two-tailed).

28

Table B.14: Conditional logit estimates, Ireland NP

ALL FG Green LP SF Left/Right

-.23** (.03)

EU -.09** (.03)


-.35** (.10)

-.09 (.22)

-.40** (.12)

-.15 (.20)


-.40** (.14)

-.23 (.30)

-.07 (.15)

-.59 (.35)

Education

.09 (.16)

.51 (.38)

-.01 (.18)

-.81** (.31)

Religion

-.12 (.08)

-.66** (.16)

-.30** (.08)

-.32* (.14)

Social Class

.15 (.12)

.07 (.27)

-.12 (.13)

-.08* (.22)

Stacked Obs.

Log

Likelihood LR χ²

2790 -638.72 518.68

Notes: Table entries are conditional logit regression coefficients with standard errors in parentheses. The models include party dummies which have been suppressed in the table (these are available upon request from the authors). Party 1 (Fianna Fail - FF) is the omitted reference group for individual-specific variables. * significant at p < .05, ** significant at p < .01 (two-tailed).

29

Table A.15: Conditional logit estimates, Italy EP

ALL LN PD IdV UDC Rifondazione SL Left/Right

-.53** (.04)

EU -.08* (.04)


-.32 (.22)

-.64* (.21)

-.71* (.26)

-.38 (.34)

-.67 (.36)

-.56 (.34)


-.26 (.19)

-.65** (.23)

-.29 (.27)

-.07 (.07)

-.42 (.45)

-.42 (.45)

Education

-.28 (.25)

.29 (.26)

.09 (.32)

.32 (.38)

-.25 (.48)

1.29* (.50)

Religion

-.04 (.10)

-.17 (.10)

-.16 (.14)

.40* (.19)

-.25 (.21)

-.05 (.18)

Social Class

-.16* (.21)

-.11* (.22)

.02* (.28)

-.12* (.32)

-.54 (.40)

-.88* (.40)

Stacked Obs.

Log

Likelihood LR χ²

3129 - 447.26 216.50

Notes: Table entries are conditional logit regression coefficients with standard errors in parentheses. The models include party dummies which have been suppressed in the table (these are available upon request from the authors). Party 1 (Popolo della Liberta - PdL) is the omitted reference group for individual-specific variables. * significant at p < .05, ** significant at p < .01 (two-tailed).

30

Table B.15: Conditional logit estimates, Italy NP

ALL LN PD IdV UDC Rifondazione SL Left/Right

-.53** (.04)

EU -.14** (.04)


-.27 (.21)

-.59* (.21)

-.64* (.26)

-.63 (.36)

-.61 (.40)

-.35 (.38)


-.07 (.18)

-.62** (.23)

-.27 (.28)

.17 (.31)

.06 (.48)

-.82 (.50)

Education

-.18 (.25)

.26 (.29)

.08 (.34)

.40 (.43)

-.22 (.54)

.28 (.50)

Religion

-.08 (.10)

-.17 (.11)

-.17 (.14)

.35 (.22)

-.24 (.23)

-.21 (.21)

Social Class

-.14 (.21)

-.12 (.22)

-.14 (.28)

.03 (.37)

-.62 (.45)

-.23 (.43)

Stacked Obs.

Log

Likelihood LR χ²

3164 - 435.89 206.30

Notes: Table entries are conditional logit regression coefficients with standard errors in parentheses. The models include party dummies which have been suppressed in the table (these are available upon request from the authors). Party 1 (Popolo della Liberta - PdL) is the omitted reference group for individual-specific variables. * significant at p < .05, ** significant at p < .01 (two-tailed).

31

Table A.16: Conditional logit estimates, Latvia EP

ALL ZZS JL SC LPP/LC

TB/LNNK

PCTVL

PS SCP

Left/Right

-.30** (.03)

EU .07* (.03)


.04 (.30)

.36 (.26)

-.04 (.25)

-.07 (.28)

.20 (.27)

.05 (.28)

.08 (.24)

.31 (.28)


-.26 (.48)

-.47 (.45)

-1.47* (.47)

-.71 (.53)

-.04 (.41)

-1.09 (.59)

-.57 (.40)

-.36 (.49)

Education

.78 (.55)

1.36* (.52)

.68 (.45)

.91 (.51)

.92 (.50)

.25 (50)

1.03* (.45)

1.07 (.56)

Religion

.08 (.26)

.24 (.24)

.07 (.21)

.21 (.25)

.01 (.25)

.07 (.24)

.03 (21)

.04 (.27)

Social Class

-.001 (.34)

-.27 (.32)

.004 (.27)

.43 (.32)

.11 (.32)

.37 (.31)

-.15 (.28)

.15 (.34)

Stacked Obs.

Log

Likelihood LR χ²

4068 - 776.62 166.88

Notes: Table entries are conditional logit regression coefficients with standard errors in parentheses. The models include party dummies which have been suppressed in the table (these are available upon request from the authors). Party 1 (Tautas partija - TP) is the omitted reference group for individual-specific variables. * significant at p < .05, ** significant at p < .01 (two-tailed).

