at a glance q3 2019 industrial & logistics market* review ...€¦ · market balance to be...
TRANSCRIPT
1
R E S E A R C H
1
Real Estatefor a changing
world
Real Estatefor a changing
world
The industrial and logistics market in Poland is one of the fastest developing real estate sectors in Europe. Only over the last five years has the total stock of existing industrial and logistics space doubled. Moreover, the high demand and the enormous amount of space under construction suggest that the trend will continue. Nevertheless, at the beginning of the year, the vacancy rate rose slightly and growing construction costs still impact on the rental levels.
Vacancy rate, Q3 2019
*Stock was revised at the beginning of 2019
Headline rent range (sqm/month)
Under construction
At a glance Q3 2019
2.50 – 5.25 EUR
1,818,100 m2
INDUSTRIAL & LOGISTICS MARKET* REVIEW, POLAND
VACANCY RATECompared to the situation at the end of 2018, the overall vacancy rate increased by 1.6 p.p. reaching the highest level over the last 5 years - 6.7%. However, in the context of the record growth in new supply in previous years, the share of available space still remains at a relatively low level. The shortage of free space also results from the popularity of BTS schemes and the high volume of pre-let agreements. The schemes under construction are currently 46% leased on average. However, warehouses are often almost fully let upon completion. Nevertheless, the level of pre-let agreements is significantly lower than in previous years.
UNDER CONSTRUCTIONThe impressive volume of new supply delivered over the last two and half years did not deter developers from starting further pro-jects. At the end of September, the total stock under construction amounted to 2.2m sqm.
The largest portion of the constructed stock will be delivered to (562,000 sqm), Warsaw II (400,800 sqm), Lower Silesia (329,100 sqm) and Upper Silesia (308,200 sqm). All primary clusters compri-se almost 80% of the total space under construction.
The largest schemes that are currently under construction are: A2 Warsaw Park (103,700 sqm), Panattoni Park Wrocław XI (97,500 sqm) and Hillwood Łódź Górna (73,000 sqm).
RENTSAs a result of increasing labour and constructions costs coupled with high level of demand, the rental level in the industrial sector has been exhibiting an upward trend since 2018. It especially applied to the he-adline rent. At the same time, strong competition forces landlords to fight for tenants. Generally, landlords aim to keep the headline rates at a high level. In order to achieve this, they become even more willing to offer attractive incentives, reducing effective costs.
The high volume of new supply and the large pipeline volume prevent the rapid growth of rental costs to some extent. This will allow the market balance to be maintained in the short term.
Modern industrial & logistics stock
17.6mln m2
Total stock delivered, Q1-Q3 2019
1,973,400 m2
SUPPLYIn 2017 and 2018, the total leasable space delivered to the market amounted to 2.4m sqm and 2.2m sqm respectively. The rapid pace of growth was also noted over the first nine months of 2019. Between January and September the total existing stock in Poland increased by almost 2m sqm and reached 17.6m sqm at the end of September. It is the highest ever volume of new supply recorded from January to September.
The shortage of available sites in the best locations motivates deve-lopers to seek alternatives. Good access to high speed roads remains a key factor. The best examples of such schemes are the recently fi-nished Hillwood Zalando in Olsztynek and Panattoni S5 North Gate Wrocław and a number of schemes located in the west of Poland along the S3 route.
NEW
6.7%
2
AT A GLANCE – INDUSTRIAL & LOGISTICS MARKET REVIEW, POLAND – Q3 2019
1.00 EUR 2.00 EUR 3.00 EUR 4.00 EUR 5.00 EUR 6.00 EUR
Toruń/Bydgoszcz
Szczecin
West
East
Tricity Region
Kraków Region
Central Poland
Lower Silesia
Poznań Region
Upper Silesia
Warsaw II
Warsaw I
13.2%
4.1%6.7%
8.4%4.7%
8.8%
10.1%2.3%
8.6%4.4%
0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 14%12%
0%4.2%Toruń/Bydgoszcz
Szczecin
West
EastTricity Region
Kraków Region
Central Poland
Lower SilesiaPoznań Region
Upper SilesiaWarsaw IIWarsaw I
0 100,000 500,000200,000 300,000 400,000
Szczecin
Tricity Region
Central Poland
Lower Silesia
Toruń/Bydgoszcz
Poznań Region
Upper Silesia
Warsaw II
EastWest
Warsaw IKraków Region
other 10%
Upper Silesia 15%
Tricity 4%
Poznań Region 11%
Warsaw I 5%
Lower Silesia 13%
Central Poland 12%
Warsaw II 30%
Warsaw I 4.4%
Warsaw II 19.2%
Upper Silesia 17.4%
Central Poland 16.3%
Poznań Region 11.5%
Lower Silesia 10.6%
Szczecin 4.1%
Tricity Region 3.8%
East 2.8%
Toruń/Bydgoszcz 1.9%West 3.0%
Kraków Region 3.3%
other 1.9%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
18%
20%
Q3201920182017201620152014201320122011
m²18,000,000
16,000,000
new supply stock vacancy rate
14,000,000
12,000,000
10,000,000
8,000,000
6,000,000
Vacancy rate, modern industrial and logistics stock Market share by hub, Q3 2019
Source: BNP Paribas Real Estate Source: BNP Paribas Real Estate
Source: BNP Paribas Real Estate
Source: BNP Paribas Real Estate
Source: BNP Paribas Real Estate
Source: BNP Paribas Real Estate
Under construction industrial and logistics space, Q3 2019 (sqm) Vacancy rate by hub, Q3 2019
Gross take-up by hub, Q1-Q3 2019Rental ranges by hub, € per sqm/month, Q3 2019
3
SZCZECIN
BYDGOSZCZ
GORZÓW WLKP.
WROCŁAW
OPOLE
KATOWICE
KIELCE
KRAKÓWRZESZÓW
LUBLIN
ŁÓDŹ
WARSZAWA
BIAŁYSTOK
POZNAŃ
ZIELONAGÓRA
PIOTRKÓW TRYB.
GDAŃSK
OLSZTYN
TORUŃ
3
46
5
1 3
3
4
5
2
2
1
3
AT A GLANCE – INDUSTRIAL & LOGISTICS MARKET REVIEW, POLAND – Q3 2019
BNP Paribas Real Estate has divided the industrial & logistics market into five primary hubs (over 1 million sqm) and six secondary markets as shown on the map.
