arcelormittal presentation investors_roadshow
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February 2012
Q411 and FY 2011 Post Results Roadshow
Investor Relations
1
Disclaimer
•Forward-Looking Statements This document may contain forward-looking information and statements about
ArcelorMittal and its subsidiaries. These statements include financial projections and estimates and their underlying assumptions, statements regarding plans, objectives and expectations with respect to future operations, products and services, and statements regarding future performance. Forward-looking statements may be identified by the words “believe,” “expect,” “anticipate,”“target” or similar expressions. Although ArcelorMittal’s management believes that the expectations reflected in such forward-looking statements are reasonable, investors and holders of ArcelorMittal’s securities are cautioned that forward-looking information and statements are subject to numerous risks and uncertainties, many of which are difficult to predict and generally beyond the control of ArcelorMittal, that could cause actual results and developments to differ materially and adversely from those expressed in, or implied or projected by, the forward-looking information and statements. These risks and uncertainties include those discussed or identified in the filings with the Luxembourg Stock Market Authority for the Financial Markets (Commission de Surveillance du Secteur Financier) and the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (the “SEC”) made or to be made by ArcelorMittal, including ArcelorMittal’s Annual Report on Form 20-F for the year ended December 31, 2010 filed with the SEC. ArcelorMittal undertakes no obligation to publicly update its forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events, or otherwise.
2
Agenda
• Core strengths, performance and guidance• Market update• Q4 financials• Balance sheet• Segment performance• Appendix
3
Core strengths
ArcelorMittal in a strong position to respond to ev olving markets
ConsistentStrategy
Quality core assets
SustainableReturns
Leader in auto Steel
World-class Mining
Cost Improvement
Stronger Balance Sheet
Safety performance Annual Health & Safety frequency rate* for mining & steel Key corporate social responsibility highlights:
• ArcelorMittal was recently named in global human resource firm Aon Hewitt’s list of Top Companies for Leaders. ArcelorMittal was ranked in the top seven companies in Europe.
• On December 2, 2011 ArcelorMittal celebrated its 4th annual International Volunteer Work Day. Within this event, thousands of ArcelorMittal employees volunteer in one of the different activities that are carried out in its units to improve the lives of the people in the community.
• On October 13, 2011 ArcelorMittal was given the "Life Cycle Assessment Leadership" award by The Worldsteel Association, which recognises the quality of the work performed by the Life Cycle Analysis team of Global Research and Development, based in Maizieres.
* IISI-standard: Fr = Lost Time Injuries per 1.000.000 worked hours; based on own personnel and contractors
ArcelorMittal’s Health and Safety performance improv ed again in Q411 and FY11
Quarterly Health & Safety frequency rate* for minin g & steel
3.12.5
1.9 1.81.4
1.0
0.0
0.4
0.8
1.2
1.6
2.0
2.4
2.8
3.2
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2013
3.12.5
1.9 1.81.4
1.0
0.0
0.4
0.8
1.2
1.6
2.0
2.4
2.8
3.2
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2013
1.4 1.5 1.51.2
1.6
0.0
0.4
0.8
1.2
1.6
4Q 10 1Q 11 2Q 11 3Q 11 4Q 11
5
Snapshot
• FY’11 EBITDA of $10.1bn, 18.7% higher than FY’10
• FY’11 Net income of $2.3bn, with Q4 negatively impacted by non-cash charges
• Own iron ore production 15.1Mt in 4Q’11 taking FY’11 to 54.1Mt (+10.5% y-o-y)
• Net debt at December 31, 2011 of $22.5 billion as compared to $24.9bn at September 30, 2011; reduction of $2.4bn during 4Q’11
• Dividend proposed at $0.75 per share for FY 2012
• Guidance: 1H’12 EBITDA likely to be lower than the 1H’11 but above 2H’11 levels
1H’12 EBITDA is likely to be lower than the 1H’11 b ut above 2H’11 levels
Group EBITDA (US$mn) 1H
Net Debt
1.1
2.2
3.2
2.3
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
30.0
2008 2009 2010 2011
0.0x
0.5x
1.0x
1.5x
2.0x
2.5x
3.0x
3.5x
Net Debt (USDbn) - LHS Net Debt / Average EBITDA - RHS
`
1H
1H1H
2H
2H
2H
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
2009 2010 2011
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
China EU27 NAFTA ROW
6
Global apparent steel consumption
6.5-7%6.5-7%
6.5-7%
6.5-7%
China: +5% YoY
EU27: +6.1% YoY
RoW: +5.7% YoY
NAFTA: +5.5% YoY*
Apparent steel consumption growth of +6.3% in 2011; we estimate growth ~4.5-5%* in 2012
RoW: +3.8% YoY
NAFTA: +9.7% YoY
China: 7.7% YoY
EU27: +/- 1% YoY*
* Base case assumption is low single-digit growth in developed world apparent steel consumption (ASC); a consumer-sentiment driven technical recession in EU and US could lead to a low single-digit decline in developed world ASC; a deeper Euro-debt crisis with negative YoY GDP growth could see low double-digit decline in developed world ASC
7
Operational optimisation is a key to our competitive advantage
