background methodology - cmascenter.org · rafael borge1*, jose luis santiago2, david de la paz1,...

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Rafael Borge 1* , Jose Luis Santiago 2 , David de la Paz 1 , Fernando Martín 2 , Jessica Domingo 1 , Cristina Valdés 3 , Mª Teresa Rozas 3 , Beatriz Sánchez 2 , Sonia Lázaro 1 , Javier Pérez 1 , Esther Rivas 2 , Christina Quaassdorff 1 , Álvaro Fernández 3 , Juan Manuel de Andrés 1 , Carlos Yagüe 4 , Julio Lumbreras 1 MULTI-SCALE MODELING OF A SHORT TERM NO 2 ACTION PLAN IN MADRID (SPAIN) 1 - Universidad Politécnica de Madrid (UPM); 2 - Department of Environment, CIEMAT, Madrid; 3 - Madrid Municipal Transport Company (EMT) ; 4 - Department of Earth Physics and Astrophysics, University Complutense of Madrid, Faculty of Physical Sciences Background Motivation * contact: [email protected] (currently at HSPH: [email protected]) References • Borge, R., Artíñano, B., Yagüe, C., Gomez‐Moreno, F.J., Saiz‐Lopez, A., Sastre, M., García‐Nieto, D., Narros, A., Cristóbal, A., 2018. Application of a short term air quality action plan in Madrid (Spain) under a high‐ pollution episode ‐ Part I: Diagnostic and analysis from observations. Science of the Total Environment 635, 1561‐1573. • Borge, R., Santiago, J.L., de la Paz, D., Martín, F., Domingo, J., Valdés, C., Sánchez, B., Rivas, E., Rozas, M.T., Lázaro, S., Pérez, J., Fernández, A., 2018. Application of a short term air quality action plan in Madrid (Spain) under a high‐pollution episode ‐ Part II: Assessment from multi‐ scale modelling. Science of the Total Environment 635, 1574‐1584 Figure 1. NO 2 ambient concentration source apportionment European NO 2 standards (=WHO) are currently exceeded in Madrid due to road traffic - Stage 1: 70 km/h speed limitation in M30 ringroad - Stage 2: stage 1 + no parking inside (9 AM - 9 PM) - Stage 3: stage 2 + access restrictions to the city centre for private cars (even/odd plate numbers – except low emission technologies according DGT scheme-) (6:30 AM - 9 PM) Figure 2. The Madrid City Council reviewed its protocol to disseminate information to the public and to implement short term measures to reduce road transport emissions and population exposure over certain NO 2 concentration (NO 2 protocol) in 2016 Methodology Figure 3. 86 hourly exceedances of 200 µg/m 3 were recorded in 13 air quality monitoring stations of the municipal network during 2016 Christmas period Stage 3 of the protocol was trigger for the first time. It was controversial but the effect was not evident. Figure 4. WRF‐SMOKE‐CMAQ was used to assess the impact of the protocol at city scale (1 km 2 resolution) and the Star‐CCM+ (RANS CFD model) for fine‐scale assessment in a 1 km 2 area downtown. Emissions were consistently supplied using a street‐level traffic emission computation model that incorporated real traffic data in the period of study CFD modeling domain The impact of the application of the protocol was estimated from the difference of 2 model runs: Emissions from measures taken Hypothetical baseline –no action‐ scenario Results Conclusions and implications Figure 5. Variation on 1‐h maximum NO 2 ambient concentration: absolute and relative values for stage 1, a), d), stage 2, b), e) and stage 3, c), f) 500 400 300 200 100 0 [NO 2 ] (µg∙m -3 ) -30 -24 -18 -12 -6 0 ∆ [NO 2 ] (%) a b c d e f a b Figure 6. NO 2 predicted on December 29 th 2016 (stage 3) (20‐ 21 hours) in the Gran Vía area a) and modeled reductions relative to baseline scenario b) Limited effect under strong stability conditions: only drastic reductions (stage 3) have a relevant effect need to implement permanent measures to cut down traffic emissions throughout the year Consistent buy complementary view from the mesoscale and microscale models need for multi‐ scale analysis and potential of complementary local measures Options to improve Madrid’s NO 2 protocol identified it was recently reviewed Relevant effects only inside M‐30 for stage 3: NO 2 daily peak reduced up to 24 µg∙m ‐3 (up to 14%) Average reduction of 18% (up to 25%; around 100 µg∙m ‐3 in specific areas, such as Gran Vía Avenue)