MAP OF INDUSTRIAL & LOGISTICS HUBS & TRANSPORTATION NETWORK
Source: BNP Paribas Real Estate
PRIMARY HUBS:1. Warsaw I & Warsaw II2. Upper Silesia3. Central Poland4. Poznań5. Lower Silesia
SECONDARY HUBS:1. Kraków2. Tricity3. East4. Bydgoszcz / Toruń5. Szczecin6. West
MAJOR NATIONAL ROADS
HIGHWAYS:EXISTINGUNDER CONSTRUCTION
PLANNED
EXPRESSWAYS:EXISTINGUNDER CONSTRUCTION
PLANNED
4
Narew
Wisła
Utrata
Jezi
orka
Pomiechówek
Czosnów
Wieliszew
Nieporęt
Jabłonna
Izabelin C
Stare Babice
Opacz
Janki
NadarzynLesznowola
ŁOMIANKI
LEGIONOWO
NOWY DWÓRMAZOWIECKI
OTWOCK
PRUSZKÓW
MARKI
KOBYŁKA
WOŁOMIN
ZIELONKA
ZĄBKI
JÓZEFÓW
KARCZEW
KONSTANCIN--JEZIORNA
PIASECZNO
PIASTÓW
BRWINÓW
PODKOWA LEŚNA
OŻARÓW MAZOWIECKI
WARSZAWA
E77
E77
E30
E30
E67
E67
62
61
79
7
8
2
7
A2
S8
S8
S2
95
24
4
36
16
8
253
32
29
22
18
2735
267 311134
1. 7R City Flex Airport I2. Airport House3. Bokserska Distribution Center4. City Logistics Warsaw I5. City Logistics Warsaw II6. City Logistics Warsaw Airport7. City Point8. Diamond Business Park Ursus9. Distribution Park Żerań10. Gate One11. Hillwood Warsaw Targówek12. Ideal City Park13. Ideal Distribution Centre14. Ideal Idea III15. Jutrzenka Park16. Kolmet17. Krakowska Distribution Park18. Logicor Annopol19. Logicor Okęcie20. Logicor Warszawa 21. Manhattan Business & Distribution
Center22. Metropol Park Jagiellońska23. Modularna Distribution Centre24. Norblin Industrial Park25. Platan Park26. Prologis Park Warsaw II27. Prologis Park Warsaw – Żerań28. Segro Business Park Okęcie29. Segro Business Park Warsaw, Żerań 30. Space Distribution Center31. U4 Park32. Ursus Logistic Center33. Warsaw Distribution Center34. Warsaw East Distribution Center35. Wenecka36. Żoliborskie Centrum Biurowo-
Magazynowe
LotniskoWarszawa Okęcie
im. Fryderyka Chopina
W-WARAKÓW
AL. K
RAKO
WSK
A
AL. JE
ROZO
LIMSK
IEŁopuszańska
Kleszczowa
Ryżo
wa
SzyszkowaPOŁUDNIOWA
OBWODNICA WARSZAWY (S2)
20
2314
15
102
1
19176 33
21
13
28 30
12
0 2 4 6 8 km
AT A GLANCE – INDUSTRIAL & LOGISTICS MARKET REVIEW, POLAND – Q3 2019
• Limited availability and the high price of land significantly re-duce cluster development and increase rental costs for the top assets.
• Warsaw I records the highest rents for warehouse space in Po-land.
• In Warsaw, companies are generally more interested in Small Business Units (SBU) than on the other markets.
• At the end of Q3 2019, the vacancy rate was 13.2%, which was the highest result in Poland.
WARSAW I
3.75–5.25 EUR
13.2%
WARSAW I
771,900 m2
24,400 m2
PRIMARY HUBS1
1. Supply over 1m sqm.
EXISTING & UNDER CONSTRUCTION
KEY INDICATORS & FUTURE TRENDS* ( )
*for the next 6 months
Vacancy rate
Under construction
Total existing stock
Headline rent range(per sqm/mth)
5
1. 7R Park West2. A2 Warsaw Park3. Altmaster Grzędy / Wola Mrokowska4. Altmaster Pęcice 5. Altmaster Piaseczno6. Błonie Business Park 7. Distribution Park Grodzisk Maz. 8. Goodman Warsaw I LC (Grodzisk Maz.)9. Hillwood Błonie10. Hillwood Błonie II11. Hillwood Janki I, II12. Hillwood Kalwaria13. Hillwood Marki14. Hillwood Pruszków15. Lexar Distribution Park16. Logicor Błonie17. Logicor Łazy18. Logicor Piaseczno 19. Logicor Święcice 20. Logicor Święcice II21. Logicor Teresin 22. MLP Pruszków I23. MLP Pruszków II 24. MLP Teresin25. Ożarów I Logistics Centre26. Ożarów II Logistics Centre27. P3 Błonie 28. P3 Mszczonów29. Panattoni Park Garwolin30. Panattoni Park Grodzisk III31. Panattoni Park Janki I, II, III32. Panattoni Park Konotopa I, II33. Panattoni Park Pruszków II34. Panattoni Park Pruszków III35. Panattoni Park Pruszków IV36. Panattoni Park Warsaw North (Radzymin)37. Panattoni Park Warsaw South38. Panattoni Park West VI39. Piaseczno Business Park 40. Point of View Góra Kalwaria41. Point of View Kawęczyn 42. Point of View Piaseczno 43. Prologis Park Błonie44. Prologis Park Błonie II (Exeter)45. Prologis Park Janki46. Prologis Park Nadarzyn (Exeter)47. Prologis Park Sochaczew (Ares) 48. Prologis Park Teresin 49. Pruszkowskie Centrum Dystrybucyjne50. Raszyn Business Park51. Reguły Logistic Park 52. Segro Business Park Warsaw, Ożarów53. Segro Logistics Park Warsaw, Nadarzyn 54. Segro Logistics Park Warsaw, Pruszków 55. Techniczna Industrial Park56. Tristar Grodzisk57. WAN Pruszków58. West Park Ożarów59. West Park Pruszków
1. Diamond Business Park Raszyn 2. DL Invest Słomczyn Grójec3. Goodman Warsaw II LC (Janki)4. Goodman Warsaw III LC (Kobyłka)5. Waimea Logistic Park Teresin
Narew
Bug
Bzura
Wkra
Utrata
Pisia
Raw
ka
Wisła
Utrata
Pilic
a
Jezi
orka
J. Zegrzyńskie
Dzierzążnia
Naruszewo
Joniec
NoweMiasto
Załuski
Pomiechówek
Zakroczym
Leoncin
Czerwińsknad Wisłą
Wyszogród
Brochów
Kampinos
Teresin
Baranów
Jaktorów
Puszcza Mariańska
NowyKawęczyn
Regnów
Cielądz Sadkowice
Błędów
Pniewy
Goszczyn
Mogielnica
BelskDuży
Promna
JasieniecBiałaRawska
Chynów
Prażmów
Tarczyn
ŻabiaWola
Lesznowola
Wiązowna
Sulejówek
Józefów
Karczew
Konstancin--Jeziorna
Góra Kalwaria
Nadarzyn
Sobienie--Jeziory
Grabównad Pilicą
Kowiesy
Radziejowice
Wiskitki
Leszno
Błonie
Milanówek
PodkowaLeśna
Brwinów
Pruszków
OżarówMazowiecki
Raszyn
Stare Babice
Izabelin C
Młodzieszyn
Winnica
NasielskPłońsk
PokrzywnicaZatory
Somianka
Dąbrówka
Klembów
KobyłkaMarki
Nieporęt
Radzymin
ZielonkaZąbki
Serock
Wieliszew
JabłonnaCzosnów
Świercze
WARSZAWASOCHACZEW
ŁOMIANKI
NOWY DWÓRMAZOWIECKI
LEGIONOWO
WOŁOMIN
OTWOCK
Warka
GRÓJEC
PIASECZNO
Rawa Mazowiecka
MSZCZONÓW
ŻYRARDÓW
GRODZISKMAZOWIECKI
E77
E30
E67 E77
E77
E30
50
62
92
79
50
79
50
5070
62
62
61
85
7
2
7
A2
S8
S8
S8
S7
20
131
25
40
57
16
13
3435 14
21
5638
308
2
36
3
2
1
4
539
41
28
4344
4615
47 48
3350
51
17
3753
6
102223
329
29
19245
4
59
7
12
27
18
5258
42
54
55
49
26
311 45
0 5 10 15 20 km
AT A GLANCE – INDUSTRIAL & LOGISTICS MARKET REVIEW, POLAND – Q3 2019
WARSAW II
2.50–3.60 EUR
4.1%3,376,600 m2
400,800 m2
WARSAW II
PLANNED
• Warsaw II is the largest warehouse market in Poland and embraces over a fifth of the country’s total stock.
