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New evidence from the European Social Survey Attitudes to Basic Income in Ireland Daniel Capistrano UCD Geary Institute for Public Policy

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Page 1: Attitudes to Basic Income in Ireland Capistrano BI … · in Ireland Daniel Capistrano UCD Geary Institute for Public Policy. Outline What is the European Social Survey? Welfare state

New evidence from the European Social Survey

Attitudes to Basic Incomein Ireland

Daniel Capistrano

UCD Geary Institute for Public Policy

Page 2: Attitudes to Basic Income in Ireland Capistrano BI … · in Ireland Daniel Capistrano UCD Geary Institute for Public Policy. Outline What is the European Social Survey? Welfare state

Outline

What is the European Social Survey?

Welfare state attitudes

Attitudes to basic income in Ireland

Page 3: Attitudes to Basic Income in Ireland Capistrano BI … · in Ireland Daniel Capistrano UCD Geary Institute for Public Policy. Outline What is the European Social Survey? Welfare state

What is the European Social Survey ?

Page 4: Attitudes to Basic Income in Ireland Capistrano BI … · in Ireland Daniel Capistrano UCD Geary Institute for Public Policy. Outline What is the European Social Survey? Welfare state

What is the European Social Survey ?

attitudes,values,opinions

Page 5: Attitudes to Basic Income in Ireland Capistrano BI … · in Ireland Daniel Capistrano UCD Geary Institute for Public Policy. Outline What is the European Social Survey? Welfare state

What is the European Social Survey ?

face-to-face interviews

Page 6: Attitudes to Basic Income in Ireland Capistrano BI … · in Ireland Daniel Capistrano UCD Geary Institute for Public Policy. Outline What is the European Social Survey? Welfare state

What is the European Social Survey ?

probability samples

Page 7: Attitudes to Basic Income in Ireland Capistrano BI … · in Ireland Daniel Capistrano UCD Geary Institute for Public Policy. Outline What is the European Social Survey? Welfare state

What is the European Social Survey ?

+30 countries

Page 8: Attitudes to Basic Income in Ireland Capistrano BI … · in Ireland Daniel Capistrano UCD Geary Institute for Public Policy. Outline What is the European Social Survey? Welfare state

20022004

20062008

20102012

20142016

2018

ESS Rounds

Page 9: Attitudes to Basic Income in Ireland Capistrano BI … · in Ireland Daniel Capistrano UCD Geary Institute for Public Policy. Outline What is the European Social Survey? Welfare state

ESS Round 9 - 2018

Justice and fairness

Fairness of income, fairness of

educational and job

opportunities, fairness of the

distribution of resources.

Page 10: Attitudes to Basic Income in Ireland Capistrano BI … · in Ireland Daniel Capistrano UCD Geary Institute for Public Policy. Outline What is the European Social Survey? Welfare state

20022004

20062008

20102012

20142016

ESS Module: Welfare attitudes

Page 11: Attitudes to Basic Income in Ireland Capistrano BI … · in Ireland Daniel Capistrano UCD Geary Institute for Public Policy. Outline What is the European Social Survey? Welfare state

ESS Module: Welfare attitudes

Inequality beliefs

Welfare state scope and responsibilities

Welfare chauvinism

Perceived consequences

Activation policies

Welfare future

Social Europe

Page 12: Attitudes to Basic Income in Ireland Capistrano BI … · in Ireland Daniel Capistrano UCD Geary Institute for Public Policy. Outline What is the European Social Survey? Welfare state

ESS Module: Welfare attitudes

Inequality beliefs

Welfare state scope and responsibilities

Welfare chauvinism

Perceived consequences

Activation policies

Welfare future

Social Europe

Page 13: Attitudes to Basic Income in Ireland Capistrano BI … · in Ireland Daniel Capistrano UCD Geary Institute for Public Policy. Outline What is the European Social Survey? Welfare state

inequalitybeliefs

Page 14: Attitudes to Basic Income in Ireland Capistrano BI … · in Ireland Daniel Capistrano UCD Geary Institute for Public Policy. Outline What is the European Social Survey? Welfare state

Large differences in people’s income are acceptable to properly reward differences in talents and efforts

Page 15: Attitudes to Basic Income in Ireland Capistrano BI … · in Ireland Daniel Capistrano UCD Geary Institute for Public Policy. Outline What is the European Social Survey? Welfare state

Large differences in people’s income are acceptable to properly reward differences in talents and efforts

Page 16: Attitudes to Basic Income in Ireland Capistrano BI … · in Ireland Daniel Capistrano UCD Geary Institute for Public Policy. Outline What is the European Social Survey? Welfare state

Large differences in people’s income are acceptable to properly reward differences in talents and efforts

Page 17: Attitudes to Basic Income in Ireland Capistrano BI … · in Ireland Daniel Capistrano UCD Geary Institute for Public Policy. Outline What is the European Social Survey? Welfare state

Thegovernmentshould takemeasures toreducedifferencesin incomelevels.

