areva dec0506
DESCRIPTION
Business & Strategy overview November2006 3.Strategy and objectives 1.Group’s overview 2.Market trends for electrical sector 2 2 > Group Overview –November 2006 2005 market value: €42bn 2004 market value: €23bn 30% 33% 68% 32% 18% Europe (Excl. France) €3,2bn €6,9bn ( vs ABB: 18~19%, Siemens ~13%) Americas France Other Asia 3 > Group Overview –November 2006TRANSCRIPT
Business & Strategy overview
Solutions for power generatorsand distributors
November 2006
> Group Overview – November 20062
Agenda
2
1. Group’s overview
2. Market trends for electrical sector
3. Strategy and objectives
4. Outlook
> Group Overview – November 20063
AREVA provides technological solutions for CO2-free power generation and Transmission & Distribution
Breakdown of AREVA sales in 2005 (€10,125M)
68%
N°1 worldwide in Nuclear€6,9bn
2004 market value:€23bn
Market share: 30%
32%
N°3 worldwide in T&D2005 market value:
€42bn
Market share: 8~9%( vs ABB: 18~19%, Siemens ~13%)
€3,2bn
2005 Sales by business Geographic sales
33%
7%12%
18%
30%
France
Europe (Excl. France)
Americas
Asia
Other
> Group Overview – November 20064
AREVA is ranked first worldwide in nuclear
Sales in the nuclear business
in millions of euros
No.1 worldwide; No.1 in Europe and the USNo.1 in Plants / FuelNo.1 in the Back End
1 386
3 270
1 322
2019
431689
1 6521 1351 317 1 160
798292
1 143
330
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
Areva FAAE West +Tosh
MHI HITCHI USEC GE Nuclear URENCO CAMECO AECL
No. 3 worldwideNo. 2 in Plants / Fuel
1328
W
T
Westinghouse+ Toshiba
HITACHI
Front end (excl. fuel) Reactors & Services + Fuel Back end
> Group Overview – November 20065
MINING
CHEMISTRY
ENRICHMENT
FUELFABRICATION
REACTORS
OTHER SOURCESOF ELECTRIC POWER
TRANSMISSION
DISTRIBUTION
USED FUELMANAGEMENT
RECYCLINGMOX FUELFABRICATION
SERVICES
AREVA is present on each segmentin its businesses
STMicroelectronics*(11% via holdings)
Eramet* (26%)
Investments
SAFRAN (7.4%)
* Consolidated at xx%
Energy
5
34% in AREVA NP
> Group Overview – November 20066
2005 Key data by division
Current operating income by division
€746M
Sales by division€10,125M
Transmission & Distribution Front-End
Reactors & Services
Front-End
Back-End
Transmission & Distribution
19%
32% 26%
23%
Back-End
28%
12%
47%
13%
Reactors & Services
> Group Overview – November 20067
Sales €10,125M(+3.7% like-for-like*)
Strong organic growth
Current operating income €746M / 7.4% of sales(+1.5% vs. 2004**)
Stable overall – Improvement in T&D
Consolidated net income €1,049M****(+133% vs. 2004*)
Up significantly, due in particular to sale of FCI
Free operating cash flow €783M(stable vs. 2004*)
Stable at exceptionally high level
Net debt €268M(vs. €566M at 01.01.05)
Financial structure remains very strong
Dividend proposed to AGM*** of May 2, 2006 €9.87Dividend up 2.9% compared with 2004
Key financial data
Comparable exchange rates and consolidated group. ** Adjusted for FCI disposal *** Annual General Meeting of Shareholders **** Includes net income from the disposal of FCI in 2005 representing €528M
> Group Overview – November 20068
A strong balance sheet
0.92.4
1.4 2.5
4.64.9
0.2
4.46.5
2.2
Assets Liabilities
Goodwill
Fixed assets
End-of-life-cycleassets
Financial assets
Shareholders’equity
Minority interests
Provisionsfor end-of-life-cycleobligations
Other provisions
WCR
Net debt*0.588 incl. 1.08 for Siemens ** put
Shares of associates
= 15.3 =
(*): Net debt = financial debt including interest-bearing advances + minority interest holders’ puts - HFT securities - fin. current account assets** : Siemens 34% share in AREVA NP
In billions of euros
At 6/30/2006
> Group Overview – November 20069
Capital structure
CEA + FRENCH STATE + ERAP
87%
Investment CertificateHolders (free float)
4%
Total
1%
Employees
2%
EDF
2%
CDC
4%
o/w 15%
in a CEA decommissioningfund
> Group Overview – November 200610
Agenda
10
1. Group’s overview
2. Market trends for electrical sector
3. Strategy and objectives
4. Outlook
> Group Overview – November 200611
Worldwide demand for electricityto double by 2030
Worldwide electric power generation (in TWh)
2004 – Worldwide distribution of
electric power mix
$10,000bn Investments expected in the electricity sector
$5,600bn in the T&D sector
$4,400bn in generationcapacities
Sources: IEA-Energy Information (2006), IEA-World Energy Outlook (2004), WNA 2005
Oil7%
Renew.19%
Nuclear16%
Coal39%
Nat. Gas19%
0
5 000
10 000
15 000
20 000
25 000
30 000
35 000
1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
gross TWh
AFRICA / MIDDLE EAST
NORTH / SOUTH AMERICA
EUROPE
ASIA / OCEANIA
1971-2004 : + 3.7% /year 2004 - 2030 : + 2.3% /year
> Group Overview – November 200612
Global warming: a serious long term challenge
CO2 Concentration in Ice Core Samples andProjections for Next 100 Years
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
550
600
650
700
Years Before Present
Vostok RecordIPCC IS92a ScenarioLaw Dome RecordMauna Loa Record
Current(2001)
Projected(2100)
0100,000200,000300,000400,000
Years before 1950
2002
19001958
CO2 concentration in ice core sample and projection until 2100
Unit: CO2 (ppm/v)
Projection for 2100
> Group Overview – November 200613
Nuclear power: a necessary part of the solutionfor power generation for 4 main reasons
Nuclear doesn’t release CO2:no greenhouse effect1.
2.
3.
4.
Low price of generationand virtually immune to uranium price fluctuations
Fossil resources are limitedand uranium conventional resources are 200 times 2005 demandEnergy self-sufficiency:uranium is present in stable countries
60%
27%
14%
Operations & Maintenance
Fuelo/w 6% for uraniumInvestment &
Decommisioning / spent fuel management
Nuclear MWh cost split
Average MWh cost for new plants (Europe) CO2 emission / MWh generated (in kg)
Nuclear (uranium @ 40$/lbU3O8) € 30 6
HydropowerCombined cycle gas (@ 6$/Mbtu)WindCoal (@ 50$/ton CIF)OilSolar
€ 30€ 45€ 50€ 40
€ 100> € 450
4427
3 to 22978891
60 to 150
Sources: AREVA based upon EDF, Ampere Commission, Study for Finnish parliament, UK Royal Academy See appendix 1
> Group Overview – November 200614
Priorities in Nuclear for next decades
1. Improve performances of the existing reactors2. Extend life duration: e.g 44 of the 103 US reactors already licensed for 60 y
3. Replace existing reactors: 30% of WW capacity 4. Increase the installed capacity:
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
2004 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
740
640
524
418390
WW nuclear installed capacity forecasts (GWe)
+ 7 %
WNA 2005 - highWNA 2005 - central
IAEA - highIAEA - low
US DOE-EIA - highUS DOE – EIA - central
+ 90 %
Construction neededbefore 2030
30 - 360 GWe120 GWe
150 - 470 GWe(i.e. ~120 - 400 reactors)
> Group Overview – November 200615
Market size evolution
35 36 35 36
4042
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
(in billion euros)
Constant T&D market growth
+5%
Average growth ~3-5%
Average growth 00-05: ~3,7%
Mid termForecast
> Group Overview – November 200616
Agenda
16
1. Group’s overview
2. Market trends for electrical sector
3. Strategy and objectives
4. Outlook
> Group Overview – November 200617
AREVA is the only fully integrated playeron the Nuclear value chain
* Publicly traded company ** Compared to 2004, uranium market decreased in 2005 due to the diminution of tails assay which had implied an increase of the enrichment market *** SWU : Separative Work Unit
2005
Mar
ket
CAM
ECO*
UREN
CO
USEC
*
AREV
A
BNFL
/BNG
Gene
ral E
lect
ric*
OTHE
R
Conversion/Chemistry
Enrichment
Natural Uraniumfuel (UO2)
Reactors & Services
Reprocessing
Recycling& MOX fuel
20%
20% 25%
20%
25%
25%
30%
30%
70%
80%
BNFL, URENCOshareholder
30%
25%
25% (2)
25%
25%
20%
20%
10%
5%
20%
10%
5%
30%
JNFLin 2008 (3)
67,000 t
66,000 tU
41m SWUs ***
6,800 t
€ 11 b
1,550 t
185 t
FRO
NT
END
BA
CK
EN
D
Mining / Natural Uranium**
FAAE
(Rus
sie)
1%
20%
10%
10%(Hitachi, MHI)
30%
(1) USEC sells natural uranium and conversion services but has no production capacities
(2) In April 2005, the BNFL reprocessing plant has been stopped. An assessment of restart and non-restart options is still on-going.
