aps/srp stakeholder meeting for transmission planning ferc order 890 srp attachment k aps attachment...
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APS/SRP Stakeholder MeetingFor Transmission Planning
FERC Order 890 SRP Attachment K APS Attachment E
SRP Facility – Scottsdale, AZ December 15th, 2015
9:00 – 11:00 A.M.
12/15/2015 APS/SRP Stakeholder Meeting for Transmission Planning 1
Agenda
1. Welcome, Introductions, and Stakeholder Meeting Overview
2. Status of Action Items – June 18, 2015 Joint APS/SRP 2nd Quarter
Public Planning Meeting
3. Purpose of Today’s Meeting – SRP Planning
4. Purpose of Today’s Meeting – APS Planning
5. Stakeholder Questions/Comments
6. Action Items Review
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2. Status of Action Items
• There were no Action Items from the Joint APS/SRP 2nd
Quarter Public Planning Meeting held on 6/18/2015
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3. Purpose of Today’s Meeting
• Per SRP’s OATT, SRP conducts the 4th quarter public planning meeting to:
– Review its current transmission study plan– Present a draft of its Ten Year Transmission Plan for the
following calendar year for stakeholder review and comments
– Review economic planning study request submitted by October 31
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3.A. – SRP’s Study Plan
• SRP has two distinct, but related, transmission study plans– NERC Compliance– SRP’s budgetary planning
• The difference between the two plans:– NERC Compliance studies based on old TPL-001 – TPL-004 Standards: 3
seasons/scenarios, 2 discrete years (near and long term)– NERC Compliance studies based on new TPL-001-4 Standard: 2
seasons/scenarios, 3 discrete years (near and long term)– SRP’s annual planning: 1 season, 10 consecutive years (first 6 years are for
budget, remaining 4 for compliance purposes)
• The similarities between the two plans:– Similar load forecasts, demand response– They are reliability studies
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3.A. 2015 NERC Compliance Study Methodology
• Coordinated Base Cases (Seed Cases)• 2016 – AZ coordinated case used to build 2016-2019• 2020 – AZ coordinated case used to build 2020-2023• 2024 – AZ coordinated case used to build 2024-2025• The intermediate cases are APS/SRP coordinated
– SRP NERC Compliance cases• 2017 and 2021
• 69kV transmission models incorporated• Most up-to-date forecasts for peak summer loads
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3.A. 2015 NERC Compliance Study Methodology
NERC Compliance Studies Cases• 2017 & 2021 Summer Peak & Off-peak Cases and 2020
Summer Peak Case• 2017 & 2021 Off-peak Cases are Low Load (winter conditions)
and High Import (shoulder cases with low generation in the Phoenix Metro Area)
• Following analyses are conducted:– Thermal analysis– Post-Transient– Transient Stability– Short Circuit
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3.A. NERC Compliance StudiesNERC STANDARD Type of Studies Completed
TPL-001 (N-0) and TPL-001-4 P0 Thermal Transient Stability Post-transient Short Circuit
2017 Peak , Low Load and High Import X X
2020 Peak X X
2021 Peak , Low Load and High Import X X
TPL-002 (N-1) and TPL-001-4 P1, P2 Thermal Transient Stability Post-transient Short Circuit
2017 Peak , Low Load and High Import X X X X
2020 Peak X X X X
2021 Peak , Low Load and High Import X X X X
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3.A. NERC Compliance StudiesNERC STANDARD Type of Studies Completed
TPL-003 (N-2) and TPL-001-4 P3-P7 Thermal Transient Stability Post-transient
2017 Peak , Low Load and High Import X X X
2020 Peak X X X
2021 Peak , Low Load and High Import X X X
TPL-004 (N-X) and TPL-001-4 Extreme Events Thermal Transient Stability Post-transient
2017 Peak X X
2020 Peak X X
2021 Peak X X
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3.A. NERC Compliance Results
• 2015 Results– 2015 NERC Compliance Studies were finalized by beginning
of December of 2015
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3.A. – Customer Load/Resource Updates
• No customers provided load/resource data in September 2015
• SRP received no stakeholder proposals in 2015 or prior to this meeting.