• Over the last 9 months, the total stock grew by 168,600 sqm. Another 400,800 sqm remains under construction.
• The largest scheme delivered by developers by the end of September was Panattoni Park Warsaw South (38,000 sqm).
• The rapid increase in new supply and the dominance of largescale projects keep rental rates stable at one of the lowest levels in the country.
• New transport infrastructure in the eastern (S8, A2) and southern (S8, S7, S17) parts of the hub will result in new warehouse developments in these directions emerging over the next few years.
EXISTING & UNDER CONSTRUCTION
Vacancy rate
Under construction
Total existing stock
Headline rent range(per sqm/mth)
*for the next 6 months
KEY INDICATORS & FUTURE TRENDS* ( )
6
1. 7R Park Gorzyce2. Goodman Lędziny Logistics Centre3. Panattoni Park Tychy4. Panattoni Park Częstochowa5. Prologis Park Ujazd
1. 7R Beskid Park (Czechowice-Dziedzice)2. 7R Siemianowice Śląskie3. 7R Sosnowiec City Flex4. Alliance Silesia Logistics Center5. Bielsko-Biała Logistics Centre6. Centrum Logistyczne Milowice7. Diamond Business Park Gliwice8. DL Invest Park Dąbrowa Górnicza9. DL Invest Park Psary/Czeladź 10. Goodman Gliwice Logistics Centre11. Goodman Sosnowiec Logistics Centre12. Górnośląski Park Przemysłowy13. Hillwood Czętochowa14. Hillwood Ruda Śląska15. Hillwood Sosnowiec Zagłębie16. Logicor Będzin17. Logicor Czeladź18. Logicor Częstochowa19. Logicor Gliwice I20. Logicor Gliwice II21. Logicor Mysłowice22. Logicor Sosnowiec23. Logistic Park Bieruń24. Logistic Park Tychy25. MLP Czeladź26. MLP Gliwice27. Panattoni Park Bielsko-Biała II28. Panattoni Park Bielsko-Biała III29. Panattoni Park Gliwice II30. Panattoni Park Gliwice III31. Panattoni Park Ruda32. Panattoni Park Sosnowiec I, II33. Panattoni Park Zabrze34. Panattoni Park Żory35. Prologis Park Będzin II (Exeter)36. Prologis Park Chorzów37. Prologis Park Dąbrowa38. Prologis Park Ruda Śląska39. Segro Business Park Gliwice I, II, III40. Segro Industrial Park Tychy41. Segro Industrial Park Tychy II42. Segro Logistics Park Gliwice43. Śląskie Centrum Logistyczne44. Terminal Logistyczny Promont Tychy45. Tristar Czeladź
Warta
J. Porajskie
M
ała Panew
Przemsza
Soła
Wisła
Brynica
Cza
rna
Pr
zem
sza
J. Goczałkowickie
Olza
Pszczynka
Ruda
J. Rybnickie
Kłodnica
DobrodzieńCiasna
Pawonków
Zawadzkie
Lubliniec
Kochanowice
Koszęcin
Blachownia
Herby Konopiska
BoronówStarcza
Olsztyn
Podczesna
KamienicaPolska
Koziegłowy
Woźniki
Kalety
KrupskiMłyn
Wielowieś
Tworóg
Miasteczko Śl.
SiewierzMierzącice
Poręba
OżarowiceŚwierklaniec
RadzinkówZbrosławicePyskowice
Toszek
Jemielnica
StrzelceOpolskie
Warmątowice
Ujazd
Rudziniec
KuźniaRaciborska
Pilchowice
Sośnicowice
Nędza
Lyski Jejkowice
Gaszowice
RydułtowyPszów
RadlinMarklowice
Gorzyce Mszana
Godów
Zebrzydowice
DębowiecHażlach
SkoczówJaworze
Kozy
Bestwina
Goczałkowice--Zdrój
Miedźna Brzeszcze
BojszowyKobiór
Suszec
Pawłowice
Orzesze
Ormontowice
Gierałtowice
WyryŁaziska G.
Lędziny
Bieruń
Chełm Śl.
Chełmek
Libiąż
Imielin
PsaryBobrowniki
PIEKARY ŚL.
TARNOWSKIEGÓRY
DĄBROWA G.BYTOM
GLIWICE
RYBNIK TYCHY
BIELSKO--BIAŁA
ZABRZE RUDA ŚL.
ŚWIĘTOCHŁOWICE
CHORZÓW
SOSNOWIEC
JAWORZNOMYSŁOWICE
JASTRZĘBIE--ZDRÓJ
Wojkowice
PolankaWielka
Przeciszów
Wilamowice Wieprz
Osiek
Andrychów
Kęty
Jasienica
StrumieńChybie
Bohumín
Petřvald
HAVÍŘOV
KARVINÁ
ORLOVÁ
Jankowice
ŻarkiKolonowskie
MYSZKÓW
KNURÓW
CZERWIONKA--LESZCZYNY
ŻORY
PSZCZYNA
OŚWIĘCIMWODZISŁAWŚLĄSKI
CZECHOWICE--DZIECICE
KATOWICE
CZĘSTOCHOWA
E75
E40
E40
E40E75
E40E75
E462
E462
E462
46
11
9478
78
86
78
88
94
94
44
86
81
44
152
78
67
81
475
40
40
88
1
46
46
S86
S1
S1
S1
S1
S1
S69
A1
A1
A1
A4
A4
A1
A1
15
26
41
6
8
9
14
2
4
33
34
1
5
3
392
4
42
3
17
1813
22354525
1236
38
31
27
29
19
232440
5
1
3011
43
44
37
21
71016
32
28
20
0 5 10 15 20 km
AT A GLANCE – INDUSTRIAL & LOGISTICS MARKET REVIEW, POLAND – Q3 2019
EXISTING & UNDER CONSTRUCTION
Vacancy rate
Under construction
Total existing stock
Headline rent range(per sqm/mth)
*for the next 6 months
KEY INDICATORS & FUTURE TRENDS* ( )
UPPER SILESIA
PLANNED
2.70–3.50 EUR
6.7%3,069,000 m2
308,200 m2
• Upper Silesia as one of the most populated and industrialised regions in Poland remains a key industrial and logistics market.
• In Q3 2019 alone, warehouse space increased by 376,300 sqm mainly following the delivery of massive scheme Panattoni BTS Amazon Gliwice which delivered 210,000 sqm of space.
• The pipeline volume reached the third highest level among all hubs - 308,200 sqm. The biggest schemes currently under con-struction are Prologis Park Ruda Śląska, Panattoni Park Sos-nowiec II and Panattoni Park Żory.
