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Latest price snapshot $/mn Btu

Copyright © 2014 Argus Media Ltd

Argus LNG Daily

Issue 14-103 Wednesday 28 May 2014

prICES

Daily LNG prices, news and analysis

Argus Asia-Pacific des spot LNG $/mn BtuDelivery Bid Offer Midpoint ±

Northeast Asia (ANEA™) 1H Jul 12.96 13.57 13.265 -0.085

2H Jul 12.96 13.57 13.265 -0.085

1H Aug 13.02 13.61 13.315 -0.095

China 1H Jul 12.98 13.55 13.265 -0.085

2H Jul 12.98 13.55 13.265 -0.085

1H Aug 13.00 13.63 13.315 -0.095

India 1H Jul 12.63 13.04 12.835 -0.100

2H Jul 12.63 13.04 12.835 -0.100

1H Aug 12.63 13.04 12.835 -0.100

Argus fob spot LNG $/mn BtuLoading Bid Offer Midpoint ±

Iberian peninsula reload 2H Jun 11.22 12.55 11.885 +0.010

1H Jul 11.30 12.57 11.935 -0.015

West Africa (AWAF™) 2H Jun 11.27 12.60 11.935 +0.010

1H Jul 11.37 12.65 12.010 -0.015

Trinidad and Tobago 2H Jun 11.37 12.68 12.025 0.000

1H Jul 11.38 12.68 12.030 +0.005

European des prices

NW Europe des (2H Jun): 9.815

Iberian peninsula des (2H Jun): 11.635

Iberian peninsula reload (2H Jun): 11.885

Italy des (2H Jun): 10.435

Greece des (2H Jun): 11.200

Turkey des (2H Jun): 11.700

Middle East fob

To Europe: 9.72

To Asia: 12.10

Asia des prices

Northeast Asia (ANEA) (1H Jul): 13.265

Southeast Asia (ASEA) (1H Jul): 12.880

China des (1H Jul): 13.265

India des (1H Jul): 12.835

West Africa (AWAF) price

(2H Jun): 11.935

Trinidad and Tobago fob

(2H Jun): 12.025

Australia fob

12.45

Argus Latin America des spot LNG $/mn Btu

Delivery price ±

Argentina Prompt 12.95 -0.01

Brazil Prompt 12.74 -0.01

Chile Prompt 13.48 0.00

Mexico Gulf coast Prompt 13.24 0.00

Mexico Pacific coast Prompt 12.50 -0.05

Angola LNG off line until mid-2015The 5.2mn t/yr Soyo LNG export facility in Angola is expect-ed to be off line until mid-2015, operator Angola LNG said.

The prolonged outage is necessary to enable contractor US engineering company Bechtel to carry out repairs on the plant following an incident on 10 April. The plant was taken off line after a pipe connection failure associated with the flare system caused a hydrocarbon release.

Works will also address capacity issues at the plant, Angola LNG said. Prior to the incident the facility had operated at reduced capacity, producing five cargoes so far in 2014. The plant could produce over 87 standard-sized cargoes each year if it operated at full capacity.

The plant will remain shut down until mid-2015, and will not produce either LNG or LPG. Gas produced in as-sociation with crude production will either be flared or re-injected into wells.

Whether the plant will reach full operational capacity in 2015 is subject to the results of tests conducted after the restart, Angola LNG said.

The outage had been expected to be shorter, after minority shareholder BP said in late April that the plant was expected to be off line for a couple of quarters. But the lat-est announcement on the length of the outage follows addi-tional investigations into the cause of the 10 April incident.

Even before the incident, the facility was not expected to operate at full capacity in 2014. Lead shareholder Chev-

MArkET CoMMENTAry


Issue 14-103 Wednesday 28 May 2014 Argus LNG Daily

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Argus Northeast Asia swaps $/mn Btu