(3) The JNFL reprocessing plant (800 t) and the Mox plant (130 t) should be in service in 2008 and 2014 respectively.
(4) The shutdown of Belgonuclear Mox plant in Dessel (Belgium) is planned for 2006
Tosh
iba
/ W
estin
ghou
se
5% (1)
5% (1) 5%
19% (4) (Belgonuclear)
JNFLin 2014 (3)
> Group Overview – November 200618
AREVA installed 26% of the worldwideexisting generating capacityMWe installed
(nr of reactors)
120,000
100,000
80,000
60,000
40,000
20,000
0
FRA
BW
SIE
AREVA(91)
(69)
(7)
(15)
(6)(1)
GE
(50)
FAAEVVER
(53)AECL
(31)
Wes
tingh
ouseToshiba*
(79)
(17)
Mitsubishi*
(18)Doosan*
(8)
(14)
(9)
ABB
Hitachi*
(12)
ABB
Source: AREVA
PWR BWR PHWR
* Licensed by: Westinghouse to Mitsubishi and Doosan G.E. to Hitachi/Toshiba ** Following Framatome's purchase of the commercial reactors business from B&W at the end of the 1990s, AREVA
may be considered as the preferred service partner for these reactors in the United States, although it is not liable as a constructor
> Group Overview – November 200619
Front End division -Key issues and priorities
in millions of euros 2003* 2004** 2005**
Sales revenues 2,683 2,524 2,631
Operating income 316 370 374% Sales 11.8% 14.7% 14.2%
Op. FCF before tax 340 106 197
Nr 1 worldwide in the overall front-endIntegrated player: possible one-stop shopping for utilitiesHightly recurrent sales - >3 years backlogPositive trend on market pricesexcept fuel Increase in electricity price could penalize margin in Enrichment
Strengths & issues
Double uranium production after 2010 and increase resources
Take advantage of price increasein our new mining contracts
Switch to uranium enrichment by centrifuge: €2.5bn capex over 2006-2018
Flexibility of our fuel plants
Increase market shares in fuel in the US and Asia
Key financials Strategic priorities
Sales – 2005 split
* French Gaap** IFRS
28%
11%
19%
42%
Mining
Chemistry
Enrichment
Fuel*(* 34%
in AREVA NP)
> Group Overview – November 200620
Mining: production and exploration set to grow
KazakhstanProduction set to increase sharply in 2006
Exploration program continues
CanadaCigar Lake startupin 2007Encouraging results in exploration (Shea Creek and Millenium)
NigerIncrease in production capacity
FinlandPermit to be issued before summer 2006
Production (metric tons of U)
~ 6,000
10,000 / 12,000
Production2005
Production2010
ExplorationProduction
> Group Overview – November 200621
Enrichment: the GB-II program
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
2009 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018
GB-II plant: ramp up scheduleAREVA anticipated the sharp increase of electricity cost
Decision to move to the centrifuge technologyJV with Urenco into ETC (closing july 3rd 2006)Cash-out H2 2006: €400 millions
Construction of the GB-II modular plant
Startup in 2009, to reach7.5 MSWU/year by 2018
Ultimate capacity based on market conditions
Resources to meet 2006-2012 commitments have been secured
> Group Overview – November 200622
CAPEX growing faster in the Front End since 2004
93126
196239
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006-2010E
~ 2.6 billions over the period
in millions of euros
> Group Overview – November 200623
Reactors & Services division -Key issues and priorities
Be a long term partner for utilities to optimize reactor performance
Reinforce our position of N°1 reactor designer
Support the life extension of existing reactors (US, Europe, …)Market our EPR reactor
Increase margins in recurring business (first Gen III dilute margin)
~100 GW installed capacity WW – 25% total85% sales are recurring and 15% concern projects (new reactors and plant modification) The only company to have Gen.III reactors under construction (Finland, France)Some growing areas not open to AREVA (Japan, Korea, India, …)
Strengths & issues
Key financials
in millions of euros 2003* 2004** 2005**
Sales revenues 2,124 2,146 2,348
Operating income 52 95 87% Sales 2.4% 4.4% 3.7%
Op. FCF before tax 145 82 228
Strategic priorities
Sales – 2005 split
* French Gaap** IFRS
7%6%13%
10%
31%
33%
Nuclear measures
Reactors*
Services*
Equipment*
Technicatome
IS
(* 34%in AREVA NP)
> Group Overview – November 200624
Growth in recurring business, with a strong increase in market share in the United States
Sales revenue from recurring business in the United States
(in $M)
Sales revenue from recurring business (Plants / Services / Equipment)
(in €M)
0
200
400
600
800
1 000
1 200
1 400
1 600
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
Plants (recurring) Services Equipment
,
,
,
,
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
> Group Overview – November 200625
Contractsfor duplicationof the Ling Ao nuclear plant (2nd Generation)
Partenariat avec Constelation « UNISTAR »Certification lancée Démarrage prévu avant 2010
Tender submitted in February 2005 for 4 EPR reactorsOfficial decision expected
Partnership with Constellation: "UNISTAR"Licensing process started Startup scheduled before 2010
2005:Preliminary design End of public debatePlanning 2006-2012
2003: Contract2005: Certification
& License
Plants: current projects and tenders
NSSSNuclear islandTurnkey plants / Consortiums Primary coolant loop
25
Total Capex for theutility - $ (base 100) ~ 55 ~ 30 ~ 10
> Group Overview – November 200626
Update on performance of the OL3 contract
BackgroundFirst Generation III reactor under construction worldwide
Only reactor involving safety authorities during the design phase
Contract sets tight cost and schedule terms
Specific requirements of the Finnish approval process: technical documentation approval (customer) and detailed design approval (Safety Authority) as the work progresses
Financial impact: the group recorded a significant provision in H1 2006
Steps taken
New project teams director
Coordination of dedicated group resources under the direct authority of the Chief Operating Officer
Ongoing discussions with the customers to remedy current difficulties
Strengthened support so that the suppliers can more quickly achieve the level of quality required for nuclear projects
> Group Overview – November 200627
Outlook for future EPR sales
OL3 construction gives the group unique experiencein the worldwide market for Generation III reactors
The group will supply the nuclear island and instrumentation& control systems for the Flamanville EPR
Unistar deployment: Constellation Energy has reserved production capacities for heavy equipment for the firstUS-EPR reactor
AREVA is actively negotiating with several other customers
> Group Overview – November 200628
Back End division -Key issues and priorities
Nr 1 worldwide with >75% market shareHighly recurrent sales due to long term contracts: backlog runs through 2015More than 8,000 mt of spent fuelin La Hague waiting for reprocessing(i.e 8 y of production)Main investments completed Technology transfer through long term partnership: e.g Japan (Rokkasho Mura)
Renew reprocessing and recycling contracts
Optimize industrial efficiency of the two main plants (La Hague and Melox)
Market closed-cycle technologies WWManage the end of technology transfer with JapanParticipate in the new US back-end policyPromote our Gen 3 integratedprocessing-recyclng plant concept
Strengths & issues
Strategic priorities
Sales – 2005 split
Key financials