Page 18: Attitudes to Basic Income in Ireland Capistrano BI … · in Ireland Daniel Capistrano UCD Geary Institute for Public Policy. Outline What is the European Social Survey? Welfare state

perceived consequences

Page 19: Attitudes to Basic Income in Ireland Capistrano BI … · in Ireland Daniel Capistrano UCD Geary Institute for Public Policy. Outline What is the European Social Survey? Welfare state

Social benefits and services lead to amore equalsociety

Page 20: Attitudes to Basic Income in Ireland Capistrano BI … · in Ireland Daniel Capistrano UCD Geary Institute for Public Policy. Outline What is the European Social Survey? Welfare state

welfarefuture

Page 21: Attitudes to Basic Income in Ireland Capistrano BI … · in Ireland Daniel Capistrano UCD Geary Institute for Public Policy. Outline What is the European Social Survey? Welfare state

Basic Income

Some countries are currently talking about introducing a basic income scheme. A basic income scheme includes all of the following:

• The government pays everyone a monthly income to cover essential living costs.

• It replaces many other social benefits• The purpose is to guarantee everyone a minimum standard of living.• Everyone receives the same amount regardless of whether or not they are

working.• People also keep the money they earn from work or other sources.• This scheme is paid for by taxes.

Page 22: Attitudes to Basic Income in Ireland Capistrano BI … · in Ireland Daniel Capistrano UCD Geary Institute for Public Policy. Outline What is the European Social Survey? Welfare state

Basic income - % of missing values

Page 23: Attitudes to Basic Income in Ireland Capistrano BI … · in Ireland Daniel Capistrano UCD Geary Institute for Public Policy. Outline What is the European Social Survey? Welfare state

3013

31

48

60

3

10

20

80 60 40 20 0 20 40 60 80 100

Norway

Switzerland

Sweden

Germany

Estonia

Iceland

Austria

Netherlands

France

Spain

Czechia

United Kingdom

Finland

Ireland

Poland

Italy

Belgium

Portugal

Slovenia

Israel

Hungary

Russia

Lithuania

Basic income scheme

Strongly in favourIn favourAgainstStrongly against

Page 24: Attitudes to Basic Income in Ireland Capistrano BI … · in Ireland Daniel Capistrano UCD Geary Institute for Public Policy. Outline What is the European Social Survey? Welfare state

3013

31

48

60

3

10

20

80 60 40 20 0 20 40 60 80 100

Norway

Switzerland

Sweden

Germany

Estonia

Iceland

Austria

Netherlands

France

Spain

Czechia

United Kingdom

Finland

Ireland

Poland

Italy

Belgium

Portugal

Slovenia

Israel

Hungary

Russia

Lithuania

Basic income scheme

Strongly in favourIn favourAgainstStrongly against

Page 25: Attitudes to Basic Income in Ireland Capistrano BI … · in Ireland Daniel Capistrano UCD Geary Institute for Public Policy. Outline What is the European Social Survey? Welfare state

3013

31

48

60

3

10

20

80 60 40 20 0 20 40 60 80 100

Norway

Switzerland

Sweden

Germany

Estonia

Iceland

Austria

Netherlands

France

Spain

Czechia

United Kingdom

Finland

Ireland

Poland

Italy

Belgium

Portugal

Slovenia

Israel

Hungary

Russia

Lithuania

Basic income scheme

Strongly in favourIn favourAgainstStrongly against

Page 26: Attitudes to Basic Income in Ireland Capistrano BI … · in Ireland Daniel Capistrano UCD Geary Institute for Public Policy. Outline What is the European Social Survey? Welfare state

Basic income – GNI per capita

GNI per capita, PPP (current international $)

In F

avou

r –

Ba

sic

inco

me (

mean

)

AT

BE

CH

CZ

DEEE

ES

FI

FR

GB

HU

IL

IS

IT

LT

NL

NO

PL

PT

RU

SE

SI

IE

2.25

2.50

2.75

3.00

20000 40000 60000 80000

NY.GNP.PCAP.CD

Basin

c

Page 27: Attitudes to Basic Income in Ireland Capistrano BI … · in Ireland Daniel Capistrano UCD Geary Institute for Public Policy. Outline What is the European Social Survey? Welfare state

Basic income – GINI index

GINI Index (World bank estimates)

In F

avou

r –

Ba

sic

inco

me (

mean

)

AT

BE

CH

CZ

DE EEES

FI

FRGB

HU

IS

IT

LT

NL

NO

PT

RU

SE

SI

IE

2.25

2.50

2.75

3.00

25 30 35

SI.POV.GINI

Basin

c

Page 28: Attitudes to Basic Income in Ireland Capistrano BI … · in Ireland Daniel Capistrano UCD Geary Institute for Public Policy. Outline What is the European Social Survey? Welfare state

Basic income – Role of government

The government should take measures to

reduce differences in income levels.