• The vacancy rate rose to 6.7%. It means an increase by 0.9 p.p. compared to the end of 2018.
• The range of rental rates in Upper Silesia is similar to other major warehouse clusters.
7
J. Sulejowskie
Wolbórk
a
Pilica
Raw
ka
Skierniew
ka
Rawka
Bzura
Mro
ga
Bzura
Mos
zcze
nic a
Bzura
Ner
Grabia
Widawka
Luciąża
Pilica
Czarna
Parzęczew
Góra św. Małgorzaty
Bielawy
ZdunyChąśno Nowa
Sucha
NieborówBolimów
Godzianów
Słupia
Żelechlinek
Czerniewice
Inowłódz
SławnoMniszków
Będków
RokicinyBrójce
Grabica
DrużbiceZelów
ŁękiSzlacheckie Ręczno
Aleksandrów
Paradyż
Budziszewice
Nowy Kawęczyn
Łyszkowice
MakówDmosin
Ozorków Głowno
ŁOWICZ
SKIERNIEWICE
Łęczyca
ZGIERZ
Piątek
Lutomiersk
Dobroń
Ksawerów
Andrespol
Rogów
LipceReymontowskie
Jeżów
Głuchów
Dłutów
Kluki
Kleszczów
Sulmierzyce
Gorzkowice
Rozprza
WolaKrzysztoporska
Białaczów
Żarnów
Rzeczyca
Lubochnia
UjazdCzarnocin
Moszczenica
Domaniewice
Witonia
Brzeziny
KoluszkiKonstantynówŁódzki
AleksandrówŁódzki
PABIANICE
BEŁCHATÓWPIOTRKÓWTRYBUNALSKI
TOMASZÓWMAZOWIECKI
Stryków
Rzgów
Tuszyn
Kamieńsk
Sulejów
Wolbórz
Opoczno
RAWAMAZOWIECKA
ŁÓDŹ
E75E30
E30
91
14
92
5092
70
70
72
72 72
71
71
71
12
9174
12
48
1
E75
E67
S8
S14
A1
A1
A1
A2
A2
72
26
10
12
14
21
59
13
6
5
4
1715
24
22
25
6
20
2 2811
4
27
8
1
3
2
1
7
29
3 23
19
1618
0 5 10 15 20 km
1. 7R City Flex Łódź2. 7R Park Łódź West3. Central European Logistics Hub4. City Logistics Łódź I5. Diamond Business Park Stryków 6. Goodman Łódź I Logistics
Centre7. Hillwood Kutno8. Hillwood Łódź Górna9. Hillwood Stryków 10. Logicor Łódź11. Logicor Łódź II12. Logicor Łódź III 13. Logicor Stryków14. Logis 15. Logistic City – Piotrków
Distribution Centre 16. Łódź Business Park 17. P3 Piotrków 18. Panattoni Park Business Center
Łódź 19. Panattoni Park Business Center
Łódź II, III, IV20. Panattoni Park Konstantynów
Łódzki21. Panattoni Park Łódź East I, II22. Panattoni Park Stryków II, III23. Prologis Park Łódź24. Prologis Park Piotrków I 25. Prologis Park Piotrków II
(Exeter)26. Prologis Park Stryków 27. Segro Business Park Łódź 28. Segro Logistics Park Łódź29. Segro Logistics Park Stryków
1. Goodman Łódź II Logistics Centre
2. Hillwood Łowicz Południe3. Hillwood Łódź (Lućmierz)4. MLP Stryków5. MountPark Stryków6. Panattoni Park Łódź West
0 5 10 15 20 km
AT A GLANCE – INDUSTRIAL & LOGISTICS MARKET REVIEW, POLAND – Q3 2019
EXISTING & UNDER CONSTRUCTION
Vacancy rate
Under construction
Total existing stock
Headline rent range(per sqm/mth)
*for the next 6 months
KEY INDICATORS & FUTURE TRENDS* ( )
CENTRAL POLAND
PLANNED
2.60–3.60 EUR
8.8%2,878,200 m2
239,200 m2
• The blend of central location, well developed transport infra-structure and relatively good access to a labour force made the cluster the fastest growing hub in 2018 and 2019.
• At the end of Q3 2019, in Central Poland was the third largest industrial market Poland (after Warsaw II and Upper Silesia) in terms of total existing stock.
• Over the last nine months the market grew by 398,500 sqm, which means that total stock has grown around 14% over that period. The largest warehouses delivered to the market were: another stage of P3 Piotrków (63,600 sqm), Panattoni BTS Leroy Merlin (62,000 sqm) and Panattoni BTS Castorama (51,700 sqm).
• As a result of significant volume of delivered space, the vacancy rate has grown rapidly. At the end of September it reached 8.8%, which means an increase by 3.7 p.p. compared to the end of 2018.
8
1. 7R Park Poznań East2. Centrum Magazynowe Bugaj3. Clip – Centrum Logistyczno Inwestycyjne
Poznań4. Doxler5. Goodman Poznań II Logistics Centre6. Goodman Poznań III Logistics Centre7. Goodman Poznań Airport Logistics
Centre8. IL-D Niepruszewo9. Logicor Poznań I10. Logicor Poznań II11. Logicor Poznań III12. Logicor Poznań IV13. Logit14. MLP Poznań15. Nickel Technology Park Poznań16. P3 Poznań17. Panattoni Park Konin18. Panattoni Park Poznań III19. Panattoni Park Poznań IV20. Panattoni Park Poznań V21. Panattoni Park Poznań VI22. Panattoni Park Poznań VII23. Panattoni Park Poznań VIII24. Panattoni Park Poznań IX25. Panattoni Park Września26. Park Przemysłowy Luboń27. Prologis Park Poznań I28. Prologis Park Poznań II29. Prologis Park Poznań III30. Segro Logistics Park Poznań, Gądki31. Segro Logistics Park Poznań, Komorniki32. Tristar Poznań Airport
1. MLP Poznań West2. Segro Logistics Park Poznań,
Gołuski3. Waimea Logistic Park Tarnowo
Podgórne
Warta
Mogilnica
War
ta
Lubasz
Połajewo
Wronki Obrzycko
OstrorógSzmotuły
Oborniki
Rokietnica
Kaźmierz
Duszniki
Buk
Opalenica
Granowo
GrodziskWielkopolski
Kamieniec
Śmigiel
LipnoOsieczna
Krzywiń
DolskJaraczewo
KsiążWielkopolski
Brodnica
Czempiń
Mosina
StęszewPuszczykowo
Kleszczewo
Dominowo
Nekla
Czerniejewo
Pobiedziska
MurowanaGoślina
Łubowo
Kiszkowo
Kłecko
Sroki
Mieścisko
WapnoBudzyń
Rogoźno
Kostrzyn
Czerwonak
SuchyLas
ŚrodaWielkopolska
Miłosław
Zaniemyśl
Kórnik
Komorniki
Krzykosy NoweMiaston. WartąKościan
Dopiewo
TarnowoPodgórne
Ryczywół
POZNAŃ
WĄGROWIEC
SWARZĘDZ
ŚREM
JAROCIN
E30
E30
E261
E261
E261
11
11
92
92
11
12
11
15
15
32 5
5
S5
S11A2
A2
S5
7
29
6
21
19
2
13
1116
9
27
32
23
30
28
25
20
4
10
128
26
15
31
1317
22
21
324
14
5
18
0 5 10 15 20 km
AT A GLANCE – INDUSTRIAL & LOGISTICS MARKET REVIEW, POLAND – Q3 2019
EXISTING & UNDER CONSTRUCTION
Vacancy rate
Under construction
Total existing stock
Headline rent range(per sqm/mth)
*for the next 6 months
KEY INDICATORS & FUTURE TRENDS* ( )
POZNAŃ
PLANNED
2.70–3.40 EUR
8.4%2,027,800 m2
131,100 m2
• There were two schemes completed in Poznań region in Q3 2019 – 7R Park Poznań and the first stage of MLP Poznań West.
