Presenter:

Date:

Arizona & Higher Education 2014 and

Beyond

Dan AndersonDirector of Institutional ResearchOctober 22, 2014

Background and Outline

FY 2020 figures (outer ring) are Enterprise targets. Actual figures (inner ring) reflect the most current data available for each metric. The data points are color-coded as follows: 2010-11, 2011-12, 2012-13 and 2013-14.

Arizona Higher Education EnterpriseAnnual Bachelor's

30,890

Adults with Bachelor's28.6%

Research Expenditures$1.94 billion

Undergraduate Enrollment142,400

Community College to Bachelor's9,985

Community College Transfers 13,429

College Going 60%

6-yearGraduation

65.4%

Freshmen Retention86.7%

Arizona High School Student Pipeline

5

Arizona High School Graduate Projections by Race/Ethnicity to 2020

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000

White

HispanicACTUAL

PROJECTED

Black

Asian

Native American

6

Arizona High School GraduatesClass of 2012-13 College Going

Graduated from High School in

2012-13

Enrolled in a 2 Year Institution

Enrolled in a 4 Year Institution

Percent College Going

Whites 27,926 6,538 9,068 55.9%

Hispanics 20,918 5,777 3,334 43.6%

Blacks 3,199 842 781 50.7%

Native Americans

2,499 446 368 32.6%

Asians 2,195 395 1,132 69.6%

Unknown 2,481 526 567 44.1%

TOTAL 59,218 14,524 15,250 50.3%

7

Arizona High School GraduatesClass of 2006-07 College Graduation

Graduated from High School in

2006-07

Graduated from a 2 Year

Institution

Graduated from a 4 Year

Institution

Percent Bachelors

Degree Awards

Whites 30,895 1,899 7,886 25.5%

Hispanics 17,427 1,095 1,574 9.0%

Blacks 2,920 159 430 14.7%

Native Americans

3,147 138 196 6.2%

Asians 1,697 79 632 37.2%

TOTAL 56,086 3,370 10,718 19.1%

University System Enrollment

9

Undergraduate Enrollments in 2012-132,130

5,536

4,727

22,685

285

67,243

4,005

4,843

1,261

Native American

Asian

Black

Hispanic

Pacific Islander

White

Two or More

Nonresident Alien

UnknownTotal = 112,715

10

Degrees Awarded in the Arizona University System

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000

40,000

45,000

Graduate

Undergraduate

Total

11

Bachelors Degrees Awarded in 2012-13443

1,294

890

4,272

34

15,936

582582

801

Native American

Asian

Black

Hispanic

Pacific Islander

White

Two or More

Unknown

Nonresident AlienTotal = 24,834

It’s All About The Money

13

University Funding Formulas

• For many years, state funding for the universities used what was known as 22:1. That is, for every additional 22 FTE students, the universities would receive 1 faculty position plus a fraction of a support person.

• A new performance-based funding formula is being implemented. It is composed of degrees awarded, student credit hours and research funding. This is output, not input, based.

14

University System Revenues

• In 2013-14, total operating revenues to the universities were approximately $4.1 billion.

• Of that, $2.9 billion were education & general expenses (71%).

• The remaining $1.2 billion includes things like, research, athletics, room/board, etc.

• In 2014-15, revenues are expected to rise almost 7% to $4.4 billion.

• To put that in perspective, Arizona’s 2014-15 General Fund budget is $9.27 billion.

15

19.4%

16.1%

12.7%

10.7%

8.0%

8.3%

4.00%

6.00%

8.00%

10.00%

12.00%

14.00%

16.00%

18.00%

20.00%

Perc

ent

General Fund Appropriations for the Arizona University Systemas a Percent of Total State General Fund Appropriations

16

$7,636

$16,195 $15,634

$0

$2,000

$4,000

$6,000

$8,000

$10,000

$12,000

$14,000

$16,000

$18,000

Arizona University SystemOperating1 Revenues per FTE Student

1 Operating Revenues = combined general fund appropriations and net tuition and fee revenues

17

$11,725

$16,195 $15,634

$10,573$9,439

$5,061

$0

$2,000

$4,000

$6,000

$8,000

$10,000

$12,000

$14,000

$16,000

$18,000

Arizona's Universities General Fund Appropriations and Net Tuition and Fee Revenue

Per FTE Student

Operating Revenues/FTE

TF/FTE

GF/FTE

18

$2,313 $2,488 $3,032

$3,637 $3,578

$5,587

$6,711

$7,956

$9,633 $9,718

$-

$2,000

$4,000

$6,000

$8,000

$10,000

$12,000

FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13

AVG TUITION (Sticker Price) vs AVG TUITION PAID (Tuition and Mandatory Fees Less Gift Aid)

Arizona University SystemFY09 - FY13

Tracking Student Outcomes

20

Earnings of University GraduatesClasses of 1989-90 thru 2011-12

• In 2012, students who graduated in the last 23 years, (1989-90 thru 2011-12) earned $13.2 billion in wages in Arizona and contributed $947 million in state and local taxes.

