audit of political engagement 9, part one

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Dr Ruth Fox Matt Korris Hansard Society Prof. Gerry Stoker University of Southampton Chair: Fiona Booth

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The Audit series provides a statistical context to everyday speculation about the state of political engagement. In doing so, the Audits indicate the degree to which attitudes and behaviour change year-on-year and allows a fuller picture of participation and interest in politics. The Audits present the findings from public opinion polling on a range of political engagement indicators, updating trends published annually since 2004. The Audit considers six core indicators of political engagement: Knowledge and interest: (1) the percentage of people who feel that they know about politics; and (2) the percentage who report an interest in politics. Action and participation: (3) the percentage of people who report they are absolutely certain to vote at an immediate general election; and (4) the percentage who are politically active. Efficacy and satisfaction: (5) the percentage of people who believe that getting involved works; and (6) the percentage who think that the present system of governing works well. It also examines the public's reported levels of discussion of politics, charitable and political donation, and contacting of elected representatives.

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Page 1: Audit of Political Engagement 9, Part One

Dr Ruth FoxMatt KorrisHansard Society

Prof. Gerry StokerUniversity of Southampton

Chair: Fiona Booth

Page 2: Audit of Political Engagement 9, Part One

2

2011 – A momentous year

Audit of Political Engagement 9

Page 3: Audit of Political Engagement 9, Part One

3

The public’s response...

Audit of Political Engagement 9

disgruntleddisillusioned

disengaged

Photo: bengoldsberry, eBaumsworld

Page 4: Audit of Political Engagement 9, Part One

4

Propensity to vote

Audit of Political Engagement 9

Mean propensity to vote

(out of 10)

Audit 1 (2004)

Audit 9 (2012)

Page 5: Audit of Political Engagement 9, Part One

in 2012to

5

Certainty to vote

Audit of Political Engagement 9

in 2011

Page 6: Audit of Political Engagement 9, Part One

6

Why don’t we vote?

Audit of Political Engagement 9

Why are you going to take time out of you

day to go and queue or whatever, to put a cross

by somebody, that possibly you don’t know who they

are....and then they’re not even going to do what they say they’re

going to do...

...you’ve got all these reality shows that get folk to vote... everybody is caught up with the idea of voting… They’re happy to vote

Page 7: Audit of Political Engagement 9, Part One

7

Interest in politics

Audit of Political Engagement 9

in 2012to

in 2011

Page 8: Audit of Political Engagement 9, Part One

8

Audit of Political Engagement 9

in 2012to

in 2011

Knowledge of politics

Page 9: Audit of Political Engagement 9, Part One

9

Discussed politics

Audit of Political Engagement 9

in 2012 fallen to just

...started to get desensitised to it all…I started to stop watching it and stop listening to it...

I try to avoid it…I don’t see the implications on

myself. It’s all too confusing. I don’t

understand it – I ignore it. It’s just on the news all

the time...

Page 10: Audit of Political Engagement 9, Part One

10

What about Parliament?

Audit of Political Engagement 9

And one in two agree that Parliament deals with issues that ‘matter to me’

Two in five claim to know at least a fair amount about Parliament

Two in three agree that Parliament is ‘essential to democracy’

Page 11: Audit of Political Engagement 9, Part One

Only three in ten believe Parliament encourages public involvement in politics

11

What about Parliament?

Audit of Political Engagement 9

Proportion who have signed a petition (%)

….and fewer people are signing petitions

Audit 1 (2004)

Audit 9 (2012)

Page 12: Audit of Political Engagement 9, Part One

12

What about MPs?

Audit of Political Engagement 9

...the way they behave a lot of the time, you know, shouting out. Much of

it seems quite immature

nurserySchool playground

classroom

Page 13: Audit of Political Engagement 9, Part One

13

But despite our dissatisfaction with MPs…

Audit of Political Engagement 9

One in four (25%) would turn to their MP in the event of a problem, e.g. with local health services

Lower than your doctor/GP (44%)

BUT above:• Friends/family 16%• Local advice service/CAB 14%• Local council 14%• Local councillor 13%• Ombudsman 8%• Media 4%• Lawyer/solicitor 3%• Parliament 1%

Page 14: Audit of Political Engagement 9, Part One

Which roles and functions do people value?

Audit of Political Engagement 9

Representing UK’s national interests

Representing views of local communities

Representing views of individual citizens

Representing views of interest groups

Scrutinising new laws

Holding government to account

14

Page 15: Audit of Political Engagement 9, Part One

in 2004

15

System of governing

Audit of Political Engagement 9

thought the system of governing Britain worked extremely or mainly well

in 2012 just

agree

Page 16: Audit of Political Engagement 9, Part One

think getting involved can help change the way the country is run

16

The one thing the public can agree on is that getting involved at a national level will make little difference

Audit of Political Engagement 9

only

... we should be more like the French

in standing up for our rights

Photo: © BBC

Page 17: Audit of Political Engagement 9, Part One

17

Local involvement is seen differently...

Audit of Political Engagement 9

24%38%56%13%33%32%

In the country as whole

In your local area

think getting involved in their community can make a difference

...how is that going to help when other

people have already tried and

nothing’s changed.

…but only inclined to actually do something

Page 18: Audit of Political Engagement 9, Part One

18

Declining commitment to voluntary work

Audit of Political Engagement 9

in 2010 had done some voluntary work

in 2012 justsaid the same

Page 19: Audit of Political Engagement 9, Part One

Audit of Political Engagement 9

What other changes have taken place over time?

Born 1979-1985

aged 0

Audits 1 & 2

aged 18-25

Audits 8 & 9

aged 25-32

As people born 1979-1985 become older:

Knowledge of politics

Certain to voteInterest in politics

Political efficacyApproval of system

19

Page 20: Audit of Political Engagement 9, Part One

Audit of Political Engagement 9

What other changes have taken place over time?

The later generation of 18-25s

Knowledge of politics

Certain to voteInterest in politics

Sign petitionsPolitical efficacyApproval of system

aged 18-25

Audits 8 & 9

Audits 1 & 2

aged 18-25

19

Page 21: Audit of Political Engagement 9, Part One

Audit of Political Engagement 9

What other changes have taken place over time?

Audits 1 & 2

Audits 8 & 9

aged 25-32

The later generation of 25-32s:

Knowledge of politics

Certain to vote

Interest in politicsPolitical efficacyApproval of system

aged 25-32

19

Page 22: Audit of Political Engagement 9, Part One

Conclusions

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Audit of Political Engagement 9

• A fairly grim picture this year – disgruntled, disillusioned and disengaged

• A blip or the start of a trend?

• What would the public like to see change?How does this relate to the coalition government’s political reform package?

Page 23: Audit of Political Engagement 9, Part One

Dr Ruth FoxMatt KorrisHansard Society

Prof. Gerry StokerUniversity of Southampton

Chair: Fiona Booth