bank of england stresstesting_overview

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Bank of England Stress Testing Ankit Shah, ACA, CFA: [email protected] | www.meritunion.com

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Page 1: Bank of England StressTesting_overview

Bank of England – Stress Testing

Ankit Shah, ACA, CFA:

[email protected] | www.meritunion.com

Page 2: Bank of England StressTesting_overview

DISCLAIMER

The content, thoughts and representation done on this presentation is

solely the opinion of the author and should not be confused as any

interpretation or guidance thereof of any regulation. The author does

not represent any regulatory body and is not responsible for any action

or decision taken on back of anything mentioned herein. Appropriate

discretion is advised when going through the content.

Page 3: Bank of England StressTesting_overview

Topic of content

Scope

Computing Stress Impact

Liquidity buckets

Types of Stress Tests

Valuation adjustment components

IB: Revenue and Costs

AFS and FVO losses

Exceptions to Stress Tests

Ankit Shah, ACA, CFA: [email protected] | www.meritunion.com

Page 4: Bank of England StressTesting_overview

Which Positions are to be included?

Types of holdings included are:

Trading Book: All positions

Banking Book: AFS and FVO positions

Available for Sale (AFS) Fair Value Option

(FVO)

Ankit Shah, ACA, CFA: [email protected] | www.meritunion.com

Page 5: Bank of England StressTesting_overview

What will be the impact of Stress?

Capital Resources

Capital Requirements

TOTAL IMPACT

“Relates

to losses”

“Relates to

Capital adequacy”

Ankit Shah, ACA, CFA: [email protected] | www.meritunion.com

Page 6: Bank of England StressTesting_overview

Stress impact (continue..)

Market Risk Losses

Valuation adjustments

Counterparty Credit Default

Revenue & Cost of IB business

AFS and FVO Losses

Market Risk & CVA (RWAs)

Counterparty Credit Risk (RWAs)

CAPITAL RESOURCES CAPITAL REQUIREMENTS

Ankit Shah, ACA, CFA: [email protected] | www.meritunion.com

Page 7: Bank of England StressTesting_overview

What are position liquidity buckets?

For the purpose of Stress, Trading Book positions are to be classified

into following liquidity buckets:

Liquid Positions

Could be closed within 2 weeks

Illiquid Positions

Could not be closed within 2 weeks or

Any other position specific condition which suggests illiquidity

Structural Liquids

Positions closed but can be re-opened for market making purpose

“Liquidity assessment as per Bank’s discretion”

Ankit Shah, ACA, CFA: [email protected] | www.meritunion.com

Page 8: Bank of England StressTesting_overview

Types of Stress Tests! (Market Risk losses)

Risk Factor Stress Historical Stress Issuer Default Liquidity Stress

Risk factors as

defined under

‘Variable paths for

the 2015 stress test’

spreadsheet by the

BANK.

FX Stress

Index Stress

Commodity

Stress

Rates Shock

Volatility Shock

Additional stress

based on historical

period not

sufficiently

captured by risk

factor stress.

Asia & Emerging

markets – 2008 2nd

half

Europe & US –

2011 2nd half and

2012 1st half

Counterparty risk

default stress:

Portfolio-wide

default (SME

counterparties)

Specific names

default (Large

counterparties)

Includes risk factor

stress split by

position liquidity

horizon

Ankit Shah, ACA, CFA: [email protected] | www.meritunion.com

Page 9: Bank of England StressTesting_overview

What are Valuation adjustment components?

Credit Valuation Adjustment (CVA) – affects in-the -money derivative

holdings

Debit Valuation Adjustment (DVA) – captures impact of banks own

credit quality

Prudent Valuation Adjustment (PVA) – provision for prudence

(conservatism)

Bid/Offer Reserve – additional cost of exiting the stressed positions

Ankit Shah, ACA, CFA: [email protected] | www.meritunion.com

Page 10: Bank of England StressTesting_overview

Investment Banking Business – Revenue and Costs

IB Revenue & Cost info

Stressed Scenario

Baseline scenario

“If stressed scenario is not easily quantifiable, appropriate discretion is advised”

Ankit Shah, ACA, CFA: [email protected] | www.meritunion.com

Page 11: Bank of England StressTesting_overview

AFS and FVO losses

Losses to be allocated over a FIVE year period

Positions to be re-valued each year assuming it’s the first year of

investment

Adjustments to P&L to be made for any material change in banks business

Default losses allocated to ONE year only.

Unrealized P&L accounting treatment:

AFS:

Shareholders equity

FVO:

Income Statement

Ankit Shah, ACA, CFA: [email protected] | www.meritunion.com

Page 12: Bank of England StressTesting_overview

Exceptions in applying Stress Tests

INCLUSIONS EXCLUSIONS

Securities financing transactions on Banking book

Positions with Prudential filter

FVTPL* securities in pipeline that are: equities, bonds, loans and pre-securitisation syndication

Securitisations and Covered bonds

Hedges to accrued loans

Ankit Shah, ACA, CFA: [email protected] | www.meritunion.com

* FVTPS – Fair value through profit and loss (part of FVO)