bad science 2015

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Bad Science Dr Vivek Agarwal

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Page 1: Bad science 2015

Bad Science

Dr Vivek Agarwal

Page 2: Bad science 2015
Page 3: Bad science 2015

Ben Goldacre

Doctor, journalist, broadcaster Bad science column in the guardian

since 2003 Newsnight, watchdog, QI BBC documentaries Various awards

Page 4: Bad science 2015

Recently

Bad Pharma – top 10 in UK Test, Learn, Adapt: Developing Public

Policy with Randomised Controlled Trials

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Bad Science – the book

Published by Fourth Estate 2008 Over 500,000 copies sold Reached #1 in non-fiction Published in over 18 countries

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Bad Science

Brain gym Progenium XY complex Homeopathy Dr Gillian McKeith Fish oils MMR

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Dr Gillian McKeith, PhD

Green leaves for chlorophyll Abdominal examination – inflammation of

organs Food enzyme deficiencies “Dr” PhD – thesis – “Miracle superfood” Membership of AANC References – magazines, books Medicinal claims

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Gillian McKeith

Living food powder, claimed to have been tested in clinical trials - Challenged by Prof Garrow

Threats of legal action No indexed articles

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Homeopathy

Hahnemann Late eighteenth century Better alternative to blood-letting Authority figures could devise new

treatments without much evidence to back up their claims

Theoretical concept

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Homeopathy - pseudoscience Dilution – ‘potentise’ Succussion Proving – ‘Prufung’

Still done today, often described as trials

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Dilution effect

Typically 30CWhat does this mean?

Avagadro’s number ‘memory’ of water Or sugar

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Challenges

James RandiAmerican conjurer

Sir John ForbesPrivate physician to Queen Victoria

Ben Goldacre

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How does it still work then

Placebo effect One to one interaction Therapeutic relationship Natural course of illness or regression

to the meanEg; Sports Illustrated jinx

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MMR and autism

Andrew Wakefield – Lancet Case series – 12 cases Selection Investigations Media and public figures views Retraction

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Ben Goldacre - Prescribing analytics

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Ben Goldacre - Randomise me

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Things to remember

? Anecdotal evidence – pros and cons Clinical trials should be..... Flaws in research – so peer review,

publication and critical appraisal necessary

Always be wary of being quoted evidence from unpublished research!

Power is not just in the pill!