Delivery price ±

Aug 13.40 0.00

Sep 13.65 0.00

Oct 14.38 0.00

Key netbacks $/mn Btu

Delivery price ±

Southeast Asia (ASEA) 1H Jul 12.88 -0.09

2H Jul 12.88 -0.09

1H Aug 12.92 -0.10

Australia fob Prompt 12.45 -0.08

Middle East fob (Asia-Pacific bound) Prompt 12.10 -0.08

Middle East fob (Europe-bound) Prompt 9.72 -0.03

Benchmark price snapshot

Market Delivery price

Natural gas $/mn Btu

Nymex Jun 4.60

NBP Jun 6.94

Zeebrugge Jun 7.55

Peg Nord Jun 7.74

PSV Jun 8.28

Crude $/bl

WTI Jul 103.38

Brent Jul 109.87

JCC* Feb 110.92

*Japanese Cocktail Crude

Argus Victoria Index (AVX) - Friday 23 May 2014

Delivery Units Bid Offer Midpoint ±

June A$/GJ 4.06 4.38 4.220 0.000

June $/mn Btu 3.95 4.27 4.107 -0.059

The AVX index, the first month-ahead index for Australia’s east coast Victorian

natural gas market, is assessed each Friday and reproduced through the week. The

date shown is the date of the assessment. The index will also appear in the east

coast Australian markets page each Friday

Argus European des spot LNG $/mn BtuDelivery Bid Offer Midpoint ±

NW Europe 2H Jun 7.23 12.40 9.815 -0.135

1H Jul 7.60 12.40 10.000 -0.025

Iberian peninsula 2H Jun 10.77 12.50 11.635 -0.015

1H Jul 10.77 12.50 11.635 -0.015

Italy 2H Jun 8.47 12.40 10.435 +0.035

1H Jul 8.53 12.40 10.465 +0.065

Greece 2H Jun 10.00 12.40 11.200 0.000

1H Jul 10.00 12.40 11.200 0.000

Turkey 2H Jun 11.00 12.40 11.700 0.000

1H Jul 11.00 12.40 11.700 0.000

ron said in February that the plant would run at half of its full capacity for the rest of this year and not reach full capacity until early 2015.

The outage has had a limited impact on the Argus West Africa fob (AWAF) price for the front half-month, which has lost over $1.50/mn Btu since 10 April. Ample supply and limited demand has weighed on LNG prices in both the Pacific and Atlantic basins in recent weeks, despite the halt of production at Angola LNG.

Bechtel has described its work on the construction of the LNG train at Soyo and port expansion work as one of its "most challenging recent projects" because of the plant's remote location and limited infrastructure. It was awarded a four-year contract for the construction of the 5.2mn t/yr train, tanks and supporting facilities in 2007.

Angola LNG is a joint venture between Chevron, which own 36.4pc, Angolan state-owned Sonangol with 22.8pc and BP, Total and Italy's Eni, each holding 13.6pc.

July-August spread narrows in Asia-PacificNortheast Asian spot prices continued to fall today on increased supply availability and weak demand. August prices came under particular pressure, narrowing the contango to July.

August spot prices are now seen at a 5¢/mn Btu contango to July, down from 15¢/mn Btu on 23 May. Some market participants had earlier anticipated a possible 20-30¢/mn Btu contango for August to July, mainly on expectations of increased gas demand in the summer. Spot suppliers early last week indicatively offered some August cargoes in the low-$14s/mn Btu, at a premium to the high-$13/mn Btu level for July volumes.

But fresh August supplies from Australia’s 16.3mn t/yr North West Shelf (NWS) LNG plant, the start-up of the 6.9mn t/yr Papua New Guinea (PNG) LNG facility’s second liquefac-tion train and continued expectations of a mild summer have depressed August prices and capped the contango to July.

NWS Australia LNG has issued a tender for one or more des or fob cargoes for late-July and late-August deliveries. The tender closes on 9 June, with bids to remain valid until 13 June. The tender is likely to draw limited interest from consumers in Asia-Pacific, many of which have high invento-ries. The cargoes are expected to be awarded to portfolio suppliers or trading firms, which could be seeking volumes for optimisation or to cover short positions. Shareholders of the NWS plant may also be inclined to bid for the cargoes at higher levels to support market prices. BP, Shell, Chevron, Australia’s Woodside and BHP Billiton and Japanese trading houses Mitsui and Mitsubishi have equity stakes in NWS.

NWS possibly sold two June-delivery cargoes to portfolio suppliers in its last spot tender issued at the end of April

MArkET CoMMENTAry



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Global supply highlights

Supply Loading period First reported Last updated Comments

Up to 10 cargoes/month from PNG From Jul/Aug 28 May 28 May Plant expected to reach full capacity by end-June

8 reloads from Spain scheduled May 31 Mar 27 May All full size. Three to load in next few days

Unspecified number of cargoes from Bintulu May through Sep 24 Apr 27 May All cargoes heard sold

6 reloads from Spain scheduled Jul 27 May 27 May All full size

5 reloads from Spain scheduled June 01 May 27 May All full size.

Unspecified number of cargoes from NWS 17-19 Jul; 16-21 Aug 27 May 27 May Fob or des; 28-30 Jul and 27 Aug-1 Sep deliv-ery in NE Asia

Up to 6 Nigerian cargoes offer by Galp Oct 2015 for up to five years 01 Apr 21 May At least 4-6 cargoes awarded on fob basis, likely not for five years

1 re-export from France Late May/early June 14 May 21 May Likely sold to Brazil

2 Nigerian cargoes June - August 09 May 20 May 1 June cargo may have been sold, 1 August may still be available

Up to 6 a month from PNG LNG From June 06 May 06 May Commissioning cargo to be shipped mid-year

1-2 cargoes from Pluto LNG June delivery 04 Apr 02 May Cargoes heard to have been sold

Up to 20 cargoes from Bontang LNG 2H 2014 02 May 02 May Pertamina and SKK Migas marketing the cargoes

Atlantic fob prices lack supportAtlantic fob prices were relatively flat on Wednesday, as they lacked support amid weak demand expectations in both basins.