in millions of euros 2003* 2004** 2005**
Sales revenues 2,023 1,946 1,921
Operating income 155 231 208% Sales 7.7% 11.8% 10.8%
Op. FCF before tax 509 603 332
* French Gaap** IFRS
Logistics
CleanupEngineering
Treatment-Recycling
6%4%
9%
81%
> Group Overview – November 200629
New US policy orientation early 2006, regarding used fuel management
Global Nuclear Energy Partnership announced at the beginning of 2006
Recycling is recognized as a sustainable solution that uses uranium resources more efficiently
International system proposed to increase non-proliferation guarantees through
Nuclear fuel supplyRecycling of used fuel
AREVA (leader), Washington Group International (WGI) and BWX Technologies Inc. (BWXT) respond to the US-DOE’s request for Expressions of Interest regarding:
Development and deployment of an integrated Treatment/Recycling plantConstruction of an Advanced Burner Reactor (ABR)
> Group Overview – November 200630
T&D division -Key issues and priorities
A full fledged player: products & solutionsfor high and medium voltage technologies
A global sales force in over 100 countries
Focus on electrical utilities: N°2 WW
Strong presence in Europe: N°2
Lost momentum before acquisition by Arevain 2004
Restore profitability up to the peersin 2007
Change the industrial footprintOptimize and refocus the productportfolio Reduce costs and makeproductivity efforts
Increase our presence in growing areasBoost internal profitable growthSelective external growth
Strengths & issues
Key financials
in millions of euros 2004* 2005*
Sales revenues 3,186 3,211
Current Op. inc. 39 103% Sales 1.2% 3.2%Op. income (103) (61)
Op. FCF before tax (12) 116* IFRS
Strategic priorities
Sales – 2005 split
Products
Systems
Automation& information
Services
15%15% 38%
32%
> Group Overview – November 200631
2004-2007 optimization plan is successful
Refocusing on core business completed in 2005
Industrial restructuring in Europe (France, Germany, UK) completed
~290 million euros in cumulative restructuring expenses through 6/30/2006
2002 2003 2004 2005H1 2006
Current operating income(in % of sales revenue)
New orders(in millions of euros)
January 2004: Acquisition by AREVA
1.0% 1.2%
5.0% 2,9333,162
3,3175.9%
3,708
3.2%
> Group Overview – November 200632
Internal and external growth strategy
Construction of a new AREVA Switchgear Company plant in Xiamen(China)
Establishment of AREVAXiamen Vacuum Interrupter Company, a vacuum circuit breaker manufacturing JV
Acquisition of RITZ high voltage: AREVA becomes the world leaderin instrument transformers
Ongoing investmentin high-growth countries (China, India)
Investmentin capacity
GermanyFranceTurkey
U.S. CHINAXiamen
INDIAEUROPE
> Group Overview – November 200633
Agenda
33
1. Group’s overview
2. Market trends for electrical sector
3. Strategy and objectives
4. Outlook
> Group Overview – November 200634
2006 outlook
Sales revenue growth
Operating income close to the level reached in 2005Despite significant impact of OL3 project
Thanks to contribution from other activities, expected to increase
Sharply negative free operating cash flow before tax due to:
Sharp increase in Capex scheduled for H2 2006 Use of customer advances
> Group Overview – November 200635
5 year objectives
Reach market share representing one third of the world’s nuclear market, with double-digit margin
Acquire a significant position in CO2-free power generationBe one of the most profitable leaders on the T&D marketTake advantage of opportunities
Appendix 1Nuclear: a necessary part of the solution
> Group Overview – November 200637
How to provide energy to growing population?
Energy situation in 1850-2000-2100 (WEC 98)
“Bus
ines
s as u
sual”
Conservation &
Solidarity
Average scenario
Source: World Energy Council 1998
> Group Overview – November 200638
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
1990 a1 a2 a3 B c1 c2
Coal Oil Gas Nuclear H+New
b2050
Gtoe
9
25
20
14
Primary Energy sources 1990-2050 according to the World Energy Council
* * * * * *
*a: strong growth & increase of wealth and productivityb: medium trendc: priority to ecology Source: Scenarii WEC-IIASA 1998
> Group Overview – November 200639
Favorable position of nuclear is confirmed by the life cycle analysis of energy sourcesby the World Energy Council, sydney 2004
FFFFFMUUAcceptability of energy(impacts on externalenvironment)
UUFFMMMFEnergy availability(security and reliabilityof supply)
UUFFMMMFComptetitiveness(linket to direct energy costs)
BiomassGasOilCoal
SunWindHydroNuclearType of fuel burnedImportant decision-making
criteria
Relative rank based on selected decision-making criteriaFavorableenergy sourceF M Medium/neutral
energy source U Unfavorableenergy source
Source: AREVA based on World Energy Council report of July 2004 “Comparison of Energy Systems Using Life Cycle Analysis
> Group Overview – November 200640
Nuclear is being consideredas the most competitive source of electricity
in base load, in competition with coal
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
N C G N C G N C G N C G N C G N C G N C G N C G N C G N C G N C G N C G
Canada USA CzechRepublic
Finland France Germany TheNetherlands
SlovakRepublic
Switzerland Romania Japan SouthKorea
Inv O&M Fuel$2003/MWh
OECD 2005 Study - Mean levelised cost of electricityin base load (5% discounting)
> Group Overview – November 200641
Projected cost of nuclear electricity in Europe is competitive with other baseload technologies
Levelized electricity generation costsin four recent European studies (€/MWh)
Belgium 2000*** Finland 2000** France 2003 UK 2004* AREVA adjustments asserting realistic / present fossile resources prices** Most recent values as of April 2001 prices by Tarjanne & Rissanen*** For Belgium, O&M costs are not separate from capital investment
See next slides for assumptions
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40N
ucle
ar
CC
GT
Coa
l
Nuc
lear
CC
GT
Coa
l
Nuc
lear
CC
GT
Coa
l
Nuc
lear
CC
GT
Coa
l
Invest. O&M
Fuel Taxes R&D45 35.8 €/MWh*
if uranium @
40$/lbU3O8
45.1 €/MWh* if gas @6$/MBtu
39.2 €/MWh* if coal @
45$/ton CIF
36.9 €/MWh* if gas @6$/MBtu
29.8 €/MWh* if uranium @40$/lbU3O8
> Group Overview – November 200642
Recent European studiesA. Nuclear power generation data
FranceFinlandBelgium UK
5 years5 years5 years-Lead time
n.a36.1%35%33%Efficiency
€5/MWhe€4.40/MWhe
based on $20/lb U3O8
€3/MWhe€9.40 (2010) to
€11.50 (2030)/kWheFuel cost
7.5%8%7%5%Discount rate
€61.50/kW/year€5.09/kW/year + €0.61/MWh
€26.20/kW/yr + €3.40/MWh-O&M
€1,730/kWe without IDC
€1,413/kWe without IDC
€1,749/kWe incl. IDC
€1,686/kWe incl. IDC
Invest. Overnight
60 years
90.3%
EPR (LWR) 1,600MWe
series of 10
DGEMP study (2003)
40 years
91%
PWR1,250 MW
Lappeenranta University
(2000)
40 years
85%
PWR1,300 MW
Ampere Commission
(2000)
40 yearsService life
n.aLoad factor
1,000 MWReactor
Royal Academy of Engineering
(2004)Study data
> Group Overview – November 200643
Recent European studiesB. CCGT power generation data
Gas price
-- 2 years
60%55%55-65%
€3.10 to 3.30 (long term)/GJ€3/GJ€3.50 (2010) to
€6/GJ (2030)
7.5%7%5%
€450/kWe€572/kWe incl. IDC€496/kWe
€8.58/kW/year + €0.30/MWh
25 years
91%
400 MW
Lappeenranta University
(2002)
-
20 years
85.5%
460 MW
Ampere Commission
(2000)
37.5 €/kW/year
25 years
n.d.