• If you like to provide information for the future SRP planning cycles, please see critical dates on the next slide
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1212/15/2015 APS/SRP Stakeholder Meeting for Transmission Planning
3.B. SRP Ten Year Plan 2016-2025
• Draft - Still subject to change until January 31st filing
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3.B. 2016-2025 Ten Year Plan Methodology
• Coordinated Base Cases
– See NERC Compliance Methodology slide #6
• 69kV transmission models incorporated
• Most up-to-date forecasts for peak summer loads
• TPL-001 & TPL-002 Studies Conducted for all ten years
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EXISTING LINES
FUTURE LINESFUTURE 500kV SUBSTATION
EXISTING 500kV SUBSTATION
NEVADA
WESTWING
KYRENE
SILVERKING
CORONADO
CHOLLA(APS)
MEADMcCULLOUGH
MARKETPLACE
BROWNING
HASSAYAMPA
RUDDPALO VERDE
PINAL WEST
JOJOBA
DUKE
NAVAJO GS
SUGARLOAF
MOENKOPI(APS)
YAVAPAI(APS)
PINNACLE PEAK (APS)
PINALCENTRAL
SUNZIA (SWPG)
2021
CentralNew Mexico
SPRINGERVILLE(TEP)
DUGAS(APS)
500kV System
345kV
MORGAN(APS)
2016-2025
CEDAR MT(APS)
TEP
ELDORADO
MOHAVE
230kV
PERKINS
All Changes since January 2015 Ten Year Plan shown in red
2024
1512/15/2015 APS/SRP Stakeholder Meeting for Transmission Planning
Price Road Corridor Project
BRANDOW
WARD
CORBELL
ALEXANDER
WESTWING
KYRENEANDERSON
WHITETANKS
ORME
SRPPINNACLE PEAK
PAPAGO
LIBERTY(W.A.P.A.)
AGUAFRIA
DEERVALLEY
(APS)
ROGERS
TO APSOCOTILLO
TOAPS
PINNACLE PEAK
TOW.A.P.A.
PINNACLE PEAK
W.A.P.A.
W.A.P.A.
W.A.P.A.
KNOX
SCHRADER
RUDD
2020
230kV System
SANTAN
THUNDERSTONE
BROWNING
EXISTING 230kV SUBSTATIONS
FUTURE 230kV CIRCUIT
EXISTING 230kV CIRCUIT
FUTURE 230kV SUBSTATIONS
GENERATING STATION
DOUBLE CIRCUIT, PHASE TIED LINE
GOLDFIELD
ABEL
DINOSAUR
2021
DESERTBASIN
PINALCENTRAL
RANDOLPH
2021PFISTER
TBD
2016-2025
ToSilver King
RS-28(2017)
2017
TBD
RS-27(TBD)
TO SANTAROSA(APS)
TO CASAGRANDE
(APS)
All Changes since January 2015 Ten Year Plan shown in red 1612/15/2015 APS/SRP Stakeholder Meeting for Transmission Planning
Line Reconfiguration
BALLTBD
115kV
MIAMI
PINAL
SUPERIOR
SPURLOCK
MOONSHINE
ELLISON
FRAZIER
RAYMORRIS
KEARNY
HAYDEN
STEWARTMOUNTAIN
MORMONFLAT
HORSEMESA
GOLDFIELD230kV
OAKFLAT
PINTOVALLEY
KNOLL
TO APACHE(AEPCO)
TOTHUNDERSTONE
COOLIDGE(W.A.P.A.)
