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1 Corporate Presentation February 2015

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Page 1: Apresentação do PowerPoint - fibr.infoinvest.com.br · Color Scheme 77 141 72 255 140 0 120 120 120 153 204 0 178 178 178 54 100 62 255 113 33 218 219 220 2 Disclaimer The information

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1

Corporate Presentation February 2015

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2

Disclaimer

The information contained in this presentation may include statements which constitute forward-looking statements, within the meaning of Section 27A of the U.S. Securities Act of 1933, as amended, and Section 21E of the U.S. Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended. Such forward-looking statements involve a certain degree of risk and uncertainty with respect to business, financial, trend, strategy and other forecasts, and are based on assumptions, data or methods that, although considered reasonable by the company at the time, may turn out to be incorrect or imprecise, or may not be possible to realize. The company gives no assurance that expectations disclosed in this presentation will be confirmed. Prospective investors are cautioned that any such forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve risks and uncertainties, and that actual results may differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements, due to a variety of factors, including, but not limited to, the risks of international business and other risks referred to in the company’s filings with the CVM and SEC. The company does not undertake, and specifically disclaims any obligation to update any forward-looking statements, which speak only for the date on which they are made.

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3

The Company

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4

Shareholder Structure

(1) Controlling group (2) Free Float 40.14% + Treasury 0.06%

Votorantim Industrial S.A.

(1) 29.42%

BNDES Participações (1)

30.38%

Free Float (2)

40.20%

• Only 1 class of shares →100% voting rights

• 100% tag along rights (Brazilian corporate law establishes 80%)

• Board of Directors with minimum 20% independent members

• Financial Statements in International Standards – IFRS

• Adoption of Arbitration Chamber

• SEC Registered ADR Level III program

• Indebtedness and Liquidity

• Market Risk Management

• Risk Management

• Corporate Governance

• Related Parties Transactions

• Anti-Corruption

• Information Disclosure

• Securities Trading

Fiscal Council

Board of Directors

20% independent

members

Role of CEO and

chairman is split

Personnel and Remuneration

Committee

Statutory Audit

Committee

Finance Committee

Sustainability Committee

Innovation Committee

General Meeting

Listed on Novo Mercado, highest CG level at BM&FBovespa: Policies approved by the Board of Directors:

30%

independent

members

100%

independent

members

50% independent members

45% independent members

-

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5

A Winning Player

Pulp capacity million tons 5,300

Net revenues R$ billion 7.1

Total Forest Base(1) thousand hectares 961

Planted area(1) thousand hectares 560

Net Debt R$ billion 7.6

Net Debt/EBITDA (in Dollars)(2) X 2.4

Net Debt/EBITDA (in Reais) X 2.7

Source: Fibria (1) Including 50% of Veracel, excluding forest partnership areas and excluding the forest base linked to the sale of forest assets in Southern Bahia State and Losango. (2) For covenants purposes, the Net Debt/EBITDA ratio is calculated in Dollars.

Port Terminal Pulp Unit

Três Lagoas

Santos

Aracruz Portocel

Caravelas

Belmonte Veracel

Jacareí

Superior Asset Combination Main Figures – 4Q14 LTM

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6

Fibria’s Units Industrial Capacity

Três Lagoas – Mato Grosso do Sul – 1,300 thousand t/year

Jacareí – São Paulo – 1,100 thousand t/year

Aracruz – Espírito Santo – 2,340 thousand t/year Veracel – Bahia – 560 thousand t/year *

* Veracel is a joint venture between Fibria (50%) and Stora Enso (50%) and the total capacity is 1,120 thousand ton/year

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7

Fibria’s Strategy

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8

Leadership Position

(1) Fiber Consumption, Recycled Fiber and Pulp: RISI | Market Pulp, Hardwood and Eucalyptus: PPPC Global 100 Report December 2014 (2) Hawkins Wright – Outlook for Market Pulp, December 2014

Market Pulp Capacity Ranking 2014(2) (000t)

5,300

Recycled Fiber 238 million t

46% 54%

59%

18% 82%

59% 41%

41%

33% 67%

26% 74%

Fiber Consumption 406 million t

Pulp 168 million t

Chemical 138 million t

Mechanical 30 million t

Integrated Mills 82 million t

Market Pulp 56 million t

Hardwood 30 million t

Other Eucalyptus Pulp producers:

15 million t

Softwood/Other 26 million t

Acacia/Other 10 million t

Eucalyptus 20 million t

Industry Outlook(1)