786 MWCapacity
Royal Academy of Engineering
(2004)
2 yearsLead time
59.1%Efficiency
€3.30(reference) to
$3.60/MBtu
8%Discount rate
€18.20/kW/year + €3.05/MWhO&M
€505/kWeInvest. Overnight
25 years
94.9%
900 MWe
DGEMP study (2003)
FranceFinlandBelgium
Service life
Load factor
Study data
UK
> Group Overview – November 200644
Recent European studiesC. Pulverized coal power generation data
4 years--
40%41%43%
€2.10/GJ€1.17/GJ€1.80/GJ
7.5%7%5%
€36/kW/year€16.30/kW/yr + €5/MWh-
€1,290/kWe€814/kWe incl. IDC€1,165/kWe
25 years
91%
500 MW
30 years
84%
300 MW
30 years
n.d.
1,600 MW
Coal price
Lappeenranta University
(2002)
Ampere Commission
(2000)
Capacity
Royal Academy of Engineering
(2004)
3 yearsLead time
46-47%Efficiency
$30 to 35/MT CIF ARA
8%Discount rate
€26/kW/year + €2.30/MWhO&M
€1,100/kWeInvest. Overnight
35 years
90.2%
2x900 MW
DGEMP study (2003)
FranceFinlandBelgium
Service life
Load factor
Study data
UK
> Group Overview – November 200645
Nuclear power is a recent source of energyProduction increases faster than installed capacity
0
500
1 000
1 500
2 000
2 500
3 000
1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005
Gross TWhSOUTH AFRICA
N / S AMERICA
EUROPE
ASIA / OCEANIA
∆ 89/05 1989–2005 CAGRProduction +42% +2.2%Capacity +21% +1.2%
15% of the world’s
electricity generationin 2005 (~18,340 TWh)
Worldwide nuclear power generation (in TWh)
% of WW 2005 generation
0.5%
19.9%
34.1%
45.6%
Sources: IEA/OCDE (1990), Nucleonics Week (1995-2005)
> Group Overview – November 200646
Improve existing reactor performance
55
65
75
85
95
1988
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
USA
WORLD
%
FRANCE
JAPAN
Capacity factor of main nuclear contries (in %)
> Group Overview – November 200647
Improved security of supply with Uranium
Developed countries and China depend largely on oil & gas supplied from unstable areas
Uranium OilGas
Sources: Areva, IEA
North America
30%
13%
27%
Russia
8%11%22%
Vénézuela 4%
Mexico 5%
Algéria 3%
Niger 6%
8%
Ousbékistan 5%
Australia
20%
Indonesia
3%
China
4%
15%
42%
40%
Other
Kazakhstan:13% in 2025
70% of oil reservesand 40% of gas
reserves
Namibia
8%
Middle East
21%
5%
Key areas of production (in % of global production)
> Group Overview – November 200648
Conventional fissile resources representmore than 200 years of 2006 world demand
General total of conventional resources: 14,750 000 tWorld demand in 2006: less than 70,000 t
Resources: > 200 times 2006 demand
10.04.75General total
Subtotal
> 130
80 to 130
40 to 80
< 40
15 to 25
7.5
2.9
4.6
SpeculativeResources
2.52
?
0.82
1.7
PrognosticatedResources
2
1.45
-
0.29
0.36
0.80
InferredResources
1
3.30
-
0.65
0.70
1.95
ReasonablyAssured
Resources
Cost of recovery$/kgU
Unconventional
Conventional
CATEGORY of Uranium resources (million tons = Mt)
Source: Nuclear Energy Agency "Uranium 2005: Resources, Production and Demand"
+ With Gen IV Fast Breeder Reactor, resources are virtually unlimited
1 Based on direct geologicalevidence
2 Based on indirect geologicalevidence
3 Extrapolated values
3
Identified (deposits) Undiscovered
> Group Overview – November 200649
1,062
766774
398
5 3 70
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
lignit
e
coal fue
l
CCGT
hydro
Nuclea
r
Wind
tonn
es C
O2e
q/G
Whe
l
Nuclear saves about 20% CO2 emission in Power generation, and 10% of WW overall emissions
CO2 emission by energy source (Source: WEC, July 2004)
Hydro16%
Oil7%
Nat. Gas20%
Coal40%
Nuc16%
Other2%
Source: IAE Key World Energy Statistics 2006
2,460Avoided
10,363
PowerGeneration
CO2 emission
2,460 Avoided
26,583*
Total CO2 emissions
Worldwide CO2 emissions in 2004 (M t CO2)
Electricity Mix
Source:IAE 2004 outlook & Key World Energy Statistics 2006
* including aviation & marine bunkers
24% CO2saving
Source: World Energy Council / entire life cycle analysis, Special report July 2004 (lowest values)
> Group Overview – November 200650
Nuclear has internalized most of its costs and generated few external costs
for the environment
3250
31 33 24
1419
551
4
0102030405060708090
100
Coal Wind Gas Biomass Nuclear
Total costin €/MWh*
External costs *
Production costs (source: Finnish study)
87
5150 47
28
Indirect external costs: Impact on climate (CO2)Impact on healthImpact on the environment
* Source “EXTERNE” study, EC 2001, calculating the indirect costs (impact on climate, health or physical impact) of different power generation sources
> Group Overview – November 200651
Nuclear generating cost per MWhfor the EPR
13%54%
6%27%
Operations andmaintenance
Front end
Back end
Amortization &depreciation
11%
32%
3%
49%
Design-Fabrication
Natural uranium*
Generating cost perMWh of the EPR
Enrichment
Conversion
* For a uranium concentrate price around $40 / lbU3O8
Appendix 2Situation regarding nuclear in the various regions
> Group Overview – November 200653
The nuclear power fleet: 444 plants in operation in 2005 and several tens in construction
or planned, mainly in Asia
1 1 0
134
Western Europe
30 256
91
Asia10 22917
India & Pakistan
5 5 16
70
CEI & Eastern Europe
0 129
2
Africa
North & SouthAmerica
1 1 13
130
ConsideredUnder construction PlannedIn operation
> Group Overview – November 200654
Installed capacity in main countries
2005 2004 2005 2004
France* 65.9 65.6 450.6 447.6Germany 21.4 21.4 162.1 167.1Russia 23.2 23.2 146.8 142.9United Kingdom** 12.8 12.8 82.0 82.7Ukraine 13.9 13.9 88.8 85.4Sweden 9.2 9.8 70.5 77.3Spain 7.9 7.9 57.5 63.7Belgium 6.1 6.1 47.6 47.3Finland 2.8 2.9 23.3 22.7Other 18.1 18.0 127.3 130.0
TOTAL 181.2 181.6 1,256.5 1,266.5
* Excluding Phoenix, considered a research reactor.** 2005 data unavailable for British Energy. Data based on 2004 production.Source: Nucleonics Week, February 2006, restated by AREVA.
