atmospheric mercury measurements and modeling at noaa’s air resources laboratory mark cohen,...

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Atmospheric Mercury Measurements and Modeling at NOAA’s Air Resources Laboratory Mark Cohen, Winston Luke, Paul Kelley, Roland Draxler, Fantine Ngan, and Richard Artz NOAA Air Resources Laboratory, Silver Spring, MD, http://www.arl.noaa.gov/mercury.php Presentation at: NCAS Annual Science Meeting April 15, 2010 at the NOAA Silver Spring Campus

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Page 1: Atmospheric Mercury Measurements and Modeling at NOAA’s Air Resources Laboratory Mark Cohen, Winston Luke, Paul Kelley, Roland Draxler, Fantine Ngan, and

Atmospheric Mercury Measurements and Modeling at NOAA’s Air Resources Laboratory

Mark Cohen, Winston Luke, Paul Kelley, Roland Draxler, Fantine Ngan, and Richard Artz

NOAA Air Resources Laboratory, Silver Spring, MD, http://www.arl.noaa.gov/mercury.php

Presentation at:NCAS Annual Science Meeting

April 15, 2010at the NOAA Silver Spring Campus

Page 2: Atmospheric Mercury Measurements and Modeling at NOAA’s Air Resources Laboratory Mark Cohen, Winston Luke, Paul Kelley, Roland Draxler, Fantine Ngan, and

1. MeasurementsA. Site Locations and SettingsB. Current Suite of Measurements

C. Intensive (this Summer)D. Data – some examples

2. Modeling

A. Episodes for Model Evaluation

B. Emissions and Met Data -- Fine-Scale

D. Upcoming Great Lakes Project

C. Evolution of the HYSPLIT-Hg Model

Page 3: Atmospheric Mercury Measurements and Modeling at NOAA’s Air Resources Laboratory Mark Cohen, Winston Luke, Paul Kelley, Roland Draxler, Fantine Ngan, and

Canaan Valley Institute[CVI–NOAA]

Beltsville[EPA-NOAA]

Four NOAA associated sites committed to emerging inter-agency speciated mercury ambient concentration measurement network

(comparable to Mercury Deposition Network (MDN) for wet deposition, but for air concentrations)

Grand Bay NERRNOAA-MSDEP

Allegheny Portage[CVI-PA-NOAA]

Page 4: Atmospheric Mercury Measurements and Modeling at NOAA’s Air Resources Laboratory Mark Cohen, Winston Luke, Paul Kelley, Roland Draxler, Fantine Ngan, and

Atmospheric Mercury Initiativehttp://nadp.sws.uiuc.edu/AMN/

Page 5: Atmospheric Mercury Measurements and Modeling at NOAA’s Air Resources Laboratory Mark Cohen, Winston Luke, Paul Kelley, Roland Draxler, Fantine Ngan, and

Beltsville, Maryland

Co-located with the EPA’s CASTNet site, and the Beltsville NTN and MDN sites

Page 6: Atmospheric Mercury Measurements and Modeling at NOAA’s Air Resources Laboratory Mark Cohen, Winston Luke, Paul Kelley, Roland Draxler, Fantine Ngan, and

coal

incinerator

metals

manuf/other

Symbol colorindicates typeof mercury source

1 - 50

50 - 100

100 - 200

200 – 400

400 - 700

700 – 1000

> 1000

Symbol size andshape indicates 1999 mercuryemissions, kg/yr

rural AQS

NADP/MDN

CASTNet

IMPROVE

Monitoring sites

other AQS

Hg site

100 miles from DC

Bremo

Beltsville monitoring site

Morgantown

Chalk Point

Dickerson

Possum Point

Large Incinerators: 3 medical waste,

1 MSW, 1 haz waste(Total Hg ~ 500 kg/yr)

Brunner Island

Eddystone

Arlington - Pentagon MSW Incin

Brandon Shores and H.A. Wagner

Montgomery CountyMSW Incin

Harford County MSW Incin

Page 7: Atmospheric Mercury Measurements and Modeling at NOAA’s Air Resources Laboratory Mark Cohen, Winston Luke, Paul Kelley, Roland Draxler, Fantine Ngan, and

5 km

Patuxent River

Beltsville Atmospheric Monitoring Site

(EPA, NOAA, State of MD, Univ. of MD)

Patuxent Research Refuge (FWS)

Patuxent Wildlife Research Center

(USGS)

Beltsville Agricultural

Research Center (USDA)

Howard University Atmos. Site ( + NASA, NSF, NOAA, others)

Page 8: Atmospheric Mercury Measurements and Modeling at NOAA’s Air Resources Laboratory Mark Cohen, Winston Luke, Paul Kelley, Roland Draxler, Fantine Ngan, and

ARL’s Winston Luke working with RGM and Hg(p) collectors

Atmospheric Mercury Measurement Site at Beltsville, MD

mercury and trace gasmonitoring tower (10 meters)

After RGM and Hg(p) is collected, it is desorbed and analyzed inside the trailer, along with Hg(0)

Top of tower (close-up) with two sets of

RGM and Hg(p) collectors

Precipitation measurements (left to right): Mercury Deposition Network, Major Ions (e.g.”acid rain”), Precipitation Amount

Page 9: Atmospheric Mercury Measurements and Modeling at NOAA’s Air Resources Laboratory Mark Cohen, Winston Luke, Paul Kelley, Roland Draxler, Fantine Ngan, and

