average travel speed in cities in india
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Leapfrog to clean air:Leapfrog to clean air:KolkataKolkata’’ss agenda for actionagenda for action
Sunita Narain and
AnumitaRoychowdhury
Centre for Science
and Environment,KolkataFebruary 26, 2009
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Right to clean air
campaign: 1996
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Vehicles contribution growing. SlowMurder.
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Supreme Court listens (July 98)
Government to phase out all dieselbuses in Delhi; Convert to CNG;
All autos in Delhi to move to CNG;
Advance emission norms by 5 years;
Clean up the quality of fuel…
Court proposes. Government disposes
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Sabotage
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The verdictThe verdict
Apri l 5, 2002April 5, 2002
> Orders of th is court can no t be n u llified o r
alte red in an y w ay by a dm inistrat ive orde r
> Give priority to tran sport - allocat e 16.1 lakh kg
of CNG per day
> Pha se ou t 800 diesel bu ses every mo nt h.
> Diesel bu ses to p ay a pe na lty pe r bus pe r day
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Strategies to technologyStrategies to technology
leapfroggingleapfrogging
Pre-Euro I
Poor dieselEuro I
Improved dieselEuro II
Natural gasEuro III
HydrogenEuro IV
Do we have to go through the same stages of environmental manageDo we have to go through the same stages of environmental managementment
that the West went through or can we leapfrog?that the West went through or can we leapfrog?
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CNG buses:CNG buses:
big gainsbig gains
NOx emissions from Euro II CNGbus: 1.2 times lower than diesel
buses
Source: Teri
PM emissions from Euro II CNG bus:more than 50 times lower than Euro
II diesel buses
4.8
5
5.2
5.4
5.6
5.8
6
6.2
6.4
Euro II diesel bus on500 ppm sulphur fuel
+ DOC
Euro II CNG bus+three way catalytic
converter
g m / k m
00.05
0.10.15
0.20.25
0.30.35
0.4
Euro II diesel
bus on 500ppm sulphur
fuel + DOC
Euro II CNG
bus +threeway catalytic
converter
g m / k m
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Delhi got cleaner air: it avoidedpollution; got health benefits
PM10 at ITO Traffic Intersection
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
M i c r o g r a
m m e p e r c u b i c m
e t r e
PM10 trend projection
pre Supreme Court
directions
PM10 trend March 98- Dec 05,
Post Supreme Court directions
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Stages of clean airStages of clean air
CORNIELIUS HUIZENGA, Clean Air Initiative for Asian cities, Manila, Philippines
CSE conference: The leapfrog factor, New Delhi, April 2004
Growth in air pollution problem with development statusGrowth in air pollution problem with development status
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0
50
100
150
200
250
J a n - 0 7
M a r - 0 7
M a y - 0 7
J u l - 0 7
S e p - 0 7
N o v - 0 7
J a n - 0 8
M a r - 0 8
M a y - 0 8
J u l - 0 8
S e p - 0 8
N o v - 0 8
J a n - 0 9
m
i c r o g r a m
p e r c u b i c m e
t e r
NOX
RPM
RSPM Standard*
NOx Standard*
Winter woesWinter woesRSPM andRSPM and NOxNOx trend intrend in KolkataKolkata (January 2008 to(January 2008 to
February 2009)February 2009)
* 24 hr standard for residentialareas
Source: Estimated on
the basis of WBPCB airquality data
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KolkataKolkata:: NOxNOx levels (January 2008 to February 2009)levels (January 2008 to February 2009)
Source: Estimated on the basis of WBPCB air quality data
NO2 canNO2 can
reach highreach highlevelslevelsduringduringwinterwintermonthsmonths
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Source: Estimated on
the basis of WBPCB airquality data
KolkataKolkata: PM10: PM10 exceedanceexceedance (January 2008 to February 2009)(January 2008 to February 2009)
Days w ith high andDays w ith high and
critical PM10 levelscritical PM10 levelsincrease during w interincrease during w inter
inin KolkataKolkata
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Toxic airBenzene level (microgram/cum) Kolkata
