autonomous bidding on the day ahead electricity …...agroenergy timeline founded by rabobank &...
TRANSCRIPT
Autonomous bidding on the day
ahead electricity market
13 September Peter Goudswaard
AgroEnergy timeline
Founded byRabobank & LTO
2001
100% subsidiaryof Eneco
2006
first APX deal IntroductionBiedOptimaal
2014
Energy Management
20182010
Intraday trade
Energy cooperative
Self service trading portal
first OTC deal
Data drivenEnergy management
BiedOptimaal Intraday
Autonomous GreenhouseChallenge
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styles
• Mostly family business; producing
vegetables & flowers
• Energy: ~30% of total costs
• Decentral electricity production: 8% of
total Dutch power generation
• Digitalisation is still limited but growing
Our customers
Introduction BiedOptimaal via www.agro-energy.nl/slimme-energieoplossingen/biedoptimaal/
Growth management vs. energy management
Greenhouse
climate
EPEX, TTF,
Imbalance
Weather
Crop
growth
CHP
BufferBoiler
AssetsSales
0:00u 24:00uD+110:30u:
Deadline bidding D+2 t/m D+4
?
Daily dilemma: day ahead bid
Decide & bidEach asset/ each hour/ volumes/ bid price/ ask price
Crop
climate
Weather
0:00u 24:00uD+110:30u:
D+2 t/m D+4
Forecasting energy demand
Forecasting
0:00u 24:00uD+1 D+2 t/m D+4
Forecasting energy prices
Forecasting
EPEX & TTF
10:30u:
0:00u 24:00uD+110:30u:
D+2 t/m D+4
Forecasting buffer level
Forecasting
CHP
BufferBoiler
0:00u 24:00uD+110:30u:
D+2 t/m D+4
Asset optimisation
Optimization problem:
What volume
Make/ buy/ sell?
What price?
CHP
BufferBoiler
Assets/ preferences & contraintsForecasts
Bid advice
BiedOptimaal
10:30u:
Deadline bidding D+17:00u:
BiedOptimaal
Acquiring settings &
measurements
Forecasting
Optimization
Process chain EnergySpecialist APXgroup
Quality checksBidding & confirmation
Asset control
Stuurbox & climate computer
CHP
BufferBoiler
Results so far
• Including growers without Agro Energy contract
• ‘Auto pilot’ is used by >95% of users
• From management tool towards full service
• Winner of Dutch Data Science award 2017
Automation & human interaction
• Optimization beats human experience, but
• Full service only possible by automation
together with monitoring by specialist
• Succes of a forecasting model depends on
acceptance by end user
• Great effort needed in adapting models and
including preferences to satisfy users
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styles
Smart heat distribution in clusters
how to utlitise your geothermal source maximal
BiedOptimaal Intraday
Every hour new bid at Intraday market;
optimal positions based on actual buffer levels
Autonomous Greenhouse challenge
Use AI to produce a cucumber crop remotely
(organised by Tencent & WUR)
http://www.autonomousgreenhouses.com/
Next steps
Volg ons:
Energiepartner voor de glastuinbouw