• Strong track record of management gains– During crisis plans were accelerated– Achieved $4.0bn of gains by Q411; largely
SG&A and fixed costs related– Target of $4.8bn by end of 2012; next set of
savings are largely variable cost and based on operational improvements
Management gains plan (USD billion annualized)
• Focus on “Core” assets will ensure lowest cost footprint achieved and yield significant savings; target $1bn by end-2012– Announced intention to close 2 blast furnace, sinter
plant , steel shop and continuous casters in Liege, Belgium
Asset optimization (USD million annualized)
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1000
2011 2012 2013
Management gains to contribute to group EBITDA in 2 011 and 2012
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
4.5
5.0
Q42008
Q12009
Q22009
Q32009
Q42009
Q12010
Q22010
Q32010
Q42010
Q12011
Q22011
Q32011
Q42011
2012Target
Target of $4.8bn by end of 2012
8
Outlook and guidance
1H’12 Group EBITDA expected to show improvement ove r 2H’11 but lower than 1H’11
Steel:- Steel shipments in 1H’12 are expected to be similar
to 1H’11 levels
Mining:- Mining volumes in 1H’12 are expected to be higher
than 1H’11- FY 2012 own iron ore and coal production is
expected to increase by approximately 10% over 2011 levels
Capex:- Continued focus on core growth capex (mining) - FY 2012 capex expected to be ~$4-4.5 billion
Debt and working capital:- Further reduction in net debt anticipated with focus
on working capital management and non-core asset divestments
- Consistent with stated objective to retain investment grade credit rating
EBITDA progression 2009 to 1H 2012E ($million)
1 H
1 H
1 H
1H
2 H
2 H
2 H
0
20 0 0
40 0 0
60 0 0
80 0 0
1 00 0 0
1 20 0 0
2 00 9 2 0 1 0 2 0 11 1 H 20 1 2
Capex and Growth Plans
• Steel growth capex has been temporarily suspended
• Focus remains on core growth capex in Mining:– Liberia: phase 1 complete and running
at 4MT pa; phase 2 to 15Mt pa remains under study
– Andrade Mines (Brazil) - iron ore expansion to 3.5MT pa (expected completion in 2012)
– AMMC: Replacement of spirals for enrichment to increase iron ore production by 0.8MT pa (expected 2013)
– AMMC: Expansion from 16MT iron ore to 24MT pa by 2013 underway
9
2011 capex of $4.8bn vs. planned $5-5.5bn; FY 2012 capex expected to be approximately $4-4.5bn
Upgrade railway line linking mine to port in Liberia
AMMC: Mont-Wright Mining Complex
10
Market update
Apparent demand recovery driving price reboundSpot iron ore, coking coal and scrap price(index IH 2008=100)
Regional Steel price HRC ($/t)
Steel prices rebounding since late Q4
11
400
500
600
700
800
900
1000
1100
1200
1300
Jan-
08
Jul-0
8
Jan-
09
Jul-0
9
Jan-
10
Jul-1
0
Jan-
11
Jul-1
1
Jan-
12
China domestic Shanghai
N.America FOB Midw est
N.Europe domestic ex-w orks
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
110
120
130
Jan-
08
Jul-0
8
Jan-
09
Jul-0
9
Jan-
10
Jul-1
0
Jan-
11
Jul-1
1
Jan-
12
Iron Ore
Coking Coal
Scrap
12
Apparent demand receded in 4Q’11Global Apparent Steel Consumption (ASC)* (million tonnes per month)
US and European Apparent Steel Consumption (ASC)** (million tonnes per month)
• Global ASC -5.2% in 4Q11 vs. 3Q11 [+2% y-o-y]
• China ASC -10.2% in 4Q11 vs. 3Q11 {+0.2% y-o-y]
* ArcelorMittal estimates** AISI, Eurofer and ArcelorMittal estimates
• EU ASC -3.4% in 4Q11 vs.3Q11 [-4.9% y-o-y]
• US ASC -4.2% in 4Q11 vs. 3Q11 [+13.6% y-o-y]
Global ASC fell in 4Q 2011 v 3Q 2011
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
55
Jan-0
7Ju
l-07
Jan-0
8Ju
l-08
Jan-0
9Ju
l-09
Jan-1
0Ju
l-10
Jan-1
1Ju
l-11
Developing ex China
China
Developed
3
5
7
9
11
13
15
17
Jan-0
7
Jul-0
7
Jan-0
8
Jul-0
8
Jan-0
9
Jul-0
9
Jan-1
0
Jul-1
0
Jan-1
1
Jul-1
1
EU27
USA
13
• Global leading indicators have rebounded
• US energy, equipment investment and automotive remain strong as manufacturing rebounds from the summer slowdown
• In Northern Europe, uncertainty over the euro debt crisis and falling demand in the South are acting as a drag on growth. Latest indicators (German Jan’12 PMI>50) are more encouraging
• Southern Europe in recession as austerity measures are extended, consumers cut back and construction weakens
• Output in China in Q4’11 slowed on tight credit and weak external demand with HSBC PMI staying below 50 (official PMI 50.5)
Regional Manufacturing PMI
Global leading indicators have rebounded somewhat o ver the past couple of months
Economic squeeze but sentiment up
30
35
40
45
50
55
60
65
Jan-
06Ju
l-06
Jan-
07Ju
l-07
Jan-
08Ju
l-08
Jan-
09Ju
l-09
Jan-
10Ju
l-10
Jan-
11Ju
l-11
Jan-
12
China
Euro Area
USA
Source: Markit and ISM
Eurozone construction PMI
USA Architectural Billings Index
Mixed signs in construction end markets
• Developed world construction at low levels
• Encouraging signs in the US,
– Private non-res construction slowly picking up; Architectural Billings Index above 50 (52 in Dec) for last two months suggesting recovery H2’12
– US residential construction likely to recover (from a very low level) as home sales and construction permits rise
• In Europe, uncertainty caused by the debt crisis is delaying investment
– Construction PMI falling further below 50
– German construction market the only one with solid fundamentals as it missed the pre-crisis boom.