(Dec 2006-Feb 2007)
42.5
50.2
17
42.3
15.45
37 35.58
44.6
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
M a n i k t a l a
M a u
l a l i
M i n t o P
a r k
P a r k c i r c u s
P a r k s t r e e t
S h y
a m
b a
z a r
U l t a d a
n g a
K o l k a t a
A v g
m i c r o g r a m p e
r c u b i c m e t e r
WHO
guideline:
5-16
Source: DSource: D ChakrabortyChakraborty 2008, Alarming air quality of2008, Alarming air quality of KolkataKolkata – – a real health concern,a real health concern,presentation by West Bengal Pollution Control Board,presentation by West Bengal Pollution Control Board, KolkataKolkata
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Trends and toxins: worrying
• Annual average PM 10 standards exceeding
standards by 1.5 times -- but many times
higher in winter months• Annual average Nox levels are below national
standard; but increasing and exceed
standards in winter
• Benzene levels very high -- sign ofadulteration; two-wheeler and vehicleswithout cat-converters
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Scourge
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Health Effects of Air Pollution inHealth Effects of Air Pollution inKolkataKolkata
Source: TWISHA LAHIRI
assistant director and head, department of neuroendocrinology
ChittaranjanNational Cancer Institute,
Kolkata
CSE conference: The leapfrog factor, New
Delhi, April 2004
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Health benefits of improving air quality
Health benefits of RSPM reduction inHealth benefits of RSPM reduction infive cities of India (between 1993 tofive cities of India (between 1993 to
2002)2002)
Trend in RSPM levels in three areas ofTrend in RSPM levels in three areas of KolkataKolkata
Source: For a breath of fresh air, The WorldSource: For a breath of fresh air, The World
Bank, June 2005Bank, June 2005
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First generation reforms..
1. Bharat stage III introduced+low benzenefuel (less than 1%)
2. Industrial units directed to control airpollution by installing after-treatmentdevices
3. Decision to ban 15-year old commercial
vehicles in Kolkata metropolitan areaBut not enough…
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Time for next-generation steps
• Big fleet of old two-stoke three-wheelers;
possibility of running on adulterated fuel with
high benzene and other pollutants;• Big fleet of old diesel vehicles -- taxis, buses
and cars;
• Limited road space
• Growing numbers of cars in city, adding to
congestion and so pollution
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Diesel’s contribution to PM2.5 in Kolkata
Highest amongst other metros, up to 61 per cent
Source: World Bank, 2004
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TwoTwo--stroke w ith adulterationstroke w ith adulteration
even more deadlyeven more deadly
Two stroke Four strokeFour stroke
HC
CO
PM
NOx
Two strokeFour stroke
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+ Kolkata is diesel capital of world
• Nation ally, 30% of new car sales are on diesel -- aw orrying t rend
• Nearly 65% of the Kolkata ’s vehicular popu lat ionan d ne arly 99% of comm ercial vehicles a re d iese l-run
• Huge f lee t of d iese l taxis
• Depend ing o n th e seasons, contr ibut ion o f dieselfuel com bu stion to am bien t PM2.5 can be as h ighas 23 pe r cen t in Delh i, 25 pe r cen t in Mu mb ai toan astou nd ing 61 pe r cen t in Kolkata (WorldBank).
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Source: MP Walsh
NOx norms for cars PM norms for cars
License to polluteLicense to pollute
One diesel car emits as much NOx as 3 to 5 petrol cars.PM is several times higher
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0
0.05
0.1
0.15
0.2
0.25
0.3
0.35
0.4
0.45
Petrol cars (>1400cc) Diesel cars (<1600cc)
T o x i c s ( g m / k m )
0
0.05
0.1
0.15
0.2
0.25
.
Petrol cars (> 1400cc) Diesel cars (< 1600cc)0
0.005
0.01
0.015
0.02
Petrol cars (> 1400cc) Diesel cars (< 1600cc)
P M
( g m
/ k m
)
135
140
145
150
155
160
165
170
175
Petrol cars (> 1400cc) Diesel cars (< 1600cc)
C O 2 ( g m / k m )
““New diesel cars in India areNew diesel cars in India are
cleanclean”” -- A Myth?A Myth?
