back to basics for equity markets

Upload: helfoss

Post on 06-Apr-2018

222 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

  • 8/3/2019 Back to Basics for Equity Markets

    1/20

    A S U R V E Y T H R O U G H T H E E Y E S O F I N S T I T U T I O N A L I N V E S T O R S

    Back to basics forequity marketsAre Londons equity marketsfailing the small cap sector?

  • 8/3/2019 Back to Basics for Equity Markets

    2/20

  • 8/3/2019 Back to Basics for Equity Markets

    3/20

    Back to basics for equity markets 1

    Introduction

    Calm reflection is probably not an activity that is readily associated with stockmarkets in 2011. But in the interests of predicting how stock markets, andindeed the economy, will fare in the medium and long term, Grant Thornton

    commissioned Lighthouse Global to ask 50 of the most influential fund managersand institutional investors in the UK, who between them control funds valued at43 billion, for their views on the current status of capital markets, particularlyin regards to smaller companies. Their thoughts will be of interest to anyoneconcerned with the long term health of the UK economy.

    The consensus among these experts

    is that there is a growing crisis in the

    small company sector. Management

    teams are looking for funds to grow anddevelop new ideas but they are being

    starved of capital. The experts point to

    regulatory, technological and commercial

    developments that have distorted aspects

    of the UK equity markets.

    These include the proliferation

    of high frequency trading and the

    apparently unrestricted growth of

    synthetic equity products, both

    of which can have unintended and

    potentially damaging consequences for

    smaller quoted companies.The conclusions of this survey

    point to challenges that we believe must

    be addressed if we are to maintain an

    efficient capital allocation system, able

    to meet the needs of both providers and

    users. This paper sets out the key issues

    and asks some core questions that we

    hope will stimulate the debate.

    Grant Thornton would like to

    thank everyone who took part in this

    survey. The time and care they took in

    answering our questions is a measure ofthe seriousness with which they view

    the problem.

    Philip Secrett

    Partner, Head of AIM & Smaller ListedGrant Thornton UK LLP

  • 8/3/2019 Back to Basics for Equity Markets

    4/20

    2 Back to basics for equity markets

    Executive summary

    There is, however, a clear danger that

    the next generation of UK companies is

    being starved of the capital necessary for

    growth, and that the future vibrancy and

    health of the UK economy is being placed

    at risk through market failure today.

    These are the key conclusions of

    this survey of 50 leading UK fund

    managers and institutional investors,

    who between them control fundsvalued at 43 billion. In detailed

    interviews carried out in August and

    September 2011, these experts gave their

    predictions for the future development

    of the London markets, explained how

    their own approach to investment is

    developing against the background of

    major economic change, and gave vent

    to their concerns over the problems

    being faced by smaller companies

    thinking of seeking a quote on a UK

    equity market.

    The decline in small cap listings

    has both immediate and longer term

    consequences for the economy. In a

    study of the economic consequences

    of AIM, published in 2010, Grant

    Thornton showed that AIM companies

    contributed around 12 billion in

    UK GDP in 2009, and supported

    around 250,000 jobs, more than those

    supported by the UK pharmaceuticalsor defence industries.

    Despite the global economic turmoil, and the rise of new economic powers looking toexert their influence over international commerce, the London stock markets are stillamong the best places in the world for investors and companies looking for capital.

    Their worries focused on small cap

    companies, including those on AIM,

    where the number of quoted companies

    has fallen by a third from the peak of

    1694 achieved in 2007. They identified

    a significant decline in the support

    system of brokers and market makers

    which would once have identified and

    nurtured good prospects and interesting

    ideas, promoting them to the market aslonger term growth stocks.

    Opportunities for growth

    lost to low valuations

    Market inefficiencies have resulted in

    persistently low valuations for small

    cap companies, even those with a good

    record of profitable trading and growth,

    something that has led management

    teams to question the value of either

    seeking or retaining a quote on a public

    market. For a growing number, the

    lure of a sale to a larger competitor has

    proved hard to resist and companies

    which might have grown into the FTSE

    250 stocks of tomorrow have been

    swallowed up by overseas rivals.

    Economic Impact of AIM and the role of fiscal incentives. Grant Thornton and London Stock Exchange, 2010.

