automatic detection of skin and subcutaneous tissue ... · yulong gu, john kennelly, jim warren,...
TRANSCRIPT
The National Institute
for Health Innovation
Automatic Detection of Skin and
Subcutaneous Tissue Infections from
Primary Care Electronic Medical
Records
Yulong Gu, John Kennelly, Jim Warren, Pritesh Nathani, Tai Boyce
Skin and Subcutaneous Tissue
Infection (SSTI) epidemic in NZ
• Infectious.
• Caused by staphylococcus aureus and/or
streptococcus pyogenes bacteria.
• Rates from 298/100,000 in 1990 to
547/100,000 in 2007.
• There are social and ethnic inequalities
reported in the disease risk factors.
• Antibiotics are effective in treating SSTI; but
delaying treatment or non-adherence to
treatment can lead to complications &
hospitalizations.
Study aim and design
• To explore the feasibility and
performance of automatic detection of
SSTI occurrences and recurrences by
analyzing ambient primary care EMRs.
• Four general practices in Auckland that
serve large numbers of Pacific and Māori
patients participated in the study.
Study data
• EMR data on child and adolescent
populations (age≤20):– Demographic information
– Laboratory testing results
– Diagnoses
– Notes
– Prescriptions
• Data range: Oct/2011 - Oct/2014
A high-level SSTI ontology
SSTI ID process
• A skin swab lab test can confirm
the presence of bacteria colonies
on skin.
• READ coded Dx: e.g., cellulitis,
impetigo, subcutaneous
abscess, boil, folliculitis, infected
eczema.
• Clinical notes may include SSTI
READ / SNOMED terms and
synonyms.• Exclude SSTI interpretation from notes
alone if chickenpox mentioned
Findings – High SSTI rates
• 3,886 ≤20 year-olds living in 1,833
households were included in the main
analysis.
• 1,382 (36%) from 864 house-holds (47%)
had an average of two SSTI occurrences
in the last three years (total SSTI
occurrence number = 2,714).
• SSTI occurrence rate was 230 per 1000
person-years.
Findings – SSTI treatment & recording
• 91% of SSTI occurrences were treated
with oral antibiotics (e.g., penicillin) or
topical antibiotics (e.g., fusidic acid).
• Among all identified SSTI occurrences– 22% were coded with a READ diagnosis and 16%
were confirmed by skin swab tests.
– Only 7% of SSTI cases didn’t have note entries
associated with SSTI
– 65% of SSTI cases had neither Dx nor lab records,
i.e., identified by notes only.
Findings – SSTI algorithm evaluation
• 1,245 casual patients (unfunded, aged
≤20) in the participating practices. A
random sample of 200 of these patients
was included in the evaluation.
• PPV=64%, sensitivity=94%, specificity=
97%, NPV=99.6%, F1 score=0.76.
Condition
positive
Condition
negative
Test outcome positive 16 9
Test outcome negative 1 281
Study implications – SSTI Risk ID
• Reliable EMR based identification of
SSTIs provides a basis for:
– assessing size of the problem, for funding
and planning purposes,
– identifying patients for follow up,
– evaluating intervention effect.
Study implications – Targeted
interventions
• Screening
• Education
• Early treatment
• Social / economic
support to address a
range of risk factors
associated with
infections, e.g.,
overcrowding.http://www.healthliteracy.org.nz/wp-
content/uploads/2013/11/Skin-infections-booklet.pdf
Study implications – EMR analysis
• Low levels of use of READ codes from
SSTIs challenges the approach of using
diagnosis alone in their identification.
• Via note text mining, without checking
diagnosis or laboratory results, 93% of
SSTI occurrences had been identified in
our study.– Suggests that diagnosis codes and laboratory
results might not add as much value as expected in
such analyses.
Study limitations
• Small number of general practices in one
metropolitan region,
– We went where intuition of local practitioners
was that SSTI rates are high
– Findings dependent on data recording
practices of relatively small group of GPs
and nurses
Conclusion
• It is feasible to automatically detect SSTI
from the EMR data collected as part of
routine primary care delivery.
• There are high occurrence and
recurrence rates for SSTI in population
aged ≤20.
• There is an opportunity to improve SSTI
risk management in the community.
Acknowledgement
• This study was funded by a University of
Auckland School of Population Health
Performance-Based Research Fund
(PBRF) Distribution Seeding Grant.
Further info: [email protected]