asia pacific outbound air traveller trends · asia pacific outbound air traveller trends 2017 year...
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Asia Pacific Outbound
Air Traveller Trends
2017 Year to Date
& Forward looking
May to October 2017
May 2017
2© Forward Data SL, 2017. All Rights Reserved.
Europe(Shares; %YoY Var)
(11.4%; +11.2% )
The Americas(Shares; %YoY Var)
(8.1%; +0.2% )
Africa (Shares; %YoY Var)
(1.2%; +11.4%)
Asia Pacific (Shares; %YoY Var)
(69.0%; +1.7%)
International departures from Asia Pacific to worldwide by destination region, Jan to Apr 2017YTD: YoY %variation and destination %share
Asia Pacific outbound:
Middle East welcomed a significant growth from Asia Pacific
Geography follows UNWTO definition
Lengths of stay at destinations is from 1 to21 nights
Arrival history from January 1st to April 30th
2017 vs. Prev. Year.
APAC
Total Asia Pacific Outbound(Shares; %YoY Var)
(100%;+3.9%)
Middle East (Shares; %YoY Var)
(10.3%; +14.7%)
3© Forward Data SL, 2017. All Rights Reserved.
22%
16%
7%
4%
3%
Vietnam
Iran
Philippines
Japan
Indonesia
The Americas
31%
24%
23%
21%
18%
Vietnam
Taiwan
Indonesia
Iran
China
Europe
96%
59%
42%
29%
27%
Taiwan
Sri Lanka
China
Singapore
Hong Kong
Middle East
33%
10%
10%
9%
9%
6%
5%
Indonesia
India
Vietnam
Australia
Philippines
New Zealand
Japan
Asia Pacific
Asia Pacific outbound:
Vietnam & Indonesia were the rising stars
Top increasing origin markets for each destination region, Jan to Apr 2017 YTD: YoY %variation
Geography follows UNWTO definitionLength of stay at destinations is from 1 to21 nights
Arrival history from April 1st 2016 to March31st 2017 vs. Prev. Year.
4© Forward Data SL, 2017. All Rights Reserved.
-40%
-19%
-40% -20% 0% 20%
Collapse of Chinese leisure travellers to South Korea
International arrivals in South Korea (staying 4 to 8 nights): YoY Var. of 2016 vs. 2015, 2017YTD vs. prev. year, forward looking May to Aug 2017
SouthKorea
Total International
Excl. China
Total International
Excl. China
2016 Jan-Apr 2017 May-Aug 2017Forward looking
2016China to South Koreaflight capacity: +12%
January: Charter flights were not authorised to operate during the Chinese New YearMarch: Travel agencies stopped selling tour packages
Capacity information provided by
May-Aug 2017China to South Koreaflight capacity: -26%
*Booking situation as of 30th April 2017
Jan-Apr 2017China to South Koreaflight capacity: -8%
Length of stay at destination South Korea isfrom 4 to 8 nights
Arrival history from January 1st 2016 to April 30th
2017 vs. Prev. Year.Arrivals on the book for May 1st to August 31st 2017 with issuedbookings as of April 30th 2017 vs. same period prev. year.
24%
16%
-40% -20% 0% 20%
-16%
8%
-40% -20% 0% 20%
5© Forward Data SL, 2017. All Rights Reserved.
China issued travel warning on March 3rd.
Length of stay at destinations is from 4 to8 nights
Arrival history from March 3rd to April 30th
2017 vs. March 4th to May 1st 2016.
No new net bookings from China to South Korea
since the travel warning
Booking Pickup of Chinese arrivals in South Korea (stayed 4 to 8 nights at the destination) Mar to Apr 2017:
China
SouthKorea
1-Mar 16-Mar 31-Mar 15-Apr 30-Apr
Bo
oki
ng
Acc
um
ula
tio
n f
or
Ch
ines
e A
rriv
als
in
Sou
th K
ore
a in
Mar
-Ap
r 2
01
7
2017 2016
March 3rd, China issued a travel warning against South Korea
-65%
6© Forward Data SL, 2017. All Rights Reserved.