  • 8/3/2019 Back to Basics for Equity Markets

    5/20

    Back to basics for equity markets 3

    Taking charge of the relationship

    with investors

    For AIM and smaller listed companies

    the advice from our investors was that

    management teams should take firmcontrol of the process of promoting

    themselves to the market. Among the

    specific advice given was:

    franknessandopennessisvalued

    highly too few companies are

    prepared to be as honest as they

    should be

    providetherightamountof

    information in annual reports and

    avoid boiler plate disclosure directaccesstoseniormanagement

    is very important investors want

    to look you in the eye

    dontoverdothecompanynews

    providenon-financialdataonly

    when it matters

    company-commissionedresearch

    is useful, but it is no substitute for

    independent research.

    Key questions

    There are regular calls for market

    reforms, especially a lightening of the

    burden of regulation. But we believe that

    these are missing the point. The currentregulatory framework is a good one and

    yet, despite all the efforts being made

    by Government and the London Stock

    Exchange to encourage investment in

    small caps, the market is still failing to

    provide the necessary support.

    This study, along with our regular

    work in the London markets, leads

    us to ask the following core questions

    about the future direction of small cap

    investment in the UK:

    HaveUKequitymarketsmovedtoo

    far from their core function, which is

    to allocate capital?

    Whatarethesystemicforcesthatare

    depriving small caps of the capital

    they need, and what can be done to

    counteract them?

    Aretheeconomicsofthesmall

    cap sector sufficient to drive the

    economic support system it needs tothrive and grow? If not, what can we

    dotore-shapethem?

    Howdowerebalancethemovement

    of money out of equities and into

    bonds and synthetic investments?

    Is this movement irreversible?

  • 8/3/2019 Back to Basics for Equity Markets

    6/20

    4 Back to basics for equity markets

    Looking ahead

    markets in the next 12 months

    A third of participants preferred not

    to offer a prediction. But for most

    of these people this was a reaction to

    uncertainty rather than a conviction

    that things are going to get worse.A common view is that profitable,

    cash generative businesses are still

    reporting growth, and that while most

    are cautious about their prospects, there

    is little reason to expect that they will

    not do well in the coming year.

    Despite the steady flow of bad economic news, most of the investors who took partin this research are moderately optimistic about prospects for the year ahead. Askedwhere they thought the AIM All Share, FTSE 250 and FTSE Small Cap indices would

    be at the beginning of September 2012, compared with September 2011, those fundmanagers prepared to offer a view were predicting growth of around 3.5 percent,on average, in each index (see Figure 1).

    In terms of corporate PLC, our

    experience with the companies we

    tend to invest in - profitable, cashgenerative, established businesses

    that operate in specific niches - is that

    the majority have been reporting solid

    growth and recovery. Now - to a man

    - while they are expressing caution on

    the outlook, there is little evidence yet

    of any significant change in the buying

    patterns of their major customers.

    Reassuringly, most have also now

    taken appropriate action to ensure that

    they are better prepared to withstand

    another significant economic downturnshould such a scenario develop.

    Chris HutchinsonDirectorUnicorn Asset Management

    Fund managers are predicting growth of around 3.5 percent in the smalland medium cap indices for the year to September 2012.

    Figure 1: Where do fund managers think the markets will be in September 2012?

    Points on

    1 September 2011

    Average points in

    1 years time

    FTSE 250 10100 10450

    FTSE Small Cap 2900 3008

    AIM All Share 740 765

    Even among the pessimists,

    no-oneispredictingawidespread

    deterioration in performance. For

    most, the outlook is a continuation

    of the patchy, sporadic recovery inparticular sectors that they have been

    seeing for the past 12 months, with a

    more general improvement expected in

    18 months to two years time.

  • 8/3/2019 Back to Basics for Equity Markets

    7/20

    Back to basics for equity markets 5

    The London markets are retaining their attraction for investors, despite their difficulties(see Figure 2). Two thirds say that London is holding its own against internationalcompetition from other exchanges, and for many the City remains a leading place to do

    business. One fund manager was adamant that London still stands alongside New Yorkas the best place to have a dealing operation. It has enormous kudos he said.

