asx code: dmp price: $48.42 12 mth target price: $54.00 ... · profit & loss ($m) 2013a 2014a...

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Business Summary Domino's Pizza Enterprises Limited (DMP) is engaged in the operation of retail food outlets and franchise service. The Company holds the exclusive master franchise rights for the Domino's brand and network in Australia, New Zealand, France, Belgium, the Netherlands, Japan and the Principality of Monaco. The Domino's brand is owned by Domino's Pizza, Inc. which operates within the Quick Service Restaurant (QSR) pizza segment of the fast food market in Australia and New Zealand. Corporate Operations: The Company operates a hybrid model based on a combination of corporate stores and franchised stores. As of FY 2017, company has opened 178 new stores during year in existing regions and an additional 37 businesses were acquired in Australia, New Zealand, Japan and Europe. Acquisition of subsidiaries On the 20 January 2017, the Consolidated entity acquired 100% interest in IPG Marketing Solutions Pty Ltd, an unlisted company based in Australia and specialising in the production of print and digital media. Latest Research The Risks to Australia are In the Price Upgrade to Neutral — We lift our rating on Domino's to Neutral from Sell given the share price more evenly reflects the risks in the business in our view. We expect Australian sales growth to improve slightly and stable margins. There are downside risks from the Franchise Inquiry, but long-term upside from European rollout. Our new target price is $44.60 per share. For more information see research 11 May 2018. GICS - Consumer Serv Domino's Pizza Enterprises Limited ASX Code: DMP Price: $49.25 12 Mth Target Price: $54.00 Rating: Buy Important Disclaimer - This may affect your legal rights: Because this document has been prepared without consideration of any specific client's financial situation, particular needs and investment objectives, a Bell Potter Securities Limited investment adviser (or the financial services licensee, or the proper authority of such licensee, who has provided you with this report by arrangement with Bell Potter Securities Limited) should be consulted before any investment decision is made. While this document is based on the information from sources which are considered reliable, Bell Potter Securities Limited, its directors, employees and consultants do not represent, warrant or guarantee, expressly or impliedly, that the information contained in this document is complete or accurate. Nor does Bell Potter Securities Limited accept any responsibility to inform you of any matter that subsequently comes to its notice, which may affect any of the information contained in this document. This document is a private communication to clients and is not intended for public circulation or for the use of any third party, without the prior approval of Bell Potter Securities Limited. This is general investment advice only and does not constitute advice to any person. Disclosure of Interest: Bell Potter Securities Limited receives commission from dealing in securities and its authorised representatives, or introducers of business, may directly share in this commission. Bell Potter Securities and its associates may hold shares in the companies recommended. Snapshot Date Market Cap. Shares on issue 12 Month High 12 Month Low 24 July 2018 $4,204m 85.4m $58.12 $38.11 Rating Rating 12 Mth Target Price Capital Gain Gross Yield Implied Total Return Buy $54.00 9.6% 3.4% 13.1% Investment Fundamentals FYE 3 Jul 2017A 2018F 2019F 2020F Profit $m 118.5 141.0 169.5 203.0 Profit (norm)* $m 118.5 141.0 169.5 203.0 EPS* ¢ 131.7 158.8 196.1 234.9 EPS Growth % 28.5 20.6 23.5 19.8 P/E* x 37.4 31.0 25.1 21.0 P/E Relative % 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 DPS ¢ 93.3 119.0 147.6 176.7 Yield % 1.9 2.4 3.0 3.6 Franking % 50.0 40.0 40.0 40.0 * Adjusted for goodwill and unusual items Source: Based on Bell Potter estimates Share Price Chart Total Return on $10,000 Investment

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Business SummaryDomino's Pizza Enterprises Limited (DMP) is engaged in the operation ofretail food outlets and franchise service. The Company holds the exclusivemaster franchise rights for the Domino's brand and network in Australia, NewZealand, France, Belgium, the Netherlands, Japan and the Principality ofMonaco. The Domino's brand is owned by Domino's Pizza, Inc. whichoperates within the Quick Service Restaurant (QSR) pizza segment of thefast food market in Australia and New Zealand.