32

Table B.16: Conditional logit estimates, Latvia NP

ALL ZZS JL SC LPP/LC TB/LNNK PCTVL PS SCP Left/Right

-.34** (.03)

EU .15** (.03)


-.45 (.31)

.21 (.25)

-.02 (.24)

-.06 (.28)

-.18 (.30)

-.23 (.31)

.12 (.25)

-.11 (.28)


.35 (.49)

.14 (.42)

-1.00* (.47)

-.25 (.53)

.45 (.46)

-1.00 (.80)

-.38 (.49)

-.08 (.52)

Education

.26 (.53)

1.1** (.47)

.60 (.44)

.43 (.51)

.30 (.53)

.81 (56)

1.41** (.49)

.95 (.56)

Religion

-.33 (.28)

-.37 (.25)

-.22 (.24)

-.27 (.28)

-.06 (.30)

-.17 (.29)

-.10 (.26)

-.34 (.29)

Social Class

.0005 (.33)

-.07 (.29)

.08 (.27)

.26 (.32)

-.13 (.35)

.17 (.35)

-.16 (.31)

.30 (.35)

Stacked Obs.

Log

Likelihood LR χ²

3690 - 658.05 485.62

Notes: Table entries are conditional logit regression coefficients with standard errors in parentheses. The models include party dummies which have been suppressed in the table (these are available upon request from the authors). Party 1 (Tautas partija - TP) is the omitted reference group for individual-specific variables. * significant at p < .05, ** significant at p < .01 (two-tailed).

33

Table A.17: Conditional logit estimates, Lithuania EP

ALL LSDP TT LRLS DP Left/Right

-.38** (.05)

EU -.23** (.06)


-.23 (.22)

-.43 (.26)

-.40 (.31)

-.39 (.25)


-.09 (.32)

-.20 (.37)

-1.19 (.79)

-.98* (.49)

Education

-.05 (.40)

-.28 (.48)

1.02 (.64)

-.51 (.44)

Religion

-.27 (.23)

-.13 (.27)

-.61 (.32)

-.51* (.25)

Social Class

-.49 (.26)

-.45 (.31)

-.24 (.42)

-.33 (.29)

Stacked Obs.

Log

Likelihood LR χ²

1025 - 201.27 91.57

Notes: Table entries are conditional logit regression coefficients with standard errors in parentheses. The models include party dummies which have been suppressed in the table (these are available upon request from the authors). Party 1 (Tėvynės sąjunga – Lietuvos krikscionys demokratai - TS) is the omitted reference group for individual-specific variables. * significant at p < .05, ** significant at p < .01 (two-tailed).

34

Table B.17: Conditional logit estimates, Lithuania NP

ALL LSDP TT LRLS DP Left/Right

-.33** (.04)

EU -.23** (.05)


-.56** (.19)

-.54* (.24)

-.48 (.31)

-.55* (.21)


-.39 (.31)

-.44 (.38)

-.45 (.52)

-1.4** (.45)

Education

.002 (.33)

-.91* (.43)

-.21 (.59)

-.81* (.36)

Religion

-.34 (.19)

-.37 (.26)

-1.17** (.33)

-.42* (.21)

Social Class

-.33 (.21)

-.18 (.28)

1.18* (.48)

-.09 (.25)

Stacked Obs.

Log

Likelihood LR χ²

1330 - 254.06 119.05

Notes: Table entries are conditional logit regression coefficients with standard errors in parentheses. The models include party dummies which have been suppressed in the table (these are available upon request from the authors). Party 1 (Tėvynės sąjunga – Lietuvos krikscionys demokratai - TS) is the omitted reference group for individual-specific variables. * significant at p < .05, ** significant at p < .01 (two-tailed).

35

Table A.18: Conditional logit estimates, Luxembourg EP

ALL LSAP DP CSV ADR Lénk Left/Right

-.30** (.03)

EU -.01 (.04)


-.19 (.15)

-.02 (.15)

-.01 (.13)

-.37 (.27)

-.02 (.27)


.53** (.18)

.13 (.19)

.17 (.16)

-.61 (.41)

-.41 (.38)

Education

-1.04** (.28)

-.72** (.27)

-.70** (.24)

-.2.11** (.57)

-1.19* (.52)

Religion

-.08 (.13)

-.10* (.12)

.29* (.10)

-.16 (.25)

-.19 (.27)

Social Class

-.27 (.19)

.007 (.19)

-.09 (.17)

-.15 (.32)

-.39 (.33)

Stacked Obs. 3036 - 657.26 155.19

Log

Likelihood

LR χ² Notes: Table entries are conditional logit regression coefficients with standard errors in parentheses. The models include party dummies which have been suppressed in the table (these are available upon request from the authors). Party 1 (Déi Gréng) is the omitted reference group for individual-specific variables. * significant at p < .05, ** significant at p < .01 (two-tailed).

36

Table B.18: Conditional logit estimates, Luxembourg NP

ALL LSAP DP CSV ADR Lénk Left/Right

-.36** (.04)

EU -.01 (.04)


.15 (.16)

.24 (.18)

.29* (.15)

-.26 (.28)

.04 (.27)


.56* (.21)

.06 (.24)

.08 (.20)

-.32 (.38)

-.37 (.38)

Education

-1.05** (.31)

-.82* (.34)

-.91** (.29)

-.2.47** (.61)

-1.54** (.54)

Religion

-.21 (.15)

.23 (.15)

.35** (.13)

-.23 (.26)

-.28 (.29)

Social Class

-.44* (.22)

-.26 (.24)

-.31 (.20)

-.58 (.34)

-.40 (.34)

Stacked Obs. 3144 - 616.68 190.21

Log

Likelihood

LR χ² Notes: Table entries are conditional logit regression coefficients with standard errors in parentheses. The models include party dummies which have been suppressed in the table (these are available upon request from the authors). Party 1 (Déi Gréng) is the omitted reference group for individual-specific variables. * significant at p < .05, ** significant at p < .01 (two-tailed).