Gross capacity(GWe)
Gross generation(TWh)
2005 2004 2005 2004
Canada 15.0 16.1 92.5 91United States 105.7 102.6 817.9 822.6Mexico 1.4 1.5 10.8 9.2Brazil 2.0 2.0 9.8 11.5Argentina 1.0 1.0 6.9 8.2
TOTAL 125 123.2 937.8 942.6
Source: Nucleonics Week, February 2006, restated by AREVA.
Gross capacity(GWe)
Gross generation(TWh)
2005 2004 2005 2004
Japan 48.9 47.4 287.9 282.0China 7.0 7.0 53.1 49.6India 3.3 2.7 17.6 16.9South Korea 17.7 17.7 145.6 129.6Taiwan 5.1 5.1 40.0 39.5Pakistan 0.5 0.5 2.6 2.1
TOTAL 83.5 80.4 546.8 519.6
Source: Nucleonics Week, February 2006, restated by AREVA.
Gross capacity(GWe)
Gross generation(TWh)
> Group Overview – November 200655
Electricity prices increased by more than 100% over3 years in Europe and US
Evolution of electricity prices
Source : Platts
> Group Overview – November 200656
The generation capacities in developed countries will need to be replaced
More than 500 GWe to be constructed before 2030In
stal
led
capc
ity(G
We)
Shutdown profile of thermal capacities presently under operation in EU 15Sources: EDF, EURELECTRIC
20400
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
2010 2020 2030
Nuclear
CoalGas
OtherOil
Lignite
An ageing coal based fleet in the USA
28 y28 y
38 y20 y
14 y 13 y27 y 19 y
0200400600800
1000
100-499 500-999 >1000
Fleet's average age (per class of capacity)
Num
ber
of u
nits
Nuclear
CoalGas
Source PowerDAT – June 2004
MW MW MW
> Group Overview – November 200657
The nuclear market: 444 reactors under operation in 2005, i.e 392 GWe of installed capacity across 31 countries
Asia-Pacific
FSU & Eastern Europe
Africa
Americas
125 GWe – 130 reactors
938 TWh by nuke in 2005
% in the mix: 18%
181 GWe – 204 reactors
1,256 TWh by nuke in 2005
% in the mix: 25%
84 GWe – 108 reactors
547 TWh by nuke in 2005
% in the mix: 9%
2 reactors in South Africa
% in the RSA mix: 6%
5,000 to 10,000 MWe needed by 2010
Canada: Ontario energy plan, June 2006 –Revamping of Pickering and Darlington – New reactor construction – Nuclear power must be the main component of the energy mix by 2025
United States: 16 COL applications contemplated (or being prepared) to build at least 24 reactors. Back end of the cycle: GNEP program lauched
Argentina: The government provides details of its nuclear investment program: complete Atucha II, extend the operating life of Embaiseand feasibility study for a 4th reactor
Mexico: the Deputy Secretary for Electricity announces that a call for tender for a new reactor could be issued in 2008
Brazil: The Minister of Science and Technology announces that Angra III would be completed and that the country will build up to 7 more reactors
Western Europe
> Group Overview – November 200658
Americans Are Becoming More Favorable to Nuclear Energy
Source: NEI
> Group Overview – November 200659
The nuclear market: 444 reactors under operation in 2005, i.e 392 GWe of installed capacity across 31 countries
UK: Energy Review is complete – Strategic role of nuclearpower confirmed. Government proposals expected in November 2006
France: EDF begins construction of Flamanville 3 EPR
Portugal: Prime Minister Jose Socrates requests a national debate on nuclear power
Russia: Rosatom Chairman S. Kirienko sets a goal of building 42 to 58 reactors by 2030. Rosenergoatom plans to startconstruction of 7 reactors in 2007
Baltic States: Multilateral agreement in February to build a reactor in Lituania
Turkey: Declaration of intent for 3 reactors by 2011
181 GWe – 204 reactors
1,256 TWh by nuke in 2005
% in the mix: 25%
FSU & Eastern Europe
Western Europe
> Group Overview – November 200660
The nuclear market: 444 reactors under operation in 2005, i.e 392 GWe of installed capacity across 31 countries
South Africa: Decision to build 5,000 to 10,000 MW of nuclear power capacity
China: project to duplicate two Ling Ao type Gen II reactors is launched
India: Signature of treaty with the United States / progress in bilateral discussions with France
Vietnam: Feasibility study expected in 2008 for later selection of a nuclear reactor supplier
Australia: Australian Nuclear Review is launched – Report expected by the end of 2006
Asia-Pacific
FSU & Eastern Europe
Americas
125 GWe – 130 reactors
938 TWh by nuke in 2005
% in the mix: 18%
181 GWe – 204 reactors
1,256 TWh by nuke in 2005
% in the mix: 25%
84 GWe – 108 reactors
547 TWh by nuke in 2005
% in the mix: 9%
Western Europe
> Group Overview – November 200661
Nuclear acceptability 2005 poll
Support to nuclear generation
Nuclear is a safetechnology: build
new reactors
None of followinganswers
28%
12%2%
34%
Use existingcapacities but don’t
build new ones
No answer
25%
Nuclear is dangerous, close all the plants
Source: AIEA, oct 2005, Global Public Opinion on nuclear issues
Appendix 3Front End business details
> Group Overview – November 200663
Uranium: secondary resources will dwindlein the middle term
Consumption of Market Economy World
World supply and demand
Supply:
Demand:
Fresh productionHEU
RecyclingInventory drawdown
> Group Overview – November 200664
Uranium: secondary resources will dwindlein the middle term
Consumption of Market Economy World
World supply and demandRecent trend in uranium spot price indices (USD)
Source: TradeTech.Spot USD LT USD
10
20
30
40
50
60
janv-03 juil-03 janv-04 juil-04 janv-05 juil-05 janv-06 juil-06
> Group Overview – November 200665
Uranium spot prices increasing, still low impact on our long term contracts revenues
Visible price pressures: + 78% in 2005 after + 42% in 2004Highest: ~$40/lb U3O8 (1978)Lowest: ~$ 5/lb U3O8 (1971)End of September 2006: $ 53 lb U3O8
Partial effects starting 2005 sales due to long term contracts
The Group’s total mineral resources in the ground thus come to nearly 330,000 MT of uranium. Reserves remained almost stable at approximately 140,500 MT.
$0
$20
$40
$60
$80
$100
$120
69 71 73 75 77 79 81 83 85 87 89 91 93 95 97 99 01 03 05
US$
/lb U
3O8
Source: 1969-1986 Nuexco Exchange Value, 1987-Present Ux U3O8 Price.
Source: The Ux Consulting Company, LLC.
> Group Overview – November 200666
Front end: in mining, the topthree players represent 50% of world productionWorldwide natural uranium production in 2005 [in metric tons of uranium]
North America
Kazakhstan
Australia
Niger
AREVA
CAMECO
RIO TINTOBHP BILITON
KAZATOMPROM
NAVOI
TVEL
Uzbékistan
Russia
Namibia
1 950
3 5104 290
3,300
OTHERS
Others: 5,930 t
3,6978,239
2,6004,100
38
3,148
3,5505,006
108
6,019
2,281
Total: 42,000 MTU 8,3472,600
5,930
3,300
5,0063,148 3,550
4,100
RTZ-CRA
> Group Overview – November 200667
Mining: sensivity to market pricewill be more significant after 2008
2006 2007 2008 > 2009
BacklogTotal: 53 000 metric tonsBacklog at 12/31/05:
5 years of sales
Sensitivity to market price(assuming no change in volumevs. 2005)
12 000 MT
Deliveries 2006-2008
Deliveries after 2008
Exposureto market price after 2005
< 40% > 60%
Increase in the cost of resources is expected
Uranium provides significant marketing leverage Growing cross-fertilization between the various components of the fuel cycle More than one third of all new orders in 2004-2005 involve at leasttwo components
> Group Overview – November 200668
Front End: in uranium Enrichment,AREVA meets 25% of the worldwide growing demand
* Central and Eastern European Countries
Other
Asia
North America
CEEC* - not eligible for EU
CEEC* eligible for EU memb.