• Since the beginning of 2019, the vacancy rate has decreased by 0.3 p.p. and at the end of September it reached 8.4%. However, the available space almost doubled compared to the corre-sponding period of the previous year.
• Growing construction costs and high level of demand can stim-ulate the rental level increase in the middle and long term.
• There are an increasing number of warehouses being built in the area between Poznań and the German border, along major transportation corridors. They have created a new warehouse hub – “West”, gathering schemes along the western border.
9
Oława
Oław
a
Odra
Odra
J. Mietkowskie
Strzegomka
Wąsosz
Jemielno
Wińsko Żmigród
Milicz
Twardogóra
Dobroszyce
ZawoniaTrzebnicaOborniki Śl.
WiszniaMała
Brzeg Dolny
Wołów
Malczyce
Miękinia
Kostomłoty
Mietków
Marcinowice Sobótka
Łagiewniki
Kondratowice
NiemczaPieszyce
StoszowiceNowaRuda
PiławaGórna Ciepłowody
Ziębice
Przeworno
Grodków
Olszanka
Wiązów
Domaniów
Żórawina
Siechnice
Czernica
Długołęka
BIerutów
Jelcz--Laskowice
Lubsza
Kobierzyce
Strzelin
SkarbimierzOsiedle
Ząbkowice Śl.
JordanówŚląski
Borów
Żarów
KątyWrocławskie
ŚrodaŚląska
Krośnice
Prusice
OLEŚNICA
OŁAWA
BRZEGŚWIDNICA
DZIERŻONIÓW
BIELAWA
WROCŁAW
0 5 10 15 20 km
E67
E67
E40
E67
E40
E40
E261
36
94
94
94
35
39
15
5
8
8
25
S5
S8S8
A4
A4
A8
A4
2818
13
7
2
1
3
15
12
25
4
10
5
11
6
29
31
8
21
22
23 14 24
26
16
20
17
9
30
1
2
27 19
0 5 10 15 20 km
1. 7R Wrocław2. BIK Park Wrocław I3. City Logistics Wrocław I4. Eurologis5. Gazowa Industrial Park6. Goodman Wrocław IV Logistics
Centre7. Goodman Wrocław V Logistics
Centre8. Hillwood Wrocław Bielany9. Hillwood Wrocław Wschód I, II10. Hillwood Wrocław III11. Logicor Wrocław II12. Logicor Wrocław IV13. MLP Wrocław14. Panattoni Park Wrocław II15. Panattoni Park Wrocław III16. Panattoni Park Wrocław V 17. Panattoni Park Wrocław VII18. Panattoni Park Wrocław IX19. Panattoni Park Wrocław XI20. Panattoni Park Wrocław Airport21. Prologis Park Wrocław22. Prologis Park Wrocław III23. Prologis Park Wrocław IV24. Prologis Park Wrocław V25. S5 Wrocław North Gate26. Segro Industrial Park Wrocław27. Tiner Logistic Park28. Tristar Wrocław29. Wrocław Business Park30. Wrocław-Bielany Logistics
Centre31. VATT Invest Wrocław
1. MountPark Wrocław2. SegroLogistics Park Wrocław
PLANNED
• Lower Silesia owes its development to well-developed transport infrastructure. The majority of industrial schemes provide its ser-vices to foreign markets, thanks to its proximity to the southern and western borders of the country.
• Since the beginning of 2019, the total supply has grown by almost 170,000 sqm. The largest delivered scheme was Panattoni Park Wrocław IX (45,800 sqm).
• Despite an increase in the vacancy rate in Q3 2019, Lower Silesia region still stands out as having one of the lowest shares of avail-able space among major industrial clusters. It had reached a level of 4.7% at the end of September.
• Rental rates in the Wrocław area are among the highest for the main industrial and logistics hubs (apart from the area within the boundaries of Warsaw).
• In December 2017, the S5 expressway to the north of Wrocław was opened. The whole of the high speed road between Wrocław and Poznań should be completed by the end of 2019. A direct result of the route’s development was the construction of a new logistics scheme being launched - Panattoni S5 North Gate Wrocław.
AT A GLANCE – INDUSTRIAL & LOGISTICS MARKET REVIEW, POLAND – Q3 2019
EXISTING & UNDER CONSTRUCTION
Vacancy rate
Under construction
Total existing stock
Headline rent range(per sqm/mth)
*for the next 6 months
KEY INDICATORS & FUTURE TRENDS* ( )
LOWER SILESIA
2.70–3.70 EUR
4.7%1,865,100 m2
329,100 m2
10
ŚwinnaPoręba (bud.)
J. Dobczyckie
Raba
Raba
Skawa
S kawa
Wisła
Ogrodzieniec
Żarnowiec
Sędziszów
Kozłów
Charsznica
Miechów
KsiążWielki
Michałów
Słaboszów
Działoszyce
CzarnocinRacławice
PałecznicaRadziemice
Koniusza
Luborzyca
Michałowice
IwanowiceWłościańskie
Skała
WielkaWieś
Zielonki
TrzyciążGołcza
Sułoszowa
Klucze
Bolesław
Bukowno
Trzebinia
Krzeszowice
Zabierzów
Alwernia
Spytkowice
Brzeźnica
Tomice
Wadowice
KalwariaZebrzydowska
StryszówLanckorona
Mucharz
Zembrzyce
Stryszawa
Tokarnia
BystraJordanów
RabaWyżna
Rabka--Zdrój
MszanaDolna
Lubień
Pcim
Wiśniowa
Jodłownik
Dobra Tymbark
Laskowa
ŻegocinaTrzciana
Łapanów
NowyWiśnicz
Raciechowice
Dobczyce
Myślenice
SieprawMogilany
Skawina
Wieliczka
ŚwiątnikiGórne
Sułkowice
Gdów
Tomaszkowice
Niepołomice
Kłaj Rzezawa
LipnicaMurowana
Limanowa
Łukowica
Słopnica
Niedźwiedź
Zawoja
SuchaBeskidzka
MakówPodhalański
Budzów
Liszki
Czernichów
Babice
JerzmanowiceProszowice
NoweBrzesko
DrwinaWawrzeńczyce
SłomnikiKazimierza
Wielka
Skalbmierz
Pińczów
Wodzisław
Wolbrom
Pilica
OLKUSZ
CHRZANÓW
BOCHNIA
KRAKÓW
ZAWIERCIE
E40
E40
E77
E462
E77
94
79
44
52
28
28
28
28
75
47
7
7
7975
7
S7
S7
S52A4
A41
2
1
4
2 8
6
75
11
12
9
10
3
1. 7R Park Brzesko2. Centrum Logistyczne Kraków III
1. 7R Hillwood Park Kraków Kokotów
2. Centrum Logistyczne Kraków I3. Centrum Logistyczne Kraków II4. Goodman Kraków Airport
Logistics Centre5. KJF Park Balice6. Logicor Kraków7. Łęgprzem Kraków8. MARR Business Park9. MG Logistic10. Panattoni Park Kraków II, III, IV11. RB Logistic Olkusz12. Witek Airport Logistic Centre
0 5 10 15 20 km
AT A GLANCE – INDUSTRIAL & LOGISTICS MARKET REVIEW, POLAND – Q3 2019
KRAKÓW
3.20–3.90 EUR
577,900 m2
16,700 m2
8.6%
• Since the beginning of 2019 Kraków hub has grown by 102,000 sqm, mainly due to delivery of other phases of 7R Park Kraków.
