apresentação jose luis cordeiro
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Jos Cordeiro, PhD
(www.cordeiro.org)The Millennium Project
Director, Venezuela Node
Singularity UniversityNASA Ames, California, USA
The Future of the
Future
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FutureThe Millennium Project
Global futurist think-tank with 50 nodes
around the world
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Education and Learning in 2030:1. National programs for improving collective intelligence
2. Just in time knowledge and learning
3. Individualized education
4. Use of simulations
5. Continuous evaluation to prevent instability and/or becoming mentally ill.
6. Improved individual nutrition
7. Genetically increased intelligence
8. Use of global on-line simulations as a primary social science research
9. Use of public communications to reinforce pursuit of knowledge
10. Portable artificial intelligence
11. Complete mapping of human synapses to discover how learning occurs
12. Means for keeping adult brains healthier for longer
13. Chemistry for brain enhancement14. Web 17.0
15. Integrated life-long learning systems
16. Programs aimed at eliminating prejudice and hate
17. e-Teaching
18. Smarter than human19. Artificial microbes enhance intelligence
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Singularity University
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Not for Duplication/Distribution | Copyright Singularity University| 2009-2011
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Innovation Engine
10 Week Program phases:
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Darcy Ribeiro and the civilizatory process
Agricultural revolution Urban revolution
Irrigation revolution Metallurgic revolution
Livestock revolution
Mercantile revolution
Industrial revolution
Thermonuclear revolution
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Ray Kurzweil (MIT):The Singu lar i ty is Near
www.singularity.com
Bill Gates
Ley de Moore
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Sequencing the genome: cost and time
Year Cost (US$) Time
2003 1,000,000.000 13 years
2007 100,000,000 4 years
2008 1,000,000 2 months
2010 10,000 4 weeks
2015 1,000 5 days
2020 100 1 hour
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Qu es el futuro?
El fu tu ro ya no eslo que era an tes !
Mafalda
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From manufacturing to mindfacturing
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We need to add value
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Passive (ostrich) Suffer the future
Reactive (fire fighter) Respond
Preactive (insurer) Prepare
Proactive (builder) Create
Attitudes towards the future
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Sir Arthur C. Clarke with Jose Cordeiro
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The Three Laws of Sir Arthur C. Clarke
First Law:When a distinguished butelderly scientist states that something ispossible, he is almost certainly right.When he states that something isimpossible, he is very probably wrong.
Second Law:The only way of discoveringthe limits of the possible is to venture a
little way past them into the impossible. Third Law:Any sufficiently advanced
technology is indistinguishable from
magic.
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Technologies of the past
30 years agoPersonal computers
20 years ago
Cell phones
10 years ago
Google What will happen in 10 years? In 20
years? In 30 years?
Immortal (ageless) cells!
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Aging as a disease? And curable?
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Life extension results: today, now!
x 3 times
x 4 times
x 6 times
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NBIC (Nano-Bio-Info-Cogno)
http://itri.loyola.edu/ConvergingTechnologies/http://itri.loyola.edu/ConvergingTechnologies/http://itri.loyola.edu/ConvergingTechnologies/http://itri.loyola.edu/ConvergingTechnologies/http://itri.loyola.edu/ConvergingTechnologies/http://itri.loyola.edu/ConvergingTechnologies/http://itri.loyola.edu/ConvergingTechnologies/http://itri.loyola.edu/ConvergingTechnologies/http://itri.loyola.edu/ConvergingTechnologies/http://itri.loyola.edu/ConvergingTechnologies/ -
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NBIC (Nano-Bio-Info-Cogno)National Science Foundation
Department of Commerce
http://itri.loyola.edu/ConvergingTechnologies/http://itri.loyola.edu/ConvergingTechnologies/http://itri.loyola.edu/ConvergingTechnologies/http://itri.loyola.edu/ConvergingTechnologies/http://itri.loyola.edu/ConvergingTechnologies/http://itri.loyola.edu/ConvergingTechnologies/http://itri.loyola.edu/ConvergingTechnologies/http://itri.loyola.edu/ConvergingTechnologies/http://itri.loyola.edu/ConvergingTechnologies/http://itri.loyola.edu/ConvergingTechnologies/http://itri.loyola.edu/ConvergingTechnologies/http://itri.loyola.edu/ConvergingTechnologies/ -
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Neurons
Cogno
NBIC
Bio
Info
Cells
Technological Convergence NBIC
Nano
Bits
Atoms
1 N (NBIC)
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1. Nano (NBIC)
S S
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3D Printing in NASA: Made in Space
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Nanotechnology: www.nano.gov
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2. Bio (NBIC)
Th l fi h i fi h (T i )