– Mild weather providing temporary boost to most markets
Eurozone and US construction indicators**
US construction indicators (SAAR) $bn*
Encouraging signs in US construction, but European construction remains depressed
14
Exp
ansi
onC
ontr
actio
n
30
35
40
45
50
55
60
65
Jan-
06
Jan-
07
Jan-
08
Jan-
09
Jan-
10
Jan-
11
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
Jan-
02Ja
n-03
Jan-
04Ja
n-05
Jan-
06Ja
n-07
Jan-
08Ja
n-09
Jan-
10Ja
n-11
Residential
Non-Residential
* Source: US Census Bureau
** Source: Markit and The American Institute of Architects
-0.5
0.5
1.5
2.5
3.5
4.5
5.5
6.5
Jan
-06
Jul-
06
Jan
-07
Jul-
07
Jan
-08
Jul-
08
Jan
-09
Jul-
09
Jan
-10
Jul-
10
Jan
-11
Jul-
11
China slowing but steel output to rebound
• Soft landing still expected in China but the government is only loosening policy slowly putting off the recovery until Q2’12
• Construction slowed rapidly toward year end with newly started construction very weak in Dec’11. However, the slowdown is exacerbated by the Nov’11 deadline to start 10m public housing units
• Risk of a hard landing as controls on private real estate market cause distress among developers but we expect central government to ensure this is offset by increasing public housing
• Steel production was very weak in Q4’11 but we still expect a pick-up through Q1’12 to peak levels in Q2’12 and ASC growth of 5% in 2012
• As expected exports averaged less than 4mmt in Q4’11 compared to a 4.9mmt peak in Mar’11
China ASC grew 7.7% in 2011; Expected to grow 5% in 2012
15
China Construction Indicator (Million Metre sq.)
Net Exports of Finished Steel (Mt per month)
70
110
150
190
230
270
310
350
Jan-
05
Jan-
06
Jan-
07
Jan-
08
Jan-
09
Jan-
10
Jan-
11
Floor Space under construction (12mma)
New ly Started Construction (SA, 3mma)
Destocking has ended in major marketsEurope Service Centre Inventories (000 MT)
Brazil Service Centre Inventories (000 MT)
US Service Centre Total Steel Inventories (000 MT)
China Inventories in 25 Major Cities (Mn MT)
Inventory levels are now considered normal; there h ad been a sharp destock in Europe Q4’11
16
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
14000
Jan-
07Ju
l-07
Jan-
08Ju
l-08
Jan-
09Ju
l-09
Jan-
10Ju
l-10
Jan-
11Ju
l-11
2
2.2
2.4
2.6
2.8
3
3.2
3.4
3.6USA (MSCI)
Months Supply
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2400
2600
Jan-
07
Jul-0
7Ja
n-08
Jul-0
8Ja
n-09
Jul-0
9Ja
n-10
Jul-1
0Ja
n-11
Jul-1
1
1.6
1.8
2
2.2
2.4
2.6
2.8
3
3.2
3.4
EU (EASSC)
Months Supply
400500
600700
800900
1,0001,100
1,2001,300
1,400
Jan-
07Ju
l-07
Jan-
08Ju
l-08
Jan-
09Ju
l-09
Jan-
10Ju
l-10
Jan-
11Ju
l-11
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
4
4.5Flat stocks at service centres
Months of supply
2
4
6
8
1012
14
16
18
20
Jan-0
7
Jul-0
7
Jan-0
8
Jul-0
8
Jan-0
9
Jul-0
9
Jan-1
0
Jul-1
0
Jan-1
1
Jul-1
1
Jan-1
2
Flat Long
17
Q4 financials
18* Non Steel EBITDA variance primarily represents the gain/loss through sale of by- products** Others primarily represents delta impact from provisions, DDH income and forex (net impact on revenue and costs)
EBITDA analysis 3Q11 v 4Q11
EBITDA decreased by 28.8% in 4Q’11 v 3Q’11 primaril y due to price/cost squeeze
EBITDA bridge 3Q’11 to 4Q’11 ($million)
18
1,714
2,408
(673)
(127)
88
Q3'11 EBITDA Volume & Mix Selling Price /
Cost
Non Steel
EBITDA*
Others** Q4'11 EBITDA
1714
47-192
-1000 -1000
177
-808
0
-1667
6
659659782
1,168
2,408
-123
-392
-1,240
19
Group P&L
EB
ITD
A
Dep
reci
atio
n im
pairm
ent
and
rest
ruct
urin
g ch
arge
s
Op
erat
ing
In
com
e
Inco
me
from
Equ
ity
Fin
ance
Cos
t
Pre
-tax
Pro
fit
Tax
es a
nd n
on-
cont
rolli
ng In
tere
st
Net
inco
me
/ (I
oss
) fr
om
Co
nti
nu
ing
Ops
Dis
cont
inue
d
Ope
ratio
ns
Net
inco
me/
(lo
ss)
4Q 2
011
Depreciation: (1220)
impairment: (228)
Restructuring (219)
Interest: (429)
Forex and other: 13
Current tax: (185)
Deferred tax: (648)
Non-controlling 25
Weighted Avg No of shares: 1549