Grand Bay National Estuarine Research Reserve (NERR),

Mississippi

Co-located with the MS-DEQ / EPA’s precipitation measurements sites

(NTN, MDN, and trace metals)

Page 10: Atmospheric Mercury Measurements and Modeling at NOAA’s Air Resources Laboratory Mark Cohen, Winston Luke, Paul Kelley, Roland Draxler, Fantine Ngan, and

color of symbol denotes type of mercury source

coal-fired power plants

other fuel combustion

waste incineration

metallurgical

manufacturing & other

size/shape of symbol denotes amount of Reactive Gaseous Mercury (RGM) emitted during 2002 (kg/yr)

10 - 50

50 - 100

100 – 300

5 - 10

urban areas

Grand Bay NERR

monitoring site

Watson

Daniel

Barry

Lowman

CristMobile

Pensacola

Mississippi Alabama

Florida

Louisiana

Pascagoula MSW

incinerator **

Brewton paper mill*

* Brewton paper mill mercury emissions included in 2002 NEI, but do not appear to be in 2000-2008 TRI ** Pascagoula MSW incinerator mercury emissions included in 2002 NEI but incineration ceased in Jan 2001*** Ipsco Steel had significant mercury emissions in 2002 NEI, but negligible emissions reported in 2008 TRI

Eaton

Gaylord Container Bogalusa

IPSCO Steel ***

Biloxi-Gulfport

New Orleans

Hattiesburg

Slidell

Pascagoula

Grand Bay NERR sampling site, with large point sources of Reactive Gaseous Mercury in the region, based on the EPA’s 2002 National Emissions Inventory

Page 11: Atmospheric Mercury Measurements and Modeling at NOAA’s Air Resources Laboratory Mark Cohen, Winston Luke, Paul Kelley, Roland Draxler, Fantine Ngan, and

view from top of the tower

mercury and trace gasmonitoring tower (10 meters)

Current Location of Site

Page 12: Atmospheric Mercury Measurements and Modeling at NOAA’s Air Resources Laboratory Mark Cohen, Winston Luke, Paul Kelley, Roland Draxler, Fantine Ngan, and

Winston Luke (Principal Investigator, NOAA – Air Resources Laboratory) and Jake Walker (site operator, Grand Bay National Estuarine Research Reserve)

“Hmmm…maybe it would work better if we have the tower go vertical?”

Page 13: Atmospheric Mercury Measurements and Modeling at NOAA’s Air Resources Laboratory Mark Cohen, Winston Luke, Paul Kelley, Roland Draxler, Fantine Ngan, and

Elemental mercury (two instruments)

Fine particulate mercury (two instruments)

Reactive gaseous mercury (two instruments)

Sulfur dioxide

Ozone

Carbon Monoxide

Nitrogen Oxides (NO, NOy)

Aerosol Black Carbon

Wind speed, Wind Direction

Temperature, Relative Humidity

Precipitation Amount

“Speciated” Atmospheric Mercury Concentrations

Trace gases and other measurements to help understand and interpret mercury data

Meteorological Data

Current Atmospheric Measurements at the Grand Bay NERR

Page 14: Atmospheric Mercury Measurements and Modeling at NOAA’s Air Resources Laboratory Mark Cohen, Winston Luke, Paul Kelley, Roland Draxler, Fantine Ngan, and

Instrumentation inside the trailer at the Grand Bay NERR site

Page 15: Atmospheric Mercury Measurements and Modeling at NOAA’s Air Resources Laboratory Mark Cohen, Winston Luke, Paul Kelley, Roland Draxler, Fantine Ngan, and

200

5

200

6

200

7

200

8

200

9

201

0

2005-2006: site selection

Jan 2008:NO/NOy

added

Feb 2007: Meteorological measurements added

Aug 21 – Oct 5, 2008: site shut down due to threat of hurricanes

2010: Wet Deposition

measurements being added

Summer 2010: Field Intensive (being planned)

Jan 2010: Black

Carbon added

Oct 2007: Move to “coastal” site near Pavillion;

2nd Tekran speciated Hg measurement suite added

Sept 2006:Speciated Hg,

SO2, O3, and CO measurements begin

at “inland” site

Timeline of Site Activities at the Grand Bay NERR

Page 16: Atmospheric Mercury Measurements and Modeling at NOAA’s Air Resources Laboratory Mark Cohen, Winston Luke, Paul Kelley, Roland Draxler, Fantine Ngan, and

Wet Deposition Measurements Being Added in 2010 by the Mississippi Department of Environmental Protection

(Henry Folmar, Becky Comyns, others), with funding from the EPA

Precipitation Continuous digital measurement of precipitation amount

Major IonspH, SO4

-2, NO3-, PO4

-3, Cl-,

NH4+, Ca+2, Mg+2, K+, Na+

Weekly measurements of concentrations in precipitation (NADP-NTN)

Total Mercury Weekly measurements of concentration in precipitation (NADP-MDN)

Methyl Mercury Monthly measurements of concentration in precipitation (composite)

Selected Trace MetalsAs, Cd, Cr, Cu, Pb, Ni, Se, Zn

Weekly measurements of concentrations in precipitation

Page 17: Atmospheric Mercury Measurements and Modeling at NOAA’s Air Resources Laboratory Mark Cohen, Winston Luke, Paul Kelley, Roland Draxler, Fantine Ngan, and