There was limited buying interest in the Atlantic basin. Although Brazil’s Petrobras was said to be making tentative bids for fob cargoes, it was not expected to have urgent demand. Dubai may have secured some of the three cargoes it was seeking for delivery between June and August.

And demand in the Pacific basin was also limited. North-east Asian buyers have ample LNG in stock. South Korea’s Ko-gas is facing excess supply, and is seeking to reduce or defer its long-term deliveries. And any spot demand in the Pacific is likely to be absorbed by supply from liquefaction projects in

and awarded in early May.PNG LNG’s second 3.45mn t/yr production train has started

operations and the plant could reach full capacity by the end of June, instead of end-2014 as originally planned. PNG LNG can produce up to 10 cargoes a month when operating at full capacity. These potential supplies are also exerting downward pressure on forward prices for August and further out.

Around seven or possibly more July cargoes are available from Asia-Pacific projects such as Indonesia’s 22.6mn t/yr Bontang and Australia’s 4.3mn t/yr Pluto plants, as well as NWS and PNG LNG.

Indicative July offers range from slightly under the mid-$13s/mn Btu to the high-$13s/mn Btu. Sellers of Asia-Pacific cargoes are possibly offering below the mid-$13/mn Btu level, while those with Atlantic basin cargoes are offering in the high-$13s/mn Btu. But weak Asia-Pacific prices are closing the Atlantic-Pacific arbitrage, with Atlantic offers remaining supported by tentative South American demand.

Japan’s meteorological agency continues to predict mild summer weather because of an expected El Nino weather phenomenon. Such forecasts are behind weak and opportu-nistic July and August demand. Demand for these months is limited to northeast Asian buyers with tank space that are looking for opportunistic purchases or portfolio suppliers looking to cover short positions, although there could be more August purchases on warmer weather. Most indicative July and August bids are in the high-$12s/mn Btu.

The ANEA price, the Argus assessment for northeast Asia des, is down by 8.5¢/mn Btu at $13.265/mn Btu for first- and second-half July and down by 9.5¢/mn Btu at $13.315/mn Btu for first-half August deliveries. China’s des prices are as-

sessed in line with the ANEA.Indian spot prices also fell, tracking losses in the north-

east Asian market. July and August deals are expected to be done below $13/mn Btu, as price-sensitive importers cut buying ideas in response to softening bids in northeast Asia.

Indicative July bids are around the mid-$12s/mn Btu, while offers for mostly Middle Eastern cargoes are tenta-tively in the low-$13s/mn Btu.

Only one state-controlled importer is seeking a July cargo. Other buyers remain on the sidelines, possibly be-cause their requirements have been fulfilled by short-term or strip deals, as a result of a lack of available berthing slots at receiving terminals for spot cargoes, and on expectations prices could fall further.

India’s des prices are assessed down by 10¢/mn Btu across the board at $12.835/mn Btu for first- and second-half July and first-half August deliveries.



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Global demand highlights

Demand Delivery period First reported Last updated Comments

3-5 cargoes from Japanese utilties May 07 Mar 28 May May requirements fulfilled

Around 3 cargoes from Dubai June - August 09 May 28 May One cargo a month Jun-Aug. Some may have been awarded

Short-term tender from Egas For 2 years from end 2014 22 May 22 May Tender to be issued in June. In addition to 12 cargoes negotiated

1 cargo by India's GSPC July 20 May 20 May For 7-15 July delivery

2 cargoes by PTT June 06 May 19 May Two tenders issued. For 13-25 June and 22-28 June delivery

6 from Argentina's YPF June - August 02 May 14 May 3 to Bahia Blanca awarded to Excelerate, Gazprom, and Vitol; 1 to Escobar for Vitol

2 cargoes from Chile 1 June, 1 July 29 Apr 09 May June cargo bought - July cargo still sought

1 cargo by PTT May 01 Apr 06 May 2 bought, one from producer, one from portfolio player

3-6 cargoes from Japanese utilities June 24 Mar 15 Apr Around 50-70pc of requirements possibly fulfilled

438,000 t/yr from India's NTPC For 10-12 yrs from 4Q 2014 19 Mar 15 Apr Bid deadline extended to 7 May. For deliv-ery to Kochi terminal

1 cargo from a US importer By end of June 28 Mar 02 Apr For operational purposes. May have been awarded to a major

2 cargoes from India By end of May 02 Apr 02 Apr A state-owned buyer and a private importer seeking one each

West Africa (AWAF) LNG fob $/mn Btu

11.5

12.0

12.5

13.0

13.5

14.0

10 Apr 14 28 Apr 14 13 May 14 28 May 14

that basin, which could be more competitively priced because of lower shipping costs than from the Atlantic basin.