0 2000 4000 6000

ENCE

Canfor

Resolute Forest

Sodra

IP

Domtar

Mercer

Eldorado

Ilim

Weyerhaeuser

Stora Enso

Metsa Group

Paper Excellence

Georgia Pacific

UPM-Kymmene

CMPC

Suzano

Arauco

APRIL

Fibria

Bleached Softwood Kraft Pulp (BSKP)

Bleached Hardwood Kraft Pulp (BHKP)

Unbleached Kraft Pulp (UKP)

Mechanical Pulp (MP)

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9

Fibria’s Commercial Strategy

Source: Fibria – 2014

• Differentiation: Customized pulp products to specific paper grades

• Sole supplier to key customers

• Long term contracts

• Competitive logistics set up

Miami

Lustenau

Hong Kong

São Paulo

Fibria’s Sales Distribution

Fibria ‘s Offices

N.America

24%

L.America

10%

Europe

41%

Asia

25%

Fibria’s Pulp End Use

Tissue 51%

Printing & Writing

31%

Speciatilies 18%

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Forest

Outbound Logistics

Pulp mill

Port Client

Low forest to mill average distance

Easy access to the most efficient transportation network:

rail, barging and road

Portocel: specialized port for the pulp and paper industry

Integrated logistics solutions

Efficient Logistics Setup

Sea Freight

Door to Door Operations

10

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11

Pulp and Paper Market

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12

Paper Consumption

(1) Source: RISI

1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Developed Markets Emerging Markets

CAGR 1996 – 2006 Developed Markets: + 1.7% Emerging Markets : + 6.0%

85,291

117,611

15,548

37,474

P&W Consumption (000 tons)(1)

Tissue Consumption (000 tons)(1)

114,507

CAGR 2007 – 2016 Developed Markets: - 4.0% Emerging Markets : + 4.1%

CAGR 1996 – 2006 Developed Markets: + 2.4% Emerging Markets : + 6.9%

CAGR 2007 – 2016 Developed Markets: + 1.4% Emerging Markets : + 6.7%

26,877

1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Developed Markets Emerging Markets

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13

Million tons 1998 2008 2018 Growth

1998-2008

Growth

2008-2018

Hardwood 15.0 24.5 32.8 63% 34%

Eucalyptus 6.0 14.2 23.4 137% 63%

Softwood 17.6 21.6 24.8 23% 15%

Market Pulp 32.6 46.1 57.1

Source: PPPC

Global Market Pulp Demand

2013 - 2018 CAGR: Hardwood: +2.8% Softwood: +0.7%

Hardwood demand will continue to increase at faster pace than Softwood

Hardwood (BHKP) vs. Softwood (BSKP) (000 ton) Demand growth rate

0

5.000

10.000

15.000

20.000

25.000

30.000

35.000

19

98

19

99

20

00

20

01

20

02

20

03

20

04

20

05

20

06

20

07

20

08

20

09

20

10

20

11

20

12

20

13

20

14

20

15

20

16

20

17

20

18

Hardwood Softwood

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Gross capacity addition should not be counted as the only factor influencing pulp price volatility….(1)

14

Cap

acit

y (0

00

to

n)

BH

KP

pri

ces

- C

IF E

uro

pe

(US$

/to

n)

List Price bottoming at US$650/t in 2011 and US$724/t in 2014

0,0

0,2

0,4

0,6

0,8

1,0

1,2

1,4

1,6

1,8

2,0

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1.000

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Valdivia

APP Hainan

Veracel Nueva Aldea

Santa Fé

Mucuri

Fray Bentos

Kerinci PL3

Três Lagoas

Rizhao

APP Guangxi

Chenming Zhanjiang

Eldorado Montes del Plata

Maranhão

Guaíba II

APP South Sumatra(2)

Klabin

Oji Nantong

(1) Source: Hawkins Wright , Poyry and Fibria Analysis. Pulp price estimates according to Hawkins Wright (Dec/14), Brian McClay (Jan/14) and RISI (Dec/14) (2) Partially integrated production

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Capacity closures DO happen…

Source: PPPC and Fibria

15

Closures of Hardwood Capacity Worldwide (000 ton)

-910

-85

-1,260

-1,180

-540 -500

-105

-1,085

-830

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014-2016 E

as of Dec.14

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Total delivered cash cost will also have an influence on bottom prices

16

Total Cash Cost of BHKP delivered to Europe (US$/t)

Source: Hawkins Wright (Outlook for Market Pulp, December 2014) | Fibria’s 4Q14 considering a FX of R$/US$2.54. | “Brazil ex-Fibria” 3Q14 considering FX of R$/US$2.27. Gray bar includes cash expenses as Interest, CAPEX, SG&A and Taxes (Source: RISI and Fibria).