Canaan Valley, West Virginia

Operated by Steve Brooks of the Canaan Valley Institute,

who also runs an AIRMon-Wet site, a new MDN site, and carries out

several other Hg measurements as well

Page 18: Atmospheric Mercury Measurements and Modeling at NOAA’s Air Resources Laboratory Mark Cohen, Winston Luke, Paul Kelley, Roland Draxler, Fantine Ngan, and

CVI’s Research Area is the Mid-Atlantic Highlands

NOAA performs the Mercury and Air Quality Studies

Page 19: Atmospheric Mercury Measurements and Modeling at NOAA’s Air Resources Laboratory Mark Cohen, Winston Luke, Paul Kelley, Roland Draxler, Fantine Ngan, and

Canaan Valley non-Network Mercury Measurements

• Continuous gaseous elemental mercury surface fluxes (modified-Bowen ratio)

• Weekly total mercury snow pack and stream outflow (calibrated stream gauge)

• Monthly groundwater

• Total mercury in Throughfall (event/campaign)

• Weekly Cat-ion exchange membrane surrogate surfaces

Page 20: Atmospheric Mercury Measurements and Modeling at NOAA’s Air Resources Laboratory Mark Cohen, Winston Luke, Paul Kelley, Roland Draxler, Fantine Ngan, and

Rain and Snow collectors for Mercury and Acid Rain

Mercury chemicalcomposition sensors

Shelter for sensors measuringmercury, ozone, carbondioxide and other trace gases

Vertical profilers for mercuryAir-surface exchange

Ultrasonic anemometerfor wind turbulence

Charge dissipater forLightning protection

Canaan Valley Hg Site

Page 21: Atmospheric Mercury Measurements and Modeling at NOAA’s Air Resources Laboratory Mark Cohen, Winston Luke, Paul Kelley, Roland Draxler, Fantine Ngan, and

Allegheny Portage RailroadNational Historic Site,

Pennsylvania

Co-located with the MS-DEQ / EPA’s precipitation measurements sites

(NTN, MDN, and trace metals)

Page 22: Atmospheric Mercury Measurements and Modeling at NOAA’s Air Resources Laboratory Mark Cohen, Winston Luke, Paul Kelley, Roland Draxler, Fantine Ngan, and

PA13 Allegheny

Portage

Page 23: Atmospheric Mercury Measurements and Modeling at NOAA’s Air Resources Laboratory Mark Cohen, Winston Luke, Paul Kelley, Roland Draxler, Fantine Ngan, and

Cambria Cogencoe10, r10, p14

Numbers in facility labels are kg/yr emissions of elemental, reactive gaseous, and particulate mercury, respectively

Interpower Colvere10, r10, p15

Homer Citye080, r213, p019

Keystonee203, r537, p048

Armstronge039, r102, p009

Shawvillee096, r255, p023

Conemaughe213, r018, p001

Reliant Sewarde10, r13, p03

PA13 Allegheny

Portage

Page 24: Atmospheric Mercury Measurements and Modeling at NOAA’s Air Resources Laboratory Mark Cohen, Winston Luke, Paul Kelley, Roland Draxler, Fantine Ngan, and

PA13 Allegheny

Portage

Page 25: Atmospheric Mercury Measurements and Modeling at NOAA’s Air Resources Laboratory Mark Cohen, Winston Luke, Paul Kelley, Roland Draxler, Fantine Ngan, and
Page 26: Atmospheric Mercury Measurements and Modeling at NOAA’s Air Resources Laboratory Mark Cohen, Winston Luke, Paul Kelley, Roland Draxler, Fantine Ngan, and

1. MeasurementsA. Site Locations and SettingsB. Current Suite of Measurements

C. Intensive (this Summer)D. Data – some examples

2. Modeling

A. Episodes for Model Evaluation

B. Emissions and Met Data -- Fine-Scale

D. Upcoming Great Lakes Project

C. Evolution of the HYSPLIT-Hg Model

Page 27: Atmospheric Mercury Measurements and Modeling at NOAA’s Air Resources Laboratory Mark Cohen, Winston Luke, Paul Kelley, Roland Draxler, Fantine Ngan, and

Site Collaborators / Co-locators

Ambient Air Measurements Precipitation Dry Deposition Other

Mercury Speciatio

n

SO2 O3NO/NOy

CO

Carbon

black

Major

Ions (NTN

)

Mercury

(MDN)

Trace

Metals

Surrogat

e Surface

Throughfall

Meteorolog

y

Beltsville (MD)

PI = Winston Luke (NOAA) EPA Clean Air Markets Division Univ of Maryland Maryland DNR MACTEC USGS

• • • • • • • •

Grand Bay (MS)

PI = Winston Luke (NOAA) Grand Bay NERR MS Dept Envr Quality U.S. EPA U.S. Fish & Wildlife Agency

• • • • • • • • •Canaan Valley (WV)

PI = Steve Brooks(CVI/NOAA Canaan Valley Institute Univ Md Frostburg

Appalachian Lab USGS

• • • • • • •Allegheny Portage (PA)

PI = Steve Brooks (CVI/NOAA) Canaan Valley Institute Pennsylvania DEP National Park Service

• • •

NOAA-led measurementCo-located measurement

Summary of NOAA ARL Mercury Measurement Sites

Page 28: Atmospheric Mercury Measurements and Modeling at NOAA’s Air Resources Laboratory Mark Cohen, Winston Luke, Paul Kelley, Roland Draxler, Fantine Ngan, and

