balderson 7e copyright © 2008 by mcgraw-hill ryerson. all rights reserved. part 1: the decision to...
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Balderson 7e Copyright © 2008 byBalderson 7e Copyright © 2008 by McGraw-Hill Ryerson. All rights res McGraw-Hill Ryerson. All rights reserved.erved.
Part 1: The Decision Part 1: The Decision to Start a Businessto Start a Business
Chapter 3Chapter 3
Evaluation of a Business Evaluation of a Business OpportunityOpportunity
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Non-Quantitative Assessment of Non-Quantitative Assessment of Business OpportunitiesBusiness Opportunities
Goals Goals Content of WorkContent of Work LifestyleLifestyle CapabilitiesCapabilities
– Good health, management Good health, management fundamentals, financial basefundamentals, financial base
ExperienceExperience
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Breaking Into The MarketBreaking Into The Market
Three WaysThree Ways– offer a totally new productoffer a totally new product– offer an existing product to a different marketoffer an existing product to a different market– offer a product or service similar to those offer a product or service similar to those
existing in the same marketexisting in the same market Developing a Strategic Competitive Developing a Strategic Competitive
AdvantageAdvantage– the right industrythe right industry– the right businessthe right business– the right aspect of the businessthe right aspect of the business
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Developing A Strategic Developing A Strategic Competitive AdvantageCompetitive Advantage
The Right IndustryThe Right Industry The Right BusinessThe Right Business The Right Aspect of the BusinessThe Right Aspect of the Business
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Collection of InformationCollection of Information
Sources of InformationSources of Information Secondary dataSecondary data Primary dataPrimary data
– observationsobservations– surveyssurveys
mail surveys, telephone surveys, personal mail surveys, telephone surveys, personal interviews, focus groupsinterviews, focus groups
– test marketingtest marketing
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Quantitative Assessment of Quantitative Assessment of Business OpportunitiesBusiness Opportunities
Preparing the Feasibility AnalysisPreparing the Feasibility Analysis– Step One - Calculate the Market Step One - Calculate the Market
PotentialPotential– Step Two - Calculate the Market ShareStep Two - Calculate the Market Share– Step Three - Calculate the Net Income Step Three - Calculate the Net Income
and Cash Flowand Cash Flow
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Quantitative Assessment of Quantitative Assessment of Business OpportunitiesBusiness Opportunities
Step One - Calculate the Market Step One - Calculate the Market PotentialPotential– Determine the market area and its Determine the market area and its
populationpopulation– Obtain revenue , (sales) statistics for the Obtain revenue , (sales) statistics for the
product or service in the areaproduct or service in the area– Adjust the market potential total as Adjust the market potential total as
necessarynecessary
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Quantitative Assessment of Quantitative Assessment of Business OpportunitiesBusiness Opportunities
Step Two - Calculate the Market Share Step Two - Calculate the Market Share Retail FirmRetail Firm
– 1. Estimate the total amount of selling 1. Estimate the total amount of selling space in the market devoted to the space in the market devoted to the merchandise the new business will sellmerchandise the new business will sell
– 2. Estimate the size of the proposed store 2. Estimate the size of the proposed store – 3. Calculate the market share based on 3. Calculate the market share based on
selling space selling space
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Quantitative Assessment of Quantitative Assessment of Business OpportunitiesBusiness Opportunities
Step Two - Calculate the Market Step Two - Calculate the Market Share Share
Retail Firm (cont)Retail Firm (cont)– 4. Make adjustments to reflect any 4. Make adjustments to reflect any
competitor strengths and weaknesses competitor strengths and weaknesses regarding the proposed storeregarding the proposed store
– 5. Multiply the revised market share 5. Multiply the revised market share percentage by the market potential percentage by the market potential estimate obtained in step 1.estimate obtained in step 1.
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Quantitative Assessment of Quantitative Assessment of Business OpportunitiesBusiness Opportunities
Step Two - Calculate the Market Share Step Two - Calculate the Market Share Manufacturing FirmManufacturing Firm
1. Estimate the total productive capacity in 1. Estimate the total productive capacity in the market for the product to be the market for the product to be manufactured.manufactured.
2. Estimate the total productive capacity of 2. Estimate the total productive capacity of the proposed manufacturing plant.the proposed manufacturing plant.
3. Calculate the market share based on 3. Calculate the market share based on productive capacity.productive capacity.
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Quantitative Assessment of Quantitative Assessment of Business OpportunitiesBusiness Opportunities
Step Two - Calculate the Market Step Two - Calculate the Market Share Share
Manufacturing Firm (cont.)Manufacturing Firm (cont.)4. Make adjustments to reflect 4. Make adjustments to reflect
competitive strengths and weaknesses competitive strengths and weaknesses the competitive plant may possessthe competitive plant may possess
5. Multiply the estimated market share 5. Multiply the estimated market share percentage by the market share percentage by the market share potential estimate obtained in Step One.potential estimate obtained in Step One.
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Quantitative Assessment of Quantitative Assessment of Business OpportunitiesBusiness Opportunities
Step Two - Calculate the Market Step Two - Calculate the Market Share Share
Service FirmService Firm1. Estimate the total capacity of the 1. Estimate the total capacity of the
service available in the market area.service available in the market area.
2. Estimate the service capacity of the 2. Estimate the service capacity of the proposed business.proposed business.
3. Calculate the market share based on 3. Calculate the market share based on the capacity base.the capacity base.
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Quantitative Assessment of Quantitative Assessment of Business OpportunitiesBusiness Opportunities
Step Two - Calculate the Market Step Two - Calculate the Market Share Share
Service Firm (cont.)Service Firm (cont.)4. Make adjustments similar to those 4. Make adjustments similar to those
made for a retail store.made for a retail store.
5. Multiply the revised market share 5. Multiply the revised market share percentage by the market potential percentage by the market potential estimated in Step One.estimated in Step One.
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Quantitative Assessment of Quantitative Assessment of Business OpportunitiesBusiness Opportunities
Step Three - Calculate net income Step Three - Calculate net income and cash flowand cash flow1. Using the market share from Step Two, 1. Using the market share from Step Two,
calculate the expenses expectedcalculate the expenses expected cost of goods sold and gross profit cost of goods sold and gross profit
percentages; cash operating expenses; percentages; cash operating expenses; interest and depreciationinterest and depreciation
2. Subtract expenses from revenue to 2. Subtract expenses from revenue to determine projected net income in the determine projected net income in the first year and subsequent years.first year and subsequent years.
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Self Assessment for a Small Self Assessment for a Small Business OpportunityBusiness Opportunity
PersonalityPersonality NatureNature AbilitiesAbilities ExperienceExperience Financial baseFinancial base FeasibilityFeasibility
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Concept ChecksConcept Checks
1. What non-quantitative factors 1. What non-quantitative factors should be considered in the selection should be considered in the selection of a small business?of a small business?
2. What are three ways of entering 2. What are three ways of entering the market?the market?
3. What are two methods of collecting 3. What are two methods of collecting information? In what situations would information? In what situations would they be most useful?they be most useful?
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Concept ChecksConcept Checks
4. What are the three methods of 4. What are the three methods of collecting primary data? Which is the collecting primary data? Which is the most relevant to a small business?most relevant to a small business?
5. What steps are involved in 5. What steps are involved in determining the financial feasibility determining the financial feasibility of a retail store? of a retail store?