NOxNOx PMPM
ToxicsToxics CO2CO2
Post 2005 diesel car model: High levels of PM, NOx and air toxics;Overwhelms the CO2 advantage: A crippling trade-off
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Clean diesel technology and fuel thatClean diesel technology and fuel that
can reduce emissions by 90% are notcan reduce emissions by 90% are not
available in Indiaavailable in India
Source: ICCT
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Dieselised and clogged: deadly
• Kolkata has little less than 2000 km of roads – just 6per cent of its area
• Delhi has 31,000 km of roads – 21% of its area
• But• Also completely gridlocked. Adds roads and flyovers;
cars fill it up (registers 1000 vehicles/day)
• More roads; flyovers is not the answer
• Congestion adds to pollution
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0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
4000
4500
I n 0
0 0 '
Kolkata Delhi Mumbai Chennai
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
Registered motor vehicles in key metropolitan cities
Source: Road transport year book (2004-05), MOSRTH
In Kolkata, according to CIRT study, the average speed during peak hours in the centralbusiness district (CBD) area is as low as seven km/hour
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Delhi: roads but no speed
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
One way Second way One way Second way One way Second way
Morning peak Evening peak Off peak
>2020-25
25-30
30-35
35-40
40-45
45-50
< 50
Builiding up of
congestion is
reflected by
increase in low-
speed roads in
the city
-- During the morning and evening peak -- 55-60 per cent of theroads have travel speeds less than 30 kmph.
-- Even during off-peak hours 40-45 per cent of the roads have travel speeds less than 30kmph.
-- About 20 per cent have travel speeds less than 20 kmph throughout the day.
Source: City Development Plan
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Cities are ParalyzedCities are ParalyzedThe Crawling TrafficThe Crawling Traffic
Source: Anon 2008, Study on traffic and transportation policies and Strategies in Urban Areas in India, MOUD, p63
The average journey speed in Delhi (16 km/hr), Mumbai (16 km/hr)The average journey speed in Delhi (16 km/hr), Mumbai (16 km/hr) andand KolkataKolkata (18(18
km/hr): Abysmally poor compared to smaller citieskm/hr): Abysmally poor compared to smaller cities
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Vehicle Emissions vis-à-vis Speed
Congestion leads to moreCongestion leads to morepollutionpollution
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Pollution trajectory of cities
1. Pollution increases because vehicles are
old; bad technology; use adulterated fuel;
use diesel (Kolkata)2. Pollution increases because number of
vehicles increase; cleaner but numbers
negate the gains (Delhi)
3. Pollution increases if city has more cars ascongestion grows -- takes 18 sq metre ofspace on road…(Beijing)
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Need leapfrog solutions
• Phase out two-stroke three wheelers;
• Phase out old vehicles
• Simultaneous make the transition topublic transport
You can lead
• In our cities car has not replaced the bus
• In our cities car has marginalised thebus
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MODAL SHARE BY VOLUME AND PASSENGERS CARRIED AT AMBEDKAR NAGAR
8
61
75
20
17 19
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
% PCU % of Passengers carried
NMV
MV
Bus
Public transport is our strengthPublic transport is our strength
There are areas in Delhi where buses stillThere are areas in Delhi where buses still
carry 60% of passenger tripscarry 60% of passenger trips
NonNon
motorisedmotorised
vehiclesvehicles
MotorisedMotorised
vehiclesvehicles
BUSBUS
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Cars commute 14% in Delhi; takeCars commute 14% in Delhi; take
up 70up 70--80 per cent of road space80 per cent of road space
Source: Anon 2008, transpo rt demand forecast study: study and development of an integrated cum multi modal public transport network for NCT of Delhi, RITES, MVA Asia Ltd, TERI, September
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KolkataKolkata can lead but is bleedingcan lead but is bleeding
The Annual Average Growth in %The Annual Average Growth in %in STU Bus Fleet (2000 to 2007)in STU Bus Fleet (2000 to 2007)
-0.8
-7.7
-1.7
-3.5
-0.5
1.9
9.4
-10
-8
-6
-4
-2
0
2
4
68
10
12
M u m b a i
D e l h i
C h e n n a i
K o l k a t a
A h m e d a b a d
P u n e
B a n g a l o r e A