37

Table A.19: Conditional logit estimates, Malta EP

ALL PL Left/Right

-.51** (.10)

EU -.17 (.09)


-.39 (.25)


-2.12** (.44)

Education

-.62 (.49)

Religion

-.01 (.18)

Social Class

-.41 (.24)

Stacked Obs. 494 - 57.13 45.87

Log

Likelihood

LR χ² Notes: Table entries are conditional logit regression coefficients with standard errors in parentheses. The models include party dummies which have been suppressed in the table (these are available upon request from the authors). Party 1 (Partit Nazzjonalista – PN) is the omitted reference group for individual-specific variables. * significant at p < .05, ** significant at p < .01 (two-tailed).

38

Table B.19: Conditional logit estimates, Malta NP

ALL PL Left/Right

-.39** (.07)

EU -.21* (.09)


-.60* (.26)


-1.7** (.39)

Education

-.74 (.46)

Religion

-.06 (.18)

Social Class

-.48 (.23)

Stacked Obs. 492 - 58.58 52.57

Log

Likelihood

LR χ² Notes: Table entries are conditional logit regression coefficients with standard errors in parentheses. The models include party dummies which have been suppressed in the table (these are available upon request from the authors). Party 1 (Partit Nazzjonalista – PN) is the omitted reference group for individual-specific variables. * significant at p < .05, ** significant at p < .01 (two-tailed).

39

Table A.20: Conditional logit estimates, Netherlands EP

ALL CDA VVD D66 GL PvdD CU SP PVV Left/Right

-.51** (.04)

EU -.17** (.03)


-.14 (.16)

-.33 (.18)

-.35* (.16)

-.06 (.17)

-.17 (.25)

-.38 (.27)

-.31 (.19)

-.27 (.20)


.05 (.18)

-.03 (.18)

-.09 (.19)

-.14 (.20)

-.78 (.41)

.13 (.31)

.36 (.21)

-.29 (.24)

Education

-.004 (.32)

.15 (.35)

.53 (.31)

.96** (.33)

.91 (.54)

.75* (.54)

.31 (.37)

-.17 (.39)

Religion

.68** (.12)

.08 (.14)

.05 (.14)

.06 (.14)

.11 (.22)

1.88** (.30)

-.06 (.17)

.003 (.17)

Social Class

.45* (.19)

.47* (.22)

.47* (.18)

.16 (.19)

.24 (.29)

-.06 (.33)

-.07 (.21)

-.07 (.22)

Stacked Obs.

Log

Likelihood LR χ²

5202 - 878.49 367.77

Notes: Table entries are conditional logit regression coefficients with standard errors in parentheses. The models include party dummies which have been suppressed in the table (these are available upon request from the authors). Party 1 (Partij van de Arbeid – PvdA) is the omitted reference group for individual-specific variables. * significant at p < .05, ** significant at p < .01 (two-tailed).

40

Table B.20: Conditional logit estimates, Netherlands NP

ALL CDA VVD D66 GL PvdD CU SP PVV Left/Right

-.52** (.03)

EU -.16** (.03)


-.10 (.13)

-.16 (.15)

-.26* (.13)

-.04 (.15)

-.31 (.24)

-.41 (.23)

-.31* (.15)

-.08 (.16)


.23 (.15)

-.14 (.18)

-.09 (.16)

-.21 (.18)

-.49 (.39)

.007 (.27)

.07 (.18)

-.02 (.19)

Education

.13 (.26)

-.04 (.31)

.39 (.27)

.55 (.30)

.93 (.56)

.37 (.44)

.13 (.31)

-.25 (.33)

Religion

.58** (.10)

-.03 (.12)

.04 (.11)

.13 (.13)

-.18 (.29)

1.3** (.20)

.02 (.13)

-.28 (.15)

Social Class

.36* (.15)

.46* (.18)

.55* (.16)

.34* (.17)

-.17 (.29)

-.08 (.26)

.005 (.16)

-.33 (.18)

Stacked Obs.

Log

Likelihood LR χ²

6588 - 1121.91 456.86

Notes: Table entries are conditional logit regression coefficients with standard errors in parentheses. The models include party dummies which have been suppressed in the table (these are available upon request from the authors). Party 1 (Partij van de Arbeid – PvdA) is the omitted reference group for individual-specific variables. * significant at p < .05, ** significant at p < .01 (two-tailed).

41

Table A.21: Conditional logit estimates, Poland EP

ALL SLD PO PiS Left/Right

.07* (.03)

EU .09* (.04)


.37 (.30)

.36 (.26)

-.50 (.28)


.14 (.30)

.43 (.26)

-.03 (.29)

Education

.57 (.35)

.53 (.30)

.27 (.32)

Religion

-.54* (.22)

-.22 (.21)

.66* (.25)

Social Class

.23 (.26)

.14 (.23)

.21 (.24)

Stacked Obs.

Log

Likelihood LR χ²

1232 -310.55 78.08

Notes: Table entries are conditional logit regression coefficients with standard errors in parentheses. The models include party dummies which have been suppressed in the table (these are available upon request from the authors). Party 1 (Polskie Stronnictwo Ludowe – PSL) is the omitted reference group for individual-specific variables. * significant at p < .05, ** significant at p < .01 (two-tailed).