In F

avou

r –

Ba

sic

inco

me (

mean

)

AT

BE

CH

CZ DEEE

ESFI

FRGB

HU

IL

IS

IT

LT

NL

NO

PL

PT

RU

SE

SI

IE

2.25

2.50

2.75

3.00

3.2 3.6 4.0

Gincdif_inv_mean

Basin

c

Page 29: Attitudes to Basic Income in Ireland Capistrano BI … · in Ireland Daniel Capistrano UCD Geary Institute for Public Policy. Outline What is the European Social Survey? Welfare state

Who is in favour of basic income in Ireland?

3013 48 10

60 40 20 0 20 40 60 80

Ireland

Page 30: Attitudes to Basic Income in Ireland Capistrano BI … · in Ireland Daniel Capistrano UCD Geary Institute for Public Policy. Outline What is the European Social Survey? Welfare state

Basic income support by gender

Male Female

In Favour

Against

62

38

53

47

Page 31: Attitudes to Basic Income in Ireland Capistrano BI … · in Ireland Daniel Capistrano UCD Geary Institute for Public Policy. Outline What is the European Social Survey? Welfare state

Basic income support by gender

Male Female

62

38

53

47

55

45

57

43

ESS

Male Female

Page 32: Attitudes to Basic Income in Ireland Capistrano BI … · in Ireland Daniel Capistrano UCD Geary Institute for Public Policy. Outline What is the European Social Survey? Welfare state

Basic income support by age group

15-29 30-44 45-59 60+

In Favour

Against

64

36

62

38

54

46

49

51

Page 33: Attitudes to Basic Income in Ireland Capistrano BI … · in Ireland Daniel Capistrano UCD Geary Institute for Public Policy. Outline What is the European Social Survey? Welfare state

Basic income support by age group

15-29 30-44 45-59 60+

Finland

56

44

61

39

55

45

52

48

Page 34: Attitudes to Basic Income in Ireland Capistrano BI … · in Ireland Daniel Capistrano UCD Geary Institute for Public Policy. Outline What is the European Social Survey? Welfare state

Basic income support by HH income decile

Lowest Highest

Page 35: Attitudes to Basic Income in Ireland Capistrano BI … · in Ireland Daniel Capistrano UCD Geary Institute for Public Policy. Outline What is the European Social Survey? Welfare state

Basic income support by HH income decile

Lowest Highest

Poland

Page 36: Attitudes to Basic Income in Ireland Capistrano BI … · in Ireland Daniel Capistrano UCD Geary Institute for Public Policy. Outline What is the European Social Survey? Welfare state

Not atall

likely

Not verylikely

Likely Verylikely

How likely not enough money for household necessities next 12 months

Page 37: Attitudes to Basic Income in Ireland Capistrano BI … · in Ireland Daniel Capistrano UCD Geary Institute for Public Policy. Outline What is the European Social Survey? Welfare state

Not atall

likely

Not verylikely

How likely not enough money for household necessities next 12 months

Likely Verylikely

Page 38: Attitudes to Basic Income in Ireland Capistrano BI … · in Ireland Daniel Capistrano UCD Geary Institute for Public Policy. Outline What is the European Social Survey? Welfare state

Not atall

likely

Not verylikely

How likely not enough money for household necessities next 12 months

Likely Verylikely

United Kingdom

Page 39: Attitudes to Basic Income in Ireland Capistrano BI … · in Ireland Daniel Capistrano UCD Geary Institute for Public Policy. Outline What is the European Social Survey? Welfare state

In favour of a Basic Income in Ireland

Page 40: Attitudes to Basic Income in Ireland Capistrano BI … · in Ireland Daniel Capistrano UCD Geary Institute for Public Policy. Outline What is the European Social Survey? Welfare state

In favour of a European social benefit –Irish respondents

Page 41: Attitudes to Basic Income in Ireland Capistrano BI … · in Ireland Daniel Capistrano UCD Geary Institute for Public Policy. Outline What is the European Social Survey? Welfare state

Inequality beliefs

Agreestrongly

Agree Neitheragree nordisagree

Disagree Disagreestrongly

66

34

65

35

54

46

45

55

41

59Social benefits and services lead to amore equalsociety

Page 42: Attitudes to Basic Income in Ireland Capistrano BI … · in Ireland Daniel Capistrano UCD Geary Institute for Public Policy. Outline What is the European Social Survey? Welfare state

Inequality beliefs

Agreestrongly

Agree Neitheragree nordisagree

Disagree Disagreestrongly

66

34

58

42

51

49

48

52

41

59Thegovernmentshould takemeasures toreducedifferencesin incomelevels.

Page 43: Attitudes to Basic Income in Ireland Capistrano BI … · in Ireland Daniel Capistrano UCD Geary Institute for Public Policy. Outline What is the European Social Survey? Welfare state

More…

The Past, Present andFuture of EuropeanWelfare Attitudes

Meuleman et al. 2018