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Rafael Borge1*, Jose Luis Santiago2, David de la Paz1, Fernando Martín2, Jessica Domingo1, Cristina Valdés3, Mª Teresa Rozas3, Beatriz Sánchez2, Sonia Lázaro1, Javier Pérez1, Esther Rivas2, Christina

Quaassdorff1, Álvaro Fernández3, Juan Manuel de Andrés1, Carlos Yagüe4, Julio Lumbreras1

MULTI-SCALE MODELING OF A SHORT TERM NO2ACTION PLAN IN MADRID (SPAIN)

1 - Universidad Politécnica de Madrid (UPM); 2 - Department of Environment, CIEMAT, Madrid; 3 - Madrid Municipal Transport Company (EMT) ; 4 - Department of Earth Physics and Astrophysics, University Complutense of Madrid, Faculty of Physical Sciences

Background

Motivation

* contact: [email protected] (currently at HSPH: [email protected])

References• Borge, R., Artíñano, B., Yagüe, C., Gomez‐Moreno, F.J., Saiz‐Lopez, A.,

Sastre, M., García‐Nieto, D., Narros, A., Cristóbal, A., 2018. Applicationof a short term air quality action plan in Madrid (Spain) under a high‐pollution episode ‐ Part I: Diagnostic and analysis from observations.Science of the Total Environment 635, 1561‐1573.

• Borge, R., Santiago, J.L., de la Paz, D., Martín, F., Domingo, J., Valdés, C.,Sánchez, B., Rivas, E., Rozas, M.T., Lázaro, S., Pérez, J., Fernández, A.,2018. Application of a short term air quality action plan in Madrid(Spain) under a high‐pollution episode ‐ Part II: Assessment from multi‐scale modelling. Science of the Total Environment 635, 1574‐1584

Figure 1. NO2 ambient concentration source apportionment

European NO2 standards (=WHO) are currentlyexceeded in Madrid due to road traffic

- Stage 1: 70 km/h speed limitation in M30 ringroad- Stage 2: stage 1 + no parking inside (9 AM - 9 PM)- Stage 3: stage 2 + access restrictions to the citycentre for private cars (even/odd plate numbers –except low emission technologies according DGTscheme-) (6:30 AM - 9 PM)

Figure 2. The Madrid City Council reviewed its protocol to disseminate information to the public and to implement short term 

measures to reduce road transport emissions and population exposure over certain NO2

concentration (NO2 protocol) in 2016

Methodology

Figure 3. 86 hourly exceedances of 200 µg/m3 were recorded in 13 air quality monitoring stations of the municipal network during 

2016 Christmas period

Stage 3 of the protocol was trigger for the first time. Itwas controversial but the effect was not evident.

Figure 4. WRF‐SMOKE‐CMAQ was used to assess the impact of the protocol at city scale (1 km2 resolution) and the Star‐CCM+ (RANS CFD model) for fine‐scale assessment in a 1 km2 area downtown. Emissions were consistently supplied using a street‐level traffic emission computation model that incorporated real traffic data in the period of study

CFD modeling domain

The impact of the application of the protocol wasestimated from the difference of 2 model runs:‐ Emissions from measures taken‐ Hypothetical baseline –no action‐ scenario

Results

Conclusions and implications

Figure 5. Variation on 1‐h maximum NO2 ambient concentration: absolute and relative values for stage 1, a), d), 

stage 2, b), e) and stage 3, c), f)

5004003002001000

[NO2] (µg∙m-3)

-30-24-18-12-60

∆ [NO2] (%)

a b c

d e f

a bFigure 6. NO2 predicted on December 29th 2016 (stage 3) (20‐21 hours) in the Gran Vía area a) and modeled reductions 

relative to baseline scenario b)

• Limited effect under strong stability conditions: onlydrastic reductions (stage 3) have a relevant effectneed to implement permanent measures to cutdown traffic emissions throughout the year

• Consistent buy complementary view from themesoscale and microscale models need for multi‐scale analysis and potential of complementary localmeasures

• Options to improve Madrid’s NO2 protocol identified it was recently reviewed

Relevant effects only inside M‐30 for stage 3: NO2 dailypeak reduced up to 24 µg∙m‐3 (up to 14%)

Average reduction of 18% (up to 25%; around 100µg∙m‐3 in specific areas, such as Gran Vía Avenue)