Diluted Weighted Avg No of shares: 1549
EPS = $ -0.65/share
Diluted EPS = $ -0.65/share
Net loss from continuing operations was $1 billion during 4Q’11
($million)
3Q 2
011
($million)
(0)
Depreciation: (1155)
impairment: (85)
Interest: (477)
Forex and other 85
Current tax: (209)
Deferred tax: 55
Non-controlling 31
Weighted Avg No of shares: 1549
Diluted Weighted Avg No of shares: 1611
EPS = $ 0.43/share
Diluted EPS = $ 0.19/share
(0)
-416
20
Free Cash flow
($million)
Free cash flow primarily driven by working capital release
1,714
2,878
1,403
1,843
(1,475)
(679)
Net financials,
tax expenses and others
Change in w orking capital
Capex
EBITDACash flow from
operations Free cash flow
21
Group Cash flow and net debt
Net Debt at 30 September 2011
Free Cash Flow
Net Debt at 31 December 2011
Net M&A Dividends
Net debt decreased primarily due to improved operat ing cash flow and cash inflow from Macarthur deal
Forex Others
($million)
24,887
22,513
1403
830289 332 98
22
Balance sheet
23
Net Debt ($billion)
Strong balance sheet and liquidity – investment grad e strategic priority
Strong balance sheet focus �Investment grade remains a strategic priority
Average maturity (years)
Liquidity ($billion) Bank debt component of total debt (%)
12.0 12.5
0.0
4.0
8.0
12.0
16.0
Q308 Q411
2.6
5.2
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
Q308 Q411
32,5
22,5
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
Q308 Q411
85
15
0
10
20
30
4050
60
70
80
90
Q308 Q411
24
Balance Sheet highlights
OWC and rotation days* (USD billion) Net Debt (USD billion) & Net Debt/Average EBITDA** Ratio (x)
* Rotation days are defined as days of accounts receivable plus days of inventory minus days of accounts payable. Days of accounts payable and inventory are a function of cost of goods sold. Days of accounts receivable are a function of sales.** Based on yearly average EBITDA since January 1, 2004.
Rotation days decreased to 67 days during 4Q’11 fro m 73 days in 3Q’11
0
4
8
12
16
20
24
28
1Q 0
72Q
07
3Q 0
74Q
07
1Q 0
82Q
08
3Q 0
84Q
08
1Q 0
92Q
09
3Q 0
94Q
09
1Q 1
02Q
10
3Q 1
04Q
10
1Q 1
12Q
11
3Q 1
14Q
11
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
Working capital (USDbn) - LHS Rotation day - RHS
67 days
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
1Q 0
72Q
07
3Q 0
74Q
07
1Q 0
82Q
08
3Q 0
84Q
08
1Q 0
92Q
09
3Q 0
94Q
09
1Q 1
02Q
10
3Q 1
04Q
10
1Q 1
12Q
11
3Q 1
14Q
11
0.0x
0.5x
1.0x
1.5x
2.0x
Net Debt (USDbn) - LHS Net Debt / Average EBITDA - RHS
1.6x
`
8.6
2.2
0.63.9
Liquidity at 31/12/11 Debt due in 2012
Unused credit lines
Cash & equivalent
12.5
Commercial paper
2.8
Short term debt & Others
25
Liquidity and debt maturity profileDebt maturities(US$ billion)
Liquidity position at December 31, 2011(US$ billion)
Continued strong liquidity position and lengthening of debt maturities
– $4bn syndicated credit facility matures 06/05/15– $6bn syndicated credit facility matures 18/03/16– $0.3bn bilateral facility matures 30/06/13
Liquidity lines:
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 >2016
Bonds Convertibles Long term debt facility Other Commercial Paper
2.8
3.7
2.0
9.7
4.04.2
Investment in associates and joint ventures ~$9bn
Investments in Associates & Joint Ventures
26
Investee Location Stake 31.12.11 31.12.10Erdemir Turkey 26% 1378 1596China Oriental China 47% 1475 1337DHS Group Germany 33% 1149 1190Hunan Valin China 30% 691 686Enovos Luxembourg 23% 597 614Kalagadi Manganese South Africa 50% 397 496Gestamp Spain 35% 506 468Gonvarri Industrial Spain 35% 408 384Others 2440 2473Total 9041 9244McArthur 0 908As per 20F 9041 10152
USD Million
27
Mining growth
Iron ore growth 2010-2015, target 100MT including strategic contracts
2015 iron ore target growth plan on track
Canada Brazil
LiberiaPhase 1 & 2
Liberia Phase 1
Own iron ore growth target (million metric tonnes) (Excluding strategic contracts)
Canada
• On track for 10% growth in iron ore in 2011.