1. MeasurementsA. Site Locations and SettingsB. Current Suite of Measurements

C. Intensive (this Summer)D. Data – some examples

2. Modeling

A. Episodes for Model Evaluation

B. Emissions and Met Data -- Fine-Scale

D. Upcoming Great Lakes Project

C. Evolution of the HYSPLIT-Hg Model

Page 29: Atmospheric Mercury Measurements and Modeling at NOAA’s Air Resources Laboratory Mark Cohen, Winston Luke, Paul Kelley, Roland Draxler, Fantine Ngan, and

Plans for Atmospheric Field Intensive, July-Aug 2010 at the Grand Bay NERR

Ground-Based Measurements

(ongoing) speciated mercury, trace gas, black carbon, and meteorological measurements

• Winston Luke and Paul Kelley (NOAA ARL) • Jake Walker (Grand Bay NERR)

(ongoing) wet deposition: major ions, mercury, methylmercury, metalsWill try to switch to event-based during intensive

• Mississippi State Dept of Env Protection/EPA• Jake Walker (Grand Bay NERR)

ambient concentrations of BrO at the surface via Chemical Ionization Mass Spectrometry (possibly other Br compounds, e.g., Br2, BrCl, and HOBr

• Greg Huey (Georgia Tech)

isotopic mercury analysis of event-based precipitation and aerosols • Bill Landing, Flip Froelich (Florida State Univ)

trace metal analysis of size-segregated aerosol Spring 2010 and possibly during intensive

• Mark Engle (USGS)

Aircraft and Above Surface Measurements

aircraft flights measuring concentrations of Hg0 (Tekran), total and “speciated” RGM (coated/uncoated denuders),

O3, SO2, and particle count

•Stephen Corda, John Muratore, & colleagues (Univ. of Tennessee Space Institute – UTSI)• Hynes and Swartzendruber (Univ of Miami)• Luke and Kelley (NOAA ARL)

vertical distribution of O3 and met data above the site (ozonesondes)• Luke and Kelley (NOAA ARL) • Jake Walker (Grand Bay NERR)

Details are still being worked out…

Page 30: Atmospheric Mercury Measurements and Modeling at NOAA’s Air Resources Laboratory Mark Cohen, Winston Luke, Paul Kelley, Roland Draxler, Fantine Ngan, and

1. MeasurementsA. Site Locations and SettingsB. Current Suite of Measurements

C. Intensive (this Summer)D. Data – some examples

2. Modeling

A. Episodes for Model Evaluation

B. Emissions and Met Data -- Fine-Scale

D. Upcoming Great Lakes Project

C. Evolution of the HYSPLIT-Hg Model

Page 31: Atmospheric Mercury Measurements and Modeling at NOAA’s Air Resources Laboratory Mark Cohen, Winston Luke, Paul Kelley, Roland Draxler, Fantine Ngan, and

05/01/0805/02/08

05/03/0805/04/08

05/05/0805/06/08

05/07/0805/08/08

05/09/0805/10/08

05/11/0805/12/08

05/13/0805/14/08

05/15/08

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

110

120

130

140

150

160

170

180

1.00

1.10

1.20

1.30

1.40

1.50

1.60

1.70

1.80

1.90

2.00

2.10

2.20

2.30

2.40

2.50

2.60

2.70

2.80

Speciated Atmospheric Mercury and Selected Trace Gas Concentration Measurements at Grand Bay NERR

Courtesy of Winston Luke and Paul Kelley (NOAA ARL) and Jake Walker (Grand Bay NERR) (Preliminary Values)

RGM(pg/m3)D1

RGM(pg/m3)D2

FPM(pg/m3)D1FPM(pg/m3)D2

FPM 10 micron D1

FPM 10 micron D2GEM(ng/m3)D1

GEM(ng/m3)D2

SO2*5 ppbO3 ppb

Local Time

RG

M (

pg

/m3

), F

PM

(p

g/m

3),

SO

2*5

(p

pb

), O

3 (

pp

b)

GE

M (

ng/m

3)

Page 32: Atmospheric Mercury Measurements and Modeling at NOAA’s Air Resources Laboratory Mark Cohen, Winston Luke, Paul Kelley, Roland Draxler, Fantine Ngan, and

Beltsville site is impacted by a variety of local-regional sources with unique emissions characteristics.

Coupled chemical-meteorological analysis will yield important insights into mercury emissions, transport, transformation, and removal at the site.

Page 33: Atmospheric Mercury Measurements and Modeling at NOAA’s Air Resources Laboratory Mark Cohen, Winston Luke, Paul Kelley, Roland Draxler, Fantine Ngan, and

D4 vs D3 RGM

y = 0.9526x + 1.4949

R2 = 0.9774

0

50

100

150

200

250

0 50 100 150 200 250

D3 RGM (pg m-3)

D4

RG

M (

pg

m-3

)

Page 34: Atmospheric Mercury Measurements and Modeling at NOAA’s Air Resources Laboratory Mark Cohen, Winston Luke, Paul Kelley, Roland Draxler, Fantine Ngan, and
Page 35: Atmospheric Mercury Measurements and Modeling at NOAA’s Air Resources Laboratory Mark Cohen, Winston Luke, Paul Kelley, Roland Draxler, Fantine Ngan, and

Two systems were configured identically (pink), then System 2 was fitted with a 10-micron cut point elutriator (blue) over the course of several days.