• Relatively fast growth of the market contributes to increasing the vacancy rate. At the end of September it reached 8.6%, which is 1.7 p.p. higher than in the previous year.
• There are two BTS schemes currently under construction– 7R BTS Balice and Goodman BTS Skawina.
• Due to a shortage of modern space within the boundaries of the city, Kraków remains the second most expensive location in the country.
1. Supply below 1m sqm.
SECONDARY HUBS1
EXISTING & UNDER CONSTRUCTION
Vacancy rate
Under construction
Total existing stock
Headline rent range(per sqm/mth)
KEY INDICATORS & FUTURE TRENDS* ( )
*for the next 6 months
PLANNED
11
J. Żarno-wieckie
Z a t o k aP u c k a
Z a t o k a
G d a ń s k a
Wisła
Nogat
Martwa
Wisła
Reda
J. Raduńskie Dln.
Radunia
Krokowa
Jastarnia
Władysławowo
Puck
Gniewino
Reda
Luzino
Szemud
Przodkowo
ŻukowoChmielno
KARTUZY
Somonino
Przywidz
Kolbudy
Nowa Karczma
Liniewo
Stara Kiszewa
Kaliska
Zblewo
Pelplin
SulkowyMiłoradz
Lichnowy
PszczółkiTrąbkiWielkie
Skarszewy
Suchy Dąb
CedryWielkie
Ostaszewo
Stegna
Sztutowo
Nowy DwórGdański
Nowy Staw
StaryTarg
Kosakowo HelWEJHEROWO
PRUSZCZGDAŃSKI
STAROGARDGDAŃSKI
MALBORK
SZTUM
GDYNIA
GDAŃSK
SOPOT
RUMIA
TCZEW
E28
E28
E77
E75
20
55
55
2222
2291
91
20
6
7
S6
S7
S7
S6
S6
A1
5
7
312
6
89
4
10
2
131
14
715 16
111
1. 7R Park City Flex Gdańsk2. 7R Tczew3. Chylonia Business Park4. Gdańsk-Kowale Distribution Centre 5. Centrum Magazynowe Hutnicza6. Goodman Pomeranian Logistics
Centre7. Logistic Center Pruszcz Gdański8. Panattoni Park Gdańsk I9. Panattoni Park Gdańsk III10. Panattoni Park Rafineria11. Panattoni Park Tricity North12. Port Gdynia Logistic Centre13. Prologis Park Gdańsk-Airpot
(Exeter)14. Royal Business Park15. Segro Logistics Park Gdańsk16. Tristar Gdańsk
0 5 10 15 20 km
1. 7R City Flex Gdynia
PLANNED
AT A GLANCE – INDUSTRIAL & LOGISTICS MARKET REVIEW, POLAND – Q3 2019
EXISTING & UNDER CONSTRUCTION
Vacancy rate
Under construction
Total existing stock
Headline rent range(per sqm/mth)
*for the next 6 months
KEY INDICATORS & FUTURE TRENDS* ( )
2.80–3.40 EUR
10.1%667,000 m2
102,100 m2
• The Tricity region is the largest industrial and logistics mar-ket in northern Poland. The proximity of international sea-ports, an international airport and expressways contribute to the development of intermodal transport.
• Since the beginning of 2019, the total modern logistics stock has increased by 171,700 sqm. The largest delivered scheme was Panattoni Park Gdańsk III.
• Q3 brought a significant increase in vacancy rates. In the Tricity cluster 10.1% of existing space remained a without tenant.
• At the end of Q3, the total stock under construction has reached a total of 102,100 sqm located in four schemes.
TRICITY
12
Wieprz
Chodelka
Bystrzy
ca
Abramów
Kurów
Końskowola Markuszów
GarbówJastków
Nałęczów
Wojciechów
Poniatowa
Bełżyce
Borzechów
Jabłonna
Piaski
MełgiewMilejów
CycówPuchaczów
Łęczna
Ludwin
SpiczynNiemce
Serniki
Lubartów
JakubowiceMurowane
Trawniki
Fajsławice
ŁopiennikGórny
Chodel
Konopnica
NiedrzwicaDuża
Wąwolnica
Kamionka
LUBLIN
ŚWIDNIK
48
19
19
19
74
82
17
12
12
S19
S17
S19
S17
7
1
5
8
24
6 31
2
Przyr w
a
Wisłok a
Łęg
Wisł
a
Wisła
ZalewPilzno W
isło
k
Wisłoka
Szydłów Staszów Łoniów
Osiek
BaranówSandomierski
PadewNarodowa
TuszówNarodowy
GawłuszowiceBorowaPacanów
Szczucin
WadowiceGórne
RadomyślWielki Przecław
Radgoszcz
Dąbrowa Tarnowska
LisiaGóra
Pustków
Żyraków
Czarna
Pilzno
WielopoleSkrzyńskie
Wiśniowa
Frysztak
Kołaczyce
Wojaszówka
TarnowiecJedlicze
Dębowiec
Chorkówka
Niebylec
Domaradz
JasienicaRozielna
Brzozów
Haczów
Korczyna
Czudec
Iwierzyce
Boguchwała
Tyczyn
Lubenia
ŚwilczaTrzebownisko
GłogówMałopolski
NiwiskaKolbuszowa
Cmolas
Dzikowiec
MajdanKrólewski
Bojanów
Grąbów
NowaDęba
Raniżów
Ostrów SędziszówMłp.