4Q14 net price:

US$ 552/t

W/K

498 508 456 468

420 404 424 424 406

342 315 311 297

235 186

71 46

69 41 86 121

34 38 41

48 55

38 67

111

61

51

119

39

18

Cash Cost (US$/t) Delivery (US$/t)

SG&A

Capex

Interest

Income Tax

Interest

Capacity (k tons):

1,775 705 580 570 1,660 1,055 2,315 335 545 330 7,480 = 31,405 3,790 1,015 3,950 5,300

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17

Tissue Market

(1) Source: RISI

Kg/capita/year

Per Capita Consumption of Tissue by Region, 2013(1)

Growth Potential

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

1991 1996 2001 2006 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

N.America W.Europe E.Europe L.America Middle East

Japan China Asia FE Oceania Africa

LTM Growth of +4.2%

Million tons

World Tissue Consumption, 1991-2013(1)

24

15 15

12

7 6

5

1

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

N.America

WestEurope

Japan Oceania EastEurope

LatAm China Africa

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18

Pulp Projects Backlog

Main Projects

Project Country Capacity Timing Status

CMPC Guaíba II Brazil 1.3 Mt 2Q2015 Confirmed

Klabin Paraná Brazil 1.5 Mt* 2Q2016 Confirmed

APP South Sumatra Indonesia 1.5 Mt – 2.0 Mt 4Q2016 Confirmed

Fibria Três Lagoas II Brazil 1.75 Mt - Unconfirmed

• Minimum required return for new projects

• Closures due to increasing costs worldwide, reduction of maintenance capex (higher technical age of recovery boilers) and exchange rates

• Fiber substitution: Softwood x Hardwood and Recycled x Virgin Fiber

Main Questions About Capacity

Even though there is an extensive pulp projects backlog, there are important question marks regarding new projects

* 1.1 million tonnes of hardwood and 400 thousand tonnes of softwood

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19

Financial Highlights

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4Q14 Results

20

Cash Production Cost (R$/t)

Pulp Production and Sales (‘000 t) Net Revenue (R$ million)

EBITDA (R$ million) and EBITDA Margin (%)

1.958

1.746

2.001

4Q13 3Q14 4Q14

466 478 472 466 502 472

4Q13 3Q14 4Q14

Cash cost ex-scheduled downtimes Cash cost

823

613

906

4Q13 3Q14 4Q14

42%

35%

45%

1.358 1.345

1.381

1.441

1.372

1.410

4Q13 3Q14 4Q14

Production Sales

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Indebtedness

21

Debt (US$ million) x Leverage (US$) Interest (US$ million) x Cost of Debt (US$)

Free Cash Flow Increase

Interest Reduction

Cost of Debt Reduction

This dynamics creates a virtuous

cycle

8.6

3.1

6.3

2.8

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Gross Debt Net Debt

7.5

4.1 4.2 3.3

2.6 2.7 473

414 408 350

268 200

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

6.3 5.9 5.5

5.2 4.6 3.4

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22

Debt Amortization Schedule at

Dec/2014

(US$ Million)

Debt Profile

Average Term: 55 months

Average Cost: 3.4% p.y.

Cost of Debt Foreign Currency (% p.a.)

Debt by Currency

7%

93%

Local Currency

Foreign Currency

4.6%

3.4%

Dec/13 Dec/14

293

600

893

363

223

364

459

632

375

93 22 3

600

Liquidez 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024

Pré-pagto. BNDES NCE ACC/ACE Voto IV Bond

(caixa)

(revolver)

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2,791

3,530

163

851

(112)

(696)

(504)

(380)

(1,874)

141 (54)

AdjustedEBITDA

Befiex Other non-reccuring exp.

/non-cash

EBITDA FX Debt /Hedge

Early prepaiddebt

Net Interest Deprec., amortiz.and

depletion

Taxes Others Net Income

Hedge

FX Debt ∆

Non-recurring effects

(1) Includes other exchange rate/monetary variations and other financial income/expenses.

Net Results (R$ million) – 2014

(1)

Mandatory dividends of R$37 million.

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Investor Relations

E-mail: [email protected]

Phone: +55 11 2138-4565

Website: www.fibria.com.br/ir