42

Table B.21: Conditional logit estimates, Poland NP

ALL SLD PO PiS Left/Right

.08** (.03)

EU .09** (.04)


.13 (.28)

.25 (.24)

-.34 (.26)


.44 (.28)

.50* (.25)

.10 (.27)

Education

.59 (.33)

.58* (.29)

.47* (.31)

Religion

-.47* (.18)

-.13 (.17)

.41* (.19)

Social Class

-.02 (.23)

.08 (.20)

.077 (.21)

Stacked Obs.

Log

Likelihood LR χ²

1656 -424.61 86.21

Notes: Table entries are conditional logit regression coefficients with standard errors in parentheses. The models include party dummies which have been suppressed in the table (these are available upon request from the authors). Party 1 (Polskie Stronnictwo Ludowe – PSL) is the omitted reference group for individual-specific variables. * significant at p < .05, ** significant at p < .01 (two-tailed).

43

Table A.22: Conditional logit estimates, Portugal EP

ALL CDS-PP CDU (PCV/PEV)

PS PSD

Left/Right

-.51** (.04)

EU -.10** (.04)


.78* (.30)

.005 (.26)

.41* (.23)

.11 (.23)


-.09 (.28)

.20 (.26)

.07 (.22)

-.31 (.24)

Education

.13 (.36)

-.60 (.33)

-.47 (.28)

-.28 (.28)

Religion

.005 (.18)

-.15 (.17)

.09 (.14)

.30* (.15)

Social Class

-.02 (.31)

.16 (.28)

.31 (.25)

.18 (.26)

Stacked Obs.

Log

Likelihood LR χ²

1715 -356.91 174.50

Notes: Table entries are conditional logit regression coefficients with standard errors in parentheses. The models include party dummies which have been suppressed in the table (these are available upon request from the authors). Party 1 (Bloco de Esquerda – BE) is the omitted reference group for individual-specific variables. * significant at p < .05, ** significant at p < .01 (two-tailed).

44

Table B.22: Conditional logit estimates, Portugal NP

ALL CDS-PP CDU (PCV/PEV)

PS PSD

Left/Right

-.53** (.04)

EU -.10** (.03)


.43 (.27)

-.27 (.22)

.45* (.18)

.47 (.19)


-.14 (.28)

-.14 (.23)

-.09 (.18)

-.37 (.19)

Education

.03 (.34)

-.48 (.29)

-.42 (.23)

-.31 (.23)

Religion

-.04 (.18)

-.19 (.15)

-.06 (.11)

.12 (.12)

Social Class

-.30 (.29)

-.03 (.24)

-.04 (.20)

-.07 (.21)

Stacked Obs.

Log

Likelihood LR χ²

2295 -460.57 556.31

Notes: Table entries are conditional logit regression coefficients with standard errors in parentheses. The models include party dummies which have been suppressed in the table (these are available upon request from the authors). Party 1 (Bloco de Esquerda – BE) is the omitted reference group for individual-specific variables. * significant at p < .05, ** significant at p < .01 (two-tailed).

45

Table A.23: Conditional logit estimates, Romania EP

ALL PSD PNL PRM Left/Right

-.22** (.03)

EU -.16** (.04)


.19 (.14)

-.09 (.17)

-.15 (.22)


-.30 (.18)

-.14 (.20)

-.22 (.30)

Education

-.61 (.58)

-.03 (.72)

.43 (.92)

Religion

-.06 (.14)

.05 (.16)

-.07 (.20)

Social Class

-.17 (.20)

-.18 (.23)

-.38 (.27)

Stacked Obs.

Log

Likelihood LR χ²

1148 -291.68 93.12

Notes: Table entries are conditional logit regression coefficients with standard errors in parentheses. The models include party dummies which have been suppressed in the table (these are available upon request from the authors). Party 1 (Partidul Democrat-Liberal – PDL) is the omitted reference group for individual-specific variables. * significant at p < .05, ** significant at p < .01 (two-tailed).

46

Table B.23: Conditional logit estimates, Romania NP

ALL PSD PNL PRM Left/Right

-.27** (.03)

EU -.14** (.04)


.07 (.12)

-.10 (.15)

.53** (.18)


-.14 (.15)

-.19 (.19)

-.18 (.26)

Education

-.55 (.52)

-.72 (.59)

-.19 (.71)

Religion

-.05 (.11)

-.23 (.14)

-.18 (.16)

Social Class

-.15 (.17)

.09 (.19)

-.39 (.21)

Stacked Obs.

Log

Likelihood LR χ²

1584 -412.55 134.74

Notes: Table entries are conditional logit regression coefficients with standard errors in parentheses. The models include party dummies which have been suppressed in the table (these are available upon request from the authors). Party 1 (Partidul Democrat-Liberal – PDL) is the omitted reference group for individual-specific variables. * significant at p < .05, ** significant at p < .01 (two-tailed).

47

Table A.24: Conditional logit estimates, Slovakia EP

ALL SMER SDKU SMK KDH SNS Left/Right

-.50** (.03)

EU -.20** (.06)


-.20 (.33)

-.43 (.36)

-.29 (.39)

-.47 (.38)

.28 (.45)


.65 (.40)

.41 (.42)

.40 (.44)

.50 (.43)

.30 (.50)

Education

.36 (.52)

.96 (.54)

.24 (.58)

.70 (.57)

-.29 (.70)

Religion

.001 (.18)

-.02 (.19)

-.10 (.20)

.45 (.21)

-.02 (.24)

Social Class

.14 (.38)

.21 (.41)

.06 (.43)

.37 (.44)

-.06 (.50)

Stacked Obs. 1740 - 306.75 133.97

Log

Likelihood

LR χ² Notes: Table entries are conditional logit regression coefficients with standard errors in parentheses. The models include party dummies which have been suppressed in the table (these are available upon request from the authors). Party 1 (Ľudová strana – Hnutie za demokratické Slovensko - L’S-HZDS) is the omitted reference group for individual-specific variables. * significant at p < .05, ** significant at p < .01 (two-tailed).