    Factors affecting performance

    In the minds of our fund managers, the

    importance of the key macroeconomic

    factors likely to affect investment

    decision making and asset allocation inthe next three years is evenly spread,

    with no single factor particularly

    dominant(seeFigure3).However,

    the Eurozone sovereign debt crisis is

    causing a great deal of concern.

    The consensus view is that this is

    predominantly a political crisis, and that

    the politicians know what they must

    do to solve it. They are being prevented

    from taking decisive action by concerns

    over the possible reaction of their

    electorates, but this can only go on

    for so long.

    Increased regulation is also a source

    of concern, but while the effects of some

    kinds of regulation remain uncertain

    (for example, one fund manager said it

    was obvious that London should notparticipate in any financial transaction

    tax that is being considered in Europe),

    others are expected to have a significant

    impact. Perhaps the best example of this

    istheDodd-FrankActintheUS,where

    the detailed regulations implementing

    the Act are still being drawn up, and

    several investors are keeping a close

    watch on the process in the firm belief

    that the US regulations will have a clear

    impact on businesses in the UK.

    We need to stop postponing the issue

    and actually address it. Thats going

    to be painful and some pretty toughpolitical decisions need to be taken

    to get us there. The political risk that

    goes with chucking one country out is

    substantial, but the bigger problem is

    that no-ones taking the decision.

    Paul LeeDirectorHermes Equity Ownership Services Ltd

    Figure 2: Is London retaining its attractiveness for investors?

    Strongly disagree Slightly disagree Slightly agree Strongly agree

    34% 34% 8% 4%

    80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 10% 20%

    Compared to other

    exchanges London is a

    less attractive place to

    invest than 6 months ago

    London is still one of the best places in the world for investors.

    Neither agree

    nor disagree

    16%

    Dont know

    4%

  • 8/3/2019 Back to Basics for Equity Markets

    8/20

  • 8/3/2019 Back to Basics for Equity Markets

    9/20

    Back to basics for equity markets 7

    coming from companies themselves has

    increased in recent years, this is not seen

    as a satisfactory alternative to the broker

    research that many drew on in the past

    when making decisions.

    It could be argued that the

    debundling regime, introduced in

    2006 to force the buy side to separate

    the costs of research from those

    of trading, has had the unintended

    consequence of undermining the

    economics of the secondary market,resulting in a dearth of quality

    research for small caps.

    Philip SecrettPartnerGrant Thornton

    Figure 4:Is AIM retaining its popularity among small companies?

    Total AIM Delistings

    Number of Admissions

    on AIM

    600

    500

    400

    300

    200

    100

    0

    1999

    2000

    2001

    2002

    2003

    2004

    2005

    2006

    2007

    2008

    2009

    2010

    2011

    toSept

    58

    102 102

    277

    72

    177

    85

    160

    112

    162

    88

    355

    141

    519

    227

    462

    224

    284

    258

    114

    293

    36

    102

    198

    72

    111

    There has also been a steep decline in the

    amount of independent research carried

    out on companies at the smaller end ofthe market. Fund managers frequently

    described their preferred investment

    targetsasunder-researched,and

    although the amount of information

    AIM listings have declined significantly in the past four years. At the time this research was carriedout, in September 2011, the total number of companies on AIM had fallen to 1156. This was downby nearly a third from the peak of 1694 in 2007. Asked to look ahead 12 months, fund managerspredicted 138 delistings and only 85 admissions for the year to September 2012.

    In the absence of hard facts that

    include comparative performance

    measurement data, investors will

    perceive the small cap sector as

    more risky than larger businesses.The natural consequence is that

    they will demand a higher return, or

    offer a lower level of investment, to

    compensate for the additional risk.

    There are also problems caused

    by patchy illiquidity in the small

    cap markets. If asset prices do not

    reflect the true fundamental value of

    the underlying business and lack of

    investor interest leads to an illiquid

    market, the potential difficulty in

    achieving an exit will further reduce

    investor interest.

    This makes it particularly

    difficult for young, high growth

    firms to attract investment, because

    the number of investors willing to

    take on these risks, when there are

    less risky options available in the

    market, is relatively small.