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The glo-fish: transgenic fish (Taiwan)
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D ti ti
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De-extinction
Dolly: the clone
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Dolly: the clone
Singapore: Biopolis
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Singapore: Biopolis
http://images.google.com.br/imgres?imgurl=http://www.healingems.com/Ganesha.jpg&imgrefurl=http://www.healingems.com/AboutHealingGems.html&h=250&w=200&sz=17&tbnid=p-TYxLrpsqIJ:&tbnh=106&tbnw=84&hl=pt-BR&start=9&prev=/images?q=ganesha&svnum=10&hl=pt-BR&lr=&sa=Nhttp://images.google.com.br/imgres?imgurl=http://perso.wanadoo.fr/nathalie.heraut/yoga/images/nataraj.jpg&imgrefurl=http://perso.wanadoo.fr/nathalie.heraut/yoga/tarifs.html&h=174&w=165&sz=10&tbnid=hUuRhiQXb8YJ:&tbnh=95&tbnw=90&hl=pt-BR&start=2&prev=/images?q=nataraj&svnum=10&hl=pt-BR&lr= -
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Synthetic biology is born
http://images.google.com.br/imgres?imgurl=http://www.healingems.com/Ganesha.jpg&imgrefurl=http://www.healingems.com/AboutHealingGems.html&h=250&w=200&sz=17&tbnid=p-TYxLrpsqIJ:&tbnh=106&tbnw=84&hl=pt-BR&start=9&prev=/images?q=ganesha&svnum=10&hl=pt-BR&lr=&sa=Nhttp://images.google.com.br/imgres?imgurl=http://perso.wanadoo.fr/nathalie.heraut/yoga/images/nataraj.jpg&imgrefurl=http://perso.wanadoo.fr/nathalie.heraut/yoga/tarifs.html&h=174&w=165&sz=10&tbnid=hUuRhiQXb8YJ:&tbnh=95&tbnw=90&hl=pt-BR&start=2&prev=/images?q=nataraj&svnum=10&hl=pt-BR&lr= -
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Synthetic biologyis born Variola virus (smallpox)
Genes: 197
Base pairs: 185,000
Mycoplasma genitalium (bacteria)
Genes: 485
Base pairs: 580,000
Homo sapiens sapiensGenes: ~25,000
Base pairs: ~3,000,000,000
3 Info (NBIC)
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3. Info (NBIC)
$
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Image:Laptop-crank.jpghttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Image:Laptop-crank.jpghttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Image:Laptop-crank.jpg -
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MITMedia Lab: $100 laptop
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Image:Laptop-crank.jpghttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Image:Laptop-crank.jpghttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Image:Laptop-crank.jpg -
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Global brain?
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Global brain?
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65
IBMs Watsonwon in Jeopardy!
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p yFebruary 14-16, 2011
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Google Glass
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Google Glass
4 C (NBIC)
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4. Cogno (NBIC)
The triune brain:
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The triune brain:Paul MacLean, 1973
Reptilian (primitive):instincts
Limbic (paleomammalian):emotions
Neocortex(neomammalian):intelligence
Riken Brain Institute
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www.brain.riken.go.jp
Riken Brain Institute
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www.brain.riken.go.jp
http://www.brain.riken.go.jp/english/a_about/a4_table3.htmlhttp://www.brain.riken.go.jp/english/a_about/a4_table2.htmlhttp://www.brain.riken.go.jp/english/a_about/a4_table1.html -
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Wh t i b i ?
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1 brain
1011neurones
1014synapsis
1017computations
(per second)
And the mind? And the spirit?
And the soul?
What is a brain?
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Internal brain implants: Cyberkinetics Inc.
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Internal brain implants: Cyberkinetics Inc.
External brain implants
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External brain implants
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Robots in Japan and Korea
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Robots in Japan and Korea
Asimo (Honda) evolution
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Asimo (Honda) evolution
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Robots are goodin Japan
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Humans or machines!
HumansANDmachines?
Oscar Pistorius: Blade runner inLondon 2012 Olympic Games
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London 2012 Olympic Games
World Cup in Brazil: 2014
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Superman?
Christopher
Reeve(paraplegic)
Stephen Hawking
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109/122Michael J. Fox: Back to the Future
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Alzheimers
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112/122Yin-yang (and more yin-yang)
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y g ( y y g)
Light up the world
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115/122The world is one
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Guru Cordeiromeditating in India(Hinduism) and in Japan (Buddhism)
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(Hinduism) and in Japan (Buddhism)
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Muchas gracias!