48

Table B.24: Conditional logit estimates, Slovakia NP

ALL SMER SDKU SMK KDH SNS Left/Right

-.43** (.04)

EU -.11* (.04)


-.22 (.27)

-.23 (.29)

.35 (.32)

.09 (.32)

.48 (.34)


.31 (.29)

-.14 (.31)

.14 (.34)

.30 (.32)

-.20 (.37)

Education

.30 (.42)

1.2* (.45)

.45 (.50)

.82 (.48)

-.03 (.53)

Religion

-.04 (.14)

-.16 (.15)

.12 (.17)

.50* (.18)

-.23 (.18)

Social Class

.35 (.29)

.26 (.32)

.17 (.34)

.11 (.33)

.20 (.37)

Stacked Obs. 3018 - 525,54 213,40

Log

Likelihood

LR χ² Notes: Table entries are conditional logit regression coefficients with standard errors in parentheses. The models include party dummies which have been suppressed in the table (these are available upon request from the authors). Party 1 (Ľudová strana – Hnutie za demokratické Slovensko - L’S-HZDS) is the omitted reference group for individual-specific variables. * significant at p < .05, ** significant at p < .01 (two-tailed).

49

Table A.25: Conditional logit estimates, Slovenia EP

ALL LDS SLS SNS SDS SD Zares NSI SMS Left/Right

-.26** (.02)

EU -.10** (.03)


.20 (.25)

-.05 (.32)

.13 (.34)

-.15 (.21)

.30 (.22)

.25 (.25)

-.10 (.25)

.09 (.33)


.20 (.37)

.57 (.42)

.39 (.47)

-.07 (.34)

.37 (.33)

.31 (.35)

.14 (.37)

-.03 (.50)

Education

-.03 (.72)

.42 (.94)

-.67 (.92)

-.32 (.63)

-.06 (.65)

.35 (.75)

-.40 (.69)

-.89 (.91)

Religion

-.40* (.20)

.78* (.28)

.06 (.24)

.15 (.16)

-.61* (.18)

-.33 (.19)

.73* (.19)

.05 (.24)

Social Class

-.03 (.30)

-.24 (.42)

.02 (.41)

.12 (.27)

-.18 (.27)

.04 (.30)

.19 (.31)

.38 (.40)

Stacked Obs.

Log

Likelihood LR χ²

4365 - 701.43 214.99

Notes: Table entries are conditional logit regression coefficients with standard errors in parentheses. The models include party dummies which have been suppressed in the table (these are available upon request from the authors). Party 1 (Desus) is the omitted reference group for individual-specific variables. * significant at p < .05, ** significant at p < .01 (two-tailed).

50

Table B.25: Conditional logit estimates, Slovenia NP

ALL LDS SLS SNS SDS SD Zares NSI SMS Left/Right

-.25** (.02)

EU -.12** (.03)


-.25 (.24)

-.18 (.34)

-.14 (.24)

-.05 (.19)

.34 (.20)

.37 (.23)

.09 (.25)

-.25 (.36)


-.18 (.33)

.60 (.38)

-.41 (.39)

-.10 (.27)

.19 (.26)

.19 (.26)

.08 (.29)

.42 (.32)

Education

1.45* (.55)

1.75* (.79)

.89 (.56)

1.03* (.47)

.93* (.46)

1.47* (.51)

1.27* (.60)

1.22 (.92)

Religion

-.23 (.20)

.57* (.26)

.07 (.18)

.30* (.15)

-.30* (.15)

-.11 (.18)

-1.26** (.24)

.15 (.28)

Social Class

-.61* (.27)

-.59 (.38)

-.17 (.27)

-.29 (.22)

-.36 (.22)

-.23 (.25)

-.10 (.28)

-.33 (.42)

Stacked Obs.

Log

Likelihood LR χ²

5751 - 855.67 272.71

Notes: Table entries are conditional logit regression coefficients with standard errors in parentheses. The models include party dummies which have been suppressed in the table (these are available upon request from the authors). Party 1 (Desus) is the omitted reference group for individual-specific variables. * significant at p < .05, ** significant at p < .01 (two-tailed).

51

Table A.26: Conditional logit estimates, Spain EP

ALL PSOE UPyD Left/Right

-.51** (.05)

EU -.10 (.06)


.74** (.17)

-.21 (.20)


-.40** (.15)

-.32 (.27)

Education

-.47 (.26)

.83* (.37)

Religion

-.41** (.10)

-.20 (.14)

Social Class

.23 (.16)

.13 (.22)

Stacked Obs.

Log

Likelihood LR χ²

1281 - 198,23 135,28

Notes: Table entries are conditional logit regression coefficients with standard errors in parentheses. The models include party dummies which have been suppressed in the table (these are available upon request from the authors). Party 1 (Partido Popular - PP) is the omitted reference group for individual-specific variables. * significant at p < .05, ** significant at p < .01 (two-tailed).

