arizona republican primary survey topline results -- june 5, 2014

8/12/2019 Arizona Republican Primary Survey Topline Results -- June 5, 2014

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Arizona Republican Primary Survey Topline Results

Magellan Strategies are pleased to present the topline results for a 630nautodial survey of likely Republican primary voters, and independent andunaffiliated voters that are likely to vote in the Republican primary electionin the state of Arizona. The interviews were conducted June 3 rd and 4th,2014. This survey has a margin of error of +/- 3.90% at the 95 percentconfidence interval. This survey was weighted based upon past Republicanprimary election voting demographics.

T1. Are you registered to vote as a Republican, a Democrat or an independent voter?

Republican .............................................................. 86%Independent ............................................................ 14%

T2. As you may know, independent voters can vote in the August primary election. Howlikely are you to vote in the August primary election? (Asked only to respondents whoself-identified as independent or unaffiliated voters)

Extremely likely ....................................................... 79%Very likely ............................................................... 16%Somewhat likely ........................................................ 5%

T3. And if the primary election were being held today, would you choose to vote in theDemocrat primary or the Republican primary? (Asked only to respondents who self-identified as independent or unaffiliated voters)

Republican primary ............................................... 100%


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Magellan ID#: AZREP-060314 Arizona Republican Primary Survey Topline ResultsField Dates: 6/3/14 6/4/14, MoE +/- 3.90%, 630n, CONFIDENTIAL

Magellan Strategies | 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300 | Louisville, CO 80027www.MagellanStrategies.com| (303) 861-8585

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T4. How likely are you to vote in the August primary election? (Asked only torespondents who self-identified as registered Republicans)

Extremely likely ....................................................... 92%Very likely ................................................................. 6%

Somewhat likely ........................................................ 2%

T5. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Ken Bennett?

Favorable ................................................................ 26%Unfavorable ........................................................... 15%No opinion ............................................................. 34%

Never heard of ....................................................... 22%Unsure ...................................................................... 3%

Name ID ................................................................ 75%Hard name ID ......................................................... 41%

T6. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Doug Ducey?


Never heard of ......................................................... 8%

Unsure ...................................................................... 1%


T7. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Christine Jones?





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T8. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Scott Smith?




T9. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Tom Horne?


Never heard of ......................................................... 2%Unsure ...................................................................... 3%


T10. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Mark Brnovich?

Favorable .................................................................. 7%Unfavorable ........................................................... 13%No opinion ............................................................. 29%




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T11. If the Republican primary election for Governor were being held today for whomwould you vote if the candidates were Ken Bennett, Doug Ducey, Christine Jones, AlMelvin, Frank Riggs, Scott Smith, and Andrew Thomas?

Doug Ducey ........................................................... 28%

Scott Smith .............................................................. 16%Christine Jones ........................................................ 12%Ken Bennett ............................................................ 12%Andrew Thomas ........................................................ 5%Al Melvin .................................................................. 2%Frank Riggs ............................................................... 2%Undecided .............................................................. 23%

T12. If the Republican primary election for Attorney General were being held today forwhom would you vote if the candidates were Tom Horne and Mark Brnovich?

Mark Brnovich ........................................................ 43%Tom Horne ............................................................. 26%Undecided .............................................................. 31%

T13. If the Republican primary election for Secretary of State were being held today forwhom would you vote if the candidates were Wil Cardon, Michele Reagan and JustinPierce?

Michele Reagan ...................................................... 20%Wil Cardon ............................................................. 18%

Justin Pierce ............................................................ 15%Undecided ............................................................. 47%

T14. If the Republican primary election for Treasurer were being held today for whomwould you vote if the candidates were Jeff DeWit, Randy Pullen, and Hugh Hallman?

Hugh Hallman ........................................................ 14%Jeff DeWit ............................................................... 13%Randy Pullen ............................................................. 8%Undecided .............................................................. 65%


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T15. Do you consider yourself to be very conservative, conservative, moderate or liberalwhen it comes to fiscal issues like taxes and government spending?

Very conservative .................................................... 45%Conservative ........................................................... 37%

Moderate ................................................................ 16%Liberal ....................................................................... 2%

T16. Do you consider yourself to be very conservative, conservative, moderate or liberalwhen it comes to social issues like abortion and same-sex marriage?

Very conservative .................................................... 41%Conservative ........................................................... 26%Moderate ................................................................ 19%Liberal ..................................................................... 14%

T17. If you had to choose, would you identify yourself more closely with the traditionalRepublican Party, or would you identify yourself more closely with the Tea PartyMovement?

Traditional Republican party ................................... 43%Tea Party Movement ............................................... 46%No opinion ............................................................. 11%

And now I have a couple of questions for statistical purposes only

T18. Are you a man or a woman?

Woman ................................................................... 52%Man ........................................................................ 48%

T19. What is your marital status?

Married ................................................................... 69%Single and have never been married ......................... 4%Unmarried and living with a partner ......................... 5%Widowed ................................................................ 13%Separated .................................................................. 0%Divorced ................................................................... 7%No opinion ............................................................... 2%


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T20. Which of the following age groups applies to you?

18-34 ........................................................................ 7%35-44 ...................................................................... 10%45-54 ...................................................................... 19%

55-64 ...................................................................... 23%65+ ......................................................................... 41%

T21. For statistical purposes only, what is your race? Press 1 if you are white, Press 2 ifyou are Hispanic or Latino, press 3 if you belong to another ethnic group.

White ...................................................................... 88%Hispanic or Latino ..................................................... 6%Another ethnic group ................................................ 6%

Survey MethodologyThis survey was conducted using automated telephone touchtone technology. Thesample used for this survey was randomly drawn from an Arizona voter file. The surveyresponse data was weighted based upon past Republican primary election votingdemographics. The interviews were conducted on June 3 rdand 4th, 2014. Three attemptswere made to interview each household in the sample. This survey has a margin of errorof 3.90% at the 95 percent confidence interval.

arizona republican primary survey topline results -- june 5, 2014

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