• Of those 496,701 graduates, 241,434 (49%) were working in Arizona in 2012.

• For the class of 2011-12, about two thirds were working in Arizona in 2012.

21

Resident Undergraduate EmploymentYear

Graduated

Resident Bachelor Degrees Awarded

Percent Employed in Arizona

in 2012

Total Wages Earned 2012

Estimated AZ Total State Tax Revenue

Average Wage in 2012

1990 5,715 40.7% $173,288,382 $12,206,646 $74,5651991 8,694 43.5% $286,993,478 $20,229,830 $75,8041992 9,269 43.8% $307,284,971 $21,717,257 $75,6301993 9,812 44.5% $314,100,477 $22,223,247 $71,8771994 10,073 46.3% $334,448,581 $23,606,046 $71,6471995 10,222 48.1% $347,065,675 $24,519,152 $70,5701996 10,466 48.6% $345,177,191 $24,441,753 $67,8411997 10,474 49.2% $354,007,811 $25,000,059 $68,7661998 10,755 51.4% $355,089,848 $25,116,560 $64,1771999 10,759 51.6% $343,410,615 $24,331,288 $61,8422000 11,130 52.9% $361,996,961 $25,693,041 $61,4392001 11,011 54.4% $349,984,100 $24,844,652 $58,4572002 11,474 55.5% $359,277,484 $25,523,314 $56,4192003 12,138 56.7% $369,253,526 $26,274,980 $53,6472004 12,626 58.5% $372,561,802 $26,651,292 $50,4832005 13,445 59.8% $394,792,131 $28,277,595 $49,1032006 13,788 62.3% $403,839,563 $29,003,496 $47,0352007 13,895 63.6% $394,149,879 $28,478,336 $44,5822008 14,218 64.4% $367,690,370 $26,966,745 $40,1802009 15,092 65.1% $357,289,848 $26,626,502 $36,3652010 15,777 68.8% $370,502,581 $28,188,901 $34,1452011 16,733 72.8% $371,264,645 $29,245,283 $30,4692012 17,692 77.7% $285,896,568 $25,917,975 $20,808

22

Earnings of 2008-12 UndergraduatesCIP Code Description

Bachelors Degrees Awarded 2008-2012

Number Working in 2012

Median Wages in 2012

Agriculture, and Related Sciences 784 354 $35,290

Natural Resources and Conservation 610 246 $28,882

Architecture and Related Services 1,745 709 $35,208

Area, Ethnic, Cultural, and Gender Studies 681 310 $28,287

Communication, Journalism, and Related Programs 6,851 3,505 $32,997

Communications Technologies/Technicians & Support 76 56 $28,926

Computer and Information Sciences & Support Services 1,269 774 $53,769

Education 10,028 7,764 $36,102

Engineering 5,111 2,685 $59,273

Engineering Technologies/Technicians 824 409 $58,269

Foreign Languages, Literatures, and Linguistics 1,765 780 $29,749

Family and Consumer Sciences/Human Sciences 2,394 1,377 $28,875

Legal Professions and Studies 302 219 $30,359

English Language and Literatures/Letters 2,946 1,570 $29,217

Liberal Arts and Sciences, General Studies & Humanities 2,200 1,437 $35,591

Biological and Biomedical Sciences 6,753 3,062 $28,055

Mathematics and Statistics 824 356 $39,663

Multi/Interdisciplinary Studies 6,151 3,377 $36,292

Parks, Recreation, Leisure and Fitness Studies 2,461 1,496 $27,273

Philosophy and Religious Studies 791 367 $28,368

Physical Sciences 1,306 475 $37,215

Science Technologies and Technicians 1,004 732 $45,563

Psychology 6,445 3,561 $29,436

Security and Protective Services 1,811 1,236 $33,083

Public Administration and Social Service Professions 1,098 719 $34,029

Social Sciences 9,097 4,296 $31,414

Transportation and Materials Moving 256 151 $28,080

Visual and Performing Arts 5,819 2,830 $26,581

Health Professions and Related Clinical Sciences 5,063 3,260 $54,678

Business, Management, Marketing, and Related Support 17,822 9,938 $41,656

History 1,983 996 $29,419

University Total 106,270 59,047 $36,320

Dan AndersonDan.Anderson@azregents.edu

(602) 229-2544

Thank You Very Much