China issued travel warning against SouthKorea on March 3rd.
Length of stay at destinations is from 4 to8 nights
Arrival history from March 3rd to April 30th
2017 vs. March 4th to May 1st 2016.
Which countries welcomed significant growth
while South Korea was suffering?
Top 5 most growing destinations for Chinese arrivals (stayed 4 to 8 nights at one city) Mar to Apr 2017:
China
??
46%
41%
40%
38%
24%
Spain
Vietnam
UAE
Malaysia
Indonesia
%Var. of total Chinese arrivals
80%
280%
46%
38%
30%
Spain
Vietnam
UAE
Malaysia
Indonesia
%Var. of total group arrivals(6+ persons per booking)
Total Chinese arrivals worldwide
Excl. South Korea: +1%Total Chinese group arrivals worldwide
Excl. South Korea: -15%
7© Forward Data SL, 2017. All Rights Reserved.
Looking forward May-Oct 2017:
pre-summer boosted by holiday travel
Forward looking Asia Pacific departures on the book, May to Oct 2017: YoY %variation and origin %share
Length of stay at destinations is from 1 to21 nights
Asia Pacific departures on the book fromMay 1st to October 31st 2017 vs. 2016 withissued bookings as of May 1st 2017 vs. sameperiod prev. year.
Asia Pacific
Looking forwardAsia Pacific Outbound
(Shares; %YoY Var)
(100%; +4.3%)
Dragon Boat Festival
2016: June 9th
2017: May 30th
Ramadan2016: Jun 6th to Jul 5th
2017: May 26th to Jun 24th*
Mid-Autumn Festival
2016: Sep 15th
2017: Oct 4th8.5%
3.7%
-3.3%
3.1%
-1.8%
16.1%
May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct
4.3%
6.7% 4.3%-0.9%
Dragon Boat Festival
End of Ramadan
Mid-AutumnFestival
8© Forward Data SL, 2017. All Rights Reserved.
Europe(Shares; %YoY Var)
(24.4%; +19.1%)
The Americas(Shares; %YoY Var)
(13.0%; -0.2%)
Africa (Shares; %YoY Var)
(1.4%; +12.6%)
Asia Pacific (Shares; %YoY Var)
(52.7%; -0.7%)
Forward looking Asia Pacific departures on the book, May to Oct 2017: Destination region YoY %variation and %share
Looking forward May-Oct 2017:
Asia Pacific travellers booking long-haul more in advance
Geography follows UNWTO definition
Lengths of stay at destinations is from 1 to21 nights
Asia Pacific departures on the book fromMay 1st to October 31st 2017 vs. 2016 withissued bookings as of May 1st 2017 vs. sameperiod prev. year.
APAC
Forward LookingAsia Pacific Outbound
(Shares; %YoY Var)
(100%; +4.3%)
Middle East (Shares; %YoY Var)
(8.5%; +6.4%)
-30%
China toAsia Pacific
+9%
Intra-APACExcl. China as origin
+2%
China toOutside Asia Pacific
9© Forward Data SL, 2017. All Rights Reserved.
86%
37%
36%
31%
22%
0% 50% 100%
Indonesia
Australia
Thailand
Singapore
Switzerland
188%
103%
64%
61%
55%
0% 50% 100%
Turkey
Georgia
CzechRepublic
Thailand
Italy
98%
57%
56%
56%
48%
0% 50% 100%
Portugal
Chile
Netherlands
France
UK
Looking forward May-Oct 2017: BRIC are back,
European destinations can count on them
Forward looking Forward bookings for departures from Brazil, Russia, and India, May to Oct 2017: YoY %Var. of total departures and Top 5 increasing destinations on the book
Length of stay at destinations is from 1 to21 nights
Asia Pacific departures on the book from May 1st to October 31st 2017 vs.2016 with issued bookings as of May 1st 2017 vs. same period prev. year.
+42% +31% +15%
Positive since Sep 2016 Positive since Dec 2016 Steadily growing 40 months
10© Forward Data SL, 2017. All Rights Reserved.
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