• Strategic contracts forecast of 16Mt by 2015*
• Target iron ore at ~100MT by 2015 (including strategic contracts)
* Strategic contracts include the Kumba (currently under dispute) and Cleveland Cliffs contracts
** Includes the US$0.9 billon investment in expanding the pellet plant at AMMC which has not yet been committed to
49
3 1 1
54
5
11
14
84
0
20
40
60
80
100
2010 Operationaleff iciency
Brow nfield Greenfield 2011F Operationaleff iciency
Brow nfield Greenfield 2015 plan
14
15
0
4
8
12
16
2011 2012F 2015F
`
• Phase 1: DSO complete
– 240km rail rehabilitation completed– Upgrade of Buchanan port and material
handling facilities completed– First direct shipping ore (“DSO”) product
shipped in September 2011– Now producing at 4mtpa rate
• Phase 2: 15mtpa concentrate from 2015
– Expansion to 15mtpa requires investment in a concentrator and remains under study
Liberia progress
29
Liberia greenfield planned expansion (Million MT)
Industrial location of mine
All marketable tonnes
Guinea
Atlantic Ocean
Liberia
Ivory CoastYekepa
Buchanan
Sierra Leone
Railway link from Yekepa
to Buchanan (240km)
Liberia expansion on track
Liberia greenfield progress
• Total project capex (Phase 1 and 2) US$2 billion
• Capex of US$0.7 billion by end of 2011
30
Baffinland represents future growth
Acquisition of Baffinland demonstrates ArcelorMitta l’s commitment to building a world-class mining business
• In partnership with Nunavut, ArcelorMittal has acquired a controlling interest in Baffinland; ArcelorMittal holding is 70%
• Baffinland owns the Mary River project, a tier-1 iron ore resource in northern Canada
• In-situ Fe grades of 64.7%, high-quality product, significant and scalable resource
• ArcelorMittal already has a significant iron ore presence in Canada through ArcelorMittal Mines Canada, operating 2 iron ore mining operations, concentrator and pellet plant
Baffin Bay
Foxe Basin
Baffin Island
Mary River mine site
Proposed railway
alignment
Steensby
inlet camp
and proposed
port
Baffin Island overview
Steensby ���� Rotterdam = 3100 nautical miles
Brazil ���� Rotterdam = 5000 nautical miles
31
Segment performance
32
Segment Highlights
Q4’11 saw underlying EBITDA decline versus Q3’11 in all business segments reflectingweak operating conditions
• FCA: EBITDA + 50% y-o-y; $43 EBITDA/t– Weaker prices in all markets; ASP -$42/t compared to 3Q’11
– Shipments 0.5% marginally higher than 4Q’10
• FCE: EBITDA -95.2% y-o-y; $4 EBITDA/t– ASP -67/t compared to 3Q’11
– Shipments 6.1% lower than 4Q’10
• Long: EBITDA +7.3% y-o-y; $58 EBITDA/t– ASP -$61/t compared to 3Q’11
– Shipments 2.6% higher than 4Q’10
• AACIS: EBITDA +10.7% y-o-y; $78 EBITDA/t– ASP -$58/t compared to 3Q’11
– Shipments -9.6% lower than 4Q’10
• AMDS: EBITDA loss -$19 million– ASP -$62/t compared to 3Q’11
– Shipments 4.3% higher than 4Q’10
• Mining: EBITDA +36.7% y-o-y– Sales +47.8% higher than 4Q’10
– Own iron ore production +20.2% y-o-y;
– Own coal production +24.5% y-o-y
Segmental EBITDA (US$mn)
-1000
100200300400500600700800900
1000
FCA FCE Long AACIS AMDS Mining
Q4'10 Q1'11 Q2'11 Q3'11 Q4'11
Steel Segment EBITDA/tonne (US$)
-25
0
25
50
75
100
125
150
175
Q4'10 Q1'11 Q2'11 Q3'11 Q4'11
FCA FCE Long AACIS AMDS
33
Flat Carbon Americas (FCA)
• EBITDA decreased to $237m from $420m in Q3’11 and increased from $158m in Q4’10
• Crude steel production increased 2.4% to 6.0Mt from 5.9Mt in Q3’11 primarily due to return to normal production following downtime in North America operations in Q3’11 offset by lower production primarily in South America operations.
