atmospheric clear-sky longwave radiative cooling and precipitation richard allan environmental...

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Atmospheric clear-sky longwave radiative cooling and precipitation Richard Allan Environmental Systems Science Centre, University of Reading, UK

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Page 1: Atmospheric clear-sky longwave radiative cooling and precipitation Richard Allan Environmental Systems Science Centre, University of Reading, UK

Atmospheric clear-sky longwave radiative cooling

and precipitation

Richard Allan

Environmental Systems Science Centre, University of Reading, UK

Page 2: Atmospheric clear-sky longwave radiative cooling and precipitation Richard Allan Environmental Systems Science Centre, University of Reading, UK

Introduction

• Clear-sky radiative cooling: – radiative convective balance– atmospheric circulation

• Earth’s radiation budget– Understand clear-sky budget to understand

cloud radiative effect

• Datasets:– Reanalyses – observing system– Satellites – calibration and sampling

Page 3: Atmospheric clear-sky longwave radiative cooling and precipitation Richard Allan Environmental Systems Science Centre, University of Reading, UK

Datasets used• Surface and Top of Atmosphere clear-sky LW flux

• Column integrated water vapour (CWV)• Reanalyses:

– ERA-40 (1979-2001); NCEP-1 (1979-2004)

• Satellite data– ERBS, ScaRaB, CERES (clear-sky OLR)

– SMMR, SSM/I V5 (CIWV)

• Combination datasets:– SRB Rel. 2(1983-1994)…reanalysis?

– SSM/I, da Silva, ERA40, Prata (1996) surface net LWc

• IPCC AR4 models

Page 4: Atmospheric clear-sky longwave radiative cooling and precipitation Richard Allan Environmental Systems Science Centre, University of Reading, UK

Links to precipitation

HadGEM - AMIP

Page 5: Atmospheric clear-sky longwave radiative cooling and precipitation Richard Allan Environmental Systems Science Centre, University of Reading, UK

Tropical Oceans

1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005

Ts

CWV

LWc

SFC

ERA40

NCEP

SRB

SMMR, SSM/I

SSM/I, Prata

HadISST

Page 6: Atmospheric clear-sky longwave radiative cooling and precipitation Richard Allan Environmental Systems Science Centre, University of Reading, UK

Spurious variability in ERA40

• Improved performance in water vapour and clear-sky radiation using 24 hour forecasts

Page 7: Atmospheric clear-sky longwave radiative cooling and precipitation Richard Allan Environmental Systems Science Centre, University of Reading, UK

Surface LWc and water vapourdLWc/dCWV ~ 1.5 Wkg-1

ERA40 NCEP

dCWV/dTs ~ 3 kgm-2K-1

Page 8: Atmospheric clear-sky longwave radiative cooling and precipitation Richard Allan Environmental Systems Science Centre, University of Reading, UK

Clear-sky OLR with surface temperature: + ERBS, ScaRaB, CERES; SRB

Calibration or sampling?

Page 9: Atmospheric clear-sky longwave radiative cooling and precipitation Richard Allan Environmental Systems Science Centre, University of Reading, UK

Clear-sky vs resolution

Page 10: Atmospheric clear-sky longwave radiative cooling and precipitation Richard Allan Environmental Systems Science Centre, University of Reading, UK

Sensitivity study

• Based on GERB- SEVIRI and model simulations of OLR and cloud products over ocean:

• dOLRc/dRes ~0.2 Wm-2km-0.5

• Suggest CERES should be biased low

by ~0.5 Wm-2 relative to ERBS

Page 11: Atmospheric clear-sky longwave radiative cooling and precipitation Richard Allan Environmental Systems Science Centre, University of Reading, UK

Tropical Oceans

Surface Net LWc

Clear-sky OLR

Clear-sky Atmos LW cooling

QLWc

ERA40

NCEP

SRB

HadISST

ERBS, ScaRaB, CERES

Derived

Page 12: Atmospheric clear-sky longwave radiative cooling and precipitation Richard Allan Environmental Systems Science Centre, University of Reading, UK

Linear least squares fit

• Tropical ocean: descending regime

• Dataset dQLWc/dTs Slope

• ERA-40 3.7±0.5 Wm-2K-1

• NCEP 4.2±0.3 Wm-2K-1

• SRB 3.6±0.5 Wm-2K-1

• OBS 4.6±0.5 Wm-2K-1

ERA40 NCEP

Page 13: Atmospheric clear-sky longwave radiative cooling and precipitation Richard Allan Environmental Systems Science Centre, University of Reading, UK

Implications for tropical precipitation (GPCP)?

ERA40 QLWc

GPCP P

OBS QLWc

Page 14: Atmospheric clear-sky longwave radiative cooling and precipitation Richard Allan Environmental Systems Science Centre, University of Reading, UK

IPCC AR4 models: tropical oceans

• SST

• CWV

• Net LWc

• OLRc

Page 15: Atmospheric clear-sky longwave radiative cooling and precipitation Richard Allan Environmental Systems Science Centre, University of Reading, UK

IPCC AR4 models: tropical oceans

• QLWc

• Precip

Page 16: Atmospheric clear-sky longwave radiative cooling and precipitation Richard Allan Environmental Systems Science Centre, University of Reading, UK

Conclusions

• Intercomparisons of datasets: clear-sky LW at SFC, TOA, ATM

• Reanalyses: observing system changes

• Satellites: calibration, sampling

• Increase in clear-sky LW cooling of atmosphere of ~3-5 Wm-2K-1

• All-sky changes? Models?