Results suggest that there may be as much mercury in the coarse (sea salt) aerosol fraction as in the fine fraction.

Studies will be repeated periodically at the site.

Page 36: Atmospheric Mercury Measurements and Modeling at NOAA’s Air Resources Laboratory Mark Cohen, Winston Luke, Paul Kelley, Roland Draxler, Fantine Ngan, and

1. MeasurementsA. Site Locations and SettingsB. Current Suite of Measurements

C. Intensive (this Summer)D. Data – some examples

2. Modeling

A. Episodes for Model Evaluation

B. Emissions and Met Data -- Fine-Scale

D. Upcoming Great Lakes Project

C. Evolution of the HYSPLIT-Hg Model

Page 37: Atmospheric Mercury Measurements and Modeling at NOAA’s Air Resources Laboratory Mark Cohen, Winston Luke, Paul Kelley, Roland Draxler, Fantine Ngan, and

Dry and wet deposition of the pollutants in the puff are estimated at each time step.

The puff’s mass, size, and location are continuously tracked…

Phase partitioning and chemical transformations of pollutants within the puff are estimated at each time step

= mass of pollutant(changes due to chemical transformations and deposition that occur at each time step)

Centerline of puff motion determined by wind direction and velocity

Initial puff location is at source, with mass depending on emissions rate

TIME (hours)0 1 2

deposition 1 deposition 2 deposition to receptor

lake

Lagrangian Puff Atmospheric Fate and Transport Model NOAA HYSPLITMODEL

Page 38: Atmospheric Mercury Measurements and Modeling at NOAA’s Air Resources Laboratory Mark Cohen, Winston Luke, Paul Kelley, Roland Draxler, Fantine Ngan, and
Page 39: Atmospheric Mercury Measurements and Modeling at NOAA’s Air Resources Laboratory Mark Cohen, Winston Luke, Paul Kelley, Roland Draxler, Fantine Ngan, and
Page 40: Atmospheric Mercury Measurements and Modeling at NOAA’s Air Resources Laboratory Mark Cohen, Winston Luke, Paul Kelley, Roland Draxler, Fantine Ngan, and

1. MeasurementsA. Site Locations and SettingsB. Current Suite of Measurements

C. Intensive (this Summer)D. Data – some examples

2. Modeling

A. Episodes for Model Evaluation

B. Emissions and Met Data -- Fine-Scale

D. Upcoming Great Lakes Project

C. Evolution of the HYSPLIT-Hg Model

Page 41: Atmospheric Mercury Measurements and Modeling at NOAA’s Air Resources Laboratory Mark Cohen, Winston Luke, Paul Kelley, Roland Draxler, Fantine Ngan, and

Hg from other sources: local, regional & more distant

Measurement of ambient air

concentrations

Measurement of wet

deposition

Page 42: Atmospheric Mercury Measurements and Modeling at NOAA’s Air Resources Laboratory Mark Cohen, Winston Luke, Paul Kelley, Roland Draxler, Fantine Ngan, and

05/01/0805/02/08

05/03/0805/04/08

05/05/0805/06/08

05/07/0805/08/08

05/09/0805/10/08

05/11/0805/12/08

05/13/0805/14/08

05/15/08

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

110

120

130

140

150

160

170

180

1.00

1.10

1.20

1.30

1.40

1.50

1.60

1.70

1.80

1.90

2.00

2.10

2.20

2.30

2.40

2.50

2.60

2.70

2.80

Speciated Atmospheric Mercury and Selected Trace Gas Concentration Measurements at Grand Bay NERR

Courtesy of Winston Luke and Paul Kelley (NOAA ARL) and Jake Walker (Grand Bay NERR) (Preliminary Values)

RGM(pg/m3)D1

RGM(pg/m3)D2

FPM(pg/m3)D1FPM(pg/m3)D2

FPM 10 micron D1

FPM 10 micron D2GEM(ng/m3)D1

GEM(ng/m3)D2

SO2*5 ppbO3 ppb

Local Time

RG

M (

pg

/m3

), F

PM

(p

g/m

3),

SO

2*5

(p

pb

), O

3 (

pp

b)

GE

M (

ng/m

3)

initial emphasis is model evaluation focusing on episodes

Page 43: Atmospheric Mercury Measurements and Modeling at NOAA’s Air Resources Laboratory Mark Cohen, Winston Luke, Paul Kelley, Roland Draxler, Fantine Ngan, and

12/15/0712/16/07

12/17/0712/18/07

12/19/0712/20/07

12/21/0712/22/07

12/23/0712/24/07

12/25/0712/26/07

12/27/0712/28/07

12/29/0712/30/07

12/31/0701/01/08

0

25

50

75

100

125

150

175

200

225

250

1.00

1.40

1.80

2.20

2.60

3.00

3.40

3.80

4.20

4.60

5.00

Speciated Atmospheric Mercury and Selected Trace Gas Concentration Measurements at Grand Bay NERR

Courtesy of Winston Luke and Paul Kelley (NOAA ARL) and Jake Walker (Grand Bay NERR) (Preliminary Values)

RGM(pg/m3)D1

RGM(pg/m3)D2

FPM(pg/m3)D1FPM(pg/m3)D2

FPM 10 micron D1

FPM 10 micron D2GEM(ng/m3)D1

GEM(ng/m3)D2

SO2*5 ppbO3 ppb

Local Time

RG

M (

pg

/m3

), F

PM

(p

g/m

3),

SO

2*5

(p

pb

), O

3 (

pp

b)