52

Table B.26: Conditional logit estimates, Spain NP

ALL PSOE UPyD Left/Right

-.57** (.05)

EU -.07 (.06)


.76** (.14)

-.22 (.19)


.31* (.12)

-.05 (.22)

Education

-.18 (.23)

1.15** (.38)

Religion

-.17 (.09)

-.02 (.14)

Social Class

-.14 (.13)

-.15 (.22)

Stacked Obs.

Log

Likelihood LR χ²

1635 - 247.30 167.50

Notes: Table entries are conditional logit regression coefficients with standard errors in parentheses. The models include party dummies which have been suppressed in the table (these are available upon request from the authors). Party 1 (Partido Popular - PP) is the omitted reference group for individual-specific variables. * significant at p < .05, ** significant at p < .01 (two-tailed).

53

Table A.27: Conditional logit estimates, Sweden EP

ALL SAP C FP M KD MP SD Left/Right

-.51** (.03)

EU -.21** (.03)


.14 (.20)

.14 (.29)

.12 (.24)

-.01 (.24)

-.20 (.32)

-.27 (.21)

-.36 (.39)


.29 (.22)

-.15 (.31)

.30 (.25)

.35 (.24)

.19 (.30)

.26 (.24)

-.01 (.43)

Education

-.72* (.28)

-.59 (.38)

.03 (.33)

-.16 (.33)

-.39 (.41)

.45 (.32)

-.51 (.53)

Religion

.22 (.17)

.39 (.22)

.25 (.20)

.16 (.20)

-1.25** (.24)

.03 (.20)

.39 (.32)

Social Class

-.16 (.20)

.05 (.28)

.94** (.26)

.78* (.26)

.77** (.33)

.43* (.22)

.21 (.40)

Stacked Obs.

Log

Likelihood LR χ²

4896 - 747.12 391.32

Notes: Table entries are conditional logit regression coefficients with standard errors in parentheses. The models include party dummies which have been suppressed in the table (these are available upon request from the authors). Party 1 (Vänsterpartiet - V) is the omitted reference group for individual-specific variables. * significant at p < .05, ** significant at p < .01 (two-tailed).

54

Table B.27: Conditional logit estimates, Sweden NP

ALL SAP C FP M KD MP SD Left/Right

-.59** (.03)

EU -.11** (.03)


.53** (.19)

.46 (.29)

.43 (.24)

.57** (.23)

.10 (.32)

.10 (.21)

.49 (.37)


.22 (.21)

.11 (.30)

.10 (.25)

.38 (.24)

.26 (.32)

.22 (.23)

.01 (.37)

Education

-1.05** (.28)

-.46 (.41)

-.23 (.34)

-.22 (.32)

-.86* (.43)

.64 (.35)

-.90 (.50)

Religion

.36** (.17)

.38 (.24)

.10 (.20)

.24 (.19)

.96** (.23)

.25 (.19)

.07 (.31)

Social Class

.07 (.19)

.63* (.30)

1.02** (.26)

.94** (.24)

.72* (.32)

.31 (.23)

.67 (.37)

Stacked Obs.

Log

Likelihood LR χ²

5624 - 774.01 415.69

Notes: Table entries are conditional logit regression coefficients with standard errors in parentheses. The models include party dummies which have been suppressed in the table (these are available upon request from the authors). Party 1 (Vänsterpartiet - V) is the omitted reference group for individual-specific variables. * significant at p < .05, ** significant at p < .01 (two-tailed).

55

Table A.28: Conditional logit estimates, United Kingdom EP

ALL CON LD SNL UKIP BNL GP Left/Right

-.30** (.03)

EU -.05 (.03)


-.67** (.22)

-.50* (.23)

-.93* (.35)

-.54* (.23)

-1.36** (.37)

-.67** (.24)


-.06 (.15)

-.03 (.16)

.18 (.31)

-.50* (.19)

-1.26 (.67)

-.16 (.18)

Education

-.41 (.29)

-.17 (.31)

.66 (.63)

-.81* (.33)

-1.22 (.63)

.02 (.34)

Religion

-.002 (.13)

-.02 (.13)

-.14 (.26)

-.15 (.15)

-.45 (.30)

-.38* (.16)

Social Class

.89** (.22)

.66** (.23)

.12 (.41)

.39 (.24)

-1.34 (.86)

.92** (.25)

Stacked Obs.

Log

Likelihood LR χ²

2611 - 529.24 153.53

Notes: Table entries are conditional logit regression coefficients with standard errors in parentheses. The models include party dummies which have been suppressed in the table (these are available upon request from the authors). Party 1 (Labour Party - LAB) is the omitted reference group for individual-specific variables. * significant at p < .05, ** significant at p < .01 (two-tailed).

56

Table B.28: Conditional logit estimates, United Kingdom NP

ALL CON LD SNL UKIP BNL GP Left/Right

-.45** (.04)

EU .04 (.03)


-.38** (.13)

-.17 (.15)

-.43 (.26)

-.59** (.19)

-.71* (.29)

.62** (.23)


-.23* (.11)

-.02 (.12)

.03 (.23)

-.26 (.20)

-2.25* (1.08)

-.67* (.32)

Education

-.35 (.19)

-.12 (.22)

-.28 (.43)

-1.4** (.36)

-.90 (.58)

.01 (.43)

Religion

-.05 (.08)

-.17 (.09)

-.10 (.18)

-.25 (.15)

-1.64* (.83)

-.65** (.25)

Social Class

.70** (.14)

.36* (.17)

-.03 (.33)

.23 (.25)

.11 (.41)

.42 (.29)

Stacked Obs.