Supply from the Atlantic basin may be priced less com-petitively than from other sources. Cargoes from the recent tender issued by Argentina’s YPF – which were awarded to Excelerate, Vitol, and Gazprom – are likely to be supplied from Qatar, a source involved in the deal said.

But offers for Atlantic basin cargoes remained high. Sell-ers opted to keep volumes in storage rather than offer them at lower levels on the spot market. The cost of holding LNG in storage in Spanish terminals could be contained, as the boil-off could be sold to the Spanish domestic gas market. The Spanish AOC gas hub was last week said to trade at about $10.90/mn Btu for June delivery.

But there is limited storage capacity available at Span-ish terminals. The 8.6mn t/yr Huelva and 8.4mn t/yr Sagunto terminals, for example, are both expected to reach maximum storage capacity of around 600,000m³ in July. Capacity holders may need to lower offers in order to increase storage availabil-ity, depending on the flexibility of long-term contracts.

The outage at the 5.2mn t/yr Soyo liquefaction terminal has done little to reverse the decline to the Argus West Africa fob (AWAF) price. News that the facility would be off line until mid-2015 did not change the short-term supply outlook, as the facility had been expected to be off line for several months at least. But tighter supply from West Africa could support Atlantic fob prices during periods of strong demand.

The Greek and Turkish gas markets were well-supplied, with limited LNG demand. Despite maintenance on the West-ern pipeline which imports gas from Russia, customers have

been able to buy alternative supply including from Azerbai-jan. The maintenance was scheduled at least six months ago, giving gas consumers plenty of time to find alternatives. The maintenance is schedule for the whole of June.

Turkey would most likely not be interested in paying more than $11/mn Btu for spot cargoes due to ample pipe-line and long-term LNG supplies. Greece also has limited de-mand for spot volumes, unless offers are below prices under long-term contracts, subject to contract flexibility.

Argus spot LNG freight $/day

price ±

Freight west of Suez 54,000 +2,000

Freight east of Suez 48,500 -500



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Middle East bunker fuel - Fujairah $/t

570

580

590

600

610

620

630

640

17 Feb 14 20 Mar 14 23 Apr 14 28 May 14

380cst 180cst

Asia Pacific bunker fuel $/t

550

575

600

625

650

675

17 Feb 14 20 Mar 14 23 Apr 14 28 May 14

380cst Sing 180cst Sing 380cst SKorea180cst SKorea

European bunker fuel - Rotterdam $/t

550

575

600

625

650

675

700

14 Feb 14 19 Mar 14 23 Apr 14 28 May 14

180cst 380cst 1.5% 180cst 1.5% 380cst

Global shipping highlights

Vessel Capacity m³ From To Loading Arrival Notes

Valencia Knutsen 173,400 Point Fortin, Trinidad Mina Al-Ahmadi, Kuwait 02 May 27 May Shell vessel

Arctic Spirit 89,880 Point Fortin, Trinidad Escobar, Argentina 16 May 28 May

Castillo de Villalba 138,000 Bonny, Nigeria Dahej, India 29 Apr 28 May

Lena River 155,000 Sagunto, Spain Bahia Blanca, Argentina 05 May 29 May Re-export

Gaslog Seattle 155,000 Bonny, Nigeria South Korea 23 Apr 30 May

Gaslog Skagen 155,000 Sagunto, Spain Asia-Pacific 09 May 31 May Re-export

Madrid Spirit 138,000 Point Fortin, Trinidad Bilbao, Spain 18 May 01 Jun

LNG River Niger 141,000 Bonny, Nigeria South Korea 06 May 02 Jun

Cool Runner 160,000 Huelva, Spain Mina Al-Ahmadi, Kuwait 20 May 03 Jun Re-export

Polar Spirit 87,300 Point Fortin, Trinidad Escobar, Argentina 13 May 03 Jun

Spirit of Hela 177,000 Papua New Guinea Futtsu, Japan 24 May 03 Jun First PNG cargo

Wilenergy 125,000 Huelva, Spain Nagoya, Japan 05 May 03 Jun Re-export - for orders?