    All these factors have combined,

    in the eyes of many small company

    management teams, to increase thecost and decrease the benefit of a

    listing. For some, the tipping point

    has been reached, and they have

    chosen to go private or sell.

    It is clear that the investment

    environmentforsmallandmedium-

    sized companies has become

    significantly more difficult in the

    past three to five years. But why

    did our fund managers think this

    has happened, and what did theythink can be done to deal with

    the problem?

    (Source: London Stock Exchange)

    If the valuation is a derisory one,

    which it is once you get to a marketcap below 50m, then some of

    these stocks fall into a black hole of

    lack of interest. Some stocks are so

    abysmally rated that managements

    say Whats the point? and take it

    private or de-list it.

    Chris RodgersDirectorFour Capital Partners

  • 8/3/2019 Back to Basics for Equity Markets

    10/20

    8 Back to basics for equity markets

    Seismic shifts as equity

    allocation keeps dropping

    The move away from equities as a major constituent of institutional investorportfolios is not a particularly recent phenomenon. Research from UBS, forexample, shows that among the big pension funds the proportion of assets

    allocated to UK equities has fallen from a high of just under 60 percent in 1994to around 20 percent in 2010 (see Figure 5).

    Figure 5:How have UK pension funds changed their asset allocation?

    UK equities

    Overseas equities and bonds

    UK bonds

    Property

    Other

    % share

    60

    50

    40

    30

    20

    10

    0

    Equities have lost their dominance in pension fund portfolios as managers haveswitched in search of income to meet demand from maturing pension schemes.

    1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2010

    (Source: UBS Asset Management)

    The process, which accelerated in the late

    2000s, was accompanied by a widespread

    corresponding shift into bonds. This is

    explained by participants in our survey

    partly as a response to demographic

    changes in the UK population (creating

    an increased demand for steady incomeas pension schemes mature) and partly as

    a reaction from private investors against

    high levels of volatility, combined with

    uncertainty over the direction of the

    UK economy.

    I think, with low values, there is a

    de-equitisation afoot. By any historical

    standards, equities would seem to be

    very cheap, but there is not the flow ofnew money coming in to the market.

    Pension funds are de-risking and

    private investors have been frightened

    away by volatility and scaremongering

    from the media on the economy.

    Chris RodgersDirectorFour Capital Partners

    The overarching shift is away from

    equities into fixed income, driven

    by maturing pension schemes and

    fundamentals.

    Paul LeeDirectorHermes Equity Ownership Services Ltd

  • 8/3/2019 Back to Basics for Equity Markets

    11/20

  • 8/3/2019 Back to Basics for Equity Markets

    12/20

    10 Back to basics for equity markets Market Structure is causing the IPO crisis, published by Grant Thornton LLP in October 2009

    The report concluded that a Perfect

    Storm, consisting of:

    steepcutsintradingcommissions

    adramaticnarrowingofspreads

    from $0.025 per share to $0.01per share

    theswitchfromadvice-based

    trading to online trading, and

    regulationsdesignedtoseparate

    investment banking from research;

    had severely damaged the economic

    support systems that had nurtured and

    sustained investment in small companies.

    The study also concluded that in a

    market where the profit on promoting

    smaller companies has been severely

    curtailed,thereisno-onelefttopromote

    the smaller stocks. This is not seen as a

    major problem for the larger companies,

    who have simply taken on the role

    of promoting themselves directly to

    investors. But for smaller companies

    andstart-ups,itpresentsarealbarrierto

    further growth.

    This has created two key problems.

    The first is that, today, very few US

    companies make it public. Instead, the

    exit workhorse of venture capital isnow the sale to mostly large corporate

    acquirors, which means that the true

    potentialofmanyofthesestart-upswill

    never be known.

    The second is the adverse effect on

    financialsupportforthemorefar-reaching

    and risky ideas that have no obvious

    buyer. Today, the study said, the first

    question most venture capitalists ask ofapotentialinvestmentis,Whoarethe

    natural strategic buyers for your company

    oridea?.IftheanswerisNo-oneasit

    might have been in 1983 when Genentech

    was the first biotech company to go public,

    the likelihood is that the Genentechs of our

    world might never be funded.

    Is the UK following suit?