GE

M (

ng/m

3)

December 24, 2007:Large peaks in RGM and SO2

Page 44: Atmospheric Mercury Measurements and Modeling at NOAA’s Air Resources Laboratory Mark Cohen, Winston Luke, Paul Kelley, Roland Draxler, Fantine Ngan, and

02/01/0802/02/08

02/03/0802/04/08

02/05/0802/06/08

02/07/0802/08/08

02/09/0802/10/08

02/11/0802/12/08

02/13/0802/14/08

02/15/08

0

25

50

75

100

125

150

175

200

225

250

275

300

1.00

1.25

1.50

1.75

2.00

2.25

2.50

2.75

3.00

3.25

3.50

3.75

4.00

Speciated Atmospheric Mercury and Selected Trace Gas Concentration Measurements at Grand Bay NERR

Courtesy of Winston Luke and Paul Kelley (NOAA ARL) and Jake Walker (Grand Bay NERR) (Preliminary Values)

RGM(pg/m3)D1

RGM(pg/m3)D2

FPM(pg/m3)D1FPM(pg/m3)D2

FPM 10 micron D1

FPM 10 micron D2GEM(ng/m3)D1

GEM(ng/m3)D2

SO2*5 ppbO3 ppb

Local Time

RG

M (

pg

/m3

), F

PM

(p

g/m

3),

SO

2*5

(p

pb

), O

3 (

pp

b)

GE

M (

ng/m

3)

February 10, 2008:Large peaks in RGM and SO2

Page 45: Atmospheric Mercury Measurements and Modeling at NOAA’s Air Resources Laboratory Mark Cohen, Winston Luke, Paul Kelley, Roland Draxler, Fantine Ngan, and

04/15/0804/16/08

04/17/0804/18/08

04/19/0804/20/08

04/21/0804/22/08

04/23/0804/24/08

04/25/0804/26/08

04/27/0804/28/08

04/29/0804/30/08

05/01/08

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

110

120

130

140

150

160

170

180

1.00

1.10

1.20

1.30

1.40

1.50

1.60

1.70

1.80

1.90

2.00

2.10

2.20

2.30

2.40

2.50

2.60

2.70

2.80

Speciated Atmospheric Mercury and Selected Trace Gas Concentration Measurements at Grand Bay NERR

Courtesy of Winston Luke and Paul Kelley (NOAA ARL) and Jake Walker (Grand Bay NERR) (Preliminary Values)

RGM(pg/m3)D1

RGM(pg/m3)D2FPM(pg/m3)D1

FPM(pg/m3)D2FPM 10 micron D1

FPM 10 micron D2

GEM(ng/m3)D1GEM(ng/m3)D2

SO2*5 ppb

O3 ppb

Local Time

RG

M (

pg

/m3

), F

PM

(p

g/m

3),

SO

2*5

(p

pb

), O

3 (

pp

b)

GE

M (

ng/m

3)

45

April 20-23, 2008:Large peaks in RGM and SO2

Page 46: Atmospheric Mercury Measurements and Modeling at NOAA’s Air Resources Laboratory Mark Cohen, Winston Luke, Paul Kelley, Roland Draxler, Fantine Ngan, and

1. MeasurementsA. Site Locations and SettingsB. Current Suite of Measurements

C. Intensive (this Summer)D. Data – some examples

2. Modeling

A. Episodes for Model Evaluation

B. Emissions and Met Data -- Fine-Scale

D. Upcoming Great Lakes Project

C. Evolution of the HYSPLIT-Hg Model

Page 47: Atmospheric Mercury Measurements and Modeling at NOAA’s Air Resources Laboratory Mark Cohen, Winston Luke, Paul Kelley, Roland Draxler, Fantine Ngan, and

atmospheric deposition

to the water surface

atmospheric deposition

to the watershed

Measurement of ambient air

concentrations

Measurement of wet

deposition

Hg from other sources: local, regional & more distant

An essential factor in carrying out a meaningful model evaluation in cases where local/regional sources may be important is to have accurate emissions data for local/regional sources, valid for the time of the episode being studied

Page 48: Atmospheric Mercury Measurements and Modeling at NOAA’s Air Resources Laboratory Mark Cohen, Winston Luke, Paul Kelley, Roland Draxler, Fantine Ngan, and

color of symbol denotes type of mercury source

coal-fired power plants

other fuel combustion

waste incineration

metallurgical

manufacturing & other

size/shape of symbol denotes amount of Reactive Gaseous Mercury (RGM) emitted during 2002 (kg/yr)

10 - 50

50 - 100

100 – 300

5 - 10

urban areas

Grand Bay NERR

monitoring site

Watson

Daniel

Barry

Lowman

CristMobile

Pensacola

Mississippi Alabama

Florida

Louisiana

Pascagoula MSW

incinerator **

Brewton paper mill*

* Brewton paper mill mercury emissions included in 2002 NEI , but do not appear to be in 2000-2008 TRI ** Pascagoula MSW incinerator mercury emissions included in 2002 NEI but incineration ceased in Jan 2001*** Ipsco Steel had significant mercury emissions in 2002 NEI, but negligible emissions reported in 2008 TRI

Eaton

Gaylord Container Bogalusa

IPSCO Steel ***

Biloxi-Gulfport

New Orleans

Hattiesburg

Slidell

Pascagoula

Grand Bay NERR sampling site, with large point sources of Reactive Gaseous Mercury in the region, based on the EPA’s 2002 National Emissions Inventory