Log

Likelihood LR χ²

4102 - 646.59 219.36

Notes: Table entries are conditional logit regression coefficients with standard errors in parentheses. The models include party dummies which have been suppressed in the table (these are available upon request from the authors). Party 1 (Labour Party - LAB) is the omitted reference group for individual-specific variables. * significant at p < .05, ** significant at p < .01 (two-tailed).

Appendix B: List of political parties included in the analysis Country Original Name English Name Acroym Austria Sozialdemokratische

Partei Österreichs Social Democratic Party of Austria

SPÖ

Österreichische Volkspartei

Austrian People’s Party ÖVP

Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs

Freedom Party of Austria FPÖ

Bündnis Zukunft Österreich

Alliance for the Future of Austria

BZÖ

Die Grünen – Die Grüne Alternative

The Greens Grüne

Liste Hans Peter Martin List of Hans Peter Martin Liste HPM Belgium Flanders

Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams

Christian-Democratic and Flemish

CD&V

Open VLD Flemish Liberals and Democrats OpenVLD Socialistische Partij – Anders SP.a

Socialist Party - Different SPA

Vlaams Belang Flemish Interest VB Groen Green Groen Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie

New Flemish Alliance N-VA

Belgium Wallonia

Centre Démocrate Humaniste

Humanist Democratic Centre CDH

Mouvement Réformateur

Reformist Mouvement MR

Parti Socialiste Socialist Party PS Écologistes Greens ECOLO

Bulgaria Коалиция за България Coalition for Bularia KB Национално движение за стабилност и възход

National Movement for Stability and Progress

NDSV

Движение за права и свободи

Movement for Rights and Freedoms

DPS

Граждани за европейско развитие на България

Citizens for European Development of Bulgaria

GERB

Синята Коалиция Blue Coalition Blue Coalition законност и справедливост

Order, Lawfulness, Justice RZS

Cyprus ΑΚΕΛ Progressive Party of Working People

AKEL

∆ΗΣΥ Democratic Rally DISY ∆ΗΚΟ

Democratic Party DIKO

Ε∆ΕΚ Mouvement for Social Democracy

ΕDEK

ΕΥΡΩΠΑΪΚΟ ΚΟΜΜΑ

European Party EK

ΚΙΝΗΜΑ ΟΙΚΟΛΟΓΩΝ ΠΕΡΙΒΑΛΛΟΝΤΙΣ

Cyprus Green KOP

Czech Česká Strana Sociálne Czech Social Democratic Party CSSD

Republic Demokratická Krest’anská a Demokratická Unie

Christian and Democratic Union KDU-CSL

Komunistická Strana Cech a Moraw

Communist Party of Bohemia and Moravia

KSCM

Obcanská Demokratická Strana

Civic Democratic Party ODS

Strana zelených Green Party SZ Germany Christlich

Demokratische Union/Christlich-Soziale Union

Christian-Democratic Union – Christian Social Union

CDU/CSU

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

Social Democratic Party SPD

B90/Die Grünen Alliance ’90/The Greens B90/Die Grünen Die Linke The Left Die Linke Freie Demokratische Partei

Free Democratic Party FDP

Denmark Socialdemokraterne Social Democrats A Det Radikale Venstre Danish Social Liberal Party B De Konservative Conservative People’s Party C Socialistisk Folkepartie Socialist People’s Party F Dansk Folkeparti Danish People’s Party O Venstre Denmark’s Liberal Party V

Estonia Eesti Reformierakond Estonian Reform Party Reformierakond Eesti Keskerakond Estonian Centre Party Keskerakond Isamaa ja Res Publica Liit

Union of Pro Patria and Res Publica

IRL

Sotsiaaldemokraatlik Erakond

Social Democratic Party SDE

Erakond Eestimaa Rohelised

Estonian Greens Rohelised

Eestimaa Rahvaliit People’s Union of Estonia Rahvaliit Finland

Suomen Sosialidemokraattinen Puolue

Social Democratic Party of Finland

SDP

Suomen Keskusta

Centre Party KESK

Kansallinen Kokoomus

National Coalition Party KOK

Vasemmistoliitto Left Alliance VAS Vihreä liitto Green League VIHR Ruotsalainen kansanpuolue

Swedish People’s Party RKP

Suomen Kristillisdemokraatit

Christian Democrats in Finland KD

Perussuomalaiset

True Finns PS

France Extrême gauche (LO/NPA, le parti d’Olivier Besancenot)

New Anticapitalist Party NPA

Parti Socialiste Socialist Party PS Les Verts The Greens Verts Mouvement Démocrate Democratic Mouvement Modem

Greece Ν∆ New Democracy ND ΠΑΣΟΚ Panhellenic Socialist Movement PASOK ΚΚΕ Communist Party of Greece KKE ΣΥΡΙΖΑ Coalition of the Radical Left SYRIZA ΛΑΟΣ Popular Orthodox Rally LA.O.S. ΟΙΚΟΛΟΓΟΙ – ΠΡΑΣΙΝΟΙ

Ecologist Greens OP

Hungary Fidesz- Magyar Polgári Párt

Hungarian Civic Union Fidesz

Jobbik Movement for a Better Hungary Jobbik Magyar Kommunista Munkáspárt

Hungarian Communist Workers’ Party

MKM

Magyar Demokrata Fórum

Hungarian Democratic Forum MDF

Magyar Szocialista Párt Hungarian Socialist Party MSZP Ireland Fianna Fail Fianna Fail FF

Fine Gael Fine Gael FG Green Party Green Party Green Labour Party Labour Party LP Sinn Fein Sinn Fein SF