TOSILVER KING
500kV
SILVERKING230
ASARCO
GENERATING STATION
EXISTING LINE
FUTURE LINE
EXISTING SUBSTATION
FUTURE SUBSTATION
EasternMining Area
CARREL
BONNEYBROOK(APS)
TRASK
CARLOTA
ROOSEVELT
2016-2025
TRANSFORMER
All Changes since January 2015 Ten Year Plan shown in red 1712/15/2015 APS/SRP Stakeholder Meeting for Transmission Planning
Reroute2017
3.B. SRP changes since 2015 Plan
• Completed Projects– Browning - Rogers 230kV line
• New Projects– None
• Removed Projects– Hassayampa – Pinal West 500kV Jojoba Loop-in
• Removed from SRP’s plan since TEP is the driver of this project
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3.B. SRP changes since 2015 Plan
• Delayed Projects– Eastern Mining Expansion was 2019, now TBD– Sun Zia was 2018, now 2021– Silver King-RS29 230kV was 2019, now TBD– RS29 230kV substation was 2019, now TBD– RS29-RS30 115kV was 2019, now TBD– RS30 115kV substation was 2019, now TBD
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3.C. – 3.E. Transmission Planning Study Process SRP evaluates plan submittals or alternatives according to the following flowchart.
What Type of Study?1
Does Transmission Provider’s system
meetNERC/WECC
criteria?
No
Does Transmission Provider’s system meet local reliability criteria?
Yes
Transmission Provider determines facilities
needed with Stakeholder input
No
Transmission Provider coordinates with Sub-
Regional Planning Group
Yes
Economic Reliability
Transmission Provider
Evaluation
Regional
TEPPC evaluates with Stakeholder
input
Transmission Provider Economic
Study
Customer Choice of Study at Customer’s
expense
Local2
TEPPC determines high priority, performs
study
High priority
Not high priority
TEPPC determines not
high priority
Study results documented in a report and reviewed
by Customer and Transmission Provider
Transmission Provider determines facilities
needed with Stakeholder input
1. Generator Interconnection Request studies are performed pursuant to the Large Generator Interconnection Procedure contained in the Transmission Provider’s Open Access Transmission Tariff (OATT). Transmission Service Requests are also performed pursuant to OATT procedures.
2. All requests for economic planning studies received by the Transmission Provider are forwarded to TEPPC for inclusion in the TEPPC Master List. TEPPC will evaluate only those requests that have regional impacts.
Transmission Planning Process
Exhibit 1 – SRP Attachment K
2012/15/2015 APS/SRP Stakeholder Meeting for Transmission Planning
3.C.-E. SRP Planning - Study Requests
• Generation Interconnection Requests
• Transmission Interconnection Requests
• Transmission Service Requests
• Economic Study Requests
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3.C. SRP Planning –Interconnection Requests (Transmission)
• Currently there are no Transmission Interconnection Requests under study
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3.C. Interconnection Requests (Generation)
A. EAST VALLEY2- Solar Projects 98MW
B. EMA 115kV AREA2- Solar Projects 60MW
Generation Interconnection Requests listed on this slide are for SRP solely owned transmission
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BA
3.D.-E. SRP - Transmission Service and Economic Study Requests
• SRP received two Transmission Service Requests• There are no Economic Study Requests
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3.F. Submittal of Additional Study Plan Proposals
• If you have study ideas for SRP to consider, please send a detailed message to: [email protected]
• Please include (at a minimum):– Your Name/Company/contact info (e-mail/phone #)– What the purpose of the study request is? And how will the
results be used?– What year(s) and season(s) is of interest?– What type of study – reliability (power flow only?),
economic?
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3.G. SRP Planning – Comments & Questions
• Stakeholder comments/questions on 2015 Study Results
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APS 4th Quarter Stakeholder
FERC Order 890 APS Attachment E
4.A. APS’s Study Plan
• APS has two distinct, but related, transmission study processes– NERC Compliance– APS’s Annual Planning
• The difference between the two plans:– NERC Compliance:
• Minimum 2 seasons, 2 discrete years (near and long term); all cases examine P0-P7 (formerly Category A – D)
– APS’s annual planning: 1 season, 10 consecutive years; N-0 and N-1– NERC Compliance is now starting point for annual plan
• Working on combining TPL assessment and Annual Planning for future years– TPL assessment results utilized for 10yr plan– 10Yr plan fills in the gap years
28
4.A. NERC Compliance Results?