Page 49: Atmospheric Mercury Measurements and Modeling at NOAA’s Air Resources Laboratory Mark Cohen, Winston Luke, Paul Kelley, Roland Draxler, Fantine Ngan, and

Mercury Air Emissions from the Victor J. Daniel Power Plant as reported to the Toxic Release Inventory

Page 50: Atmospheric Mercury Measurements and Modeling at NOAA’s Air Resources Laboratory Mark Cohen, Winston Luke, Paul Kelley, Roland Draxler, Fantine Ngan, and

Mercury Air Emissions from Charles R. Lowman Power Plant as reported to the Toxic Release Inventory

Page 51: Atmospheric Mercury Measurements and Modeling at NOAA’s Air Resources Laboratory Mark Cohen, Winston Luke, Paul Kelley, Roland Draxler, Fantine Ngan, and

atmospheric deposition

to the water surface

atmospheric deposition

to the watershed

Measurement of ambient air

concentrations

Measurement of wet

deposition

Resolution: 2.5 min Duration: 11 Days

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

25-Aug 26-Aug 27-Aug 28-Aug 29-Aug 30-Aug 31-Aug 01-Sep 02-Sep 03-Sep 04-Sep 05-Sep

Hg

- (

ug

/m3 )

HgT

Hg0

Hg2

Series 3300 CEM - Continuous Speciated Mercury Data

Hg from other sources: local, regional & more distant

Page 52: Atmospheric Mercury Measurements and Modeling at NOAA’s Air Resources Laboratory Mark Cohen, Winston Luke, Paul Kelley, Roland Draxler, Fantine Ngan, and

Measurement of ambient air

concentrations

Measurement of wet

deposition

Another critical factor in carrying out a meaningful model evaluation in cases where local/regional sources may be important is to have accurate meteorological data to drive the model

Hg from other sources: local, regional & more distant

Page 53: Atmospheric Mercury Measurements and Modeling at NOAA’s Air Resources Laboratory Mark Cohen, Winston Luke, Paul Kelley, Roland Draxler, Fantine Ngan, and

4 km grid

36 kmgrid

12 km grid

High-resolution meteorological simulations being carried out for episodes at the Grand Bay NERR [ ] by Dr. Fantine Ngan, a post-doc at NOAA ARL,

and independently by Dr. Rao Dodla of Jackson State University

Terrain height of 3 domains

Fantine Ngan, NOAA ARL

Page 54: Atmospheric Mercury Measurements and Modeling at NOAA’s Air Resources Laboratory Mark Cohen, Winston Luke, Paul Kelley, Roland Draxler, Fantine Ngan, and

1. MeasurementsA. Site Locations and SettingsB. Current Suite of Measurements

C. Intensive (this Summer)D. Data – some examples

2. Modeling

A. Episodes for Model Evaluation

B. Emissions and Met Data -- Fine-Scale

D. Upcoming Great Lakes Project

C. Evolution of the HYSPLIT-Hg Model

Page 55: Atmospheric Mercury Measurements and Modeling at NOAA’s Air Resources Laboratory Mark Cohen, Winston Luke, Paul Kelley, Roland Draxler, Fantine Ngan, and

When puffs grow to sizes large relative to the meteorological data grid, they split, horizontally and/or vertically

Ok for regional simulations, but for global modeling, puff splitting overwhelms computational resources

Page 56: Atmospheric Mercury Measurements and Modeling at NOAA’s Air Resources Laboratory Mark Cohen, Winston Luke, Paul Kelley, Roland Draxler, Fantine Ngan, and

0 168 336 504 672 840 1008 1176 1344 1512 1680

hour of simulation

1

10

100

1,000

10,000

100,000

1,000,000

Num

ber

of P

uffs

100K, 1.0x,spitting notage-limited

Evolution of Number of Puffsas a function of MAXPAR and merge parameter multiplication factor

elem emit; growth not stopped; splitting not age-limited; source at lat = 30, long = 105 (China)

In this example, the maximum number of puffs was set to 100,000, so when it got close to that number, the splitting was turned off

Exponential puff growth

Due to puff splitting, the number of puffs quickly overwhelms numerical resources

Page 57: Atmospheric Mercury Measurements and Modeling at NOAA’s Air Resources Laboratory Mark Cohen, Winston Luke, Paul Kelley, Roland Draxler, Fantine Ngan, and

0 168 336 504 672 840 1008 1176 1344 1512 1680

hour of simulation

1

10

100

1,000

10,000

100,000

1,000,000

Num

ber

of P

uffs

100K, 1.0x, spitting not stopped,zcycle = 7

4K, 1.5x, zcycle = 7

10K, 1.5x, zcycle = 7

20K, 1.5x, zcycle = 2

1000K, 1.0x, splitting not age limited,zcycle = 7

Evolution of Number of Puffsas a function of MAXPAR and merge parameter multiplication factor

elem emit; growth not stopped; splitting stopped after 168 hours; source at lat = 30, long = 105 (China)

In each test, the number of puffs rises to the maximum allowable within ~ one week (and then splitting stops…)

This line is the example from the last slide

Page 58: Atmospheric Mercury Measurements and Modeling at NOAA’s Air Resources Laboratory Mark Cohen, Winston Luke, Paul Kelley, Roland Draxler, Fantine Ngan, and

