Aspen, ColoradoSeptember 19th, 2013

BLACK AND VEATCHUTILITY EXECUTIVE LEADERSHIP INSTITUTE:

“PREDICTABLE PERFORMANCE”

Achieving Predictable Performance – Complicated Work

Informed Decision Making: - the best mitigation strategies begin with KNOWLEDGE

Global Context

MORE THAN JUST A NAME…

ASYMMETRICAL THREATS: High velocity, complex, unpredictable environment

Threats – difficult to identify:

• Real or Imagined• Current or Emerging• Applicable or Distracting• Singular or Complex• Isolated or Connected• Meaningful or Irrelevant • Local, Broad or Global

THREATS - PERCEPTIBLE…criminal, environmental, proliferation…

…terror, espionage, foreign manipulation & subversion…

THREATS - SECURITY

The Impact

International Terrorism

Learning the Art of Conflict

Predictable Performance:Managing a Complex Risk Environment

The Fundamentals

PREDICTABLE PERFORMANCE: a business imperative

Different Time; Same Effect

Death and Impact

THREATS – MOST RELEVANT TO THE AGE

…insider, cyber

Insider Threat:Who?

…aggrieved, knowledgeable, empowered…

“giving it up”

Refer toRay_Boisvert_Video.mp4

Cyber Intrusion: 21st Century Threat

Targeting as part of a War of Values and Ideas…or Symbols

“just a snapshot of what is going on”

Multiple Actors and Vectors

Honorable Intent or Misguided Principles?

Organized Criminal Targeting

Terrorist Organizations

Cyber Operations (Critical Infrastructure)

Teenage Angst

Big Picture Views: RESILIENCE

PREVENTING CHAOS

Foresight: Ensuring Performance in an Interconnected World

Lesson Learned: Boston

Resilience is ValueSustainability is Key

Thoughts?