Seri Balhaf 152,300 Bonny, Nigeria Pyeongtaek, S Korea 13 May 07 Jun

LNG Libra 126,400 Point Fortin, Trinidad Escobar, Argentina 28 May 09 Jun

LNG Ondo 148,300 Bonny, Nigeria Guangdong, China 16 May 10 Jun

Wilforce 155,900 Zeebrugge, Belgium South America 27 May 10 Jun Re-export

Seri Bijaksana 152,300 Arzew, Algeria Oita, Japan 12 May 11 Jun

LNG Oyo 140,500 Bonny, Nigeria Chita, Japan 15 May 12 Jun

Gemmata 138,100 Fos Cavaou, France Brazil 20 May 15 Jun

LNG Borno 149,600 Bonny, Nigeria Futtsu, Japan 18 May 17 Jun

Magellan Spirit 165,000 Bonny, Nigeria Senboku, Japan 16 May 18 Jun

Golar Arctic 140,600 Bonny, Nigeria Tokyo, Japan 22 May 24 Jun

Sestao Knutsen 138,100 Point Fortin, Trinidad Mina Al-Ahmadi, Kuwait 24 May 27 Jun

Freight $/d

48,000

50,000

52,000

54,000

56,000

58,000

4 Apr 14 23 Apr 14 9 May 14 28 May 14

East Suez West Suez



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NEws

Eon signs three-year LNG deal with rasgasGerman utility Eon has signed a three-year deal with Qatar’s Rasgas to deliver LNG to the UK’s Isle of Grain terminal.

The flexible deal is for up to around 2bn m³ of gas (1.45mn t of LNG) over a three-year term and is effective immediately.

Eon said the "LNG is destination-flexible" but declined to comment on whether the LNG price is linked to the UK's NBP or oil.

Eon has around 7bn m³/yr of regasification capacity in the UK, the Netherlands, and Spain as well as a stake in Italy's Offshore LNG Toscana terminal.

In October last year, fellow state-run LNG producer Qatargas signed a five-year supply deal with Eon to deliver 1.5mn t/yr to the Netherlands' Gate terminal from 2014. Eon said at the time that the LNG price would be linked to a con-tinental gas hub basis, but declined to comment on whether the LNG would be divertible.

Qatargas also signed a supply deal with Malaysia's Petro-nas in 2013 to deliver LNG to the UK Dragon facility. That supply was divertible, subject to timings and fees.

UK energy system operator National Grid said earlier this month that the Isle of Grain LNG import terminal near London was under-utilised last financial year, as a result of high global LNG prices in other regions.

The Grain LNG import terminal received 17 cargoes in the financial year 2013-14 ending on 31 March, compared with 22 during the previous year. The UK as a whole re-ceived 71 cargoes, down from 84 in financial year 2012-13.

The UK's other import terminals are the 15.6mn t/yr South Hook LNG terminal and the 4.4mn t/yr Dragon LNG import terminal, both in southwest Wales.

Qatargas to supply eight LNG cargoes to kuwaitQatargas will supply eight LNG cargoes to Kuwait through the country's Mina al-Ahmadi floating storage and regasifica-tion unit (FSRU) this year.

The cargoes will be sourced from Qatargas' 7.8mn t/yr train four facility and delivered on Q-flex vessels. A Q-flex

tanker has 210,000-217,000m³ of capacity. Train four is 70pc owned by Qatari state-owned QP and 30pc by ExxonMobil.

Kuwaiti state-owned KNPC has also signed supply deals with Shell and BP this year, and the three suppliers are expected to deliver around 2.5mn t/yr of LNG for up to the next six years.

Kuwait imported a Qatari LNG cargo aboard the 216,200m³ Al Gattara in April. KNPC has also chartered the 170,000m³ newly built Golar Igloo FSRU to operate as an import facility at Mina al-Ahmadi for nine months of the year to supply Kuwait during the summer months.

Challenging year for LNG shipowners: AwilcoThe short-term market for LNG shipping looks weak because of the scheduled arrival of newly-built vessels and limited new demand, according to ship owner Awilco.

The Norwegian shipping firm expects sparse trading activity and low charter rates to continue throughout the second quarter and summer months of 2014. Older vessels will be more affected than more recent tankers, with soft charter rates expected to speed up the scrapping of old vessels.