• 2014 Results?– APS is fully compliant with NERC Transmission
Planning Standards
• 2015 Progress?– Case building complete– DYD files complete– Study work being finalized– Report writing started
29
4.A. 2015 NERC Compliance Study Methodology
NERC Compliance Studies Cases• 2016, 2020 & 2024 Summer Peak Cases
– Sensitivity case has higher import, and lower metro internal generation
• Off-peak Case is Low Load and High Import (shoulder case with low generation in the Phoenix Metro Area)
– 2017 Light Spring case; one case in the near-term– High ratio of renewable generation to overall generation on-line– Sensitivity case is higher export, more internal metro generation on-line
• Following analyses are conducted:– Thermal and voltage– Short-Circuit– Transient Stability
30
4.A. 2015 NERC Compliance Studies
• TPL-001-4 combined previous TPL-001 through TPL-004– No longer Category A, B, C, & D– Now P0 through P7
• Covers all scenarios from N-0 to N-1-1• Also includes Multiple Contingencies due to relay or
breaker failures
– Requires more cases/scenarios– Includes short-circuit analysis (2024)
31
4.A. APS TPL Plan for 2015 Study
Near-Term Long-TermYear 1
(2016)2
(2017)3 4 5
(2020)6 7 8 9
(2024)10
Steady State
Peak Load (Summer) X X X
Peak load sensitivity X X
Off-Peak (Spring) X
Off-Peak sensitivity X
Stability
Peak Load (Summer) X
Peak load sensitivity X
Off-Peak (Spring) X
Off-Peak sensitivity X
32
4.A. 2016-2025 Ten-Year Plan Methodology
• Coordinated Base Cases– 2015HS – SASG/AZ coordinated case used to build heavy
summer 2016-2019– 2020HS – AZ coordinated case used to build heavy summer
2021-2023– 2024HS – SWAT/AZ coordinated case used to build heavy
summer 2025 (same SWAT updated case submitted to WestConnect)
– The intermediate cases are APS/SRP coordinated
• 69kV transmission models incorporated• Most up-to-date forecasts for peak summer loads• N-0 and N-1 analysis conducted for all ten years
33
Note: AZ coordinated cases also included IID
4.A. 2016-2025 Ten-Year Plan Status
• AZ Seed cases are complete (2016HS, 2020HS, 2024HS)
• Intermediate cases are complete• Ten-Year plan studies are being finalized• Ten-Year Plan filed by the end of January• BTA Studies will also be completed and
filed– 10th Year Snapshot & Extreme Contingency– RMR study – no triggers were identified for
PHX/Yuma
34
4.A. Customer Load/Resource Updates
• APS has all load/resource data from Network Customers and has incorporated them into the base cases
• APS received no stakeholder proposals in 2015 or prior to this meeting
• Should you like to provide information for the future APS planning cycles, please see critical dates on the next slide
35
Jan.
Feb.
Mar.
Apr.
May
Jun.
Jul.
Aug.
Sep.
Oct.
Nov.
Dec.