Corporate Operations: The Company operates a hybrid model based on acombination of corporate stores and franchised stores. As of FY 2017,company has opened 178 new stores during year in existing regions and anadditional 37 businesses were acquired in Australia, New Zealand, Japanand Europe.

Acquisition of subsidiaries On the 20 January 2017, the Consolidatedentity acquired 100% interest in IPG Marketing Solutions Pty Ltd, an unlistedcompany based in Australia and specialising in the production of print anddigital media.

Latest ResearchThe Risks to Australia are In the Price

Upgrade to Neutral — We lift our rating on Domino's to Neutral from Sellgiven the share price more evenly reflects the risks in the business in ourview. We expect Australian sales growth to improve slightly and stablemargins. There are downside risks from the Franchise Inquiry, butlong-term upside from European rollout. Our new target price is $44.60 pershare.

For more information see research 11 May 2018.

GICS - Consumer Serv

Domino's Pizza Enterprises Limited

ASX Code: DMP Price: $49.25 12 Mth Target Price: $54.00 Rating: Buy

Important Disclaimer - This may affect your legal rights: Because this document has been prepared without consideration of any specific client's financial situation, particular needs and investmentobjectives, a Bell Potter Securities Limited investment adviser (or the financial services licensee, or the proper authority of such licensee, who has provided you with this report by arrangement withBell Potter Securities Limited) should be consulted before any investment decision is made. While this document is based on the information from sources which are considered reliable, Bell PotterSecurities Limited, its directors, employees and consultants do not represent, warrant or guarantee, expressly or impliedly, that the information contained in this document is complete or accurate.Nor does Bell Potter Securities Limited accept any responsibility to inform you of any matter that subsequently comes to its notice, which may affect any of the information contained in this document.This document is a private communication to clients and is not intended for public circulation or for the use of any third party, without the prior approval of Bell Potter Securities Limited. This is generalinvestment advice only and does not constitute advice to any person.Disclosure of Interest: Bell Potter Securities Limited receives commission from dealing in securities and its authorised representatives, or introducers of business, may directly share in thiscommission. Bell Potter Securities and its associates may hold shares in the companies recommended.

Snapshot

DateMarket Cap.Shares on issue12 Month High12 Month Low

24 July 2018$4,204m85.4m$58.12$38.11

RatingRating12 Mth Target Price

Capital GainGross Yield

Implied Total Return

Buy$54.009.6%3.4%13.1%

Investment FundamentalsFYE 3 Jul 2017A 2018F 2019F 2020F

Profit $m 118.5 141.0 169.5 203.0Profit (norm)* $m 118.5 141.0 169.5 203.0

EPS* ¢ 131.7 158.8 196.1 234.9EPS Growth % 28.5 20.6 23.5 19.8P/E* x 37.4 31.0 25.1 21.0P/E Relative % 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

DPS ¢ 93.3 119.0 147.6 176.7Yield % 1.9 2.4 3.0 3.6Franking % 50.0 40.0 40.0 40.0* Adjusted for goodwill and unusual itemsSource: Based on Bell Potter estimates

Share Price Chart

Total Return on $10,000 Investment

Profit & Loss ($M)2013A 2014A 2015A 2016A 2017A

Sales Revenue 245 481 574 752 791Total Revenue ex. Int. 297 592 708 938 1,090EBITDA 55 94 127 178 230Depreciation & Amort. -13 -22 -27 -38 -46Goodwill Amortisation -- -- -- -- --EBIT 42 73 100 140 183Net Interest 1 -2 -2 -2 -3Profit Before Tax 43 71 98 139 181Income Tax -12 -22 -29 -39 -55Outside Equity Int. -- -3 -4 -4 -3Profit after Tax 30 46 64 95 123Significant Items after Tax -2 -3 -- -13 -20Reported Profit after Tax 29 42 64 82 103Preferred Dividends -- -- -- -- --

Cash Flow ($M)2013A 2014A 2015A 2016A 2017A

Receipts from Customers 327 644 780 1,022 1,223Funds from Operations 44 111 128 164 172Net Operating Cashflow 33 91 106 128 133Capex -35 -52 -75 -114 -99Acquisitions & Investments -19 -245 -14 -175 -27Sale of Invest. & Subsid. -- -- 19 21 22Net Investing Cashflow -30 -275 -73 -264 -88Proceeds from Issues 1 158 4 30 18Dividends Paid -21 -26 -38 -54 -77Net Financing Cashflow -27 207 -31 151 -53Net Increase Cash -24 22 2 15 -8Cash at Beginning 40 19 42 43 60Exchange Rate Adjust. 2 1 -1 2 -2Cash at End 19 42 43 60 50