Planned maintenance in the second quarter is reducing LNG production, but the lack of demand is limiting trades and pressuring charter rates for LNG tankers. In addition, the early start-up of the 6.9mn t/yr PNG export facility in Papua New Guinea, which saw at least four vessels chartered for the project, has been offset by the unexpected shutdown of the 5.2mn t/yr Angola LNG liquefaction terminal. Operator Angola

Netbacks $/mn Btu (front half month)

India China Japan South Korea Taiwan Iberian

peninsula Greece Italy Turkey Nw Europe

North-east US Us Gulf

Middle East 12.57 12.01 11.86 11.93 12.13 10.26 10.13 9.24 10.62 8.33 3.76 2.72

Australia 12.03 12.56 12.47 12.49 12.69 9.52 9.38 8.60 9.86 7.71 3.23 2.22

Nigeria 11.32 11.10 10.96 11.02 11.22 10.87 10.19 9.51 10.65 8.97 4.57 3.60

Norway 10.94 10.48 10.33 10.40 10.60 11.10 10.35 9.66 10.80 9.46 4.87 3.76

Algeria 11.52 11.05 10.90 10.97 11.17 11.47 11.01 10.22 11.48 9.55 4.86 3.79

Trinidad and Tobago 10.60 10.47 10.33 10.40 10.60 10.86 10.16 9.47 10.61 9.01 5.09 4.25

Russia 11.56 12.93 12.99 13.00 12.88 9.02 8.92 8.14 9.40 7.26 3.11 2.10

Latest estimated LNG distribution by destination m³

Asia-Pacific 13,925,227

Europe 3,593,907

North America 303,248

South America 1,241,490

Upstream 19,638,493

Based on vessels at sea, final destination and estimated arrival time. Upstream

figure includes all major production regions.



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LNG has offered its project vessels to the spot market.Awilco expects 32 new LNG tankers to be delivered to

the market in 2014, of which 13 are currently uncommitted. Next year, the company sees 27 deliveries, four of which are uncommitted.

The company also estimates that charter rates fell to around $64,000/d by the end of the first quarter from $98,000/d at the start of January, a decline of 34.7pc.

Argus assessed freight rates west of Suez fell to $55,000/d from $97,000/d across the first quarter, a de-cline of 43.3pc. East of Suez rates fell to $56,000/d from $88,000/d, a decrease of 34.3pc.

Awilco owns five LNG tankers: the 160,000m³ Wilforce and the 156,000m³ Wilpride, both tri-fuel diesel electric vessels; and the second-generation steam turbine tankers Wilgas, Wilenergy and Wilpower, all of which are 125,000m³.

The Wilforce was chartered by an oil and gas major in January for three years, with a possible one-year extension. The Wilpride, a new vessel delivered in November 2013, is trading on the spot market, and is available from mid-July 2014.

The Wilgas is chartered to Brazilian oil and gas company Petrobras until the fourth quarter of 2014, and the Wile-nergy is on charter until the end of the third quarter. The Wilpower is currently offshore Singapore in lay-up and is not operational. It is being marketed for project work.

Awilco reports vessel utilisation of 95pc in the first quar-ter, compared with 90pc in the fourth quarter of 2013.

second June cargo planned for ZeebruggeZeebrugge has scheduled its second LNG delivery for next month, which is expected to arrive on the 145,500m³ Milaha Qatar on 15 June with a Qatari cargo.

The tanker is expected 12 days after the 145,800m³ Al Jassasiya is scheduled to arrive on 3 June with a similarly-sourced cargo.

Zeebrugge's June schedule broadly maintains the aver-age arrival interval of one cargo every 11 days established this year and last. The regular deliveries to Zeebrugge are in sharp contrast to the UK, where LNG imports from Qatar have quickened considerably since the start of the year, amid weak shoulder season demand in northeastern Asia.

The UK's quick LNG receipts have increased sendout at South Hook, and Belgium's imports through the intercon-nector have risen in turn and prompt prices at the NBP and Zeebrugge have sunk to a discount to the rest of Europe in recent weeks.

Fos Cavaou to receive fourth May LNG cargoFos Cavaou will receive an Algerian cargo aboard the 138,000m³ Berge Arzew on 30 May.

The cargo will be the fourth to berth at Marseille's larger LNG terminal, where the berthing schedule was revised

down from five to four delivery slots earlier this month. The arrival of the Berge Arzew would lift LNG receipts at

Fos Cavaou to around 556,000m³ in May to judge by tanker size, compared with the 542,500m³ unloaded last May. But this year a re-export cargo of around 110,000m³ was loaded for export to Brazil, bringing Fos Cavaou's net May receipts to around 446,000m³ — well below last year's receipts, when no re-exports were loaded in May.

Yesterday morning LNG inventories at Fos Cavaou were around 89,000m³, enough to sustain recent sendout rates of 91 GWh/d for six more days. Nominated sendout until 30 May is at the same rate, suggesting that stocks will fall as low as 30,500m³ before the arrival of the Berge Arzew.

russian Novatek eyes gas trading assetsRussia's biggest independent gas producer, Novatek, is interest-ed in buying assets related to gas trading in Europe, the firm's chairman and co-owner Leonid Mikhelson said yesterday.

"Novatek is looking for a broader range of assets related to gas trading in the EU, not necessarily another gas trader," the company said.

This could involve buying a share in an EU gas trading hub, a trading platform or a share in gas storage in the EU. Buying storage capacity could increase the firm's flexibility to trade around short-term movements in the European gas market.