    This is a scenario that many of the fund

    managers in our survey would recognise

    from the UK.

    ChrisHutchinsonfromUnicorn

    Asset Management says that much of

    the delisting by small cap companies has

    been due to them being acquired, often by

    cash-richUSbusinesseslookingforgood

    opportunities resulting from

    low valuations.

    Whilst equity valuation multiples

    remain low, cash-rich foreign

    businesses are increasingly likely to

    make opportunistic bids to acquire

    businesses at bargain basement

    prices and enter Europe via the UK.

    Pharmaceutical businesses, medical

    device companies, engineering firms

    and software specialists are all

    currently vulnerable.

    Chris HutchinsonDirectorUnicorn Asset Management

    For those management teams and

    shareholders who are happy to follow

    this route, this is probably good news.

    But it is hard to discount the effect

    oftheUSscenarioonthelong-termhealth of the UK economy and the

    development of new ideas. If smaller

    companies are determined to grow

    on their own, but need capital and

    support to do so in a tough market,

    what strategies are open to them?

    Seismic shifts as equity allocation keeps dropping

  • 8/3/2019 Back to Basics for Equity Markets

    13/20

    Back to basics for equity markets 11

    One fund manager urged management

    teams to find ways of tapping into the

    capital held in the communities around

    them, citing share clubs as a

    possible source.

    Although these alternatives can

    help, for companies needing serious

    quantities of growth capital there is

    really little option but to use establishedequity markets.

    Despite the problems outlined above,

    there is still a keen appetite among

    investors for opportunities to invest in

    sound companies with good growth

    prospects, if only they can find them

    (see Figure 7).

    If the normal market mechanisms for

    bringing together people with capital and

    those who need it are not working, then it

    falls on the companies themselves to takeon the role of broker and more actively

    promote their stock to the market.

    Taking charge of the relationship

    with shareholders

    A good starting point is to identify those

    investors whose aims most closely match

    the needs of the company. All investors

    are looking for a strong balance sheet

    and demonstrably good management,

    but beyond this priorities may differ and

    a little research can prove invaluable ifit is to identify a group of shareholders

    prepared to become medium to long term

    business partners for a growing business.

    Alternative strategies

    raising capital in tough times

    Several of the fund managers who took part in this survey were keen to pointout that the traditional markets are not the only source of capital available tosmaller companies. Alternative forms of finance such as corporate bonds or

    convertibles are increasingly popular with institutions trying to find ways toinvest directly in companies.

    Howeverfindingasuitableinvestoris

    only the start. Maintaining and deepening

    the relationship is a project that demands

    careful management. Some of the fund

    managers key concerns when they are

    looking for an investment opportunity,

    and their expectations of management, are

    set out in the table and in Figure 8 on the

    following page.

    Fund managers are looking for well-managed companies with strong balance sheetsand good prospects for growth.

    Figure 7: What prevents fund managers from investing?

    40%

    35%

    30%

    25%

    20%

    15%

    10%

    5%

    0%

    Weak

    balan

    cesheet

    Poor

    man

    agem

    ent

    Lack

    ofgrowth

    pros

    pects

    Debt

    levels

    /hea

    vilyg

    eared

    Poor

    shareh

    older

    structur

    e/eq

    uity/liq

    uidity

    Poor

    comm

    unica

    tions

    Inexp

    erien

    cedm

    anag

    ementt

    eam

    Weak

    ,inco

    nsist

    entc

    ashf

    low

    Empir

    ebuilde

    rs/only

    think

    ofsize

    Weak

    comp

    etitiv

    epositio

    n

    Poor

    busin

    essm

    odels

    Divide

    ndpolicies

    /lack

    ofdivid

    ends

    /poo

    rretu

    rns

    Poor

    cost

    contr

    ol

    Lack

    ofvalua

    bleIP

    Lack

    ofacce

    ssto

    growing

    glob

    alma

    rkets

    Highv

    aluati

    onOthe

    r

    Dont

    know

    24%

    18%16%

    12%10%

    8% 8% 8% 8% 8%6% 6%

    4% 4%2% 2%

    26%

    36%

    Were heavily allocated to

    companies with strong asset bases,

    strong cash flow and those with

    good and growing income.