Ropczyce
Skrzyszów
Tuchów
Ryglice
RzepiennikStrzyżewski
Ciężkowice
Moszczenica
Szerzyny
Skołyszyn
Biecz
ŁużnaLipinki
Jodłowa Brzostek
Brzyska
PołaniecŁubnice
Koprzywnica
Rytwiany
Oleśnica
Tuczępy
TARNÓW
RZESZÓWDĘBICA
STRZYŻÓW
JASŁO
GORLICE
KROSNO
MIELEC
TARNOBRZEGSTALOWA
WOLA
79
79
73
73
73
28
9
9
9
E371
A4
A4
S19
10 13
12
11
3
9
14
0 5 10 15 20 km
0 5 10 15 20 km
1. Centrum Logistyczne Mełgiewska
2. Centrum Logistyczne Tokarska3. Centrum Logistyczne Vetterów4. Goodman Lublin Logistics
Centre5. Go East - Lubelskie Centrum
Logistyczne6. MLP Lublin 7. Panattoni Park Lublin I8. Panattoni Park Lublin II9. 7R Rzeszów10. Centrum Logistyczne Rogoźnica11. Panattoni Park Rzeszów12. Skalski Logistic Park Podgrodzie13. Waimea Cargo Terminal
Rzeszów-Jesionka14. Waimea Logistic Park Korczowa
1. Korczowa Logistic Park2. MLP Lublin II3. Panattoni Park Lublin III
AT A GLANCE – INDUSTRIAL & LOGISTICS MARKET REVIEW, POLAND – Q3 2019
EXISTING & UNDER CONSTRUCTION
Vacancy rate
Under construction
Total existing stock
Headline rent range(per sqm/mth)
*for the next 6 months
KEY INDICATORS & FUTURE TRENDS* ( )
EAST
3.20–3.60 EUR
2.3%494,300 m2
32,700 m2
• In 2019 developers finished the construction of only three large-scale projects in the region of Lublin, Rzeszów and Białystok: Pana-ttoni Park Lublin, MLP Lublin and 7R Park Rzeszów.
• Since the beginning of 2019, a significant amount of free space was absorbed. At the end of September, the share of available space has been amounted to 2.3%.
• The planned completion of the S17 expressway between Warsaw and Lublin in 2020 will significantly improve transportation to/from the capital and is expected to increase the potential for emergence of an industrial and logistics sector in this area.
• Route S19 between Lublin and Rzeszów, part of the “Via Carpatia” route, is currently being carried out as a “design and build” project. The first sections of it will be delivered in 2021.
PLANNED
13
Ina
Randow
Randow
Odra
Zac
h.
Odra
Płonia
Ina
Gowienica
RoztokaOdrzańska
Z a l e w S z c z e c i ń s k i J. Nowowar-
pieńskie
Małe Dąbie
J. Dąbie
J. Miedwie
Odra
Wsc
h.
Brüssow
Gartz
Penkun
Osina
Stara Dąbrowa
StareCzarnowo
Kołbaskowo Kobylanka
Dobra
Stepnica
Maszewo
Gry�no
Nowogard
GoleniówPOLICE
STARGARD
SZCZECIN
E65
E65
E65
E28
E28
104
E28
E28
10
10
2013
31
2
2
A6
S3
S3
S6
S10
2
14
7
1
6
8
3
52
1. 7R Szczecin2. Exeter Park Szczecin I, II3. North-West Logistic Park I, II4. Panattoni Park Szczecin I5. Panattoni Park Szczecin II6. Prologis Park Szczecin (Exeter)7. Waimea Logistic Park Statgard8. Waimea Terminal Cargo
Szczecin - Goleniów
0 5 10 15 20 km
Brda
Kanał
Noteć
Notecki
Wisł
a
Wisła
Drwęca
Sicienko
Osielsko
PruszczStolno
Lisewo
Chełmża
Łysomice
LubiczDolny
Obrowo
CiechocinekAleksandrówKujawski
MałaNieszawka
Rojewo
ZłotnikiKujawskie
Nowa WieśWielka
BiałeBłota
SolecKujawski
ZławieśWielka
Łabiszyn
Barcin
WielkaNieszawka
Gniewkowo
KowalewoPomorskie
PłużnicaKijewoKrólewskie
DąbrowaChełmińska
Unisław
Łubianka
PapowoBiskupie
Dobrcz
BYDGOSZCZ
TORUŃ
E75
E261
E261
25
25
15
15
5591
10
10
80
80
5
5
A1
S5
S5
S5S10
S10
1
5236
1
4
1. Goodman Toruń Logistics Centre
2. Logistic and Business Park Bydgoszcz
3. Panattoni Park Bydgoszcz I, II4. Panattoni Park Toruń II5. Waimea Logistic Park Bydgoszcz6. Waimea MM Bydgoszcz
1. Diamond Business Park Toruń
0 5 10 15 20 km
1. JWC Park Szczecin2. Park Szczecin II
PLANNED
AT A GLANCE – INDUSTRIAL & LOGISTICS MARKET REVIEW, POLAND – Q3 2019
SZCZECIN• 40% of the total stock in this region is located in two largescale
BTS schemes: the largest warehouse in Poland – Panattoni BTS Amazon Szczecin (161,500 sqm) and Goodman BTS Zalando Szczecin (130,000 sqm).
• At the end of September 4.4% of leasable space remained with-out a tenant.
• The largest building completed over the second quarter was Panattoni Park Szczecin II (37,400 sqm).
• At the end of September, there were two schemes under construction: another phase of Panattoni Park Szczecin I (30,300 sqm) and Exeter Park Szczecin II (15,000 sqm).
BYDGOSZCZ / TORUŃ • In 2017 alone, the industrial and logistics market in the Bydgoszcz
/ Toruń hub increased by 86%. This was caused by the delivery of three large-scale warehouse schemes. The hub has grown by only 13,200 sqm since the beginning of 2018.
• The vacancy rate remained at a similar level for a few months, slightly exceeding 4%.
• By the end of this year, Bydgoszcz / Toruń hub was expected to gain a convenient connection with Poznań as a result of further phases of the S5 expressway being completed. Unfortunately, the agreements with some contractors were repudiated recently. Therefore, the completion of the entire road will be postponed.