• Steel shipments decreased 4.4% to 5.5Mt from 5.7Mt in Q3’11 primarily due to weaker market condition in South America offset by improved auto market demand in North America
• ASP decreased 4.6% to $868/t from $910/t in Q3’11
FCA EBITDA decreased sharply from Q3’11 primarily d ue to price cost squeeze
FCA Steel shipments (000t)
4000
4200
4400
4600
4800
5000
5200
5400
5600
5800
Q4'10 Q1'11 Q2'11 Q3'11 Q4'11
FCA - EBITDA (US$mn, LHS) and ASP (US$/t, RHS)
0
200
400
600
800
1000
Q4'10 Q1'11 Q2'11 Q3'11 Q4'11
500
600
700
800
900
1000
34
Flat Carbon Europe (FCE)
• EBITDA decreased to $26m from $367m in Q3’11 and $543m in Q4’10
• Crude steel production decreased 10.4% to 6.6Mt from 7.4Mt in Q3’11 primarily due to weaker market sentiment primarily in Europe
• Steel shipments decreased 3.1% to 6.2Mt from 6.4Mt in Q3’11 due to weaker market conditions and strong destocking activity
• ASP decreased 6.6% to $954/t from $1021/t in Q3’11
• Operating performance in Q4’11 was negatively impacted by impairment charges of $56 million relating to various idled facilities, offset by non-cash gains of $163 million relating to dynamic delta hedge (DDH) income and $93 million recorded on the sale of carbon dioxide credits.
FCE profitability declined with price cost squeeze amidst weak operating conditions
FCE - EBITDA (US$mn, LHS) and ASP (US$/t, RHS)
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
Q4'10 Q1'11 Q2'11 Q3'11 Q4'11
650
700
750
800
850
900
950
1000
1050
FCE Steel shipments (000t)
4000
4500
5000
5500
6000
6500
7000
7500
8000
Q4'10 Q1'11 Q2'11 Q3'11 Q4'11
35
Long Carbon Americas & Europe (LCAE)
• EBITDA decreased to $338m from $438m in Q3’11 and from $315m in Q4’10
• Crude steel production decreased 2.4% to 5.5Mt from 5.6Mt in Q3’11.
• Seasonally production was lower in the Americas due to drawdown of inventory mainly in Brazil and the weaker market demand.
• Steel shipments decreased 2.3% to 5.9Mt from 6.0Mt in Q3’11 due to the summer holiday period in Brazil and lower demand in North America and Europe
• ASP decreased 6.3% to $906/t from $967/t in Q3’11
• Q4’11 operating performance was negatively impacted by impairment charges of $160m primarily relating $151m for extension of idling at ArcelorMittal Madrid electric arc furnace
Long Carbon profitability declined due to lower vol umes and lower prices
Long - EBITDA (US$mn, LHS) and ASP (US$/t, RHS)
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
Q4'10 Q1'11 Q2'11 Q3'11 Q4'11
550
650
750
850
950
Long Steel shipments (000t)
4000
4500
5000
5500
6000
6500
Q4'10 Q1'11 Q2'11 Q3'11 Q4'11
36
Asia, Africa and CIS (AACIS)
• EBITDA decreased to $238m from $284m in Q3’11 and increased from $215m in Q4’10
• Crude steel production increased 2.5% to 3.6Mt from 3.5Mt in Q3’11, primarily due to improved production in Ukrainian operations
• Steel shipments increased 2.0% to 3.1Mt from 3.0Mt in Q3’11
• ASP declined 7.5% to $713/t from $771/t in Q3’11
AACIS profitability declined primarily due to price cost squeeze
AACIS - EBITDA (US$mn, LHS) and ASP (US$/t, RHS)
0
100
200
300
400
500
Q4'10 Q1'11 Q2'11 Q3'11 Q4'11
500
550
600
650
700
750
800
AACIS Steel shipments (000t)
2800
2900
3000
3100
3200
3300
3400
3500
Q4'10 Q1'11 Q2'11 Q3'11 Q4'11
37
Distribution Solutions (AMDS)
• EBITDA decreased to ($19m) EBITDA loss from $48m in Q3’11 and $86m in Q4’10
• Steel shipments increased 7.6% to 5.0MT in Q4’11 as compared to 4.6MT in Q3’11
• ASP declined 6.1% to $948/t from $1010/t in Q3’11
AMDS profitability declined due to lower margins fr om European operations due to weak market
AMDS - EBITDA (US$mn, LHS) and ASP (US$/t, RHS)
-40
-20
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
Q4'10 Q1'11 Q2'11 Q3'11 Q4'11600
700
800
900
1000
1100
AMDS Steel shipments (000t)
3800
4000
4200
4400
4600
4800
5000
5200
Q4'10 Q1'11 Q2'11 Q3'11 Q4'11
38
Mining• EBITDA was lower at $779m as compared to
$842m in Q311 and higher than $570m in Q410• Own iron ore production 15.1Mt increased 7.2%
as compared to 14.1Mt in Q3’11 primarily due to Liberia and Mexico
• Total iron ore shipments increased 12.8% to 15.3Mt (vs. 13.5Mt in Q3’11) of which 8.5mt at “market” prices (vs. 6.7Mt in Q3’11) and 6.8Mt on “cost-plus” basis (vs. 6.9Mt in Q3’11)
• Own coal production increased 5.6% to 2.2Mt in Q4’11 (vs. 2.1Mt in Q3’11)
Mining benefited from higher overall production vol umes offset by lower average selling prices following the chang e to the seaborne benchmark pricing system
Definitions: “Market priced” tonnes represent amounts of iron ore or other raw materials from ArcelorMittal mines that could be sold to third parties on the open market. Market priced tonnes that are not sold to third parties are transferred from the Mining segment to the Company’s steel producing segments at the prevailing market price. Shipments of raw materials that do not constitute market price tonnes are transferred internally on a cost-plus basis.