Ratios and Substantial Shareholders2013A 2014A 2015A 2016A 2017A

Profitability RatiosEBITDA Margin % 22.42 19.62 22.13 23.74 29.06EBIT Margin % 17.19 15.11 17.35 18.67 23.19Net Profit Margin % 12.45 9.50 11.16 12.65 15.58Return on Equity % 29.69 17.62 21.00 24.12 29.68Return on Assets % 16.20 8.48 10.43 8.66 11.15

Debt/Safety RatiosNet Debt/Equity % 20.45 29.93 26.77 66.27 67.17Interest Cover x -60.36 39.98 58.93 77.68 68.85

Top 5 Substantial ShareholdersHSBC Custody Nominees (Australia) Limited 26.7%Somad Holdings Pty Limited 25.9%J P Morgan Nominees Australia Limited 16.1%Hyperion Asset Management Limited 12.7%Pinnacle Investment Management Group Limited 12.2%

Balance Sheet ($M)2013A 2014A 2015A 2016A 2017A

Cash & Equivalent 19 42 43 60 50Receivables 28 38 48 84 73Inventories 7 12 12 17 22Other Current Assets 7 12 13 22 43Current Assets 60 103 117 182 188Prop. Plant & Equipment 50 93 122 188 199Intangibles 75 342 352 698 690Other Non-Current Assets 11 30 42 62 43Non-Current Assets 129 456 514 943 945Total Assets 190 559 631 1,126 1,133Interest Bearing Debt 40 120 125 322 329Other Liabilities 47 180 201 409 388Total Liabilities 87 300 326 731 718Net Assets 103 259 305 395 415Share Capital 41 194 198 249 340Reserves -2 -15 0 11 -86Retained Earnings 64 80 106 135 161Outside Equity Int. -- -- -- -- --Total Shareholders Equity 103 259 305 395 415

Current Analyst Recommendations *

* Source: Morningstar. This chart shows the spread of recommendations from thosebroker analyst's in Australia with research coverage of this stock.

Principals & DirectorsPrincipals

Company Secretary Mr Craig A Ryan

Directors

Mr Jack James Cowin(Non-Executive Chairman,Non-ExecutiveDirector)Mr Norman Ross Adler(Non-Executive DeputyChairman,Non-Executive Director)Mr Donald Jeffrey Meij(Chief Executive Officer,Managing Director)Mr Paul Burgess Cave(Non-Executive Director)Mr Grant Bryce Bourke(Non-Executive Director)Ms Lynda Kathryn Elfriede O'Grady(Non-Executive Director)

To access further Research or for information regarding our recommendations and ratings please seewww.bellpotter.com.au

© 2018 Morningstar, Inc. All rights reserved. Neither Morningstar, its affiliates, nor the content providers guarantee the data or content contained herein to be accurate, complete or timely nor will they have any liabilityfor its use or distribution. Any general advice or 'class service' have been prepared by Morningstar Australasia Pty Ltd (ABN: 95 090 665 544, AFSL: 240892) and/or Morningstar Research Ltd, subsidiaries ofMorningstar, Inc, without reference to your objectives, financial situation or needs. Refer to our Financial Services Guide (FSG) for more information at www.morningstar.com.au/s/fsg.pdf. You should consider theadvice in light of these matters and if applicable, the relevant Product Disclosure Statement (Australian products) or Investment Statement (New Zealand products) before making any decision to invest. Ourpublications, ratings and products should be viewed as an additional investment resource, not as your sole source of information. Past performance does not necessarily indicate a financial product's futureperformance. To obtain advice tailored to your situation, contact a professional financial adviser. Some material is copyright and published under licence from ASX Operations Pty Ltd ACN 004 523 782 ("ASXO").

Domino's Pizza Enterprises Limited

Bell Potter Securities Research

AFS Licence No. 243480 ABN 25 006 390 772

Email [email protected]

Website www.bellpotter.com.au