2.90–3.50 EUR
4.2%331,900 m2
80,100 m2
3.10–3.90 EUR
4.4%719,100 m2
45,300 m2
EXISTING & UNDER CONSTRUCTION
PLANNED
*for the next 6 months
*for the next 6 months
Vacancy rate
Under construction
Total existing stock
Headline rent range(per sqm/mth)
KEY INDICATORS & FUTURE TRENDS* ( )
Vacancy rate
Under construction
Total existing stock
Headline rent range(per sqm/mth)
KEY INDICATORS & FUTURE TRENDS* ( )
EXISTING & UNDER CONSTRUCTION
14
Odra
Warta
WartaWarta
Odra
Odra
Bóbr
Bóbr
Bóbr
Odra
Odra
E30 E30
S3
S3
S3
S3
S3
S3
S3
A4
A4A4
A4
A18
A18
A2A2
A2
E40
E65
E65
E65
E65
E6531
31
31
22 2222
22
22
2424
24
9292
92
92
92
23
23
31
31
29
29
29
32
32
32
32
3232
32
27
27
12
12
12
12 12
36
36
9494
94
94
30
30
34
353
3
3
5
5
5
5
12
12
LEGNICA
WAŁBRZYCH
ŚWIDNICA
LIBEREC
ZIELONA GÓRA
GORZÓWWIELKOPOLSKI
CHOCIEBUŻ
LUBIN
FRANKFURTNAD ODRĄ
GÖRLITZ ZGORZELEC
JELENIA GÓRA
GŁOGÓW
ŻAGAŃŻARY
ŚWIEBODZIN
MIĘDZYCHÓD
NOWA SÓL
BOLESŁAWIEC
BUDZISZYN
EISENHÜTTENSTADT
WRONKI
MIĘDZYRZECZ
GRODZISKWIELKOPOLSKI
WOLSZTYN
GUBIN
FORST (LAUSITZ)
KOSTRZYNNAD ODRĄ
LubniewiceSłońsk
Dębno
Witnica
LubiszynBoleszkowice
NowinyWielkie
Deszczno
Skwierzyna
Goszczanowo
Drezdenko
Sowia Góra
Miały
Wróblewo
Ostroróg
Białokosz
Przytoczna
Bucharzewo
Rokitno
Prusim
Pniewy
Mużaków
Strzeszowice
Włochów
Żaganiec
Siecieborzyce
Studzieniec
SzklarskaPoręba
Antoniów
Karpacz
Kamienna Góra
BolkówKaczorów
Chrośnica
MarciszówBukowiec
Krzeszówek
JaworLuboradz
Lusina
StrzegomRoztoka
Legnickie Pole
Prochowice
Dzierzkowice
Karczowiska
Ścinawa
Redlice
PolkowiceJakubowo Lubińskie
Szklary Dolne
GromadkaTrzebień
Leszno Górne
Ruszów
Węgliniec
Jagodzin
Godzieszów
PrzejęsławChocianów
Przemków
Niegosławice
Rudna
GrębociceNieszczyce
WierzchowniaGóra
Szlichtyngowa
Wschowa
Sława
Grochowice
Chełmek
Czerna
Drożyna
Łęgoń
Obra
Rakoniewice
Kuźnica Zbąska
Opalenica
BukWąsowo
Łowyń
Miedzichowo
Łagowiec
Grońsko
Zębówko
Nowy Tomyśl
ZbąszyńZbąszynek
Kargowa
KonotopBojadła
Trzebiechów Świętno Perkowo
Włoszałkowice
Wilkowo Polskie
Babimost
Sulechów
Nowe Miasteczko
Chojnów
ZagrodnoŻeliszów
Czaple
Świerzawa
Jastrowiec
Sichów
Wyskok
Olszyna
Lubań
Sulików
Głuszyca
Świebodzice
Pszczew
Nowy DworekŁagów
Sulęcin
Muszkowo
GoliceTemplewo
Małuszów
Ośno Lubuskie
Rzepin
Boczów Torzym
Mostki
Cibórz
Rosin
Smardzewo
BytnicaSiedlisko
Radomicko
Rybołowy
Bogaczów
Tuchola Żarska
Dzikowo
Wełmice
Jałowice
Polanowice
Węgrzynice
Debrznica
Przylep
Bródki
Łagów
Racula
Ochla
Lubiatów
NowogródBobrzański
KrosnoOdrzańskie
DychówBronków
Brody Lubsko
JasieńKożuchów
Niwilska
Brzeźnica
Szpotawa
Trzebów
ŚwiętoszówIłowa
Kliczków
Nowogrodziec
Złotoryja
Leśna
Świeradów-Zdrój
LwówekŚląski
GryfówŚląski Lubomierz
Cybinka
Maczków
1
34
5
1
252
3
6
42
1
1. Exeter Park Sulechów2. Exeter Park Świecko3. Hillwood Krosno Odrzańskie4. Hillwood Świebodzin5. Hillwood Świecko6. Panattoni Park Zielona Góra I, II
1. CTPark Iłowa2. Exeter Park Świebodzin3. Hillwood Zgorzelec4. Panattoni Park Legnica5. Waimea Logiscitc Park Rzepin
BTS schemes
AT A GLANCE – INDUSTRIAL & LOGISTICS MARKET REVIEW, POLAND – Q3 2019
0 5 10 15 20 km
3.00-3.80 EUR0%522,700 m2 32,300 m2
WEST
The West cluster comprises warehouse and logistics schemes situated along the western border of Poland and the S3 expressway.
This region is dominated by BTS schemes, which account for 60% of the total stock.
At the end of Q3 2019, the to-tal volume under construction amounted to 32,300 sqm.
Dominance of BTS type projects coupled with the high level of ten-ant demand has led to a shortage of available warehouse space in modern existing schemes. More-over, 85% of the stock which is currently at construction stage was already leased.
Key drivers that are triggering development of this region are high demand for space from companies operating in West-ern Europe, steadily improving road infrastructure (e. g. the S3 expressway) and the convenient accessibility of this location.
PLANNED
EXISTING & UNDER CONSTRUCTION
Vacancy rateTotal existing stock Headline rent range(per sqm/mth)
*for the next 6 months
KEY INDICATORS & FUTURE TRENDS* ( )
Under construction
15
AT A GLANCE – INDUSTRIAL & LOGISTICS MARKET REVIEW, POLAND – Q3 2019
DEFINITIONSIndustrial and logistics stock (sqm) – a term covering the following sub-types of existing space: Light Manufacturing and Warehousing (including Logistics), delivered to the market by professional developers.
Take-up (sqm) – transactions regarding industrial and logistics space including: pre-lets, built-to-suit, new transactons, renegotiations and sub-lease.
Vacancy rate (%) – ratio representing the percentage of physically va-cant space in existing properties.
Rent range (in Euro per sqm) – Rental rates for 2,000 sqm unit ranging from the top to average modern industrial and logistics schemes in a given hub.
AUTHORSzymon Dołęga Consultant, Research & Consultancy Department, Central & Eastern Europe, [email protected]
CONTACTSErik Drukker Chief Executive Officer, Central & Eastern Europe, [email protected] Roguski Head of Industrial & Logistics Department, Central & Eastern Europe, [email protected] Pawłowski Associate Director, Industrial & Logistics Agency, [email protected] Kajka Senior Consultant, Industrial & Logistics Department, [email protected] Gnich Senior Consultant, Industrial & Logistics Department, [email protected] Milczarek Director, Capital Markets, [email protected] Dzikowska Head of Research & Consultancy, Central & Eastern Europe, [email protected]
All rights reserved. At a Glance is protected in its entirety by copyright. No part of this publication may be reproduced, translated, transmitted, or stored in a retrieval system in any form or by any means, without the prior permission in writing of BNP Paribas Real Estate.
Selected lease transactions, Q1-Q3 2019
Selected schemes under construction, Q3 2019
Tenant Scheme Hub Area leased (m2) Type of lease
Jysk Logistic City Piotrków Trybunalski Central Poland 60,000 renewal
Pantos Logistics Panattoni Park Wrocław XI Lower Silesia 59,200 new
Pepsico P3 Mszczonów Warsaw II 58,500 new
Raben Prologis Park Ruda Śląska Upper Silesia 51,200 new
PF Logo P3 Poznań Poznań 49,700 renegwal
Scheme Hub Developer Area (m2)
Panattoni BTS Amazon Gliwice Upper Silesia Panattoni 210,000
Hillwood Olsztynek other Hillwood 120,500
Panattoni BTS Leroy Merlin Central Poland Panattoni 62,000
Panattoni BTS Amazon Bolesławiec West Panattoni 60,600
P3 Piotrków Central Poland P3 59,600Source: BNP Paribas Real Estate
Source: BNP Paribas Real Estate
Source: BNP Paribas Real Estate
Scheme Hub Developer Area (m2)
A2 Warsaw Park Warsaw II Panattoni 103,700
Panattoni Park Wrocław XI Lower Silesia Panattoni 97,500
Hillwood Łódź Górna Central Poland Hillwood 73,000
Panattoni Park Janki III Warsaw II Panattoni 70,600
Central European Logistics Hub Central Poland Panattoni 67,000
Selected schemes delivered, Q1 -Q3 2019
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