Other Western Europe and South Africa
France
05,000
10,00015,00020,00025,00030,00035,00040,00045,000
2000 2005 2010 2015 2020
kSWU
+ ~5 million SWU
Demand: ~40 million SWUWorldwide capacity:
~40 million SWU
Start of production at GB II plant
Possible shut downof GB I plant
Average growth exceeds 0.5% / year
> Group Overview – November 200669
Enrichment Construction of Georges Besse II has begun
Cash-out: ~€400M in H2 2006
(operating cash flow)
ETC closing on July 3, 2006
ETC (JV)
R&D and Technology
Centrifuge designand
manufacturing
50% 50%
33% 33% 33%
BNFL NL Gov’t.
RWE+E.on
SET - GBII Enrichment
UEC - URENCOEnrichment
URENCO(Holding)
> Group Overview – November 200670
Enrichment: resources to meet 2006-2012 commitments have been secured
Enrichment in 2005 (in millions of SWU) Processing contracts
For 50% of the sales (EDF, Suez) electricity is provided by the customer on a pass-through basis
Other enrichment servicesNegotiations under way regardingthe price of energy after 2005The Group has secured resourcesto meet delivery commitmentsin 2006-2012
~ 5
~12~ 5
To inventory
ResourcesSales
Other export customers
Production with pass-through power supply
(EDF, Suez)
The GB-II plant is scheduled to begin production in 2009
40% of the world’s enrichment capacity uses the gaseous diffusion process, where electricity represent 60% of the production cost.Therefore, the SWU price could become more sensitive to electricityprice
> Group Overview – November 200671
Georges Besse I Georges Besse IIA transparent transition for customers
Années2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
GB IGB I GB IIGB II
2014 2015 2016
Transition ManagementInventories constitution
EURODIF (GB I) stopping Start and GBII production increase
> Group Overview – November 200672
Fuel: in 2005, almost 45% of all PWR and BWRreactors in operation worldwide were fueled by AREVA
Number of reactors fueled by AREVA
2 2 2
2001 2005 2010E
North & South AmericaStrong growth in the US over a five-year periodBacklog for 2010 already covers 32 reactors
EuropeDecrease due to the openingof the French market
AsiaGradual penetration
in Asia, where the market is protected
96 93 83
2001 2005 2010E
Africa
Potential market: 108 reactors
Potential market: 111 reactors
Potential market: 86 reactors
11 14 15
2001 2005 2010E
2228
43
2001 2005 2010E
Potential market: 2 reactors
Sources: IAEA and WNA, as of December 2005
Appendix 4Reactors & Services business details
> Group Overview – November 200674
Reactors and Services is mostly a recurring business
Servicing and operation of existing reactors
Large equipment replacement(vessel inspections, steam generators, etc.)
On-site maintenance services
Open-ended engineering services
Dismantling services
Reactor life extensionDesign, safety analysis and construction of new reactors and first reload
Completion of reactor construction to western safety standards (e.g. Russian-designed VVER)
Uprating, upgrading and life extension
Recurring
business
> 85%
of sales
% of 2005 sales Prospects
Service life extension for installed baseload in the US
Business development in U.S. and Asia
Strong European market share
Development of innovative contracting mechanisms such as “allliancing”
Non-recurring
business
< 15%
of sales
Near term: EPR construction in Finland (signed), first EPR in France, construction of Angra 3 in Brazil, involvement in Chinese nuclear power program
Long term (start of next decade): new construction likely in US (Bush plan), possible in Europe (replacement reactors starting in 2015), others
> Group Overview – November 200675
NPPs O&M costs in the US and Europeamount at 1 – 1,3 c$ / kWh today
1,25
1,5
1,75
2
2,25
2,5
2,75
3
3,25
3,5
1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002
Année
Ope
ratin
g co
st (i
nclu
ding
fuel
) US EDF
Operating Costs (O&M + Fuel) in France and the USAUSc/kWh
Year
Operating costs in 2002: 1.7 c$/kWh in the US and 1.4 c$/kWh in France, of which:
0.4 c$/kWh for fuel
1.3 c$/kWh in the US and 1.0 c$-c€/kWh in France for pure O&MSource: Nuclear Engineering International – december 2004 / AREVA – US dollar de 2001, 1 $ = 0,94 €
> Group Overview – November 200676
O&M recurring expensesshould remain stable and high
6
7
8
9
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007Year
Bill
ion
US$
Forecast
Trend in O&M expenses By the US nuclear utlities
Annual expenses1998-2007
US: around $8.5-9.0bn for a production in the range of 750 bn kWh / y
~0,4€ cents/kWh
Europe: maintenance, repare,spare parts replacement, recurringengineering and upgrade
Maintenance
OperatingTraining
Logisitcs...
40%
60%
~0,6€ cents/kWh
Est. €40-45 M/y for a typical1 000 MW PWR
> Group Overview – November 200677
A significant share of O&M expenses are outsourced by the utilities
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
EDF US (Navigant Consult.) US (Duke estimate)
FTE Internal FTE External
Full Time Equivalent workforce internal + external
for 1,000 MWe installed
The trend should amplifyin the coming years
Source: Nuclear Engineering International – december 2004 / AREVA
> Group Overview – November 200678
Main componentsof PWR coolant system
5
4
1
2
3
1 Reactor vessel
2 Control rod drive mechanisms
3 Steam generator
4 Reactor coolant pump
5 Pressurizer
78
> Group Overview – November 200679
PWR steam generator
Heat transfer surface: 4,700 to 7,000 square meters
mechanical effects of the circulating P and S flowschemical effects of the P and S fluidsnominal and transient temperatures and pressures on P and S sides
DUTY
nickel-based alloy (tubes),low internal alloy carbon steel (structures) with a stainless steel layer the water chamber (P side)
MATERIALS
height: 20 to 22 metersdiameter: 3.5 to 5 metersweight (empty): 300 to 420 metric tons
DIMENSIONS & WEIGHT:
FUNCTIONS
to transfer heat and ensure leak-tightness between the primary (P) and secondary (S) circuits
CommissioningDesign
79
> Group Overview – November 200680
Chalon plant (Equipment): successful globalization
Chalon plant - Total loadbaseline 100 in 2005
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006E
100
EDF Exports
New capacity placed in service
2005
> Group Overview – November 200681
The EPR: increased power and safety - extended life expectancy over the most recently built reactors
Thermal Power
Electrical Power
Thermal Efficiency
Limitation of severe accidents consequences
Number of fuel assemblies
Average burnup of reloads
Redundancy factor
Service lifetime
MW
MW
%
GWd/t
years
4500
1650
36.8
++
241
>60
4
60
EPR
4250
1450
34
+
205
45*
2
40
N4
* Maximum burnup rate currently allowed by the French safety authority
> Group Overview – November 200682
Plants: Call for Tenders – Who does what?