Mining EBITDA (US$mn)
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
Q4'10 Q1'11 Q2'11 Q3'11 Q4'11
Iron Ore (million tonnes)
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
4Q 10 1Q 11 2Q 11 3Q 11 4Q 11
Own Production Shipped at "Market price" Shipped at "Cost-plus"
Coal (million tonnes)
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
4Q 10 1Q 11 2Q 11 3Q 11 4Q 11
Own Production Shipped at "Market price" Shipped at "Cost-plus"
Strong Automotive market share maintainedand increasing on high added value products
→ Strong market share maintained on Auto→ Strengthening position in Advanced High Strength St eels
- stronger increase than average in ALL regions- above average market share
Sources : AM deliveries ; JD Power/CSM
NAFTA Europe
2008 2009 2010 2011
AHSS Market share overall Market share
2008 2009 2010 2011
AHSS Market share overall Market share
Recognised leadership from key customers
39
40
Our Leadership in automotive steel
Global auto steel market ~65mt in 2010; ArcelorMit tal holds market share of ~20% globally(approx. 40% in our “domestic” markets) and is a le ader for high value-added products
• Solution-driven segment with high value proposal for Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEM)
• Relative stability of margin: 20-30% of average selling price is attributable to the value added nature of the product
• High volumes, around 15% of the group’s total, and stable product mix
• Lower price pressure when overall demand declines due to value-added products and contract-selling
• Barriers of entry due to technical know-how requirements for value-added products and customer relationships
• Opportunities and drivers for innovation, improvement, development & growth
• Global customers
Automotive segment attributes ArcelorMittal indexed average auto steel prices and spot HRC USA domestic fob midwestUS$/s.ton (Base 100=Q406)
Sources: JD Power forecasts (08-2011)
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
Q4 06
Q1 07
Q2 07
Q3 07
Q4 07
Q1 08
Q2 08
Q3 08
Q4 08
Q1 09
Q2 09
Q3 09
Q4 09
Q1 10
Q2 10
Q3 10
Q4 10
Q1 11
Q2 11
Q3 11
Average auto steel price
Spot HRC USA domestic fob midwest US$/s.ton
NAFTA33%
Mercosur*6%
South Africa1%
Europe60%
Coated (Electrogalva
nised) 8%
Coated (hot dip)
53%
Cold Rolled 15%
Hot Rolled Coil 24%
ArcelorMittal automotive steelproduction by region in 2010
ArcelorMittal automotive steelshipments by product in 2010
→ Using currently and globally available Advanced High Strength Steel (AHSS) grades → Involving unique industrial partner network→ High tech solutions (Tailored blanks, …)
- For the lightest BiW concept, 29 parts (~69 kg) use hot stamping offering high mechanical resistance for complex geometries without spring back effect
LWBDuctibor ® 500P / Usibor ® 1500P
LWBUsibor ® 1500P / Usibor ®
1500P
Target Perimeter = Body in White (BiW), Closures and Chassis
Catalogue of worldwide solutions adapted to meet rec ent and most stringent crash requirements
• Cost neutral • Roll out to all automotive customers in the world with
significant interest (more than 80% of OEMs involved with S-in motion roll out)
• Trigger partnerships with customers on future platforms (already successful results)
Worldwide ArcelorMittal R&D involving automotive su ppliers and industrial partners (Gestamp and Magnetto Automotive)
S-in motion program offers 20% weight reduction
41
China’s steel demand following precedents
• Economic development is characterised by strong, early phase steel demand growth – China is no different
42
China’s steel demand growth is sustainable near termNote: Between 1900 and 1949 crude steel production per capita as approximation for demand as no data available
Sources: WSA for crude steel ASC; Global Insight and UN Data statistics for population; ArcelorMittal Corporate Strategy team analysis
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
30000
35000
40000
1905
1910
1915
1920
1925
1930
1935
1940
1945
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
China
S. KoreaFrance
Germany
USA
Cumulative crude steel apparent consumption (kg/capita)
43
Chinese steel industry running at full capacity
Sources: WSA, SBB and ArcelorMittal estimates
Steel consumption per capita in 2009e (kg)
Western China
(210 kg)Coastal
China
(615kg)
Central China
(285 kg)
Development and growth potential
Population migration