    Gervais WilliamsManaging DirectorMAM Funds plc

  • 8/3/2019 Back to Basics for Equity Markets

    14/20

    12 Back to basics for equity markets

    Issue Fund manager comment Solution

    High gearing falling out of favour The rubbish we were spun in the previous cycle aboutefficient balance sheets and gearing up to the maximum

    possible levels to improve the returns on equity is now seen

    as complete garbage. But if a company is very, very cash

    generative, with a reliable, stable business, it still makes

    sense, especially when debt is cheap, to have a degree of

    gearing on the balance sheet.

    Gearing strategies should reflect the revised attitude

    many fund managers have towards risk.

    Frankness and openness is valuedhighly

    Telling the story in a convincing way requires telling the

    bad as well as the good, and too few companies are

    prepared to be as honest as they ought to be.

    There is a culture, certainly at the smaller end of the

    market, where short-termism seems to be more important.

    Id much rather see a culture whereby people are morerealistic about prospects and build on a solid platform.

    If I look at our most successful investments, there is a

    common theme: management teams that understand the

    need for constant delivery to expectations.

    We dont like hearing bad news, but youve got to know

    about it. What you dont want to do is lose trust.

    Careful, well-constructed market briefings.

    Clear guidance on appropriate performance

    expectations.

    Keep up to date with market views on the company/

    sector.

    Provide the right amount ofinformation in annual reports, andavoid boiler plate disclosure

    Annual reports have gone from 5 to 50 to 150 pages,

    but am I any better informed on business philosophy

    or performance? The general view is that most of the

    information out today is pro forma because someone

    decided ten years ago that it was a good idea, and we cant

    take it out. Now, the vast amount of information amounts to

    information overload.

    Thorough review of formal reporting to eliminate

    unnecessary data.

    Key information presented clearly and succinctly.

    Additional data well signposted for those who might

    want/need to see it.

    Direct access to seniormanagement is very important

    Its hard to build trust unless you have looked people in the eye.

    With one of our companies, one of my colleagues went

    to see them early in the year, they came to see us in

    London before a fund-raising, and we have seen them again

    recently. So weve seen them three times over the summer

    and have enhanced confidence in what they are doing and

    how they are doing it.

    Hold regular meetings with shareholders.

    Provide easy access to senior management.

    Honest, informative personal interactions.

    Dont overdo the company news There is too much noise out there. Telling the story clearlyand cleanly and then waiting for genuine news is much the

    best way. There are companies that are forever issuing

    notes about the tiniest things that have happened. It justgets frustrating and annoying, and you miss the interesting

    stuff because you are so used to deleting all their emails.

    Eliminate frequent corporate news emails.

    Use the so what? test to filter out unnecessary news.

    Senior oversight of news management process.

    Provide non-financial data onlywhen it matters

    Soft information, like environmental reports, can be very

    important for certain groups of investors who look at the

    hard and soft aspects of companies side-by-side.

    If its material, absolutely, lets have it. If its not material,

    dont give it to us.

    Establish clear purpose for non-financial data.

    Use the so what? test.

    Company-commissioned research useful, but no substitute forindependent research

    Clearly, youd prefer there to be independent sources of

    research that arent driven by commission. If thats not

    there, it is a sign that the market is not working properly.

    Commissioned research is a sticking plaster rather than areal cure. In the interim it is helpful but it is depressing that

    its needed at all.

    Encourage independent research.

    Fund managers key concerns when looking for an investment opportunity

    Alternative strategies raising capital in tough times

  • 8/3/2019 Back to Basics for Equity Markets

    15/20

    Back to basics for equity markets 13

    14% 38% 34%

    14% 14% 40% 26%

    12% 14% 46% 20%

    18% 14% 38% 24%

    18% 24% 10%40%

    26% 40% 24% 2%

    80% 60% 40% 20% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80%

    Not at all effective Not effective Quite effective Very effective

    A frank, open exchange and good quality data will pay real dividends with investors.

    Providing more detailed financial data(e.g. Split down by division, region or markets)

    Providing more one-on-one accessto senior management

    More regular updatesof company news

    Provide more non-financialdata in company report

    Provide more companycommissioned research

    Being more frank with investorsabout the challenges they face

    6%

    8%

    6%

    8%

    8%

    8%

    Dont know

    Figure 8:How effective do fund managers believe these strategies are

    in enhancing liquidity in a companys shares?