In the new version of HYSPLIT (4.9), puffs are “dumped” into an Eulerian grid after a specified time (e.g., 96 hrs), and the mercury is simulated on that grid from then on…

Page 59: Atmospheric Mercury Measurements and Modeling at NOAA’s Air Resources Laboratory Mark Cohen, Winston Luke, Paul Kelley, Roland Draxler, Fantine Ngan, and

We are discovering that with puffs and very fine scale meteorology, splitting is still a difficult challenge in the near field, long before one would necessarily want to switch to an Eulerian grid

Page 60: Atmospheric Mercury Measurements and Modeling at NOAA’s Air Resources Laboratory Mark Cohen, Winston Luke, Paul Kelley, Roland Draxler, Fantine Ngan, and

With puffs and very fine scale meteorology, splitting is still a difficult challenge, so, may use “particles” for dispersion simulation rather than puffs.

The particles would still be transferred to an Eulerian grid after a given time

Page 61: Atmospheric Mercury Measurements and Modeling at NOAA’s Air Resources Laboratory Mark Cohen, Winston Luke, Paul Kelley, Roland Draxler, Fantine Ngan, and

1. MeasurementsA. Site Locations and SettingsB. Current Suite of Measurements

C. Intensive (this Summer)D. Data – some examples

2. Modeling

A. Episodes for Model Evaluation

B. Emissions and Met Data -- Fine-Scale

D. Upcoming Great Lakes Project

C. Evolution of the HYSPLIT-Hg Model

Page 62: Atmospheric Mercury Measurements and Modeling at NOAA’s Air Resources Laboratory Mark Cohen, Winston Luke, Paul Kelley, Roland Draxler, Fantine Ngan, and

Have done a lot of source-receptor modeling work for the Great Lakes.

New, expanded study of source attribution for atmospheric mercury deposition to the Great Lakes, as part of the

Great Lakes Restoration Initiative

Page 63: Atmospheric Mercury Measurements and Modeling at NOAA’s Air Resources Laboratory Mark Cohen, Winston Luke, Paul Kelley, Roland Draxler, Fantine Ngan, and

Geographical Distribution of 1999 Direct Deposition Contributions to Lake Michigan

Page 64: Atmospheric Mercury Measurements and Modeling at NOAA’s Air Resources Laboratory Mark Cohen, Winston Luke, Paul Kelley, Roland Draxler, Fantine Ngan, and
Page 65: Atmospheric Mercury Measurements and Modeling at NOAA’s Air Resources Laboratory Mark Cohen, Winston Luke, Paul Kelley, Roland Draxler, Fantine Ngan, and

Figure 44. Largest modeled contributors to Lake Michigan (close-up).(same legend as previous slide)

Page 66: Atmospheric Mercury Measurements and Modeling at NOAA’s Air Resources Laboratory Mark Cohen, Winston Luke, Paul Kelley, Roland Draxler, Fantine Ngan, and

Atmospheric Deposition Flux to Lake Michigan from Anthropogenic Mercury Emissions Sources in the U.S. and Canada

Page 67: Atmospheric Mercury Measurements and Modeling at NOAA’s Air Resources Laboratory Mark Cohen, Winston Luke, Paul Kelley, Roland Draxler, Fantine Ngan, and

Pleasant PrairieJoliet 29

J.H. CampbellWaukegan

MARBLEHEAD LIME CO.Will County

JERRITT CANYON LWD

South Oak CreekPowerton

Superior Special ServicesCLARIAN HEALTHCrawfordR.M. Schahfer Joliet 9Rockport

Marblehead Lime (South Chicago)BALL MEMORIAL FiskState LineEdgewaterVULCAN MCCOOK LIMEMonroe Power PlantMonticelloParkview Mem. Hosp.

WI IL

MI IL IL IL NV KY WI IL WI IN IL IN IL IN IL IN IL IN WI IL MI TX IN

0% 20% 40% 60% 80%

Cumulative Fraction of Hg Deposition

0

5

10

15

20

25

Ra

nk

coal-fired elec gen

other fuel combustion

waste incineration

metallurgical

manufacturing/other

Top 25 modeled sources of atmospheric mercury to Lake Michigan(based on 1999 anthropogenic emissions in the U.S. and Canada)

Page 68: Atmospheric Mercury Measurements and Modeling at NOAA’s Air Resources Laboratory Mark Cohen, Winston Luke, Paul Kelley, Roland Draxler, Fantine Ngan, and

0 - 100100 - 200

200 - 400400 - 700

700 - 10001000 - 1500

1500 - 20002000 - 2500

> 2500

Distance Range from Lake Michigan (km)

0

10

20

30

40

50

Em

issi

on

s (m

etri

c to

ns/

year

)

0

1

2

3

4

5

Dep

osi

tio

n F

lux

(ug

/m2-

year

)

Emissions Deposition Flux

Emissions and deposition to Lake Michigan arising from different distance ranges

(based on 1999 anthropogenic emissions in the U.S. and Canada)

Only a small fraction of U.S. and Canadian emissions are emitted within 100 km of Lake Michigan…

… but these “local” emissions are responsible for a large fraction of the modeled atmospheric deposition

Page 69: Atmospheric Mercury Measurements and Modeling at NOAA’s Air Resources Laboratory Mark Cohen, Winston Luke, Paul Kelley, Roland Draxler, Fantine Ngan, and

Thanks!