Incl. NSSS [30% of the price]
NUCLEAR ISLAND
[~55% of the price]AREVA
CONVENTIONALISLAND
[~20% of the price]Alstom, GE,
MHI, Siemens, Toshiba
Control systems [~ 3%]Safety nuclear : AREVA
Operating systems: Alstom/Atos, MHI, Siemens, Westinghouse
ADDITIONAL CONSTRUCTION
[ ~25% of the price]
82
> Group Overview – November 200683
More than 50,000 MWe installed is over 30 yearsMore than 110,000 MWe is over 25 years
Pyramid of ages – WW nuclear fleet (October 2006 update)
0
5 000
10 000
15 000
20 000
25 000
30 000
35 000
1 6 11 16 21 26 31 36 41
Age (in years)
Inst
alle
d ca
paci
ty (M
We)
0
50 000
100 000
150 000
200 000
250 000
300 000
350 000
400 000
Cum
ulat
ed in
stal
led
capa
city
(MW
e)
A need for re-investmentsin the existing fleet
Source: AIEA / PRIS – October 2006
> Group Overview – November 200684
Heavy re-investments in existing US reactorsUp to $300M for a typical 850 MWe PWR
Oconee 1, 2 & 3PWR 850 MWe
Commissioned: july 1973 december 1974
Re-investment: $1bn over 2001-2006 Replacement of Vessel Heads and Steam Generators
Instrumentation & Control upgrade
Calvert Cliffs 1&2PWR 850 MWe
Commissioned: may 1975 - april 1977
Re-investiment: $600M over 2001-2006Replacement of Vessel Heads and Steam Generators
Instrumentation & Control upgrade
> Group Overview – November 200685
Generation 3+
Generation 4
Current NuclearFleet with 40-year service life
Life extension past 40 years
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 2055 2060
EDF nuclear plant scenario starting in 2020
Generation 3+: EPRSource: EDF
85
MWe installed
Renewal over 30 years (2020-2050)Construction of about 2,000 MW/year
Years
Average plant life: 48 years
> Group Overview – November 200686
AREVA and Constellation have joined forces for a new US economic model in nuclear capacities construction
www.unistarnuclear.com
May 2005: EPR licensing process launched in the US w/ customers support
August 2005: President Bush signs the Energy Bill: incentives for the first 6 nuclear GWe installed
September 2005: AREVA and Constellation form UniStar Nuclear to market at least 4 EPRs in the United States
Marketing, technical and financial resources are pooled for the creation of JVs, which are open to other commercial and financial partnersJVs, operated by Constellation, will be in charge of licensing, constructing and operating the reactorsAREVA will supply the nuclear island, the control systems and the first reactor core to the JVsBechtel will support the project with its architect-engineer expertise
August 2006: AREVA signs an agreement with Constellation Energy to reserve capacity for the supply of heavy components for the first US-EPR reactor
> Group Overview – November 200687
Gen IV - Towards a fully used nuclear system?
Present GenerationOf Nuclear Reactors
Next GenerationOf Nuclear Systems - Gen IV
87
Loss
HydrogenProduction
Enhancement of Nuclear Heat Utilization
Steam Temperature:~300°C-Steam Cycle-
Light Water ReactorGaz Temperature:~1000°C
-Cogeneration-
High Temperature Gas-cooled Reactor
Appendix 5Back End business details
> Group Overview – November 200689
Back End market combines reprocessing, final disposal and “wait-and-see” solutions
RUSSIA
FORMEREASTERN
BLOCK COUNTRIES
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
FRANCESWITZ.
UK
USA(to date)
GERMANY
BELGIUM
SPAIN
ASIA
JAPAN
SWEDEN FINLAND
Final Disposal
(Open cycle)
ReprocessingRecycling
(closed cycle)
mt of heavy metal/year
CHINA
AREVAcustomers
OTHERS
Mixed solutions
Difference in costs between closed and open cycles is impactless on the kWh cost
Back-end cost represent less than 6% of the overall nuclear kWh cost
When choosing the closed cycle:
96% of the materials can be recycled
wastes volumes are divided by a factor 4 to 5
Radio-toxicity of long term wastes is reduced by a factor 10
> Group Overview – November 200690
The closed and open cycles are similar in price, in a back-end that represents less than 6%
of the overall nuclear kWh cost
* Source: OECD - April 1994 converted to € - discount rate 0%
The rising cost of Uranium is in favour of the closed cycle
Closed cycle
Spent Fuel Transp.
Open cycle
Spent Fuel Storage
Reprocessing / Vitrif.
Spent Fuel condit..
Disposal of wastes
End-of –cycle Subtotal
Cost* (€ct/kWh)
Uranium credit
Plutonium credit
Materials Credit Subtotal
Total cost
0.015 0.015
0.047
0.183
0.106
0.017
0.215 0.168
(0.027)
(0.011)
(0.038)
0.177 0.168
0
% of a 3 €ct/kWh generation cost (typical nuclear) 5.9% 5.6%
> Group Overview – November 200691
120,000 mt of spent nuclear fuel are stored worldwide 7,200 mt are unloaded in addition yearly
US EUROPE Far East
Stored quantity120,000 t
as of 31/12/2003
Annual discharge7,200 mt/y
35,000 mt35,000 mt50,000 mt
2,500 mt/y 2,500 mt/y 2,200 mt/y
Back end division
2005 sales€118M
€1,615Minc. €1,104M
in France€187M
Estimated global spent fuel
management cost
€0,5 to 1 M/mt
> Group Overview – November 200692
In Back End, AREVA is the specialist of spent fuel management
Considerable barriers to entry for reprocessing-recycling:Technical and technological know-how:Areva is number one in terms of operating experienceRegulationsCapital requirements
AREVA is Nr 1 worldwide in terms of effective production
Effective reprocessing capacity for lightwater reactors spent fuel
AREVACOGEMA - La Hague
BNFL /Sellafield
Minatom /Chelyabinsk
Japon /Rokkasho Mura(starting 2006)
1,700 mt / y
900 mt / y
Max. 400 mt / y
800 mt / y
Technology transfer
Source: AREVA, World Nuclear Association
AREVA BNFL Minatom Other
~20,000 mt
5,800 mt3,700 mt
1,600 mt
Up today, AREVA reprocessed 67% of the spent fuel worldwide,i.e 19,400 mt out of 28,900 mt
Cumulative effective production,as of dec. 2004
> Group Overview – November 200693
Key events in the Back End business (2005 & H1 2006)
Success of EUROFAB –
MOX fuel loaded
at Catawba
Success of EUROFAB –
MOX fuel loaded
at Catawba
1° The Boston Cinsulting Group confirms the sound economics
of the closed cycle2°Industrials respond to the US
DOE’s request for E.O.I.
1° Phase II of hot testing begins at the Rokkasho Mura fuel treatment plant
2° Two new contracts / L.O.I to supply MOX fuel for delivery until 2020
Request for Tender in Italy to recycle 235 metric tons
of used fuel
Germany discontinues shipment of used fuel
to Treatment-Recycling plants
New law on radioactive waste management was
adopted
Appendix 6T&D business details
> Group Overview – November 200695
WW market share 2005
Note: Regional Market share estimates based on orders repartitionSources: ABB, Siemens, Areva announcements; Strategic Marketing
AREVA T&D in the race
Other:58%
ABB: 19%
Areva: 9% Siemens: 14%
Americas
Asia Pacific
Africa M.East
Europe 12
9 7
15
Market size in 2005, €bn 42
10% Siemens5% Areva T&D
16% ABB
19% Siemens13% Areva T&D
23% ABB
9% Siemens6% Areva T&D
13% ABB
16% Siemens14% Areva T&D
23% ABB
> Group Overview – November 200696
Products and Systems keep the main T&D segments
Products:CAGR +1.7%
Market pulled by HV and MV Switchgears
Products€23bn
Automation€4 bn
Services€7bn
Pull throughProducts to system
€42bn
o/w €5bnproduct
Systems€13bn
SystemsCAGR +0.5%
Market growth led Power Electronics.