    For companies able to take a greater

    role in actions targeted at developing

    greater liquidity in the secondary

    market, this is good advice which will

    help them develop a valuable, supportive

    relationship with their investors. Butthis is little help if investors prepared

    to nurture small companies with good

    prospects are thin on the ground. There

    seems to be a more fundamental problem

    in the markets, which is forcing small

    caps to look for alternative ways to fund

    growth.Howcantheybebroughtback

    in to the mainstream?

    6%

  • 8/3/2019 Back to Basics for Equity Markets

    16/20

    14 Back to basics for equity markets

    Re-framingthedebatehowdowe

    bring small caps back into the market?A view from Grant Thornton

    There is a strong consensus among the fund managers and institutional investorswhotookpartinthisresearchthatsmallcapcompaniesarenotbeingwell-served by the UK equity markets. They agree that liquidity in smaller stocks is

    low, and that factors contributing to this problem include a lack of good qualityindependent research into the smaller caps, and a tendency for trading to focus onhigh volume, large company stocks.

    Whatislesscleariswhythemarketshavemovedinthisdirection,andwhatcanbe done to reignite interest in small companies (see Figure 9).

    Figure 9: Is AIM still popular for fund managers?

    40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 10% 20% 30%

    Although 24 percent of fund managers say AIM and Smaller Listed is a good place to invest now, the majority are cautious or neutral on prospects for small caps.

    Do we need a change in regulation?

    It is common to hear that regulation

    is too onerous and costly for small

    companies, and that the authoritiesshould cut back on the rules that

    companies seeking a listing have to

    follow. But, looking objectively at

    the AIM platform developed by the

    London Stock Exchange for small cap

    companies, we believe it strikes a good

    balance between the interests of capital

    provider and capital user. It is hard to

    see how regulation could be reduced

    without encouraging companies

    to come to the market too soon something which professional investors

    regularly deplore.

    Many market participants do,

    however, feel a sense of unease about

    the shape of the markets that seek

    to serve AIM and Smaller Listedcompanies. They are concerned

    about the extent to which regulatory,

    technological and commercial

    developments have distorted aspects

    of the UK equity market. They point

    to the proliferation of high frequency

    trading and the apparently unrestricted

    growth of synthetic equity products,

    both of which have resulted in unintended

    and potentially damaging consequences

    for smaller quoted companies.

    12% 24% 16% 8%

    Strongly disagree Slightly disagree Slightly agree Strongly agree

    We need to get back to a market that

    works more efficiently in the interests

    of the users and providers of capital.

    Thats one thats much less about

    trading activity and much more about

    underlying companies; investing in

    companies as if they were companies

    rather than providers of share chips

    in a casino.

    Paul LeeDirectorHermes Equity Ownership Services Ltd

    Neither agree

    nor disagree

    32%

    Dont know

    8%

  • 8/3/2019 Back to Basics for Equity Markets

    17/20

    Back to basics for equity markets 15

    A revived ecosystem for small caps

    At a more fundamental level, a key reason

    for the problems afflicting small caps

    is a slow strangulation of the economic

    ecosystem that had grown up to supportthem. It looks as if the experience of the

    US equity markets, set out in the October

    2009 study from Grant Thornton, is of

    considerable relevance for the UK.

    This can be summarised as a

    progressive decline in interest in dealing

    in small company stocks, as the revenue

    that can be earned from doing so is

    driven down. In the interests of cutting

    transaction costs and speeding up trading,

    spreads and commissions have been

    progressively reduced, to the point where

    there is little option for traders but to

    focus on the high volume end of the

    market in order to make money.

    In past years it was the revenue that

    could be earned from trading in small

    stocks that allowed brokers to fund

    research, which in turn fuelled greater

    levels of interest, thereby underpinning

    liquidity. This system may have looked

    costly and inefficient at the time, but it

    providedamuch-neededrouteintothecapital markets that helped many small

    companies grow into todays

    corporate giants.