v g g r o w t h i n b u s f l e e t ( 2 0 0 0
t o 2 0 0 7 )
Modal share of public transport andModal share of public transport andother vehicles (2007)other vehicles (2007)
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
M u m b a
i
D e l h i
C h e n n
a i
K o l k a t a
A h m e d a b a
d
P u n
e
B a n g a l o r e
M o d a l S h a r e
i n %
Car, two wheeler and other vehicles
Public Transport
Source: Anon 2008, Study on traffic and transportation policies and Strategies in Urban Areas in India, MOUD
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KolkataKolkata ---- public+walk+cyclepublic+walk+cycle
Source: Anon 2008, Study on traffic and transportation policies and Strategies in Urban Areas in
India, MOUD
48
4
54
19
11
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Two wheelers Car Auto Public
transport
Walk Cycle
S h a r e i n
%
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Kolkata has lowest bues per lakh
Total buses in Kolkata: 4,256 (2007),
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Think people not vehiclesThink people not vehicles
50 cars 60 bicycles 1 Bus
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You get different answers depending on yourpriorities – moving vehicles vs. moving people
Distribution of Vehicles - By Mode
2%23%
75%
Motor Vehicles
Buses
Cycle & Cycle Rkshw
Distribution of People - By Mode
55%
33%
11%
Motor Vehicles
Buses
Cycle & Cycle Rkshw
Chirag Delhi Junction
Morning Peak Hour
AK to MC
4,916 Vehicles11,480 People
Source: Dario Hidalgo study for CSE, 2008 Mimeo
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Delhi bus corridor has reduced the average travel timePeople Delay - Morning Peak Hour - In Hours
1,440 1,648
3,186
2,078
0
2000
4000
6000
Without Project With Project
Buses
MV's
-19%
+14%
-35%
Dario Hidalgo study for CSE, 2008
Mimeo
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Indian style socialism
Buses bear
significantly
higher taxburden in
India
Tax correction
can push a
large numberof two wheeler
users to buses
2,90,431
30,521
2,725
5.69
2.39
0.44
0
50000
100000
150000
200000
250000
300000
350000
Two wheeler Cars Bus
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
Total annual tax per vehicle Total tax per vehicle-km
Tax per
vehicle-km
Annual
tax
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Kolkata-style socialism
Source: Road transport year book (2004-05), MOSRTH
Stage carriage bus: Rs 31.25 per seat per month
passenger tax
Two wheelers: For engine size 80cc to above 250cc theone time tax range from Rs 1560 to Rs 6250
Cars: For engine size from 900cc to above2000cc tax forevery five years range from Rs 8550 to Rs 20,000.
Bus: A standard bus pays Rs 23,250 annually
Car: 900cc engine car pays a life tax of Rs 25,650
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Kolkata-style socialism
Stage carriage bus: Rs 31.25 per seat per month passenger tax
Two wheelers: For engine size 80cc to above 250cc the one timetax range from Rs 1560 to Rs 6250
Cars: For engine size from 900cc to above 2000cc tax for every fiveyears range from Rs 8,550 to Rs 20,000.
Bus: A standard bus pays Rs 23,250 annually
Car: 900cc engine car pays a life-tax of Rs 25,650
A car pays in its lifetime what a bus pays every year
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What are other governmentsWhat are other governments
doing?doing?
Other governments are enforcing tax and road pricing measures andcaps on car sales to reduce congestion and pollution…
Congestion charges:
-- London: This has reduced traffic delays by 30 per cent.
-- Seven European cities are adopting congestion charges.-- Trondheim, Norway: peak hour traffic dropped by 10% after theintroduction of congestion charges.
-- Singapore’s road pricing measures: This reduced percentage ofcommuters entering central areas from 56% to 23%.
Caps on cars in Singapore and Shanghai:-- Shanghai has adopted a system of auctioning a limited number of carlicenses per month. This has helped the city to cap car registration at notmore than 7,500 cars per month -- or 250 cars per day.
Such measures require good public transport system…..
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The future road-map
• 1. Phase out two-stroke; transition to LPG-four stroke;
• 2. Reduce diesel -- move to LPG or reducenumbers on road
• 3. Make transition to public transport -- bus;tram; cycle
• 4. Think of Kolkata as the future city --leapfrog from public-public
Put Kolkata on the future-map -- not pollution-map of world
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