10yr Plan – Filed with ACC by Jan. 31 10yr. Plans filed by others
APS Corporate Load Forecast
Stakeholder Input
APS Corporate Load Forecast – Post Summer
Sep. 1st – Network Transmission Customers and all other Transmission Customers Load & Resource Forecast
10yr Plan – New load forecast sensitivity
Develop 10yr base cases from AZ seed cases
10yr Plan study effort – Determination of projects, timings, and scope
4th Quarter Stakeholder Meeting – Review draft of current 10yr plan, discuss Economic Study requests, receive
stakeholder input
Planning Calendar for Ten-Year Planning CycleAPS Transmission
Planning – 10 Yr Plan
Arizona Utilities coordinated seed case development
2nd Quarter Stakeholder Meeting – Stakeholder input on studies, request study
alternatives, updates on current projects
Other Coordination Activities Throughout
the Year
· APS/SRP Coordination Meeting
· APS/WAPA Coordination Meeting
· WestConnect Meetings
· SWAT Meetingso AZTSo New Mexicoo Eldorado Valleyo Transmission Corridoro Short-circuit
Oct. 31st – Deadline to submit Economic Study Requests for 4th Quarter Meeting
review
36
4.B. APS Ten-Year Plan Projects 2015-2024
Transmission PlanFiled on Jan. 30, 2015(updated with 2015
activities)
37
4.B. Changes since 2015 Plan was filed
• Three projects completed– Bagdad 115kV Relocation– Hassayampa-North Gila #2 500kV line
• Energized May, 2015• New Path 49 (EOR) rating of 10,100 MW
– Palm Valley-Trilby Wash 230kV line• Energized April, 2015• Trilby Wash now providing new source for northwestern part of valley
• Actively under construction– Palo Verde-Delaney-Sun Valley 500kV– Sun Valley-Trilby Wash 230kV– Mazatzal 345/69kV substation
• In-service date change– Ocotillo Modernization Project in-service pushed back to 2019
38
In-Service: Hassayampa-North Gila 500kV #2
Line Bagdad 115kV Line Relocation2016: Delaney-Palo Verde 500kV Line Delaney-Sun Valley 500kV Line2017: Mazatzal 345/69kV Substation2018: Morgan-Sun Valley 500kV Line2019: Ocotillo Modernization Project
39
40
In-service: Palm Valley-Trilby
Wash 230kV Line2016: Sun Valley-Trilby Wash
230kV Line2019: Ocotillo Modernization
Project2026: Morgan-Sun Valley
230kV Line
41
In-service: Hassayampa-North Gila
500kV #2 Line2018: North Gila-Orchard
230kV Line
Bulk Transformer Additions/Replacements
Description Year
Two 100MVAR Reactors at Four Corners 230kV (in-service) 2015
Trilby Wash 230/69kV Transformer (in-service) 2015
Sun Valley 500/230kV Transformer 2016
Delaney 500/69kV Transformer 2016
Mazatzal 345/69kV Transformer 2017
North Gila 500/230kV Transformer 2018
Orchard 230/69kV Transformer 2018
Orchard 230/69kV Transformer #2 2018
Saguaro 230/69kV Transformer 2021
Prescott 230/115kV Transformer #3 TBD
42
4.C-E. APS Planning - Study Requests
• Interconnection Requests– Transmission Interconnection Requests– Generation Interconnection Requests
• Transmission Service Requests• Economic Study Requests
43
4.C. Interconnection Requests
• 2 Active Wires-to-Wires Interconnection requests
• Active Generation Interconnection requests– APS OASIS contains Generation Interconnection
Queue• http://www.oatioasis.com/azps/index.html• 5 Solar projects – 787.5 MW• 1 Wind projects - 200 MW• 1 Wind/Solar project – 101 MW wind/60 MW solar• 2 Natural Gas projects – 919 MW• 1 Battery Storage – 74 MW
Note: Generator Queue information as of 10/16/15
44
A - HAA-NG 500kV line 2 projects 700 MWB - Gila Bend/Buckeye 2 projects 654 MWC – Metro Phx 2 projects 669 MWD - Saguaro 1 projects 50 MWE - Douglas 1 projects 17.5 MWF - Moenkopi 1 projects 161 MWG - Cholla 1 projects 200 MW Note 1: Generator Queue
information as of 10/16/15Note 2: Figures displayed may not represent complete queue
AB
C
F
D
45
E
G
4.D-E Transmission Service Requests and Economic Study Requests
• 42 Transmission Service Requests that may require a SIS
• Currently no Economic Study Requests
46
4.F. Submittal of additional study plan proposals
• If you have study ideas for APS to consider, please send a detailed message to: [email protected]
• Please include (at a minimum)– Your Name/Company/contact info (e-mail/phone #)– What the purpose of the study request is? And how
will the results be used?– What year(s) and season(s) is of interest?– What type of study – reliability (power flow only?)
economic?
47
5. Stakeholder Questions & Comments
• Open discussion• Reference Material• WestConnect –
– http://www.westconnect.com/documents.php
• APS OASIS –– http://www.oatioasis.com/azps/index.html
• SRP OASIS –– http://www.oatioasis.com/srp/index.html
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6. Action Items
• Review any action items, assignments, and due dates
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