    Questions for debate

    If small companies are still not getting

    the support they need, this raises some

    important questions that we need

    to debate: Havethemarketswehavetoday

    moved too far from their core

    function, which is to allocate capital?

    Whatarethesystemicforcesthatare

    depriving small caps of the capital

    they need, and what can be done to

    counteract them?

    Aretheeconomicsofthesmall

    cap sector sufficient to drive the

    economic support system it needs to

    thrive and grow? If not, what can we

    dotore-shapethem?

    Howdowerebalancethe

    movement of money out of equities

    and into bonds and other synthetic

    investments? Is this movement

    irreversible?

    The source of future economic growth

    The implications of the decline of

    this system are that small companies

    can no longer develop into the

    economic powerhouses of tomorrow.Entrepreneurial, dynamic companies

    are finding it extremely hard to get the

    backing they need to become mainstream,

    to the detriment of economic growth

    and prosperity.

    It is already rare to find a private

    equity firm or venture capitalist in the

    small and mid cap market whose aim is

    to take their portfolio companies public.

    The preference is to sell them on to a large

    corporatebuyer.Whiledebtmarkets

    continue to be a hostile environment for

    small and medium sized companies, we

    believe this commercial conservatism is

    squeezing out the entrepreneurial drive

    that is so important for the long term

    health of an economy.

    This is not a problem that can

    be solved by solely turning to the

    Government for further assistance. It is

    more an issue of market structure, one

    of changing economic priorities and the

    effects they have on market behaviour.As such, it is within the power of market

    participants to change the way that small

    cap companies are supported, in the long

    term interests both of the economy, and

    of the markets themselves.

  • 8/3/2019 Back to Basics for Equity Markets

    18/20

    16 Back to basics for equity markets

    Our approach:

    GrantThorntonUKLLP

    commissioned Lighthouse Global,

    the business advisory specialists, to

    conduct an initial 50 quantitative

    interviews amongst top fundmanagers and pension fund managers.

    Therethenfollowed10in-depth

    interviews amongst the same audience

    to gain deeper insights and probe

    the issues uncovered in the initial

    quantitative phase.

    Organisationsincluded-Unicorn

    AssetManagement,HermesEquity

    Ownership Services Ltd, Four Capital

    Partners, Standard Life Investments

    and MAM Funds plc.

    Thetotalvalueoffundscontrolledby

    participants is 43 billion, a quarter

    of participants control a fund of 1bn

    or over organisations spanned the

    full spectrum of fund managers from

    specialist organisations to the very

    largest giving a good overview of the

    whole market.

    Theresearchphasetookplaceover

    a period of 4 weeks, from 26 August

    2011 to 23 September 2011.

  • 8/3/2019 Back to Basics for Equity Markets

    19/20

    Back to basics for equity markets 17

  • 8/3/2019 Back to Basics for Equity Markets

    20/20

    Belfast

    T 028 9031 5500

    Birmingham

    T 0121 212 4000

    Bristol

    T 0117 305 7600

    Cambridge

    T 01223 225600

    Cardiff

    T 029 2023 5591

    Edinburgh

    T 0131 229 9181

    Gatwick

    T 01293 554130

    Glasgow

    T 0141 223 0000

    Kettering

    T 01536 310000

    Leeds

    T 0113 245 5514

    Leicester

    T 0116 247 1234

    Liverpool

    T 0151 224 7200

    London

    T 020 7383 5100

    Manchester

    T 0161 953 6900

    Milton Keynes

    T 01908 660666

    Newcastle

    T 0191 261 2631

    Northampton

    T 01604 826650

    Norwich

    T 01603 620481

    Thames Valley (Oxford)

    T 01865 799899

    Thames Valley (Reading)

    T 01189 839600

    Sheffield

    T 0114 255 3371

    Thames Valley (Slough)

    T 01753 781001

    Southampton

    T 023 8038 1100

    For other queries please contact your local Grant Thornton office:

    For further information on any of the issues explored in this report contact:

    Philip Secrett

    Partner, Head of AIM & Smaller Listed

    T +44 (0)20 7728 2578

    E [email protected]

    Contact us

    Kam Mattu

    Business Development Manager - AIM & Smaller Listed

    T +44 (0)20 7865 2336

    E [email protected]