Italy Popolo della Liberta The People of Freedom PdL Lega Nord North League LN Partido Democratico Democratic Party PD Italia dei Valori Italy of Values IdV Unione di Centro Center Union UDC Rifondazione – Comunisti Italiani

Italian Communists Rifondazione

Sinistra e Libertà Left and Freedom SL Lithuania Tėvynės sąjunga –

Lietuvos krikscionys demokratai

Homeland Union – Lithuanian Christian Democrats

TS

Lietuvos socialdemokratų partija

Social Democratic Party of Lithuania

LSDP

Partija “Tvarka ir teisingumas”

Order and Justice TT

Lietuvos Respublikos liberalų sąjūdis

Liberals’ Movement of the Republic of Lithuania

LRLS

Darbo partija Labour Party DP Luxembourg Déi Gréng The Greens Gréng

Lëtzebuergesch Sozialistesch Arbechterpartei

Luxembourg Socialist Workers’ Party

LSAP

Demokratesch Partei Democratic Party DP Chrëschtlech Sozial Vollekspartei

Christian Social People’s Party CSV

Alternativ Demokratesch Reformpartei

Alternative Democratic Reform Party

ADR

Déi Lénk The Left Lénk Latvia Tautas partija People’s Party TP

Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība

Union of Greens and Peasants ZZS

Jaunais laiks New Era JL Saskaņas Centrs Harmony Center SC Latvijas Pirmās partijas Latvia’s First Party – Latvia’s LPP/LC

un partijas “Latvijas Ceļš” vēlēšanu apvienība

Way

Apvienība “Tēvzemei un Brīvībai”/LNNK

Fatherland and Freedom TB/LNNK

Politisko organizāciju apvienība “Par cilvēka tiesībām vienotā Latvijā”

For Human Rights in United Latvia

PCTVL

Pilsoniskā savienība Civic Union PS “Sabiedrība citai politikai“

Society for Other Politics SCP

Malta Partit Nazzjonalista Nationalist Party PN Partit Laburista Labour Party PL

The Netherlands

Partij van de Arbeid Labour Party PvdA Christen Democratisch Appèl

Christian Democratic Party CDA

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie

People’s Party for Freedom and Democracy

VVD

Democraten 66 Democrats 66 D66 Groen Links Green Left GL Partij voor de Dieren Party for the Animals PvdD ChristenUnie Christian Union CU Socialistische Partij Socialist Party SP Partij voor de Vrijheid (Wilders)

Freedom Party PVV

Poland Polskie Stronnictwo Ludowe

Polish People’s Party PSL

Sojusz Lewicy Demokratycznej

Democratic Left Alliance SLD

Platforma Obywatelska Civic Platform PO Prawo i Sprawiedliwość Law and Justice PiS

Portugal Bloco de Esquerda Left Bloc BE Partido Popular People’s Party CDS-PP Partido Comunista Português/ Partido Ecologista "Os Verdes"

Portugese Communist Party/Ecologist Party

CDU (PCV/PEV)

Partido Socialista Socialist Party PS Partido Social Democrata

Social Democratic Party PSD

Romania Partidul Democrat-Liberal

Democratic Liberal Party PDL

Partidul Social Democrat

Social Democratic Party PSD

Partidul Naţional Liberal National Liberal Party PNL Partidul România Mare Great Romania Party PRM

Sweden Vänsterpartiet Left Party V Socialdemokraterna Swedish Social Democratic

Party SAP

Centerpartiet Centre Party C Folkpartiet Liberalerna Liberal People’s Party FP Moderata Samlingspartiet

Moderate Rally Party M

Kristdemokraterna Christian Democrats KD

Miljöpartiet de Gröna Environment Party The Greens MP Sverigedemokraterna Sweden Democrats SD

Slovenia Desus Democratic Pensioners’ Party of Slovenia

DeSUS

Liberalna Demokracija Slovenije

Liberal Democracy of Slovenia LDS

Slovenska Ljudska Stranka

Slovenian People’s Party SLS

Slovenska Nacionalna Stranka

Slovenian National Party SNS

Slovenska Demokratska Stranka

Slovenian Democratic Party SDS

Socialni Demokrati Social Democrats SD Zares For Real Zares Nova Slovenija – Krščanska Ljudska Stranka

New Slovenia – Christian Poeple’s Party

NSI

Stranka Mladih – Zeleni Evrope

Youth Party – European Greens SMS

Slovakia Ľudová strana – Hnutie za demokratické Slovensko

People’s Party – Movement for a Democratic Slovakia

L’S-HZDS

Smer – sociálna demokracia

Direction – Social Democracy SMER

Slovenská demokratická a kresťanská únia

Slovak Democratic and Christian Union

SDKU

Strana maďarskej koalície

Party of the Hungarain Coalition

SMK

Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie

Christian Democratic Movement

KDH

SNS Slovak National Party SNS Spain Partido Popular People’s Party PP

Partido Socialista Obrero Español

Spanisg Socialist Workers’ Party

PSOE

Unión Progreso y Democracia

Union, Progress and Democracy UPyD

United Kingdom

Labour Party Labour Party LAB Conservative Party Conservative Party CON Liberal Democrats Liberal Democrats LD Scottish National Party Scottish National Party SNL UK Independence Party UK Indpependence Party UKIP British National Party British National Party BNL Green Party Green Party GP

appendix a: full results table a.1: conditional logit ... · pdf file1 appendix a: full...

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