Chinese steel apparent demand (mt)
China demand growth remains solid
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
1984
1986
1988
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
P20
12P
Source: ArcelorMittal Corporate Strategy
• China steel demand growth is expected to continue to absorb new supply of iron ore, keeping global supply/demand tight
Iron ore supply forecast to keep pace with demand, with no significant excess
China will keep global raw materialsupplies tight
Global iron ore supply/demand outlook (Mn tonnes)
800
1300
1800
2300
2800
3300
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Iro
n O
re D
em
an
d/
Pro
du
ctio
n
World Iron Ore Demand
World Iron Ore Production
44
Supply/Demand projections
102
450400
60
India Other developing
world
China DevelopedWorld*
Developing world ex-China:
• Over 4 billion people
• Large populations in India, MENA, CIS, Brazil, parts of SE Asia
• Many of these countries are well engaged on the path of industrialisation and urbanization growth
• Over 400m tonnes steel consumption
• 5.6% CAGR 2000-2010
Developed world:
• Ca. 1bn people
• Low population growth
• Post-industrial service based economies
• Declining steel consumption
China DevelopedWorld*
Other developing
world
China DevelopedWorld*
India Other developing
world
China DevelopedWorld*
60
India Other developing
world
China DevelopedWorld*
* US, Canada, EU-15, Japan, Korea, Taiwan, Oceania;
Sources: WSA, ArcelorMittal Corporate Strategy analysis
But it’s not just a China story
• Outside China there is significant, broad-based growth in steel consumption
Crude steel consumption per capita 2010 (kg)
45
We expect continued growth in steel consumption in the developing world
14 15
1
9
5
10
15
20
25
2011 2013
Brownfield expansion
Canada base
ArcelorMittal Mines Canada (AMMC): expansion underway
• Expansion of our Mont Wright mine at AMMC and concentrate capacity to 24Mt pa due 2013 (from 16Mtpa post operational improvements) approved
• Expansion capitalising on existing infrastructure, product quality and experienced workforce
• Capex C$1.2bn for mine and concentrator plant expansion*
• Cash cost is circa US$35/tonne
• Advantageously located with easy access to European and US markets
Mining expansion plan (concentrate) Million mt
Canadian industrial location ArcelorMittal Mines Canada overview
* Total scheme investment of US$2.1 billion includes investment in expanding the pellet plant which has not yet been committed to
Bloom LakeBloom Lake
Strategic advantage from exclusive use of own rail and port facilities
46
* AMMC 2013 brownfield expansion includes 1mt increase for spirals
Long South America
10%
AACIS13%
Mining31%
Long North America
1%
Flat South America
5%
Long Europe5%
Distribution3%
Flat Europe15%
Flat North America
17%
98
37 35 3531
23 23 22 22 19 18 18 17 16 16 15 14 14 13 13
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47
Leading Steel & Mining Company4th Largest iron ore producerLargest steel producer
2010 Crude steel, mt 2010 Iron ore production, mt
Steel companies
Diverse steel business (by product and geography) w ith rapidly expanding mining operations
• World’s No1 steel producer (~ 6% of world crude steel output)• 2011 EBITDA of US$10.1bn; only ~40% generated from steel
business in Europe and North American
• Balanced portfolio of cost-competitive assets in both developed and developing markets (No1: EU; N Am; Africa, LatAm, CIS)
• Broad range of high-quality finished and semi-finished carbon steel products ; Outstanding distribution networks
• 4th largest iron ore producer; low 2nd-quartile cash cost for iron ore; World-class iron ore reserve & resource
• Global presence � unrivalled knowledge base and benchmarking
FY 2011 EBITDA split by product (geographical area)
~60% of EBITDA generated
OUTSIDE of EU and North
America
69*
Note: *ArcelorMittal iron ore production includes strategic contracts; 2010 production from own mines was 48.9Mt;
48
Contacts
Daniel Fairclough – Global Head Investor [email protected]+44 207 543 1105
Hetal Patel – UK/European Investor [email protected]+44 207 543 1128
Valérie Mella – European and Retail Investor [email protected]+44 207 543 1156
Maureen Baker – Fixed Income/Debt Investor [email protected]+33 1 71 92 10 26
Thomas A McCue – US Investor [email protected]+312-899-3927
Lisa Fortuna – US Investor [email protected]+312-899-3985