Novatek has already established a gas trading subsidiary in the EU, Novatek Gas and Power. It has been buying gas on the spot market to resell to German utility EnBW since October 2012. But the 1.9bn m³/yr deal, valid for 10 years, is of limited profitability to Novatek.

Novatek is likely to be able to trade its own gas in the EU once its Yamal LNG project produces first LNG late in 2017. Yamal LNG is expected to be producing at least 16.5mn t/yr by the end of 2019.

NBP $/mn Btu

Delivery Bid Offer Midpoint ±

Day-ahead 7.23 7.26 7.244 -0.137

Jun 6.94 6.95 6.946 -0.240

Jul 7.47 7.49 7.479 -0.142

Aug 7.78 7.81 7.794 -0.097

3Q14 7.73 7.76 7.748 -0.110

4Q14 9.71 9.74 9.727 -0.087

1Q15 10.54 10.58 10.559 -0.100

Winter 2014-15 10.13 10.16 10.144 -0.093

Summer 2015 9.33 9.35 9.342 -0.047

Winter 2015-16 10.65 10.68 10.664 -0.066

2015 9.89 9.92 9.906 -0.064

2016 10.05 10.08 10.062 -0.074

2017 10.05 10.09 10.071 -0.082



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EU's Van rompuy renews calls for energy unionFollowing a meeting last night of EU leaders to discuss the results of European elections, European Council president Herman Van Rompuy called for an energy union and de-creased energy dependency.

"There must also be a strong response to the climate change challenge and a determined push towards an energy union and also a push for lessening energy dependency," said Van Rompuy.

But he gave no details on what an energy union would look like. The concept came to the fore with the deterio-ration of EU relations with Russia over Ukraine and fears that the flow of Russian gas to some EU countries through Ukraine could be disrupted if Moscow and Kiev fail to reach agreement over payments for gas for Ukrainian consumption.

The idea has been championed by Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk. In addition to common gas purchasing, Tusk's proposal includes strengthened solidarity mechanisms, investment in energy infrastructure, particularly gas, better use of own energy sources, and diversification — including importing LNG from the US.

Tusk concedes that EU leaders doubt the bloc could make common gas purchases, despite generally supporting the idea of an EU energy union.

Van Rompuy chaired a meeting yesterday evening of 28 EU heads of state and government. The meeting was called to discuss who will take up the key position of European Commission president from October 2014 and EU priorities for the next five years.

It remains unclear how the EU elections and new Com-mission will affect the energy industry. Aside from expected legislative measures for a 2030 climate and energy frame-work, the energy sector will need to consider the effects of new proposals including a financial transaction tax, revisions to capital requirements and a benchmarks regulation.

A loss of seats in the European Parliament by the UK's governing coalition parties may weaken the influence on legislation of UK-based financial industries and companies, including those in the energy sector.

Iran outlines kish gas field development planIran expects to start producing 1bn ft³/d (10.3bn m³/yr) of gas from its Kish gas field by November 2015, state-owned Pedec managing director Abdolreza Haji Hossainnejad said.

The Kish field contains 50 trillion ft³ (1.4 trillion m³) of gas.

A drilling rig will be taken to the field by the end of June and a tender for constructing the processing unit will be is-sued in two months, Hossainnejad said.

Iran previously planned to export 1bn ft³/d of gas from the Kish field to Oman, but recently revived talks between the two countries have focused on Iranian gas exports to Oman being sourced from the South Pars gas field instead.

Gas from the field is expected to be connected to the country's seventh trunk line (IGAT7). The cost of the project is expected to be $2.2bn, which is expected to be financed by a consortium of Iranian banks and investors.

LNG underpins Australian resource investmentUpstream oil and gas accounts for 86pc of the $229bn ($213bn) invested in resource projects under development in Australia, the government’s commodity forecaster the Bureau of Resource and Energy Economics (Bree) said.

Most of this investment is being spent on the construc-tion of seven LNG projects. Bree identified A$197.04bn of committed investment on 14 LNG, oil and gas projects. No new LNG, oil or gas projects have been approved or com-pleted in the six months to April, although there was a A$2bn cost increase to the $54bn, 15.6mn t/yr Gorgon LNG project offshore Western Australia operated by Chevron.

Four of the six onshore LNG projects at the committed stage are scheduled to start production within the next two years and will underpin a substantial decline in the number of committed projects.

Three of the 14 upstream oil and gas projects at the construction stage are investments in either existing LNG projects or field developments associated with LNG projects under construction. The A$2.3bn Greater Western Flank gas project is associated with extending the life of the 16.3mn t/yr North West Shelf (NWS) LNG venture operated by Aus-tralian independent Woodside Petroleum, Bree said.