ServicesCAGR +0.8%
AutomationCAGR +4.2%* (2005-2008)
Boosted by Deregulation and Grid numeration
Gross market sizes (i.e. including pull-through)
T&D global market 2005 E
Source: AREVA estimates
> Group Overview – November 200697
Global dynamic market trends mainly in Asia and Middle East
Near & Middle is one of the most attractive market in the world
Europe28%
Asia Pacific35%
Americas21%
Afr.&M.East16%
T&D global market 2005 E
India is expected to be the fastest growing market for the coming years
China still shows good perspective
Russia and Central Europe: Strong market potential due to replacement and dynamic economic growth
Europe: interconnection development and Renewable Energies
US: Energy Bill 2005 should drive major investments in the grid
Brazil: development and upgrade of the power grids
Source: AREVA estimates
> Group Overview – November 200698
AREVA T&D: a Utility focused company
Market breakdown by Customers
Industry CompaniesOil & Gas, ChemicalsMining & MetalsPassenger TransportationOthers
UtilitiesIntegrated utilitiesTranscosDiscosGenerators
Global T&D market
40%Industry Companies
60%Utilities
DT
D
T
25%Industry Companies
75%Utilities
AREVA T&D’sCustomer base
AREVA T&D is #2 in the utility market
Source: AREVA estimates
> Group Overview – November 200699
Sourcing
Sourcing represents 53% of our sales
Levers to improve sourcing costs
20%
5%
8%
22%
45%
Globalisation
Labor Low Cost Country sourcing
Make or buy
Redesign to cost
Other
> Group Overview – November 2006100
Industrial footprint: too European but a new balance
46% of our 2005 sales manufactured in Europe vs 72% in 2003
20%
Asia Pacific
15%
Americas
46%
Europe
28%
Europe
21%
Americas
35%
Asia Pacific
16%Africa
& Middle East
2005Market Volume
Note: AREVA estimates
19%
Africa & Middle East
AREVA T&D Sales by Origin
2003 2005
12%Asia Pacific
16%
Americas
72%
Europe
12%
> Group Overview – November 2006101
Reposition AREVA T&D in growing areas…in sync with the market
Market growth estimate per year2005 - mid-term
France Germany ChinaIndiaU.K. Russia
- 1.1%+ 0.9%
+ 9%
+ 12%
+ 2.4%
+ 9%
Note: AREVA estimates
> Group Overview – November 2006102
Increased CAPEX in targeted regions
MEXICO
WESTERN EUROPE
BRAZIL
TURKEY
INDIA
CHINA
Tizayuca
Canoas
Naini
Bangalore Chennai
Kolkata
Xiamen
Shanghai
Suzhou
Gebze
Villeurbanne
Capex 2006-2007: ~ €200M
Appendix 7Financials
> Group Overview – November 2006104
Income statement
In millions of euros
2005 2004 adjusted for saleof the Connectors Division
(excl. IAS 32 et 39)Sales revenue 10,125 9,821
Other income from operations 7 7
Cost of sales (7,852) (7,478)
Gross margin 2,280 2,350
Research and development expenses -328 -327
Marketing and sales expenses -478 -500
General and administrative expenses -724 -684
Other operating income and expenses -4 -103
Current operating income 746 735
Restructuring and early retirement costs -138 -205
Other non-current operating income and expenses -56 29
Operating income 551 558
Income from cash and cash equivalents 59 54
Gross borrowing cost -42 -27
Net borrowing cost 17 27
Other financial income and expenses -30 -30
Net financial income -13 -3
Income tax -146 -124
Net income from consolidated businesses 393 431
Share in net income of equity affiliates 153 128
Minority interests -95 -139
Net income from continued operations 451 420
Net income from discontinued operations 598 31
Consolidated net income 1,049 451
Average number of shares outstanding 35,442,701 35,442,701
Earnings per share from continued operations 12.72 11.83
Earning per share 29.6 12.71
Earnings per diluted share (1) 29.6 12.71
(1) Areva has no diluting instrument in its share capital
> Group Overview – November 2006105
Key figures by Division (1/3)
2005 IFRS excluding amounts linked to end-of-life-cycle obligations
GroupTotal
5.4%
551
10,125
783
(45)
(395)
12.0%
1,217
% of sales
Operating income
Contribution to sales revenue
Results
In millions of euros(exc. employees)
Operating cash flow
Change in operating WCR
Net CAPEX
% of contribution to sales
EBITDA (ex, end-cycle costs)
Cash
Employees
Capital employed
Fixed assets
Other
Holding and other
operations andeliminations
n/a
(58)
14
(90)
(30)
(4)
n/a
(53)
432
52
1 210
T&D
-1.9%
(61)
3,211
116
(69)
68
3.3%
106
22 094
671
950
Back End
10.8%
208
1,921
332
(95)
(53)
25.1%
483
10 864
(737)
2 079
Reactors & Services
3.7%
87
2,348
228
226
(170)
7.4%
173
14 323
130
606
Front End
14.2%
374
2,631
197
(77)
(236)
19.3%
508
11 047
1 642
1 554
58 760
1 955
6 399
> Group Overview – November 2006106
Key figures by Division (2/3)
2004 IFRS excluding amounts linked to end-of-life-cycle obligations and adjustedfor disposal of FCI
GroupTotal
5.7%
558
9,821
782
(170)
(354)
10.1%
991
57,909
2,164
nc
% of sales
Operating income
Contribution to sales revenue
Results
In millions of euros(exc. employees)
Operating cash flow
Change in operating WCR
Net CAPEX
% of contribution to sales
EBITDA (ex, end-cycle costs)
Cash
Employees
Capital employed Other
Fixed assets
Holding and other
operations andeliminations
n.s
(35)
18
2
(4)
(66)
n.s
(14)
378
57
nc
T&D
-3.2%
(103)
3,186
(12)
22
57
0.7%
23
21,816
722
1,028
Back End
11.8%
221
1,946
603
299
(97)
20.7%
402
10,697
(456)
2,203
Reactors & Services
4.4%
95
2,146
82
11
(71)
5.7%
121
14,066
276
456
Front End
14.7%
370
2,524
106
(157)
(196)
18.2%
459
10,952
1,410
1,308
> Group Overview – November 2006107
Key figures by Division (3/3)
2004 reported excluding amounts linked to end-of-life-cycle obligations
5.5%
613
11,109
GroupTotal
763
187
12
(486)
9.4%
1,049
70,069
5,897
15,783
% of sales revenue
Operating income
Contribution to sales revenue
In million of euros(ex. employees)
Operating cash flow
Change in operating WCR
Income on sales ofof tangible and intangible assets
Net CAPEX
% of contribution to sales
EBITDA (ex. end-cycle costs)
Employees
Capital employed
n/a
(79)
18
Holding and other
operations and eliminations
(88)
(1)
(4)
n/a
(77)
378
527
2,320
6.2%
80
1,289
Connectors
54
12
0
(71)
10.3%
113
12,160
1,318
656
1.0%
31
3,186
T&D
(12)
27
0
(57)
0.6%
19
21,816
1,330
1,096
9.1%
177
1,946
Back End
603
298
8
(98)
20.0%
394
10,697
(132)
9 061
4.2%
90
2,146
Reactors & Services
88
11
4
(59)
6.2%
133
14,066
670
515Fixed assets
12.4%
314
2,524
Front End
112
(159)
(196)
18.5%
466
10,952
2,184
2,135
1
Results
Cash
Other
> Group Overview – November 2006108
Free Operating Cash Flow
in millions of euros
+ 955 + 782
+ 170
- 435
EBIDTA excl. end-of-life-
cycle obligations and gain on disposals
Chg in Op.
WCR
CAPEX FOCF
+ 783+ 1,223
- 554
- 45
Change in op. WCR
CAPEX FOCFEBIDTA excl. end-of-life-
cycle obligations and
gain on disposals
+ 159
Disposals
2005 IFRS
+ 92
Disposals
2004 R* IFRS
EBITDA up significantly in all businesses
Slight increase in WCR, with use of customer advances and prepayments
Increased CAPEX in Mining and Plants (licensing)
* Adjusted for disposal of FCI
> Group Overview – November 2006109
End-of-life-cycle obligations: dedicated portfolio up +19.1% in 2005, consistent with the benchmark
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05
AREVA Portfolio
Composite index (FTSE, MSCI France and EUROPE)
404
322
Out-performance: +25 %
2,0832,083
2,4572,786
Assets ProvisionsAREVAThird party share
Dedicated portfolio performance End-of-life-cycle obligations at June 30, 2006