The A$370mn development of the Xena gas field is part of the 4.3mn t/yr Pluto LNG project operated by Woodside, while the A$1.2bn development of the Julimar gas field by US independent Apache and Kuwaiti state-controlled Kufpec is part of Chevron’s 8.9mn t/yr Wheatstone LNG project.

The inclusion of these three projects takes LNG’s share to A$194.97bn or 85pc of total resource investment.

LNG, gas and oil projects have the highest combined value of projects at the publicly announced stage at A$28.5bn-30.5bn. This has increased by around A$4bn as a result of the Arrow LNG project that is jointly owned by Shell and Chinese state-controlled PetroChina being moved back from the feasibility stage and the addition of Woodside’s Persephone gas field project, which is also part of NWS LNG. These together more than offset the value of three projects that have been removed from the major projects list.

Woodside’s Browse floating LNG (FLNG) project is one of the largest that remains on the major projects list. There are eight LNG, gas and oil projects at the feasibility stage with a combined value of A$43bn.

FLNG projects account for the majority of the value of LNG, oil and gas projects at the feasibility stage, with the Scarborough and Bonaparte FLNG projects making up around 60pc of the value of projects at this stage.



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Japan:Crude vs LNG $/mn Btu

13.0

14.0

15.0

16.0

17.0

18.0

19.0

20.0

25 Feb 14 25 Mar 14 24 Apr 14 28 May 14

ANEA™ front half monthMinas prompt inc freightDubai front month inc freight

Japan: Fuel oil vs LNG S/mn Btu

13.013.514.014.515.015.516.016.517.017.518.018.519.019.5

25 Feb 14 25 Mar 14 24 Apr 14 28 May 14

ANEA front half monthFuel oil LSWR V-500 Indonesia inc freight

South Korea: Fuel oil, coal vs LNG $/mn Btu

13.0

14.0

15.0

16.0

17.0

18.0

19.0

20.0

25 Feb 14 25 Mar 14 24 Apr 14 28 May 143.40

3.45

3.50

3.55

3.60

3.65

ANEA™ front half month (LHS)Fuel oil HS 180cst South Korea del (LHS)Coal del Indonesia - South Korea 5,800 kcal (RHS)

India: Fuel oil, gasoil vs LNG $/mn Btu

12

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16

18

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22

24

25 Feb 14 25 Mar 14 24 Apr 14 28 May 14

Argus LNG India front half monthFuel oil HS 180cst Mideast Gulf inc freightGasoil 0.05% Mideast Gulf inc freight

CoMPETING FUELs IN AsIA AND PowEr MArkET INDICATors

India: Coal vs LNG $/mn Btu

12.0

13.0

14.0

15.0

16.0

17.0

18.0

25 Feb 14 25 Mar 14 24 Apr 14 28 May 142.85

2.90

2.95

3.00

3.05

3.10

Argus India LNG front half month (LHS)Coal del Indonesia - India 4,200 kcal (RHS)

India: Naptha vs LNG $/mn Btu

12

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14

15

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18

19

20

28 Feb 14 28 Mar 14 28 Apr 14 28 May 14

Argus India LNG front half monthNaphtha LR1 Mideast Gulf fob



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China historic receipts mn m³ LNG

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3

4

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6

7

Sep 11 Mar 12 Sep 12 Mar 13 Sep 13 Mar 14

Spain historic receipts mn m³ LNG

0

1

2

3

4

Aug 11 Feb 12 Aug 12 Feb 13 Aug 13 Feb 14

South Korea historic receipts mn m³ LNG

0

2

4

6

8

10

12


Japan historic receipts mn m³ LNG

0

5

10

15

20

25


MoNThLy LNG IMPorT VoLUMEs

PowEr MArkET INDICATors: BrEAkEVEN GAs PrICEs For GENErATIoN

Latin America $/mn Btu

0

5

10

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30

Jan 12 Jul 12 Jan 13 Jul 13 Jan 14

Brazil wholesale clearing priceArgentina MEM monthly average

6

7

8

9

10

11

12

9 Apr 14 25 Apr 14 12 May 14 27 May 14

Spain UK Turkey

Europe: Front month base load $/mn Btu

illuminating the marketsNatural gas/LNG


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USGC diesel vs LNG $/mn Btu

12

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22

26 Feb 14 26 Mar 14 24 Apr 14 27 May 14

ANEA™ front half month USGC diesel

Atlantic benchmarks vs LNG S/mn Btu

0

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25

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ANEA™ front half month NBP front monthNymex gas front month Ice Brent front month

US Nymex $/mn Btu

4.0

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Jun 14 3Q 2014 1Q 2016 3Q 2017 1Q 2019

Ice brent front month $/bl

105

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115

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